Stats

Command node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols TBN,CNXC,INTG,NEOV,NEOG --strategy momentum --lookback 20 --days 730 --stop-pct 5 --target-pct 15. IEX501 dailybars currentdefault throughSep10; CLI no independentholdout and execution/costs notvalidated. These are fullsample gross diagnostic outputs, NOT adoptedstrategy. Positivefullsamplecannotestablishdatedrunupedge; negativeoutputrejectsusingmomentumalone. SeparateTBNvectorbtcostedchronologicalholdout2395–2402 supplieseventstudy, withlimitations. Noorders. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=iex ; CLIbacktestlocal cli.json .

Command node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols TBN,CNXC,INTG,NEOV,NEOG --strategy momentum --lookback 20 --days 730 --stop-pct 5 --target-pct 15. IEX501 dailybars currentdefault throughSep10; CLI no independentholdout and execution/costs notvalidated. These are fullsample gross diagnostic outputs, NOT adoptedstrategy. Positivefullsamplecannotestablishdatedrunupedge; negativeoutputrejectsusingmomentumalone. SeparateTBNvectorbtcostedchronologicalholdout2395–2402 supplieseventstudy, withlimitations. Noorders. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=iex ; CLIbacktestlocal cli.json .

1 SWKSFY2510K https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4127/000000412725000085/swks-20251003.htm Apple67%revenue/threeAR82%;solesources andcapacityminimums can transferpricingpowertocustomer/supplier. 2 July28 https://investors.skyworksinc.com/news-releases/news-release-details/skyworks-delivers-solid-third-quarter-fiscal-year-2026-results Q3revenue935m/GAAPoperating49m,proposedQorvocombinationacquisitiondebt~2bn,dividendsceased,new2bnbuybackauthorizationnotrepurchases. Consolidationmayhelpfuturepricing;notverifiedcurrentRFallocation. Today'sjointSWKS/QRVOpricejump couldreflectdealodds,causenotprovenbydatedoriginal. 3 ALMJuly1 https://almonty.com/almonty-commences-processing-operations-at-sangdong-mine/ reportsprocessinginJune and139700toreatapprox.25%WO3;349.25tcontainedbeforelosses,NOTpaidconcentrate. Recovery,payability,acceptance remainbinding. Rejectnewentry:SWKStrain-33.08%,stressholdout-5.21%;QRVOtrain-17.46%;ALM293barshistorynotmatched2021-24training,close16.57<19.12threshold. Strongcounterargument: mergercouldresetRFprofitability andSangdongcouldbecomevaluablequalifiednonChina supply;prospectivevalidationneeded,nottoday'shistoricaltrendchase.

1 Issuer Sep8published announcement recovered from public posts API used by neovolta.com client: Sep23AMC FY26 results,17ETcall; exitSep22 for anyfuturepre-eventposition. CalendarOct5weekwrong.2 Aug31signedSKOn agreement9GWhcells2027–31 isinputprocurement; additional9GWhpackpurchasecollaboration isframework. Combined18GWhfive-yearactivity not18GWhfirm annualoutput orrecognizedrevenue. Initialsupplyaverage1.8GWh/year; combinedactivity3.6GWh/yearsimpleaverage versus8GWh2028annualcapacitytarget. These have different scopes/units anddo notmeasureutilization.3 May14quarterendedMar31:Q3revenue2mflat,GP.9m/~46%vs26%mix;opex3.6m,netloss3m,cash11.5m;Q3grossprofitcovers25%ofopex. Nine-monthrevenue13.3m+262% isnotQ3growth. April3mrevolver andMay8mPhase2contributionplan werefinancingcontext,notcurrentavailablecash. Luminia1.9m40unitPO isfirmerthan39mpipeline; implied47500perunit notunitprofit. 2GWh*$200/kWh=$400millustration explicitlynotforecast.4 Countercase signedcells,manufacturingcontrol80%andmarginmixcanenablegrowth; cashcapex/customeracceptance/financing stillneedcurrentverification. Inference: supplycommitmentsbeforecustomerconversioncanworsenworkingcapital,so noentryfrom18GWhheadline. CLItrenddiagnosticnotdate-eventedge; exacteventstudyand15minexitvalidationmissing. Source https://neovolta.com/press-releases ; publicpublishedposts via clientJS https://neovolta.com/assets/index-Cjvt5RDe.js ; slugs neovolta-q4-fy26-earnings-call-timing / neovolta-reports-third-quarter-fiscal-2026-financial-results / neovolta-announces-strategic-u-s-battery-cell-supply-and-bess-manufacturing-coll . Recipe saved separately.

Prerecorded fixedrule trade samples; numpyseed91102,50000circular2-tradeblock paths,20trades/path. TrainhalfKelly0.09000387533670048 givesUSD76.59239787277875;quarterprobe19.148099468194687. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . HalfKellymedianpathreturn5.759727139651794%/losspathprob6.832000000000001%/95thDD4.028902490808622%. These are conditionalempiricalsimulations,notcalibratedfutureprobabilities;N15,no unseenfat-tail events. One-sharehypothetical30%gaploss16.322999999999997USD=1.9181188968142981%account;notguaranteedmaxloss. Whole-shareallocation54.41 cannot be roundedup fromquarterprobebudget withoutnewpayoffjustification. Currentcombinedentryfalse. Actualallocation0;normal25.5297USDloss/accountposition212.7475caps are ceilings,not recommendations. Funding349.01shortfall excluded.

Prerecorded fixedrule trade samples; numpyseed91102,50000circular2-tradeblock paths,20trades/path. TrainhalfKelly0.04132733473590497 givesUSD35.16914858690777;quarterprobe8.792287146726942. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . HalfKellymedianpathreturn1.1587751663886148%/losspathprob29.326%/95thDD3.043595464073956%. These are conditionalempiricalsimulations,notcalibratedfutureprobabilities;N14,no unseenfat-tail events. One-sharehypothetical30%gaploss29.226USD=3.4343529301166873%account;notguaranteedmaxloss. Whole-shareallocation97.42 cannot be roundedup fromquarterprobebudget withoutnewpayoffjustification. Currentcombinedentryfalse. Actualallocation0;normal25.5297USDloss/accountposition212.7475caps are ceilings,not recommendations. Funding349.01shortfall excluded.

Prerecorded fixedrule trade samples; numpyseed91102,50000circular2-tradeblock paths,20trades/path. TrainhalfKelly0 givesUSD0;quarterprobe0. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . HalfKellymedianpathreturn0%/losspathprob0%/95thDD0%. These are conditionalempiricalsimulations,notcalibratedfutureprobabilities;N13,no unseenfat-tail events. One-sharehypothetical30%gaploss23.685USD=2.783228945110988%account;notguaranteedmaxloss. Whole-shareallocation78.95 cannot be roundedup fromquarterprobebudget withoutnewpayoffjustification. TraininghalfKelly0,sozero-riskpathistrivialcashnotproofsafeentry. Actualallocation0;normal25.5297USDloss/accountposition212.7475caps are ceilings,not recommendations. Funding349.01shortfall excluded.

Premises:1 USleaders AXTI/SNDK have original issuerreported revenue/margin acceleration, observations23630–31, but extreme measuredvol166.42/136.27% and priorannouncements mean no freshsurprise estimate. SNDK1692.59whole share exceeds187.22fund; fractions entailRTHonlyexit.2 WOLF1556%12-1rank spansSep29 2025Chapter11emergence; old/newshareeconomics not reconciled, reject that rankpendingcorporateactionaudit.3 GlobalASML12-1+120.67%localcurrency accompanies Q2FCF+1317mEUR butH1-1290.9m,AR+4229.6m; bothperiods canbetrue, receiptsmaylag growth, not proofbaddebt.4 HSBC local+61.40%,H1RoTE18.2% butCET114.1vs14.9% andECL47vs42bp; profitability doesn't eliminatecredit/valuationrisk. Conclusion watchoperatingleaders, nofundamentaloverride ofunvalidatedquantentry. Strongestcounterargument persistentdemandcanjustifyrichprices; requires cashconversionandindependentcostedrule, not assumedmeanreversion. Sources: https://investors.axt.com/Investors/news/news-details/2026/AXT-Inc--Announces-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results/default.aspx ; https://investor.sandisk.com/node/8136/pdf ; https://investor.wolfspeed.com/news/news-details/2025/Wolfspeed-Successfully-Completes-Financial-Restructuring-Emerges-as-Financially-Stronger-Company-Well-Positioned-in-Silicon-Carbide-Market/default.aspx ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/937966/000162828026048235/financialstatementsusgaa.htm ; https://www.hsbc.com/-/files/hsbc/investors/hsbc-results/2026/interim/pdfs/hsbc-holdings-plc/260804-hsbc-holdings-plc-interim-results-2026-media-release.pdf . Originals fromJul15/Jul30/Aug4/Aug5 2026; WOLF2025. Issuerbias acknowledged; SECcopy notindependentcorroboration.

Premises1 sample10000pathsperassetperregime,20dayhorizon/contiguous24hblocks,2024-25vs2026reuseddata; historicalempiricaltailsretained butcrossblockdependencebroken. 2 Currentmidstarts76905.291/2452.0315/99.3295,2ATRrisk5.9387/7.1788/10.0173%;fees25bpcreditasset+10bpslipside implynetstoploss6.5954/7.8269/10.6455%,net3Rtarget92769.56/3049.07/131.9734,gross20.628/24.349/32.864%. 3 2026regime means-1.150/-1.276/-1.301%,targetfrequencies4.14/6.46/3.55%;trainingmeans+.731/+.059/+.071. Conclusion widerangegainspossiblebutunconditionedentryhasnonevidencedpositivecurrentexpectancy. Hourlycheckfillsproxywith+2Rbreakeven/2ATRtrail; noentrysignalconditioning,soprobabilitiesarenotsignalforecasts. Worstsamplequantilesarenotbounds. At212.7475notional,training5thpercentileloss16.779/21.543/26.739USD;SOLexceeds25.5297normal3%accountbudget. Strongestcounterexample breakoutconditioningcouldimproveodds; absenttriggercannotborrowit. NoMC-derivedKellyorder. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .

1 TBN Sep8firstgas confirms deliveredproduct but40TJ/day isearly2027fullcontractedforecast. Fullannualized40*365=14600TJ grossproject, notachieved ornetTBN; discountedinterruptiblecommissioningprice, noactualvolume/netback supplied. Mar31historicalcash88.151m plusrestricted13.766m distinct;9mOCF-27.037/investing-112.793=>139.830mcombinedburn,15.5367m/month,financing194.048m. Countercase Aprilraise/firstsales canimprovefunding; oldMarcashnotcurrentrunway. No valuation fromunpricedgas. 2 CNXC Q2endedMay31 revenue2462.5m+1.9%,GAAPoperating95.4m-35.7%,margin3.9%vs6.1%;nonGAAP292m/11.9%,stilldown3.9%. OCF257.9m/adjustedFCF242.3m,adjustedFCF definition removesfactoringchange; cannot callalladjustedcashunrestricteddistributable. Q3guide2465–2490mrevenue/121–131mGAAPopincome/2.65–2.77adjustedEPS. Cash255.566m,currentdebt650m,longtermnet3934.874m implycashpooragainstdebt; capitalreturn storyneedsCFandfinancing,notcheapEPSmultiple. 3 Both issuers benefitfrompromotingcapacity/adjustedmetrics; customers maycapturevalue viagasdiscounts orAIcostsavings. Conclusion watchactualcash atconfirmedTBN Sep25USAM andCNXC Sep29AMC; no liveproposal fromheadlines. Validity: reportedgrowth alone doesnotestablishshareholdercash; soundness limitedoldperiodandmissingnetbacks. Sources https://ir.tamboran.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/49/tamboran-delivers-first-gas-sales-from-the-beetaloo-basin ; https://ir.tamboran.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0001628280-26-034593/0001628280-26-034593.pdf ; https://ir.concentrix.com/news/news-details/2026/Concentrix-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Results/default.aspx .

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LPG&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return48.9822%,N28;test47.4497%,DD23.0965%,win53.33%,N15;stress34.7587%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-1.996,8.429] crosseszero. Frozen current signalfalse;price54.41,threshold55.2. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Returns exactlymatchprior2349;differentmarking yieldsDD23.0965vsprior23.3388,do not overwritepriorDD or claimimprovedrisk. HalfKellyfromtraining0.09000387533670048;no fundingneedinput.

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LEU&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return-22.4505%,N31;test45.8285%,DD48.5873%,win41.18%,N17;stress31.6873%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-5.944,16.558] crosseszero. Frozen current signalfalse;price165.87,threshold194.78. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Negative training or absentcurrententry meansnoorder. HalfKellyfromtraining0.01656102816192606;no fundingneedinput.

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CCJ&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return10.3548%,N31;test12.4681%,DD34.2959%,win50.00%,N14;stress3.4066%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-4.200,7.872] crosseszero. Frozen current signalfalse;price97.42,threshold107.36. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Negative training or absentcurrententry meansnoorder. HalfKellyfromtraining0.04132733473590497;no fundingneedinput.

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=VIST&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return-29.4389%,N37;test22.7833%,DD24.7675%,win53.85%,N13;stress13.5700%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-3.721,8.785] crosseszero. Frozen current signaltrue;price78.95,threshold77.03. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Negative training or absentcurrententry meansnoorder. HalfKellyfromtraining0;no fundingneedinput.

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=QRVO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return-17.4599%,N22;test14.5341%,DD29.1677%,win40.00%,N15;stress4.6761%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-2.784,5.670] crosseszero. Frozen current signaltrue;price112.36,threshold105.24. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Negative training or absentcurrententry meansnoorder. HalfKellyfromtraining0;no fundingneedinput.

Frozen note2125: close>prior20closehigh AND SMA50; nextopen;2prior20ADRstop/3Rtarget/20sessions exit. SIPall 2021-Sep10,2026; train2021-24/holdout2025onward flatstart. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SWKS&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees5bp/slip20bp eachside;stress50bp. Daily OHLC stopfirst/open gaps, explicit longonlyvectorbt event-order replay permits same-day roundtrips;dailyclose mark plusentry/exit marks. Tradecounts and fee-inclusive manualcompounding asserted. Train return-33.0777%,N24;test1.8628%,DD24.2922%,win41.67%,N12;stress-5.2136%. Mean95%bootstrapCI[-4.128,5.858] crosseszero. Frozen current signaltrue;price84.03,threshold76.54. Sensitivity10/40fullyrecorded,notselection. Currentuniverse selection and alreadyseenLPGhistory preventclaimuntouchedout-of-samplealpha. Dailyfixedtargetnot15min/+2Rtrailing validation. Negative training or absentcurrententry meansnoorder. HalfKellyfromtraining0;no fundingneedinput.

1 Descriptive model, not preregistered event forecast:50k paths,130quarterhoursteps over5sessions, seed91102, zero dailylogdrift,sigma60=.02346009/sqrt26. Start39.33,stop37.887045,target43.658865,firstobservedcrossingstop atpathprice,targetlimit,otherwisefinalpathprice;30bp eachside. Netmean-.4890%,target4.352%,stop44.7%,p05-4.791%,p95+9.083%. GBM omits jumps,weekendnews,parameteruncertainty,correlation andrealvenuefills; model cannot override positivebutweak eventhistory. 2 Training two-point halfKelly p5/6,W2.5595%,L2.6799% yields12.292 investedcapitalfraction; not12.292% and notpermitmargin. Assumption sampleloss captures tail is indefensible fromN1. HoldoutN2noloss => lossseverity unknown/Kellyundefined, nottruezero loss. Approved allocation0 pendingprospective evidence/currentdatewindow. Whole-share39.33 is80.04% offund and4.622% ofaccount maximumloss; 25%fractionprobe9.83 wouldlose atmost1.155%ofaccount butrequiresRTH fractionalexits. No convexlongoption selected orpremiumedgeestablished. 3 Stoploss budget must consider shock:45.86%RARE-like drop onone39.33share costs18.04=2.119%account; 100%loss39.33=4.622%. These are severity scenarios,not estimated probabilities. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TBN&feed=sip&adjustment=all ; runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst ; analyses2399/2400.

1 Sep10SIP TBN39.33 aboveSMA20/50 38.107/34.9384,RSI61.18,volume1.227xprior20 supports positive trend. ATR14 1.62561 versusADR20 1.442955 warns gaps matter. Hypothetical1ADRstop37.887045/3ADRtarget43.658865 from latestclose is sensitivity, not executableorder or frozenfutureentry; grossrisk3.669%,grossreward11.006%,netreward/risk2.4363 with30bp/side. Onewhole share39.33 fits49.14cap; complete loss4.622% of850.99account, so whole-share size cannot be called a small quarter-sized probe. No currententry becauseT-5Sep18notnow and edgeuncertain. 2 EPM afterhoursquery end01:45UTC still13post20:01bars,V14509,H3.85/L3.80,last22:41 3.8113; frozenpaper3.73/3.61876/3.89686 untouched,close3.84=.98885R,AH=.73085R. No new print !=currentquote; oldvolume discrepancy remains. 3 CNXC27<SMA20 27.6525;BB7.54<SMA20/50 8.0955/8.968. Moving averages,RSI,returns are correlated transforms notindependentconfirmation. Conclusion preservepaper, noexitsmoved/noorders. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TBN,EPM,CNXC,BB&feed=sip&adjustment=all .

Premises1 matchedNYSE16EDTcloses to19UTChourbarclose(20UTC),June2-Sep10N70pairedlogreturns; noUTCmidnightlookahead. 2 OLSbetas:IBIT/BTC1.01137,R2.999005;ETHA/ETH1.01330,R2.998495;MSTR/BTC1.75227,R2.65150;COIN1.40360,R2.64082;WTIB.92270,R2.35744;SLE-.09936,R2.00055. 3 Circular5sessionblockbootstrap3000replicates betaCIsMSTR[1.4838,2.1557],WTIB[.6035,1.1407],SLE[-.8312,.6872]. Conclusion ETFspotwrapperscloselytrackcoins; corporateproxiesaddmaterialresidualriskandarenotdiversificationbymerecount. WTIB's51%20sessionrise cannotbeattributedsolelytoBTC; oilexposure documentedissuer butoilfactoromittedhere. SLEwholewindowmostlyprecedestreasuredeal,nearzerobeta isnotforwardforecast. Interceptsdescriptive,nottradablealpha; noveltyselectionandN70limitsoundness. Strongestcounterexample regime/capitalstructurechangeinvalidatesbetas. Noorderornewfund. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://www.uscfinvestments.com/wtib .

1 Eight issuer-dated TBN runups, six training/two holdout; baseline1ADR/3ADR trainmean1.6863%, bootstrap95%[-.4535,3.6226] with onlyone loss. Holdout +2.97997/+2.30030%,N2, no losses is not certainty and cannot estimate loss severity. No8event targethits (7time exits,1stop); historicaledge is modest runup, not demonstrated3R tail. 2 Latest60 matched daily log returns TBN vsSPY OLS beta.21021,intercept.123538%/day,corr.06673; descriptive weak linearrelation, nottrue independence or causalalpha. 3 Current candidate selected fortrend/affordability from227 leads; selection/survivorship andretrospectivedatearchive bias. May13 2025PIPE/acreage news insideMay14runup contaminates pureearnings attribution; include notsilentlydrop. Countercase newfirstgas is positive structuralbreak makingold sample less relevant in eitherdirection. Prior lowconfidence edge moves to paperwatch fromnew positivecostedhistory, notlive; additional prospective outcomes and intraday/cash evidence needed. Sources https://ir.tamboran.com/news-events/ir-calendar/past ; https://ir.tamboran.com/news-events/press-releases?page=3 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TBN,SPY&feed=sip&adjustment=all .

1 Census Nasdaq5593+other7583 non-test=13176 listings,7502 nonETF; five weeks Sep14–Oct16 discovery227 dates joined across full universe. Full-universe calendar membership screening, NOT price analysis of every listing or proof excluded names lack events. 2 233 SIP histories including6 added contexts,231 >=51bars; price<=49.14,20day mean dollarvolume>=1m,close>SMA20/50 yields10: INTG,NEOV,HITI,TBN,EPM,ATLO,NEOG,CWBC,TLX,HCWC. All231 metric vectors saved as observations. Top-return INTG9.96%,NEOV9.88%,HITI9.87%,TBN8.14%. 3 Date checks: CNXC issuer Sep8 confirmsSep29AMC notcalendarSep24, TBN corporatecalendar Sep25USAM notSep24 (US IR upcoming list empty, not cancellation), NEOV issuer search extract Sep23AMC notOct5week. INTG date not recovered; ATLO/NEOG/CWBC/HCWC remain estimates, no entry. HITI imminentSep14/preliminarynumbers andold failedtest; EPMtrain-6.55%;TLX earlyFDA risk. 4 CNXC27 belowSMA20 27.6525;BB7.54 below8.0955/8.968;ABVX115.95 abovewhole-sharecap, downtrend. Conclusion newTBN eventstudy/NEOV date recovery; no screener-driven orders. Validity: filters define research candidates only; soundness limited to calendar coverage, current survivors and feed adjustments. Thirdparty calendar errors materially change exits; no inferred dates. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://www.earningstoday.com/earnings-calendar/weekly/2026-09-21 ; https://www.tamboran.com/corporate-calendar/ ; https://ir.concentrix.com/news/news-details/2026/Concentrix-Schedules-Release-of-Third-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results-and-Investor-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://neovolta.com/press-releases ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .

1 Prysmian July30 https://www.prysmian.com/en/media/press-releases/prysmian-raises-guidance-after-its-best-quarter-yet Transmission21.2%marginvs17.1% anddigital23.8vs16.8supportcapture;LTMFCF978mvs979mflat,1650-1750mFYguidefuture. 2 CamecoJuly31 https://www.cameco.com/media/news/cameco-reports-2026-second-quarter-results purchased2.8m/delivered7.1m lb;transportandownmineinterruptions complicateuraniumbeta. 3 MicronFY25 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/723125/000072312525000028/mu-20250828.htm Item1A:overhalfrevenue top10customers,limited/solesources for some materials/equipment,exportrestrictions anddata centerconcentration; currentHBMscarcity can transferpartofrentupstream. 4 HynixJuly29primary https://news.skhynix.com/en/q2-2026-business-results/ reportsQ2revenue79.3187trnKRW/opprofit60.5426trn/cash88trn/netcash69.4trn;preliminary figures,netprofit93.9226trnexceedsrevenue so notannualizedasoperatingearnings. LTAsaround10customers protectvolume butnot infinitepricing. Facts sourcesfinanciallyinterested; no independentrenttimingproof. Conclusion keepPrysmian/Vistacashbridgewatch,nuclearcontracttest,memoryupstreamrisk; frozenforeignequityentryfalse/insufficient. Strongcounterargument: deliveredmarginscancompounddespiteknownheadlines; therefore do not labelrallyfullypricedwithoutvaluation. Uncertainty currentmultiple,normalizedcash,forwardcontracts.

Premises:1 AQR2014 original 12month skip1month rank is evidence for momentum, not this adapter: https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Journal-Articles/JPM-Fact-Fiction-and-Momentum-Investing.pdf .2 Frozen note2124: nine original sector ETFs, prior-month-end close[t-21]/close[t-189]-1, positive top3; next-sessionopen, three fixed independent cash sleeves, no leverage; drop-rank monthly/63session exit;2ATRstop6ATRtarget; +2R dailyhigh makes BE effective followingday; gapopen actualproxy, samebar stopfirst.3 SIP/all https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars requested2009 but received2016onward; warmup means first252ruletrades2017, zero pre2016data. Frozen2019split retained, not moved to improve results. vectorbt longonly cashsharing every daily equity/tradecount reconciled. Fee1bp eachside plus 15bpslip; corporateaction totalreturn not independently rebuilt; no taxes/cashyield/operatorcosts. 190trades, mean 0.625286%, entrymonthcluster3000bootstrapCI[-0.437693,1.761003]%, p=35.2632%, W=8.1038%, L=3.4484%; plug-inhalfKellyrisk=0.038580. Primary252training negative; positive189neighbor cannot replace preregistered rule. Historicalholdout may overlap prior research; dailyBEproxy not15minliveproof. Reject live adoption; positiveholdout retained for prospective research. Artifacts research/test_sector.py, sector_results.json, percelltrades/returns.

Premises:1 AQR2014 original 12month skip1month rank is evidence for momentum, not this adapter: https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Journal-Articles/JPM-Fact-Fiction-and-Momentum-Investing.pdf .2 Frozen note2124: nine original sector ETFs, prior-month-end close[t-21]/close[t-189]-1, positive top3; next-sessionopen, three fixed independent cash sleeves, no leverage; drop-rank monthly/63session exit;2ATRstop6ATRtarget; +2R dailyhigh makes BE effective followingday; gapopen actualproxy, samebar stopfirst.3 SIP/all https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars requested2009 but received2016onward; warmup means first252ruletrades2017, zero pre2016data. Frozen2019split retained, not moved to improve results. vectorbt longonly cashsharing every daily equity/tradecount reconciled. Fee1bp eachside plus 15bpslip; corporateaction totalreturn not independently rebuilt; no taxes/cashyield/operatorcosts. 55trades, mean 0.497706%, entrymonthcluster3000bootstrapCI[-1.106902,2.078437]%, p=36.3636%, W=5.8362%, L=2.5529%; plug-inhalfKellyrisk=0.042640. Primary252training negative; positive189neighbor cannot replace preregistered rule. Historicalholdout may overlap prior research; dailyBEproxy not15minliveproof. Reject live adoption; positiveholdout retained for prospective research. Artifacts research/test_sector.py, sector_results.json, percelltrades/returns.

Premises:1 AQR2014 original 12month skip1month rank is evidence for momentum, not this adapter: https://www.aqr.com/-/media/AQR/Documents/Journal-Articles/JPM-Fact-Fiction-and-Momentum-Investing.pdf .2 Frozen note2124: nine original sector ETFs, prior-month-end close[t-21]/close[t-189]-1, positive top3; next-sessionopen, three fixed independent cash sleeves, no leverage; drop-rank monthly/63session exit;2ATRstop6ATRtarget; +2R dailyhigh makes BE effective followingday; gapopen actualproxy, samebar stopfirst.3 SIP/all https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars requested2009 but received2016onward; warmup means first252ruletrades2017, zero pre2016data. Frozen2019split retained, not moved to improve results. vectorbt longonly cashsharing every daily equity/tradecount reconciled. Fee1bp eachside plus 5bpslip; corporateaction totalreturn not independently rebuilt; no taxes/cashyield/operatorcosts. 188trades, mean 0.890330%, entrymonthcluster3000bootstrapCI[-0.188323,2.061320]%, p=36.1702%, W=8.3338%, L=3.3276%; plug-inhalfKellyrisk=0.053417. Primary252training negative; positive189neighbor cannot replace preregistered rule. Historicalholdout may overlap prior research; dailyBEproxy not15minliveproof. Reject live adoption; positiveholdout retained for prospective research. Artifacts research/test_sector.py, sector_results.json, percelltrades/returns.