Stats

P1 MonteCarlo20000pathsseed91006 samples3monthblocksfrom71holdoutmonthsof8ETFmeanreturns,12opportunitiesperpathwithmonthlycapitalreset. Hypothetical187.22fullyallocated;notactual8whole-sharesleeves. Base12monthP05/P50/P95USD[-15.217884,-1.408535,12.389534],loss56.995%;stress[-19.290286,-5.900868,7.624624],loss76.77%. OnefuturemonthlyhistoricaldrawstressP05/P50/P95[-3.367474,-.606303,3.601650]. P2 Nohistoricalpathcloses349.01gap;notproofimpossible,nottailbound. Twelveopportunitiesspanroughlyoneyear,not12days. P3 Dailyexitfrequencytarget31.161972%,stop56.161972%,partial39.436620%. Additional20000monthresamplesseed910062targetfractionP05/P50/P95[0,.25,.875],stop[0,.625,1],preserves8ETFjointoutcomes. P4 ActualquarterKelly0underfixednegativeexpectancy;sampledpositivewidercellpointKellydoesnotpassconfidence/executiongates. Nominalaccount1%risk8.5099/fundcap187.22/account25%212.7475;noapprovednotional. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://business.purdue.edu/faculty/mcconnell/publications/Equity-Returns-at-the-Turn-of-the-Month.pdf .

P1 Descriptiveholdoutk1regimesusepriorclose>SMA200andpriorRV20>2017–19dailytrainingmedian,neverfuturedata. BaseaboveSMA/highvolN350mean-.100963%;above/lowN50-.359228%;below/highN165+.096293%;below/lowN3+.240629%. Stressrespectively-.300561,-.558310,-.103700,+.040348%. Theonlypositivestressbucketcontains3trades/3months,notvalidfilter. P2 All8Sep9closesaboveSMA200,butSep10notTOMentry;nextSep30open..Oct5closeXNYSverified. P3 PricesSPY762.40/IWM290.64exceed187.22fundcapforoneshare;EEM68.48/EWC60.99affordablealone,notall8equalwhole-sharesleeves. Median20daydollarvolumeall>=27.09m,capacityatsleevesizeplausiblebuthistoricalspreadassumptionsremainunverified. Conclusioncombinecalendar+negativecostededge+executionconstraint=>0allocation,notbuybecauseuptrend. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://business.purdue.edu/faculty/mcconnell/publications/Equity-Returns-at-the-Turn-of-the-Month.pdf .

P1 Fixedk1daily8sleeveholdoutreturn-4.889665%,dailycloseDD9.489252%;stress-17.480264%,DD18.465317%;p47.359155%,W1.309002/L1.300367%,quarterKelly0. P2 15minaudit142EEM/EWCwindowsallregularsamplescomplete;20142returnedbarsincludesoffhoursdiscarded. EWCbasek1daily+7.433615% ->sampled-2.011189%;stresssampled-14.982837%,sampledDD19.506353%;changesincludeopenfeedandpartial/BEtiming,notpuretimingeffect. EEMsampledbase+8.098928% butstress-6.211087%. P3 Widerk1.25sampledEEMstress+11.749499%CI[-.205506,.536073]%mean;EWC+.731303%CI[-.374250,.408320]%;bothinconclusiveposthocdiagnostics. P4 Dailyworstbase-4.449477R;15minEEM1.25stressworst-2.677826R. Nominalstopdoesnotboundlossat1R;fullshare/overnightquotesnotvalidated. Conclusionretaincash,nochangefromfailedfixedrule. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://business.purdue.edu/faculty/mcconnell/publications/Equity-Returns-at-the-Turn-of-the-Month.pdf .

P1 Fixed8ETF2020–25holdout568tradesare71sharedmonths;meantradecorrelationcalendar.7851/swing.6067. P2 Calendarpooledmean+.314209%baseCI[-.175992,.778329]%,stress+.113780%CI[-.369358,.576591]%;matchedsessions10–13advantage+.607433%CI[-.082291,1.273104]%. P3 Swingmean-.064592%baseCI[-.368358,.234912]%;stress-.264263%CI[-.568733,.034432]%. 20000circular3monthblockresamplesseed91006,preserveETFdependence. P4 HAC5lagdailycloseTOMregressions1508sessions:SPYincrement+.004056%t.05297;EEM+.119247%t1.4421;all8CIsinclude0. StrongestcounterexampleEEMunmanagedbase+.638174%meanCI[.058044,1.252755]% butstressCI[-.144644,1.043289]%;unmanagedexitsnotvenueplan. Conclusion chronologicalholdoutdoesnotestablishrobusttradablecalendaralpha;historicaleraalreadyreusedacrossresearch. No refit/promoteprofitablecells. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all ; https://business.purdue.edu/faculty/mcconnell/publications/Equity-Returns-at-the-Turn-of-the-Month.pdf .

Start49.14fundcash/850.99equity,flat;goalrepeatablepre-eventbasehits;bindingconstraintindependentexecutableedge. Numberedpremises:1 DRIcurrentdateSep24BMOverified https://investor.darden.com/news/news-details/2026/Darden-Restaurants-to-Release-Fiscal-2027-First-Quarter-Results-on-September-24-2026/default.aspx . T5windowstartsSep17,nottoday.2 Audit2122new15minexecutiononknown18-eventcohort:train12stress+2.87749%,test6+4.45405%,p.6667,W2.34638%,L2.40436%,meanCI[-1.49818,2.52709]%. Notindependentfreshholdout. 3 Indicators2123regimesignsreverse;stats2134marketbetaunstable;simulation2124empiricalKellypointpositivebutunseenassumedgapworsenslossodds19->26.59%.4 Technical2135netRR.96959beforepartials<1.5and0affordablewholeshares;bartradesnotquotes. Fundamental2137positiveoperatingmargin/cashcountercasecannotcalibratewindow.5 IPHA2072newSep10callnotice08EDTSep17correctedmonitor176,notpaymentreceipt;FDXfiscalrecastrejectsunverifiedSep17datelead.6 Directledger0open/pending/closing,5jobs/20armedmonitors,118raw+61metrics+4code+15outputexactreadback;lessons615–617. ConclusionnoPROPOSE/EXIT/ADJUST/FUND,operationalKelly0. Validitynecessaryindependentedge/feasibilitygatesfail; soundnesslimitedtocoverednames,selectedsmallcohort,11missingtrainingnotices,unverifiedquotes/firstnews,notproofallcatalystslose. StrongcountercasepositivecostedDRItraining/testmeritprospectivewatch,so179armsSep17paperentryandretainsold1376timecontrol;onepaperwincannotrefittheseoutcomes. Primarycorrections2072andpaper179areconcreteprogresswithoutinventingtrade. Who benefitsfromunnecessaryturnover:spreadrecipients;costscompoundagainstsmallbook. Firstunvalidatedentry->gap/costloss->lesscapital->fewerfeasiblefuturepositions. Factsstopatdatedsources/measuredhistory;futureedgeunknown. Monthly349.01shortfallnotmodelinput. Finish~06:20UTC,19minelapsedwithin43planned/45hard;reservedfinishbegan~06:16. No researchthreadoverranitsallowance;freshcalendarleadgapsnamed1834,trainingnoticesgap20546. Next08runreadactual12607output,172notduetill08:15;handoff1866,nootherfundactions.

Premise1: public cash-capture evidence is favorable forVLO, https://investorvalero.com/news/news-details/2026/Valero-Energy-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Results/default.aspx , but input-price/logistics risk remains; economic viability is not a stockentryedge. Premise2: REF91006 frozen2022-24train-9.6135%,2025-Sep9holdout+11.6746%,stress-.5566%,N87meanCI[-.8738,1.9169]%; executiondiagnostic2139/2140 loses.8931%/2.3194%, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all . Premise3: current3signalsfalse,0whole-sharefits; ownledgerN2operatorwins has noobservedaverageloss. Conclusion approvedsize0,278.67supplycash; noholdings toexit/adjust, noorders orFUNDedge. Logicalvalidity: stipulatedrobustedge/currentsetupgatesfail. Soundnesslimited: notproofstocksfall, samehistoricalholdoutisnotnewindependentsample. Countercase durablecrackrent couldpersist; await paidincrementalnetbackandindependentexecutionedge withoutretuningfailedtests. SSL2150 saleagreementretains23%,cashpriceundisclosed; figure quantified_sale_price=0 denotesZERO quantifiedprices, NOTzero-dollarconsideration; regulatoryconditionsunmet/notverified. Fullnewssource21391. Monitor178acceptedreplaces175sameSep30review,fullcriteria1839;5collectorjobsretained,173actual06:16footercomplete,next07:15. Next08research per1867. Allkindsrecorded,lessons618-620saved; 432sweepcells archived, no promisingcell selected. Elapsed~19minof43plan, protectedfinishused, no thread overrun; gaps named in1867.

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage15bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-11.036248442056706,"symbol":"EWC","k":1.25,"cost":16,"return_pct":0.731303207559808,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-10.0586758557471,"sample":71,"win_rate":53.52112676056338,"avg_win_pct":1.3333842639233562,"avg_loss_pct":1.48333946001032,"mean_pct":0.024202814771084175,"ci_pct":[-0.3742495685473876,0.40832029280842774],"quarter_kelly":0.0045378544328754655,"exit_counts":{"time":27,"stop":26,"target":18},"partial_count":31,"worst_R":-1.712460024833221} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Premise1: Sep9issuer https://www.sasol.com/media-centre/media-releases/sasol-and-enaex-africa-sign-agreement-sale-sasols-nitrates-business sells nitrates business including ammonia-conversion plants toEnaexAfrica, retaining23%JVinterest. Premise2: regulatoryconditions remain; no cashprice,closingdate or incrementalcapacity quantified. Premise3: buyer claims supplysecurity, but corporateownership doesnotitself add feedstocktonnes. Conclusion prospectiveverticalintegrationwatch only; noNatrefrestart or cashreceipt inferred. Firstorder potential explosives/fertilizerfeedstockintegration; secondorder supplycontract/transferpricingchanges; thirdorder marginallocation shifts afterimplementation, all conditional not measured. Bounded read closes changedhashcoverage; next08research seek purchaseconsideration, conditions and supplierofftake terms. Do not reopen frozenSSL stocktest from unrelatedassetnews. Currentbindinggap paidcashandretainedliabilities, not announcement. Existinghourlyjob173watches source; no datedclosingmonitor fabricated.

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage5bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-10.538762066419006,"symbol":"EWC","k":1.25,"cost":6,"return_pct":16.100565713895598,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-7.732811097044944,"sample":71,"win_rate":59.154929577464785,"avg_win_pct":1.3981812535322533,"avg_loss_pct":1.4754326783287066,"mean_pct":0.22445161939186103,"ci_pct":[-0.1625949845379823,0.608761952203776],"quarter_kelly":0.04013278300378163,"exit_counts":{"time":27,"stop":26,"target":18},"partial_count":31,"worst_R":-1.5828537945454906} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage15bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-19.50635297128358,"symbol":"EWC","k":1,"cost":16,"return_pct":-14.982837497701363,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-18.30386074572081,"sample":71,"win_rate":45.07042253521127,"avg_win_pct":1.142786732605646,"avg_loss_pct":1.3335592961799254,"mean_pct":-0.21745967757234377,"ci_pct":[-0.5674262185206318,0.13189854356204259],"quarter_kelly":0,"exit_counts":{"stop":36,"target":19,"time":16},"partial_count":31,"worst_R":-2.059675260339765} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage5bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-12.838498573602964,"symbol":"EWC","k":1,"cost":6,"return_pct":-2.011188701008637,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-11.137984920955745,"sample":71,"win_rate":52.112676056338024,"avg_win_pct":1.1784054189179443,"avg_loss_pct":1.3193330273426738,"mean_pct":-0.017694682108267062,"ci_pct":[-0.3722854696034422,0.33293964657059455],"quarter_kelly":0,"exit_counts":{"stop":36,"target":19,"time":16},"partial_count":31,"worst_R":-1.9785672431818633} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage15bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-10.213589319806216,"symbol":"EEM","k":1.25,"cost":16,"return_pct":11.74949930539344,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-9.147909398224641,"sample":71,"win_rate":57.74647887323944,"avg_win_pct":1.4258128667251548,"avg_loss_pct":1.5461538546286198,"mean_pct":0.17005228023764454,"ci_pct":[-0.20550552816317652,0.5360726020018001],"quarter_kelly":0.02981672493744307,"exit_counts":{"target":32,"stop":26,"time":13},"partial_count":29,"worst_R":-2.677825863447661} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage5bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-8.947737914635523,"symbol":"EEM","k":1.25,"cost":6,"return_pct":28.79988319884099,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-7.835224554644926,"sample":71,"win_rate":60.56338028169014,"avg_win_pct":1.5602493334124181,"avg_loss_pct":1.456379033598941,"mean_pct":0.3705930759994878,"ci_pct":[-0.007997453801372813,0.7341548971608365],"quarter_kelly":0.05938042530499986,"exit_counts":{"target":32,"stop":26,"time":13},"partial_count":29,"worst_R":-2.4920262510590905} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage15bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-14.008702759982338,"symbol":"EEM","k":1,"cost":16,"return_pct":-6.211086763109497,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-12.747454825237469,"sample":71,"win_rate":46.478873239436616,"avg_win_pct":1.3111627819843032,"avg_loss_pct":1.286022695570507,"mean_pct":-0.0788801496647505,"ci_pct":[-0.40082561254085897,0.2513554320696863],"quarter_kelly":0,"exit_counts":{"stop":36,"target":27,"time":8},"partial_count":25,"worst_R":-1.8870486703626628} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Posthocexecutionaudit,notselectionholdout:71calendarwindows2020–25,noera-crossingDec2025. Lastsessionmonth09:30baropenentry,regularcompleted15minbarclosechecksplusnextsessionopen;prior20ADRstopk,target1.5R,+1Rhalfsale/BEimmediatelyaftercheck,timeexitfourthsessionclose. Fractions;slippage5bp+fee1bp/side. All142EEM/EWCwindowscompletecalendarexpectedregularbars;20142returnedincludeoffhoursdiscarded. Maxdaily-vs15minopen.194477%;differencesreflectbothfeedopensandexitrules. Overnightchecks/unobservedquotes/fullsharesunvalidated. 3monthcircularbootstrap20000draws seed910061. {"sampled_path_dd_pct":-9.303420718303435,"symbol":"EEM","k":1,"cost":6,"return_pct":8.098927917744337,"trade_boundary_dd_pct":-8.914778968960102,"sample":71,"win_rate":52.112676056338024,"avg_win_pct":1.3686176135487023,"avg_loss_pct":1.236362636582579,"mean_pct":0.12116228249991953,"ci_pct":[-0.20988022232689768,0.45100921849012926],"quarter_kelly":0.0221322379056917,"exit_counts":{"stop":36,"target":27,"time":8},"partial_count":25,"worst_R":-1.5687847160320236} PositivepointKellyisnotapprovedallocation;allmeanCIsincludezero. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all&timeframe=15Min .

Ran required CLI: node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols DRI --strategy momentum --lookback 5 --days 1460 --stop-pct 3 --target-pct 5. 1002dailybars,127closedtrades,return-11.19728%,DD22.42914%,win35.43307%,avgtrade-.059541%,buyhold56.50744%. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Generic CLI has no dated-eventfilter,nochronologicalholdout,nocostparametersincommand; priorengineinspection1377sameclose/dailyassumptions. Thereforediagnosticnottrustedliveedge. Relevantcostedvectorbt15minrule2122separatelyrecords18events/train12/test6andpost-selectionlimitations. FullCLIoutputarchivedDARDEN06output. No retuning CLIbecausegenericresultnegativeorbuyholdhigher; mandaterequiresactualpre-eventwindow. Allocation0.

Premise1: 1427dailybars each across8symbols passed positivevolume/OHLC/uniquecommondates;11416rows. Three15minpanels VLO14808/MPC13684/PSX13580 cover422RTHdates each, no duplicates. Premise2: daily vs firstRTHbar open differs>10bp on8/3/5dates; max1.06335/.48573/1.09026%; lastRTHclose differs>10bp5/5/3dates,max.36980/.65271/1.04150%. On87entrydates largestdifference48.57268bp, MPCMay26 2026; PSXJun6 2025 -11.00009bp andJul25+44.62810bp. Premise3: opening auction/trade-condition aggregation can differ; no definitive data corruption or executablequote equivalence inferred. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Conclusion use actualintradayentrybars forintradaytest and retain source-resolution risk. ClosedtradeDD20949 understatesMTM;21239 supplies fullbarMTM. 88.5hmaximum bar gapincludesholiday/weekend, not provenmissingdata. Sameclosetrigger+fill optimisticexecutionproxy, unobservedspread/overnightquotes remaingaps.

Premise1: same87frozen dailyentrydates, actual09:30SIP15minopen; stopentry-1prior20ADR,targetentry+1.5ADR; fifthsubsequentopen timeexit. Check each available15minbarclose including extended; hypotheticalfill sameclose with5bpfee/10bpslip; at+1R sellhalf andmove remainingstoptoentry. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=VLO,MPC,PSX&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Premise2: separate fully funded3sleeves; mark.py cash+position MTM, unionclockffill, no leverage; independently matches trade compoundedreturn within1e-8. Premise3: after seeingtimeexitoutcomes, these are execution sensitivity diagnostics on SAMEholdout, not independent strategy validation. Mean -0.030925823102731863%/CI -0.9758598251435533,0.9150011803425648%; targets/stops/time {"stop":53,"target":28,"time":6}. Conclusion reject; sameclose fills are not executablequotes, sparseovernightdata unvalidated, normalizedpartialqty notwhole-sharefit, slippage assumptionnotmeasured. Max elapsedbar gap88.5hincludesholiday/weekend, not provedmissingmarketdata. Dailytouchtestmean.1164% differs; exits cannot inheritdailytime-ruleedge.

Premise1: same87frozen dailyentrydates, actual09:30SIP15minopen; stopentry-1prior20ADR,targetentry+1.5ADR; fifthsubsequentopen timeexit. Check each available15minbarclose including extended; hypotheticalfill sameclose with5bpfee/10bpslip; no partial exit. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=VLO,MPC,PSX&timeframe=15Min&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Premise2: separate fully funded3sleeves; mark.py cash+position MTM, unionclockffill, no leverage; independently matches trade compoundedreturn within1e-8. Premise3: after seeingtimeexitoutcomes, these are execution sensitivity diagnostics on SAMEholdout, not independent strategy validation. Mean 0.031118497493355032%/CI -1.0488466655244033,1.1305671955090668%; targets/stops/time {"stop":40,"target":33,"time":14}. Conclusion reject; sameclose fills are not executablequotes, sparseovernightdata unvalidated, normalizedpartialqty notwhole-sharefit, slippage assumptionnotmeasured. Max elapsedbar gap88.5hincludesholiday/weekend, not provedmissingmarketdata. Dailytouchtestmean.1164% differs; exits cannot inheritdailytime-ruleedge.

Premises1 June25issuer https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/940944/000094094426000016/exhibit991-q4fy26.htm separatesextra-weekheadlinegrowthfrom13weekcomps,segmentmarginandcashinvestment.2 New2122executionauditpositivepointreturnbutuncertaintyandnetRRgatefail;https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Positivechain:firsttraffic/mixandnewrestaurantsraisegrossdemand;secondfood/labor,promotionand875mplannedcapexdetermineincrementalcash;thirdcashremainingafterdividends/buybacksdeterminesfundingflexibilityandpersharevalue. Adversechain:firstweaktrafficraisesdiscounting;secondfood/laborcostsabsorbpricing;thirdlessfreecashforceslowerdistributions,borrowingorlowerexpansion. Beneficiariesguests/workers/suppliersmaycapturedemandgrowthbeforeequityholders. Separatetradingchain:firstpre-eventbuyincurscostandgapexposure;second15minchecksandpartialstakealterpayoff;thirdnetlossreduces49.14bookandfuturefeasiblepositions. StrongcountercaseDRI'spositivecostedtraining/testcouldreflectanticipation;neitheroperatingmechanismnoreventbootstrapprovesit. Conclusionretainprospectivepaperandcash,noseparateFUND. Factsendatreporteddata/measuredhistoricaloutcomes;futurechainsconditional.

Premises1 June25issuerMay31FY2026source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/940944/000094094426000016/exhibit991-q4fy26.htm reports53weekFY;Q4salesgrowth13.7%includesextraweek7.6%;same-restaurant4.6%is13weekmetric.2 PythonQ4segmentprofit/salesOG24.25228%vs23.77987%,LongHorn21.17068%vs20.12473%;segmentprofitexcludescorporate/noncashitems,notnetmargin.3 OCF1853.1m-property734m-software22.9m=1096.2m;dividends693m+repurchases671.7m=1364.7m exceedsby268.5m,notproofofdistress.4 AtSep9close209.42 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=DRI&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all ,unchangedJuneFY27EPSguide11.10–11.35implies18.45–18.87x;quarterly1.62annualized6.48/3.0943%yieldisrunrate,notfourguaranteedpayments. Conclusionoperatingimprovementandreasonablemultiplearebullcountercase,notprovenearningsrunuppayoff. Validityvaluecontextcannotcalibratefive-sessionreturns. Soundnessissuerreporting/forwardguide,53weekcomparability,cashdeploymentchoicesandfutureinflation;noSeptquartercashknown. Start49.14cash;bindingconstraintvalidatedfeasiblenetedge. Noorder.

Premises: 1. Final readback confirms all36 observation groups containing216 cells are complete, each1015–1408characters with its footer. 2. Old quote/funding collectors170/171 did save numeric remote payloads, but quote coverage included roughly30minute gaps; cutoff-only output is not a new observation. 3. Replacement174/175 were accepted, locally tested at1460/1283characters, but at06:15:42UTC their lastRunAt/output/exit remained null. Conclusion: keep new remote execution explicitly unverified; monitor177 at08UTC checks actual receipt and primary-source changes. Daily14census/25integrity and dated122PPI/104Arc/152GME preserved. Zero open/pending crypto lots; cash decision2127 unchanged. No more sampling of this reused holdout should be called independent validation. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; list_jobs fund=crypto .

Premises1 Sep9completedSIPadjustedclose209.42,SMA20/50=219.0445/209.453,20session-4.330745%,ADR20=5.462655,ATR14=5.177257,RV20annual31.284299%,20daymedianturnover202.326901m. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=DRI&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all .2 Onefullshareexceeds49.14fundcap;fractionalscannotexitoutsideRTH. Currenttrendweak,butnotadoptedentryfilter. FixedentrySep17notnow.3 Illustrativeold-close1ADRstop203.957345/1.5ADRtarget217.613983notorders. With10bpfees+25bpslipperfill,fulltargetnet3.18785%vsstop-3.28783%,RR.969592<1.5. Halfat+1ADR/remainder+1.5ADRnetideal2.54028%,RR.772633;periodicovershootscanworsenloss. Do notincreaseatargetafterlookingattesttomakeRRpass.4 Sep2025paperreached+1R,soldhalf208.04from204.98,thenobserved203.32afterstopmovedentry;stressedwholeevent-.358442%. Mar2025firstdaystopobserved174.92from181.79,net-4.450281%=-1.72278ADRrisk. 'Breakeven'priceisnotguaranteedbreakevencash. Conclusionnoactuallevels/quantityproposed;0allocation. Strongcountercasefixedrangegeometrycanworkincostlesscontinuousmarket,whichisnotthisvenue. Limitationsdailyadjustments,gridopenproxy,quotesandauctionhistoryunknown;dataaggregationpassedbutdoesnotproveexecutability.

Premises1 DARDEN06stressedgreenexecution6eventmean.76280%,CI[-1.49818,2.52709]%;4/6winsWilson[.29999,.90323]. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=DRI,SPY&feed=sip&adjustment=all .2 OLSnetDRIreturnongrosssamewindowSPY:train12alpha.251474%,beta.190686,corr.202725;test6alpha-.278871%,beta-1.678656,corr-.902852. Testmeanexcess+1.38334%doesnotestablishstablealpha; signreversal,smallNandpost-selectionknownholdoutremain. BenchmarkholdsfullT5->T1closewhileDRIexitsintraday,soexposuredurationsdiffer;notcausalfactorattribution.3 Ownquery_tradesfundcatalyst ledgerthreeclosed0wins,meanloss16.380601%,realized-31.937258USD;twooperatorliquidationscensorintendedhorizons. RAREloss45.860062%=6.440348listed-stopR. Noobservedaveragewinner,actualentryquoteshistoryabsent,soexecution'sspread/slippagecannotbeseparatedfromgapsandmonitorlatency. ConclusionoperationalKelly0. Validitypositiveexpectedreturnnotidentifiedbythreeheterogeneouslossesorsixselectedpaperreturns. Soundnesslimits sampling/censoring andregimes;0/3isnotfuturep=0. Countercasefirstrunlossesdonotdisprovenewstrategy; genuinelynewprospectivedatawouldchangeconfidence. Neverpooloperatorliquidationswithplannedstop/targetoutcomesasiftheywereidenticaltrials.

Required backtest CLI sanity: node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols VLO,MPC,PSX --strategy mean-reversion --lookback20 --entry2 --exit0 --days1460 . Distinct rule from preregistered relativepullback, no independent holdout and no explicitfees/slippage flags, not trusted as edge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Preserve output rather than combine its return/sample with vectorbt. No action authorized.