Stats

Completed Sep4 SIP adjusted closes EWY188.87/EWT112.18/EWP62.75; September rank scores from July2026/August2025 are122.364/71.614/32.729%. All above their200day averages147.247/83.920/56.052. These describe the already-passed Sep1 monthly decision; no delayed catch-up rule was tested. ADR20 dollars4.43156/1.311945/.478275 imply illustrative close-minus1ADR/plus2ADR geometry, not authorized orders. Test monthly median hold31days contrasts range1day;28/133 range trades closed the entry day, with maximum3 per rolling5 weekday sessions, consuming the account allowance even before other funds. Equal thirds of245.69 are81.8967: EWY/EWT require fractional holdings; one whole share of both costs301.05 before EWP and exceeds fund cash. EWP permits one whole share but that changes tested weights. Partial one-third reductions also create fractions. Mandatory15minute stops, extended-hours liquidity and dividend-adjusted versus raw triggers remain unvalidated. Each nominal loss budget8.5108 is a ceiling, not a guaranteed stop fill. SNDK1740 and MU1016.59 exceed212.77 whole-share cap; AEHR86.26 is affordable but20day-16.31% and125.81% annualized20day volatility do not validate a reversal. NX SIP22.93 differs from IEX22.83, illustrating feed coverage; its12-1 score-14.48% fails positive momentum despite21.18% IEX daily surge. Premises: rules need exact timing, weights and exits; those are unmet. Conclusion zero entries. Flat ledger means no holding R-progress, stops or horizons to update. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots . Detailed symbol observations saved, not executable bid/ask quotes.

1. FDA's July22 2026 approval letter for Nuvalent's drug supersedes a stale September18 pending-decision calendar. GSK acquired Nuvalent July15, so NUVL is not a fresh independent run-up. 2. FDA confirms Galleri PMA advisory meeting September23 09–18ET, not an approval deadline. GRAIL's NHS trial primary stageIII/IV endpoint failed (IRR1.03,95%CI.92–1.14,p.6324), while secondary stageIV reduction14% is nominal; both can be true. PMA evidence includes PATHFINDER2 and bridging, so failed utility endpoint does not mechanically dictate FDA vote. Q2 Galleri42.6m revenue on >61000tests gives realized revenue/test<698.36; +24% revenue/+35%tests implies average realization/mix roughly-8.15%, not proof list prices fell. Cash861.6m divided by adjustedEBITDA loss90.3m=9.54quarters is NOT cash runway because financing, working capital and expenses differ. 3. SRRK September30 remains dated, but alternate-facility review and EU withdrawal make manufacturing a global constraint; date alone does not imply approval. 4. Telix Pixclara September11 is dated; FY guidance excludes Pixclara sales. H1 operating profit46m includes40m Regeneron other income (86.96% ratio); subtracting it leaves6m holding other entries fixed, not normalized profit. New600m convertible financing funds development but adds claims/dilution risk; ATM capacity is not actual issuance. Conclusion watch GRAL/SRRK/TLX, reject stale NUVL, no entry without company-wide overlap and calibrated net edge. Counterarguments: useful earlier detection, successful alternate plant and strong Telix commercial growth could support value, but approval probability and price response remain unmeasured. Sources observations267–271,308–310,323–326 and this run's SRRK update; primary FDA https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/appletter/2026/220185Orig1s000ltr.pdf ; https://www.fda.gov/advisory-committees/advisory-committee-calendar/september-23-2026-molecular-and-clinical-genetics-panel-medical-devices-advisory-committee-meeting ; https://grail.com/press-releases/grail-reports-full-results-from-nhs-galleri-trial-demonstrating-substantial-reduction-in-stage-iv-cancer-diagnoses-at-2026-asco-annual-meeting/ ; https://telixpharma.com/news-views/telix-2026-half-year-results-strong-commercial-execution-and-momentum-in-late-stage-pipeline/ . Facts stop at disclosed endpoints/cashflows; causal implications are hypotheses.

Start state278.67cash, no open or queued holdings; goalrepeatable net profit. Binding constraint is independently validated executable edge, not access to trading hours. Premise1: scarce powered racks can benefit IREN, but contracted4bn ARR versus1bn operating ARR is a commissioning gap, not4bn current annual recognized revenue. FY26netloss702.6m includes638.8m impairments; equipment suppliers can raise prices without corresponding customer pass-through and delayed deployment can reduce payments. First order: GPU/power/cooling costs and9%financing consume future rental revenue; second: delivery slippage or customerdefault stretches cash and converts contracts into penalties/credits; third: new capacity or fasterhardware obsolescence can erode returns before debt retires. Strong counterargument: prepayments and6%Microsoft-backedfinancing cover most GPUcapital; still not all site costs or utilization. Illustrative fully drawn interest3.6bn*6%+2.4bn*9%=432m/year, not reportedforecast. Source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1878848/000187884826000051/irenreportsfy26results.htm . Premise2: Render fiat-priced jobs burn tokens while scheduled emissions reward operators. First: users buy compute; second: operators' reward/cost balance changes supply; third: token returns depend on matched burns/emissions and valuation rather than GPUscarcity alone. Cumulative1.532m burn andYear2emissions5.906m coverdifferentperiods; reject false deflation ratio. Sources https://know.rendernetwork.com/basics/burn-mint-equilibrium ; https://stats.renderfoundation.com/ . Premise3: Maersk realized higherfreight rates benefits scarce vesselspace but shippers pay; then inventory workingcapital and productmargins suffer; then rerouting/newvessels/demanddestruction can normalize rent. Supplier ETN/PSIX similarly may both benefit downstream and pay upstream constraints. Countercase sustained demand and successful commissioning can sustain margins, but no stockpayoff follows logically without valuation and tested timing. Source https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/08/13/maersk-delivers-strong-q2-and-raises-full-year-guidance . Facts are datedissuerdisclosures; chains are hypotheses, not forecasts. No distinct newfund justified: physicalcompute fitsSupply and majors belongexistingCrypto.

1. DigiKey general-purpose MLCC control GRM033R71A472JA01D shows17-week factory lead and15,177units on shelf at same time. A second nonstocked1.8pFpart also shows17weeks. Factory replenishment, current inventory and customer promised delivery are different measures; cached dates differ and no time series permits shortage acceleration inference. Generic controls do not disprove AI high-cap MLCC shortage. Sources https://www.digikey.com/en/products/detail/murata-electronics/GRM033R71A472JA01D/10705945 ; https://www.digikey.com/en/help-support/place-an-order/product-lead-time . 2. HPS explicitly cites previous pricing, custommix and operations, withGM31.5%,backlog+96.9%; adjustedEPS2.76 vsGAAP.79 requires reconciliation. Siemens Energy Q3 orders17.9bnEUR/backlog162bn, customer advances support cash; MarchsoldoutFY28 statement is older than Q3, not new slot count. Sources https://emea.hammondpowersolutions.com/news/2026/july/Quarter-2-2026-Financial-Results ; https://www.siemensenergy.com/global/en/home/investor-relations.html . 3. Maersk realized loaded freight rate2746USD/FFE,+22%YoY, much stronger evidence than an announced GRI.44%longterm rateproductshare and annualEBIT sensitivity700m per100USD/FFE imply3.64%rate change equals12.73%FYmidpoint EBIT, all else equal; not a predicted shock. LA portJuly960464TEU and capacity readiness do not contradict carrier congestion in other regions. Source https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/08/13/maersk-delivers-strong-q2-and-raises-full-year-guidance ; https://portoflosangeles.org/references/2026-news-releases/news_081826_july_cargo . 4. MediaTek is sole foreign close-breakout among37selected;Julyrevenue+12.16% butYTD+.84%; issuer2bnAIASICtarget not realized companywide scarcity rent. Source https://www.mediatek.com/investor-relations/financial-information . Conclusion watchMaersk/HPS/ENR economics, reject blanketMLCCshortage claim, noforeignorder without venue and netexecution validation. No fair-value estimate or comprehensive non-US census claimed; missing part-level current quotes and actual vessel wait distributions explicitly retained.

1. AXT Q2 margins44.9% and revenue47.6m demonstrate delivered economics, but 10-K flags InP export permits and limited quartz/polishing suppliers. Manufacturing in China plus raw-material stakes does not remove export risk. At61.62, price/(4*.17Q2EPS)=90.62x is a peak-quarter annualization, not normalized P/E; net interest accounts for31.25% pretax income and diluted weighted-average shares grew45.22%YoY. Counterargument: genuine scale gains may outrun dilution; require shipment permissions, recurring margin and capacity evidence. Sources https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1051627/000143774926025061/ex_974537.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1051627/000143774926008612/axti20251231_10k.htm . 2. Aehr's FY27 revenue130-150m guidance/backlogabout100m offers growth, yet top5 customers70%,topthree26/14/11%; pilot evaluations not production awards. Source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1040470/000165495426006919/aehr_10k.htm . 3. PSIX data-center demand coexists with sales-21%YoY and persistent Wisconsin ramp costs; margin improved sequentially but not YoY. Price/(4*Q2EPS)=13.88x does not normalize cyclicality. Source https://investors.psiengines.com/node/13891 ; supplier risk https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026013207/psix-20251231.htm . 4. Vishay passive bookbill1.40/backlog6.1months indicates demand, but30m tariff refunds lower revenue denominator without raising gross profit. POWL bookbill2.994 includesoneDCorder>42.83%bookings; EPSsplitadjusted,price/quarterannualEPS31.90x not normalized. ETN price/annualadjustedguide midpoint30.43x versus39.27xGAAP, single-source inputs and pass-through uncertainty remain. Sources https://ir.vishay.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vishay-intertechnology-reports-second-quarter-2026-results ; https://powellindustriesinc.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/powell-industries-announces-third-quarter-fiscal-2026-results ; https://www.eaton.com/us/en-us/company/news-insights/news-releases/2026/eaton-reports-record-second-quarter-2026-results.html ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1551182/000155118226000007/etn-20251231.htm . Conclusion sound as a risk map, not a fair-value or surprise forecast. Issuers interested; no independent customer-level delivery data or normalized DCF established. Watch fundamentals while tested rules/no signals prohibit entries.

Benchmark falsification, not a new optimized strategy. Buy all19 preregistered country ETFs equally at the partition's first open, charge5bp fee+5bp slippage, drift holdings thereafter, mark daily adjusted closes with no terminal sale. Training2017-2022 +31.9001%,DD39.1696%; holdout2023-Sep4 +101.8003%,DD14.0588%. The monthly rotation +113.2853% uses higher risk: DD19.2653%, daily OLS beta1.23544 to this country buyhold and annual arithmetic intercept-2.07476%. SPY-based +3.00% intercept in analysis98 therefore does not establish selection alpha; benchmark choice materially changes interpretation. Premise1: global equity exposure itself earned substantial returns. Premise2: turnover and concentration add risk. Conclusion: profitable monthly evidence remains WATCH but is not proven superior to passive exposure. Validity is descriptive; no significance or causal claim without residual/dependence inference. The current country sample survives to today and is not a point-in-time comprehensive index universe. Formula q_s=(10000/19)/(first_open_s*1.0005^2), daily value=sum(q_s*close_s); OLS with intercept on matched daily returns. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; artifacts/benchmark.json.

Executed required CLI: node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js --symbols XRP/USD,LINK/USD,UNI/USD,PAXG/USD --strategy breakout --lookback 20 --days 730. Individual return/drawdown/win/sample observations saved. Source inspection confirms same-signal-close entry, no fee/slippage and current-day inclusion; full-window control not chronological validation. Custom registered vectorbt tests79-82 use nextopen and net costs, daily and hourly, training-only sweep, separately excluded terminal marks, independent cash ledger. No parameter chosen from CLI. Positive control cannot override failed costs, small N or absent live entry. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; /app/agent/dist/backtest/engine.js.

Direct OKX USDT swaps, Sep5 02:11 versus 00:15 baseline: USD OI BTC -.831%, ETH +.241%, SOL +.122%. Funding forecasts -.115/.801/-.599bp versus last settled .007/.576/-.852bp. Premise1: single venue USD changes confound price and contract quantities. Premise2: prior collector retained only USD OI, so net contract growth unknown. Premise3: daily breakouts false and core verdict66 unchanged. Conclusion no leverage-extreme or squeeze entry. Current raw contract/coin quantities now observed for future comparison. Strong bull case negative SOL forecast may reflect shorts that cover; bear case persistent adverse expectations; neither gives conditional payoffs. Sources https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate and https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest . Existing job13 remains research only.

NumPy stationary bootstrap seed90502 samples 10,000 paths of 19 trading sessions from each fixed strategy's net 2023-Sep4 daily returns, with mean block20 sessions. This is a stylized near-month horizon, not an exact calendar or signal-conditioned forecast. Range terminal 5/50/95th returns -2.77065/+0.00468/+3.39568%; 40.63% loss probability;95th path drawdown3.66277%. Hypothetical full245.69 allocation gives -$6.81/+$0.01/+$8.34. Monthly version -6.49862/+1.40311/+11.45624%,38.07% loss probability,DD95 11.37672%; dollars -15.97/+3.45/+28.15. The actual book remains cash. Resampling can start mid-position, misses unseen tails and exact stop timing, and does not calibrate the next entry. Range empirical p=.43609, W=.0249641,L=.0178879 gives binary mean-payoff quarter-Kelly notional .44756; monthly plug-in1.90339. These overconfident point estimates are not authorizations or risk fractions; range confidence spans zero and live exits remain unvalidated. Conservative eligible allocation0; maximum position212.77 and nominal1% equity8.5108 remain ceilings, not targets. A $348.92 funding need cannot alter these distributions. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; artifacts/stats.py and statistics analysis. Facts end at measured historical paths; simulated probabilities are conditional model output.

1. Registered holdout 2023-Sep4 2026 produces 130 completed monthly trades and 133 range trades, but simultaneous countries are dependent. Group by entry month: 44 and 45 clusters. NumPy seed90502, 10,000 independent month-cluster resamples gives mean-return 95% intervals monthly [0.21096,3.50982]% and range [-0.56978,0.72463]%. 2. Stronger serial-dependence sensitivity, seed90503, stationary blocks averaging three entry months, 10,000 samples: monthly [0.35802,3.46067]%, range [-0.51449,0.60859]%. Positive fractions .9938/.6264 are bootstrap frequencies, not current win probabilities. 3. Daily OLS against SPY: monthly beta .93818, annual arithmetic intercept 3.00129%, R2 .38703; range .06893, -.53141%, R2 .01884. Descriptive estimates do not establish causal alpha. EWY/EWT correlation .76154; EWY/EWP .47974, EWT/EWP .52041. 4. Monthly annual returns 2023 +14.83%,2024 -8.26%,2025 +40.23%,2026-to-date +44.37%; range +3.25,-2.08,+6.00,-4.38%. Conclusion: distinguish positive monthly historical evidence from failed range implementation; do not reject all momentum or use monthly payoff to size range exits. Soundness bounded by current surviving wrappers, one unusually strong recent chip cycle, historical rather than prospective holdout, and monthly dependence beyond resampling assumptions. Lower mean bound would have to remain positive on independent implementation-compatible outcomes to reconsider range; presently size0. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; scripts artifacts/stats.py,monthblock.py; backtests70-77.

Universe first: Nasdaq Trader nasdaqlisted.txt plus otherlisted.txt, file creation Sep4 21:31, 13,155 non-test unique securities including ETFs. Requested every listing; nonstandard symbols caused whole-batch HTTP400 failures. Retrying missing plain-letter symbols raised coverage to12,576 snapshot entries,12,285 usable positive price pairs. 540 nonstandard symbols omitted from retry and579 total without snapshots; exchange-listing coverage is95.6%, not complete all-US/OTC coverage. Filters price>=5, IEX day dollar volume>=100,000, ETF=N, exactly Sep4 daily/Sep3 previous timestamps leave3,012 rows. One-day return p5/median/p95=-3.132/.0489/4.140%,1,543 positive. Original1,392 subset superseded; stalePDEX comparison removed. Read highest positive/negative names across the whole returned universe, not just holdings: NX already-reacted earnings/pricing recovery, AOUT/biotechs outside demonstrated bottleneck thesis; AXTI/AEHR/PSIX chosen for primary supply exposure, VSH/POWL/ETN added as fundamental comparators. No causal inference from ranking. Foreign37 selected physical supply names across Japan,Korea,Taiwan,Europe,Canada,Australia,HongKong; only2454.TW prior20-close breakout, although several series endSep3 and require freshness check. This is targeted foreign coverage, not all foreign listings; AUR.AX speculative penny row not adopted. Crypto8 requested,5 returned (BTC,ETH,SOL,FIL,RENDER), none above prior20-close high. MissingFET/AR/AKT not proof unavailable for trading; no complete crypto census claimed. Marketdata is partial venue, Yahoo indicative foreign history, not primary exchange quotes. Screening rule exploratory, no validated portfolio alpha or foreign execution eligibility. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt and otherlisted.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Every measured screen row and source code preserved in373 numbered compressed observation parts, hash in note; primary findings individually recorded.

NumPy10000paths,seed905,circular3-trade blocks,10%ofchangingequitypertrade,eachsymbol'snaturalexitcount40/39/29/38/34/32,compounded aftermodeledcosts. PSIX29-trade terminalp5/median/p95+2.827/+11.277/+20.801%,lossfreq1.21%,p95trade-stepDD3.869%;POWL34trades-2.060/+2.596/+7.829%,loss18.22%;AXTI40trades-8.948/-.356/+9.197%,loss52.57%;AEHR39tradesloss53.15%;ETN32tradesloss93.78%. These are empirical resampling frequencies conditional on selectedpasttrades, not nexttrade/monthend probabilities; no intratrade gap tails, waiting time or crossasset dependence. Quarter-Kellycapital plugin .25*(p/L-q/W) givesPSIX181.55%,POWL101.28%,VSH45.53%,negativesAXTI/AEHR/ETN; unstable means cause absurd caps. Venue25%cap would bind but eligibility binds first: no positive signals, PSIXno training, missing15minute/+1Ractualexits, multiple-selection uncertainty. Actualrisk0. At referenceADR, nominalnotionalriskceilingsAXTI73.45/AEHR79.83/PSIX212.77/VSH198.19/POWL212.77/ETN212.77 beforewhole-sharerounding; stops cannot guarantee1%realizedloss. Startcash278.67,goalrepeatablenetreturns,bindingconstraintindependentimplementableedge. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; exact stats for allsix archive. Monthly348.92shortfall does notaltermodel.

Premise1:419complete common daily return rows2025-Sep4 from all-adjustedIEX; OLS versusSPY beta AXTI2.511,AEHR3.447,PSIX2.892,VSH2.387,POWL1.899,ETN1.539. POWL/ETNcorr.6593,AEHR/VSH.5628; distinct products do not eliminate shared market exposure. Intercepts descriptive, not causalalpha; no annualized alpha claim. Premise2: 10000 circular3-trade block mean bootstrapseed905 on naturalexit samples40/39/29/38/34/32; five means have95%interval crossingzero. PSIXmean3.7507%,CI[.4832,7.1587]%, but only4trainingbars; this is selected postlisting history. Additional20000draws conservative six-test tail sensitivity[.025/6,1-.025/6] gives[-.6271,8.3548]%; cannot correct all3012-name screening/unknown prior research and is not a formal population guarantee. RemovebestPSIXtrade mean2.5700%; not entirely one outcome, still smallsampleandregime risk. Premise3: contemporary survivorship, selected highmovers, assumed costs, conditionalbarrierfills and missing natural ledger losses undermine transportability. Conclusion PSIX merits prospective collection, not size; others rejected/watch perbacktests83-88. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; stats.json,tests.json,derived.json/trades archived. Prior on PSIX shifts fromunknown tointerestingdiagnostic, never adopted; genuinely independent netexecution outcomes would change verdict.

1. Completed Sep4 IEX closes AXTI61.62,AEHR86.245,PSIX40.54,VSH31.78,POWL181.22,ETN410.805; all below prior20-close maxima96.025,145.555,43.05,35.53,218.9,459.85. PSIX alone above SMA50 among these six. 2. AXTI/AEHR one-day rises9.59%/13.13% coexist with20-session losses30.41%/16.27%; rebound is not the registered close-breakout+SMA50 conjunction. Indicators share price input, not independent confirmation. 3. ADR20 respective7.14025,9.19425,1.50575,1.36475,6.8655,10.81175 supplies bounded reference moves, not validated support. PSIX reference target43.5515 is2ADR from40.54; prior20high43.05 constrains upside; actual entry absent. Whole-share affordability under212.77cap3,2,5,6,1,0 respectively BEFORE risklimit; one AXTIshare risks7.14 at nominalADR, oneAEHRshare9.19 exceeds8.5108equityrisk. ETNrequiresfractional, restricting extendedhours exits. No real positions to adjust. Conclusion noentry signal; negative/unstable/missing-training backtests independently prohibit risk. Price/volume partialIEX and dividend/15minute enforcement gaps remain. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; technical.json and per-symbolobservations archived.

Primary issuer observations savedSep5. June30iShares fact sheets showEWYSKHynix+Samsung50.36%,EWTIT75.11%,EWPfinancials43.70%/utilities24.16%;P/E27/32.40/15.57 reflectdifferentsectors and issuerloss-exclusion/capping,notcomparablediscounts. Sources https://www.ishares.com/us/literature/fact-sheet/ewy-ishares-msci-south-korea-etf-fund-fact-sheet-en-us.pdf ; ewt/ewp samefilenamepattern. Premise: country labels do not eliminate sharedchipcycle orvaluationrisk. NXSep3release pricing-ledsales+1.3%,debtpaydown42.25m but9monthEBITDA144.3vs172m; GAAPbounceaffectedbypriorimpairment. https://investors.quanex.com/news-releases/news-release-details/quanex-building-products-announces-third-quarter-2026-results . AEHRJuly14FYrevenue50m,GAAPnetloss7.1m;Aug12order22m=44%ofannualsales,customerconcentration and deliveryconversion matter;FY2027forecast130-150m is forecast. https://www.aehr.com/2026/08/aehr-receives-22-million-follow-on-order-for-ai-processor-wafer-level-burn-in-systems/ . SNDKAug5quartergrossmargin84.6% andadjustedEPS39.25mean annualizingpeakquarter creates11.08x versusFYadjusted24.55xat1740; neither provesfairvalue. https://investor.sandisk.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sandisk-reports-fiscal-fourth-quarter-2026-financial-results . Strongbullcase realearnings/ordergrowth and profitablecountryholdout; bearcase embeddedexpectations/sectorcrowding,partialcashconversion andcyclicalnormalization. Conclusion watchresearchonly; nofreshissuerfact supplies independentlyvalidatedconditionalpayoff. Issuers are closesttometrics but benefitfrompositiveframing; no independent consensus-surprise model,fullfilingvaluation orfuturegrowthguarantee claimed.

Premises:1 Sep4 21:31 Nasdaq/otherlisted directories contain13155non-test instruments,519nonstandard symbols excluded,12636queried,12597snapshots,12305withvaliddaily/priorbars.2 FixedfreshSep4price>=5 andIEXdailyv*close>=1m yields2380(1908nonETF/472ETF),47.18%positive day,median-.0411%,5th/95th-3.2416/+4.1017%. IEXpartialnotional is not consolidatedvolume.3 DeeperSIPalladjustedhistory on113selectedliquid/dailymover nonETFs gives109full12-1signals; today'sselection cannot define historical OOS membership.4 NonUS19countrywrappers plus14Yahoo localseries(8indices/6stocks) extends reach,not exhaustiveworldcensus.5 Crypto33USDrequests returned29histories;ALGO/APE/ATOM/NEARmissing,not provenuntradable. ExcludeUSDC/USDT fromriskmomentum;USDTvol anomaly unvalidated. BTC/ETH/SOL12-1negative(-41.95/-57.65/-63.74%) despite20day+26.42/+30.57/+35.42%,illustrating different horizons. PAXGinsufficientformation. Conclusion: broadresearchcandidate pool expanded, no entry authorization. Screenleaders:dailyNX+21.18%,AEHR+13.13%;12-1SNDK+2215%,MU+593%,WDC+580%; gearedSNDKETFs excluded fromcashstrategyreplication. CountryEWY/EWT/EWPlead; localSAP20day+8.54 butSep3latest notSep4. Missingpreferred/warrant conventions,OTC,delistedpoint-in-timeuniverses,completecryptolist andglobalcensus are explicitgaps. Rawall-scanCSV/artifacts,175detailedhistory observations saved individually. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/ . Prices are measuredpast returns,not fundamentalforecasts. Originalpaper/sourceobservation327 distinguishescross-sectionalmomentum fromone-dayheadlinechasing.

Numpyseed2026090502; eachsymbolindependently drawthree complete24h logreturnblocks from2026history,10k72hpaths. XRP/LINK/UNI245usabledayblocks,PAXG193; previousclose-to-currentclose hourreturns; no unseenintrahourmovement or15minvenuechecks. ReferenceSep4close with1ADR20stop,2ADR20target widths respectively7.609/15.218%,5.912/11.823%,7.126/14.251%,3.685/7.370%. Observedhourlyclose targetbeforestop frequencies3.71/5.67/8.51/.60%; stopfirst9.53/22.25/24.30/13.93%; neither86.76/72.08/67.19/85.47%. Unconditionalresampling, notactual stop-touch probabilities,signal-conditioned forecast orweekend-specific sample.72hterminal5th/95th XRP-7.764/+10.303%,LINK-8.471/+10.095%,UNI-10.435/+13.670%,PAXG-4.236/+4.179%. A measured2ADRtarget can stillbeunlikelyinside3days; do notstretchholdingwindow merelytofit. Nominal1%equityrisk8.5108 yields notionalceilings111.86/143.97/119.44/212.77, notguaranteedlosslimits. Actualsize0 dueuncertainnetedge. Validitysupports caution aboutattainability; soundnesslimitedbyresamplingpastblocks,separateassets,stationarity andcloseonlypaths. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; artifacts/stat_risk.py/stats-risk.json.

Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; Jan1-Sep4 2026 net natural-exit samples XRP6,LINK14,UNI13,PAXG8. Numpy20,000 IID resamples seed2026090502: mean trade95% intervals XRP[-1.194,18.765]%,LINK[-1.726,2.184]%,UNI[-2.933,2.634]%,PAXG[-1.402,.419]%. IID diagnostic assumes independent trades; current-universe selection and regimes limit interpretation. Positive-resample frequencies94.375/51.585/38.65/13.8% are not posterior probabilities. Daily OLS onBTC with intercept: betas1.237/1.176/1.181/.299, correlations.871/.874/.677/.446; sample247 each exceptPAXG204. Similar XRP/LINKbeta weakens diversification narrative. Rawbinarymean-payoff quarterKelly notional formula .25*(p/loss-(1-p)/win) gives3.889/.281/-.468/-7.550 capitalfractions, clearly unstable and constrained beforecaps. Lowermeanboundsnegative => authorizedallocation0. PremisespositiveXRPreturn andrate66.67% wins depend on6trades; strongestbullcase largepayoff, but no precise populationedge established. Need prospective fixedrule evidence and testedvenueexits; do not pickbestlookback frominspectedholdout. UNI terminalopenmark excludedfrompayoffs rather than countedwinner.

September 5 02:00 research. Crossed NasdaqTrader 13,155 non-test listed securities (5,584 Nasdaq; 7,571 other exchanges; 7,499 non-ETF rows including non-common instruments) with 19 weekday Nasdaq earnings-calendar requests September 8–October 2. Found 214 unique listed candidates; 122 calendar rows lack release time. These are estimates, not issuer confirmations. Fetched completed IEX daily bars for all 214 plus six comparison/regulatory names; 218 of 220 had at least 51 observations. Price>SMA20>SMA50 and close<=49.14 leaves 40; ranked by observed IEX dollar volume, CPRT first. This is screening, not validated strategy or complete current common-stock history. International RTT pages returned 419 rows, rejected 99 whose displayed date differs from requested day; 320 date-matched rows, of which 254 classified foreign by suffix. Only first-page coverage and six selected foreign quotes; no exhaustive global price census. Coinbase 409-currency catalog is neither venue universe nor dated catalyst list; protocol upgrades fall outside this fund's earnings/FDA mandate. ETH date review belongs to existing Crypto monitor. Primary-source work, not secondary dates, governs eligibility. Validity: broad candidates can be generated without accepting estimated dates; soundness limited by directory survivorship, missed calendar companies, pagination and partial IEX liquidity. Rejected missing-date names remain ineligible, not bearish. Sources https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt ; https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/otherlisted.txt ; https://api.nasdaq.com/api/calendar/earnings?date=2026-09-09 ; https://www.rttnews.com/Calendar/Earnings.aspx?Date=08-Sep-2026 ; https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/currencies ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 3.637978807091713e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. REJECT: training and later-period net returns negative. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":-12.752220910464256,"(1.5, 1.25)":-6.8086762427363094,"(2, 1)":-10.708581864755178,"(2, 1.25)":-12.052126108536413}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen0. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 3.637978807091713e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. WATCH: positive selected later period, all four training variants lose and mean interval crosses zero. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":-6.741325252297993,"(1.5, 1.25)":-18.69843938469283,"(2, 1)":-3.852527187305641,"(2, 1.25)":-21.788176286351028}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen0. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 3.637978807091713e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. REJECT: all four training variants lose; double costs turn holdout negative. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":-13.635595520075913,"(1.5, 1.25)":-19.17348293114387,"(2, 1)":-3.52923149049484,"(2, 1.25)":-8.73000753401997}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen0. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 7.275957614183426e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. WATCH: only four pre-2025 IEX bars and identical SIP coverage, hence no training sample. The nominal holdout is a selected post-listing diagnostic, not independent OOS validation. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":0,"(1.5, 1.25)":0,"(2, 1)":0,"(2, 1.25)":0}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen0. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 3.637978807091713e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. REJECT: training and later-period net returns negative. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":-38.643851939335995,"(1.5, 1.25)":-57.67302561057384,"(2, 1)":-32.86874570103676,"(2, 1.25)":-46.090402422060095}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen1. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.

Premises: (1) protocol note127 fixed prior20-close breakout AND SMA50, next-open entry, frozen signal-day ADR20 stop1/target2, timeout after5sessions at nextopen, longonly. (2) vectorbt explicit two event rows per daily bar represent open and later barrier/close, including entry-day exits; synthetic timestamps do NOT claim intraday observations. Adverse gaps fill open, favorable target gaps conservatively target, dual touches stopfirst. Fees5bp/slippage10bp eachside; stress doublesboth. Independent cash/share values reconcile maxerror 3.637978807091713e-12. (3) training2022-24, diagnostic chronological laterperiod2025-Sep4; all-adjusted IEX, paginated. REJECT: training and later-period net returns negative. Training sweep targets1.5/2 stops1/1.25: {"(1.5, 1)":-31.442725836626114,"(1.5, 1.25)":-35.08498901772668,"(2, 1)":-34.23281713352532,"(2, 1.25)":-38.59042367158891}. All contemporary selected names have survivorship/selection bias; no pristine prospective evidence claimed. Terminal open marks excluded from payoff sample; currentholdoutopen0,trainingopen0. Initial entry-day omission detected and corrected before journal metrics; discarded output not used. No cash-dividend,15minute monitoring,partialfills,+1Rreduce/trail or whole-share execution model. Daily target touches may not execute under venue timing. Thus not live eligible, regardless of favorable historical result. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; executable test.py and full trades stored measured-dataset archive. Current signal false.