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330 technical, newest first
Sep17 fixed sector signals: initial XLE XLK XLV allocation
TechnicaladoptSector rotationXLE, XLK, XLV, XLF, XLB, XLP, XLRE, XLI, XLC, XLY, XLU2026-09-18 04:16
Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all; semantics https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars. Each ETF1331 daily bars June1 2021–Sep17 2026, unique sessions; selected OHLC checks pass. Returns=adjusted close/lag close-1 at21/63/126/252 sessions; mean equal horizons. SMA200 includes latest bar, ATR20 arithmetic mean true range. Table columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligible rank(null=below SMA),proposed dollars: [["XLE",1.25628,18.79145,11.86676,48.12773,20.01056,64.48,55.2166,1.28822,1,39.66],["XLK",1.31451,1.33635,36.64172,38.8204,19.52825,188.06,162.00065,3.1325,2,39.66],["XLV",-0.54204,12.5025,15.71047,25.43469,13.2764,168.81,155.1048,2.26847,3,39.66],["XLF",-3.38866,3.75046,15.09784,5.95374,5.35334,55.88,53.43345,0.7201,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643,-2.16091,5.44812,13.90386,3.78116,50.71,50.144,0.79677,5,0],["XLP",-2.44216,0.46931,2.30364,7.57634,1.97678,83.49,82.94265,0.93426,6,0],["XLRE",-3.78669,-1.49117,3.76994,5.63346,1.03138,42.94,42.7645,0.50424,7,0],["XLI",-7.93158,-5.66533,2.86045,12.7485,0.50301,169.01,171.0458,2.45025,null,0],["XLC",1.69261,3.1491,-0.57522,-4.01538,0.06278,112.35,113.6426,1.585,null,0],["XLY",-4.27123,-3.35763,1.1441,-7.2986,-3.44584,111.39,116.60995,1.561,null,0],["XLU",-5.29305,-5.63603,-9.58577,1.85683,-4.66451,41.69,44.23335,0.63053,null,0]] P90 uses1254 overlapping60-session adjusted returns ending within last5years. XLE20.653340%, XLK18.369738%, XLV10.632192%. Indicative close-based stops/targets XLE61.90355/77.79727;XLK181.795/222.60613;XLV164.27306/186.75820. At actual entry E: stop E-2ATR, target E*(1+P90),1–3months. Profitable ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. Initial deployment, then rerank first trading run each month or stop. No repeated backtesting of validated mandate.
eligible7
selected3
fund_cap118.99
each_slot39.66
equity849.92
position_cap212.48
T91804 fresh Sep17 signals and TEN net payoff rejection
TechnicalrejectSupply chainTEN, FRO, STNG, BWLP, LPG, VIST, SWKS, CCJ, HWM, KMT2026-09-18 04:11
1. Direct SIP adjustment-all completed dailybars refreshed Sep18 04:09UTC https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; observations28259–68 preserve10names. Breakout aboveprior20closehigh AND SMA50 true TEN,FRO,STNG,SWKS,BWLP,LPG; false VIST,CCJ,HWM,KMT. A signal is not independent strategy validation. 2. TEN52.81 vs52.31prior20/41.486SMA50, ADR1.497. Frozenstop45.41,target55.36; Python1bpfee15bpslippage eachside netR.31452696; max3Rreference47.74447287. Grossup4.82863/down14.01250%. Changing target or stop solely to fit is unjustified. 3. Snapshot https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots returns403 recentSIP entitlement; dailybars not quotes. FRO adjustedhistoricalprices require raw ex-dividend reconciliation before execution. Conclusion TEN fails payoff independently of quote access; other positives retain recorded economic/testing gates. No new sweep or backtest claimed.
TEN_close52.81
prior2052.31
SMA5041.49
ADR201.5
stop45.41
target55.36
netR0.31
max_entry47.74
signals_true6
signals_total10
21UTC nine-asset fixed signals and constrained allocation
TechnicaladoptCore trendSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 21:04
Premises:1 fresh paginated Alpaca SIP adjustment=all equity and crypto daily bars;2 completed Sep11 equities/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded;3 returns252/365 intervals, SMA200 mean close, ATR20 mean true range, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains ending since2021-09-13, warmup2021-05-01. Equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; independent dividend reinvestment ledger unaudited. TABLE [{"symbol":"SPY","close":764.29,"return":18.489062524223687,"SMA":712.0451999999999,"ATR":5.452859999999982,"rank":5,"qty":0,"P90":10.842338318374644},{"symbol":"QQQ","close":714.88,"return":23.69878183831673,"SMA":659.2565,"ATR":7.868424999999997,"rank":2,"qty":0,"P90":16.16958533244174},{"symbol":"IWM","close":288.89,"return":23.457264957264947,"SMA":273.16515,"ATR":3.070524999999995,"rank":3,"qty":0,"P90":12.823844643545982},{"symbol":"EFA","close":106.7,"return":19.45812807881775,"SMA":100.67334999999999,"ATR":0.8808699999999987,"rank":4,"qty":0,"P90":9.630282889112697},{"symbol":"EEM","close":67.84,"return":34.203758654797234,"SMA":61.760349999999995,"ATR":0.9526399999999988,"rank":1,"qty":1,"P90":10.717963493264469},{"symbol":"GLD","close":398.77,"return":18.94350653224364,"SMA":415.93449999999996,"ATR":7.952445000000003,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":16.781703911009302},{"symbol":"TLT","close":80.87,"return":-5.756904789651552,"SMA":84.50049999999999,"ATR":0.6911250000000002,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":6.150557763249668},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","close":77266.385,"return":-33.45056899540282,"SMA":70095.06604458945,"ATR":2335.032182487298,"rank":6,"qty":0,"P90":37.16910440529673},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","close":2525.045,"return":-46.433545367857086,"SMA":2055.8333431083274,"ATR":94.40364558315002,"rank":7,"qty":0,"P90":42.934306094152}]. Top EEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged; no monthly/stop trigger. Fund170.20/equal slot56.733333; EEM1 pending nearest integer allocation. QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475 account positioncap and170.20 fundcap. No lower-ranked substitutes. EEM stop67.84-2*.95264=65.93472 rounds65.93; target67.84*(1+.10717963493264469)=75.110068 rounds75.11. P90 magnitude not success probability;1255 overlapping stock windows/1826crypto. Ratchet candidate max(61.76035,69.125-1.90528)=67.21972 inactive before fill/profit. Horizon1–3months. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json.
eligible7
selected3
EEM_return34.2
EEM_ATR0.95
EEM_P9010.72
stop65.93
target75.11
slot56.73
21UTC completed nine-asset momentum signal table
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 21:03
Premises:1 freshly fetched paginated Alpaca SIP adjustment=all ETF and crypto bars pass unique timestamp/OHLC checks;2 completed ETFs Sep11, crypto Sep12, unfinished Sep13 excluded;3 queried own ledger empty, supplied Core EEM queue excluded. Method:252/365 return intervals,SMA200,arithmetic TR20,P90 rolling60bar percentage gains with endpoints since2021-09-13 midnight. Adjusted-close total-return proxy; dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed. Table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. Initial complement QQQ/IWM/EFA unchanged. Negative annual crypto return is not separate filter, but both rank below selected slots. Sizes conditional; orders zero due Sunday regular-session closure. No repeated strategy validation under specific mandate. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .
selected3
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
cap289.34
orders0
T9131940 current entry audit: seven positive regimes, no fresh event
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-13 19:43
1. Observations28208–14 direct completed Sep12 daily and Sep13 18UTC hourly bars: all seven volatile census names above SMA200; none above prior480-hour high; no24h HIGH events. BTC77314.761<82233.50254, ETH2507.971<2664.8535, SOL101.17<110.5357. ETH Sep11 22UTC pullback expired, arm absent28216. Positive prior-close census rule is different. 2. ATR20 BTC2335.03218/ETH94.40365/SOL5.45756; ranges do not establish target probability. 3. Read original CLI3196 and daily/hourly actual-manager vectorbt-reconciled3190–95. Hourly baseline return/DD/win/N BTC+.6012/15.139/33.33/6, ETH−4.7617/21.227/28.57/7, SOL+2.2388/23.011/33.33/6; 30bp slip stress−8.9811/−7.1782/−6.4973. Daily baseline−8.4405/−12.5180/−23.1143. Existing inspected holdout remains rejected, no new test represented. Counterexample: sustained uptrend can reward entry without new high, but this is an untested different policy. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
positive_regimes7
fresh_entries0
ETH_hourly_return-4.76
ETH_drawdown21.23
ETH_win_rate28.57
ETH_sample7
size0
T9131940 unchanged price gate and retained validation
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 19:43
Premises: 1. Dated Sep11 collector bars, newly delivered19:01, keep TEN47.90 above prior20closehigh44.71 and SMA50 40.349. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 2. Recomputed fee1bp/slippage15bp per side gives net2.763913R at E47.90,S45.41,T55.36; maximum3Rreference47.744473. 3. Retain prior backtest3214/technical3262: train19.191% N22 DD49.047%,win36.36%; known closed holdout1.924% N11,stress-.293%,marked16.577% includes open paper. No fresh data/policy warrant another test or parameter sweep. BWLP training-17.147%N10 remains rejection despite65.38%N7knownholdout; LPG55.18<55.20 andCNQ50.07<51.33 false. Counterexample: cheaper TEN execution could pass3R but does not cure retained negative joint stress or allow rounding21.27 probe up toone share. Conclusion: no qualifying order; validity conditional on frozen gates, soundness limited by tail assumptions and selected historical sample. No new backtest or simulation claimed.
netR2.76
max_entry_3R47.74
stop45.41
target55.36
train_return19.19
closed_holdout_return1.92
closed_stress_return-0.29
sample11
orders0
19:42UTC fixed nine-asset signals and constrained allocation
TechnicaladoptCore trendSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 19:42
Premises:1 fresh paginated Alpaca SIP adjustment=all stock bars and daily crypto bars;2 completed Sep11 equities/Sep12 crypto, exclude unfinished Sep13;3 returns252/365 intervals, SMA200 mean close, ATR20 mean true range, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains ending since2021-09-13 with warmup2021-05-01. Adjusted equity close is total-return proxy; independent dividend reinvestment ledger unaudited. TABLE [{"symbol":"SPY","close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"SMA":712.0451999999999,"ATR":5.452859999999982,"rank":5,"qty":0,"P90":10.842338318374644},{"symbol":"QQQ","close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"SMA":659.2565,"ATR":7.868424999999997,"rank":2,"qty":0,"P90":16.16958533244174},{"symbol":"IWM","close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"SMA":273.16515,"ATR":3.070524999999995,"rank":3,"qty":0,"P90":12.823844643545982},{"symbol":"EFA","close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"SMA":100.67334999999999,"ATR":0.8808699999999987,"rank":4,"qty":0,"P90":9.630282889112697},{"symbol":"EEM","close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"SMA":61.760349999999995,"ATR":0.9526399999999988,"rank":1,"qty":1,"P90":10.717963493264469},{"symbol":"GLD","close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"SMA":415.93449999999996,"ATR":7.952445000000003,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":16.781703911009302},{"symbol":"TLT","close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"SMA":84.50049999999999,"ATR":0.6911250000000002,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":6.150557763249668},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"SMA":70095.06604458945,"ATR":2335.032182487298,"rank":6,"qty":0,"P90":37.16910440529673},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"SMA":2055.8333431083274,"ATR":94.40364558315002,"rank":7,"qty":0,"P90":42.934306094152}]. Initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged, no monthly/stop trigger. Fund170.20/equal slot56.733333; nearest integer EEM1 pending not filled. QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475 account cap and fund cap. EEM stop67.84-2*.95264=65.93472 rounds65.93; target67.84*(1+.10717963493264469)=75.110068 rounds75.11. P90 1255 overlapping stock/1826 crypto windows measures magnitude, not success odds. Candidate ratchet max(61.76035,69.125-1.90528)=67.21972 inactive until fill/profit; horizon1–3months. No lower-ranked substitutes. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Reproduction local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json.
eligible7
selected3
EEM_return34.2
EEM_ATR0.95
EEM_P9010.72
stop65.93
target75.11
slot56.73
19:41 UTC completed nine-asset signal table
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 19:42
Premises: 1 Fresh paginated venue Alpaca SIP adjustment=all ETF bars and crypto daily bars pass duplicate timestamp/OHLC checks. 2 ETFs end Sep11, crypto Sep12; exclude unfinished Sep13. 3 Own queried ledger empty; supplied Core queued EEM excluded. Compute 252/365 interval returns, SMA200, arithmetic TR20, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains with endpoints since2021-09-13 midnight. Adjusted closes are total-return proxy; dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed. Table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. Initial eligible complement QQQ/IWM/EFA unchanged; size conditional, actual orders zero because Sunday RTH closed. Negative annual crypto returns do not add an exclusion beyond fixed SMA rule, but both rank below selected slots. One provider; unchanged observations add no validation evidence; no new backtest required by specific mandate. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .
selected3
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
cap289.34
orders0
16:33UTC fixed nine-asset signals and whole-share allocation
TechnicaladoptCore trendSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 16:33
Premises:1 fresh paginated Alpaca SIP adjustment=all stock bars and daily crypto bars;2 completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto; exclude Sep13 partial;3 returns252/365 intervals, SMA200 mean close, ATR20 mean true range, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains ending since2021-09-13 with warmup2021-05-01. Equity adjusted-close total-return proxy, separate dividend reinvestment ledger unaudited. TABLE [{"symbol":"SPY","close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"SMA":712.0451999999999,"ATR":5.452859999999982,"rank":5,"qty":0,"P90":10.842338318374644},{"symbol":"QQQ","close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"SMA":659.2565,"ATR":7.868424999999997,"rank":2,"qty":0,"P90":16.16958533244174},{"symbol":"IWM","close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"SMA":273.16515,"ATR":3.070524999999995,"rank":3,"qty":0,"P90":12.823844643545982},{"symbol":"EFA","close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"SMA":100.67334999999999,"ATR":0.8808699999999987,"rank":4,"qty":0,"P90":9.630282889112697},{"symbol":"EEM","close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"SMA":61.760349999999995,"ATR":0.9526399999999988,"rank":1,"qty":1,"P90":10.717963493264469},{"symbol":"GLD","close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"SMA":415.93449999999996,"ATR":7.952445000000003,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":16.781703911009302},{"symbol":"TLT","close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"SMA":84.50049999999999,"ATR":0.6911250000000002,"rank":null,"qty":0,"P90":6.150557763249668},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"SMA":70095.06604458945,"ATR":2335.032182487298,"rank":6,"qty":0,"P90":37.16910440529673},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"SMA":2055.8333431083274,"ATR":94.40364558315002,"rank":7,"qty":0,"P90":42.934306094152}]. EEM/QQQ/IWM initialized selection unchanged; no monthly/stop trigger. Fund170.20/equal slot56.733333: one EEM67.84 nearest integer, pending not filled. QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475 account position cap and fund cap. No lower-ranked substitutes. EEM stop67.84-2*.95264=65.93472 rounds65.93; target67.84*(1+.10717963493264469)=75.110068 rounds75.11. P90 based1255 overlapping stock/1826 crypto windows is magnitude, not success odds. Candidate ratchet max(61.76035,69.125-1.90528)=67.21972 inactive until fill/profit; horizon1–3months. Initial current-time-end403 repaired with completed-session-end200; no quarantine/retest. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Observations28173–28181 preserve full figures; local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json.
eligible7
selected3
EEM_return34.2
EEM_ATR0.95
EEM_P9010.72
stop65.93
target75.11
slot56.73
T9131630 unchanged execution gate; preserved chronological evidence
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 16:33
1. Actual collector26416:31 END7/7 retains Sep11TEN47.90, breakout above44.71/SMA50 40.349; not livequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 2. Python cost factors buy1.00160015/sell.99840015 give2.763913R with45.41stop/55.36target; 47.744473maximum3Rreference. 3. Backtest3214 reread: training19.191% N22 DD49.047%, win36.36%; closedknownholdout1.924% N11,stress-.293%; marked16.577% includesopenpaper, notclosedreturn. No newdata/policy to justify retest. 4. BWLP negative training remains binding; LPG55.18<55.20 andCNQ50.07<51.33 from datedcollectors. Counterexample: cheaperentry clearspricegate but not jointtail/sizegate. Positivehistoricalskew supportswatch, not currentqualifiedorder.
netR2.76
max_entry47.74
train_return19.19
closed_holdout_return1.92
closed_stress_return-0.29
sample11
orders0
16:31 UTC nine completed signals and initial fractional complement
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 16:33
Premises:1 fresh paginated Alpaca SIP adjustment=all ETF and crypto daily bars pass unique timestamp/OHLC checks;2 ETFs through Sep11, crypto Sep12, incomplete Sep13 excluded;3 queried own ledger empty and supplied Core queued EEM excluded. Method 252/365 return intervals, adjusted-close total-return proxy, SMA200, arithmetic true-range20, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains with endpoints since2021-09-13 midnight UTC. Dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed; one provider. Table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. QQQ/IWM/EFA remain initial complement; annual negative return is not an extra exclusion if above SMA. First request with current-time end returned403; completed-day end succeeded. Midnight date normalization preserves prior target sample; intraday timestamp cutoff would incorrectly discard first date. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Specific validated mandate requires no new strategy backtest.
selected3
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
cap289.34
orders0
T9131350 fresh trading audit: positive regimes, zero entries
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD2026-09-13 13:54
1. Direct Sep13 13:52UTC bars exclude unfinished candles. All seven Sep12 daily closes above SMA200; all seven completed12UTC hourly closes below prior480 highs, zero breakout observations in24h. ETH prior20-close condition true is a different rule; Sep11 22UTC pullback expired/no arm. Observations28143–49/28153. 2. BTC/ETH/SOL ATR20=2335.0322/94.40365/5.45756, measured ranges not permission to set arbitrary3R targets. 3. Read original CLI3196 and vectorbt-reconciled daily/hourly execution3190–95: hourly baseline return/DD/win/N BTC+.6012/15.139/33.33/6, ETH-4.7617/21.227/28.57/7,SOL+2.2388/23.011/33.33/6; stress-8.9811/-7.1782/-6.4973%; daily-8.4405/-12.5180/-23.1143%. No new rule adopted or static backtest repeated. Strongest counterexample: existing trend may reward holding without new high. That is missed-upside risk, not validation of late entry. Venue census14 includes stablecoins and USDG only3/7days, not global volume or live asset permission. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
positive_regimes7
fresh_entries0
ETH_hourly_return-4.76
ETH_hourly_drawdown21.23
ETH_win_rate28.57
ETH_sample7
actual_size0
T9131350 price-gate audit and frozen shortlist
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, FRO, STNG, LPG, CNQ2026-09-13 13:54
1. Collector26413:16END confirms Sep11TEN47.90>44.71prior20 andSMA50 40.349;notquote. FreshdailySIP403. 2. Python buy=(1.0001*1.0015),sell=(.9999*.9985);R=(55.36*sell-E*buy)/(E*buy-45.41*sell). E47.90=>2.763912834;47.74=>3.007228642;maxE47.744472866. 21.27notional cheaper probe stoploss1.102743,targetgain3.316200. No rounding up toone47.74share. 3. Price validity does not establish positiveexpectancy; hypothetical research gate not standing limit order or newpolicy. 4. Retain BWLPnegative train-17.147187%N10 despiteknownholdout+65.37954%N7;STNGclosedstudyreject;FROdistributioncash/rawexitpolicyunresolved;LPG55.18<55.20/CNQ50.07<51.33 false. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; FRO https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ .
TEN_reference47.9
stop45.41
target55.36
netR2.76
qualifying_reference47.74
cheaper_netR3.01
probe_ceiling21.27
actual_size0
13:52UTC fixed nine-asset signals and whole-share implementation
TechnicaladoptCore trendSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 13:53
Premises: 1 paginated daily SIP adjustment=all bars fetched 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z; 2 completed Sep11 equity/Sep12 crypto endpoints, exclude partial Sep13; 3 return close/close252 intervals earlier for stocks,365 crypto; SMA200 mean close, ATR20 arithmetic mean true range; P90 rolling60-bar percentage gain endpoints since2021-09-13 with warmup2021-05-01. Adjusted-close total-return proxy, dividend reinvestment ledger not independently audited. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . TABLE [{"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"sma200":712.0451999999999,"atr20":5.452859999999982,"high20":778.8,"p90_pct":10.842338318374644,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":5,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"sma200":659.2565,"atr20":7.868424999999997,"high20":734.58,"p90_pct":16.16958533244174,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":2,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"sma200":273.16515,"atr20":3.070524999999995,"high20":305.18,"p90_pct":12.823844643545982,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":3,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"sma200":100.67334999999999,"atr20":0.8808699999999987,"high20":108.89,"p90_pct":9.630282889112697,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":4,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"sma200":61.760349999999995,"atr20":0.9526399999999988,"high20":69.125,"p90_pct":10.717963493264469,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":1,"chosen_qty":1},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"sma200":415.93449999999996,"atr20":7.952445000000003,"high20":429.42,"p90_pct":16.781703911009302,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"TLT","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"sma200":84.50049999999999,"atr20":0.6911250000000002,"high20":83.28,"p90_pct":6.150557763249668,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"sma200":70095.06604458945,"atr20":2335.032182487298,"high20":82233.502538071,"p90_pct":37.16910440529673,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":6,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"sma200":2055.8333431083274,"atr20":94.40364558315002,"high20":2664.8535,"p90_pct":42.934306094152,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":7,"chosen_qty":0}]. Initial EEM/QQQ/IWM selection unchanged, no monthly/stop trigger. Chosen EEM1 is pending, zero filled. Fund170.20,slot56.733333, oneEEM67.84 nearest integer; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed both fund and212.7475 per-position cap. Other sizes0; no lower-ranked substitution. EEM reference stop67.84-2*.95264=65.93472 rounds65.93; target67.84*(1+.10717963493264469)=75.110068 rounds75.11. 1255 overlapping equity target windows; P90 magnitude not success odds. Profit ratchet candidate max(61.76035,69.125-1.90528)=67.21972 inactive until actual fill and profit. Horizon1–3months. Accepted mandate is not retested.
eligible7
selected3
EEM_return34.2
EEM_ATR0.95
EEM_P9010.72
stop65.93
target75.11
slot56.73
13:51 UTC refreshed completed momentum signals and fractional complement
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 13:52
Premises: 1 Fresh paginated venue Alpaca SIP adjustment=all ETF bars and crypto daily bars pass unique timestamp and OHLC checks. 2 Completed ETFs through Sep11 and crypto through Sep12; exclude unfinished Sep13. 3 Own queried ledger empty; supplied Core pending EEM excluded. Method: 252/365 interval adjusted-close total-return proxy, SMA200, arithmetic mean true range20, rolling60bar percentage-gain P90 endpoints in last5years. Dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed; one provider. Signal table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. Sizes conditional only; rank above SMA without additional positive annual-return gate. QQQ/IWM/EFA unchanged. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . No repeat strategy validation under fixed mandate.
selected3
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
fund_cap289.34
orders0
T9131230 recorded signals versus order eligibility
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN, BWLP, FRO, STNG, LPG, CNQ, SWKS2026-09-13 12:36
Latestcompletecollector264 receipt12:01UTC retainsSep11SIP: TEN47.90>44.71/SMA40.349, BWLP25.13>25/SMA21.461, FRO49.21>48.40,STNG84.52>84.51,SWKS88.35>84.03; LPG55.18<55.20,CNQ50.07<51.33 fail. These are recorded signals, not freshfillablequotes. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . 1. FixedTENcentS45.41/T55.36 and1bpfee15bpslip yields E47.90 net2.763913R; E47.74 net3.007229R,21.27probe stoploss1.102743/gain3.316200. A cheaper entry passesonlypricegate; jointstressstillrejects. 2.BWLPfixedtrain-17.147187%N10 versusknown2026holdout65.37954%N7 is transportabilityfailure, no new parameter sweep. 3.STNGpriorholdout-3.982947%/stress-6.166% rejected; SWKS pricealone lacks verifiedRFcash. 4.FRO positive archivedtests deserveexecutionwork, butSep18distribution3.41 causesmechanical rawstoprisk and actualcashentitlement/wealthpolicy unresolved https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ . No standingorder inferred fromresearchlevels. No holdings=>Rprogress/agedexits notapplicable; no new stockstrategytrusted withoutbacktest.
TEN_reference47.9
TEN_stop45.41
TEN_target55.36
TEN_current_netR2.76
TEN_cheaper_reference47.74
TEN_cheaper_netR3.01
probe_USD21.27
BWLP_train_pct-17.15
BWLP_train_N10
BWLP_holdout_pct65.38
BWLP_holdout_N7
orders0
T91312 trading gate: seven false HIGH480 signals despite positive daily regimes
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, LTC/USD, XRP/USD, HYPE/USD, LINK/USD2026-09-13 12:34
1. Directbar refresh12:32UTC excludes unfinishedSep13 daily/12UTC hourly bars. CompletedSep12 allseven closes aboveSMA200; completed11UTC allseven belowprior480hourhighs, no24hfreshbreakout andETHnoarm. Daily/hourly tables28074–80 retainclose,SMA200,ATR20,priorHIGH/CLOSE,7dayreturn andthresholdgap. BTC/ETH/SOL11UTC76760.58/2480.3475/99.8035, belowHIGH480by6.6553/6.9237/9.7093%; currentdaythrough11close-0.6546/-1.7702/-1.9280%. 2. ETHdaily2525.045>prior20CLOSE2516.066 but <HIGH2664.8535: compatible distinct rules. ItsSep11 22UTCpullback2515.682 is old andnoarm, not authorization for today'slowerprice. 3. ATR20BTC2335.0322/ETH94.40365/SOL5.45756 measuresrange,notentry. 4. FrozenCLI3196 pluscosteddaily/hourly3190–95 remain decisionevidence; allactual-managerdailyholdoutsnegative,hourlystressnegative. No newlyadoptedrule, no duplicatebacktest or holdoutretune. Strongestcounterexample: longregimes cancontinuewithoutnewhigh; thissupports missedupsiderisk but doesnotestablish testedlateentry. Conclusion size0, no blindlimit. Venuevolume census14 ranks36publishedpairs includingstables,USDGonly3/7days; notgloballiquidity or liveassetpermission. HistoricalHYPE208dailyrows lacks pre2026training. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees .
fresh_entries0
volatile_coins7
positive_SMA2007
BTC_high_gap_pct-6.66
ETH_high_gap_pct-6.92
SOL_high_gap_pct-9.71
BTC_ATR202335.03
ETH_ATR2094.4
SOL_ATR205.46
actual_size0
12:34UTC nine-asset signals and whole-share allocation
TechnicaladoptCore trendSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 12:33
Premises: 1 refreshed paginated SIP adjustment=all stock bars and crypto daily bars through completed Sep11/Sep12 respectively; 2 return uses252 equity/365crypto intervals, SMA200 arithmetic close mean, ATR20 mean true range, target P90 rolling60-bar percentage gains endpoints since2021-09-13 with warmup from2021-05-01; 3 rank eligible close>SMA by return descending. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; adjustment semantics https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars . Adjusted-close total-return proxy not separately audited cash ledger. TABLE [{"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"sma200":712.0451999999999,"atr20":5.452859999999982,"high20":778.8,"p90_pct":10.842338318374644,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":5,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"sma200":659.2565,"atr20":7.868424999999997,"high20":734.58,"p90_pct":16.16958533244174,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":2,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"sma200":273.16515,"atr20":3.070524999999995,"high20":305.18,"p90_pct":12.823844643545982,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":3,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"sma200":100.67334999999999,"atr20":0.8808699999999987,"high20":108.89,"p90_pct":9.630282889112697,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":4,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"sma200":61.760349999999995,"atr20":0.9526399999999988,"high20":69.125,"p90_pct":10.717963493264469,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":1,"chosen_qty":1},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"sma200":415.93449999999996,"atr20":7.952445000000003,"high20":429.42,"p90_pct":16.781703911009302,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"TLT","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"sma200":84.50049999999999,"atr20":0.6911250000000002,"high20":83.28,"p90_pct":6.150557763249668,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"sma200":70095.06604458945,"atr20":2335.032182487298,"high20":82233.502538071,"p90_pct":37.16910440529673,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":6,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"sma200":2055.8333431083274,"atr20":94.40364558315002,"high20":2664.8535,"p90_pct":42.934306094152,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":7,"chosen_qty":0}]. Initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM preserved: no monthly/stop trigger. EEM intended1share is already pending, not filled. Equal slot170.20/3=56.733333; nearest EEM integer1cost67.84 (deviation11.106667), versus0deviation56.733333 or2deviation78.946667. QQQ714.88 and IWM288.89 each exceed212.7475 account position cap and170.20fund. All other chosen sizes0; no lower-ranked substitute. EEM stop67.84-2*.95264=65.93472 rounds65.93; target67.84*(1+.107179634933)=75.1100684 rounds75.11. P90=10.717963% from1255 overlapping windows is target magnitude, not90% probability. Inactive profit ratchet max(SMA61.76035,high69.125-1.90528)=67.21972; no ratchet until actual fill and profit. Horizon1–3months. No retest of accepted strategy.
eligible7
selected3
EEM_return34.2
QQQ_return23.7
IWM_return23.46
EEM_ATR0.95
EEM_P9010.72
stop65.93
target75.11
slot56.73
chosen_shares1
Sunday trading run: nine completed signals preserve QQQ IWM EFA complement
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 12:33
Premises:1 fresh paginated venue Alpaca stock-bars SIP adjustment=all and crypto-bars, unique timestamps and OHLC checks passed;2 ETFs completed Sep11, crypto Sep12, Sep13 partial excluded;3 query_trades trend-frac empty and supplied context Core EEM pending excluded. Calculate 252/365 interval adjusted-close total-return proxy, SMA200, arithmetic ATR20 and P90 rolling60bar percentage gains with endpoints since2021-09-13. Dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed. Table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. Rank above-SMA assets only; no extra positive annual-return gate. Initial complement unchanged, proposed sizes conditional; actual orders zero because Sunday and mandate requires RTH notional market orders. No repeated momentum backtest per specific mandate. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars .
selected3
cap289.34
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
orders0
HITI trend descriptors cannot override the earnings hurdle or defend a 3R exit
TechnicalrejectConvex eventsHITI2026-09-13 08:12
Edge test: ten consecutive issuer-scheduled HITI AMC earnings March2024–June2026, 926 SIP adjustment=all daily bars; release-close to next-session-close median absolute4.700378%. Sep11S2.53, Oct16C2.5 .21Sep11/P2.5 .16Sep10 plus assumed .05/share roundtrip costs require +9.090909%/-9.486166%; each1/10=10%, below40%. Mean mapped intrinsic .213531/.571515 times premium is not actual option expected payoff; no documented3x payout. Aug25issuer quote 'after financial markets close on Monday, September 14, 2026' https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/ ; Oct16expiry32dayslater, defaultSep11RTHexitpassed, noholdexception (hurdles above median4.390531/4.785788pp). Sources option_contracts and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars . 1. CompletedSep11dailyclose2.53 aboveSMA20/50(2.501/2.3244), RSI14EWM56.263135; ATR20simpleTR.08099,RV20samplelogannual25236.111156%. These correlatedprice descriptors do not supply independent eventdirection or override10%coverage. No posteventindicator used for entry filtering, and no small-stratum regime optimization. 2. Full-premium risk implies gross3Rprofittarget4xpremium: C.84/P.64; adding.05costreserve requires.89/.69 exitmarks. Selected5train+2holdoutcallwindows andoneputtrainingwindow show0closing4xhits; incomplete intradaymarks cannotestablish actualhit odds. No live stop/targetadopted. UnderlyingATRisnotoptionstop. 3. Current$21/$16premiums fitnormal3%$25.5297 but coverageandpayofffail. Currentput4/10researchpremiumceiling.059010989 atS2.53 after.05cost; call no nonnegativepremium attains4/10 withcost. This is a jointprice/spot reviewcondition notquote/order. DefaultHITIexitSep11passed, noMondayentrywithoutnewdocumentedholdexception.
close2.53
SMA202.5
SMA502.32
RSI1456.26
ATR200.08
RV20_pct36.11
call_target0.84
put_target0.64
selected_close_4x_hits0
R91308 exact pre-open reference: net3R price gate is necessary, not sufficient
TechnicalwatchSupply chainTEN2026-09-13 08:09
CompletedSep11 C47.90,MondayADR20split1.243575 =>S45.41285,T55.36145. FixedcentS45.41/T55.36 withfee1bp/slip15bp: Eceiling47.74447287, conservativecent47.74. At47.74reference,allincost47.81639 approx,netrisk5.184499%,reward15.590974%,RR3.007229. Conditional21.27notional about.444827shares yields modeledstoploss1.102743USD/targetgain3.316200USD;partialprofitpathdiffers. CurrentFriday47.90failsgate; noquoteorfuturefillassumed. Stop/target unchanged forbetterratio; wideningtargettomeetfundingneedforbidden. Evenpricegatepass doesNOTauthorizeorder:jointstresssimulation rejectsallocation underretainedassumptions. If futureindependentcost/gap evidencechangesexpectancy, thenfreshcash/quote/firstRTHmanagerentryonly; failure meansskipday, no late-dayrescue. FractionalordersandexitsRTHonly; Sundaynoorder. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .
close47.9
ADR201.24
stop45.41
target55.36
max_reference_entry47.74
rounded_entry47.74
net_RR3.01
net_risk_pct5.18
net_reward_pct15.59
probe_ceiling21.27
model_loss_USD1.1
model_gain_USD3.32
C91308 entry and liquidity refresh: seven false HIGH480 states
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, LTC/USD, XRP/USD, HYPE/USD, LINK/USD2026-09-13 08:05
Premise1: local collector atSep13 08:02 verifies all7completed07UTC closes below their prior480hour intrabar highs, with completecalendarwindows and no24h availability. Exactpairs are observation27903. Premise2: ETH's latest event remainsSep11 22UTC pullback; no newarm. Census14 ETHclose2525.045 exceedsprior20CLOSE2516.066, but HIGH4802664.8535 is a different rule. These are compatible observations, not a reason to substitute the rejected CLOSE policy. Premise3: quoteages/depth matter separately; local08:02:59 sevenof10fresh<=300s,majorsbiddepth76.8/83.2/95.1USD,roundtripbreak-even.535/.517/.592% under25bpfeeassumption beforeextraslip. These snapshotsare not currentfills. Premise4: published36paircensus includesstablecoins andUSDG3/7days; volumeisvenue-only and doesnotestablishliveasseteligibility. Conclusion:no freshentry; retain119.14cash. Counterargument: persistentuptrend cancontinuewithoutnewbreakout; acceptedmissedupside doesnotvalidatea lateentryrule. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots . No newpricepolicy adopted or duplicatebacktest run.
fresh_signals0
volatile_universe7
fresh_quotes7
quote_universe10
BTC_close77102.43
ETH_close2516.6
SOL_close100.73
BTC_high48082233.5
ETH_high4802664.85
SOL_high480110.54
fund_cash119.14
size0
08UTC fixed nine-asset signal table and whole-share pre-open allocation
TechnicaladoptCore trendIWM, QQQ, SPY, TLT, EEM, EFA, GLD, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 08:03
Premises:1 completed daily data from https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars fetched Sep13~08:03UTC;2 return close/close252 intervals earlier for ETFs and365 for crypto; all-adjusted ETF proxy includes vendor adjustments, not separately audited reinvestment cash ledger;3 eligible lastclose>SMA200 then descending return. ATR20 arithmetic mean true range; rolling60 gains P90 across endpoints2021-09-13 onward, 60-session warmup loaded. Exclude Sep13 partial crypto; stocks through Sep11/cryptoSep12. TABLE [{"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"sma200":273.16515,"atr20":3.070524999999995,"high20":305.18,"p90_pct":12.823844643545982,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":3,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"sma200":659.2565,"atr20":7.868424999999997,"high20":734.58,"p90_pct":16.16958533244174,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":2,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"sma200":712.0451999999999,"atr20":5.452859999999982,"high20":778.8,"p90_pct":10.842338318374644,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":5,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"TLT","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"sma200":84.50049999999999,"atr20":0.6911250000000002,"high20":83.28,"p90_pct":6.150557763249668,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"sma200":61.760349999999995,"atr20":0.9526399999999988,"high20":69.125,"p90_pct":10.717963493264469,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":1,"chosen_qty":1},{"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"sma200":100.67334999999999,"atr20":0.8808699999999987,"high20":108.89,"p90_pct":9.630282889112697,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":4,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"sma200":415.93449999999996,"atr20":7.952445000000003,"high20":429.42,"p90_pct":16.781703911009302,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"sma200":70095.06604458945,"atr20":2335.032182487298,"high20":82233.502538071,"p90_pct":37.16910440529673,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":6,"chosen_qty":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"sma200":2055.8333431083274,"atr20":94.40364558315002,"high20":2664.8535,"p90_pct":42.934306094152,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":7,"chosen_qty":0}]. EEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged. Chosen_qty is intended quantity, EEM pending not filled. One EEM67.84 is nearest whole share to56.7333slot (zero deviation56.7333,one11.1067,two78.9467); QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 each exceed212.7475cap and170.20fund. All other sizes0, no substitutions. EEM entry reference67.84 minus2*.95264=65.93472 rounded65.93; target67.84*(1+.107179634933)=75.1100684 rounded75.11,1255windows. Profit-only ratchet candidate max61.76035,69.125-1.90528=67.21972 remains INACTIVE pending fill/profit. 1–3month horizon; initialized allocation held until first October trading run or stop. No retest of accepted premium.
eligible7
selected3
queued_shares1
fund170.2
slot56.73
position_cap212.75
EEM_target_pct10.72
EEM_stop65.93
EEM_target75.11
08UTC nine-asset signals and conditional Monday complement
TechnicaladoptCore trend fractionalSPY, QQQ, IWM, EFA, EEM, GLD, TLT, BTC/USD, ETH/USD2026-09-13 08:03
Premises: 1 fresh paginated Alpaca venue bars,1682 per ETF/2081 per crypto, unique timestamps and OHLC checks pass; 2 ETFs completed Sep11/crypto Sep12, Sep13 partial excluded; 3 own query_trades empty and current supplied Core EEM queue excluded. 252/365 interval adjusted close total-return proxy, SMA200, arithmetic ATR20, P90 rolling60bar percentage gains whose endpoints are within last5years. Table [{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":104.34},{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":93.5},{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":91.5},{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0},{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}]. QQQ/IWM/EFA remain top eligible complement; negative annual crypto returns are ranked without inventing positive-return filter. Proposed sizes conditional, actual orders zero, session closed. Specific mandate says no repeat momentum validation; no new backtest or duplicate static Monte Carlo. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars SIP adjustment all and https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . One provider, dividend reinvestment not independently reconstructed.
selected3
cap289.34
QQQ104.34
IWM93.5
EFA91.5
orders0
C91306 current entry check: zero fresh signals across seven volatile top-ten coins
TechnicalwatchCrypto majorsBTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, LTC/USD, XRP/USD, HYPE/USD, LINK/USD2026-09-13 06:19
Remote job259 at06:16:03UTC verifies completedSep13 05:00hour; closes versus prior480hourhighs: BTC77300.6305/82233.502538071; ETH2522.35/2664.8535; SOL101.789/110.5357; LTC54.2805/59.34355; XRP1.36755/1.5488; HYPE79.4206/89.9954713195; LINK11.5411/13.677. Allcalendarwindowscomplete, allsignalsfalse and last24h highbreakoutavailabilityempty. ETH72h eventreplay retainsSep11 14UTCbreakout and22UTCpullbackat2515.682; no currentarm. Replayis aneventdetector, notfullportfoliooccupancy, so itdoesnotauthorize lateentry. CompletedSep12dailyBTC/ETH/SOL closes77266.385/2525.045/101.7655 aboveSMA20070095.0660/2055.8333/83.04133; positive trend alone is not freshpolicyentry. Universe comes from retainedjob14 seven-completed-day venuevolume census across36USDpairs, includes3stablecoins; USDGonly3/7days, publishedinventory notliveasseteligibility. Quotejob257 at06:16:45 has4/10quotesaged<=300s;BTC77254.38/77282.4,ETH2520.68/2521.1, topbiddepth$22.4/$83.7;SOLquote406s stale. Small displayeddepth and timing requirefreshquotes foranyfutureorder. Premises: currententry is absent independentlyof modelconfidence; costs andcadence cannot be bypassed witholdETHsignal. Conclusion noorder; all$119.14cash. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots .
fresh_entries0
volatile_coins7
fresh_quotes4
quote_universe10
BTC_hourclose77300.63
ETH_hourclose2522.35
SOL_hourclose101.79
BTC_high48082233.5
ETH_high4802664.85
SOL_high480110.54
fund_cash119.14
size0
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