Premises:1 completed Sep18 daily provider bars with explicit end/pagination/deduplication;2 annual252/365 intervals, SMA200, arithmeticATR20, five-year rolling60 gainP90;3 Core retired flat/noqueues supplied, ownledger queried empty;4 equity1000/cap280. AboveSMA ranks determine initial basket; GLD positiveannual failsSMA, crypto negativeannual aboveSMA ranks6/7. Core exclusion does not extend to trend-ws EEMqueue; its67.37 plus93.33=160.70<250. Full table [{"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":761.69,"annual":0.17127216250711208,"sma":712.4730999999999,"atr":6.002450000000005,"p90":0.10841930825440019,"p90_n":1255,"above":true,"high20":773.38,"rv20":0.09177563610967954,"rv60":0.11312092354477239,"sma_atr":8.199468550341958,"rank":4,"size":0},{"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":721.45,"annual":0.2286901578759135,"sma":661.77265,"atr":8.27367999999999,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"p90_n":1255,"above":true,"high20":724.125,"rv20":0.13259575277098215,"rv60":0.20262312430252308,"sma_atr":7.21291493023662,"rank":2,"size":93.33},{"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":284.1,"annual":0.20131929468476484,"sma":273.51065,"atr":3.2170000000000045,"p90":0.12821050854556687,"p90_n":1255,"above":true,"high20":299.61,"rv20":0.11570688235583014,"rv60":0.12955340911025792,"sma_atr":3.291684799502645,"rank":3,"size":93.33},{"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":104.97,"annual":0.16737099644128106,"sma":101.03105,"atr":1.0289949999999997,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"p90_n":1255,"above":true,"high20":108.83,"rv20":0.11416290921426177,"rv60":0.12889421103624116,"sma_atr":3.8279583477082073,"rank":5,"size":0},{"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":67.03,"annual":0.28311638591117916,"sma":62.091550000000005,"atr":0.9432499999999997,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"p90_n":1255,"above":true,"high20":69.125,"rv20":0.1932396140694298,"rv60":0.24840144812103848,"sma_atr":5.235568513119531,"rank":1,"size":93.33},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":401.17,"annual":0.1905214114016085,"sma":416.22065,"atr":7.923445000000004,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"p90_n":1255,"above":false,"high20":429.42,"rv20":0.24422366642064655,"rv60":0.23863792442144555,"sma_atr":-1.8995083577913339,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"TLT","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":81.25,"annual":-0.05709643727515379,"sma":84.36059999999999,"atr":0.6628700000000016,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"p90_n":1255,"above":false,"high20":83.28,"rv20":0.08715413290888699,"rv60":0.09328490770712505,"sma_atr":-4.692624496507586,"rank":null,"size":0},{"symbol":"BTC/USD","date":"2026-09-18","bars":2087,"close":80872.5325,"annual":-0.3095310208682954,"sma":70400.16140458945,"atr":2297.23361440355,"p90":0.36778582915826996,"p90_n":1826,"above":true,"high20":82233.502538071,"rv20":0.4222517733513944,"rv60":0.4154559559484917,"sma_atr":4.558687906075055,"rank":6,"size":0},{"symbol":"ETH/USD","date":"2026-09-18","bars":2087,"close":2612.4025,"annual":-0.43082804809764197,"sma":2070.4311531083276,"atr":102.69994243532499,"p90":0.42387299348060825,"p90_n":1826,"above":true,"high20":2664.8535,"rv20":0.5023620903380691,"rv60":0.611675557757322,"sma_atr":5.277231262646301,"rank":7,"size":0}]. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars and /data/crypto-bars . Planned sizes conditional on fresh RTH state/entry; no momentumretest.
equity1000
cap280
total279.99
selectedEEM QQQ IWM
signals9
orders0
R91904 OCC trend recovery has not met the inherited breakout entry
TechnicalwatchSupply chainOCC2026-09-19 04:11
Measured SIP/all2693 completed daily bars Jan2016–Sep18,2026, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OCC&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Premises:1.Close14.82 aboveSMA50 14.7242 andSMA200 11.02025 but below prior20 closing high14.92.2.ATR20 true range1.074=7.247% of price, so2ATR stop12.672;55bp each-side cost raises3R target to21.919686.3.Price47.03% below252-day intraday high27.9799; a large drawdown alone is not value. Median20volume197561 shares; worst252 opening gap-18.854%, best+59.431%. Conclusion: no current inherited breakout entry; no support for a narrow noise stop. No holding so R achieved/days held/exit changes are not applicable. Price stop is a research risk proxy, not proof a fundamental thesis failed; a future investment requires aligned thesis and execution. Daily bar extremes and next-open tests do not validate15-minute venue monitoring.
close14.82
prior2014.92
SMA5014.72
SMA20011.02
ATR201.07
stop_proxy12.67
net3R_target21.92
median20_volume197561
worst252_gap_pct-18.85
R91904 SFIX price and volume: earnings eligibility only, not a high breakout
TechnicalwatchConvex tailSFIX2026-09-19 04:09
Premises: Sep18 completed S2.84 below SMA20 3.04725,50 3.504,200 3.9037; low2.81 is252-session low versus high5.94. Latest3.014686m volume=2.015883x prior20mean;20-session return-14.97006%;ATR20 .1217 (4.2852% ofS),RSI14 34.58576 andRV20 41.42043%. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=SFIX&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Combined reading: weak trend with expanded trading near lows, not high-volume 52week-high mandate route. Price/SMA/RSI are transformations of same tape, not3independent signals. Event eligibility comes solely from issuer Sep23AMC https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx . Counterexample: lowRSI can precede a large earnings recovery; no directional probability inferred. Do not use stops on stockATR for this option; option stop remains50% of paid premium and entirepremium remains risk. No technical strategy is adopted; no breakout CLI result is substituted for an earnings-option backtest.
close2.84
SMA203.05
SMA503.5
SMA2003.9
ATR200.12
RSI1434.59
high2525.94
low2522.81
volume_ratio2.02
return20_pct-14.97
RV20_pct41.42
R91904 full18 signals after verified missing-split repair
Start: no Supply holdings, so no R/days-held or exit changes. SIP/all Sep18 closes versus prior20 closing highs: GLW150.13<168.46, OCC14.82<14.92, NVT157.88<162.57; none qualifies fixed closing breakout+SMA50. FPS39.44>38.06, BTDR12.97>12.67, FEAM2.50>2.06 qualify mechanically. ATR20 respectively FPS2.202595/BTDR.929085/FEAM.162145. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all Fixed stop/target/cost arithmetic gives net3R minimum FPS53.605, BTDR18.857, FEAM3.583; these are hurdle prices, not justified valuations. Backtests reject BTDR/FEAM; FPS lacks enough independent history. Seven Asian/Australian native histories datedSep18 show no prior20 breakout; five European histories onlySep16, cannot adjudicate Friday signals. Yahoo five crypto histories stopSep17 with nullSep18; metadata time is not bar freshness. https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/BTC-USD Alternative venue414 completed daily bars throughSep18: ETH2612.4025>2525.045 and SOL112.665>106.529 prior20, both above200SMA; BTC80872.5325<81269.4915 and LINK12.2265<13.2346. Explicitly discardSep19partial endpoint despite API end parameter. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars This corrects stale Yahoo inference, but no measured tokenholder bottleneck rent or independently tested Supply crypto rule was found. FIL remains stale. Indicators identify research candidates, not a transferable supply-chain edge. Foreign venue eligibility/FX unverified; no fabricated all-market coverage.
FPS_close39.44
FPS_ATR2.2
FPS_net3R53.6
BTDR_close12.97
FEAM_close2.5
crypto_completed_bars414
foreign_fresh7
foreign_stale5
Nine-asset signal table: EEM QQQ IWM selected at current capital
1. Fresh Sep18 SIP/all eleven-name collector panel: only FRO closes above prior20high and SMA50. STNG87.16<87.85, TEN52.09<52.81, LPG58.15<58.31, BWLP25.66<26.14 and SWKS88.76<91.32 lost the previous-day breakout condition; VIST/CCJ/HWM/KMT still fail. NVT157.88>50SMA156.4076 but belowprior20 162.57; HUBB446.92 below50SMA475.396 and200SMA484.0453. Recorded every panel datum. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all 2. FRO rawSep17close54.03 toSep18 51.42=-4.83065%; adjusted50.66to51.42=+1.5002%. Sep11 issuer declared.80special additionalto2.61ordinary, both expectedNYSEexSep18. https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/ . Simple cash-inclusivereturn+1.48066%, not raw4.83%loss. This supersedes memory's conditional/undatedspecial. No after-exdate dividendcapture edge. 3. NVT2ATR stop proxy144.37482; gross3R198.39554 becomes only2.94466R after12bp roundtrip assumption; costed3Rthreshold199.15336. Old252high184.40 gives1.92269R. Current60daygainP90 28.1083% would project202.257, a statistical tail sensitivity rather than approved fundamental fairvalue. 4. TEN frozen business levels45.41/55.36 retained; at52.09 payoff roughly.455R after30bp roundtrip assumption, still below3R. No tighterstop or highertarget fabricated to pass. Signals+SMA correlated, not independent corroboration. No holdings so no live exits moved; no order until entry plus defended payoff.
panel_n11
signals_pass1
NVT_close157.88
NVT_prior20162.57
NVT_ATR206.75
NVT_stop_proxy144.37
NVT_net3R_threshold199.15
NVT_high_target_R1.92
TEN_net_R0.46
FRO_raw_return-4.83
FRO_adjusted_return1.5
FRO_declared_total_dividend3.41
Sep18 full11 signals and evidence-based initial brackets
Premises:1) Fresh two-page SIP adjustment=all,1332 unique OHLC-valid daily bars Jun2021–Sep18 2026. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&end=2026-09-18T21:00:00Z . End near current time returned403 recent-SIP restriction; 21UTC cutoff succeeds.2) Average21/63/126/252 adjusted returns, eligible close>SMA200, ATR20 arithmetic true range.3) Own ledger empty; initial selection, not discretionary intramonth rotation. Columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligibleRank,conditionalNotional: [["XLK",3.2455,-0.842,37.3018,40.434,20.0348,189.6,162.2356,3.1445,1,106.7],["XLE",1.1482,20.4533,9.8377,47.3648,19.701,64.31,55.31485,1.264725,2,106.7],["XLV",-4.1496,13.211,15.8355,24.8721,12.4422,168.39,155.18015,2.16547,3,106.7],["XLF",-2.8184,4.6459,15.0093,4.9014,5.4346,55.86,53.4515,0.708845,4,0],["XLB",-4.8172,-3.1577,5.5755,12.035,2.4089,49.99,50.17395,0.78826,null,0],["XLI",-6.7051,-5.94,4.0135,13.7582,1.2816,169.75,171.1439,2.39825,null,0],["XLP",-4.3217,0.0846,2.2854,6.0587,1.0267,82.8,82.96825,0.89176,null,0],["XLRE",-5.4679,-2.1849,3.0281,4.6763,0.0129,42.53,42.77705,0.50224,null,0],["XLC",-0.4581,1.5022,-1.4935,-5.5731,-1.5056,110.81,113.62755,1.607,null,0],["XLY",-6.3749,-5.0458,1.62,-7.3592,-4.29,111.03,116.5771,1.50725,null,0],["XLU",-6.6333,-7.5989,-10.4965,0.1706,-6.1395,41.1,44.22215,0.63553,null,0]]. XLK/XLE/XLV P90 rolling60-session returns ending within last5years (1255 overlapping observations, not positive-only):18.3634507/20.6348444/10.6286482%. Indicative stops183.311/61.78055/164.05906; targets224.417103/77.580268/186.287581; gross5.5362/5.2463/4.1325R. Refresh actual entry formulas. Breadth7->4 since Sep17; XLB/XLP/XLRE below SMA. Basket unchanged despite XLK/XLE rank swap. Conclusion long mandate persists; no repeat backtest or macro veto. Soundness conditional on vendor adjustments, not independently reconstructed. Hold once entered until mandate exit; re-rank first October trading run or after stop. Profit-only ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. No holdings to reset.
1. Fresh local08:02collector reads completed Sep17 SIP/all bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Ten-symbol existing panel, six pass close>prior20 close high AND SMA50: FRO50.66,STNG87.85,SWKS91.32,TEN52.81,BWLP26.14,LPG58.31. VIST73.31,CCJ92.80,HWM225.76,KMT29.84 fail. This differs from seven-of-eleven prior analysis3336 because universes differ; not a contradiction. Each close,prior20,SMA,ADR,age recorded. No current Sep18 partial daily used. 2. Read prior backtest3313 LPG holdout return-25.6595%,DD40.4370%,win20%,N10; no repeated sweep of unchanged samples. TEN analysis3336 frozen45.41stop/55.36target,52.81close net.31453R;47.74447 costed3Rprice ceiling is necessary geometry only, not an authorized dip order after failed baseline. 3. Source adjusted daily closes not executable quotes; FRO expected Sep18ex-date from prior issuer receipt requires raw prices before anynewstop. Signal and SMA are correlated evidence; do not double-count. HalfKelly/MC3330-35/3337 retained as model sensitivities, not live odds. Current no validated new entry, size0; no new backtest/simulation needed for this unchanged decision.
panel10
pass6
TEN_close52.81
TEN_net_R0.31
TEN_stop45.41
TEN_target55.36
TEN_3R_ceiling47.74
LPG_close58.31
LPG_holdout_return-25.66
LPG_holdout_n10
current_size0
08UTC full nine-asset signal table: EEM QQQ IWM remain selected
Premises:1) Fresh two-page SIP adjustment=all pull June1 2021–Sep17 2026 has1331 unique bars each, OHLC checks pass. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars .2) Rank arithmetic mean of21/63/126/252 adjusted close returns among close>SMA200. ATR20 arithmetic mean true range.3) Current cap339.97/equity849.92; selectedXLE/XLK/XLV. Table columns symbol,21%,63%,126%,252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligibleRank,notional: [["XLE",1.2562814070351758,18.791451731761242,11.866759195003485,48.12772800367564,20.010555084368885,64.48,55.2166,1.2882249999999995,1,106.62],["XLK",1.3145135222497606,1.3363508998814444,36.64172055511155,38.82040304126375,19.528247004626625,188.06,162.00065,3.1324999999999976,2,106.62],["XLV",-0.5420373534437029,12.502499166944347,15.710466790047306,25.434685688809623,13.276403573089393,168.81,155.10479999999998,2.268469999999996,3,106.62],["XLF",-3.388658367911479,3.750464166357226,15.09783728115346,5.953735305271146,5.353344596217588,55.88,53.43345,0.7200950000000009,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643491695635,-2.1609106694964297,5.448118111873557,13.90386343216532,3.7811589893965243,50.71,50.144,0.7967749999999991,5,0],["XLP",-2.4421593830334265,0.46931407942238934,2.3036392598946076,7.576343254735218,1.9767843027546972,83.49,82.94265000000001,0.9342600000000004,6,0],["XLRE",-3.7866905668832773,-1.4911676990135514,3.769937167713855,5.633456334563336,1.0313838090950904,42.94,42.7645,0.5042350000000002,7,0],["XLI",-7.931579234079644,-5.6653270819379316,2.860446716572329,12.748498999332881,0.5030098499719082,169.01,171.0458,2.4502499999999983,null,0],["XLC",1.6926140477914409,3.1491002570694038,-0.5752212389380618,-4.015378043571127,0.0627787555879139,112.35,113.6426,1.5849999999999995,null,0],["XLY",-4.271227225850804,-3.3576262363352427,1.1441024244075226,-7.298601864181087,-3.445838225489903,111.39,116.60995000000001,1.5609999999999986,null,0],["XLU",-5.293048614266249,-5.636034404708012,-9.585773151160272,1.8568287319814303,-4.6645068595382755,41.69,44.23335,0.6305299999999991,null,0]]. P90 rolling60-session gains last5years,N1254 each: XLE20.6533397%,XLK18.3697379%,XLV10.6321920%. Indicative close-based stops/targets61.90355/77.79727,181.795/222.60613,164.27306/186.75820; payoff5.16885/5.51415/3.95602R before costs. Actual entry recalculates all brackets. Conclusion initial long allocation unchanged; no per-ticker revalidation. Soundness conditional on feed adjustment and future fill; these are not odds or guaranteed payouts.
bars_per_etf1331
eligible7
slot106.62
total319.86
residual20.11
R91806 current signal map and executable-payoff separation
1. Sep17 completed SIP/all bars, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Current close/prior20-close-high/SMA50: TEN52.81/52.31/41.4862; FRO50.66/50.32/39.424; STNG87.85/85.73/78.8874; LPG58.31/57.86/47.5036; BWLP26.14/25.84/22.0448; PSIX45.55/43.15/35.784; FTK30.60/28.13/27.2462. These seven pass breakout&SMA50. ALM14.13/19.12/15.2245,AA46.97/51.85/48.346,CENX40.75/47.95/45.3155,MU977.50/1027.77/926.7737 fail. 2. Positive screen is not an independent edge. TEN/FRO/STNG train ATR rules negative; LPG holdout negative; BWLP no long train/negative2024-25; PSIX2026 negative andbelow200day55.521; FTK train/holdout negative. AA/CENX/MU retain positive train/holdout experiments but inactive signals, and AA/CENX2026 negative. ALM new contract does not make its failed signal true. 3. TEN old defended45.41/55.36 at52.81 yieldsnet.314527R under1bpfee15bpslip eachside, old3Rentryceiling47.744473. New volatility-only stop49.67716/target62.20852 in simulation is a different, unvalidated valuation claim; not a reason to raise target or tighten stop to fit. 4. Fund cap101.99 allows oneTEN share, oneLPG, oneSTNG, up to2PSIX or7ALM, but affordability isnotedge. FRO dividends require raw-price/deliverable reconciliation before live stops; adjusted closes notquotes. No fresh snapshots claimed thisrun. Current SIP PSIX45.55 differsIEXcollector45.45 byfeed/sample; use internallyconsistent SIP forresearch. Conclusion no current order; preserve hypotheticallevels separately from committed exits.
screen_pass7
universe11
TEN_net_R0.31
TEN_frozen_stop45.41
TEN_frozen_target55.36
TEN_entry_ceiling47.74
ALM_signal0
AA_signal0
CENX_signal0
MU_signal0
cash101.99
orders0
06UTC nine completed signals and reduced-cap initial complement
Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2021-06-01T00:00:00Z&end=2026-09-17T23:59:59Z ; documentation https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars . All11 have1331 unique completed daily sessions and OHLC checks pass. Mean adjusted21/63/126/252-session returns; SMA200 includes latest close; ATR20 arithmetic mean true range. Table columns symbol,r21%,r63%,r126%,r252%,mean%,close,SMA200,ATR20,eligible-rank,planned$: [["XLE",1.25628,18.79145,11.86676,48.12773,20.01056,64.48,55.2166,1.2882249999999995,1,106.62],["XLK",1.31451,1.33635,36.64172,38.8204,19.52825,188.06,162.00065,3.1324999999999976,2,106.62],["XLV",-0.54204,12.5025,15.71047,25.43469,13.2764,168.81,155.10479999999998,2.268469999999996,3,106.62],["XLF",-3.38866,3.75046,15.09784,5.95374,5.35334,55.88,53.43345,0.7200950000000009,4,0],["XLB",-2.06643,-2.16091,5.44812,13.90386,3.78116,50.71,50.144,0.7967749999999991,5,0],["XLP",-2.44216,0.46931,2.30364,7.57634,1.97678,83.49,82.94265000000001,0.9342600000000004,6,0],["XLRE",-3.78669,-1.49117,3.76994,5.63346,1.03138,42.94,42.7645,0.5042350000000002,7,0],["XLI",-7.93158,-5.66533,2.86045,12.7485,0.50301,169.01,171.0458,2.4502499999999983,null,0],["XLC",1.69261,3.1491,-0.57522,-4.01538,0.06278,112.35,113.6426,1.5849999999999995,null,0],["XLY",-4.27123,-3.35763,1.1441,-7.2986,-3.44584,111.39,116.60995000000001,1.5609999999999986,null,0],["XLU",-5.29305,-5.63603,-9.58577,1.85683,-4.66451,41.69,44.23335,0.6305299999999991,null,0]]. P90 computed from1254 overlapping60-session adjusted returns ending within last5years: XLE20.653340%,XLK18.369738%,XLV10.632192%. Close-based stop/target: XLE61.90355/77.79727;XLK181.795/222.60613;XLV164.27306/186.75820. Recompute from actual entry E: E-2ATR and E*(1+P90). Horizon1–3months. Initial deployment then freeze selections until first monthly trading run or stop; profitable ratchet max(existing,SMA200,high20-2ATR), never loosen. New cap339.97 replaces118.99; equal106.62 slots reflect risk ceiling. No new strategy validation.