Premises: 1.No holdings or queued orders; R progress and time held do not apply. Sep4 rawTXNM58.00, SMA50=57.458,SMA200=58.434,ATR20=.267,ADR20=.256. Above50/below200 with small ranges is not a deal probability. Illustrative ATRstop57.733/target58.4005 gives1.5R and1.56daily ranges, but an adverse ruling can skip that stop. Prior Avangrid termination announcedJan2 2024; feed opens38.64 versus prior41.60 (-7.1154%), closes39.11 (-5.9856%). One historical failure illustrates gap mechanism, not frequency estimate. 2.TXNM median20-session dollar volume46.52m and3whole shares affordable174USD; a hypothetical break to50 loses24USD on3shares, above8.5099account riskcap. 3.MRGR45.4816,ATR.117475,ADR.073625;1.5ATRtarget2.39daily ranges, already beyond preferredone-to-two rangeguidance. Last20median volume792shares/35987.89USD,3zero-rangebars; later275/1169zero-rangebars(23.52%),training946/1509(62.69%). Small reported volatility partly reflects sparseprints. MNA36.68,median dollarvolume833046.14,target1.60ranges,butbacktestfails. Conclusion: price levels and affordability cannot override failed edge and unbounded gap exposure. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1634997/000119312524000160/d677779dex991.htm ; https://www.proshares.com/our-etfs/strategic/mrgr .
TXNM close58
TXNM ATR200.27
TXNM ADR200.26
prior break opening gap pct-7.12
MRGR last20 median volume792
MRGR later zero range pct23.52
MRGR target ADR2.39
TXNM three shares break loss24
account risk cap8.51
actual notional0
SRRK mixed trend, insufficient swing geometry and whole-share affordability
Premises: 1. Live quant has no open or queued positions; R gained, target progress and days held are not applicable. 2. September4 SPLV close74.74, SMA50 75.8084, SMA200 73.40835: below intermediate trend but above long trend. ATR20 .6445, ADR20 .548. Illustrative stop74.0955/target75.70675 equals1.764 recent daily ranges, a plausible move but not an order. 3. USMV100.80, EFAV94.78 and EEMV76.865 exceed both50/200day means; that does not validate the failed swing strategy. 4. Position cap212.7475 permits two whole shares of each defensive ETF; nominal1% account risk8.5099 is not binding at these daily ATRs, but actual entry size is zero. RY210.59 permits one share; FTS55.26 permits three. Realistic levels cannot repair negative or uncertain payoff, nor does affordability prove liquidity at the next session. No catch-up September entry: registered monthly entry already passed. Gaps, dividends, 15minute monitoring and profit-taking still need independent validation for any future positive strategy. All7ETF level/range/cap/volume rows saved separately. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; query_trades fund=quant ; user account snapshot.
open positions0
queued orders0
SPLV close74.74
SPLV ATR200.64
SPLV ADR200.55
SPLV SMA5075.81
SPLV SMA20073.41
SPLV target ADR1.76
position cap212.75
risk cap8.51
actual allocation0
Fresh signals and realistic range geometry: only MU crosses, no eligible order
Sep4 completed IEX bar, retrievedSep6, source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Close83.57 below SMA20 85.84175,SMA50 85.62510,SMA200 97.453175; RSI14 recursive EWM44.77736;20-session return-5.24406%; realized20-session annualized volatility30.14416%. SMA ATR14 2.147857;20-session average intraday range1.80475;20-session low82.755,high89.62;mean IEX volume125430.8 shares is partial-venue volume, not consolidated liquidity. Combined indicators describe a weak trend without extreme RSI; no independently validated indicator entry. At reference83.57 a frozen one-ATR stop81.422143 and1.5ATR target86.791786 would offer nominal1.5R; target is1.785 average intraday ranges away and near overhead averages. These are diagnostic levels, not an ADJUST/PROPOSE, since no holding and no eligible rule. Do not anchor a future order to stale weekend close: recalculate at eligible entry using prior data and execution quote, preserving rule. Strong counterargument: proximity to recent lows can precede rebound; level proximity alone does not establish probability.
close83.57
ATR142.15
ADR201.8
SMA2085.84
SMA5085.63
SMA20097.45
RSI1444.78
20d return percent-5.24
illustrative stop81.42
illustrative target86.79
allocation0
Empty book; positive trends do not supply a settlement-reversal entry
Noholdingsorqueuedorders,so Rmade,targetprogress,daysheld andstop/targetresetare notapplicable. Today's suppliedmediaheadlines do notalteranopenquantthesis because thereisnone; noheadlinewasverifiedorusedasentryevidence. Daily venue bars lastSep4 closeSPY770.19,EFA108.35,EEM68.70. SPYaboveSMA50=756.8572/SMA200=709.8553;ATR20=5.23686,ADR20=4.40956,5day+0.10918%;EFA5day+0.58485%,EEM+2.32350%. Positive5dayreturnsfailnegative-returnlegandnowisnotregisteredmonthendentrytime. Theseindicatorsare descriptiveandcannotreviverejectedreversal. Mainrange1.5ATRtargetequals1.7814recentSPYADRs, physicallymodestbutstilllostaftercosts; realismofleveldoesnotcreateedge. Cap212.7475buys0wholeSPY,1EFA,3EEMshares atlastclose. SPYfractionalstopswouldwaitregularhours;dailyOHLCsimulationdoesnotvalidatethisriskorvenue15minutesampling. Liquidmedian20daydollarvolumesSPY28.0419bn,EFA901.669m,EEM1.08546bn make ourdollars smallrelativevolume,but quotes/sessionfills remainunknown. Green-positionpartialexit/trail behavior wasn'ttested, so screeningmodel cannotbe promotedunchanged. No stop/targetorders toalter, newmonitor needed, or between-runeligibleexecutionbefore02UTC. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; livequery_tradesfundquant andaccount snapshot.
open positions0
queued orders0
SPY close770.19
SPY ATR205.24
SPY ADR204.41
SPY SMA50756.86
SPY SMA200709.86
SPY whole shares cap0
EFA whole shares cap1
EEM whole shares cap3
proposed notional0
GEV price regime has no registered entry; range exits cannot be inferred from trend wins
TechnicalrejectSupply chainGEV2026-09-06 00:08
CompletedSep4 alladjustedSIP610GEVbars: close941.95,SMA10 929.047,SMA50 1015.3968,ADR20 34.878795,20sessionreturn-4.88428%. Priceabove10 butbelow50;10below50 andno freshupcross, so registeredentryfalse. These indicators share one pricehistory, not independent confirmations. Hypothetical1ADRstop/2ADRtarget distances34.88/69.76 are descriptive geometry only, not tested exits; do not apply to 66%average longtrendwin or enter withoutsignal. Maxwhole shares0under212.75cap; no holdings means no Rprogress,targetfraction or daysheld toadjust. Dividend-adjusted diagnostic does not validate raw executable exit prices. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; archive2958–2997 contains rawobservations andcode. Zeroentry.
close941.95
SMA10929.05
SMA501015.4
ADR2034.88
return20_pct-4.88
new_entry0
max_whole_shares0
proposed_notional0
Attack the bullish tail-call thesis: ordinary ranges do not guarantee profitable option exits
Premises: (1) measured stock ranges can constrain plausible option exits; (2) a directional trend alone does not establish underpricing; (3) full premium, not nominal stop distance, consumes the risk limit. Sep4 completed IEX bars: QQQ719.10, ATR14 8.1675, RSI14 53.73, SMA20 717.517/SMA50 711.0402. SPY770.18 ATR5.4764 RSI55.68; IWM295.94 ATR3.0964 RSI48.05 below20/50 SMAs298.8608/296.9629; PATH15.20 ATR0.9496 RSI45.30 below20SMA16.684 but above50SMA13.894. These mixed combinations do not prove trend persistence. QQQ731 call strike is11.90 or1.46 ATR above spot, reachable in a strong move but not the average outcome within one remaining session afterSep4 (Sep7 holiday). Bear case: flat tape, lower realized variance and decay eliminate tiny premium; low delta and one-cent spread make a base-hit trade harder despite inexpensive entry. No reset for any holding: none exist. No indicator is an entry authorization. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=QQQ,SPY,IWM,PATH&timeframe=1Day&start=2023-01-01&end=2026-09-05&feed=iex&adjustment=all . Exact formulas and remaining14-symbol measures in observations.
QQQ_ATR8.17
QQQ_RSI53.73
QQQ_731_strike_distance_ATR1.46
SPY_ATR5.48
IWM_RSI48.05
PATH_RV21_pct88.54
holdings_reviewed0
Sep5 trading refresh: no qualifying completed-close major breakout
1. Direct venue-proxy daily bars fetched16:35UTC, partialSep5 discarded,35/36symbols have21uniqueUTCdates Aug15-Sep4; USDG incomplete4/7recentdays. Observed-volume ranking includes stablecoins; onlyUSDT meets close>prior20closes. This is a price diagnostic, not a tested stablecoin strategy. 2. BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP completed closes79676.7475/2456.376/101.95/1.398615 versus thresholds81269.4915/2515.933/109.15/1.51966; allfalse. Quotes16:34:42–16:35:45 mid79951.753/2467.853/103.18/1.413905 are1.6214/1.9110/5.4695/6.9591% below thresholds; quotes are not completed signals. 3. 36-symbol observations2838-2873 and quote observations2874-2877 retain measured rows/source dates; calendar volume computed v*vw, no global-volume or live-Assets completeness claim. 4. Strongest counterexample: a new intraday surge could cross a level; that would not satisfy existing completed-bar entry timing or repair unvalidated exits. Watch status retained, no new rule/backtest or proposal. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots . Saved cross-timeframe inconsistencies167 remain unresolved; this refresh does not certify historical feed integrity.
pairs36
complete windows35
raw signals1
eligible signals0
BTC spread bp2.7
ETH spread bp3.47
SOL spread bp9.69
XRP spread bp38.12
Current sector weakness is a ranking, not an executable reversal entry
CompletedSep4 spot closes BTC79676.7475,ETH2456.376,SOL101.95 exceed50daymeans68776.3257,2077.1341,83.2150;20day returns+26.425/+30.567/+35.419%. These correlated price indicators are not independent confirmations. Registered previousday Binance fundingdaily sums+1.9511,+1.6131,+.2422bp,so none qualifies negative-and-below-prior30day10thpercentile; thresholds+1.24586,+.69702,-1.07644bp. All currententriesfalse. Illustrative1ADRstop/2ADRtarget prices BTC76754.90/85520.44,ETH2337.63/2693.88,SOL95.42/115.01 derive from ranges but are not live orders, currentquotes or evidence of expectedprofit. FundingforecastSOL-.4808bp at04:04 is a different field/period/venue from completed Binance daily+.2422bp; no contradiction after definitions align. Binance/Bybit/OKX lastSOLdaily sums+.2422/-.9447/-.2478bp;93commoncomplete days have Binance/Bybit signagreement79.57%,Binance/OKX83.87%. Negativeonevenue is not a global consensus. Premises absententry and failednetbacktests independently prohibit purchase. No openholdings or queuedorders,so no R-progress or stopadjustment needed. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/fundingRate ; https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/funding/history ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history . Currentdaily snapshot not executablebidask.
BTC close79676.75
ETH close2456.38
SOL close101.95
SOL Binance daily bp0.24
SOL Bybit daily bp-0.94
SOL OKX daily bp-0.25
current eligible signals0
SOL crossvenue agreement pct79.57
Protein trends and range geometry: no completed entry signal
Completed September4 all-adjusted IEX daily metrics; partial-market prices/volume, not executable quotes. CPRT33.715>SMA20/50 32.2085/30.0816,+13.71%20sessions,ADR20 .97275. Hypothetical two-ADR target35.6605 and20-session-low28.68 stop gives only.3864reward/risk; tightening stop solely to pass1.5 is not thesis invalidation. BRZE31.955>SMA30.97875/27.1159,+20.494%,ADR1.36275, but September8 after-close leaves no multi-session run-up on next open. CNXC32.17,+25.175%,trend positive, but September24 is merely estimated, no primary confirmation recovered; reject date eligibility. TLX11.95>SMA11.67975/11.1868,ADR.12125 versus ATR.384286, IEX observed dollar volume only89939.70: intraday range alone misses gaps and thin-feed coverage. GRAL80.275,SRRK55.305,ORCL158.77 exceed49.14fund whole-share affordability; fractional overnight exit restrictions matter. Fund affords1CPRT,1BRZE,4TLX at references before costs; affordability cannot substitute for edge. Three combined moving averages/range measures derive from same price source, not independent confirmations. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; all218 metric rows persisted in bulk observations starting885, with source dates. No holdings or queued orders, so no live stops/targets/R-progress to reset. Failed Copart holdout and expired entry date override visual trend. No valid stop/target geometry produces a proposal.
cprt_close33.72
cprt_adr0.97
cprt_hypothetical_target35.66
cprt_low2028.68
cprt_reward_risk0.39
brze_ret2020.49
tlx_adr0.12
tlx_atr0.38
tlx_iex_dollar_volume89939.7
September country signals and account mechanics rule out catch-up entries
Completed Sep4 SIP adjusted closes EWY188.87/EWT112.18/EWP62.75; September rank scores from July2026/August2025 are122.364/71.614/32.729%. All above their200day averages147.247/83.920/56.052. These describe the already-passed Sep1 monthly decision; no delayed catch-up rule was tested. ADR20 dollars4.43156/1.311945/.478275 imply illustrative close-minus1ADR/plus2ADR geometry, not authorized orders. Test monthly median hold31days contrasts range1day;28/133 range trades closed the entry day, with maximum3 per rolling5 weekday sessions, consuming the account allowance even before other funds. Equal thirds of245.69 are81.8967: EWY/EWT require fractional holdings; one whole share of both costs301.05 before EWP and exceeds fund cash. EWP permits one whole share but that changes tested weights. Partial one-third reductions also create fractions. Mandatory15minute stops, extended-hours liquidity and dividend-adjusted versus raw triggers remain unvalidated. Each nominal loss budget8.5108 is a ceiling, not a guaranteed stop fill. SNDK1740 and MU1016.59 exceed212.77 whole-share cap; AEHR86.26 is affordable but20day-16.31% and125.81% annualized20day volatility do not validate a reversal. NX SIP22.93 differs from IEX22.83, illustrating feed coverage; its12-1 score-14.48% fails positive momentum despite21.18% IEX daily surge. Premises: rules need exact timing, weights and exits; those are unmet. Conclusion zero entries. Flat ledger means no holding R-progress, stops or horizons to update. Sources https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots . Detailed symbol observations saved, not executable bid/ask quotes.
EWY close188.87
EWT close112.18
EWP close62.75
EWY ADR204.43
EWT ADR201.31
EWP ADR200.48
equal sleeve81.9
range same-day trades28
max five-day day trades3
actual size0
Large daily rebounds remain below registered breakout levels
Supersedes analysis67 USDG volume and continuity statements and observation273 windows. Initial tail(7) selected seven observations spanningAug26-Sep4, overstating seven-calendar-day amount4.103M. ExplicitAug29-Sep4 gives2.103309M across4availabledays; three missingdays unknown, Sep4reportedvolume0. USDG remainssecond by observedUSDnotional, but complete ranking cannot be certified without missing-day reconciliation. Last30calendarwindow has10rows and3zerovolumerows, not sixzero-volume days (old30observations). Its prior20close window also spans more than20days; no valid20day signal claimed. Other35names have7/7 recentdailyrows; testedXRP/LINK/UNI/PAXG complete latest21. Strongcounterargument no-trade days may simply be omitted, but do not assume that without data semantics. Corrected collector will explicitly label daycounts,missingcoverage andeligible0. Primary source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . This audit changes data-quality assessment, not zero-order decision. Need calendar filtering before rollingwindow interpretation on sparseassets.
USDG observed7calendar volume2103309.1
USDG present days4
USDG missing days3
eligible size0
Expanded 36-pair census: stablecoin turnover changes the top ten
Premises:1 Alpaca published support inventory lists36 USD pairs; May19 expansion release is primary corroboration of added assets, but same issuer not independent source.2 Fully paginated daily bars Sep2024-Sep4 give7day sum(v*vw) ranking USDC,USDG,BTC,ETH,SOL,XRP,PAXG,LINK,UNI,USDT. USDG was missing from prior33-name sample and displaces AAVE. 3 USDG Sep4 traded volume0 despite7day4.103M, sixzero-volume days last30; activity concentration is not continuously available liquidity.4 Only USDT closes above prior20 closes, with prior anomalous pricing; no nonstable signal. Conclusion no entry based on screen; current top10 is published-list/7day/USD-only, not verified account Assets inventory or cross-quote consolidated ranking. API gateway /data/assets404; no account credentials available; do not claim exhaustive live tradability. BTC/ETH/SOL core verdict66 unchanged. BONK/LDO current mover headlines do not satisfy seven-day top10 or validated signal. Current-universe selection introduces survivorship bias in historical tests. Sources https://alpaca.markets/support/what-cryptocurrencies-does-alpaca-currently-support and https://alpaca.markets/blog/alpaca-adds-new-crypto-coins-to-offering/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars . Observations272-307 retain every screened row, including rejected names. Top candidates new audits XRP/PAXG/LINK/UNI registered note125.