Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
BTC/USD sensitivity latest 1Day indicator interplay = 2.900130131697874
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"BTC/USD","timeframe":"1Day","last_close":80343.4945,"rv20_pct":2.900130131697874,"low_vol":false,"selected_window":100,"selected_filter":true,"signal":false,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.045271152936161387,"return_lag1_corr":-0.057562322061205096,"recent_range_pct":3.1492501111028304} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD raw latest 1Hour indicator interplay = 0.48998292638836777
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"SOL/USD","timeframe":"1Hour","last_close":105.14,"rv20_pct":0.48998292638836777,"low_vol":true,"selected_window":168,"selected_filter":false,"signal":true,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.01777827571807857,"return_lag1_corr":-0.02211409780669922,"recent_range_pct":0.9224541387454371} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD raw latest 1Hour indicator interplay = 0.277426124818002
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"ETH/USD","timeframe":"1Hour","last_close":2504.821,"rv20_pct":0.277426124818002,"low_vol":true,"selected_window":168,"selected_filter":false,"signal":true,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.093236742094084,"return_lag1_corr":0.015297505528517785,"recent_range_pct":0.5174547100126511} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD raw latest 1Hour indicator interplay = 0.20079864318316254
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"BTC/USD","timeframe":"1Hour","last_close":79746.772,"rv20_pct":0.20079864318316254,"low_vol":true,"selected_window":168,"selected_filter":true,"signal":true,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.06919372668977794,"return_lag1_corr":-0.00983153564113109,"recent_range_pct":0.35862372224502326} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD raw latest 1Day indicator interplay = 3.902081252567444
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"SOL/USD","timeframe":"1Day","last_close":106.529,"rv20_pct":3.902081252567444,"low_vol":false,"selected_window":50,"selected_filter":false,"signal":true,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.05550753661392145,"return_lag1_corr":-0.03328457542637134,"recent_range_pct":5.871372778798519} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD raw latest 1Day indicator interplay = 4.6849848668575715
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"ETH/USD","timeframe":"1Day","last_close":2515.445,"rv20_pct":4.6849848668575715,"low_vol":false,"selected_window":100,"selected_filter":true,"signal":false,"momentum_vol_corr":0.021907688651234287,"return_lag1_corr":-0.01066554728615778,"recent_range_pct":3.8646679211068973} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD raw latest 1Day indicator interplay = 2.9000591477580984
Crypto majors2026-09-07 06:14
CompleteddailySep6/hourlySep7 05UTC;rv20 is per-bar standarddeviation notannualized. Correlation fullsample descriptive, notcausal. {"symbol":"BTC/USD","timeframe":"1Day","last_close":80343.4945,"rv20_pct":2.9000591477580984,"low_vol":false,"selected_window":100,"selected_filter":true,"signal":false,"momentum_vol_corr":-0.058843013085684015,"return_lag1_corr":-0.057855133816951114,"recent_range_pct":3.149245494209274} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
GIS GIS fundamental derived arithmetic
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
FY26 rounded OCF2.2bn-capex.540bn=FCF1.66bn;dividends1.3bn+buybacks.5bn=1.8bn cashreturns,FCFshortfall.14bn;dividendcoverage1.276923x. FY27guide midpointEPS3.1 atSep4IEX38.28 ->12.348387x. 750mFY27savings/3bn4yrtarget=25%;4yraverage750m/year,not netprofit. IssuerJuly1URL observation8081 andanalysis586. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute holdout cost sensitivity
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
[{"slippage":0.001,"sample":10,"return_pct":2.8451222637011497,"drawdown_event_pct":5.808783179629973,"win_pct":50,"avg_win_pct":2.2995266806411285,"avg_loss_pct":1.6851846543494364,"mean_pct":0.30717101314584605},{"slippage":0.0025,"sample":10,"return_pct":-0.19442018302407993,"drawdown_event_pct":7.7661804886031245,"win_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":2.54054459985627,"avg_loss_pct":1.682530639466114,"mean_pct":0.006699456262839742}] Not independently trained venue strategy: followupresolutionaudit of frozenlevels afterdailyresultsseen. 3stop/3target/4time exits. No realfills; costs5bpfee+10/25bpslip eachside. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2026-07-01
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2026-07-01","bars":104,"first":"2026-06-24 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2026-06-29 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":34.04,"stop":33.12,"target":35.42,"check_exit":35.52,"reason":"target_close","exit_at":"2026-06-26 11:00:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":4.035251626673353,"net_0.0025_pct":3.723612551308686} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2026-03-18
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2026-03-18","bars":104,"first":"2026-03-11 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2026-03-16 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":40.65,"stop":39.65071428571429,"target":42.14892857142857,"check_exit":39.47,"reason":"stop_close","exit_at":"2026-03-11 10:30:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":-3.1936841131505522,"net_0.0025_pct":-3.4836688087294787} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2025-12-17
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2025-12-17","bars":104,"first":"2025-12-10 09:30:00-05:00","last":"2025-12-15 15:45:00-05:00","entry_price":43.62,"stop":42.778571428571425,"target":44.88214285714285,"check_exit":44.83,"reason":"time","exit_at":"2025-12-15 close","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":2.4660969736231664,"net_0.0025_pct":2.1591583233310896} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2025-09-17
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2025-09-17","bars":104,"first":"2025-09-10 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2025-09-15 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":46.98,"stop":46.21357142857143,"target":48.129642857142855,"check_exit":46.1,"reason":"stop_close","exit_at":"2025-09-15 16:00:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":-2.1670770365388337,"net_0.0025_pct":-2.4601369482114666} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2025-06-25
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2025-06-25","bars":104,"first":"2025-06-17 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2025-06-23 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":49.52,"stop":48.681428571428576,"target":50.777857142857144,"check_exit":49.72,"reason":"time","exit_at":"2025-06-23 close","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":0.1031168805520899,"net_0.0025_pct":-0.19674342927560318} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2025-03-19
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2025-03-19","bars":104,"first":"2025-03-12 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2025-03-17 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":56.02,"stop":54.050714285714285,"target":58.97392857142857,"check_exit":56.08,"reason":"time","exit_at":"2025-03-17 close","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":-0.1927667513474951,"net_0.0025_pct":-0.49174073754911785} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2024-12-18
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2024-12-18","bars":104,"first":"2024-12-11 09:30:00-05:00","last":"2024-12-16 15:45:00-05:00","entry_price":60.28,"stop":59.34428571428572,"target":61.683571428571426,"check_exit":59.75,"reason":"time","exit_at":"2024-12-16 close","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":-1.1761470443791278,"net_0.0025_pct":-1.4721753009317995} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2024-09-18
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2024-09-18","bars":104,"first":"2024-09-11 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2024-09-16 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":67.1,"stop":66.255,"target":68.36749999999999,"check_exit":66.16,"reason":"stop_close","exit_at":"2024-09-11 12:30:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":-1.6962483263311734,"net_0.0025_pct":-1.9907186120992182} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2024-06-26
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2024-06-26","bars":104,"first":"2024-06-18 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2024-06-24 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":59.29,"stop":58.22857142857143,"target":60.88214285714285,"check_exit":61.06,"reason":"target_close","exit_at":"2024-06-24 10:30:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":2.6768332767382885,"net_0.0025_pct":2.3692633628541016} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS 15-minute check proxy 2024-03-20
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"date":"2024-03-20","bars":104,"first":"2024-03-13 09:30:00-04:00","last":"2024-03-18 15:45:00-04:00","entry_price":58.65,"stop":57.754999999999995,"target":59.9925,"check_exit":60.13,"reason":"target_close","exit_at":"2024-03-18 11:00:00-04:00","consistency":{"entry_open_pct":0,"exit_close_pct":0,"max_high_diff":0},"net_0.001_pct":2.216334645618745,"net_0.0025_pct":1.9101441619312043} IEX26RTHbars/session,4sessions,104bars; barstarttimestamp+15min is checkproxy. Exitpriceclosingtrade,notavailableNBBO. Missingextendedsessionquotes,latency,depth; frozen levels computedpreviousday. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS Four-session simulation hazard 0.1
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
[{"hazard":0.1,"fund_fraction":0,"mean_return_pct":-2.1902102421408878,"win_pct":42.585,"target_first_pct":4.112,"stop_first_pct":20.526,"time_pct":75.362,"mean_dollars":0,"p05_dollars":0,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.1,"fund_fraction":0.25,"mean_return_pct":-2.1902102421408878,"win_pct":42.585,"target_first_pct":4.112,"stop_first_pct":20.526,"time_pct":75.362,"mean_dollars":-0.269067328247008,"p05_dollars":-2.4795744829777813,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.1,"fund_fraction":0.5,"mean_return_pct":-2.1902102421408878,"win_pct":42.585,"target_first_pct":4.112,"stop_first_pct":20.526,"time_pct":75.362,"mean_dollars":-0.538134656494016,"p05_dollars":-4.9591489659555625,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.1,"fund_fraction":1,"mean_return_pct":-2.1902102421408878,"win_pct":42.585,"target_first_pct":4.112,"stop_first_pct":20.526,"time_pct":75.362,"mean_dollars":-1.076269312988032,"p05_dollars":-9.918297931911125,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":9.801}] N100000,empiricalpool857trainingdailyreturns; dailyendpointproxy,notintradayforecast;20%gap atfirstendpoint with assumedwindowhazard,notestimated. Allsizesresearch. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS Four-session simulation hazard 0.05
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
[{"hazard":0.05,"fund_fraction":0,"mean_return_pct":-1.219720925227353,"win_pct":44.809,"target_first_pct":4.334,"stop_first_pct":16.342000000000002,"time_pct":79.324,"mean_dollars":0,"p05_dollars":0,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.05,"fund_fraction":0.25,"mean_return_pct":-1.219720925227353,"win_pct":44.809,"target_first_pct":4.334,"stop_first_pct":16.342000000000002,"time_pct":79.324,"mean_dollars":-0.1498427156641803,"p05_dollars":-1.1332546775837808,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.05,"fund_fraction":0.5,"mean_return_pct":-1.219720925227353,"win_pct":44.809,"target_first_pct":4.334,"stop_first_pct":16.342000000000002,"time_pct":79.324,"mean_dollars":-0.2996854313283606,"p05_dollars":-2.2665093551675617,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.05,"fund_fraction":1,"mean_return_pct":-1.219720925227353,"win_pct":44.809,"target_first_pct":4.334,"stop_first_pct":16.342000000000002,"time_pct":79.324,"mean_dollars":-0.5993708626567212,"p05_dollars":-4.533018710335123,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":4.947}] N100000,empiricalpool857trainingdailyreturns; dailyendpointproxy,notintradayforecast;20%gap atfirstendpoint with assumedwindowhazard,notestimated. Allsizesresearch. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS Four-session simulation hazard 0.01
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
[{"hazard":0.01,"fund_fraction":0,"mean_return_pct":-0.4161028291104727,"win_pct":46.739000000000004,"target_first_pct":4.52,"stop_first_pct":12.792,"time_pct":82.68799999999999,"mean_dollars":0,"p05_dollars":0,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.01,"fund_fraction":0.25,"mean_return_pct":-0.4161028291104727,"win_pct":46.739000000000004,"target_first_pct":4.52,"stop_first_pct":12.792,"time_pct":82.68799999999999,"mean_dollars":-0.051118232556221575,"p05_dollars":-0.5372139489956645,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.01,"fund_fraction":0.5,"mean_return_pct":-0.4161028291104727,"win_pct":46.739000000000004,"target_first_pct":4.52,"stop_first_pct":12.792,"time_pct":82.68799999999999,"mean_dollars":-0.10223646511244315,"p05_dollars":-1.074427897991329,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0.01,"fund_fraction":1,"mean_return_pct":-0.4161028291104727,"win_pct":46.739000000000004,"target_first_pct":4.52,"stop_first_pct":12.792,"time_pct":82.68799999999999,"mean_dollars":-0.2044729302248863,"p05_dollars":-2.148855795982658,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0.951}] N100000,empiricalpool857trainingdailyreturns; dailyendpointproxy,notintradayforecast;20%gap atfirstendpoint with assumedwindowhazard,notestimated. Allsizesresearch. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS Four-session simulation hazard 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
[{"hazard":0,"fund_fraction":0,"mean_return_pct":-0.22507646033587497,"win_pct":47.193000000000005,"target_first_pct":4.568,"stop_first_pct":11.943,"time_pct":83.489,"mean_dollars":0,"p05_dollars":0,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0,"fund_fraction":0.25,"mean_return_pct":-0.22507646033587497,"win_pct":47.193000000000005,"target_first_pct":4.568,"stop_first_pct":11.943,"time_pct":83.489,"mean_dollars":-0.027650643152262237,"p05_dollars":-0.5126108742411383,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0,"fund_fraction":0.5,"mean_return_pct":-0.22507646033587497,"win_pct":47.193000000000005,"target_first_pct":4.568,"stop_first_pct":11.943,"time_pct":83.489,"mean_dollars":-0.05530128630452447,"p05_dollars":-1.0252217484822765,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0},{"hazard":0,"fund_fraction":1,"mean_return_pct":-0.22507646033587497,"win_pct":47.193000000000005,"target_first_pct":4.568,"stop_first_pct":11.943,"time_pct":83.489,"mean_dollars":-0.11060257260904895,"p05_dollars":-2.050443496964553,"loss_over_account1pct_pct":0}] N100000,empiricalpool857trainingdailyreturns; dailyendpointproxy,notintradayforecast;20%gap atfirstendpoint with assumedwindowhazard,notestimated. Allsizesresearch. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS GIS bar coverage and exclusions
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"XLP":{"bars":1536,"first":"2020-07-27","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0},"GIS":{"bars":1533,"first":"2020-07-27","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0},"SPY":{"bars":1536,"first":"2020-07-27","last":"2026-09-04","zero_volume":0}} SHA256 0f1bd2574311f7634dce7749e74d1e3098cc269126574d4b226be518b5944081. Requeststart2019-09-01; returned2020-07-27. GIS missingApr19/Oct25 2021 andMar8 2022 relativeSPY. ExcludeJuly1 2020prehistory; March2020prehistory;Sep2020noticeunverified. 24documenteddates/23usablecalendar/22barrier dueATRmissingMarch2022. No shifting of entry/exit dates; firstactualnews census incomplete. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
GIS GIS September4 technical indicators
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 06:14
{"c":38.28,"sma20":39.521499999999996,"sma50":37.6946,"mom20":0.037960954446854656,"atr":1.1546428571428566,"low20":36.47,"high20":42.19,"adr14":1.0332142857142854,"vol20_pct":33.66111269067359,"iex_volume20":533094,"illustrative_target":40.011964285714285,"illustrative_stop":37.12535714285715,"support_reward_risk":0.9568863456984987,"whole_shares_cap":1} All adjusted IEX, not consolidated NBBO; simplemeanTR ATR14 and meanhigh-low ADR14. Prices stale; hypothetical targets not orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/results.json ; research/intraday_results.json
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