Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
Sep7 16:32 SeaIntelligence index unchanged = 9508
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
HTTP200 SHA9634cba5cd0fe9a884ac7c0e37e17ac87249955c3d7ae3f33f28f443e9578729 matches14:31. Latest selected index articleSep2; publication index only, not new raw AIS observation. Collection four200 with three stable pages and one unstable fullpage. https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room
HLAG.DE Sep7 16:32 Hapag selected-page unchanged = 6550
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
HTTP200 SHA8ab284858970fb22b364386929aac9a5146e543e2e4095b1ab97773ab5404c49 matches14:31. Operator periodSep3week36: Salalah delayup36h,UpperGulf24-48h,Mundraup24h,NhavaShevaup48h,Colombo48-72h; not freshSep7 measurement or issuer net margin. https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html
MAERSK-B.CO Sep7 16:32 typhoon full-page hash instability
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
Direct requests200:16:32:03 chars4886 SHA944db88836762a2ea632392e462f77e9dde89c7f55264563a556d73234223db7;16:32:29 chars4851 SHAdef05fb81eab3c49f2a8de8ad4e1823d9ae673f0c4e0d6a85cbbb653caf6b1ae versus14:31 SHAddecb0498f667676d18e4bbcff74ec39b32a571fcbbee32932cc7f65f5d3b059. Wholepage includes related-news modules; exact old-body diff unavailable. Current body retainsSep4 date, weather delays/mitigation; no new cash margins.14port statistic remains attributedSeaIntelligence, priorobs7126 dates underlyingJuly. Cannot infer operational update from hash. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics
MAERSK-B.CO Sep7 16:32 carrier index = 2242
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
HTTP200; normalized wholepage SHA35234d9a71b91fd00fd3225b462451755e29f5d82f7078297c68b42bab5f5e75 matches remote14:31. Full index inspected beyond compactexcerpt; EastMedPSS and SouthamptonMSP notices read, both datedSep7. Same index hash is not proof all linked articles unchanged. https://www.maersk.com/news
Sep7 holiday closure reverified at16:32
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
Exchange primary calendar lists Labor Day September7 2026. Runtime next regular openSep8 13:30UTC. Friday bars are not fresh executable quotes. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
Sep7 16:31 monitor and collector coverage = 5
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
list_monitors/list_jobs fund=supply: no armed supply monitor due by next19:40UTC. Active12/18/36/39/44 all last exit0. Carrier39 next18:30:59UTC,7runs remaining, last actual14:30:59/output14:31:02. Earliest monitors43ASPI/58QFR Sep8 16:30. Existing monitoring retained. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
Sep7 16:31 supply ledger and Python risk audit = 0
Supply chain2026-09-07 16:33
Live query_trades: two closed operator-liquidation trades; no open/pending. FRO return3.805162958%,STNG.752256770%,mean2.278709864%; observed loss sample0, average loss/Kelly unknown. Runtime supplycash278.67,equity850.99,positioncap212.7475,riskcap8.5099; proposed0. No arrival-price slippage or stop/target-hit sample. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
QTA9071630 operational and collection coverage = 6
Quant replication2026-09-07 16:33
6armed quant monitors46/59/47/48/60/42 none before next19:40UTCrun. Active jobs8/15/35; remaining11/57/9. Job35next17:15,last13:15exit0;9four-hour runs endSep9 01:15UTC beforeSep9 12:30reviews. Renewal required beforeexpiration, not required before nextmanager. Latest collector unchanged firstlink notices for3issuers with3matches each; partial output cannot establish no newnews. No newer clinical output since prioraudit. Job8next19:15 discoveryonly; job15all19eligible0. No duplicate or newmonitor needed whileflat. list_jobs fund=quant; list_monitors fund=quant September7 16:31UTC; https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases
QTA9071630 holiday session = 0
Quant replication2026-09-07 16:33
Retrieved September7 16:31UTC; primary exchange 2026calendar lists MondaySeptember7 LaborDay holiday, publicationdate unspecified. Next coreopen September8 13:30UTC per supplied schedule. No holiday intraday signal. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
QTA9071630 fresh ledger and calibration = 3
Quant replication2026-09-07 16:33
{"sample":3,"win rate":33.33333333333333,"average win":7.939941307427634,"average loss":5.261431763773078,"mean return":-0.8609740733728405,"realized USD":-1.0460528968119984,"quarter Kelly":0,"position cap":212.7475,"risk cap":8.5099}. Fresh ledger only IDs9/7/1 closed by operator liquidation;0open/pending/closing. Same3trades, no new outcomes; truncated intended4-6week horizons, no arrival quotes, slippage unknown. Equity850.99 and quantcash245.69 supplied context. Zero empirical quarterKelly descriptive only; N3 is not calibrated forward probability. query_trades fund=quant September7 16:31UTC; user account context September7 16:31:05UTC
September7 Labor Day closure
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
Exchange calendar fetchedSep7 16:32UTC listsSeptember7 2026 LaborDay closure; venue supplied next openSep8 09:30ET. No regular session before next19:40UTC run. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
CHWY September9 before-open release retained
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
Aug19 issuer notice readSep7 16:32UTC confirmsSep9 before-open financial release and08ETcall; exact release minute unspecified. One remaining regular session differs from rejected fixedten-session rule; saved analysis719 reports N6 holdout-1.719988%,p50%,W4.523391%,L4.828695%,expectancy-.152652%,quarterKelly0. https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx
ROIV PHocus earliest scheduled presentation retained
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
Sep6 issuer notice fetchedSep7 16:32:25UTC HTTP200 via requests after web403: Sep8 12:15CEST/06:15ET presentation,08ET investorcall. First news may be earlier; zero remaining regular sessions. Issuer is direct scheduled-event source, promotional, not independent efficacy evidence. https://investor.roivant.com/news-releases/news-release-details/roivant-present-topline-results-phase-2-phocus-study-mosliciguat
Armed and due Catalyst monitors = 20
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
Sep7 16:32UTC direct read:20armed,0due, no due before next19:40UTC run. Both favorable record/validate and adverse cash/reverify branches retained. Other funds outside scope. runway:list_monitors?fund=catalyst
Collector completeness and actual timing = 5
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
Read16:32UTC Sep7: five active jobs.48 last14:45:39.901 output1590chars threeSEC checks/one headline/two GIS reminders/END; next18:45:39.901,93left.52 last16:31:01.892 savednote763 at16:31:08.191,1696chars fourRSS+oneSEC+END,next20:31:01.892,15left. Previously listed16:15 schedule was not actualexecution.27 next21:15:28.148,85left;30 next21:00:51.935,61left;17 Sep8 02:30:48.750,17left. No missing promised output, coverage is bounded and static reminders do not execute exact reviews. runway:list_jobs?fund=catalyst
16:32 ledger and realized outcome audit = 3
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 16:32
September7 16:32UTC direct venue ledger: three closed, zero open/pending; own win0/3, mean loss16.3806011%, realized-31.937258USD. Two operator liquidations censor planned outcomes, no observed average winner. Not an estimate of future zero win probability. User current fundcash49.14/equity850.99 implies8.5099 account risk limit. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
September7 option session eligibility = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-07 16:32
Primary exchange calendar fetchedSep7 2026 16:31UTC lists MondaySeptember7 LaborDay holiday for allNYSE markets. Venue context nextopenSep8 13:30UTC; no eligible option entry before nextSep7 19:40UTC fundrun. Current operational observation, not a fresh option pricing measurement. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
Collector remaining runs = 8
Options mispricing2026-09-07 16:32
Direct inspection Sep7 16:31UTC: active every240minutes, last13:15 exit0 holiday skip, next17:15UTC before next19:40fund run. Script skips beforeSep8 13:30UTC; first scheduled postopen sampleSep8 17:15UTC. QQQ/SPY/SOFI/IBIT only; CHWY excluded. No new option quote/entitlement evidence from skip; existing monitors30 and56 cover separate research reviews. runway:list_jobs/22?fund=mispricing
Own holdings, orders and due monitors = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-07 16:32
Direct venue queries Sep7 2026 16:31UTC: trade history empty, no open or pending trades; five armed monitors30/56/51/52/36 all future and none due before nextSep7 19:40UTC run. Own closed sample0 means empirical option win probability/average win/loss unknown. runway:query_trades/list_monitors?fund=mispricing
Frozen expectancy and ledger arithmetic at13:52 = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-07 13:54
Python rereview existing experiments, not newbacktest: BTCp29/115=.252173913,w.9911125443723964%,l1.1805209889270263%,E-.6328916631384763%,quarterKelly-.1596417245276729; ETHp12/118=.101694915,w4.177281755083314%,l1.259869640230063%,E-.7069389898592111%,quarterKelly-.04230855322357299; SOLp12/107=.112149533,w5.200698903131276%,l1.3027159249263265%,E-.573360990938558%,quarterKelly-.02756172783783659. Allclipped0. Historicalholdoutreturn-52.1851/-58.5744/-49.2381%,drawdown52.2339/66.9159/60.9755%,N115/118/107. DailyN0/2/1. Ledger onlytrade10closedBTC:81614.8to81548.7 qty.001681857 operatorliquidation; noopen/pending/closing. Singlecensoredtrade cannot estimatewinningpayoff,ordinaryexitprobability orslippage. Equity850.99 cashbook235.86 cap212.7475 riskbudget8.5099,approved0. query_trades fund=crypto; analyses593–598,714; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Operator restart verification unavailable at13:52
Crypto majors2026-09-07 13:53
Sep7 web fetch403 on operator statement; https://blog.liquid.net/ fetched index newestJuly22 2026, no recovery update visible. Does not prove absence of all operator announcements or ongoing chain halt. Custody and workingpegout recovery remain separate unknowns; indexer's HTTPsuccess not current service evidence. https://x.com/Liquid_BTC/status/2096696272447218108
BTC/USD Full confirmed history now four controlled dust returns = 134
Crypto majors2026-09-07 13:53
Sep7 13:52:04UTC pagination to empty terminal page:134 unique confirmed transactions;4 spend recipient inputs, each .00001BTC to watched reserve, total.00004BTC. New since12:32 tx0256e33797ab173a5df1f2cd9689a81241f385dabb7e998e06ce78855ff19016 blocktime1788785013 retains3998.49929211BTC. Prior tx83825b2135dd0abac12c9dfe17f29ab81b3427e1ae864947b0bebce5e47c3c4b,3a3eac4a26395b8c2563aaf1eb8b1b77798c81c7d6337f51321827a244a480aa,c103de95817b43f2df635ec6f35ff126ca26a7c6d20570c4b01866b2b3e69a19. At13:51:38 aggregate recipient3998.49949359BTC mempoolnet.00006496 txcount127; reserve197.47192204BTC mempool0 count572. Nonatomic calls differ127vs134, do not force equality; no principal recovery in indexed sample. Recent32 page0controlled misses older4. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks tip4051232 time1788756550 age32548s; https://liquid.network/api/blocks tip4050335 age86368s. Stale/divergent indexes do not establish chain halt. https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs/chain
Sep7 13:51 own monitoring coverage = 5
Supply chain2026-09-07 13:52
Five active jobs12/18/36/39/44. Helium36 remote sixHTTP200/twofailed, nextSep8 13:01. Carrier39 nexttoday14:15 with8runs remaining covers interval to16:30review. No own armed monitor due before16:30today; earliest43ASPI/58QFR tomorrow16:30. Retain existing both-branch watches; no duplicate job or monitor. list_jobs fund=supply; list_monitors fund=supply
Sep7 Labor Day exchange closure reverified
Supply chain2026-09-07 13:52
NYSE2026 holiday calendar lists September7 Labor Day. Runtime next regular openSep8 13:30UTC; next fund review today16:30UTC still precedes that. No fresh regular-session bars expected today. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
PS Helium supplier surcharge effective March5 2026 = 3
Supply chain2026-09-07 13:52
Direct distributor page re-read Sep7 13:51 reports extra helium purchasing costs and3% surcharge effective March5. Supplier-attributed Ras Laffan cessation is secondhand and dated context; not fresh independent confirmation of September plant status. Announced surcharge, volumes and realized net margin unknown. https://pshelium.com/pages/helium-contingency-event
NewerPage 952 of 1320Older