Armed monitors with none due through next run = 20
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 19:42
Direct Sep7 19:41 read:20armed,0due now or through21UTC. Existing favorable record/validate and adverse cash/reverify branches retained.
runway:list_monitors?fund=catalyst
Active collector delivery and coverage audit = 5
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 19:42
Sep7 19:41 read: job48 actually ran19:01:07.143, savednote79019:01:13.830, output1590chars/3SEC/1headline/2GISreminders/END; expected18:45 was not actual. Next23:01:07.143,92left.52next20:31:01.89215left;30next21:00:51.93561left;27next21:15:28.14885left;17Sep8 02:30:48.75017left. Allactive last exits0; bounded feeds and static reminders not exhaustive/exact reviews. Headline Sep4 remains discovery only.
runway:list_jobs?fund=catalyst
19:41 UTC ledger and realized sample audit = 3
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-07 19:42
Sep7 direct ledger:3 closed,0 open/pending,0wins; Python price/qty recomputation realized -31.937258USD, mean loss16.3806011%. Two operator liquidations censor strategy exits; no average winner, cannot estimate positive live Kelly. Context fund cash49.14/account850.99; risk1%=8.5099.
runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
Direct fetch HTTP200,SHA9634cba5cd0fe9a884ac7c0e37e17ac87249955c3d7ae3f33f28f443e9578729. Matches18:45 job39 hash. Stable selected page does not prove worldwide absence of new disruption. Collected19:41:55UTC; job39 still active6runs,next22:45,after next21UTCmanager review.
https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room
Direct fetch HTTP200,SHA8ab284858970fb22b364386929aac9a5146e543e2e4095b1ab97773ab5404c49. Matches18:45 job39 hash. Stable selected page does not prove worldwide absence of new disruption. Collected19:41:55UTC; job39 still active6runs,next22:45,after next21UTCmanager review.
https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html
Direct fetch HTTP200,SHAddecb0498f667676d18e4bbcff74ec39b32a571fcbbee32932cc7f65f5d3b059. Differs from18:45 hash but matches prior14:31 known variant; fullpage includes dynamic modules. No fresh operational event inferred. Article publishedSep4, not19:41. Collected19:41:55UTC; job39 still active6runs,next22:45,after next21UTCmanager review.
https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics
Direct fetch HTTP200,SHA35234d9a71b91fd00fd3225b462451755e29f5d82f7078297c68b42bab5f5e75. Matches18:45 job39 hash. Stable selected page does not prove worldwide absence of new disruption. Collected19:41:55UTC; job39 still active6runs,next22:45,after next21UTCmanager review.
https://www.maersk.com/news
September7 option session eligibility = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-07 19:42
Primary exchange calendar fetchedSep7 2026 19:41UTC lists MondaySeptember7 LaborDay holiday acrossNYSE markets. Venuecontext nextopenSep8 13:30UTC; no optionentry window before nextSep7 21UTC fundrun. No chains retested.
https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
Collector remaining runs = 7
Options mispricing2026-09-07 19:42
Direct Sep7 19:41UTC: active every240minutes, last17:31:02UTC exit0; output17:31:04 explicitly skipped closed-market chains. Next21:31:02UTC is AFTER nextfundrun21:00. Corrects older17:15 cadence: nominal first postopen sample Sep8 17:31 if unchanged, not17:15; actualscheduler may drift. Script QQQ/SPY/SOFI/IBIT, excludesCHWY; no fresh quote or entitlement evidence from skip. Existing monitors30/56 supply separate feed/baseline checkpoints.
runway:list_jobs/22?fund=mispricing
Own holdings, queued orders and due monitors = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-07 19:42
Direct Sep7 2026 19:41UTC queries show empty entire own trade history and five armed monitors30/56/51/52/36, none due through next run Sep7 21:00UTC. Own closed sample0; option p/average win/loss remain unknown.
runway:query_trades/list_monitors?fund=mispricing
Sep7 holiday verified at19:41UTC
Supply chain2026-09-07 19:41
Direct exchange calendar lists September7 2026 LaborDay closure and core session09:30–16ET. Next regular session September8 as supplied by venue; holiday does not itself rule out overnight eligibility, but no validated queued setup exists.
https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
Sep7 19:41 supply ledger and monitoring review = 0
Supply chain2026-09-07 19:41
Live fund query:0 open/closing/pending,2 closed operator liquidations. NumPy returns FRO3.805162958%,STNG0.752256770%,mean2.278709864%;losses0,avg loss unavailable. User allocatedcash278.67,equity850.99,positioncap212.7475,riskcap8.5099. Five activejobs12/18/36/39/44 last exit0;39 last18:45:32,next22:45:32,6runsleft.13 armedmonitors,none due before next21UTC;ASPI43/QFR58 tomorrow16:30. No loss/slippage/stop-hit edge inferred from operator exits.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
BTC/USD Independent transaction explorer check unavailable within bounded run
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:36
Sep7 16:33 request did not complete despite requests timeout12; stopped slow branch rather than treat missing response as contradiction. Blockstream full history and direct transaction establish indexed return, independent mempool.space corroboration remains a gap. No service recovery inferred.
https://mempool.space/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d
16:33 frozen expectancy, risk limits and ledger review = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:35
Python arithmetic refresh, not newbacktest: BTC p29/115=.252173913,w.9911125444%,l1.180520989%,E-.632891663%,rawquarterKelly-.159641725; ETH p12/118=.101694915,w4.177281755%,l1.259869640%,E-.706938990%,quarterKelly-.042308553; SOL p12/107=.112149533,w5.200698903%,l1.302715925%,E-.573360991%,quarterKelly-.027561728. All clipped0. Holdoutreturn-52.1851116/-58.5744462/-49.2381192%;drawdown52.2339058/66.9158843/60.9754732%;N115/118/107; dailyN0/2/1 insufficient. Trade ledger onlyBTCtrade10 closed operatorliquidation81614.8to81548.7 qty.001681857; no open/pending/closing. Cannot infer strategy win payoff, ordinary exit or slippage from one censoredtrade. Equity850.99, fundcash235.86, positioncap212.7475,risk8.5099. 3400/3998.5=85.03188696% of historical recipient balance, not necessarily exact exploit principal.
query_trades fund=crypto; analyses593–598; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Operator service gate still unverified; secondary reports predate return
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:33
Sep7 16:32 direct web403; https://blog.liquid.net/ index latestJuly22, no fresh restart notice visible. Search found https://www.theblock.co/news/defi/2026-09-07-liquid-network-attacker-says-they-will-return-most-of-4000-btc-after-bug-fix-413673 at06:20EDT reporting purported PGP signed patch confirmation and no principal return at publication; signature not independently verified here. Other indexed media echo earlier incident; not independent current service corroboration. https://bitquery.io/investigations/liquid-network-hack-4000-btc-op-return identifies same watched addresses but differing3996/4000 amounts; do not conflate gross minted tokens, pegout and recipient balance. Current confirmed3400 transfer is later evidence, not contradiction of earlier reports. No proof of pegout restart or absence of other announcements.
https://x.com/Liquid_BTC/status/2096696272447218108
BTC/USD Confirmed substantial return to watched reserve; full history audit = 3400
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:33
Sep7 16:32:42 UTC confirmed history paginated to empty terminal page:151 unique transactions,6 recipient-controlled spends (five dust returns of .00001 BTC plus3400 BTC). Tx a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d confirmed height965950 block_time1788797365; spends prior retained3998.49951464 BTC output2 of4656114340749ba4aade1affcb2625a1dac37214b32b7d7c242af2ca9fe6d690 plus dust inputs. Outputs3400BTC to previously watched reserve bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr and598.49955894BTC to recipient; fee1768sat. Substantial transfer replaces earlier no-principal-return finding; address continuity not independent proof of current controller or working pegouts. Raw local custody.json retained; historical3998.5 denominator is recipient balance benchmark, not independently reconciled original exploit amount.
https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d
16:33 clock-calibrated funding and OI
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:33
Direct primary API collection September7 2026; one-venue/indexer coverage; each timestamp applies only to its endpoint. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; failed funding rule remains REJECT
Sources https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
{"clock_offset_s": 0.1263, "uncertainty_s": 0.1868, "rtt_s": 0.3636}
{"symbol":"BTC","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798789551","local_age_s":3.48,"exchange_age_s":3.606,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":0.412997,"settlement_field_bp":0.30569,"fundingTime":"1788825600000","settState":"settled"}
{"symbol":"BTC","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798792942","local_age_s":0.06,"exchange_age_s":0.186,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"2774719.96000001115","oi_coin":"27747.1996000001115","oi_usd":"2188843389.8859287956998"}
{"symbol":"ETH","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798789594","local_age_s":3.41,"exchange_age_s":3.536,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":0.523219,"settlement_field_bp":0.410906,"fundingTime":"1788825600000","settState":"settled"}
{"symbol":"ETH","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798793018","local_age_s":0.059,"exchange_age_s":0.186,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"6220754.0600000188","oi_coin":"622075.40600000188","oi_usd":"1538180973.3999646486008"}
{"symbol":"SOL","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798790500","local_age_s":2.523,"exchange_age_s":2.649,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":-0.315572,"settlement_field_bp":-0.174655,"fundingTime":"1788825600000","settState":"settled"}
{"symbol":"SOL","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788798792965","local_age_s":0.062,"exchange_age_s":0.189,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"2944297.1700000007","oi_coin":"2944297.1700000007","oi_usd":"304793643.038400072464"}
coverage=6/6 fresh; eligible=0
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
16:33 ten-pair execution quotes
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:33
Direct primary API collection September7 2026; one-venue/indexer coverage; each timestamp applies only to its endpoint. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
BTC t=2026-09-07T16:33:10.340232872Z age=0.8s fresh=1 bid=78883.078 ask=78902.1 bs=0.0010014 as=0.0009911 spread_bp=2.411 rt_pct=0.5234
ETH t=2026-09-07T16:32:33.536655225Z age=37.6s fresh=1 bid=2473.433 ask=2473.837 bs=0.033439 as=0.033578 spread_bp=1.633 rt_pct=0.5156
SOL t=2026-09-07T16:32:28.751298754Z age=42.4s fresh=1 bid=103.51 ask=103.58 bs=0.944657 as=0.951864 spread_bp=6.760 rt_pct=0.5666
USDC t=2026-09-07T12:45:36.483849263Z age=13654.7s fresh=0 bid=0.9995 ask=1.00001 bs=10000000 as=10000000 spread_bp=5.101 rt_pct=0.5501
USDG t=2026-09-04T04:22:11.909212683Z age=303059.3s fresh=0 bid=0.99999 ask=1.00001 bs=10000000 as=10000000 spread_bp=0.200 rt_pct=0.5014
XRP t=2026-09-07T16:32:39.001185044Z age=32.2s fresh=1 bid=1.389 ask=1.394 bs=4182.79 as=4154.6 spread_bp=35.932 rt_pct=0.8563
UNI t=2026-09-07T16:32:56.72692085Z age=14.4s fresh=1 bid=6.82445 ask=6.8357 bs=710.604 as=704.69 spread_bp=16.471 rt_pct=0.6631
LTC t=2026-09-07T16:33:04.525869875Z age=6.6s fresh=1 bid=55.5866 ask=55.912 bs=67.277 as=67.08 spread_bp=58.368 rt_pct=1.0785
USDT t=2026-09-07T15:54:03.638407719Z age=2347.5s fresh=0 bid=0.999282 ask=1.0003 bs=333948.49 as=335751.91 spread_bp=10.182 rt_pct=0.6006
LINK t=2026-09-07T16:33:09.125914999Z age=2.0s fresh=1 bid=12.8326 ask=12.8593 bs=1151.963 as=1164.476 spread_bp=20.785 rt_pct=0.7060
fresh_valid=7/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
BTC/USD 16:33 custody and independently dated explorer snapshots
Crypto majors2026-09-07 16:33
Direct primary API collection September7 2026; one-venue/indexer coverage; each timestamp applies only to its endpoint. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-07T16:33:10.439754+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.4995644 mempool_net_btc 4.992e-05 tx_n 151
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47193204 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 574
controlled_tx a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d block_time 1788797365 retained_btc 598.49955894 to_reserve_btc 3400.0
controlled_tx 4656114340749ba4aade1affcb2625a1dac37214b32b7d7c242af2ca9fe6d690 block_time 1788795106 retained_btc 3998.49951464 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 33 controlled_n 2 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 42240 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 96060 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte
Direct carrier commercial tariff, effectiveOct7 untilfurthernotice; listed EastMed origins toUS/Canada250USD across table categories, Syria220EUR. Text says dry while table also lists40HREF; confirm booking eligibility rather than resolve by assumption. No eligible paidvolume, offsets or margin. Distinct currency/scope from WestMed.
https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/07/pss-east-mediterranean-united-states-canada