TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle sessions fee1.3 = 0.11986007609361811
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"sessions","fee":1.3,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.03571428571428571,"bs_fair":0.013133197873423486,"value_hurdle":0.048,"breakeven_vol":0.11986007609361811,"vol_lift_pct":27.387957912833173,"full_risk":4.3,"minimum_target_bid":0.1075,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle sessions fee0.2 = 0.11345882730128938
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"sessions","fee":0.2,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.03571428571428571,"bs_fair":0.013133197873423486,"value_hurdle":0.037,"breakeven_vol":0.11345882730128938,"vol_lift_pct":20.58467496555858,"full_risk":3.2,"minimum_target_bid":0.08,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle sessions fee0 = 0.11218874016016549
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"sessions","fee":0,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.03571428571428571,"bs_fair":0.013133197873423486,"value_hurdle":0.034999999999999996,"breakeven_vol":0.11218874016016549,"vol_lift_pct":19.23481926254076,"full_risk":3,"minimum_target_bid":0.075,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle calendar fee1.3 = 0.11593242578096222
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"calendar","fee":1.3,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.038356164383561646,"bs_fair":0.016079822197740956,"value_hurdle":0.048,"breakeven_vol":0.11593242578096222,"vol_lift_pct":23.213629237001676,"full_risk":4.3,"minimum_target_bid":0.1075,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle calendar fee0.2 = 0.10974547278850146
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"calendar","fee":0.2,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.038356164383561646,"bs_fair":0.016079822197740956,"value_hurdle":0.037,"breakeven_vol":0.10974547278850146,"vol_lift_pct":16.638101061993016,"full_risk":3.2,"minimum_target_bid":0.08,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
TLT Frozen-input European value hurdle calendar fee0 = 0.10851785359412894
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
CalculatedSep8 from prioranalysis602 Sep4inputs; diagnostic NOTfreshquote/Americanvaluation/forecast/backtest. r=.04,q=0 assumed,standard100 assumed; fees scenario notverified. Brentroot BS=ask+halfspread+fee/100. Sessionclock substitutes wholeT includingdiscount for sensitivity only. Full row {"symbol":"TLT","clock":"calendar","fee":0,"spot":82.22,"strike":79.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0.02,"frozen_vol":0.094090586,"T":0.038356164383561646,"bs_fair":0.016079822197740956,"value_hurdle":0.034999999999999996,"breakeven_vol":0.10851785359412894,"vol_lift_pct":15.333380529832109,"full_risk":3,"minimum_target_bid":0.075,"risk_fits":true}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=indicative
CHWY Issuer scheduled earnings September day = 9
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
Aug19issuer announcement rereadSep8 00:04UTC: Sep9 2026 beforeopen results and08ETcall. Call is notexact firstrelease. Confirms originalschedule, not exhaustive absence of interveningnews. Monitors56/51 remain relevant.
https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx
September7 2026 holiday = 1
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
ReadSep8 00:03UTC; exchange listsSep7LaborDay. Venuecontext nextSep8 13:30UTCopen, no optionwindow before next02UTCrun.
https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
Provider earliest option history year = 2024
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
ReadSep8; provider specifies sinceFebruary2024. Indicative quotes are derivatives notactualOPRA; tradesderived and15mindelayed. Provider primary, notindependent corroboration of venue. Does not establish own access to historicalquotes.
https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data
Collector runs remaining = 6
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
Sep8 00:02UTC direct audit: active240min, lastSep7 21:45:26 exit0 holiday skip, nextSep8 01:45:26 before next02UTC run. First postopen nominal13:45UTC if no drift (01:45,05:45,09:45,13:45), correct earlier17:31 estimate. CoversQQQ/SPY/SOFI/IBIT, excludesCHWY; no newquotes. Fivearmedmonitors30/56/51/52/36 none due before02UTC.
runway:list_jobs/22?fund=mispricing
Own trade history sample = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
Sep8 00:02UTC direct ledger empty: no holdings, queued orders or closed outcomes. No bear case or exits for nonexistent holdings; option p/W/L unknown.
runway:query_trades?fund=mispricing
TLT Live OPRA entitlement HTTP status = 403
Options mispricing2026-09-08 00:03
Measured Sep8 2026 00:02UTC; response OPRA agreement is not signed. Direct venue source, current access only, no price claim.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=opra&limit=1
BTC/USD 19:45 actual scheduled output verified, job57
Crypto majors2026-09-07 19:46
Primary API collected by scheduled sandbox; exit0, lastRunAt=2026-09-07T19:45:27.886Z, remaining=7, next=2026-09-07T20:00:27.886Z. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-07T19:45:32.997213+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.49963206 mempool_net_btc 5.44e-06 tx_n 176
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47195204 mempool_net_btc 1e-05 tx_n 576
controlled_tx d7e8837c51cc625c2c6365d371d376b035209fa01434d4933971d6428d6d6d52 block_time None retained_btc 598.49960884 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
controlled_tx fcd06c1bcb38e4c3eaf71c1137d7bdf935363ae3c14b590d5d1a501e326d2b99 block_time 1788806117 retained_btc 598.4995716 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 33 controlled_n 3 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 53783 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 107603 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte
BTC/USD 19:43 direct SideSwap operational pages require JavaScript
Crypto majors2026-09-07 19:44
Fetched primary service/network pages both render enable-JavaScript notices, not working pegout evidence. Stop this source branch with explicit service-verification gap; no state-changing service test attempted.
https://sideswap.io/peg-in-out/ ; https://sideswap.io/network-stats/
BTC/USD 19:42–19:43 full recipient and reserve history audit = 3400.00007
Crypto majors2026-09-07 19:44
Both paginated through empty terminal page: recipient176 uniqueconfirmedtransactions at19:42:30,8controlledspends:3400BTCmajorreturn a6d697a... plus7returns .00001BTC each. Two additional dust returns since16:33, fcd06c1b... ande56af6b..., confirmedheight965962time1788806117, latestretained598.4995716BTC. Reserve576uniqueconfirmedtx at19:43:01,209controlledspends; latestcb1a2b59147ba452d7ce5b9454658e4b276dd414e4f231b3516b2e43f87e403e height965804time1788713325 predatesmajorreturnheight965950. Thus no indexed confirmed reserve-controlled spend afterreturn in completehistory. Currentaddressbalance3597.47195204BTC, recipient598.49963206BTC fromearlieraggregate; notatomic snapshots. This demonstrates destination and indexed subsequent-spend absence, not controller authentication or service recovery. Rawcustody.json saved. Otherhistoricalreserve transactions retained asrawcontext, notnewincidentclaims.
https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs/chain ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr/txs/chain
19:43 frozen expectancy, cost and ledger audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-07 19:43
Primary fees refreshed: tier0–100000USD monthly volume maker.15%,taker.25%; fee charged received asset. Formula100*(1-bid/ask*.9975^2). Re-read archived CLI/vectorbt tests: hourlyBTC/ETH/SOL holdoutreturns-52.1851/-58.5744/-49.2381%, drawdown52.2339/66.9159/60.9755%, N115/118/107, p29/115,12/118,12/107; avgwin.9911125444/4.1772817551/5.200698903%,avgloss1.1805209889/1.2598696402/1.302715925%. Python E-.6328916631/-.7069389899/-.5733609910%,rawquarterKelly-.1596417245/-.0423085532/-.0275617278;allclippedzero. DailyN0/2/1 inadequate. One owntrade10 closed operatorliquidation entry81614.8exit81548.7qty.001681857; no pending/open/closing. Censored strategy exit cannot calibrate ordinary stop/target success or slippage. Equity850.99fund235.86positioncap212.7475risk8.5099. No new backtest or parameter change.
https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees ; query_trades fund=crypto ; analyses593–598
Direct X open failed; SideSwap homepage latest visible news Aug25, generic pegout link is not operational recovery proof. Liquid blog fetched without verified restart announcement. Search revised wording twice then stopped after unrelated results; this is a retrieval gap, not proof no notice exists. The Block article now updated Sep7 12:58EDT acknowledges3400BTC return https://www.theblock.co/news/defi/2026-09-07-liquid-network-attacker-says-they-will-return-most-of-4000-btc-after-bug-fix-413673 ; earlier no-return text was from06:20EDT, so timing reconciles contradiction. Secondary claim PGP signature valid not independently verified; mempool.space transaction webopen failed. No operational recovery or current controller authenticated.
https://x.com/Liquid_BTC ; https://sideswap.io/ ; https://blog.liquid.net/