BB R92008 matched earnings reaction 2023-12-20 = -12.682926829268283
Convex liquid 2026-09-20 08:10
{"date":"2023-12-20","timing":"AMC","reaction":"2023-12-21","prior_close":4.1,"open":3.88,"close":3.58,"gap":-0.05365853658536579,"move":-0.12682926829268282,"source":"https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q3-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf"} Bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=BB&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&end=2026-09-19 . Measured Sep20; call timing supports daily alignment, not exact first-news minute; no actual option fills.
https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q3-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf
More BB R92008 matched earnings reaction 2023-09-28 = -1.0504201680672232
Convex liquid 2026-09-20 08:10
{"date":"2023-09-28","timing":"AMC","reaction":"2023-09-29","prior_close":4.76,"open":4.76,"close":4.71,"gap":0,"move":-0.010504201680672232,"source":"https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q2-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf"} Bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=BB&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&end=2026-09-19 . Measured Sep20; call timing supports daily alignment, not exact first-news minute; no actual option fills.
https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q2-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf
More BB R92008 matched earnings reaction 2023-06-28 = 6.986027944111783
Convex liquid 2026-09-20 08:10
{"date":"2023-06-28","timing":"AMC","reaction":"2023-06-29","prior_close":5.01,"open":5.26,"close":5.36,"gap":0.04990019960079839,"move":0.06986027944111783,"source":"https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q1-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf"} Bars https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=BB&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&end=2026-09-19 . Measured Sep20; call timing supports daily alignment, not exact first-news minute; no actual option fills.
https://irp.cdn-website.com/586e2b1b/files/uploaded/Q1-FY24-Earnings-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf
More WOR R92008 vectorbt chronological cost sweep = 4
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:10
[{"train":true,"slip":0.001,"return":-0.06727233892261068,"drawdown":0.44617105359175957,"win_rate":57.14285714285714,"N":7},{"train":true,"slip":0.005,"return":-0.23533931654454143,"drawdown":0.5328758508681308,"win_rate":57.14285714285714,"N":7},{"train":false,"slip":0.001,"return":0.20745361539144758,"drawdown":0.18627930824718364,"win_rate":50,"N":4},{"train":false,"slip":0.005,"return":0.11043077809258471,"drawdown":0.2218641273526556,"win_rate":50,"N":4}] 30USDstock/1000book;10bpfees; T-3open toAMCdayclose. CLI34trades return-3.751074/DD22.032957/win29.411765,diagnosticonly,differentfeed/entrypolicy.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More BWLP R92008 residual-rate and cash bridge scenarios = 2.9704
Supply chain 2026-09-20 08:08
Python arithmetic: usingQ2available3713days as hypotheticalQ3proxy,8%unfixed*10000/day=$2.9704m incremental; fullfleet$37.13m wouldignorebookings. Q2OCF205.9-capex13.3=192.6m;H1371.4-24.7=346.7m beforeNCI/claims,notnormalizedownerFCF. No new valuationmultiple selected.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1649313/000110465926102581/bwlp-20260630xex99d2.htm
LPG R92008 fixed coverage and delay sensitivity arithmetic = 0.23
Supply chain 2026-09-20 08:08
Python scenario, not measured forecast: constant25fleet*92quarterdays*99%*88000=200.376m TCE proxy; remaining1%*10000/day=.23m uplift. Assumed40day netfreight3.52m diluted by5/15unpaidextra days =>78222.22/64000daily; preserving88000requires440000/1320000more netfreight, excluding bunker effects. 40day and5day are assumptions;15day Cape differential is issuer10K. No stock probability inferred.
https://www.dorianlpg.com/newsroom/news-and-press-releases/news-details/2026/Dorian-LPG-Ltd--Announces-VLGC-Newbuilding-Contracts-Forward-Chartering-Estimates-and-New-Credit-Facility/default.aspx
More R92008 operational receipts and ownership = 0
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:08
Sep20ownledgerN0/noopen/pending/closedtrades; noownarmeddue monitor. Fiveactivejobs276/277/279/280/283 latestreceipts END2/2,2/2,3/3,2/2,2/2; remaining29/29/93/95/95. Next08:46/10:31/08:31/08:16/10:31UTC Sep20. Otherfunddueitems notresolvedon theirbehalf; no close-lessonsawaiting.
query_trades; list_jobs; list_monitors
More WOR R92008 fundamental baseline for upcoming earnings = 170.2
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:08
IssuerJune23 FYMay31,2026 reportedannualsales1.4bn(+20%),recentacquisitions121.7m/organicgrowth9%,adjustedEPS3.37versus3.09,OCF226.1m/FCF170.2m(+7%);Q4sales371.5m(+17%),44.1macquisitions/3%organic,adjEPS.97versus1.06,Q4FCF55.1m. AtSep18S57.38 trailingadjustedPE17.0267; no forwardprice target inferred. Acquisitions support reportedgrowth,butcash/marginreviewneeded.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2026/Worthington-Enterprises-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-Fiscal-2026-Results/
More WOR R92008 empirical event bootstrap scenario = 100000
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:08
NumPyseed9200802,resample11signedearningsclose-reactions,spot57.38,K55put,premium2.14,+.02friction. MappedintrinsiccontractPnL mean-156.3222USD,median-216,loss90.716%,zero-intrinsic63.5%,terminalproceeds>=3premium0%,P05-216/P95+209.5257. NOT executableoptionbacktest: disregardsremainingtimevalue,entry/exitIV,50%pathstop,and sampletiny. Quantity0 becausepremium214>30 evenbeforeodds. No tradeprobability asserted.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More WOR R92008 rejected contracts and expiry = 67
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:08
Sep18quotes retrievedSep20: Oct16C70bid.12ask.67requires23.16138%up,P80intrinsic0; Oct16P50bid.42ask.93P80zero; Oct16P55bid1.52ask2.14requires7.87731%fall>P50abs5.15615%,P80pay3.528801=1.648973x. Premiums67/93/214all>30cap,nearestcall55ask4.77=477. Expiry24daysafterSep22issuerresults.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/WOR?feed=indicative
More WOR R92008 earnings distribution and transition sensitivity = 11
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:08
{"N":11,"median":0.05156148340923883,"p80":0.10297666934835092,"gapmedian":0.07331136738056021,"gapP80":0.10869922710080582,"P80_boot_CI":[0.05156148340923883,0.23744180347953936],"train_N":7,"test_N":4} ExcludingDec2023preseparationfinancials:N10median5.394976%/P8010.550876%,versusN11median5.156148/P8010.297667%; bootstrap20kseed92008 estimates samplinguncertainty only. Events30843–53 all datesprimaryverified.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More R92008 Fed next-two-session releases
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
AgencycalendarrereadSep20: Sep22H6money stock13ET; H10Sep21 16:15ET; CP13ET andH15 16:15ET bothSep21/22. These periodicreleases arecontext,notnewvalidatedoptioncatalysts.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm
R92008 next-two-session macro calendar
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary district calendarreadSep20: MondaySep21SCEHouseholdSpending11ET; TuesdaySep22Phillynonmanufacturing08:30ET/Richmondmanufacturing10ET. Times EDT UTC+4. Calendar subjectchange; district originals not separatelyaudited. No surpriseclaim or macrooptionedge inferred.
https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/calendars/i-sep26.html
MLKN R92008 Tuesday earnings calendar
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
IssuerAug25 readSep20: Sep22beforemarketopen,08:30ETcall. FreshSep18indicativechain16legsSep29–Oct30 minask.52=52USD>30cap; not an eligibleposition. Existing417/418 retained.
https://news.millerknoll.com/2026-08-25-MillerKnoll-Schedules-First-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2027-Conference-Call-and-Webcast
ABVX R92008 Monday financial calendar
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Issuer page readSep20 listsH1 2026 financialresults September21,2026, dateonly; nohour orclinicalreadout promised. Existing417 retained.
https://ir.abivax.com/events/event-details/h1-2026-financial-results/
IONS R92008 stale PDUFA excluded
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
IssuerSep3,2026 approval ofZANVASTRO readSep20. Supersedes March23 announcedSep22PDUFA. Aggregator stilllistsupcoming: stale calendar,not contradiction inagencyaction. No futurebinarypremise.
https://ir.ionis.com/news-releases/news-release-details/zanvastrotm-zilganersen-approved-fda-first-and-only-disease
MRK R92008 Monday HYPERION label review
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
IssuerFeb3 readSep20: FDA setPDUFA Sep21,2026 forWINREVAIR HYPERION sBLA labelupdate. Reconfirmed June30 10Q https://www.merck.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/124/2026/08/MRK-06.30.2026-10Q-FINAL.pdf . This is not initial approval. Bounded issuersearch found no laterHYPERION decision; current decision statusunverified, absence not proofpending. FY2025 WINREVAIR1.4bn/company65bn=2.153846%revenue; not valuation-weight or probability.
https://www.merck.com/news/merck-highlights-progress-advancing-broad-diverse-pipeline/
More WOR R92008 new Tuesday earnings
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Issuer Sep8 readSep20: earnings 'after the market closes Tuesday, September 22'; callSep23 08:30ET. Added to next-two-session calendar. Earliest news may change timing; Oct16 expiry is24days afterrelease.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2026/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Fiscal-First-Quarter-2027-Earnings-Call-for-September-23/default.aspx
WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2026-06-23
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2026-06-23; call next morning. {"date":"2026-06-23","preclose":60.81,"postopen":54.2,"postclose":57.09,"gap":-0.10869922710080582,"ret":-0.06117414898865314,"train":false,"i":639} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2026/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Fiscal-Fourth-Quarter-2026-Earnings-Call-for-June-24/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2026-03-24
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2026-03-24; call next morning. {"date":"2026-03-24","preclose":51.53,"postopen":49.99,"postclose":49.17,"gap":-0.029885503590141638,"ret":-0.045798563943333925,"train":false,"i":577} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2026/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Fiscal-Third-Quarter-2026-Earnings-Call-for-March-25/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2025-12-16
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2025-12-16; call next morning. {"date":"2025-12-16","preclose":55.68,"postopen":50.7,"postclose":54.27,"gap":-0.0894396551724137,"ret":-0.02532327586206895,"train":false,"i":511} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2025/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-2026-Earnings-Call-for-December-17/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2025-09-23
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2025-09-23; call next morning. {"date":"2025-09-23","preclose":59.41,"postopen":54.49,"postclose":52.54,"gap":-0.08281434102003016,"ret":-0.11563709813162759,"train":false,"i":452} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2025/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-First-Quarter-2026-Earnings-Call-for-September-24/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2025-06-24
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2025-06-24; call next morning. {"date":"2025-06-24","preclose":59.13,"postopen":69.03,"postclose":60.31,"gap":0.1674277016742769,"ret":0.019956029088449068,"train":true,"i":389} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2025/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Fourth-Quarter-2025-Earnings-Call-for-June-25/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2025-03-25
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2025-03-25; call next morning. {"date":"2025-03-25","preclose":40.81,"postopen":42.66,"postclose":50.5,"gap":0.04533202646410173,"ret":0.23744180347953936,"train":true,"i":327} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2025/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Third-Quarter-2025-Earnings-Call-for-March-26/default.aspx
More WOR R92008 issuer-confirmed after-close event 2024-12-17
Convex tail 2026-09-20 08:07
Primary issuer schedule retrievedSep20, release after close 2024-12-17; call next morning. {"date":"2024-12-17","preclose":37.29,"postopen":42.73,"postclose":41.13,"gap":0.14588361491016344,"ret":0.10297666934835092,"train":true,"i":262} SIP/all source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . December2023 reports pre-separation operations though stock already separated; retained and separately excluded sensitivity.
https://ir.worthingtonenterprises.com/news/news-details/2024/Worthington-Enterprises-Schedules-Second-Quarter-2025-Earnings-Call-for-December-18/default.aspx
More