Notes

Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0054370944,"forecast":0.0029101983,"baseline":0.0040669404,"qlike_diff":0.1967198056},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0059719573,"forecast":0.0042474666,"baseline":0.0036699528,"qlike_diff":-0.0751087939},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0048568889,"forecast":0.0053287197,"baseline":0.0041742938,"qlike_diff":-0.0079025558},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0019403612,"forecast":0.0054504897,"baseline":0.0041721262,"qlike_diff":0.1581999594},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0050484774,"forecast":0.0035358886,"baseline":0.0039263769,"qlike_diff":0.0372441219},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0051931829,"forecast":0.0038047867,"baseline":0.0043978294,"qlike_diff":0.039205217},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0119043114,"forecast":0.0049371174,"baseline":0.0048138671,"qlike_diff":-0.0364531405},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0018462764,"forecast":0.0081760144,"baseline":0.0058825176,"qlike_diff":0.2411779489},{"symbol":"KRE","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0001701767,"forecast":0.0001060517,"baseline":0.0002723752,"qlike_diff":0.0366161634},{"symbol":"KRE","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0004134717,"forecast":0.000126053,"baseline":0.000145728,"qlike_diff":0.2978191037},{"symbol":"KRE","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0001439795,"forecast":0.0002707383,"baseline":0.0001999012,"qlike_diff":0.1148792956},{"symbol":"KRE","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0005621768,"forecast":0.000240831,"baseline":0.0001849075,"qlike_diff":-0.4417529852}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0009432678,"forecast":0.0018720934,"baseline":0.0016175288,"qlike_diff":0.0668613114},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0022149275,"forecast":0.0012608837,"baseline":0.0014148414,"qlike_diff":0.0759470502},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0019357969,"forecast":0.0017313884,"baseline":0.0016019246,"qlike_diff":-0.012641186},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0005283118,"forecast":0.0020033483,"baseline":0.0017222233,"qlike_diff":0.1081567789},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.004481464,"forecast":0.004249559,"baseline":0.0047499746,"qlike_diff":-0.0002236647},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0052730831,"forecast":0.0039607104,"baseline":0.0049418202,"qlike_diff":0.0430049218},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0077079594,"forecast":0.0049425784,"baseline":0.0050967168,"qlike_diff":0.0164540848},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0027273416,"forecast":0.0061405953,"baseline":0.0052624087,"qlike_diff":0.0802135464},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0051577597,"forecast":0.0048039797,"baseline":0.0047212832,"qlike_diff":-0.0014415424},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0033480802,"forecast":0.0043280507,"baseline":0.0048925885,"qlike_diff":-0.0333440505},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0023531769,"forecast":0.0043349227,"baseline":0.0048500487,"qlike_diff":-0.0546294942},{"symbol":"IREN","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.002776858,"forecast":0.0032457117,"baseline":0.0044948626,"qlike_diff":-0.0878385811}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0007847519,"forecast":0.0010539663,"baseline":0.0009156046,"qlike_diff":0.0282153375},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0016678846,"forecast":0.0006847188,"baseline":0.0008242402,"qlike_diff":0.2268722441},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0017879853,"forecast":0.0011530183,"baseline":0.0009718979,"qlike_diff":-0.1180968193},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0015780023,"forecast":0.0015082191,"baseline":0.0012240595,"qlike_diff":-0.0341295492},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0038055823,"forecast":0.0016035283,"baseline":0.0013816222,"qlike_diff":-0.2322269225},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0008301193,"forecast":0.0024903644,"baseline":0.0016877421,"qlike_diff":0.2305179298},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0020402428,"forecast":0.002051219,"baseline":0.0017706132,"qlike_diff":-0.0105230872},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0011534608,"forecast":0.001698176,"baseline":0.0019745072,"qlike_diff":-0.0557055326},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0010543673,"forecast":0.0016180165,"baseline":0.0018943363,"qlike_diff":-0.062614956},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.001370693,"forecast":0.0012334107,"baseline":0.0017724566,"qlike_diff":-0.0246097622},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0024495354,"forecast":0.0013308956,"baseline":0.0017359077,"qlike_diff":0.1637405003},{"symbol":"IOT","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0014756314,"forecast":0.0018073976,"baseline":0.0015076605,"qlike_diff":0.0190129792}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0015072168,"forecast":0.0012984672,"baseline":0.0021369954,"qlike_diff":-0.0427473258},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0020359692,"forecast":0.0014031941,"baseline":0.0021861478,"qlike_diff":0.0762590333},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0027798414,"forecast":0.0018705773,"baseline":0.0024501108,"qlike_diff":0.0816234388},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0064245015,"forecast":0.0021587456,"baseline":0.0024896252,"qlike_diff":0.2529202163},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.004530629,"forecast":0.0038761118,"baseline":0.0023255809,"qlike_diff":-0.2684489728},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0012396941,"forecast":0.0046307753,"baseline":0.0028067703,"qlike_diff":0.3267175967},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0041146236,"forecast":0.0029076648,"baseline":0.0028381389,"qlike_diff":-0.0104638333},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0031744635,"forecast":0.0031973498,"baseline":0.0033113088,"qlike_diff":-0.0008524868},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0031520119,"forecast":0.0035585348,"baseline":0.0034516769,"qlike_diff":0.0030670961},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0023429786,"forecast":0.0032331261,"baseline":0.0037761901,"qlike_diff":-0.0510480655},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0030843205,"forecast":0.0026986774,"baseline":0.0031445052,"qlike_diff":0.0091456716},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0010667475,"forecast":0.0028320431,"baseline":0.002887237,"qlike_diff":-0.0121009818}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0001923777,"forecast":0.000162887,"baseline":0.0001689874,"qlike_diff":0.0058681445},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-05-13","realized":5.97487e-05,"forecast":0.0001747202,"baseline":0.0001946046,"qlike_diff":-0.0728423273},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-05-28","realized":9.27454e-05,"forecast":0.0001290513,"baseline":0.0001742271,"qlike_diff":-0.1138037456},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0001154095,"forecast":9.50508e-05,"baseline":0.0001787245,"qlike_diff":-0.0629863013},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-06-26","realized":6.95969e-05,"forecast":0.0001089674,"baseline":0.0001302667,"qlike_diff":-0.0741054863},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-07-13","realized":7.72951e-05,"forecast":9.44535e-05,"baseline":0.0001111122,"qlike_diff":-0.0397416426},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-07-27","realized":4.19677e-05,"forecast":8.44335e-05,"baseline":0.0001029084,"qlike_diff":-0.1086409101},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-08-10","realized":1.05941e-05,"forecast":6.40874e-05,"baseline":7.68697e-05,"qlike_diff":-0.1543761143},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0023931801,"forecast":0.0009408403,"baseline":0.0010605409,"qlike_diff":0.167335926},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0068342111,"forecast":0.0014940197,"baseline":0.0013403833,"qlike_diff":-0.4158064107},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0008973451,"forecast":0.0042815883,"baseline":0.0023066912,"qlike_diff":0.4390739151},{"symbol":"INTC","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0008093464,"forecast":0.0032741899,"baseline":0.0023420147,"qlike_diff":0.2366717697}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0004981636,"forecast":0.0008262335,"baseline":0.0005787162,"qlike_diff":0.098190277},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0002887735,"forecast":0.0006238758,"baseline":0.0005928177,"qlike_diff":0.0268142621},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.000224707,"forecast":0.0004261764,"baseline":0.0005686709,"qlike_diff":-0.1563298239},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0011521681,"forecast":0.0003057409,"baseline":0.0005506078,"qlike_diff":1.0876224002},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-01-02","realized":3.55843e-05,"forecast":5.11745e-05,"baseline":4.86418e-05,"qlike_diff":0.0145522627},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0001535199,"forecast":4.65767e-05,"baseline":4.56444e-05,"qlike_diff":-0.0470995882},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-02-02","realized":3.45218e-05,"forecast":9.87719e-05,"baseline":6.39061e-05,"qlike_diff":0.2447130785},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0001966121,"forecast":8.42737e-05,"baseline":6.15196e-05,"qlike_diff":-0.5481945613},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-03-03","realized":6.74231e-05,"forecast":0.0001213311,"baseline":8.79221e-05,"qlike_diff":0.1109166442},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0003963829,"forecast":0.0001097589,"baseline":9.08042e-05,"qlike_diff":-0.5642702913},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0001869512,"forecast":0.0002386606,"baseline":0.0001432629,"qlike_diff":-0.0112559612},{"symbol":"INDA","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0001266517,"forecast":0.0002599627,"baseline":0.0001746127,"qlike_diff":0.1598302977}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0006170427,"forecast":0.0005346337,"baseline":0.0007898422,"qlike_diff":-0.0173330722},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0013961073,"forecast":0.0005188392,"baseline":0.0008174271,"qlike_diff":0.5283318948},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.003606899,"forecast":0.0010079145,"baseline":0.0008613789,"qlike_diff":-0.4516742126},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0012706612,"forecast":0.0021786089,"baseline":0.0013333231,"qlike_diff":0.1212532179},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.000951235,"forecast":0.0021131551,"baseline":0.0012893137,"qlike_diff":0.2064372811},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0006415137,"forecast":0.001220939,"baseline":0.0013695426,"qlike_diff":-0.0578446213},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0003819694,"forecast":0.0009112877,"baseline":0.0014153988,"qlike_diff":-0.2910214357},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0004531204,"forecast":0.0006157152,"baseline":0.001381419,"qlike_diff":-0.4001674648},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0002888684,"forecast":0.0004893846,"baseline":0.0012378803,"qlike_diff":-0.5710957793},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0003570153,"forecast":0.0004084094,"baseline":0.0006684546,"qlike_diff":-0.1526285972},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0012705768,"forecast":0.0003629564,"baseline":0.0005195338,"qlike_diff":0.6963735815},{"symbol":"IBIT","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0006896047,"forecast":0.0007517223,"baseline":0.0005679387,"qlike_diff":-0.0165040321}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0001165944,"forecast":0.0007083701,"baseline":0.0005978258,"qlike_diff":0.1392318688},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0009210737,"forecast":0.0003658159,"baseline":0.0006176652,"qlike_diff":0.5028265469},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0001504751,"forecast":0.0005938176,"baseline":0.0007284997,"qlike_diff":-0.1575669098},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0001896183,"forecast":0.0004916503,"baseline":0.0007301225,"qlike_diff":-0.2694749882},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0001674934,"forecast":0.000245833,"baseline":0.0004612122,"qlike_diff":-0.3110347558},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0001447402,"forecast":0.0002132494,"baseline":0.0003340925,"qlike_diff":-0.2034528035},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0004889981,"forecast":0.0001779005,"baseline":0.0002819639,"qlike_diff":0.5539039399},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0002770682,"forecast":0.0003311182,"baseline":0.0003411073,"qlike_diff":-0.0052175834},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0001764594,"forecast":0.0003501342,"baseline":0.0002347741,"qlike_diff":0.1520555124},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0001652578,"forecast":0.0002468311,"baseline":0.0002354421,"qlike_diff":0.0148528528},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0002999617,"forecast":0.0001979506,"baseline":0.000237378,"qlike_diff":0.070054014},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0002631936,"forecast":0.0002422182,"baseline":0.0002618592,"qlike_diff":0.0035332721}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.000941201,"forecast":0.0011915384,"baseline":0.0015662106,"qlike_diff":-0.0844513106},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0008674731,"forecast":0.0008829019,"baseline":0.0012819853,"qlike_diff":-0.0670900162},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0011753587,"forecast":0.0009442574,"baseline":0.001045446,"qlike_diff":0.0186785629},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0017196569,"forecast":0.0010425166,"baseline":0.0010340759,"qlike_diff":-0.0053349099},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0011586532,"forecast":0.0013924433,"baseline":0.0012121323,"qlike_diff":0.0148995957},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0006408852,"forecast":0.0013600854,"baseline":0.0010700927,"qlike_diff":0.1121054873},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0005789942,"forecast":0.0009572903,"baseline":0.0010789573,"qlike_diff":-0.051441417},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0014698526,"forecast":0.0007141211,"baseline":0.001036097,"qlike_diff":0.267460658},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0012542721,"forecast":0.001053407,"baseline":0.0011418808,"qlike_diff":0.0116078438},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0001475599,"forecast":0.0001789824,"baseline":0.0002572968,"qlike_diff":-0.11200544},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0017786062,"forecast":0.0001932407,"baseline":0.0001414545,"qlike_diff":-3.057641267},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0009156769,"forecast":0.0010186917,"baseline":0.0004113515,"qlike_diff":-0.420318766},{"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0004285968,"forecast":0.001181146,"baseline":0.000535344,"qlike_diff":0.3535954113}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0002205054,"forecast":0.0001730016,"baseline":0.0001748251,"qlike_diff":0.0028092362},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0001336955,"forecast":0.0001905009,"baseline":0.0001559077,"qlike_diff":0.0446732362},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0001788629,"forecast":0.000174234,"baseline":0.0001659834,"qlike_diff":-0.0025165415},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-07-27","realized":5.88399e-05,"forecast":0.0001520674,"baseline":0.0001840812,"qlike_diff":-0.1237611707},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0001237059,"forecast":0.0001113092,"baseline":0.0001656678,"qlike_diff":-0.033011433},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.000414813,"forecast":0.000550761,"baseline":0.0008855105,"qlike_diff":-0.1901450364},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0026051519,"forecast":0.0004924971,"baseline":0.0005450419,"qlike_diff":0.4085778481},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0022732911,"forecast":0.0015923926,"baseline":0.0008966981,"qlike_diff":-0.5333116838},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0011861587,"forecast":0.0022534753,"baseline":0.0011812289,"qlike_diff":0.1681134626},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0006681867,"forecast":0.0017422059,"baseline":0.0012423775,"qlike_diff":0.1838252753},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0020053772,"forecast":0.0011007497,"baseline":0.0013134092,"qlike_diff":0.1183451038},{"symbol":"GDX","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0005025261,"forecast":0.0014659842,"baseline":0.0015500429,"qlike_diff":-0.0371662358}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0007718139,"forecast":0.0005756887,"baseline":0.0008482604,"qlike_diff":0.0431801406},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0001738252,"forecast":0.0001612663,"baseline":0.0001779427,"qlike_diff":0.002611722},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0001657961,"forecast":0.0001867526,"baseline":0.0001287116,"qlike_diff":-0.0281257102},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.000155072,"forecast":0.0001787616,"baseline":0.0001364222,"qlike_diff":0.0010715246},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0001517632,"forecast":0.0001669046,"baseline":0.0001459203,"qlike_diff":0.0036012245},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0001102144,"forecast":0.0001566256,"baseline":0.0001579847,"qlike_diff":-0.0025865586},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0003130249,"forecast":0.0001367093,"baseline":0.0001637222,"qlike_diff":0.1974703774},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-03-31","realized":8.47996e-05,"forecast":0.000222577,"baseline":0.0001782714,"qlike_diff":0.1272790976},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-04-15","realized":8.48568e-05,"forecast":0.0001838038,"baseline":0.0001650665,"qlike_diff":0.0551143677},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0001656622,"forecast":0.0001059384,"baseline":0.000150907,"qlike_diff":0.1121770257},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0002017479,"forecast":0.0001380262,"baseline":0.0001542786,"qlike_diff":0.0426616342},{"symbol":"FXI","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0001864228,"forecast":0.0001747364,"baseline":0.0001625084,"qlike_diff":-0.0077289172}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-02-17","realized":8.60919e-05,"forecast":0.0004690536,"baseline":0.0003626323,"qlike_diff":0.2034632711},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0002676087,"forecast":0.0002966899,"baseline":0.0003011828,"qlike_diff":-0.0015745905},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0014753424,"forecast":0.0002313619,"baseline":0.0003026634,"qlike_diff":1.2336045176},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0003865144,"forecast":0.0008323873,"baseline":0.0005234681,"qlike_diff":0.1897937844},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0007553623,"forecast":0.0007768842,"baseline":0.0005305176,"qlike_diff":-0.0700860091},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0011138717,"forecast":0.0006095325,"baseline":0.0005937168,"qlike_diff":-0.0223897472},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0004258077,"forecast":0.0009180739,"baseline":0.0006922983,"qlike_diff":0.1310025252},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0025626164,"forecast":0.0007430796,"baseline":0.0007498529,"qlike_diff":0.0220771475},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0003498868,"forecast":0.0015436999,"baseline":0.0011379553,"qlike_diff":0.2241339902},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0006404574,"forecast":0.0012119951,"baseline":0.0009376189,"qlike_diff":0.1020439601},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0002101932,"forecast":0.0006536595,"baseline":0.0009845255,"qlike_diff":-0.3015065081},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0008374564,"forecast":0.0004743351,"baseline":0.0008961512,"qlike_diff":0.1948389198}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-04-15","realized":0.0008393393,"forecast":0.0025703878,"baseline":0.0018121236,"qlike_diff":0.2129193202},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-04-29","realized":0.0005507244,"forecast":0.0019210153,"baseline":0.0018982171,"qlike_diff":0.0084956049},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-05-13","realized":0.0007963711,"forecast":0.0009680832,"baseline":0.001810389,"qlike_diff":-0.2432417384},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-05-28","realized":0.0012060714,"forecast":0.0007815457,"baseline":0.0017298888,"qlike_diff":0.051452633},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-06-11","realized":0.0006005457,"forecast":0.001043668,"baseline":0.0014224954,"qlike_diff":-0.1564304493},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0005073918,"forecast":0.0008947814,"baseline":0.0012026777,"qlike_diff":-0.1505547456},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0006876975,"forecast":0.0006325177,"baseline":0.0007497113,"qlike_diff":-2.47316e-05},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0047682803,"forecast":0.0006439688,"baseline":0.0007252532,"qlike_diff":0.7110085219},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0011123108,"forecast":0.0025359149,"baseline":0.001451869,"qlike_diff":0.230202504},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0003642147,"forecast":0.0002636936,"baseline":0.0005776151,"qlike_diff":-0.0334647611},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0003754187,"forecast":0.00029708,"baseline":0.000338239,"qlike_diff":0.0240229865},{"symbol":"FIVE","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0005659498,"forecast":0.0003697706,"baseline":0.0003498088,"qlike_diff":-0.0318440614}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all

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Frozen .5RV20variance+.5EWMA(.94)squaredreturns;next10returns dailymean square;baselineRV60var;negativeQLIKEdiffbetter.2026holdout,no optimization. [{"symbol":"EWZ","date":"2026-06-11","realized":9.69897e-05,"forecast":0.0002749835,"baseline":0.0003246432,"qlike_diff":-0.1120626133},{"symbol":"EWZ","date":"2026-06-26","realized":0.0001692741,"forecast":0.0001961953,"baseline":0.0002176275,"qlike_diff":-0.018706356},{"symbol":"EWZ","date":"2026-07-13","realized":0.0001735358,"forecast":0.0001681235,"baseline":0.0002105504,"qlike_diff":-0.0170345859},{"symbol":"EWZ","date":"2026-07-27","realized":0.0001551018,"forecast":0.000181934,"baseline":0.0002256048,"qlike_diff":-0.0501173446},{"symbol":"EWZ","date":"2026-08-10","realized":0.0002332124,"forecast":0.0001691279,"baseline":0.0001881033,"qlike_diff":0.0327650942},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-01-02","realized":0.0004734848,"forecast":0.0003534852,"baseline":0.0006008518,"qlike_diff":0.0209462707},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-01-16","realized":0.0004429066,"forecast":0.0003869473,"baseline":0.0004684461,"qlike_diff":0.0080044643},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-02-02","realized":0.0011549833,"forecast":0.0004252522,"baseline":0.0003924803,"qlike_diff":-0.1465882313},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-02-17","realized":0.0013458467,"forecast":0.0007118666,"baseline":0.0005024473,"qlike_diff":-0.4395947908},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-03-03","realized":0.0030398449,"forecast":0.0011466916,"baseline":0.0006695482,"qlike_diff":-1.3511407512},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-03-17","realized":0.0018802013,"forecast":0.002109438,"baseline":0.0010961063,"qlike_diff":-0.1693602913},{"symbol":"FICO","date":"2026-03-31","realized":0.0031202634,"forecast":0.0021005665,"baseline":0.0013605407,"qlike_diff":-0.3736356921}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all