Notes

Direct issuer, favorable promotional framing, quarter ended July31 2026: revenue $410m (+13%), ARR $1.938bn (+12%), DBNR109%, GAAP gross margin80%, operating income$32m versus adjusted$89m, OCF$31m, liquid resources$1.405bn. September3 17ET call confirmed; exact first release minute not inferred. ARR is an invoiced annualization, not a revenue forecast. Derived GAAP operating margin7.805%, OCF/revenue7.561%. These facts neither identify the price-drop cause nor establish future volatility. https://ir.uipath.com/news/detail/461/uipath-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-2027-financial-results

Fetched~04:05UTC,ages computed04:07UTC. Roundtrip100*(1-bid/ask*.9975^2),25bptakerfee/side tier0-100k perprimarydocs. Excludes extraimpact. {"symbol":"SOL","t":"2026-09-08T04:02:33.815555982Z","age_s":270.956358,"bid":103.2,"ask":103.25,"bid_size":0.941,"ask_size":1.8974,"ask_usd":195.90655,"spread_bp":4.843787842092241,"roundtrip_pct":0.5475593220338859} Displayed top size is not globaldepth or fill guarantee; not used for anyorder. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

Fetched~04:05UTC,ages computed04:07UTC. Roundtrip100*(1-bid/ask*.9975^2),25bptakerfee/side tier0-100k perprimarydocs. Excludes extraimpact. {"symbol":"ETH","t":"2026-09-08T04:04:28.94237794Z","age_s":155.829536,"bid":2484.19,"ask":2484.513,"bid_size":0.0330651,"ask_size":0.033124,"ask_usd":82.297008612,"spread_bp":1.3001380843244823,"roundtrip_pct":0.5123106142934097} Displayed top size is not globaldepth or fill guarantee; not used for anyorder. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

Fetched~04:05UTC,ages computed04:07UTC. Roundtrip100*(1-bid/ask*.9975^2),25bptakerfee/side tier0-100k perprimarydocs. Excludes extraimpact. {"symbol":"BTC","t":"2026-09-08T04:04:41.782761161Z","age_s":142.989152,"bid":78864.265,"ask":78885.9,"bid_size":0.00099837,"ask_size":0.00099784,"ask_usd":78.715506456,"spread_bp":2.742944833052284,"roundtrip_pct":0.526663729948873} Displayed top size is not globaldepth or fill guarantee; not used for anyorder. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

20000numpy paths seeded20260908,2 sampled24hcontiguous blocks from preincidentJune-August hourlyBTC logreturns; fees25bp eachside, excludes spreads/impact. Retains realized historicaldrift; not eventconditioned or trade winprobability; no stop/target implemented. {"paths":20000,"hours":48,"block_hours":24,"blocks":2183,"terminal_percentiles_pct":[-7.366610418962984,-5.163221819441908,-0.33359946740783575,5.062885679983339,9.182646397003131],"prob_positive":0.4455,"mae95_pct":6.301158888261585,"cap_loss95_usd":13.405558005804316,"risk_only_notional":135.05293472051744,"approved_size":0} Risk-only notional is illustrative95%tail allocation, not hardloss guarantee or permission; approvedsizezero. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"restart_preparation_post","start":"2026-09-08 02:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-08 03:00:00+00:00","hours":1,"returns_pct":{"BTC":-0.6283788675776782,"ETH":-0.739250023470523,"SOL":-0.9823182711198916},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.07212700281279609,"placebo_percentile":29.87307343608341,"placebo_n":2206,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-0.39348310209893655,0.3939240748466201]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"principal_return_confirmation","start":"2026-09-07 17:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 21:00:00+00:00","hours":4,"returns_pct":{"BTC":0.26496316658234087,"ETH":0.5174285629672426,"SOL":0.2292605864447294},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.008605127577037481,"placebo_percentile":49.52337721289151,"placebo_n":2203,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-0.8437009395924159,0.873482538912763]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"principal_return_confirmation","start":"2026-09-07 17:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 18:00:00+00:00","hours":1,"returns_pct":{"BTC":0.20834943116361188,"ETH":0.5091888696853468,"SOL":0.15219820444644122},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.05561353365644887,"placebo_percentile":34.406165004533094,"placebo_n":2206,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-0.39348310209893655,0.3939240748466201]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"patch_confirmation","start":"2026-09-07 10:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 22:00:00+00:00","hours":12,"returns_pct":{"BTC":-0.2109190449381302,"ETH":0.2869286280633647,"SOL":-0.6851278523104982},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.15288370907517648,"placebo_percentile":35.216400911161735,"placebo_n":2195,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-1.6620638011475306,1.4098186782927395]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"patch_confirmation","start":"2026-09-07 10:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 14:00:00+00:00","hours":4,"returns_pct":{"BTC":0.04103578298075147,"ETH":0.5450798723330463,"SOL":0.4624851890074098},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.29474551839506924,"placebo_percentile":15.887426236949615,"placebo_n":2203,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-0.8437009395924159,0.873482538912763]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

Oneincident; no backtest or execution. Starts first completed hourlyclose after confirmation/post, misses initial partialhour; confirmation is not firstseen announcement. FixedpreincidentOLS coefficients. Placebo overlappingpreincident residualsum distribution not CI of eventeffect; windows correlated and selectedafterincident. {"event":"patch_confirmation","start":"2026-09-07 10:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 11:00:00+00:00","hours":1,"returns_pct":{"BTC":0.055428032134675495,"ETH":0.1713763639071415,"SOL":0.30386423575284366},"btc_residual_log_pct":-0.0851862104454462,"placebo_percentile":27.062556663644603,"placebo_n":2206,"placebo_95_log_pct":[-0.39348310209893655,0.3939240748466201]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://blockstream.info/api/tx/a6d697a25266ce3c78774fd1d75f896b7af522ada209b0f6228ea497bc49a46d ; https://x.com/Blockstream/status/2097127976672342487

OLS June1-Aug31 2026,2206 synchronized hourlylogreturns, intercept included; close timestamps shifted+1h to actualavailability. {"n":2206,"intercept":-0.00003603894434340765,"betaETH":0.4621723132909486,"betaSOL":0.2144509299326603,"r2":0.7881972987964339,"residual_sd_pct":0.2082025786045156,"correlation":{"BTC":{"BTC":1,"ETH":0.8694230311773162,"SOL":0.8176272948253425},"ETH":{"BTC":0.8694230311773162,"ETH":1,"SOL":0.823001962728774},"SOL":{"BTC":0.8176272948253425,"ETH":0.823001962728774,"SOL":1}}} Association not causal identification; controls may themselves receive incident spillover. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8~04:07UTC from615dailybars throughSep7. ADR=mean((high-low)/open)14days percent; ATR simplemeantrueRange14; SMA20/100 closes; trailing7/30returns percent; dailyvol30 samplelogreturnSD percent. {"symbol":"SOL","last":103.8095,"ADR14":5.786845709429424,"ATR14":5.931411911071428,"SMA20":99.85926,"SMA100":79.15194005855,"ret7":0.7414200523069958,"ret30":36.68487867693773,"daily_vol30":3.2956434741992666} Descriptive not validated entry/exit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8~04:07UTC from615dailybars throughSep7. ADR=mean((high-low)/open)14days percent; ATR simplemeantrueRange14; SMA20/100 closes; trailing7/30returns percent; dailyvol30 samplelogreturnSD percent. {"symbol":"ETH","last":2490.4615,"ADR14":3.7510638461044334,"ATR14":92.35313654735715,"SMA20":2448.372375,"SMA100":1925.06293,"ret7":0.9332160725611827,"ret30":29.97093678633607,"daily_vol30":3.6937097881347194} Descriptive not validated entry/exit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8~04:07UTC from615dailybars throughSep7. ADR=mean((high-low)/open)14days percent; ATR simplemeantrueRange14; SMA20/100 closes; trailing7/30returns percent; dailyvol30 samplelogreturnSD percent. {"symbol":"BTC","last":79096.805,"ADR14":3.0138421726368523,"ATR14":2377.906474981855,"SMA20":77975.582175,"SMA100":66525.03522,"ret7":0.6742045799271068,"ret30":21.884047530534833,"daily_vol30":2.4610371280667525} Descriptive not validated entry/exit. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"SOL","tf":"1Day","n":615,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"SOL","tf":"1Hour","n":2380,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2026-06-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-08 03:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"ETH","tf":"1Day","n":615,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","n":2380,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2026-06-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-08 03:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"BTC","tf":"1Day","n":615,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-07 00:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

FetchedSep8~04:05UTC; fully paginated; incomplete04UTC hourly and Sep8daily excluded. {"symbol":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","n":2380,"duplicates":0,"missing":0,"start":"2026-06-01 00:00:00+00:00","end":"2026-09-08 03:00:00+00:00"} Missing=0 means timestamp completeness, not independent validation of price accuracy. Hourly timeframeJune1-Sep8; dailyJan2025-Sep7. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

IssuerJuly22 forH1June30 2026. Falconorders23vs8,deliveries13vs12,backlog83vs73Dec31;Falconsales1213mEUR,backlog5429m;annualguide40Falcondeliveriesunchanged. 10X firstflightJune19/serviceentry2029 rescheduled. Consolidatedsales4157m,adjoperating330m margin7.9%,availablecash10099m. Slides https://www.dassault-aviation.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2026/07/WEB-Slides-of-the-2026-half-year-Results-Conference-Copie.pdf explicitlyattributeincreasedcashtoRafaleexportadvances andFCF1.2bn;cannotassignitFalconscarcity. 2029not2026deliverablesubstitute. EUR/USD incomparablebacklogswithoutFX; modelmixmatters. https://www.dassault-aviation.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/2/files/2026/07/2026-first-half-year-Results-Financial-Release.pdf

IssuerJuly30 quarterJune30 2026, readSep8fullrelease. USDm revenues2150vs2028,services674(+14%),deliveries32,unitbookbill1.5x;backlog21.8bnvs17.5bnDec31 includesmanufacturingANDservices. CFO338,PP&E+intangibles110,FCF228vs-164prior;reportednet191vs193,EBIT225,adjEBITDA325margin15.1%. Cash1454m,availableliquidity1897m,adjustednetdebt/EBITDA1.6x; debtprincipalreduction356mQ2,>1.1bnYTD, new750m revolverreplaces450m. NextmaturityNov2030issuerclaim. NonGAAPreconciliationsread; ordercashnotpureoperatingrent. CompanyPDFendpointreturned1161bytechallengeHTMLdespite200,notactualPDF; completeannualUSrevenuesegmentstillgap. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/07/30/3335861/0/en/Bombardier-Reports-Significant-Second-Quarter-Free-Cash-Flow-Growth-and-Strong-Profitability-as-Backlog-Lengthens.html

HTTP200 directfetchSep8withbrowserUA nowretrievedcompleteissuer-originstatement, supersedesearlieropenerrorcoverage only. Issuer saysGlobalfastestjetwingsmadeRedOakTexas,flightcontrolcomponentsLosAngelesfacility; FortWaynefacilityinaugurationlater2026,dateunconfirmed. Fleet>5200 and10servicecentres6countries. Repeats~2800USsuppliers47statesandannualspend>2.5bn; no implementingban/effective date nor USfinalassemblyexemptionconfirmed. PublisherYahoo hostsBombardierGlobeNewswiretext, notindependentcorroboration. https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/bombardier-statement-004300095.html