Notes

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":null,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":-7.925911220416026,"sum_N":41,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":1,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":-0.7448972130895332,"sum_N":10,"positive_symbols":1}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":0.75,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":0.011042200407567648,"sum_N":3,"positive_symbols":2}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":null,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":-18.06370351219133,"sum_N":69,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":1,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":-8.267194187148387,"sum_N":28,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":0.75,"valid_symbols":7,"mean_return_pct":-4.9525577212995415,"sum_N":12,"positive_symbols":1}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

Base279partsQVM90806archiveNNN/279529340charsSHA2566c3662a08b6b62cb013163f9ea769842be72974e1f87cf34e1d2c7fd311f7e8a;mandatory9patchpartsQVM90806patchNNN/9 IDs14979–1498716864charsSHA256cdeea7c519be02ce4926bf0094c002945ad893cbd63d541125a6323e8ded44c8. Bothreadbackexact;sortvalueconcatnote/base64/LZMA/JSONfilename:text,overwritebasefileswithpatch. 8052dailybars+20586active/session15bars;fullraw15hashespreserved,inactivebarsomitted. Allsix15minmetrics/dailyarrays/tradeledgersfullvssparseEXACT exceptrowcount. Dailyledgers/regime/MCregenerablefromscripts; correctedNYsessions505/1255/170. Papersnotcopied. 168backtestresultsrecorded,24backtestrecords;originalUTC15minMCsupersededbycorrectedanalysis. QVM90806 query_research exact base and patch readback; local full-vs-sparse replay

{"p":0.5166666666666667,"weighted_W_pct":0.30313807451832875,"weighted_L_pct":0.6918339800689531,"weighted_K":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.1777650851988575,"unweighted_mean_pct":-0.28673394854797307,"monthlymeanCI_pct":[-0.30606428564322824,-0.17580797452337574,-0.058199961898611846],"MC":{"N":20000,"pnl_mean":-0.3619139517099498,"pnl_p5_p50_p95":[-2.628822037290888,0,1.0825984895338934],"loss_pct":49.25,"gap_hit_pct":0,"risk8_5099_hit_pct":0}} SupersedesearlierQVM9080615minMonteCarlo/bootstrapnumbersandanalysis1108simulationportion. NYsession1255holdoutdays;oldUTCaggregationincludedcashSaturdaydates. Numpyseed15090806,20k20sessioncircularblocks25%equity850.99; nooverhead/forwardprobabilityclaim. Tradepayoffs/Kellyunchanged. QVM90806 mandatory calendar patch diag15.json; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"p":0.5666666666666667,"weighted_W_pct":0.39295023287565123,"weighted_L_pct":0.6256165328204282,"weighted_K":0,"mean_weighted_pct":-0.048428698925983185,"unweighted_mean_pct":0.012855232967847326,"monthlymeanCI_pct":[-0.1734318246571108,-0.047433726610405416,0.06390726259637329],"MC":{"N":20000,"pnl_mean":-0.09651959199769024,"pnl_p5_p50_p95":[-2.0455750149160163,0.1872080730961443,1.5140915613119432],"loss_pct":43.765,"gap_hit_pct":0,"risk8_5099_hit_pct":0}} SupersedesearlierQVM9080615minMonteCarlo/bootstrapnumbersandanalysis1108simulationportion. NYsession1255holdoutdays;oldUTCaggregationincludedcashSaturdaydates. Numpyseed15090806,20k20sessioncircularblocks25%equity850.99; nooverhead/forwardprobabilityclaim. Tradepayoffs/Kellyunchanged. QVM90806 mandatory calendar patch diag15.json; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

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 QVM90806 mandatory NewYork calendar correction patch to base archive

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 QVM90806 mandatory NewYork calendar correction patch to base archive

Readactual04:45:30UTCjob68note950:INBX/TYRA/IRD threeseparateparseablerows, each3matches/0omissions andfullpaths. Thisconfirmsactualcollectoroutput,notnewclinicalresults. Existingquantjobs8/15/68remain;job8next07:45before08:00run,job68next08:45after. Earliestquantmonitor12:30UTC;none duebefore08UTC. Rejectedvolatilityrulecreatesnoautomaticorder ornewdatedevent; noadditionaljobnecessary. query_research fund=quant notes id950; supplied quant job/monitor context Sep8 2026

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"equal_weight_return_pct":0.011042200407573866,"equal_weight_drawdown_pct":0.5799885388325654,"N_trades":3,"unique_entry_dates":3,"pooled_win_rate_pct":66.66666666666666,"wilson95_low_pct":20.765960080205474,"wilson95_high_pct":93.85080552796012,"mean_trade_pct":0.02576513428433162,"illustrative_iid_mean_CI95_pct":[-4.084055127967301,3.132726943239006],"trades":[{"entry":"2026-05-06 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-11 00:00:00+00:00","return":0.010286235875812899,"reason":"time","risk":0.026773320828373613,"bars":5,"train":"holdout","half":false,"symbol":"BTC/USD"},{"entry":"2026-07-11 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-07-11 00:00:00+00:00","return":0.03132726943239006,"reason":"partial_be_ambiguous","risk":0.0761207968469605,"bars":0,"train":"holdout","half":false,"symbol":"UNI/USD"},{"entry":"2026-07-27 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-07-27 00:00:00+00:00","return":-0.04084055127967301,"reason":"stop","risk":0.03457857752733394,"bars":0,"train":"holdout","half":false,"symbol":"LINK/USD"}]}. Equalinitialcapital7assetportfolio,notactualfundallocation; correctmatchedportfolioDD.57998854%, distinctLINKstandalone4.084055%DDlabeledinanalysis1099. IID/WilsonassumptionsillustrativeonlywithN3; eventsarenotprovenindependent, noallocationinference. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC,fixedtrend/compression.75basecostclosedholdouttrades. {"symbol":"LINK/USD","N":31,"mean_pct":-1.1319689858549673,"block3_mean95_pct":[-2.5358777477058716,0.37502764991711784],"fraction_bootstrap_positive":0.0715}. 10000circularmovingblockresamplesof3consecutivetrades,seed2026090819(afterdaily10000draws). Preserveslocaltradedependencebutnotallregimes; confidenceintervalconditionalobservedsample, notposteriorprobabilityofstrategyprofit. Boundarymarks excluded. Allintervalscrosszero;SOLmissing-exitinvalid,notresampled. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC,fixedtrend/compression.75basecostclosedholdouttrades. {"symbol":"LTC/USD","N":28,"mean_pct":-1.1657911701461994,"block3_mean95_pct":[-2.30089839293929,0.10418031887761506],"fraction_bootstrap_positive":0.0367}. 10000circularmovingblockresamplesof3consecutivetrades,seed2026090819(afterdaily10000draws). Preserveslocaltradedependencebutnotallregimes; confidenceintervalconditionalobservedsample, notposteriorprobabilityofstrategyprofit. Boundarymarks excluded. Allintervalscrosszero;SOLmissing-exitinvalid,notresampled. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC,fixedtrend/compression.75basecostclosedholdouttrades. {"symbol":"UNI/USD","N":27,"mean_pct":0.26200743199804466,"block3_mean95_pct":[-2.4823325422728386,3.3752302653740456],"fraction_bootstrap_positive":0.5545}. 10000circularmovingblockresamplesof3consecutivetrades,seed2026090819(afterdaily10000draws). Preserveslocaltradedependencebutnotallregimes; confidenceintervalconditionalobservedsample, notposteriorprobabilityofstrategyprofit. Boundarymarks excluded. Allintervalscrosszero;SOLmissing-exitinvalid,notresampled. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC,fixedtrend/compression.75basecostclosedholdouttrades. {"symbol":"XRP/USD","N":20,"mean_pct":-0.5849328048357155,"block3_mean95_pct":[-1.9717746996628032,0.7181559522997911],"fraction_bootstrap_positive":0.2001}. 10000circularmovingblockresamplesof3consecutivetrades,seed2026090819(afterdaily10000draws). Preserveslocaltradedependencebutnotallregimes; confidenceintervalconditionalobservedsample, notposteriorprobabilityofstrategyprofit. Boundarymarks excluded. Allintervalscrosszero;SOLmissing-exitinvalid,notresampled. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC,fixedtrend/compression.75basecostclosedholdouttrades. {"symbol":"ETH/USD","N":36,"mean_pct":-0.6473685335893425,"block3_mean95_pct":[-1.592072816475238,0.2632904769772734],"fraction_bootstrap_positive":0.0866}. 10000circularmovingblockresamplesof3consecutivetrades,seed2026090819(afterdaily10000draws). Preserveslocaltradedependencebutnotallregimes; confidenceintervalconditionalobservedsample, notposteriorprobabilityofstrategyprofit. Boundarymarks excluded. Allintervalscrosszero;SOLmissing-exitinvalid,notresampled. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars