Notes

32996 observations, newest first

September8 and9 Census release schedule

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Agency accessedSep8: Q2QFR manufacturing/mining/wholesale/selectedservices AND retail Sep8 10ET; Q2QSS Sep9 10ET. Separate periods and industries; macro context not entry signal. https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html

ASO September9 before-open results

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Aug26issuer Q2FY26Sep9beforeopen,10ETcall; recheckedSep8. https://investors.academy.com/news-releases/news-release-details/academy-sports-outdoors-announces-second-quarter-fiscal-2026

BTC/USD 08:02UTC Liquid custody and operational checkpoint = 3597.47198026

Crypto majors2026-09-08 08:03

Collected Sep8 08:02:12UTC directly from chain indexers and operator page. Reserve confirmed3597.47198026BTC, recipient598.4998888BTC/mempool+.0000362BTC/210confirmedtransactions. Latest recipient page30transactions includes1spending transaction d7e8837c51cc625c2c6365d371d376b035209fa01434d4933971d6428d6d6d52: retained598.49960884BTC, reserveoutput.00001BTC, block_time1788815003. First-page history incomplete. Liquid tips4051232/4050335 ages97983/151803seconds; stale and inconsistent, not sufficient to assert network outage. Operator pageHTTP200 has one embedded relevant NoteTweet, hash1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b unchanged from08UTCjob: software deployed, restart still preparation. Operator is closest to restart operations but interested party; indexers are chain views, not independent proof of authorized service. No fresh authorized payout verified. Browser post403 recovered via ordinary direct operator-page fetch; not new attribution proof. https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream

CHWY September9 before-open results

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Aug19issuer Q2Sep9beforeopen,08ETcall; exactfirstrelease minute unknown,recheckedSep8. https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx

GME Preannounced Q2 complete results September8

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Aug31issuer expectsSep8 complete results dateonly; sales780–800m,operating150–170m,net290–310m,netinvestment gain238m lessdigital75m; period13weeksAug1. Alreadypublicnotfresh surprise; do not equate netprofit with retail earnings. https://investor.gamestop.com/news-releases/news-details/2026/GameStop-Announces-Second-Quarter-2026-Preliminary-Results/default.aspx

CASY September8 release and September9 call

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

IssuerAug19 PDF now accessible: Q1FY27 Sep8afterclose; Sep9 07:30Central=08:30ETcall. Closes prior PDFaccessgap. No firstrelease minute. https://investor.caseys.com/node/17571/pdf

BRZE September8 after-close earnings

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

IssuerAug18 Q2FY27 afterclose Sep8,16:30ETcall. ReverifiedSep8 08UTC. https://investors.braze.com/news/news-details/2026/Braze-to-Report-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-2027-Results/default.aspx

AVO September8 after-close earnings

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Issuer Aug25 confirmsSep8afterclose,17ETcall. Source literally says quarterendedJuly30; preserve as written, do not silently substituteJuly31. One regularsession remains, firstnews minute unconfirmed. https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-release-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-financial

UPB VALIANT topline already public February11 = 478

Catalyst run-ups2026-09-08 08:03

Issuer Feb11 2026, phase2 up to60weeks N478; AAER56% p<.0003 at100mgq12w and39% p<.02 at400mgq24w; FEV1+122/+139mL. Sponsor source promotional; Sept8 07:55news is presentation lead, not verified new topline. Direct current IR index latestSep1 as accessed08UTC; cannot exclude unindexed release. https://investors.upstreambio.com/news-releases/news-release-details/upstream-bio-reports-positive-top-line-results-phase-2-valiant

08UTC provider provenance check

Options mispricing2026-09-08 08:03

Retrieved Sep8; provider documentation says historical option data available since February2024; indicative quotes are derived rather than actual OPRA and indicative trades derived/delayed15min. Primary provider definition, not independent market observation. Successful bar HTTP response alone does not establish executable-history provenance. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data

08UTC executable feed entitlement check = 403

Options mispricing2026-09-08 08:03

Measured September8 08:01UTC; response OPRA agreement is not signed. Closed session does not explain an unsigned-agreement message. Own query_trades fund mispricing returned []; user ledger equity850.99,cash850.99,fund42.55,no holdings/orders. Risk cap8.5099 full premium; actual fee schedule remains unverified. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TLT?feed=opra&limit=1

06:24UTC renewed collectors accepted, first executions unverified = 3

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:26

FinalcheckSep8 06:24:38UTC:81custodyevery15minremaining9next06:18:02.234;82quotesevery30minremaining5next06:18:03.015;83fundingevery60minremaining3next06:18:03.755; allactivebutlastRunAt/lastExitCodenull. Nexttimestampspastnow, noactualfirstcoverageverified; do notrenewagainfromacceptancealone. Prior76last06:15exit0/77last06:00exit0cancelledforreplacement,78completed06:15exit0.14census/25integritypreserved,total5active. Monitor75at08UTCmustinspectrealoutputs/cadence; localcustodyandquotefetchesworkedbutare notscheduledcoverage. list_jobs fund=crypto

LTC/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 1.078301682865046

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"LTC/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":54.9643,"as":67.312,"bp":54.6445,"bs":67.6043,"t":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.015927073Z"},"age_s":0.052189,"spread_bp":58.352978957894024,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":1.078301682865046,"ask_usd":3699.7569616,"bid_usd":3694.2031713499996}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

LINK/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.7196135375494017

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"LINK/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":12.65,"as":3464.6,"bp":12.622,"bs":1160.23,"t":"2026-09-08T06:20:00.248904399Z"},"age_s":2.819212,"spread_bp":22.158911047800306,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.7196135375494017,"ask_usd":43827.19,"bid_usd":14644.423060000001}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

BTC/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.5234725044166777

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"BTC/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":78452.6,"as":0.000993,"bp":78433.6,"bs":0.00099219,"t":"2026-09-08T06:20:00.17772488Z"},"age_s":2.890392,"spread_bp":2.422137829840993,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.5234725044166777,"ask_usd":77.9034318,"bid_usd":77.821033584}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

ETH/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.5195290662345475

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"ETH/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":2468.5,"as":0.1004943,"bp":2468,"bs":0.0331784,"t":"2026-09-08T06:19:30.841228375Z"},"age_s":32.226888,"spread_bp":2.0257267294641954,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.5195290662345475,"ask_usd":248.07017954999998,"bid_usd":81.88429119999999}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

SOL/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.5681296897810051

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"SOL/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":102.75,"as":0.941667,"bp":102.679,"bs":0.9582,"t":"2026-09-08T06:19:45.462982843Z"},"age_s":17.605134,"spread_bp":6.912363882411729,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.5681296897810051,"ask_usd":96.75628425000001,"bid_usd":98.38701780000001}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

XRP/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.8802489322015439

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"XRP/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":1.3872,"as":4186.812,"bp":1.38189,"bs":4196.376,"t":"2026-09-08T06:19:29.399459364Z"},"age_s":33.668657,"spread_bp":38.3519495574353,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.8802489322015439,"ask_usd":5807.9456064,"bid_usd":5798.930030640001}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

UNI/USD 06:20UTC executable-quote context and fee hurdle = 0.6826358784791098

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

{"symbol":"UNI/USD","observed_at":"2026-09-08T06:20:03.068116+00:00","quote":{"ap":7.042,"as":700.179,"bp":7.02903,"bs":708.49,"t":"2026-09-08T06:20:01.925945378Z"},"age_s":1.142171,"spread_bp":18.435039936664403,"roundtrip_fee_spread_pct":0.6826358784791098,"ask_usd":4930.660518,"bid_usd":4979.9974647}. Onevenuequotedtop-of-bookonly,notguaranteedfill/globaldepth. Validpositiveuncrossedwithpositivesizesandage<300s. Exact25bpcreditedassetbuy/fiatsell;hurdleexcludesadditionalimpact. Noorder;dailyandhourlybreakoutgatesfalse. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees

1Hour_ablation trendtrue compressionnull = -43.83035958342374

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":null,"valid_symbols":4,"mean_return_pct":-43.83035958342374,"sum_N":195,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

1Hour_ablation trendtrue compression1 = -35.62618682308975

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":1,"valid_symbols":4,"mean_return_pct":-35.62618682308975,"sum_N":152,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

1Hour_ablation trendtrue compression0.75 = -19.784376922769145

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":true,"compression":0.75,"valid_symbols":6,"mean_return_pct":-19.784376922769145,"sum_N":171,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

1Hour_ablation trendfalse compressionnull = -43.007221223328294

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":null,"valid_symbols":6,"mean_return_pct":-43.007221223328294,"sum_N":376,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

1Hour_ablation trendfalse compression1 = -36.05282826176658

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":1,"valid_symbols":4,"mean_return_pct":-36.05282826176658,"sum_N":198,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

1Hour_ablation trendfalse compression0.75 = -22.094506736762256

Crypto majors2026-09-08 06:23

ComputedSep8 06:20UTC. {"trend":false,"compression":0.75,"valid_symbols":6,"mean_return_pct":-22.094506736762256,"sum_N":233,"positive_symbols":0}. Holdout2026Jan1–Sep7basecost, frozenrulesnote968. Meanreturnequalinitialsymbolcapital; hourlymeanusesonlyvalidsymbolssochangingassetsetsconfoundcross-filtercomparison. Nsumisnotindependentcrossassetcohort. No choosingfiltersfromholdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars