Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 12.369406038528297
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-09-19. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-09-19 filingDate=2024-09-19. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2024-09-19","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924101208/tm2424318d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On September 19, 2024, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2024 full year and fourth quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2025. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewit","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-09-12","exit_date":"2024-09-18","entry":35.18,"exit":39.69,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.070437566702241,"prior_vol":0.33313055598410213,"adr":1.4814999999999994,"atr":1.6147971030939776,"spy_return":0.011509729779581424,"mae":-0.021318931210915326,"mfe":0.19783968163729404,"net_0.001":0.12369406038528297,"net_0.003":0.11920824232241323,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05892381380814937},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.07989575573887264}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924101208/tm2424318d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 10.842495030548571
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-08-14. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-08-14 filingDate=2024-08-14. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2024-08-14","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000027/eat-20240814.htm","evidence":"On August 14, 2024, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 results and guidance for fiscal 2025. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial State","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-08-07","exit_date":"2024-08-13","entry":63.26,"exit":70.4,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.0542132286318332,"prior_vol":0.5103591245547174,"adr":2.750340000000001,"atr":3.0478359130782127,"spy_return":0.025666853921701538,"mae":-0.02624091052797972,"mfe":0.1171356307303193,"net_0.001":0.10842495030548571,"net_0.003":0.10400008695637175,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.060962792230963014},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.08261439363595713}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000027/eat-20240814.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -3.3974409389853744
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-07-25. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-07-25 filingDate=2024-07-25. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2024-07-25","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024010176/txrh-20240725x8k.htm","evidence":"On July 25, 2024, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 25, 2024. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d)","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-07-18","exit_date":"2024-07-24","entry":164.77,"exit":159.81,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.00030164092664086706,"prior_vol":0.2089317051800101,"adr":3.5985,"atr":3.614479309953043,"spy_return":-0.030940117675092083,"mae":-0.03149845238817739,"mfe":0.023547975966498713,"net_0.001":-0.033974409389853744,"net_0.003":-0.03783081051923898,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.025744362198715898},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.025744362198715898}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024010176/txrh-20240725x8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -3.57818825837658
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-05-30. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-05-30 filingDate=2024-05-30. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2024-05-30","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924066438/tm2415767d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On May 30, 2024, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2024 third quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2024. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":true,"entry_date":"2024-05-22","exit_date":"2024-05-29","entry":44.49,"exit":43.07,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.22935779816513757,"prior_vol":0.6151602671985481,"adr":1.9359999999999995,"atr":2.4153286654620527,"spy_return":-0.008573806344229773,"mae":-0.03281636322769166,"mfe":0.019554956169925752,"net_0.001":-0.0357818825837658,"net_0.003":-0.039631068229695754,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0357818825837658},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0357818825837658}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924066438/tm2415767d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 0.36440492574361105
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-05-02. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-05-02 filingDate=2024-05-02. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2024-05-02","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024006538/txrh-20240502x8k.htm","evidence":"On May 2, 2024, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 26, 2024. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d)","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-04-25","exit_date":"2024-05-01","entry":150,"exit":151.15,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.02983138780804162,"prior_vol":0.1912904321420521,"adr":2.674000000000001,"atr":2.732172509145396,"spy_return":0.0023454377121694403,"mae":-0.009800000000000031,"mfe":0.036666666666666625,"net_0.001":0.0036440492574361105,"net_0.003":-0.0003625258091854988,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.022641241615527496},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.03151899281537651}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024006538/txrh-20240502x8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.282581278998655
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-04-30. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-04-30 filingDate=2024-04-30. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2024-04-30","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000013/eat-20240430.htm","evidence":"On April 30, 2024, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its third quarter of fiscal 2024 results and updated guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financia","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-04-23","exit_date":"2024-04-29","entry":46.98,"exit":49.66,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.0028211805555555802,"prior_vol":0.4173376861543994,"adr":1.7074249999999989,"atr":1.7314450010507787,"spy_return":0.016496786606083003,"mae":-0.005108556832694622,"mfe":0.05874840357598998,"net_0.001":0.05282581278998655,"net_0.003":0.048622902750176555,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05030584685819539},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05282581278998655}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000013/eat-20240430.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 0.4824862928649587
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-02-27. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-02-27 filingDate=2024-02-27. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2024-02-27","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924027923/tm247171d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 27, 2024, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2024 second quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2024. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 9","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-02-20","exit_date":"2024-02-26","entry":66.65,"exit":67.24,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.027359180687636986,"prior_vol":0.40312085494778127,"adr":2.5025000000000013,"atr":2.5133734449995844,"spy_return":0.0166211293260472,"mae":-0.02835708927231806,"mfe":0.021005251312828044,"net_0.001":0.004824862928649587,"net_0.003":0.0008135740208838893,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.004824862928649587},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.004824862928649587}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465924027923/tm247171d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.9380059900374271
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-02-15. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-02-14 filingDate=2024-02-15. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2024-02-15","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024001236/txrh-20240214x8k.htm","evidence":"On February 15, 2024, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 26, 2023, along with the first quarter 2024 cash dividend. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press rele","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-02-08","exit_date":"2024-02-14","entry":127.55,"exit":126.86,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.10445815590510144,"prior_vol":0.2082726451434768,"adr":2.058,"atr":2.2885814707601626,"spy_return":0.0009514157479988405,"mae":-0.022030576244610023,"mfe":0.022030576244610023,"net_0.001":-0.009380059900374271,"net_0.003":-0.013334642359601578,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.020062450551929456},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.020062450551929456}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837024001236/txrh-20240214x8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 0.9655332146742301
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2024-01-31. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2024-01-31 filingDate=2024-01-31. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2024-01-31","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000004/eat-20240131.htm","evidence":"On January 31, 2024, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its second quarter of fiscal 2024 results and updated guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financi","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2024-01-24","exit_date":"2024-01-30","entry":40.14,"exit":40.69,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.07114439503861458,"prior_vol":0.35524797459578605,"adr":1.311199999999999,"atr":1.3357735880523618,"spy_return":0.006314677930306267,"mae":-0.02939711011459889,"mfe":0.01968111609367207,"net_0.001":0.009655332146742301,"net_0.003":0.0056247598709899815,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.009655332146742301},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.009655332146742301}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335124000004/eat-20240131.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.711210626579197
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-11-30. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-11-30 filingDate=2023-11-30. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-11-30","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923122235/tm2331768d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On November 30, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2024 first quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2024. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-11-22","exit_date":"2023-11-29","entry":70.22,"exit":68.59,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.12354651162790686,"prior_vol":0.38888935757974996,"adr":1.8939999999999997,"atr":2.0663548305438932,"spy_return":-0.0007957258156190417,"mae":-0.03474793506123608,"mfe":0.027342637425235017,"net_0.001":-0.02711210626579197,"net_0.003":-0.030995901900845557,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.030856710493023742},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.030856710493023742}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923122235/tm2331768d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.445040429157455
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-11-01. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-11-01 filingDate=2023-11-01. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-11-01","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000049/eat-20231101.htm","evidence":"On November 1, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its first quarter of fiscal 2024 results and updated guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financia","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-10-25","exit_date":"2023-10-31","entry":32.04,"exit":33.92,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":0.12206085753803597,"prior_vol":0.4504818599232826,"adr":1.35825,"atr":1.294678433561733,"spy_return":-0.008728485264551611,"mae":-0.002808988764044895,"mfe":0.06928838951310867,"net_0.001":0.05445040429157455,"net_0.003":0.050241008837130785,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05934262517528288},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05445040429157455}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000049/eat-20231101.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.08418067650793892
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-10-26. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-10-26 filingDate=2023-10-26. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-10-26","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837023016853/txrh-20231026x8k.htm","evidence":"On October 26, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 26, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) E","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-10-19","exit_date":"2023-10-25","entry":91.69,"exit":91.98,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":false,"prior_mom20":-0.04206983592763991,"prior_vol":0.25140828057222686,"adr":1.959999999999998,"atr":1.974352546859277,"spy_return":-0.031083481349911124,"mae":-0.00807067291962038,"mfe":0.021049187479550646,"net_0.001":-0.0008418067650793892,"net_0.003":-0.004830474169213006,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0008418067650793892},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.0008418067650793892}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000155837023016853/txrh-20231026x8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -3.3910012207305384
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-09-13. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-09-13 filingDate=2023-09-13. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-09-13","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923100243/tm2325884d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On September 13, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 full year and fourth quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for the Company’s fiscal 2024 first quarter. A copy of the Press Relea","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-09-06","exit_date":"2023-09-12","entry":68.58,"exit":66.52,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.15199704142011827,"prior_vol":0.2682879033037473,"adr":1.8749999999999993,"atr":2.0168331100720622,"spy_return":-0.005370743338657946,"mae":-0.03543307086614167,"mfe":0.008311461067366688,"net_0.001":-0.033910012207305384,"net_0.003":-0.03776667041204129,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03122320150764135},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03122320150764135}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923100243/tm2325884d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -7.37711448698235
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-08-16. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-08-16 filingDate=2023-08-16. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-08-16","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000040/eat-20230816.htm","evidence":"On August 16, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its fourth quarter of fiscal 2023 results and guidance for fiscal 2024. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial State","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-08-09","exit_date":"2023-08-15","entry":39.11,"exit":36.37,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.022858644245927318,"prior_vol":0.2712917512833897,"adr":1.1542250000000003,"atr":1.2781661212908044,"spy_return":-0.013685329881177988,"mae":-0.08156481718230624,"mfe":0.02659166453592432,"net_0.001":-0.0737711448698235,"net_0.003":-0.07746867632003829,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03338647171216458},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03338647171216458}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000040/eat-20230816.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -4.242031479665965
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-07-27. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-07-27 filingDate=2023-07-27. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-07-27","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923084761/tm2322182d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On July 27, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 27, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBITS","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-07-20","exit_date":"2023-07-26","entry":111.45,"exit":107.15,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.0850399843963332,"prior_vol":0.17313570727874808,"adr":1.9954999999999985,"atr":2.030799404852405,"spy_return":0.0029483692546796725,"mae":-0.04486316733961415,"mfe":0.0006280843427546312,"net_0.001":-0.04242031479665964,"net_0.003":-0.04624299963584921,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02182542553346689},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02182542553346689}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923084761/tm2322182d1_8k.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -5.252676587518524
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-06-06. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-06-06 filingDate=2023-06-06. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-06-06","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923068341/tm2317851d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On June 6, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 third quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-05-30","exit_date":"2023-06-05","entry":90.5,"exit":86.09,"split":"train","trend":false,"momentum":false,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":-0.035984243585649,"prior_vol":0.4184118138677188,"adr":3.116500000000002,"atr":3.025614008079405,"spy_return":0.01202291018614532,"mae":-0.05569060773480672,"mfe":0.005856353591160213,"net_0.001":-0.05252676587518523,"net_0.003":-0.056309105479494526,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03829100529508944},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.03829100529508944}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923068341/tm2317851d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 3.0800910823972627
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-05-04. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-05-04 filingDate=2023-05-04. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-05-04","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923055995/tm2314614d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On May 4, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 28, 2023. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press release. ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS (d) EXHIBIT","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-04-27","exit_date":"2023-05-03","entry":102.77,"exit":106.36,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.019942167713630443,"prior_vol":0.13434218069525605,"adr":1.8490000000000009,"atr":1.9847336349907867,"spy_return":0.0025087678877711017,"mae":-0.004670623722876188,"mfe":0.04320326943660602,"net_0.001":0.030800910823972627,"net_0.003":0.026685924807751116,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target_gap","ambiguous":false,"net":0.02469518899415779},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.031847605994797856}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923055995/tm2314614d1_8k.htm
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 4.751218797084178
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-05-03. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-05-03 filingDate=2023-05-03. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-05-03","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000013/eat-20230503.htm","evidence":"On May 3, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its third quarter of fiscal 2023 results. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibi","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-04-26","exit_date":"2023-05-02","entry":38.29,"exit":40.27,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.08252977878616008,"prior_vol":0.3421592418304639,"adr":1.2767500000000005,"atr":1.3565301734317279,"spy_return":0.010118605425621707,"mae":-0.012274745364324824,"mfe":0.06816401149125095,"net_0.001":0.04751218797084178,"net_0.003":0.04333049006966694,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.04582464505565387},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.06243019740221167}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000013/eat-20230503.htm
CBRL Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -2.447280766655835
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-28. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-28 filingDate=2023-02-28. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"CBRL","date":"2023-02-28","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923026400/tm237936d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 28, 2023, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) announcing the Company’s fiscal 2023 second quarter results of operations and projected outlook of certain items for fiscal year 2023. A copy of the Press Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 9","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-02-21","exit_date":"2023-02-27","entry":96.29,"exit":94.31,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.005926388022457818,"prior_vol":0.3347210435893715,"adr":2.6690000000000005,"atr":2.640812953785314,"spy_return":-0.013207743006902195,"mae":-0.02315920656350612,"mfe":0.01672032402118595,"net_0.001":-0.02447280766655835,"net_0.003":-0.028367139455309887,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02447280766655835},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.02447280766655835}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CBRL&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1067294/000110465923026400/tm237936d1_8k.htm
TXRH Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = -0.06257416435315744
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:07
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-16. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-14 filingDate=2023-02-16. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"TXRH","date":"2023-02-16","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923022796/tm237068d1_8k.htm","evidence":"On February 16, 2023, Texas Roadhouse, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 27, 2022, along with the first quarter 2023 cash dividend. Attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of the press rele","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-02-09","exit_date":"2023-02-15","entry":97.64,"exit":97.97,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.027336300063572683,"prior_vol":0.24343045754903736,"adr":2.0364999999999993,"atr":2.2188984289452103,"spy_return":-0.0010347525427151227,"mae":-0.03471937730438346,"mfe":0.013928717738631802,"net_0.001":-0.0006257416435315744,"net_0.003":-0.004615271585662883,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.024765980312517644},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"stop","ambiguous":false,"net":-0.024765980312517644}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TXRH&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1289460/000110465923022796/tm237068d1_8k.htm
HUBB Five-session historical barrier-touch bounds = 2
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:07
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"counts":{"target_first":2,"stop_first":1,"ambiguous":1,"neither":5},"MFE_pct":[2.8437148055098227,3.404353382356029,4.1147718673947065,5.955384676999476,1.5037738385603516,4.434789266163919,3.407292931522976,6.694577273358604,3.4240719015330656]}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Monte Carlo exposure scenarios = 0.11297507525609742
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"iid_mc":{"0.05":{"loss_probability_pct":0.49500000000000005,"median_return_pct":1.088571827057161,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.2614209651700006},"0.1":{"loss_probability_pct":0.49500000000000005,"median_return_pct":2.194427266467913,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.5223744871278302},"0.25":{"loss_probability_pct":0.515,"median_return_pct":5.534290529286001,"p95_drawdown_pct":1.3098767148892225}},"hierarchical":{"loss_probability_pct":7.580000000000001,"p95_drawdown_pct":0.759148051643022},"raw_quarter_kelly":0.11297507525609742,"hypothetical":{"stop_1ADR":453.540375,"target_1p5ADR":481.5644375,"quarter_kelly_raw_usd":96.14065929218634,"approved_usd":0}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
EAT Frozen restaurant T5/T1 event date, payoff and prior indicators = 5.965152890565029
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 06:06
Retrieved Sep9 2026; issuer SEC primary statement of actual release on 2023-02-01. Historical actual-date calendar; advance notice not fully verified. SEC reportDate=2023-02-01 filingDate=2023-02-01. All returns decimal unless stated: {"symbol":"EAT","date":"2023-02-01","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000004/eat-20230201.htm","evidence":"On February 1, 2023, Brinker International, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a Press Release announcing its second quarter of fiscal 2023 results and updates fiscal 2023 guidance. A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. SECTION 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS Item 9.01. Financial S","preannounced":false,"entry_date":"2023-01-25","exit_date":"2023-01-31","entry":37.09,"exit":39.46,"split":"train","trend":true,"momentum":true,"market_trend":true,"prior_mom20":0.13845223700120912,"prior_vol":0.44938883544240016,"adr":1.3937450000000002,"atr":1.522533872990454,"spy_return":0.026599397749484943,"mae":-0.03343219196548941,"mfe":0.06699919115664588,"net_0.001":0.059651528905650286,"net_0.003":0.0554213704165305,"exit_1.5":{"reason":"target","ambiguous":false,"net":0.05214904301425438},"exit_2.0":{"reason":"time","ambiguous":false,"net":0.059651528905650286}}. Prices https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EAT&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all . Fees10bps/slip10bps eachside; stress30bps slippage. Daily ADR exit diagnostics assume continuous touch and gap-open fill; not venue15min fills. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335123000004/eat-20230201.htm
HUBB Regime and OLS interplay = 1.1197039983882822
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"regimes":{"above_SPY200":{"sample":9,"mean_pct":1.0967150766317566}},"OLS":{"sample":171,"daily_alpha_pct":-0.028969605559672994,"market_beta":1.1197039983882822,"r_squared":0.19447913987568277},"correlations":{"WCC":0.5153584779443469,"HUBB":1,"SPY":0.44099789101047054}}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HUBB Indicator levels and integrity = 464.75
Supply chain2026-09-09 06:06
ComputedSep9 06UTC, original2022–Sep8 2026 SIPadjustedOHLC; holdout2026 N9. {"close":464.75,"date":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","SMA50":482.70419999999996,"prior20":518.01,"ADR20":11.209624999999994,"RV20_pct":27.161095596834254,"signal":false,"bars":1174,"invalid":0,"duplicates":0}. MC20000 paths20trades, seed2026090906 baseline/2026090907 nestedbootstrap, 5/10/25% exposures hypothetical; historicaltouches are dailyOHLC bounds, NOT15minvenuefillodds. Regression daily2026 N171 descriptive, not causal or tradedalpha. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=WCC,HUBB,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
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