fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T08:01:42.687000+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.50008953 mempool_net_btc 5.42e-05 tx_n 244
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47201026 mempool_net_btc 4.000004 tx_n 584
controlled_tx 1d690f3b96b878067f3a445b74dfb8fab4201c0455d88ac98cc14a927e7858d7 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49988609 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
controlled_tx 7c0fb4ffff35bf9894211d3c97abbb58fc127573a1805880103dd19e40528523 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49989807 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 34 controlled_n 2 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 184353 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 238173 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream
operator_http 200 parsed_notes 1 relevant 1
operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets.
Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network.
We want to thank the broader Bitc
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
08:01 manual verified collector123 part2
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
ndependently gated; no orders
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
Saved Sep9 08:00 UTC; direct explorer and attributed operator claim; oin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process.
We will continue to provide updates as progress is made.
Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
BTC/USD 08UTC saved Liquid payload part1
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:04
Saved Sep9 08:00 UTC; direct explorer and attributed operator claim; fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T08:00:36.571368+00:00
source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks
recipient confirmed_btc 598.50008953 mempool_net_btc 5.42e-05 tx_n 244
reserve confirmed_btc 3597.47201026 mempool_net_btc 4.000004 tx_n 584
controlled_tx 1d690f3b96b878067f3a445b74dfb8fab4201c0455d88ac98cc14a927e7858d7 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49988609 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
controlled_tx 7c0fb4ffff35bf9894211d3c97abbb58fc127573a1805880103dd19e40528523 block_time 1788877531 retained_btc 598.49989807 to_reserve_btc 1e-05
recent_page_n 34 controlled_n 2 page_is_not_complete_history=1
liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 184287 tx_n 1
second_tip 4050335 age_s 238107 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks
Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade.
OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream
operator_http 200 parsed_notes 1 relevant 1
operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets.
Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network.
We want to thank the broader Bitc
https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
FRO Conditional aggregate-payoff Monte Carlo = 38.17
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Sep9 Python numpy seed2026090908;20k paths20trades; p~Beta(17.5,24.5) Jeffreys posterior from frozen17/41 wins; fixed net win/loss averages5.46270406/-2.96357664%, omits tails/serial dependence/fill risks. Hypothetical fractions .05/.1/.25 metrics {"toy_mc_0.05":{"loss_frequency_pct":38.17,"median_return_pct":0.4034499049808904,"p95_drawdown_pct":1.6179443454953368},"toy_mc_0.1":{"loss_frequency_pct":38.17,"median_return_pct":0.7998800956788399,"p95_drawdown_pct":3.212055912846701},"toy_mc_0.25":{"loss_frequency_pct":38.17,"median_return_pct":1.9463477691319175,"p95_drawdown_pct":7.854539525538861}}. Conditional model frequencies NOT empirical trade odds or sizing authorization; approved0. Beta prior chosen explicitly, not estimated from new data.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
FRO 60-session correlation and frozen edge uncertainty = 0.780640750759132
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Sep9 computation: correlation matrix {"FRO":{"FRO":1,"STNG":0.780640750759132,"ASPI":0.2201107914833649,"SPY":0.09612887709066904},"STNG":{"FRO":0.780640750759132,"STNG":1,"ASPI":0.10071210815243951,"SPY":0.025777939023987513},"ASPI":{"FRO":0.2201107914833649,"STNG":0.10071210815243951,"ASPI":1,"SPY":0.48753458017415513},"SPY":{"FRO":0.09612887709066904,"STNG":0.025777939023987513,"ASPI":0.48753458017415513,"SPY":1}}; N60 joint daily returns; not causal. Frozen prior backtest456 N41/17wins, Wilson95 p [0.2775633082533015,0.5663316464316339], raw quarterKelly 0.02426669370398077 using prior avgwin5.46270406%/loss2.96357664%; no new historical trades or test, prior meanCI crosses0, approved0.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY 08UTC completed Sep8 indicators = 765.96
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Computed Sep9 08UTC, SIP adjusted Jan2025–Sep8 2026, explicit pagination; {"bars":421,"last":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","close":765.96,"sma50":757.5965999999999,"prior20closehigh":777.88,"ADR20":4.4660599999999935,"ADR20_pct":0.583067000887774,"RV20_pct":8.322362041256795,"return20_pct":-0.9145828751794816,"beta60":0.9999999999999996,"duplicates":0,"badOHLC":0}. SMA50 plus prior20 close high continuation gate is descriptive; FRO true, STNG and ASPI false. Prices are completed adjusted daily references, not executable quotes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
ASPI 08UTC completed Sep8 indicators = 4.22
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Computed Sep9 08UTC, SIP adjusted Jan2025–Sep8 2026, explicit pagination; {"bars":421,"last":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","close":4.22,"sma50":4.3458,"prior20closehigh":4.32,"ADR20":0.22269,"ADR20_pct":5.277014218009478,"RV20_pct":59.22129145576866,"return20_pct":-1.631701631701643,"beta60":3.1291273532755377,"duplicates":0,"badOHLC":0}. SMA50 plus prior20 close high continuation gate is descriptive; FRO true, STNG and ASPI false. Prices are completed adjusted daily references, not executable quotes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
STNG 08UTC completed Sep8 indicators = 82.12
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Computed Sep9 08UTC, SIP adjusted Jan2025–Sep8 2026, explicit pagination; {"bars":421,"last":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","close":82.12,"sma50":77.0388,"prior20closehigh":82.35,"ADR20":2.1097200000000007,"ADR20_pct":2.569069654164638,"RV20_pct":30.527212910366686,"return20_pct":8.03841599789501,"beta60":0.07476408191073036,"duplicates":0,"badOHLC":0}. SMA50 plus prior20 close high continuation gate is descriptive; FRO true, STNG and ASPI false. Prices are completed adjusted daily references, not executable quotes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
FRO 08UTC completed Sep8 indicators = 46.62
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:04
Computed Sep9 08UTC, SIP adjusted Jan2025–Sep8 2026, explicit pagination; {"bars":421,"last":"2026-09-08 04:00:00+00:00","close":46.62,"sma50":40.047999999999995,"prior20closehigh":46.12,"ADR20":1.329255000000002,"ADR20_pct":2.8512548262548307,"RV20_pct":37.97789703120759,"return20_pct":21.248374512353685,"beta60":0.38500885456087613,"duplicates":0,"badOHLC":0}. SMA50 plus prior20 close high continuation gate is descriptive; FRO true, STNG and ASPI false. Prices are completed adjusted daily references, not executable quotes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO,STNG,ASPI,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
FRO Annual report concentration and physical risk audit = 10
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:03
2025 annual publishedMar27 2026, accessedSep9. p62 no single customer >=10% consolidated operating revenue2023–25. p37 warns uninsured repair/offhire, finite drydock access and higher war-risk costs; mutual war-risk club coverage does not guarantee full recovery. p59 timecharter owner retains crew, insurance, maintenance while charterer bears voyage costs. p85 TFG Marine payable21.195m vs24.390m2024; p86 pro-rata bunker guarantee max6m, no payable at2025yearend. Supplier share not quantified, do not equate payable balance with purchase concentration or current stress.
https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/09634fab-1b1f-450b-969a-5e9078dff8ab
STNG Three-year charter contract gross-rate bridge = 106588
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:03
Sep3 issuer direct, accessed Sep9 08UTC: Gladiator/Jermyn LR2 daily40188/42500, September expected start; Pontiac MR23900 Q4 expected start, each3years. Python rate sum106588/day; 365day gross38.904620m/year,1095day116.713860m before operating/finance/capex/offhire/default, not payments. Discounts to Q3 class spot64900/30000 are38.0770%,34.5146%,20.3333%; different terms/vessels so not identified price decline. Constant-Q3-spot counterfactual annual difference19.422380m is not forecast opportunity loss. Hypothetical30day all-three commencement delay shifts3.197640m gross timing;1%offhire .3890462m annual gross. Contracts predate Sep8 strikes.
https://www.scorpiotankers.com/scorpio-tankers-inc-announces-updates-on-third-quarter-2026-tce-rates-and-time-charter-out-agreements/
ASPI 08UTC accepted helium update audit
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:03
Sep8 issuer PR119 still forward looking about helium production and first stable-isotope commercial shipments. Sep9 08UTC CMD landing links same presentation/webcast/video; webcast returns registration, direct video browser fails. No accepted September helium cash verified in accessible text; original Q&A remains unread. This does not assert no shipments. Prior fundamental1475 and rejected ASPI1302 unchanged.
https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/119/asp-isotopes-hosts-inaugural-capital-markets-day-and
FRO 08UTC conflict primary review = 5
Supply chain2026-09-09 08:03
Accessed Sep9 ~08:02UTC. Sep8 CENTCOM says five named Iranian crude carriers rendered inoperable. Combatant primary claim, not independent verification. No IMO numbers, paid replacement fixture, surviving cargo volumes or insurance cost bridge in statement. UKMTO direct homepage/recent-incidents renders no incident payload this access; cached Sep2 search item cannot corroborate Sep8. Neither missing coverage nor absent commercial detail means no event.
https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/Article/4593050/us-destroys-5-irgc-tankers-after-iran-targets-another-american-warship/
08UTC saved collector audit 1418
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:03
Saved 2026-09-09T07:30:37.096Z; direct feed/issuer sources except Llama secondary aggregation. Full numeric payload and footer verified. fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T07:30:32.481968+00:00
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0972 uncertainty_s=0.1658
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
{"s":"BTC","ts":["1788939006603","1788939033543"],"age":[27.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5748,"settled_bp":0.4803,"oi_coin":27405.381}
{"s":"ETH","ts":["1788939006652","1788939033560"],"age":[27.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5697,"settled_bp":0.7966,"oi_coin":617697.906}
{"s":"SOL","ts":["1788939007578","1788939033553"],"age":[26.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.3259,"settled_bp":-0.939,"oi_coin":2828683.1}
source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64]
source=https://www.usdc.com/ date=Sep 09, 2026. supply=74428659656.69
source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]}
END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/
{"trades":[{"id":9,"symbol":"SNOW","returnPct":-5.392364480519829,"exit":"operator liquidation"},{"id":7,"symbol":"DELL","returnPct":7.939941307427634,"exit":"operator liquidation"},{"id":1,"symbol":"GTLB","returnPct":-5.130499047026326,"exit":"operator liquidation"}],"winProbability":0.3333333333333333,"averageWinPct":7.939941307427634,"averageLossPct":5.261431763773078,"meanPct":-0.8609740733728405,"quarterKelly":0,"open":0,"pending":0,"closing":0}. Three operator-liquidated PEAD trades are not comparable expiration-week outcomes; no synchronous decision quotes, hence slippage by session/order type and natural stop/target frequency unidentifiable. No closed trades awaiting lessons supplied.
query_trades fund=quant; all history and separate open,pending,closing filters; Sep9~06:10UTC
{"return_pct":4.966511756310332,"drawdown_pct":8.398624330221127,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":18.349426911956357,"drawdown_pct":6.727870500370125,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":28.77722991156304,"drawdown_pct":13.2925892517202,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":45.195940155898825,"drawdown_pct":10.473077459115586,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":-10.16449701550064,"drawdown_pct":14.571465505383141,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":1.289259942694576,"drawdown_pct":11.969776440031287,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
{"return_pct":0.39251855014343917,"drawdown_pct":17.21838353497501,"initial_sleeves":3,"initial_USD_per_sleeve":1000}. Three independent initially equal cash sleeves; no periodic cross-sleeve rebalancing, fractional hypothetical implementation; not feasible current whole lots. Portfolio results not three independent observations; per-asset metrics separately recorded.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=OEF,SPY,IWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all