ETH/USD 08UTC cadence quality 1Hour
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","n":14782,"missing":2,"first":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-08 23:00:00+00:00"}; observedSep9study,period2025train/2026holdout; simulationunconditionalIID sensitivitynotforecast; dailyvs15mfielddifferences aren't tradedprices.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD 08UTC cadence quality 1Day
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","tf":"1Day","n":677,"missing":0,"first":"2024-11-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00"}; observedSep9study,period2025train/2026holdout; simulationunconditionalIID sensitivitynotforecast; dailyvs15mfielddifferences aren't tradedprices.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 08UTC cadence quality 15Min
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"BTC","tf":"15Min","n":59017,"missing":119,"first":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-08 23:45:00+00:00"}; observedSep9study,period2025train/2026holdout; simulationunconditionalIID sensitivitynotforecast; dailyvs15mfielddifferences aren't tradedprices.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 08UTC cadence quality 1Hour
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","n":14782,"missing":2,"first":"2025-01-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-08 23:00:00+00:00"}; observedSep9study,period2025train/2026holdout; simulationunconditionalIID sensitivitynotforecast; dailyvs15mfielddifferences aren't tradedprices.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 08UTC cadence quality 1Day
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"BTC","tf":"1Day","n":677,"missing":0,"first":"2024-11-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-08 00:00:00+00:00"}; observedSep9study,period2025train/2026holdout; simulationunconditionalIID sensitivitynotforecast; dailyvs15mfielddifferences aren't tradedprices.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 15Min slip15 = -29.349831802190877
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":15,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-29.349831802190877,"drawdown_pct":50.67392154272441,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.287670281892637,"avg_loss_pct":4.492391618062159,"expectancy_pct":-0.35321957951204125,"ci_low_pct":-1.5881042653137742,"ci_high_pct":0.8643520654798216,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":20,"targets":9,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.20988996775372268}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 15Min slip5 = -18.732950311684434
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":5,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-18.732950311684434,"drawdown_pct":45.59516535029439,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.496454563326082,"avg_loss_pct":4.30118505132661,"expectancy_pct":-0.15372637584748414,"ci_low_pct":-1.3835163901164156,"ci_high_pct":1.1070830410902128,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":20,"targets":9,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.20988996775372268}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Hour slip15 = -34.06241773931569
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":15,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-34.06241773931569,"drawdown_pct":53.64190666187281,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.202696130390975,"avg_loss_pct":4.595982130996908,"expectancy_pct":-0.44803380777119145,"ci_low_pct":-1.7387996719596053,"ci_high_pct":0.7476772337104358,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":19,"targets":7,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.3794333474516038}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Hour slip5 = -24.153715262172938
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":5,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-24.153715262172938,"drawdown_pct":48.868742831016796,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.411310293275279,"avg_loss_pct":4.4049829528313404,"expectancy_pct":-0.24873042252393443,"ci_low_pct":-1.5335751284983765,"ci_high_pct":0.9981722395833426,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":19,"targets":7,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.3794333474516038}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip15 = -45.1702227570022
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":15,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-45.1702227570022,"drawdown_pct":63.15432074862155,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.0339223128705655,"avg_loss_pct":4.897183401535153,"expectancy_pct":-0.686804993315314,"ci_low_pct":-2.0773652097640136,"ci_high_pct":0.6666418879264941,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":11,"targets":6,"max_stop_overshoot_R":1.42931170370443}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip5 = -36.93073427468296
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"oos","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":5,"n":70,"skipped":13,"return_pct":-36.93073427468296,"drawdown_pct":59.91421940730469,"win_pct":47.14285714285714,"avg_win_pct":4.242198589980639,"avg_loss_pct":4.7067872293689135,"expectancy_pct":-0.4879796288184106,"ci_low_pct":-1.8020211396678174,"ci_high_pct":0.7999537855184958,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":11,"targets":6,"max_stop_overshoot_R":1.42931170370443}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip15 = -73.90520006935425
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":15,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-73.90520006935425,"drawdown_pct":77.01746183672773,"win_pct":42.241379310344826,"avg_win_pct":5.118639410069941,"avg_loss_pct":5.399424536261095,"expectancy_pct":-0.9564492485867783,"ci_low_pct":-2.121415950948504,"ci_high_pct":0.23235692067274413,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":31,"targets":18,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.32956691495354007}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip5 = -67.09132471657662
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":5,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-67.09132471657662,"drawdown_pct":71.59017753093715,"win_pct":42.241379310344826,"avg_win_pct":5.329087294610544,"avg_loss_pct":5.210033852606939,"expectancy_pct":-0.7581637128340372,"ci_low_pct":-1.8894102274697586,"ci_high_pct":0.4109943619711526,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":31,"targets":18,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.32956691495354007}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Hour slip15 = -78.70721444311239
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":15,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-78.70721444311239,"drawdown_pct":80.40476924874255,"win_pct":41.37931034482759,"avg_win_pct":5.105084546651923,"avg_loss_pct":5.520835932587621,"expectancy_pct":-1.1239033204885003,"ci_low_pct":-2.285818375566515,"ci_high_pct":0.0517150499582765,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":31,"targets":15,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.5723215941807828}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Hour slip5 = -73.14724130349579
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":5,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-73.14724130349579,"drawdown_pct":75.72889763872865,"win_pct":41.37931034482759,"avg_win_pct":5.315505294308456,"avg_loss_pct":5.331688314974459,"expectancy_pct":-0.9259530283746323,"ci_low_pct":-2.079971984746263,"ci_high_pct":0.2483339613221938,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":31,"targets":15,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.5723215941807828}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Day slip15 = -61.61699925110039
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":15,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-61.61699925110039,"drawdown_pct":73.48897501731109,"win_pct":43.96551724137931,"avg_win_pct":5.712683600445926,"avg_loss_pct":5.493674769689606,"expectancy_pct":-0.566741348336915,"ci_low_pct":-1.8760085769633221,"ci_high_pct":0.7455303522828847,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":23,"targets":12,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.8703588658478505}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
SOL/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 1Day slip5 = -51.59442833798036
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"SOL","period":"train","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":5,"n":116,"skipped":5,"return_pct":-51.59442833798036,"drawdown_pct":67.16283624188684,"win_pct":43.96551724137931,"avg_win_pct":5.9243207635377955,"avg_loss_pct":5.304472775333122,"expectancy_pct":-0.3676756160019423,"ci_low_pct":-1.6611910918103503,"ci_high_pct":0.8908947216061512,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":23,"targets":12,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.8703588658478505}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 15Min slip15 = -40.66295152733326
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":15,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-40.66295152733326,"drawdown_pct":51.204164095025085,"win_pct":42.62295081967213,"avg_win_pct":4.084434450184051,"avg_loss_pct":4.302098404783512,"expectancy_pct":-0.7275106305350426,"ci_low_pct":-1.936207676916322,"ci_high_pct":0.5359760239296905,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":19,"targets":10,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.2224818283865257}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 15Min slip5 = -32.963717240492755
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":5,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-32.963717240492755,"drawdown_pct":46.209085516003576,"win_pct":44.26229508196721,"avg_win_pct":4.139849602814085,"avg_loss_pct":4.236197399024663,"expectancy_pct":-0.5287667588665288,"ci_low_pct":-1.7604858383448774,"ci_high_pct":0.7073539430140827,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":19,"targets":10,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.2224818283865257}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Hour slip15 = -44.60627028702921
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":15,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-44.60627028702921,"drawdown_pct":55.094859412935726,"win_pct":42.62295081967213,"avg_win_pct":3.9349599997166536,"avg_loss_pct":4.384277554811917,"expectancy_pct":-0.8383730233735102,"ci_low_pct":-2.0424192465825195,"ci_high_pct":0.4024104073983533,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":17,"targets":9,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.41152818924460277}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Hour slip5 = -37.418698372687395
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"1Hour","slip_bp":5,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-37.418698372687395,"drawdown_pct":50.49805926238281,"win_pct":44.26229508196721,"avg_win_pct":3.995623078004095,"avg_loss_pct":4.320962944734015,"expectancy_pct":-0.6398510986040323,"ci_low_pct":-1.871148802837981,"ci_high_pct":0.6177881156409356,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":17,"targets":9,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.41152818924460277}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip15 = -55.69892552232724
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":15,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-55.69892552232724,"drawdown_pct":65.20348452078173,"win_pct":42.62295081967213,"avg_win_pct":3.813775437891038,"avg_loss_pct":4.8739906002481,"expectancy_pct":-1.1710083544838772,"ci_low_pct":-2.5431708139460474,"ci_high_pct":0.16825084531864204,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":12,"targets":6,"max_stop_overshoot_R":1.8739390675353313}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit oos 1Day slip5 = -49.95067278071193
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"oos","tf":"1Day","slip_bp":5,"n":61,"skipped":22,"return_pct":-49.95067278071193,"drawdown_pct":61.77394490365453,"win_pct":44.26229508196721,"avg_win_pct":3.878693206992178,"avg_loss_pct":4.826088557776246,"expectancy_pct":-0.9731523668131724,"ci_low_pct":-2.3555292983606413,"ci_high_pct":0.3881198208033318,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":12,"targets":6,"max_stop_overshoot_R":1.8739390675353313}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip15 = -76.23274014811348
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"train","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":15,"n":112,"skipped":9,"return_pct":-76.23274014811348,"drawdown_pct":77.89401123152318,"win_pct":40.17857142857143,"avg_win_pct":4.216339616993652,"avg_loss_pct":4.722165729202328,"expectancy_pct":-1.1308019740343003,"ci_low_pct":-2.100133494226189,"ci_high_pct":-0.11719747277251495,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":32,"targets":15,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.8541372622693288}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ETH/USD Frozen08UTC cadence audit train 15Min slip5 = -70.265462772491
Crypto majors2026-09-09 08:08
{"symbol":"ETH","period":"train","tf":"15Min","slip_bp":5,"n":112,"skipped":9,"return_pct":-70.265462772491,"drawdown_pct":72.83718941140778,"win_pct":41.964285714285715,"avg_win_pct":4.240981446730556,"avg_loss_pct":4.673954818735774,"expectancy_pct":-0.9328654930490102,"ci_low_pct":-1.9333717254832212,"ci_high_pct":0.08252373354351665,"raw_quarter_kelly":0,"stops":32,"targets":15,"max_stop_overshoot_R":0.8541372622693288}; note1430 preregistered,unconditional72hdisjointpaths,notentryedge;2025train/2026throughSep8holdout,25bpcreditedassetfees,mark15m; cashreturnsreconciled; omittedincomplete72hpaths.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees