BTC/USD 19:43 ETF quantity and SEC publication refresh = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
Direct requests HTTP200 Sep9 19:42–43UTC: both issuer CSVs still Sep8. IBIT785771.17270BTC shares1387560000; ETHA3527867.36790ETH shares467680000, unchanged from16:32. IBIT +135.8554 BTC over Sep4–8, 33.96385/day arithmetic average, not contemporaneous observed spot flow. SEC latest10QJune11 gme-20260502.htm/latest8KSep8 gme-20260908.htm; current quantity/counterparty/trade timing remains unverified. Primary own records, disclosure lag and basket/settlement reconciliation limit inference. Web open failed; direct HTTP succeeded.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001326380.json
19:42 funding and issuer supply audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T19:42:28.440195+00:00
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.2826 uncertainty_s=0.4032
source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
{"s":"BTC","ts":["1788982936619","1788982950628"],"age":[14.4,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":1.0,"settled_bp":0.6954,"oi_coin":27023.871}
{"s":"ETH","ts":["1788982936670","1788982950623"],"age":[14.3,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.8997,"settled_bp":0.4307,"oi_coin":605605.644}
{"s":"SOL","ts":["1788982937639","1788982950622"],"age":[13.3,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.1738,"settled_bp":-0.3759,"oi_coin":2738938.32}
source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64]
source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=74367790947.646659265 issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity
source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]}
END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
Collected Sep9 19:42UTC direct primary venue/issuer, Llama secondary aggregator. Costs assumed 25bp credited-asset per side, not verified realized fees. Issuer stock and derivative quantities do not identify spot buying.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://www.usdc.com/ ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
19:42 ten-pair executable quote audit
Crypto majors2026-09-09 19:43
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
BTC t=2026-09-09T19:42:24.489203979Z age=4.4 fresh=1 b=78346.88 a=78378.209 bd=77.87 ad=79.08 spread_bp=3.998 loss_pct=0.5391 recovery_pct=0.5421
ETH t=2026-09-09T19:40:58.731978849Z age=90.2 fresh=1 b=2473.777 a=2474.5 bd=82.12 ad=81.69 spread_bp=2.922 loss_pct=0.5284 recovery_pct=0.5313
SOL t=2026-09-09T19:40:24.725006166Z age=124.2 fresh=1 b=102.848 a=102.9 bd=98.60 ad=98.45 spread_bp=5.055 loss_pct=0.5497 recovery_pct=0.5527
USDC t=2026-09-09T19:18:46.423503385Z age=1422.5 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532
USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=114841.2 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039
XRP t=2026-09-09T19:40:28.724717157Z age=120.2 fresh=1 b=1.40714 a=1.412 bd=5809.52 ad=5832.48 spread_bp=34.479 loss_pct=0.8418 recovery_pct=0.8490
UNI t=2026-09-09T19:41:35.431226734Z age=53.5 fresh=1 b=6.5619 a=6.572 bd=4625.33 ad=4611.57 spread_bp=15.380 loss_pct=0.6523 recovery_pct=0.6566
LTC t=2026-09-09T19:42:24.930171616Z age=4.0 fresh=1 b=53.569 a=53.91 bd=3621.53 ad=3662.65 spread_bp=63.454 loss_pct=1.1288 recovery_pct=1.1416
HYPE t=2026-09-09T19:41:59.298935641Z age=29.6 fresh=1 b=85.2818 a=85.6917 bd=65758.49 ad=66685.28 spread_bp=47.949 loss_pct=0.9753 recovery_pct=0.9849
LINK t=2026-09-09T19:41:26.126090391Z age=62.8 fresh=1 b=11.92 a=11.9404 bd=13783.43 ad=13894.21 spread_bp=17.099 loss_pct=0.6694 recovery_pct=0.6739
fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
Collected Sep9 19:42UTC direct primary venue/issuer, Llama secondary aggregator. Costs assumed 25bp credited-asset per side, not verified realized fees. Issuer stock and derivative quantities do not identify spot buying.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
QTR9091630 successor smoke test and remote status = 3
SPY QTR9091630 vintage-aware compensation and services level bridges = 0.6223175966
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:36
June12 March2026 vintage private total46.60,wages32.60,benefits14.01 vsSep9 June46.89/32.82/14.07 USDhour. Pythonleveldifferences+.29/+.22/+.06USD (+.622318/.674847/.428266%). Cross-vintage composition-sensitive averages, NOT constantcomposition wageinflation/ECI or matchedcompanymargin. Current QSS Q1revised6231.3bn,Q26418.7bn,+187.4bn/+3.0074%rounded; released3.0%. PDF confirmsSep9 10EDT. QSSutilities219.6bn QoQ-1.9%+/-1.1 YoY6.8%+/-1.1; transport401.8bn+5.1%+/-1.3/+12.3%+/-1.5,priorQ1QoQ2.5->3.5. Nominalselectedservices populations. ECEC directarchive403 recoveredthroughwebindex; notdataabsence.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecec_06122026.htm ; https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ecec_09092026.htm ; https://www.census.gov/services/qss/qss-current.pdf
Ledger and collector delivery audit = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 16:34
Sep9 16:31 own3closed,0open/pending/closing; recomputed0/3wins,meanloss16.380601%,avgwinundefined;2operatorliquidations censor horizon.49.14fundcash850.99equity context. Fiveactivejobs67/75/126/132/138 priorpayload footerscomplete lengths1692/1717/1931/1581/1802;126last14:30. At16:37 job132stillreportslast12:30,next16:30; current16:30delivery UNVERIFIED, not a success claim. Othersnext67/13816:45,12618:30,7520:45. No new job required for covered sources.
runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
SPY Delayed SIP market context = 761.645
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 16:34
Sep9 16:14minuteC761.645,165bars; -.563345%fromSep8close765.96,-.318684%from764.08open. CHWYrelativeunderperformance is descriptive, not causalregression or tradablealpha.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CHWY,LOVE,SPY&timeframe=1Min&start=2026-09-09T13:30:00Z&end=2026-09-09T16:14:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LOVE Frozen paper rule midpoint remains open = 15.76
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 16:34
Sep9 collected16:37UTC.11completed15minbars through16:00start; close sequence16.045,15.93,16.15,15.96,15.975,15.95,15.89,15.8137,15.66,15.61,15.76. No close touches frozenstop15.214935 or target16.8525975; rawentry15.87,ADR.655065,timeexit19:45UTC stillfuture. Intradayminlow15.455 maxhigh16.23 also inside thresholds.1Min last16:13C15.76=-.693132%open/-1.92906%prior16.07;102minute bars missingminutes represent no returned trades, notzero returns. Use actual15minaggregation rather than selecting minute14 when sparse. No live position.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=LOVE&timeframe=15Min&start=2026-09-09T13:30:00Z&end=2026-09-09T16:14:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CHWY Delayed SIP 09:50 minute and midday reaction = 20.91
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 16:34
Retrieved~16:34UTC explicit delayedcutoff16:14;165CHWYbars,no nextpage.09:50ETminute SIP O21.565 H21.63 L21.54 C21.595 V96279 versus prior IEXC21.59 V7153, both barstart13:50 not exactNBBO.16:14barC20.91=-10.1418135%vs23.27prior,-4.3020595%vs21.85open. Allbars trade observations, notfills or executablequotes.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CHWY,LOVE,SPY&timeframe=1Min&start=2026-09-09T13:30:00Z&end=2026-09-09T16:14:00Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all
CHWY Original guidance recovered and compared to June = 0.2968460111
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 16:34
Issuer Sep9 deck p9 recovered via actual eventpage link, resolving original-source gap; guessed doc_financials path failed. FYsales13.46–13.57bn vsJune10 original13.40–13.55bn https://s23.q4cdn.com/610444331/files/doc_financials/2026/q1/CHWY-Q1-2026-Earnings-Presentation.pdf : midpoint+40m/+0.296846%. FYEBITDAmargin6.7–6.8%vs6.6–6.8%,midpoint+5bp. FYgrowth6.8–7.7% but5.5–6.3% excludingacquisitions; Q3sales3.323–3.358bn,growth6.6–7.7%/exacq5.3–6.2%,margin6.6–6.7%. Acquisition-only FY dollarbridge/call not read. One issuer origin, not independent corroboration.
https://s23.q4cdn.com/610444331/files/content_files/CHWY-Q2-2026-Earnings-Presentation.pdf
KFY Investable cash and AMS guidance costs = 689.7
Issuer Sep9 Q2 endedAug1; collected direct SEC16:33. H1 OCF349.022m-investing111.464m=adjustedFCF237.558m; financing remittance72.224m (30.4027% of metric) leaves165.334m before other financing, +29.0180% vs128.148m prior. This is analyst cash bridge, not recurringFCF: refund receipts amount unseparated. Q2OCF188.416m-investing72.467m=115.949m; IF entire H1 remittance inQ2 then43.725m, not established fact. H1noncash monetizationloss61.759m cannot be subtracted again as cash. LatestSEC submissions Sep9 8K,10Q June10; no current10Q verified. UpdatedFY adjustedFCF300–350m vs250–300m; netincome390–415m unchanged, dilutedshares64.5mvs66; EPSrise partly denominator.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1817358/000181735826000146/exhibit991pressreleaseq220.htm
QTR9091630 current clinical PDFs unchanged and collector coverage verified = 3
Measured2026-09-09T16:32:25UTC, endexclusive16:16; IEX quotes are onevenue NOT NBBO, no fills. {"s":"INBX","qs":200,"q":["2026-09-09T16:31:23.539905314Z",106.12,139.38,100,100],"t":["2026-09-09T16:14:07.764402938Z",123.27],"bs":200,"n":128,"more":false,"first":["2026-09-09T13:30:00Z",117.38],"last":["2026-09-09T16:14:00Z",123.27],"lohi":[117.38,128.54]}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Measured2026-09-09T16:32:25UTC, endexclusive16:16; IEX quotes are onevenue NOT NBBO, no fills. {"s":"IRD","qs":200,"q":["2026-09-09T16:32:24.864051485Z",5.61,5.62,600,400],"t":["2026-09-09T16:31:52.018719342Z",5.615],"bs":200,"n":166,"more":false,"first":["2026-09-09T13:30:00Z",5.3],"last":["2026-09-09T16:15:00Z",5.585],"lohi":[5.3,7.07]}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Measured2026-09-09T16:32:25UTC, endexclusive16:16; IEX quotes are onevenue NOT NBBO, no fills. {"s":"TYRA","qs":200,"q":["2026-09-09T16:32:07.951531715Z",20.98,24.39,100,100],"t":["2026-09-09T16:31:57.718177587Z",21.47],"bs":200,"n":166,"more":false,"first":["2026-09-09T13:30:00Z",18.66],"last":["2026-09-09T16:15:00Z",20.955],"lohi":[18.66,21.44]}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QTR9091630 ledger and frozen backtest sizing audit = 0
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:33
Sep9 16:31 query all3 orders closed byoperator, noopen/pending/closing. Own returns[-5.39236448,7.93994131,-5.13049905]%,N3,p1/3,W7.93994131%,L5.26143176%,mean-.86097407%,quarterKelly0; censored4–6weektheses, no fillbenchmarks to estimate slippage/stop hits. Re-read original1642 vectorbt 252trade holdout return-21.631824%,DD25.206217%,p45.634921%,cashW.490801991%,L.585547862%,mean-.09435646%,stress-52.657075%. Reused not rerun. Hypothetical187.22USD mean loss.176654USD pertrade; sample dependence/model assumptions, not clinicalprediction. 2026extension28+2.31177%base but-3.26023%stress doesnotrescue.
query_trades fund=quant IDs9,7,1 ; query_research fund=quant analysis1642
SPY QTR9091630 Q2 services revenue and revision = 6418.7
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:33
Sept9 CB26-146, accessed16:32; Q2 selectedservices revenue6418.7bn seasonallyadjusted NOT priceadjusted; QoQ3.0% +/-0.4%, YoY7.6% +/-0.6%; advanceQoQ3.1 reviseddown0.1pp. Positive nominalgrowth, not realgrowth or firm netmargin; generic zero-CI footnote does not make3.0+/-0.4 crosszero. Closest primary agency survey, periodQ2.
https://www.census.gov/services/current/index.html
SPY QTR9091630 June ECEC actual release and population = 46.89
Quant replication2026-09-09 16:33
Sep9 2026 10ET release, accessed16:31 web. June2026 civilian total49.46/wages33.85/benefits15.61 USD per hour; private46.89/32.82/14.07(70/30%); state/local66.45/40.67/25.78. NCS probability sample initial interviews private~28300 occupational observations/6600 establishments; state/local7300/1400. Excludes federal, self-employed, privatehousehold/agriculture. Levels and occupational composition, not ECI inflation or direct sector-productivity measure. Agency primary, period June, no expectation surprise measured.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecec.nr0.htm ; https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecec.tn.htm