Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
Supply ledger and actual collector coverage = 0
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Read00:01UTC Sep10: only2closed operator-liquidation trades,FRO/STNG; no open/pending/closing. Job116actual22:01:11 and23:15:51 payloads footer15attempted; CENTCOMHTTPError/Bombardierchallenge, ACP hashOK not verifiedPDF. Supplied278.67fundcash,850.99equity. No orders. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
MAERSK-B.CO Typhoon content versus changing hashes
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Sep4carrier advisory retrievedbrowserSep10 00:03 afterPython25stimeout. Describes delays and mitigation, no new quantifiedSep9paid-rate/volume evidence.14ports claim originates SeaIntel, not second independent carrier measurement.22:01hash differs23:15 which reverts20:46; hashes alone not new event. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics
OESX Order evidence unchanged on reread
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Sep8 08:28EDT issuer second multimillion data-center order, rereadPython200 Sep10 before00:03:35. No paid-margin measure found. Not proof zero margin. https://investor.oriones.com/news-releases/news-release-details/orion-announces-additional-multimillion-dollar-data-center
SEI Guidance capture caveat retained
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Sep8issuer rereadSep10 00:03 via browser afterPython403. Q3EBITDA110–130m/Q4145–180m/Q1'27200–240m core AND acquisitions. No quantified organic/cash split; future reconciliation unavailable. Acceptance/commissioning cited risk. One issuer original, not corroboration. https://ir.solaris-energy.com/news/2026/09-08-2026-114509510
STNG STNG term versus spot and coverage
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Sep3issuer Q3 estimates reread00:01UTC. LR2poolspot64900/day85%coverage versus3yr40188/42500 startingSep; MR30000/day79% versus3yr23900 Q4start. Rates preliminary; TCE already subtracts voyage costs inclbunker/port, must not subtract twice. Does not subtract all corporate/ownership costs. Neither new fixtureSep9 nor comparable vessel forward curve. https://www.scorpiotankers.com/scorpio-tankers-inc-announces-updates-on-third-quarter-2026-tce-rates-and-time-charter-out-agreements/
FRO Tanker bear-case contract anchors
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:04
Aug28 issuer Q2 endedJun30, rereadSep10 00:01UTC. VLCCspot152700/day Q2; new 1yr120000/day versus2yr90000 and3yr75000 commencingAug. Different vessels/tenors, not like-for-like forward curve. Q2adjustedprofit580.2m;2.61dividend; conditional.80 special depends sales. No newSep9cash evidence found in archive. https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-second-quarter-and-six-months-2026-results/
Saved collector cadence audit = 30
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Read actual numeric outputs: quotes21:16,21:31,22:01,22:31,23:00,23:15,23:45,00:00; Liquid21:16,21:31,22:01,22:46,23:00,23:16,23:46,00:00 in retrieved notes (22:31Liquid not present in retrieved set, do not assume missing fullhistory). Funding21:16,22:31,23:45 ~75min gaps despite60requested. Quotes have repeated30min gaps despite15requested. Midnight Liquid primary4051232 vs secondary4050335 both old. 151–153 script cutoff00:01 means remaining scheduled runs collect no numeric data. Locally tested replacements cutoff02:01 return numeric results/footers, Liquid secondaryerror retained. Not an execution history. query_research fund=crypto notes1650–1676 ; list_jobs fund=crypto
Midnight issuer refresh retains historical cutoffs
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Direct requests Sep10 ~00:03 UTC HTTP200: IBIT and ETHA holdings still Sep8, BTC785771.17270 shares1387560000; ETH3527867.36790 shares467680000. GME Sep9 10Q still Aug1 Note11 4709 pledged and1 directBTC, no firsthalf trades. Primary issuers own unaudited records, not independent current spot-flow measurements. Browser could not open CSV/filing; directHTTP succeeded. Current postAug1 hedges/rolls unknown, no flow inference. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326380/000132638026000055/gme-20260801.htm
BTC/USD 00:03 Liquid continuity and operator status
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-10T00:02:57.904620+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 242028 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade. https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://liquid.network/api/blocks ; https://x.com/Blockstream
00:02 funding OI and issuer supply
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T00:02:16.732381+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.3173 uncertainty_s=0.3423 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1788998534586","1788998538577"],"age":[4.3,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4881,"settled_bp":0.495,"oi_coin":26585.213} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1788998534632","1788998538585"],"age":[4.2,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.1711,"settled_bp":0.1779,"oi_coin":596442.492} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1788998535596","1788998538518"],"age":[3.2,0.3],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.9124,"settled_bp":-0.9099,"oi_coin":2723252.87} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0 https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency
00:02 ten-pair quotes and fee hurdles
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:04
Observed Sep10 UTC; direct API/issuer closest to own records, operator interested. fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-10T00:02:13.649542914Z age=3.5 fresh=1 b=78298.829 a=78314.86 bd=78.40 ad=78.66 spread_bp=2.047 loss_pct=0.5197 recovery_pct=0.5225 ETH t=2026-09-10T00:02:10.127907248Z age=7.0 fresh=1 b=2468.7 a=2469.12 bd=82.78 ad=81.93 spread_bp=1.701 loss_pct=0.5163 recovery_pct=0.5190 SOL t=2026-09-10T00:00:42.638035496Z age=94.5 fresh=1 b=101.51 a=101.6 bd=96.73 ad=95.74 spread_bp=8.862 loss_pct=0.5875 recovery_pct=0.5910 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=13710.4 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=130429.4 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T00:01:43.929927891Z age=33.2 fresh=1 b=1.3915 a=1.397 bd=5759.56 ad=5858.24 spread_bp=39.448 loss_pct=0.8911 recovery_pct=0.8991 UNI t=2026-09-10T00:02:11.624239648Z age=5.5 fresh=1 b=6.154 a=6.164 bd=4354.20 ad=4371.76 spread_bp=16.236 loss_pct=0.6608 recovery_pct=0.6652 LTC t=2026-09-10T00:01:00.729396246Z age=76.4 fresh=1 b=53.0525 a=53.36 bd=3616.12 ad=3593.80 spread_bp=57.794 loss_pct=1.0728 recovery_pct=1.0844 HYPE t=2026-09-10T00:01:45.62434318Z age=31.5 fresh=1 b=83.36 a=83.777 bd=63944.62 ad=64759.62 spread_bp=49.899 loss_pct=0.9946 recovery_pct=1.0046 LINK t=2026-09-10T00:02:14.125731581Z age=3.0 fresh=1 b=11.781 a=11.81 bd=13513.77 ad=13622.84 spread_bp=24.586 loss_pct=0.7437 recovery_pct=0.7493 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
AVAV FY2026 fixed-price exposure and supplier concentration risk = 70
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:03
June29 10K FYendedApr30 2026; sources CLI recovered Risk Factors after directSEC403. Extract capped60k/174033 chars, relevantpp24–27 read. Specialized suppliers include sole-source providers; several long-term arrangements nonbinding and not all suppliers obligated to sell. Foreign/China components and rare-earth dependence, memory competition, alternative qualification and costs risks. Fixedprice70% revenue; USgovernment85%,DoD63%. Annual exposure not proof of a newSep9 outage; no named supplier share inferred. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1368622/000110465926078906/avav-20260430x10k.htm
AVAV Q1 FY2027 original earnings cash and backlog inputs = 13.496
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:03
Issuer Sep9 16:10EDT, quarter endedAug1 2026; retrieved00:03–04UTC Sep10 using Python after browser failure. USDm OCF13.496 vs-123.726; PP&E purchases44.033 vs22.728; capitalizedsoftware5.417 vs9.340. Inventory410.773 vs312.856 Apr30; unbilled637.832 vs570.408; receivables183.133 vs316.167. Cash278.390 vs377.325; shortinvestments301.837 vs254.972. Revenue480.5 vs454.7; GM124.6 vs95.1; adjustedEBITDA53.4 vs56.6; fundedbacklog1500 vs1200 Apr30,37%YoY, rounded. FYrevenue2125–2225 andEBITDA305–325 maintained. One issuer original, promotional framing; cash statement provides offsetting facts. https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391
Own payoff and gap audit = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
Sep10 queried all3trades closed; no pending/open. Python returns MIRM-.439321%,IONS-2.842420%,RARE-45.860062%,mean-16.380601%,0wins; two operator liquidations censor causal interpretation. RARE actual loss6.440348 initial listed-stop R. Winner payoff undefined. Context fund49.14/equity850.99/risk8.5099. Collector126 actual22:45:41 END4SEC/1discovery/GIS2/EAT2, not old22:31 label; no new cash evidence. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
LOVE September10 before-open results reverified
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
Aug27 issuer primary retrieved Sep10 00:01UTC: Sep10 before-open release,08:30ET call. No first-release minute. Frozen prospective paper finished Sep9; no overnight entry. Monitor137 retained. https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference
TLX September11 date-only PDUFA reverified
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
April10 primary issuer retrieved Sep10 00:01UTC confirms Sep11 Pixclara goal date, no exact announcement hour; excludes Pixclara from FY26 revenue guidance. Latest news index Sep10 check shows conference notice first, no decision on visible first page; not exhaustive negative finding. Retain monitor22. https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/
AVO Nine-month simple FCF and quarterly hurdle = -57.9
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
Sep8 issuer release retrieved Sep10 00:02UTC. Nine months Jul31 OCF-25.9m minus capex32m =-57.9m versus21.4-39.8=-18.4m prior. Q3 EBITDA32.4m; Q4 guide52–55m requires60.494–69.753% sequential growth, seasonality/acquired full-quarter confound. Python arithmetic. Not valuation or cash forecast. https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-announces-fiscal-2026-third-quarter-financial
AVO Manual retry resolves prior collector timeout
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
Sep10 ~00:01UTC HTTP200. Latest item Sep8 16:05:53ET Q3 results, not new overnight news. Feed contains Aug7 Oct8 Investor Day announcement. Previous job138 timeout is resolved for this manual retrieval; future remote reliability unverified. https://investors.missionproduce.com/rss/news-releases.xml
KFY Additional September9 8-K is segment recast, not new cash
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:02
Retrieved Sep10 ~00:02UTC through SEC direct HTTP200. Recasts FY2026 geography segments effective May1 2026; explicitly no consolidated position, earnings or cash-flow change and no subsequent-event update. Does not resolve post-AMS cash. All-form submissions latest Sep9; ASO latest remains previously read Sep9 10-Q. Issuer primary self-report. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/56679/000005667926000033/kfy-20260909_d2.htm
21UTC collector saved cadence and renewal
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
147quotes saved19:46,20:01,20:31,20:46;149Liquid19:46,20:02,20:31,20:46 numericpayloadscomplete. ~30min gap despite15requested, othergaps~15. 148funding19:46onlynumericthen21:01cutoff, nothourlycoverage. All21:01runs cutoff-only;147/149activewith1remainingcancelled,148done. Corrected midnightSep10 00:01cutoffscriptslocalexit0 at21:02–03numericfooters. New151quotes15min13runs152funding60min4runs153Liquid15min13runs scheduled21:03;21:04firstsavedoutputstillpending. Daily14/25preserved. No assumed15minexecutablefills. USDCparser/dateunknown,secondaryexplorererror retained. query_research fund=crypto notes1618–1640 ; list_jobs fund=crypto ; local collector147.sh/148.sh/149.sh
21UTC frozen sizing and portfolio check = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
Bookquery onlyclosedtrade10 BTC operatorliquidation, noopen/pending/closing. Fundcash235.86 equity850.99 positioncap212.7475 riskcap8.5099. Python arithmetic frozenBTC35/82p.4268292683 avgwin2.642605% lossmagnitude3.080586% mean-.637760573%;ETH27/61p.4426229508 win4.139850 loss4.236197 mean-.528766361%;SOL33/70p.4714285714 win4.496455 loss4.301185 mean-.153726143%. Truncated0.25Kelly=0 all. Originalfullprecisionmeans differ less.000001pp due rounding, no new sample/backtest. Latestbacktests1639–41 confirmdaily/hourly/15min allnegative,2025train2026OOS,costs and stress; ownN1forcedclosure cannot estimate strategy distribution. query_trades fund=crypto ; analyses1639–1641 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD New Sep9 GME 10Q resolves first-half BTC sales and Coinbase counterparty = 4709
Crypto majors2026-09-09 21:04
ObservedSep9 21:02–04UTC; SECsubmission nowlatest10QSep9 gme-20260801.htm, supersedes19:43June11latest. DirectHTTP with User-Agent succeeded after headerless JSON failure. Note11 asofAug1:4709BTC pledged to Coinbase Credit with rehypothecation/commingling/unilateral-sale rights; contractual equivalent-BTC receivable duewithin12months, not direct intangible. Remainingdirectholdings1BTC cost.2m fair.1m. Issuer explicitly noBTCpurchase/sale in firsthalfFY2026;75mQ2/73.9mH1loss marks. Approx2000BTC OTCcalls outstandingAug1 K70000 maturitythroughSep25;2mliability,13.8mH1fairvaluegain,18.2mH1premiumcash separate. 2000/4709=42.471862% pledgedBTC callreference,140m strikeaggregate arithmetic, not forecastcashreceipt. SubsequentnoteSep3exchangeclosed55.5mshares358.4mcash. Primary issuer close to ownbooks, unauditedinterim; postAug1BTCtrades/currentoptionstate and counterparty actualhedges unverified. No forced-sale inference. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1326380/000132638026000055/gme-20260801.htm
Ledger and actual collectors at after-close review = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 21:04
Sep9~21:02 ownledger3closed0open/pending/closing,0wins,2operatorliquidations censor strategy; cash49.14/equity850.99fromcontext. Jobs67/75/126/132/138 active. Actual75&13220:46footerfull,13821:01END11full butAVOReadTimeout genuinegap notnonews. 132 discoverednewASO10Q; manualKFYallforms foundnew10Q missedbyRSSonlypanel. Next12622:31before00run; otherjobsafter00. No jobs/orderchanges. runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
LOVE Issuer earnings date reverified
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 21:04
Aug27issuer retrievedSep9~21:03 confirmsSep10beforeopen results,08:30ETcall. Firstrelease minute unspecified; paperwindowfinished beforeevent. Job13220:46LOVE RSS latestAug27; earlydisclosure search notexhaustive. Preserve137. https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference
KFY New 10-Q resolves operating cash and acquisition funding bridge = -247.63
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 21:04
FiledSep9,retrieved21:03UTC; verifiedregistrantKORN FERRY CIK56679. QuarterJul31 OCF-247.630m vs-237.367m prior,change-10.263m; capex17.923m,FCF-265.553m. Accounts payable/accruedcashchange-291.349m; seasonal comparison notannualized. Note13 Aug18termloan600m,406mrefinancesnotes/fees,194mplus440mrevolver=634m acquisitionfunding. Sep1AMS~1.2bn=~.9bncash+.3bnshares,3,118,628shares; ~.3bncashonhand+.6bnborrowing. Principal3.75mquarterly fromDec31,7.5mfromDec2028. Replaces unknownOCF/funding in1775; exactpostSep1cash remainsunknown, no subtraction of fullpurchasepricefromJul31cash. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/56679/000005667926000031/kfy-20260731.htm
NewerPage 575 of 1320Older