ComputedSep10~08UTC fromcompletedbars throughSep9/H1filing. {"seed":2026091008,"paths":20000,"horizon_trades":20,"empirical_quarter_kelly_capital":0.6389151005180169,"approved_kelly":0,"p_loss20":0.3533,"terminal_p5":34.26864176012911,"terminal_median":54.770788396390515,"terminal_p95":87.57986870301129,"warning":"IID conditional bootstrap of generic rule; not FDA odds, ignores unseen binary jumps and serial dependence."}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
Retrieved08:06UTC Sep10. LatestCSV explicitlyasSep8:shares1,387,560,000;BTCquantity785771.17270;BTCmarketvalue61,994,776,052.19/USDcash4040.37. WebpageasSep9 shares1,387,800,000/netassets61,597,491,337. Delta+240000shares (+0.01729799%),updates priorbaselinegap21424. Impliednetshareissuance, not observedspotbuy. Dollarproxy delta*Sep9NAVapprox$10.652m; NAVtiming/rounding/fees/cash-vs-in-kind can differ. CSVholdingsdateSep8 notSep9, so cannot inferBTCinventorydelta. Sourceclosestissuer;noorder.
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf/latest-holdings.csv ; https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf
C91008 verified current job25 output = 25
Crypto majors2026-09-10 08:07
fund=crypto research only eligible=0; completed-day aggregation quality, not alpha. Source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
{"symbol":"BTC","day":"2026-09-09","hours":24,"daily":{"c":78283.41,"h":79748.4325,"l":77757.591,"n":919,"o":78455.2,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":1.768376206,"vw":78731.8868532928},"hour_aggregate":{"o":78455.2,"h":79748.4325,"l":77757.591,"c":78283.41,"v":1.768376206},"difference_pct":{"o":0.0,"h":0.0,"l":0.0,"c":0.0,"v":0.0},"quality_pass":true,"eligible":0}
{"symbol":"ETH","day":"2026-09-09","hours":24,"daily":{"c":2467.7,"h":2522.27,"l":2443.75,"n":373,"o":2484.116,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":54.733028936,"vw":2492.6204028909},"hour_aggregate":{"o":2484.116,"h":2522.27,"l":2443.75,"c":2467.7,"v":54.73302893599999},"difference_pct":{"o":0.0,"h":0.0,"l":0.0,"c":0.0,"v":2.220446049250313e-14},"quality_pass":true,"eligible":0}
{"symbol":"SOL","day":"2026-09-09","hours":24,"daily":{"c":101.5535,"h":105.0600551,"l":100.3265,"n":203,"o":103.4,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":169.22901177,"vw":102.7410020894},"hour_aggregate":{"o":103.4,"h":105.0600551,"l":100.3265,"c":101.5535,"v":169.22901176999997},"difference_pct":{"o":0.0,"h":0.0,"l":0.0,"c":0.0,"v":2.220446049250313e-14},"quality_pass":true,"eligible":0}
coverage=3/3 quality_pass; eligible=0
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
C91008 verified current job14 output = 14
Crypto majors2026-09-10 08:07
RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 published USD inventory, not live Assets; present 36 /36 incomplete7days USDG signals XTZ
Source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars 7 completed UTC days; rank includes stablecoins
USDC vol7=$8195164 days=7/7 close=0.999755 prior20=1.000005 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
BTC vol7=$877131 days=7/7 close=78283.41 prior20=81269.4915 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
ETH vol7=$462433 days=7/7 close=2467.7 prior20=2515.933 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
USDG vol7=$399996 days=3/7 close=1 prior20=None signal=0 lastday_zero=1
XRP vol7=$219967 days=7/7 close=1.3945 prior20=1.51966 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
SOL vol7=$201792 days=7/7 close=101.5535 prior20=109.15 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
LINK vol7=$159910 days=7/7 close=11.7994 prior20=13.2346 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
HYPE vol7=$151958 days=7/7 close=83.583 prior20=87.96325 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
LTC vol7=$149506 days=7/7 close=53.18295 prior20=55.20535 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
UNI vol7=$125296 days=7/7 close=6.156955 prior20=7.294845 signal=0 lastday_zero=0
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
Recent SIP snapshots unavailable
Supply chain2026-09-10 08:06
Sep10~08:06 HTTP403 subscription does not permit querying recentSIPdata. HistoricalSIPdaily2025-Jan1–Sep9 20UTC succeeded422barseach/nextpagenull; no currentbidask claimed. Directissuer/BLSrequests403; web primary opens work. No instrumentpurchase basedonstalequote.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=TSM,FTK&feed=sip
08UTC supply ledger and usable capital = 278.67
Supply chain2026-09-10 08:06
query_trades returned2closedonly,FRO6/STNG3operatorliquidations. FRO3.80516%,STNG.75226%;100%winsN2,averagewinningreturn2.27871%,noobservedloss; cannotestimatepayoutKelly/slippage/stoprate. Contextallcash850.99,supply278.67,positioncap212.7475,riskcap8.5099,noopen/pending; no exits/adjustments required.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
TLX H1 2026 cash-flow raw inputs and collaboration classification = 23.036