FTK PRE91008 empirical block risk simulation and distribution = 0
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:10
{"sample_daily":421,"block_sample":248,"sim_paths":10000,"r20_percentile":1.9900497512437811,"daily_q05_median_q95_pct":[-6.547439807901546,0.08027576601776677,8.971613995832751],"daily_lag1_corr":-0.06151673171813874,"sim_stop_pct":20.97,"sim_target_pct":20.28,"sim_time_pct":58.75,"sim_return_q05_median_q95_pct":[-10.912956500309157,0.16381314936968483,17.13980184838253],"sim_mean_pct":1.621441346730955,"sim_stop_overshoot_median_usd":-0.3468204545454512,"prior_close":27.88,"reference_stop":25.692275,"reference_target":31.1615875,"approved_usd":0} Method: last252logreturns;248overlapping5dayblocks,10000bootstrapdraws seed91008 FTKthenTSM. Currentclose origin;dailyclosefirst1ADRstop/1.5ADRtarget else5thclose;cost15bp/side incl5bpfee+10bpslip. Historical drift not eventcalibration; noOOS/no15minvalidation, not backtest or winprobability.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More TSM PRE91008 daily technical metrics = 435.36
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:10
{"n":422,"last":"2026-09-09T04:00:00Z","close":435.36,"sma20":421.62750000000005,"sma50":420.1454,"r20_pct":3.1512107283324653,"adr20":8.44719,"adr_pct":1.940277012127894,"realized20_ann_pct":27.17954265288421,"whole_share_cap_fits":false,"hypothetical_risk_one_adr":8.44719,"riskcap":8.5099} Historical daily Jan2025–Sep9'26, cutoffSep9 20UTC; not executable current quotes. Python252annualization of simple return stdev.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More FTK PRE91008 daily technical metrics = 27.88
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:10
{"n":422,"last":"2026-09-09T04:00:00Z","close":27.88,"sma20":26.360000000000003,"sma50":26.671800000000005,"r20_pct":-28.18134981968058,"adr20":2.1877250000000013,"adr_pct":7.846933285509331,"realized20_ann_pct":103.27489170085511,"whole_share_cap_fits":true,"hypothetical_risk_one_adr":2.1877250000000013,"riskcap":8.5099,"montana_total_rev_pct":5.935613682092555,"montana_DA_rev_pct":30.729166666666668,"montana_DA_external_pct":48.7603305785124,"h2_intl_growth_floor_pct":217.4603174603175,"net_debt_growth_pct":22.972972972972983,"hypo_EV_EBITDA_deck":17.14423076923077,"deployed_or_ordered_growth_pct":256} Historical daily Jan2025–Sep9'26, cutoffSep9 20UTC; not executable current quotes. Python252annualization of simple return stdev.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More GD 08UTC all-form filings and official-list refresh
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
LatestSep4Form4;latest8KAug7 accession0001193125-26-340490. WH https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/ latestSep9PatriotDay,Sep8Canadaproductactions; boundedfrontpage notproofnounpublishedinstrument. GNW https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/08/3357281/0/en/bombardier-statement.html reverifiedSep7 20:43ET issuerfootprintadvocacy. No profitableGDslots ornewaircraft-specificsignedscopeverified; preserve131.
https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000040533.json
More BWEN 08UTC all-form filings refresh
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
ManualallformsSep10~08:08: latestAug21 8-K/A0001437749-26-028689 bwen20260820_8ka.htm, nextAug11Q2. PrioranalysisestablishedamendmentManitowocnotAbilene. No newfiling confirmingleaseend found; nondisclosurenotdelay. Preserve13012:30.
https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001120370.json
September10 ECB published timing label
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Agency pageSep10conference14:45CET,decisions14:15CET. Page usesCET label duringBerlin summer time; exact UTC convention not independentlyresolved here, no ordertiming inferred. Next12:30UTC run checksactualdecisionstatus; contextforFX/costoffunding, notdirectionalsignal.
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/html/index.en.html
TLX September11 Pixclara PDUFA date
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Apr10issuer reverified: resubmittedNDA accepted,PDUFAgoalSep11 dateonly, not guaranteeddecision orhour. Calendarcontext only; completepipeline/manufacturing reviewedbycatalystfund; no supplyeventtrade.
https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/
LOVE September10 Lovesac earnings timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Aug27issuer reverified: Sep10beforeopen results,08:30ETcall=12:30UTC. Inventory,refundclassification,margin/cash context; pendingrelease asofread, no trade.
https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/166/the-lovesac-company-announces-second-quarter-conference
KR September11 Kroger call timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Aug14issuer reverified: Sep11call08ET=12UTC; do not callthisfirstresultsminute. Foodcost/passthrough/workingcapitalcontext; nocalibratedentry.
https://www.thekrogerco.com/ir-feed-item/kroger-announces-second-quarter-conference-call-with-investors/
ADBE September10 Adobe call timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Liveissuer upcomingeventSep10 Q3FY2026call14Pacific=17ET=21UTC. Exactfinancialrelease minuteunverified. Calendarcontext, no supplybottleneck thesis.
https://www.adobe.com/investor-relations.html
CPRT September10 Copart earnings timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Sep1issuer reverified: resultsafter16ET Sep10,call17:30ET=21:30UTC. Auctions/salvagepricing/fees versus volume andcash are supplyreadthrough; noevententry.
https://www.copart.com/content/us/en/press-releases/copart-to-release-fourth-quarter-2026-results
FTK QGAP91008 newly recovered September10 Lake Street deck = 28
Quant replication 2026-09-10 08:09
Issuerpresentationlinked https://ir.flotekind.com/presentations?cat=7 ;download08:08UTC2002589549bytes,28pagesdatedSep10. Page8Saudi extendedsupplyoperationthroughmid2027,2Hinternational>40mvs1H12.6m (inferredgrowth>217.46%,notguaranteedreceipt). Page22MontanaQ2revenue5.9m,initialgenerationpausedinfrastructuredelays,Phase2extensionindiscussions;notawardedextension. Page15Jun30netdebt45.5mvsDec3137m,leverage.9uses52mforwardEBITDA,nottrailing. Cashflowtablesembeddedimagesnotyetread;noinventedreceipt. Newdeckavailabilityrelativepriorlistingcollector,notassertionallcontentnewtoday.
https://ir.flotekind.com/image/Lake-Street-Investor-Presentation.pdf
More ORCL September10 Oracle earnings timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Sep2issuer reverified: Sep10aftermarketclose results;call16Central=17ET=21UTC. Supply readthrough: actualcapex,prepayments,RPOconversion/FCF,not automaticserverorgridbuy. Release minute unconfirmed.
https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-Sets-the-Date-for-its-First-Quarter-Fiscal-Year-2027-Earnings-Announcement/default.aspx
XLE Holiday delayed petroleum release
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Agency verifies weekendingSep4 releaseSep10 noonET=16UTC, remainingPDF/HTML14ET=18UTC perweeklyindex. Existingmonitor50review16:30UTC afterkeytables, beforeallfiles. No exports/throughput numbers invented before release.
https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php
Wholesale sales inventories timing
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
Agency calendar: July2026MonthlyWholesaleTrade Sep10 10ET=14UTC. Compare comparable-vintage sales,inventory andratio; no assumptioninventorygrowthmeansallocation. Sep11businessformation10ET context, not supplysignal.
https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html
Next two sessions BLS dates verified
Supply chain 2026-09-10 08:09
ObservedSep10 08UTC. AugPPI Sep10 08:30ET=12:30UTC; AugCPI and realearnings Sep11 samehour. Actualreleases not yet read; calendar lastmodifiedFeb18. Sectorinput/output prices and revisions required; no event-direction forecast.
https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm
08UTC own ledger statistical inputs = 0
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-10 08:09
{"N":3,"wins":0,"avg_loss_pct":16.380601133687552,"pnl":-31.937258026836947,"rare_R":6.440347826086957,"returns":[-0.4393212687920589,-2.8424202127659504,-45.860061919504645],"censored":2} QueriedSep10; all3closedmarketnotional/fractional;2operatorliquidations,censoredoriginalhorizon. Open/pending/closingnone. ArrivalNBBOabsent,slippagebyorder/sessionnotestimable; historicalstopdifferencenotexecution-slippageestimate.
runway:query_trades?fund=catalyst
More SOL/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2026-09-09 = 10.45401730531581
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"SOL","day":"2026-09-09","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/SOL-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1788912000,"l":100.26,"h":105.17,"o":103.37,"c":101.54,"v":876166.18017681},"supplied":{"c":101.5535,"h":105.0600551,"l":100.3265,"n":203,"o":103.4,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":169.22901177,"vw":102.7410020894},"diff_bp":{"o":2.9021959949693255,"h":-10.45401730531581,"l":6.632754837421206,"c":1.329525310223012}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/SOL-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2025-12-02 = 1031.6620607974735
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"SOL","day":"2025-12-02","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/SOL-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1764633600,"l":126,"h":140.93,"o":126.65,"c":138.7,"v":1423721.17134199},"supplied":{"c":138.69,"h":140.695,"l":138.327,"n":47,"o":139.716,"t":"2025-12-02T00:00:00Z","v":50.969783412,"vw":139.5015664093},"diff_bp":{"o":1031.6620607974735,"h":-16.67494500816158,"l":978.3333333333321,"c":-0.7209805335250952}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/SOL-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2026-09-09 = 7.16625716625785
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"ETH","day":"2026-09-09","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/ETH-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1788912000,"l":2442,"h":2523.2,"o":2485.01,"c":2467.5,"v":79459.95751872},"supplied":{"c":2467.7,"h":2522.27,"l":2443.75,"n":373,"o":2484.116,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":54.733028936,"vw":2492.6204028909},"diff_bp":{"o":-3.597571035932612,"h":-3.6857958148373005,"l":7.16625716625785,"c":0.8105369807487328}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/ETH-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2025-12-02 = 792.9509514875366
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"ETH","day":"2025-12-02","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/ETH-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1764633600,"l":2781.87,"h":3034.84,"o":2798.25,"c":2996.7,"v":128062.03226086},"supplied":{"c":2996.815,"h":3033.991,"l":2975.05,"n":90,"o":3020.1375,"t":"2025-12-02T00:00:00Z","v":2.746724742,"vw":3003.0952137938},"diff_bp":{"o":792.9509514875366,"h":-2.7975115656841965,"l":694.424973129586,"c":0.3837554643459917}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/ETH-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2026-09-09 = 3.935698019992273
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"BTC","day":"2026-09-09","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1788912000,"l":77727,"h":79752.73,"o":78449.28,"c":78283.98,"v":5255.8427141},"supplied":{"c":78283.41,"h":79748.4325,"l":77757.591,"n":919,"o":78455.2,"t":"2026-09-09T00:00:00Z","v":1.768376206,"vw":78731.8868532928},"diff_bp":{"o":0.7546277034031768,"h":-0.5388530273509051,"l":3.935698019992273,"c":-0.072811831998143}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91008 Coinbase cross-venue daily control 2025-12-02 = 619.2207328613541
Crypto majors 2026-09-10 08:08
RetrievedSep10~08:06UTC. Two selected days,not representative fullhistory validation; differentexchanges may differ. {"symbol":"BTC","day":"2025-12-02","source":"https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles","coinbase":{"t":1764633600,"l":86181.38,"h":92342,"o":86282.35,"c":91308.05,"v":13162.85699748},"supplied":{"c":91298.385,"h":92544.132114213,"l":89602.3682237864,"n":208,"o":91625.132,"t":"2025-12-02T00:00:00Z","v":0.375158828,"vw":91389.2058089908},"diff_bp":{"o":619.2207328613541,"h":21.889510105153054,"l":396.9521286136746,"c":-1.058504699202878}}
https://api.exchange.coinbase.com/products/BTC-USD/candles ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More TLX TLX08 diagnostic L10 holdout slip0.0025 = -3.621483898460326
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":10,"period":"holdout","slippage":0.0025,"return":-3.621483898460326,"drawdown":20.397078514732637,"win_rate":27.27272727272727,"sample":11,"avg_win_pct":8.994321409793034,"avg_loss_pct":3.591083022659447,"CI_low":-3.4851632969153905,"CI_high":3.5728013952552,"open_trades":0,"first":"2026-01-02 00:00:00","last":"2026-09-09 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More TLX TLX08 diagnostic L10 holdout slip0.001 = -1.725974711820484
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-10 08:08
{"lookback":10,"period":"holdout","slippage":0.001,"return":-1.725974711820484,"drawdown":19.678259645803344,"win_rate":27.27272727272727,"sample":11,"avg_win_pct":9.1577244888287,"avg_loss_pct":3.409145729851213,"CI_low":-3.296632846957185,"CI_high":3.7789015162179598,"open_trades":0,"first":"2026-01-02 00:00:00","last":"2026-09-09 00:00:00"} Genericdaily,notFDAeventtest; signalpriorclose/fillnextopen,5%/7.5%exits,5bpfees,forcedfinalopen,flatboundary;12cells/nowinnerselection.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TLX,SPY&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More