Notes

{"symbol":"ETH","n":100,"first":"2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00","sum_bp":61.908647334528006,"mean_bp":0.6190864733452801,"median_bp":0.6734034539895,"std_bp":0.33730522247570616,"p05_bp":0.1293845328067,"p95_bp":1,"latest_settled_bp":0.30527365272,"latest_settled_percentile":18,"current_indicative_bp":0.3148,"current_vs_settled_percentile":19,"interval_hours":[8]} RetrievedSep11~00:05UTC direct exchange history; one venue/USDT swaps, realisedRate preferred. 100 payments over33days inclusive endpoints; sums are normalized constant-notional funding, not actual compounded strategy return. Indicative funding compared separately; no extreme price-edge claim. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history

{"symbol":"BTC","n":100,"first":"2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00","sum_bp":62.024328363245,"mean_bp":0.62024328363245,"median_bp":0.6469380933205,"std_bp":0.324151278552055,"p05_bp":0.005875445090100004,"p95_bp":1,"latest_settled_bp":0.876022471315,"latest_settled_percentile":70,"current_indicative_bp":0.8731,"current_vs_settled_percentile":69,"interval_hours":[8]} RetrievedSep11~00:05UTC direct exchange history; one venue/USDT swaps, realisedRate preferred. 100 payments over33days inclusive endpoints; sums are normalized constant-notional funding, not actual compounded strategy return. Indicative funding compared separately; no extreme price-edge claim. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history

ObservedSep11 00:05UTC; issuerAug5 Q2'26: onchain volume$14.8tn,+151%YoY; revenue/reserve income$701m,+7%; reserve income$668m; distribution/transaction/other costs$412m; anticipatedSep16Arc public mainnet. Issuer promotional/forward-looking source, not launch completion or ETH/SOL holder revenue. Existing monitor104 retained. https://www.circle.com/pressroom/circle-reports-second-quarter-2026-results

Observed Sep11 00:05UTC direct fund issuer page: shares outstanding1,387,800,000 and net assets$61,597,491,337 asSep9, NAV44.38, discount.21%, basket22.65BTC; benchmark77,140.85 is datedSep10. Different periods; neither net creations nor Sep10 spot flows inferred from AUM or benchmark. No matched consecutive shares baseline retrieved. https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf

{"sample":9,"returns":[-5.494505494505497,-3.90625,-2.2831050228310446,-8.108108108108103,-14.814814814814826,1.3513513513513375,-8.230452674897126,-1.6064257028112428,12.00000000000001],"mean":-3.454701162957388,"medianAbs":5.494505494505497,"call":{"premium":0.31,"hurdle_pct":9.765625,"close_hits":1,"gap_hits":1,"intraday_extreme_hits":1,"train_hits":0,"holdout_hits":1,"wilson95_pct":[1.9890371327130536,43.50062147680601]},"put":{"premium":0.16,"hurdle_pct":-8.59375000000001,"close_hits":1,"gap_hits":1,"intraday_extreme_hits":4,"train_hits":1,"holdout_hits":0,"wilson95_pct":[1.9890371327130536,43.50062147680601]},"bootstrap":{"paths":100000,"put_fraction_resamples_meeting_40pct":0.01195,"warning":"bootstrap of selected nine closes, not posterior or trade forecast"}}. Intraday put4/9 is hindsight daily-low coverage, not attainable option fills; no change to frozen close criterion. Reconstructed from saved primary-dated event observations. Primary issuer dates in observations22929–37; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved00:01:48UTC Sep11. ZUMZ261016P00015000 Sep9 13:48 .36 v30; Sep10 18:59 .85 v1 and19:59 .90 v10. Latest observed stock23:24 13.925 vs16.71 daily=-16.666667%; intrinsic1.075 is1.194444x .90 vs2.986111x stale.36. $90premium exceeds51.0594cap. Afterhoursstock is not executable option sale and intrinsic omits timevalue. No comparable8eventstudy forZUMZ; sample unavailable not0% wins. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["MLKN261016C00012500",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00015000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00017500",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00020000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00022500",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00025000","0.79","2026-09-02","1"],["MLKN261016C00030000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016C00035000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016P00012500",null,null,null],["MLKN261016P00015000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016P00017500","0.28","2026-09-09",null],["MLKN261016P00020000","0.71","2026-09-08","4"],["MLKN261016P00022500","1.6","2026-09-02","41"],["MLKN261016P00025000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016P00030000",null,null,null],["MLKN261016P00035000",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["SRRK261016C00022500",null,null,null],["SRRK261016C00025000","26.5","2026-04-15","1"],["SRRK261016C00030000","22.2","2026-08-10","1"],["SRRK261016C00035000","17.1","2026-04-21","1"],["SRRK261016C00040000","20.95","2026-08-26","15"],["SRRK261016C00045000","11.8","2026-09-09","35"],["SRRK261016C00050000","7.65","2026-09-09","294"],["SRRK261016C00055000","4.3","2026-09-09","158"],["SRRK261016C00060000","2.4","2026-09-09","198"],["SRRK261016C00065000","1.5","2026-09-09","357"],["SRRK261016C00070000","1.07","2026-09-08","350"],["SRRK261016C00075000","1","2026-08-31","183"],["SRRK261016C00080000","0.8","2026-07-27","4"],["SRRK261016C00085000","0.95","2026-09-08","12"],["SRRK261016P00022500",null,null,null],["SRRK261016P00025000","0.8","2026-06-01","10"],["SRRK261016P00030000","0.55","2026-07-10","20"],["SRRK261016P00035000","1.45","2026-07-28","68"],["SRRK261016P00040000","1.18","2026-08-13","29"],["SRRK261016P00045000","0.85","2026-09-09","111"],["SRRK261016P00050000","1.8","2026-09-08","196"],["SRRK261016P00055000","3.7","2026-09-03","51"],["SRRK261016P00060000","5.6","2026-09-09","28"],["SRRK261016P00065000","8.88","2026-08-28","4"],["SRRK261016P00070000","12.5","2026-08-28","1"],["SRRK261016P00075000","19","2026-09-09","1"],["SRRK261016P00080000",null,null,null],["SRRK261016P00085000",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["ACB261016C00001000",null,null,null],["ACB261016C00002000","2.05","2026-08-31",null],["ACB261016C00003000","0.9","2026-09-09","2"],["ACB261016C00004000","0.24","2026-09-09","114"],["ACB261016C00005000","0.05","2026-09-08","17"],["ACB261016C00006000","0.05","2026-09-04","6"],["ACB261016C00007000",null,null,null],["ACB261016P00001000",null,null,null],["ACB261016P00002000",null,null,null],["ACB261016P00003000","0.05","2026-08-25","1"],["ACB261016P00004000","0.3","2026-09-08","212"],["ACB261016P00005000",null,null,null],["ACB261016P00006000",null,null,null],["ACB261016P00007000",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["SNDL261016C00000500","0.8","2026-08-19","111"],["SNDL261016C00001000","0.45","2026-09-04","325"],["SNDL261016C00001500","0.07","2026-09-09","3660"],["SNDL261016C00002000","0.02","2026-09-08","2121"],["SNDL261016C00002500","0.03","2026-09-09","927"],["SNDL261016C00003000","0.04","2026-06-26","104"],["SNDL261016C00004000","0.03","2026-08-21","138"],["SNDL261016P00000500","0.03","2026-05-28","11"],["SNDL261016P00001000","0.04","2026-08-25","67"],["SNDL261016P00001500","0.15","2026-09-09","260"],["SNDL261016P00002000","0.65","2026-08-21","59"],["SNDL261016P00002500",null,null,null],["SNDL261016P00003000","1.59","2026-05-26",null],["SNDL261016P00004000",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["EPM261016C00002500","0.95","2026-08-26","38"],["EPM261016C00005000","0.03","2026-08-24","1398"],["EPM261016C00007500","0.01","2026-08-03","1253"],["EPM261016P00002500","0.25","2026-09-01","85"],["EPM261016P00005000","1.6","2026-08-24","271"],["EPM261016P00007500",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["HAIN261016C00000500",null,null,null],["HAIN261016C00001000","0.1","2026-08-24","34"],["HAIN261016C00001500","0.05","2026-08-24","1"],["HAIN261016C00002000",null,null,null],["HAIN261016C00002500",null,null,null],["HAIN261016C00005000",null,null,null],["HAIN261016C00007500",null,null,null],["HAIN261016P00000500",null,null,null],["HAIN261016P00001000","0.33","2026-09-09","4"],["HAIN261016P00001500","0.75","2026-09-02","1"],["HAIN261016P00002000","1.35","2026-08-24","1"],["HAIN261016P00002500",null,null,null],["HAIN261016P00005000",null,null,null],["HAIN261016P00007500",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Retrieved Sep11~00:01–02UTC. Reference closes, not executable quotes; no pagination. [["HITI261016C00002500","0.31","2026-09-09","4911"],["HITI261016C00005000","0.04","2026-09-08","1569"],["HITI261016C00007500","0.03","2026-09-08","345"],["HITI261016P00002500","0.18","2026-09-09","4080"],["HITI261016P00005000",null,null,null],["HITI261016P00007500",null,null,null]] option_contracts

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":2.56,"day_return_pct":-0.38910505836574627,"sma20":2.4905,"adr20":0.07846999999999996,"atr14_sma":0.08462857142857134,"rv20_ann_pct":35.763989934628256}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":0.6395,"day_return_pct":-0.3583670925522142,"sma20":0.6925,"adr20":0.07634250000000001,"atr14_sma":0.07751785714285712,"rv20_ann_pct":141.62458488753603}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":3.84,"day_return_pct":4.065040650406493,"sma20":3.6420000000000003,"adr20":0.11773999999999998,"atr14_sma":0.11998571428571427,"rv20_ann_pct":60.65270450972135}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":20.8,"day_return_pct":-3.9260969976905202,"sma20":22.71575,"adr20":0.7899999999999995,"atr14_sma":0.8024999999999997,"rv20_ann_pct":27.61258986508081}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":77.56,"day_return_pct":0.10325245224573898,"sma20":77.22249999999998,"adr20":4.4487000000000005,"atr14_sma":4.456742857142858,"rv20_ann_pct":47.47632159142783}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":3.73,"day_return_pct":-3.8659793814432963,"sma20":3.8910000000000005,"adr20":0.14996999999999996,"atr14_sma":0.13638571428571425,"rv20_ann_pct":39.011519033654984}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":16.71,"day_return_pct":-4.78632478632478,"sma20":18.02175,"adr20":0.61575,"atr14_sma":0.692142857142857,"rv20_ann_pct":40.62535637917025}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":55.67,"day_return_pct":1.922372757231794,"sma20":56.096500000000006,"adr20":2.3367449999999996,"atr14_sma":2.4257071428571426,"rv20_ann_pct":40.572827631617194}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Measured Sep11 00:01:48UTC, SIP adjustment=all daily bars since Aug1, HTTP200 no pagination. {"close":1.34,"day_return_pct":-4.2857142857142705,"sma20":1.34875,"adr20":0.056749999999999946,"atr14_sma":0.05714285714285704,"rv20_ann_pct":38.70467624866999}. ATR uses simple14-session mean true range, RV sample sd of20 logreturns annualized252; these descriptors are not event forecasts. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

May12issuer quarterendedMar31,read00:03UTC. Q3OCF3.489m,cashcapex1.263m=>FCF2.226m;dividends4.261m=>coverage52.24126%,residual-2.035m. Nine-monthOCF16.719/cashcapex5.920/div12.613m=>FCF10.799m,coverage85.61801%,residual-1.814m. Q3allinvesting5.925m=>OCFlessinvestinglessdiv-6.697m;equityissuance3.672lessfees.078=3.594m,borrowings2m. Marchcash2.616m,debt56.5m,rate6.78%,availability7.7m. Narrative incurredcapex1.6m differscashflowcapex1.263m bydefinition;notcontradiction. Forecast23royaltywellsonlinenearterm isnotverifiedcash. .12/3.84=3.125%quarterly,12.5%annualizedifunchanged,notforwardguarantee. NotclaimedcurrentQ4coverage. https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-reports-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-results

00:00-01 reads: zeroopen/pending/closing;two closed operatorliquidationwins. Fundcash278.67,equity850.99,cap212.7475. Job173actual00:00:19 END21/21,remaining3,next01:00:16, covers next02UTC;12/18/36/73active. Bombardierchallenge/CENTCOMerror; exact8Kcollector misses amendments, manually readallBWEN/GDforms. No order or stop/target action required. query_trades fund=supply; list_jobs fund=supply