Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
BB BB frozen earnings response 2025-04-02 = -9.115281501340478
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Wednesday, 02 April 2025 07:00 AM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2025-04-02","session":"BMO","pre_date":"2025-04-01","post_date":"2025-04-02","pre_close":3.73,"post_open":3.07,"post_close":3.39,"open_pct":-17.694369973190348,"close_pct":-9.115281501340478,"spy_pct":0.6327283245354032}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-fiscal-year-2025-resul-1009164 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BB BB frozen earnings response 2024-12-19 = 23.825503355704704
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 19 December 2024 05:05 PM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2024-12-19","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2024-12-19","post_date":"2024-12-20","pre_close":2.98,"post_open":3,"post_close":3.69,"open_pct":0.6711409395973256,"close_pct":23.825503355704704,"spy_pct":1.1997631817231902}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accesswire.com/957744/blackberry-reports-third-quarter-fiscal-year-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BB BB frozen earnings response 2024-09-26 = -0.7874015748031482
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 26 September 2024 05:05 PM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2024-09-26","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2024-09-26","post_date":"2024-09-27","pre_close":2.54,"post_open":2.44,"post_close":2.52,"open_pct":-3.937007874015752,"close_pct":-0.7874015748031482,"spy_pct":-0.1444493981274996}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accesswire.com/923929/blackberry-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-year-2025-results ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BB BB frozen earnings response 2024-06-26 = 10.859728506787336
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Jun 26, 2024, 17:05 ET". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2024-06-26","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2024-06-26","post_date":"2024-06-27","pre_close":2.21,"post_open":2.3,"post_close":2.45,"open_pct":4.072398190045234,"close_pct":10.859728506787336,"spy_pct":0.1576369470978056}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-reports-first-quarter-fiscal-year-2025-results-302183737.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
C91104 funding and supply checkpoint = 74.28
Crypto majors2026-09-11 04:06
ObservedSep11 04:04:50UTC. OKXclockoffset.0396s uncertainty.1397. BTC forecast1bp settled.876bp OI29749.392coins ages42.9/.1s;ETH.4543/.3053bp OI589823.802 ages42.8/.1;SOL.421/-.0697bp OI2721084.09 ages41.9/.1,allfresh. Swaps notglobalspot;forecastnotrealized. CircleissuerasofSep7 USDcirc74.28bn;issue/redeem7d8.8/7.86 net.94bn;30d36.59/34.37 net2.22bn;365d333.52/331.64 net1.88bn. Llama secondarysnapshot Sep11 00UTC74212069483.12572 total,ETH47184685905.99/SOL6987674198.11/Hyperliquid6839110360.24,definitions/cutoffs differ. USDC.com CMS/dateunparsed. No incremental trading inference from supply or funding levels; retained research context. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
BB BB frozen earnings response 2024-04-03 = 2.491103202846978
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Apr 03, 2024, 17:05 ET". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2024-04-03","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2024-04-03","post_date":"2024-04-04","pre_close":2.81,"post_open":2.96,"post_close":2.88,"open_pct":5.3380782918149405,"close_pct":2.491103202846978,"spy_pct":-1.2199944635583493}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-fiscal-year-2024-results-302107695.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BB BB frozen earnings response 2023-12-20 = -12.682926829268284
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Dec 20, 2023, 17:05 ET". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2023-12-20","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2023-12-20","post_date":"2023-12-21","pre_close":4.1,"post_open":3.88,"post_close":3.58,"open_pct":-5.36585365853658,"close_pct":-12.682926829268284,"spy_pct":0.9482322398961518}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-reports-third-quarter-fiscal-year-2024-results-302020465.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BB BB frozen earnings response 2023-09-28 = -1.0504201680672232
Convex events2026-09-11 04:06
Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Sep 28, 2023, 17:05 ET". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2023-09-28","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2023-09-28","post_date":"2023-09-29","pre_close":4.76,"post_open":4.76,"post_close":4.71,"open_pct":0,"close_pct":-1.0504201680672232,"spy_pct":-0.2413884664590693}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/blackberry-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-year-2024-results-301942346.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
C91104 quotes and Liquid checkpoint = 8
Crypto majors2026-09-11 04:06
Observed04:05:30UTC Sep11. Quotes BTC76903.801/76921.68 age47s bid/askUSDdepth77.3/76.5 fee-inclusivehurdle.525%;ETH2446.8/2447.32 age90 depth81.6/81 .523%;SOL99.273/99.3784 age88 depth94/93.9 .609%;USDC.9995/1 age11098 USDG.99999/1.00001 age87208 stale. XRP1.3402/1.345 age89 depth5559.9/5619.6 hurdle.862%;UNI6.003/6.01408 age46 depth4232.7/4218.3 .687%;LTC52.9287/53.2483 age83 depth3564.7/3580.9 1.109%;HYPE78.61/78.99 age73 depth60168.1/60819.1 .988%;LINK11.48/11.498 age82 depth13342.1/13339.7 .659%. Fresh8/10 by<=300s rule. RecipientBTC598.50048115 mempoolnet.00014572 txcount296;reserve3601.47203772 mempool.00003384 tx590. Recentpage56controlledspends0,notfullhistory. Liquidtip4052177 age80s;secondliquid.networktimeout. Operator2notes/hash1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b unchanged. Noauthenticatedrecovery orsaleinference;quote snapshots not executable historicalfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte ; https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://x.com/Blockstream
BFRI BFRI911 potential shares and clinical population boundaries = 43555560
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:06
Jun30excludedanti-dilutivevector:warrants2269356/optionsRSU3095468/unitoptions20182/Bpreferred11795724/C15533724/D4831185/notes6009921,total43555560. July8 Bconversion552483 alreadyinAug11common14852359; avoiddoublecount. ClinicalregistryadultnaivesBCC,nonaggressive/nonHzone,field~20cm2; notallBCCmarket. TEAEserious3/145vs2/42,deaths0both; otherAE145/145vs35/42,notallcausallydrugrelated. Sponsorregistryoriginsharedwithissuerclinicalclaims. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226037834/form10-q.htm ; https://clinicaltrials.gov/api/v2/studies/NCT03573401
BFRI BFRI911 full operative LEO and Inc CDO recovered = 5
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:06
RetrievedSep11 fromoutstandingorderindexpage3. May6LEOparas1-2: coveredinfringingPDTilluminatorsatleastfivepanels,parts,and5-ALAusedincombination; exceptionservice/repairpartsandwarrantyreplacementspre-finalpurchases. IncCDOpages21–28definescoveredarticlesandprohibitssales/import/marketing,limitedexceptions. Resolvesnoticeoil-vaporizerwordingbyspecificoperativeinstrument. ExceptionsdonotestablishunrestrictedconsumableAmeluzsupplyforXL. NotalllegacyPDTbanned; noquantifiedinstalledbaseutilizationrecovered. https://www.usitc.gov/sites/default/files/intellectual_property/exclusion_orders/1411_master_leo.pdf
BFRI BFRI911 September1 enforcement suspension lifted; supersedes May status = 1
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:06
Agency original issued/votedSep1,filedSep3 08:45,publishedSep4: ITCgrantedSunrequesttoliftpartialLEO/CDOenforcementsuspensionas028patent followingJuly29Directorvacatur. SupersedesMay6suspensionstate andAug13MD&A; newto thisrun,notnewtoday. DocumentnarrativeerroneouslydatesearlierFID Sep30 2026,whereMaynotice/10Q saySep30 2025; chronologytypo doesn'tchangeoperativeSep1determination. Noappealstay/CBPclearanceverified. https://public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2026-18101.pdf
BFRI BFRI911 overlapping Customs window and July29 patent reversal
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:05
Aug13 Note17: June4 CBP redesignrulingrequest, no rulingasfilingdate,responseexpectedSeptemberorOctober2026,notconfirmeddeadline. July29 USPTO DirectorvacatedFeb23PTAB028unpatentabilitydecision/dismissedIPR; mayappeal. May6ITC028suspension cannotbeassumedcurrentblanketprotection. Note17 explicitlylegacyBF-RhodoLEDAmeluzunaffected,XLassociateddrugimports/salesceasedafterJuly6. Minimumannualmanufacture/order80000tubesfrom2026;twoconsecutivefailurespermitassetreversion;managementontrackclaimnotactualorders. Midas100kgAPIthroughQ22028;forecastnonbinding. No subsequent8KafterAug13 inSECsubmissionsretrieved04UTC;absenceisnotproofnoruling. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226037834/form10-q.htm
C91104 crypto fee assumptions reverified = 25
Crypto majors2026-09-11 04:05
ObservedSep11 04UTC currentproviderdocumentation Tier1 30dayvolume0-100000 maker15bp/taker25bp. Creditedassetfee:buyETH/USD receivesETH lessfee;sell receivesUSD lessfee. Model25bp bothsides, vectorbtbuycash-equivalentfee.0025/.9975,sell.0025;10bpslip eachside baseline/20stress fixedoriginaltarget. Account-specific billed CFEE not retrieved; posted schedule is modeled cost, not a fill receipt. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees ; https://alpaca.markets/support/what-are-the-fees-associated-with-coin-pairs
REV9110400 paginated daily data coverage = 26870
Quant replication2026-09-11 04:05
RetrievedSep11~04:02UTC,3pages,10symbols x2687bars,2016Jan4–2026Sep10. Requested2010 history unavailable. SIP adjustmentall, endSep10T20:30Z, limit10000 andnext_page_token loop. Nineoriginalsectors+SPY; complete identicaltimestampindices, no duplicates, positiveOHLCV, high/low consistencychecked. CurrentETF survivorship/indexconstituentchanges andbackadjusteddividendcash-exitmechanics remainlimitations. Data sourceproxiedAlpaca, notindependentexchangecorroboration; file research/bars.json. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLI REV9110400 ETF structure and cost context = 0.01
Quant replication2026-09-11 04:05
Issuer readSep11; Sep9reported30daymedianNBBOspread0.01%,premium0.03%,NAV171.75,closing171.79; grossannualexpense0.08%,Sep9holdings83,P/B6.63,FY1P/E24.59,Indexprice/cashflow19.05. Historicalspreadsnotopeningquote guarantee. Secondarysharesnotindividuallyredeemable; creationunitaccess required. Sectorriskandstressdiscounts stated. ETFexpenseembeddedinbarreturns; no additionalannualfee deducted. Fundamentalaggregatevaluationcannotidentifytemporaryforcedselling. Directissuer, dated descriptive marketing/productdata. https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/state-street-industrial-select-sector-spdr-etf-xli
REV9110400 AQR institutional reversal cost finding
Quant replication2026-09-11 04:05
Originalpage datedDecember5,2012; $1tnlive trading data,19developedmarkets,1998–2011. Authors report short-term reversal failscosts atreasonableinstitutionalsize despiteoptimization; value/momentum moreimplementable. Primarymanager executionresearch, managercommercialperspective. Doesnotestablish $187ETFstrategy costs; capacityandspreadpayment differ. Searchfreshness label wasnotpaperpublicationdate. https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/Working-Paper/Trading-Costs-of-Asset-Pricing-Anomalies
REV9110400 Da Liu Schaumburg industry decomposition
Quant replication2026-09-11 04:05
Primary staffreport513, September2011/revisedApril2013; monthly stock study January1982–March2009. Read decomposition andempiricalsections: within-industry reversal stronger thanraw, across-industry momentum offsetsrawreversal; cashflow-news component cancontinue, noncashflow residual reverses. Notlicense tofadebadfundamentals ortransposemonthly individualstock results ontofive-daysectorETFs. Independentresearch fromNagel, with relatedreferences notindependent replicateddatasets. https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr513.pdf
REV9110400 Nagel primary mechanism and implementation
Quant replication2026-09-11 04:05
Read December2011 paper, January1998–December2010 sample, sections2.4/3 andTable1. Average five lag-specific contrarian portfolios, each $1long/$1short, daily rebalanced; conditional market exposure hedged. Published raw dailymean stock transaction-price .30%, quote-midpoint .18%, industry .02%; hedgedindustry .01%. These are gross institutional liquidity-provider proxies, not executable market-buy returns. HighVIX condition improves industry reversal. Fixed market-access costs and bid-ask bounce matter; portfolio is48industries, not9ETFs. Source author, closest to study; historical evidence, not2026forecast. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w17653/w17653.pdf
BTC/USD C91104 live trade sample audit = 1
Crypto majors2026-09-11 04:05
Queried2026-09-11 04:01UTC, soleBTC/USD closed trade10:entry81614.8 exit81548.7 openedSep3 19:42:24.677 closed20:30:20.345 operatorliquidation. No open/pending/closing positions returned. One externally forced close cannot estimate stop/target hitrates, strategy expectancy or market-order slippage without synchronous quote. Earlierentryreason is historical user journal, not a claim revalidated tonight. query_trades fund=crypto trade10
BFRI BFRI911 Registered sBCC primary endpoint and comparator = 65.5
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:04
RetrievedSep11; sponsorreportedregistryN187,active145/vehicle42,clinical+histologicalmainlesionclearance12weeksafterlastPDTcycle65.5%/4.8%;clinical83.4/21.4;histological75.9/19.0. FirstPDTcyclecomposite44.1/2.4. BF-RhodoLEDused, notrequireXL inprotocol. ResultsfirstpostedApr29 2025,lastupdateJan14 2026; thisisnotnewdata,notcomparisonwithsurgery/otheractivecare,notapprovalprobability. https://clinicaltrials.gov/api/v2/studies/NCT03573401
BFRI BFRI911 Capital claims and earnout terms = 65
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:04
Jun30 terms: Ameluz US annualrevenue earnout12% <=65m;15%onallrevenue >65m perMD&A. Notes principalremaining4m at.78conversion,5,128,205shares exclPIK;10%PIK,Nov22 2027maturity,securedassets;automaticconversion10dayVWAP>250%conversionpriceplusconditions. Warrants2,269,356:2,192,736K3.55 and76,620K100. PreferredB2 1850/B3 6498 ratio1413,C9707/D3019ratio1600.26 perconversions; dilutionnotnewcash. CommonAug11 14,852,359. Remediationtotal.5m includes.1inventorywriteoff/.4accrual,range.4-.6m; regulatorypath/costunknown. December1mXepimilestone contingent,notcash. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226037834/form10-q.htm
BFRI BFRI911 H1 cash-flow line-item vector USDm = -1.728
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:04
Aug13 filing forJun30 readSep11: netloss-5.356;noncash D&A.120/ROU.263/SBC.605/interest.259/credit.040/warrants.175/investment.001/lease.004. WC AR+1.706/relatedrecv-.054/prepaid+1.296/relatedassets+.452/inventory+.386/AP+2.461/relatedAP-3.714/lease-.184/accrual-.188. CFO-1.728,capex-.005,financing0;unrestrictedcash4.659,restricted.200. Currentassets12.435/liabilities10.541. These areH1 flows,notcurrentrunrate. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226037834/form10-q.htm
BFRI BFRI911 ITC primary determination and source inconsistency
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:04
May6 agency notice337-TA-1411 finds violation,LEO/CDOs; bodyp3 covers infringing PDT systems/components/drug combination; orders as028 patent suspended pending Board/appeals, not blanketstay. Page1 incongruously says oil vaporizing devices: apparent template mismatch, cannot resolve exactoperative scope fromsummary; require fullorders. Issuer10Q states XL imports/sales and AmeluzforXL restricted; release says effectiveJuly7,mostinstalledbaseunaffected. Separate agencyorigin fromissuer commercialinterpretation. https://www.usitc.gov/system/files/secretary/fed_reg_notices/337/337_1411_notice05062026sgl_0.pdf
BFRI BFRI911 Primary date and pipeline = 28
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-11 04:04
May14 issuer sets Sep28 2026 sBCC PDUFA; Aug13 release retains lateSeptember and conditional Q12027 launch. Other pipeline AK extremities/neck/trunk Phase3 positive and acnePhase2b; no exact new readout date verified. RetrievedSep11 04UTC. Date-only target not guaranteed firstnews. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226022875/ex99-1.htm
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