Notes

Collected2026-09-11 04UTC fullypaginated18panels. Hour03UTC completes04UTC;dailyonlythroughSep10. {"symbol":"ETH","hour_t":"2026-09-11 03:00:00+00:00","hour_c":2445.725,"rolling480_hi":2565.9,"calendar20_hi":2565.9,"signal_rolling":false,"signal_calendar":false,"daily_c":2436.8075,"daily_prior20_hi":2565.9,"atr14":88.01349369021425,"risk2ATR_pct":7.197333607843421,"distance_to_calendar_hi_pct":4.913675903873083}. No partial dailybar or04UTC hour used. Riskdistances descriptive not orders; target must include cost-aware3R and measured-horizon plausibility. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

Collected2026-09-11 04UTC fullypaginated18panels. Hour03UTC completes04UTC;dailyonlythroughSep10. {"symbol":"BTC","hour_t":"2026-09-11 03:00:00+00:00","hour_c":76864.9,"rolling480_hi":82233.502538071,"calendar20_hi":82233.502538071,"signal_rolling":false,"signal_calendar":false,"daily_c":76535.875,"daily_prior20_hi":82233.502538071,"atr14":2283.5704312907837,"risk2ATR_pct":5.941776887215839,"distance_to_calendar_hi_pct":6.984465650864058}. No partial dailybar or04UTC hour used. Riskdistances descriptive not orders; target must include cost-aware3R and measured-horizon plausibility. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

DirectprimarypublicchartAPI observedSep11 latestJuly2026:June5939kt/197.966667ktperday,July6160kt/198.709677ktperday. Month+3.721165% vsdaily+0.375321%; GCCJune276kt,July293kt,July2025 523kt =>JulyGCCdaily+2.734923%mom,-43.977055%yoy. Voluntaryproducerreports+nonreporter/Chinaestimates; moltenprimary excludesalloys/recycling; revisionspossible. Fullmonthly2025–Jul2026 storedin note. Not independentcorroborationofeveryEGAcell. https://alvis.international-aluminium.org/api/publication/?publication=primary-aluminium-production

Item7A:Sebree3,372,600MWh/y/220ktcapacity, MtHolly3,504,000MWh/230kt,Grundartangi4,756,680MWh/320kt. Totalusage11,633,280MWh. Printedcostsensitivitytotal15.9mUSD/$1MWh disagreeswithlisted3.4+3.5+4.8=11.7 andusage11.63328m. Do not silently use15.9: calculationsuseSebreeindividualrow; fullcapacitynotactualproduction. Glencorealumina500kt/y through2028LMElinked;Concord540kt/y through2029mixedformula. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/949157/000162828026013788/cenx-20251231.htm

IssuerAug5 quarterendedJun30:OswegohotmillrestartedearlyJune, ramp ongoing;estimated33ktshipmenthit;EBITDA516m includesnet18mOswegobenefit dueinsurance timing;OCF-455m,adjustedFCF-1.1bn,netleverage4.5x. BayMinettecommissioning underway. Samequarterpositiverentandnegativecashpossible; thissourceindependentcompanyfromCSTM, notindependentcausalstockstudy. https://investors.novelis.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1425/novelis-reports-first-quarter-fiscal-year-2027-results

IssuerJul22 Q2:net sales1256.6m vs823.1,hedgedalloymetal819.6 vs448.9,conversion437 vs374.2m. 83%higherhedgedalloycostdirectpassthrough. H1workingcapitalfunding118m,capex44m;FYguideexcludescontinuingmetallagtailwinds. This contradicts blanketfabricatorssuffer inference, not evidence everycustomer absorbs costs immediately. https://investors.kaiseraluminum.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/440/kaiser-aluminum-corporation-reports-record-second-quarter-2026-financial-results

FY2025 10K direct200 read:top10metalsuppliers49%purchasevolume; annual/multiyearprimary/remelt/scrap/alloycontracts. Metalneutrality aimvia passthroughandhedging; specializedqualification relationships. Increasedrecycling reduces external slabdependence. Doesnotidentify currentEGA supplier share orguarantee no shortages. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1563411/000156341126000057/cstm-20251231.htm

IssuerJul29 Q2:439m adjustedEBITDA includes129m noncashmetal lag; exlag310 versus165 in revisedcomparative2025. Shipments381kt,-1%yoy;CFO161/FCF90m. H1FCF95m;FYFCF>300m andexlagEBITDA980–1020m forecast. Management reportsautomotiverolledshortages and recyclingbenefit. Price lag definition doesnot equal recurringcash; named causalOswego attribution isinference, notissuerallocation. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1563411/000156341126000190/a2026-q2xearningspressre.htm

{"net_WC_source_m":2.1609999999999996,"preWC_CFO_m":-3.8889999999999993,"CFO_ex_related_paydown_m":1.986,"thirdparty_AP_source_m":2.461,"CFO_ex_both_AP_changes_m":-0.47499999999999987,"monthly_preWC_burn_m":0.6481666666666666,"cash_months_preWC":7.187966058112626,"cash_months_reported":16.177083333333332,"current_ratio":1.1796793473105018,"earnout_at65_m":7.8,"earnout_at65_01_m":9.7515,"earnout_step_m":1.9515000000000002,"revenue_required_offset_step_m":2.5344155844155845} https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1858685/000149315226037834/form10-q.htm

[{"window":"train","slippage_bp":25,"return":-96.86978389282203,"drawdown":97.23930879674035,"win rate":17.91044776119403,"sample":134,"mean_pct":-2.3329563461780127,"avgwin_pct":11.381367318493274,"avgloss_pct":5.32517241846993,"targets":18,"worst_pct":-5.892832209354292},{"window":"train","slippage_bp":45,"return":-98.1685732622006,"drawdown":98.34604521965086,"win rate":17.91044776119403,"sample":134,"mean_pct":-2.7228491215363086,"avgwin_pct":10.936726129384141,"avgloss_pct":5.703120085373495,"targets":18,"worst_pct":-6.268513743865123},{"window":"holdout","slippage_bp":25,"return":-52.212330001396104,"drawdown":74.97120068315613,"win rate":29.72972972972973,"sample":74,"mean_pct":-0.7069703458888751,"avgwin_pct":10.174715954511479,"avgloss_pct":5.310760703750563,"targets":14,"worst_pct":-6.172137088516349},{"window":"holdout","slippage_bp":45,"return":-64.45626423131446,"drawdown":79.87362001939641,"win rate":28.37837837837838,"sample":74,"mean_pct":-1.1033541562025577,"avgwin_pct":10.202980800060663,"avgloss_pct":5.583222723778551,"targets":14,"worst_pct":-6.546703620970884}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=BFRI&feed=sip&adjustment=all

{"bars":1176,"last":"2026-09-10 04:00:00+00:00","close":1.46,"SMA20":1.4787499999999998,"SMA50":1.2745,"SMA200":0.9915795,"RSI14":53.44311231206737,"ADR20":0.11005500000000001,"ATR14":0.10702857142857146,"return20_pct":16.799999999999994,"volume20":737403.75,"dollar_volume20":1079662.7682500002,"RV20_pct":55.823505088018265,"worst_gap_pct":-21.739130434782606} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=BFRI&feed=sip&adjustment=all

RetrievedSep11~04UTC. UnderlyingSep10close7.54; catalog standardAmerican multiplier100/size100. Catalog datesSep8/9; actualSep10bar below is latest delayedtrade not currentask nor synchronousstockclose. {"symbol":"BB261016C00008000","K":8,"premium":0.51,"premium_dollars":51,"bar":{"c":0.51,"h":0.61,"l":0.48,"n":44,"o":0.55,"t":"2026-09-10T04:00:00Z","v":898,"vw":0.567428},"hurdle_pct":12.864721485411138,"coverage":2,"train_coverage":1,"holdout_coverage":1,"intrinsic_mean_x":0.586688140797872,"intrinsic_max_x":2.6204763784708507,"intrinsic_payoffs":[0,0,0,0.3588235294117652,0,1.3364429530201338,0,0.48032332563510494,0.21100702576112518,0,0.15943342776203906,1.0445011600928087],"gross4x_count":0,"affordable_6pct":true}. Fees/spread excluded in break-even; cannot claim executableoptionPnL. 6%absolute51.0594,5%conviction42.5495,3%normal25.5297. Initialend=date-only produced403; explicit03:30UTCdelayedcutoff succeeded200. option_contracts BB catalog ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

RetrievedSep11~04UTC. UnderlyingSep10close7.54; catalog standardAmerican multiplier100/size100. Catalog datesSep8/9; actualSep10bar below is latest delayedtrade not currentask nor synchronousstockclose. {"symbol":"BB261009P00007500","K":7.5,"premium":0.57,"premium_dollars":56.99999999999999,"bar":{"c":0.57,"h":0.57,"l":0.52,"n":8,"o":0.55,"t":"2026-09-10T04:00:00Z","v":29,"vw":0.548966},"hurdle_pct":8.090185676392572,"coverage":3,"train_coverage":2,"holdout_coverage":1,"intrinsic_mean_x":0.37387526067452753,"intrinsic_max_x":1.6406142376727046,"intrinsic_payoffs":[0.039201680672269035,0.9162926829268283,0,0,0.01937007874015695,0,0.6472922252010722,0,0,0.9351501154734416,0,0],"gross4x_count":0,"affordable_6pct":false}. Fees/spread excluded in break-even; cannot claim executableoptionPnL. 6%absolute51.0594,5%conviction42.5495,3%normal25.5297. Initialend=date-only produced403; explicit03:30UTCdelayedcutoff succeeded200. option_contracts BB catalog ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

RetrievedSep11~04UTC. UnderlyingSep10close7.54; catalog standardAmerican multiplier100/size100. Catalog datesSep8/9; actualSep10bar below is latest delayedtrade not currentask nor synchronousstockclose. {"symbol":"BB261002P00007500","K":7.5,"premium":0.52,"premium_dollars":52,"bar":{"c":0.52,"h":0.53,"l":0.46,"n":11,"o":0.51,"t":"2026-09-10T04:00:00Z","v":29,"vw":0.510345},"hurdle_pct":7.427055702917773,"coverage":3,"train_coverage":2,"holdout_coverage":1,"intrinsic_mean_x":0.4098248049701551,"intrinsic_max_x":1.7983656066796954,"intrinsic_payoffs":[0.039201680672269035,0.9162926829268283,0,0,0.01937007874015695,0,0.6472922252010722,0,0,0.9351501154734416,0,0],"gross4x_count":0,"affordable_6pct":false}. Fees/spread excluded in break-even; cannot claim executableoptionPnL. 6%absolute51.0594,5%conviction42.5495,3%normal25.5297. Initialend=date-only produced403; explicit03:30UTCdelayedcutoff succeeded200. option_contracts BB catalog ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

RetrievedSep11~04UTC. UnderlyingSep10close7.54; catalog standardAmerican multiplier100/size100. Catalog datesSep8/9; actualSep10bar below is latest delayedtrade not currentask nor synchronousstockclose. {"symbol":"BB261002P00007000","K":7,"premium":0.32,"premium_dollars":32,"bar":{"c":0.32,"h":0.32,"l":0.28,"n":7,"o":0.28,"t":"2026-09-10T04:00:00Z","v":106,"vw":0.318679},"hurdle_pct":11.40583554376658,"coverage":2,"train_coverage":1,"holdout_coverage":1,"intrinsic_mean_x":0.2600872457295162,"intrinsic_max_x":1.359844110854505,"intrinsic_payoffs":[0,0.4162926829268283,0,0,0,0,0.1472922252010722,0,0,0.4351501154734416,0,0],"gross4x_count":0,"affordable_6pct":true}. Fees/spread excluded in break-even; cannot claim executableoptionPnL. 6%absolute51.0594,5%conviction42.5495,3%normal25.5297. Initialend=date-only produced403; explicit03:30UTCdelayedcutoff succeeded200. option_contracts BB catalog ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

RetrievedSep11~04UTC. UnderlyingSep10close7.54; catalog standardAmerican multiplier100/size100. Catalog datesSep8/9; actualSep10bar below is latest delayedtrade not currentask nor synchronousstockclose. {"symbol":"BB261002C00008000","K":8,"premium":0.4,"premium_dollars":40,"bar":{"c":0.4,"h":0.48,"l":0.39,"n":32,"o":0.47,"t":"2026-09-10T04:00:00Z","v":86,"vw":0.425},"hurdle_pct":11.405835543766582,"coverage":3,"train_coverage":2,"holdout_coverage":1,"intrinsic_mean_x":0.7480273795172868,"intrinsic_max_x":3.3411073825503346,"intrinsic_payoffs":[0,0,0,0.3588235294117652,0,1.3364429530201338,0,0.48032332563510494,0.21100702576112518,0,0.15943342776203906,1.0445011600928087],"gross4x_count":0,"affordable_6pct":true}. Fees/spread excluded in break-even; cannot claim executableoptionPnL. 6%absolute51.0594,5%conviction42.5495,3%normal25.5297. Initialend=date-only produced403; explicit03:30UTCdelayedcutoff succeeded200. option_contracts BB catalog ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Sep10 issuer states "Thursday, September 24, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET." Period endedAug31FYQ2FY27. RetrievedSep11~04UTC. Issuer schedules reporting/call together; priorJun25first release06:58 shows firstnews may precede call. Default exit any future position Sep23 RTH. Oct2expiry8calendar days afterevent passesminimum7. Dec17/Apr8 aretargetsonly. Direct issuer archive had empty200; full issuer-distributed Access release recovered with web. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-to-announce-fiscal-second-quarter-2027-results-on-sept-1216954

Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 25 June 2026 06:58 AM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2026-06-25","session":"BMO","pre_date":"2026-06-24","post_date":"2026-06-25","pre_close":8.62,"post_open":9.72,"post_close":10.34,"open_pct":12.761020881670548,"close_pct":19.95359628770304,"spy_pct":0.1445638535813476}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-first-quarter-fiscal-year-2027-results-1181857 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 09 April 2026 07:00 AM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2026-04-09","session":"BMO","pre_date":"2026-04-08","post_date":"2026-04-09","pre_close":3.53,"post_open":3.82,"post_close":3.82,"open_pct":8.21529745042493,"close_pct":8.21529745042493,"spy_pct":0.576920224835753}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-fiscal-year-2026-resul-1155999 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 18 December 2025 05:05 PM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2025-12-18","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2025-12-18","post_date":"2025-12-19","pre_close":4.33,"post_open":4.08,"post_close":3.77,"open_pct":-5.773672055427248,"close_pct":-12.93302540415705,"spy_pct":0.906272358693072}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-third-quarter-fiscal-year-2026-results-1119193 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Thursday, 25 September 2025 07:00 AM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2025-09-25","session":"BMO","pre_date":"2025-09-24","post_date":"2025-09-25","pre_close":4.27,"post_open":4.31,"post_close":4.65,"open_pct":0.936768149882905,"close_pct":8.899297423887598,"spy_pct":-0.4621438594350491}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-year-2026-results-1078030 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

Retrieved September11 2026 ~04UTC. Primary issuer-authored distribution timestamp: "Tuesday, 24 June 2025 05:05 PM". Announcement date versus fiscal period named in linked release. Quotes identify session; call is distinct from first release. SIP adjustment=all daily bars, full data925bars 2023-Jan to2026-Sep10, cutoff03:30UTC, no pagination. Fixed response before news close to first post-news close; open sensitivity also saved. {"date":"2025-06-24","session":"AMC","pre_date":"2025-06-24","post_date":"2025-06-25","pre_close":4.33,"post_open":4.81,"post_close":4.87,"open_pct":11.085450346420323,"close_pct":12.471131639722866,"spy_pct":0.0566572237960416}. Sample fixed12consecutive quarters; first8training last4holdout. Sep2023 preannouncement suspected separately; no hindsight remapping. https://www.accessnewswire.com/newsroom/en/computers-technology-and-internet/blackberry-reports-first-quarter-fiscal-year-2026-results-1042649 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars