LPG R91108 EIA weekly trade table revalidated = 11868
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Sep11retrievalHTTP200,cp1252needed; weekSep4'26totexports11868kbpd vs11896priorweek. Crude3417vs4483; totalproducts8451vs7413. TotalisnotLPGexports; table7doesnotestablishpropaneexporttonnesorDoriancargo. No zero fromparserfailure.
https://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/table7.csv
PLAY R91108 September14 PLAY release
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Sep1issuersyndication: Sep14aftermarketcloseQ2endedAug4results. AlternateissuerIRhostnameaccessibleviawebsearchwhileir.daveandbusters.comdirectfailed. Noeventtrade; compareconsumerdemand/foodcostsafterrelease.
https://daveandbusters.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/dave-busters-entertainment-inc-report-second-quarter-2026
HITI R91108 September14 High Tide release
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Aug25issuer: Sep14aftermarketclosequarterJuly31results; Sep15 11:30EDTcall. FridaySep11islastregularsessionbeforeMondayevent; noorders.
https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-to-announce-third-fiscal-quarter-2026-financial-results/
HAIN R91108 September14 Hain release
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Aug17issuer: Sep14beforemarketopenresults,08EDTcall. Futurefirstreleasecouldprecedecall. Followinputcosts/inventory/workingcapital; noorder.
https://ir.hain.com/news-releases/news-release-details/hain-celestial-announces-fiscal-2026-fourth-quarter-and-full
TLX R91108 September11 date-only Pixclara catalyst
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Apr10issuer assignsSep11PDUFAgoaldate, noFDAannouncementhour. CurrentnewsindexaccessedSep11 hasnoPixclaradecisioninthevisiblepage, notproofpending. Approval/CRL/delay requireactualoriginal; outsidecurrenttradedsetup. NoSep14FDAeventverifiedinthisboundedreview.
https://telixpharma.com/news-views/fda-accepts-nda-for-tlx101-px-pixclara/
KR R91108 September11 Kroger call timing
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
Aug14issuerconfirmsSep11 08EDTcall=12UTC, notexactfirstrelease. Readfoodinput/inventory/FIFOmarginandguidanceafternumbersarepublished; no event-entrystrategyvalidated.
https://www.thekrogerco.com/ir-feed-item/kroger-announces-second-quarter-conference-call-with-investors/
R91108 two-session Census calendar
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
VerifiedSep11: AugustbusinessformationsSep11 10EDT=14UTC. NoSep14entryinthiscalendar. Respondentdue-datepagesarenotstatisticalreleaseannouncements.
https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/calendar-listview.html
R91108 two-session BLS calendar
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:13
VerifiedSep11: AugustCPIandrealearningsSep11 08:30EDT=12:30UTC. BLSmonthcalendar hasnoSep14entry; thisdoesnotproveabsenceofallmacroevents. No consensusassumed. Futuredatanotyetreleasedat08UTC.
https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/09_sched.htm
SPY PRE91108 February frozen execution diagnostic extended = -2.1578886345422488
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:12
{"return":-2.1578886345422488,"trade_return_pct":-2.1578886345422488,"drawdown":3.1046257099508368,"win rate":0,"sample":1,"checks_before_exit":195,"bars":1178,"entry":686.92885,"risk":12.599000000000013,"target":724.72585,"original_stop":674.32985,"reason":"sampled_stop","ledger":[{"at":"2026-02-02 09:30:00-05:00","qty":14.556092818040764,"price":685.9,"fill":686.92885,"why":"entry"},{"at":"2026-02-05 10:15:00-05:00","qty":-14.556092818040764,"price":673.25,"fill":672.240125,"why":"sampled_stop"}],"vectorbt_max_error":0}; One inspected February2026 trade, not new holdout; fee1bp/slip15bp each side. Adjusted baropens proxy sampling, not quotes; originaldailyretained.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/execution_audit.py
More SPY PRE91108 February frozen execution diagnostic RTH = -2.1578886345422488
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:12
{"return":-2.1578886345422488,"trade_return_pct":-2.1578886345422488,"drawdown":3.0151498423680034,"win rate":0,"sample":1,"checks_before_exit":81,"bars":494,"entry":686.92885,"risk":12.599000000000013,"target":724.72585,"original_stop":674.32985,"reason":"sampled_stop","ledger":[{"at":"2026-02-02 09:30:00-05:00","qty":14.556092818040764,"price":685.9,"fill":686.92885,"why":"entry"},{"at":"2026-02-05 10:15:00-05:00","qty":-14.556092818040764,"price":673.25,"fill":672.240125,"why":"sampled_stop"}],"vectorbt_max_error":0}; One inspected February2026 trade, not new holdout; fee1bp/slip15bp each side. Adjusted baropens proxy sampling, not quotes; originaldailyretained.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/execution_audit.py
More SPY PRE91108 February frozen execution diagnostic daily = -2.000956137018328
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:12
{"symbol":"SPY","model":"adapter","sample":"test","slippage_bp":15,"c_multiplier":1,"return":-2.000956137018328,"drawdown":2.000956137018328,"CAGR_pct":-23.515425016349432,"Sharpe0":-3.641861872001305,"ann_vol_pct":7.287205862954066,"N_sessions":19,"N_months":1,"win_rate_pct":0,"trades":1,"positive_months_pct":0,"mean_trade_pct":-2.000956137018328,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":2.000956137018328,"mean_exposure":0,"vectorbt_max_error":0,"orders":2,"start":"2026-02-02","end":"2026-02-27","trade":{"symbol":"SPY","entrydate":"2026-02-02","entry":686.92885,"risk":12.599000000000013,"stop":674.32985,"target":724.72585,"partiallevel":712.12685,"partial":false,"cost":10000,"receipts":9799.904386298167,"weight":1,"exit":"2026-02-02","reason":"stop","ret":-0.020009561370183282,"hold":1}}; One inspected February2026 trade, not new holdout; fee1bp/slip15bp each side. Adjusted baropens proxy sampling, not quotes; originaldailyretained.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; research/execution_audit.py
More TSM R91108 Kelly units and HAC regression correction
Supply chain 2026-09-11 08:12
{"halfKelly_risk_fraction": 0.014586147516808479, "halfKelly_notional_fraction": 0.26670989424492647, "halfKelly_notional_usd": 226.96745290348997, "quarter_probe_usd": 56.74186322587249, "stress_notional_usd": 0, "one_share_usd": 428.03, "max_position_usd": 212.7475, "FRO_STNG_corr60": 0.7789381883408967, "LPG_FRO_corr60": 0.682346680347886, "beta_HAC5_CI": [1.6256235676581592, 3.1274775237948282], "beta_HAC5_se": 0.38312600921853796}; Kellyriskstakefraction dividedavgfractionalloss givesnotionalfraction. Capfullsizeat212.7475; quarterofcappedsize53.186875, notuncapped56.741863. Diagnosticpositivebasemean doesnotpassnegativegeometrictrain/stress/holdout; operativeallocation0. RegressionHAC5 on60logreturns includesintercept/small-sample60/58correction; descriptive, notpredictive.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TSM,SPY,FRO,STNG,LPG&feed=sip&adjustment=all
More FTK PRE91108 primary earnings and cash bridge
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10presentation: FYrevenue360–370m,adjEBITDA50–54m guidesraisedSep9. InternationalchemistryH2expected>40m versusH1actual12.6m implies>217.46%half-on-halfgrowth, notcollectedcash. Q2revenue99.4m/GP23.8m. CurrentIRhomepageSep11latestnewsSep9guide; noadditionalpaidreceiptidentified.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/928054/000092805426000087/ex992-lakestreetinvestor.htm
More AVAV PRE91108 primary earnings and cash bridge
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep9issuer16:10EDT Q1endedAug1: revenue480.490m,OCF13.496m,propertyequipment44.033m givesFCFproxy-30.537m; capitalizedsoftware5.417m addsuse,expandedproxy-35.954m. AdjustedEBITDA53.389mvs56.556m; fundedbacklog~1.5bn. BacklogdoesnotprovepaidcashorpositivePEADexpectancy. Directfetch200/299723bytes/hash87a4f3355ebdf8d9; dynamicheaderdateignoredin favoractualrelease.
https://investor.avinc.com/node/21391
More ADBE PRE91108 primary earnings and cash bridge
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10issuerQ3endedAug28: revenue6.760bn,OCF2.523bn,capex.085bn,computedFCF2.438bn/36.0651%margin; SBCcashflowaddback.539bn, illustrativeFCFlessSBC1.899bn. GAAPnetincome1.827bnvs1.772bn +3.1038%; EPS4.62vs4.18 +10.5263%, dilutedshares395mvs424m -6.8396%. FullFYnonGAAPguide24.45–24.50; Sep10prereleaseclose248.83/midguide=10.1667x, notfreshpostnewsprice. Q4guide6.80–6.85bn revenue,6.30–6.35adjustedEPS. DirectguessednewsURLredirectedtohomepage; officialIRPDFisvalidsource.
https://www.adobe.com/cc-shared/assets/investor-relations/pdfs/01906202/au56y4ter.pdf
More ORCL PRE91108 primary earnings and cash bridge
Quant replication 2026-09-11 08:10
Issuer Sep10 16:10ET release, Q1endedAug31: revenue19.345bn, OCF23.103bn,capex28.499bn,FCF-5.396bn; customerprepaymentswithsignificantfinancing11.363bn=49.1841%OCF. OCF minus only those prepayments11.740bn; illustrative FCF minus same-16.759bn, notGAAP orforecast. ATMnet19.909bn. PriorSep10close152.94 /FY27guided8.10nonGAAPEPS=18.8815x; staleprereleaseprice notcurrentvaluationtarget.
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/oracle-announces-q1-results-driven-by-triple-digit-growth-in-cloud-infrastructure-revenues-302875728.html
More PRE91108 FDA calendar coverage gap
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep11browserrenderedcalendaronlytableheader,noeventrows. Search forSep14PDUFAreturnednouniqueconfirmedcandidate; cannotinferzeroFDAevents. ExistingTLXdateverifiedseparately; broadcoveragegapexplicit.
https://www.fda.gov/advisory-committees/advisory-committee-calendar
ZUMZ PRE91108 Zumiez Q2 and period-aware cash = -32.156
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10issuer: Q2Aug1sales208.964m,comps-2.1%,loss2.743m,GM35.3%;37daysSep7comps-3.5%,sales-4.3%;Q3guide222–226m/EPS0–.10. SixmonthOCF-27.276m/capex4.880m=>FCF-32.156m,buybacks28.972mcash. Cash+securities97.265m vs160.624Jan31,decline63.359m; FCF+buybacksdrain61.128m. Inventory157.282m vs157.722mYoY=-.27897%. Narrative35.7mpositiveOCFaddressesYoYcashchange,notH1.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318008/000117184326005980/exh_991.htm
More CPRT PRE91108 ACV acquisition sponsor economics = 1900
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10jointissuer: impliedequityvalue1900m financedcashonhand; expectsclosecalendar2026yearend,EPSneutralfirstfullyear/accretiveFY2028+. 1900/1267.129=1.49945xCPRTFY26FCFcomputed. Forecastnotguaranteed; dealerwholesalebenefitsnotrealizedcash.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/900075/000119312526388064/d138322dex991.htm
CPRT PRE91108 ACV merger definitive terms = 10.5
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10agreement: cash10.50/share; tendercommencewithin5businessdaysifpracticable,no later7; minimum10businessdaysopen. Majoritytender/HSR/otherconditions; nofinancingcondition. Noactualcommencement/expirydateassumed.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/900075/000119312526388064/d138322d8k.htm
CPRT PRE91108 Copart Q4 margin and FY cash = 41.7765278683
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10 SECexhibit: Q4July31USDm revenue1152.439 vs1125.097,grossprofit481.449 vs509.718,netincome327.423 vs396.354. ComputedGM41.77653% vs45.30436%,-3.52783pp. FYOCF1604.492,capex337.363=>FCF1267.129m versus1230.760m prior. Operatingcash fell while lowercapex improvedFCF; notquarterlycash.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/900075/000119312526387902/cprt-ex99_1.htm
More ADBE PRE91108 Adobe prepared remarks = 27.5
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10 issuer: ARR27.50bn,+11.2%;RPOgrowth8%,cRPOgrowth9%;Firefly ARR+40%QoQ. Semrushintegration described, fullorganicbridge absent in reviewedremarks; usersandgrowthpercentagesnotincrementaldollars. Q3AI-firstARR headline>150%growth notstockwinodds.
https://www.adobe.com/cc-shared/assets/investor-relations/pdfs/01906202/c6yetrerew.pdf
ADBE PRE91108 Q3 Adobe economics = 2523
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:10
Sep10 issuer quarterAug28: revenue6.76bn,GAAPEPS4.62/nonGAAP6.13;OCF2523m,capex85m=>FCF2438m;buybacks2232m=>coverage1.092294x. SBC539m. Q4revenue6.80–6.85bn midpoint+0.96154%seq usingroundedQ3;EPS6.30–6.35adj. EPSbridge includes1.38stock/deferredcomp vs1.51totaldifference. Totalgrowth includesacquisitions; organicgrowthnotquantifiedhere. RoundedOCF2520in initialcalculation superseded2523.
https://www.adobe.com/cc-shared/assets/investor-relations/pdfs/01906202/au56y4ter.pdf
More ORCL PRE91108 Oracle operating scale and timing = 664
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:09
IssuerSep10 16:10ET: revenue19.3bn,+30%;IaaS7.4bn,+121%;RPO664bn; delivered850MW and>300000GPUs sinceQ4. FY27revenue>=90bn/nonGAAPEPS8.10guidance. Sponsorforwardestimates, notbookedbacklogcashorindependentcustomerverification.
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/oracle-announces-q1-results-driven-by-triple-digit-growth-in-cloud-infrastructure-revenues-302875728.html
ORCL PRE91108 Q1 FY27 cash bridge = 23103
Catalyst run-ups 2026-09-11 08:09
Sep10 issuer, quarterAug31,USDm: OCF23103 vs8140,capex28499,FCF-5396,financing-component customerprepayments11363,otherdeferredrevenueincrease3997,netATM19909. Computed prepayments49.18409%OCF; subtraction sensitivityOCF11740(+44.22604%YoY),FCF-16759; notGAAPorrecurringearningsestimate. Capex123.35627%OCF.
https://investor.oracle.com/files/content_files/1q27-pressrelease-September_FINAL.pdf
More