BTC/USD C91200 OKX 100-settlement funding distribution = 0.324728593233
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:06
{"symbol":"BTC","source":"https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history","N":100,"first":"1786320000000","last":"1789171200000","last_bp":0.324728593233,"mean_bp":0.6270772876817899,"p05_bp":0.005875445090100004,"p95_bp":1,"last_percentile":18,"sum_bp":62.707728768178995}. AccessSep12~00:04UTC; observedsettledrates,notforecasts;1008hoursettlementsAug10–Sep12,notindependenttrades orglobalexchanges. p05–p95 criterion fixeddescriptive;lastnotextremeinanymajor. Sum is swapfundingcarry before costs, not spotreturn. No leveragedtrade permitted.
https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history
FRO R91200 Sep11 special dividend now declared and dated = 3.41
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:06
Issuer Sep11'26 says twoVLCCsales completed;declared.80special plus2.61Q2=3.41/share. Both recordSep18, expectedNYSEexSep18/OsloSep17, payaboutSep28. Supersedes monitor11 and notes saying special conditional/undated. Cash distribution from asset sale differs from recurring vessel earnings. Issuer original closest source; not new independent corroboration of tanker rates.
https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/
C91200 90-day major hourly correlation matrix = 0.8680597883097442
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:06
{"BTC":{"BTC":1,"ETH":0.8680597883097442,"SOL":0.7972226144449818},"ETH":{"BTC":0.8680597883097442,"ETH":1,"SOL":0.8025502145706219},"SOL":{"BTC":0.7972226144449818,"ETH":0.8025502145706219,"SOL":1}}. N2159alignedhourlylogreturns Jun14–Sep11, no imputation. BTC/ETH .86806, BTC/SOL .79722,ETH/SOL .80255: three allocations are substantially common risk, not three independent bets. Regime conditional correlations and causal macro effects not estimated.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
{"paths":20000,"historical_blocks":2136,"hours":48,"stop_pct":-9.704828894774241,"target_pct":29.114486684322728,"stop_first_pct":0.32,"target_first_pct":0,"neither_pct":99.68,"terminal_p01_pct":-7.428159826499003,"terminal_p99_pct":13.377535831076415}. Seed91200,20,000 paths of two sampled24hour overlapping blocks from90dayhourly logreturns;2136blocks≠independent samples; hourly closes only, no intrahour extremes, costs or gapfill. Stop2ATR/target6ATR at currentclose for range illustration, not net3R order and not breakout-conditioned forecast.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD C91200 90-day completed daily/hourly statistics and signals = 102.4335
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:06
Fetched Sep12~00:03UTC, cutoff00UTC, pandas; 90 UTCdays/2160hours no missing; prior480 highs shifted excludes signal bar. All measured figures={"symbol":"SOL","hours":2160,"missing_hours":0,"days":90,"last":"2026-09-11 23:00:00+00:00","close":102.4335,"prior480":110.5357,"gap_pct":7.909717035930641,"signals_Sep11":0,"return_Sep11_pct":3.885297025937473,"ATR14":4.970497952964285,"ATR_pct":4.85241444738712,"SMA20":102.12876500000002,"SMA50":86.875534,"hour_log_p01_pct":-1.5602621969290666,"hour_log_p99_pct":2.016216439594439,"hour_range_p95_pct":2.1719732223071113,"annual_vol_pct":57.35664536026559,"daily_hourly_max_OHLC_error":0}. ATR is simple mean14 true ranges; annual vol uses sqrt8760; historical distribution not causal or guaranteed risk. Exact Sep11daily/hourly OHLC match. ETHSep11one signal requires separate intraday audit.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
{"paths":20000,"historical_blocks":2136,"hours":48,"stop_pct":-7.5800953419402735,"target_pct":22.74028602582081,"stop_first_pct":0.9900000000000001,"target_first_pct":0.22499999999999998,"neither_pct":98.785,"terminal_p01_pct":-6.325585355528784,"terminal_p99_pct":17.783107943397127}. Seed91200,20,000 paths of two sampled24hour overlapping blocks from90dayhourly logreturns;2136blocks≠independent samples; hourly closes only, no intrahour extremes, costs or gapfill. Stop2ATR/target6ATR at currentclose for range illustration, not net3R order and not breakout-conditioned forecast.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD C91200 90-day completed daily/hourly statistics and signals = 2516.066
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:06
Fetched Sep12~00:03UTC, cutoff00UTC, pandas; 90 UTCdays/2160hours no missing; prior480 highs shifted excludes signal bar. All measured figures={"symbol":"ETH","hours":2160,"missing_hours":0,"days":90,"last":"2026-09-11 23:00:00+00:00","close":2516.066,"prior480":2664.8535,"gap_pct":5.913497499668141,"signals_Sep11":1,"return_Sep11_pct":3.2525548283973915,"ATR14":95.36010083307143,"ATR_pct":3.790047670970135,"SMA20":2467.85355,"SMA50":2160.64242,"hour_log_p01_pct":-1.4725089818413082,"hour_log_p99_pct":1.8222477139869253,"hour_range_p95_pct":1.6206766980008032,"annual_vol_pct":52.06564152554078,"daily_hourly_max_OHLC_error":0}. ATR is simple mean14 true ranges; annual vol uses sqrt8760; historical distribution not causal or guaranteed risk. Exact Sep11daily/hourly OHLC match. ETHSep11one signal requires separate intraday audit.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
{"paths":20000,"historical_blocks":2136,"hours":48,"stop_pct":-5.7564100854460065,"target_pct":17.269230256338,"stop_first_pct":1.125,"target_first_pct":0.03,"neither_pct":98.845,"terminal_p01_pct":-4.97046302414147,"terminal_p99_pct":9.644197150503597}. Seed91200,20,000 paths of two sampled24hour overlapping blocks from90dayhourly logreturns;2136blocks≠independent samples; hourly closes only, no intrahour extremes, costs or gapfill. Stop2ATR/target6ATR at currentclose for range illustration, not net3R order and not breakout-conditioned forecast.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD C91200 90-day completed daily/hourly statistics and signals = 77212.8315
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:06
Fetched Sep12~00:03UTC, cutoff00UTC, pandas; 90 UTCdays/2160hours no missing; prior480 highs shifted excludes signal bar. All measured figures={"symbol":"BTC","hours":2160,"missing_hours":0,"days":90,"last":"2026-09-11 23:00:00+00:00","close":77212.8315,"prior480":82233.502538071,"gap_pct":6.50237912602778,"signals_Sep11":0,"return_Sep11_pct":0.8844956695144512,"ATR14":2222.3436098622137,"ATR_pct":2.878205042723001,"SMA20":78613.982625,"SMA50":70646.23602000001,"hour_log_p01_pct":-0.9786104791581245,"hour_log_p99_pct":1.120591941682866,"hour_range_p95_pct":1.3237065227129978,"annual_vol_pct":38.64174380319844,"daily_hourly_max_OHLC_error":0}. ATR is simple mean14 true ranges; annual vol uses sqrt8760; historical distribution not causal or guaranteed risk. Exact Sep11daily/hourly OHLC match. ETHSep11one signal requires separate intraday audit.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SEP1200 data entitlement and feed separation = 403
C91200 refreshed 36-pair volume and daily-close census = 36
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:05
AccessSep12 00:02UTC,7 completedUTCdaysSep5–11, published36USDpairs not liveAssets/globalvolume. USDv*vw ranking:USDC10367949,USDG1899981(2/7days,stale),BTC677156,ETH459605,LTC254429,XRP199205,SOL192379,HYPE150543,LINK146046,UNI107781. Others7/7. Sole20prior dailyCLOSE breakout ETH2516.066>2515.445. This screen differs from frozen480hHIGH rule; not trade eligibility. Stablecoins included in ranking; staleUSDGnotassumedliquid.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
Primary issuer HTML data-point fields, accessed00:02UTC, datedSep10: circulation74.06bn; 7day issue6.66/redeem6.91=>net−.25bn,30day38.06−36.04=+2.02bn,365day334.68−332.88=+1.80bn. Rates−35.714286m/day7d and+67.333333m/day30d; ratios to currentstock−.337564%/+2.727518%,not growthfrominitialstock. OldSep7snapshot74.28bn/net7+.94bn is different overlapping window; cannot subtract windows as a discrete flow. Llama aggregator token2 timestamp1789084800 current74.359078093bn,ETH46.698049087bn/SOL6.988449606bn/HYPE6.839110360bn; same timestamp existed in11:45journal with revised values, so do not infer dailychainflow from intraday retrievals. Issuer promotional bias; liquidity not allocation to crypto.
https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2
C91200 September11 BLS August releases = 0.4
Crypto majors2026-09-12 00:04
Primary agency releases dated Sep11 08:30ET for August2026, accessed Sep12 00UTC. CPI headline SA +0.4%m/m,+3.4%y/y; core +0.3%,+2.4%; July headline+0.1%,core+0.2%,corey/y2.5%. Energy+2.1%,gasoline+3.9%,shelter+0.3%,food+0.1%. Real hourly earnings all employees−0.1%m/m,−0.3%y/y; weekly+0.2%m/m,+0.3%y/y via longer hours. CPI urban sample misses nonmetropolitan/institutional populations; no preregistered consensus and no causal crypto surprise inference. Rolling release URLs read successfully; dated archive URLs unavailable this run. Monthly acceleration and lower core y/y coexist, not contradiction.
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm ; https://www.bls.gov/news.release/realer.nr0.htm
Sep9issuer FY2026 revenue midpoint345->365m,adjEBITDA49->52m: incremental3/20=15%; H2international>40m forecast vsQ2realized10.6m. MiddleEast delivery/security/logistics risk explicit. Forecast does not establish cash collection or power-project restart.
https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales
ATI R91200 10K raw material risk and extraction error
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:04
FY2025 risk: long lead times can prevent full raw-cost recovery via surcharge/index; graphite electrodes/helium/argon critical. Raw supply generally multi-source adequate asofreport. CLI section extractor returned Business crossreference, not Item1A; genuine risks re-read in fullSEC page lines288 onward.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018963/000162828026010140/ati-20251228.htm
ATI R91200 Qualification cost counterexample = 24.1
FY2025 10K risk section: titanium sponge/specialized alloys limited or sole sources; qualification limits substitutions, production delays can cause customer claims. Major customers own captive furnaces. Annual exposure, not evidence a Sep11 outage occurred.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4281/000000428126000012/hwm-20251231.htm