Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
SCHL SEP1200 completed September11 IEX daily indicators = 34.975
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-12 00:10
{"rows":1429,"date":"2026-09-11T04:00:00Z","close":34.975,"ret1_pct":-0.8645124716553321,"open_gap_pct":2.352607709750565,"ret20_pct":-15.376240019356391,"sma20":38.650000000000006,"sma50":41.67100000000001,"rsi14":25.867087159279606,"atr14":0.9860714285714296,"adr20":0.8917499999999997,"low20":34.84,"high20":41.89,"volume20_iex":14064.5,"corr60_SPY":0.15890463444502992} Python: RSI Wilder EWM14; ATR simple mean14 true ranges; ADR20 mean high-low; close correlations last60 aligned returns. Partial-market open/volume not consolidated auction or liquidity. SRRK daily bar precedes22:25UTC approval, cannot measure reaction. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=iex&adjustment=all
KR SEP1200 completed September11 IEX daily indicators = 58.46
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-12 00:10
{"rows":1427,"date":"2026-09-11T04:00:00Z","close":58.46,"ret1_pct":2.6334269662921406,"open_gap_pct":-1.4396067415730296,"ret20_pct":2.8139289482940644,"sma20":57.5105,"sma50":57.53280000000001,"rsi14":54.890519123762815,"atr14":1.3782142857142858,"adr20":1.223,"low20":55.11,"high20":59.47,"volume20_iex":410531,"corr60_SPY":-0.16927799222869488} Python: RSI Wilder EWM14; ATR simple mean14 true ranges; ADR20 mean high-low; close correlations last60 aligned returns. Partial-market open/volume not consolidated auction or liquidity. SRRK daily bar precedes22:25UTC approval, cannot measure reaction. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=iex&adjustment=all
HOFT SEP1200 completed September11 IEX daily indicators = 12.525
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-12 00:10
{"rows":1425,"date":"2026-09-11T04:00:00Z","close":12.525,"ret1_pct":-0.35799522673031214,"open_gap_pct":7.239459029435169,"ret20_pct":-15.599730458221018,"sma20":13.529499999999999,"sma50":14.2335,"rsi14":31.80156714480664,"atr14":0.38000000000000017,"adr20":0.22000000000000003,"low20":12.4,"high20":14.95,"volume20_iex":1952.5,"corr60_SPY":0.3018238516912251} Python: RSI Wilder EWM14; ATR simple mean14 true ranges; ADR20 mean high-low; close correlations last60 aligned returns. Partial-market open/volume not consolidated auction or liquidity. SRRK daily bar precedes22:25UTC approval, cannot measure reaction. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=iex&adjustment=all
FRO R91200 distribution and valuation calculations = 2.526758820500088
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:10
{"FRO_distribution_yield_pct":6.929485876854298,"FRO_distribution_ADR":2.526758820500088,"FRO_theoretical_ex_price":45.8,"HWM_forward_PE":43.569259962049344,"GE_airfoil_demand_CAGR_pct":6.778997237244089,"GE_CPP_price_revenue":5.875} UsesSep11SIP49.21/FROADR1.349555/HWM229.61; HWMissuerEPS5.27midpoint. Theoreticaldividenddeduction,notpriceforecast orprofit. GEderivedfigures25236source. https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-declares-special-one-time-dividend-after-sale-of-two-vllcs/
HWM R91200 descriptive market model and own trade calibration = -10.217456879158973
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:10
{"HWM_pre60_alpha_daily":-0.00005348977570138337,"HWM_pre60_beta_SPY":0.867538326136353,"HWM_Sep8_return_pct":-10.699271030200174,"SPY_Sep8_return_pct":-0.5492151287344704,"HWM_Sep8_residual_pct":-10.217456879158973,"owntrade_n":2,"owntrade_mean_pct":2.2787098641395054,"owntrade_returns_pct":[3.805162957968089,0.7522567703109218],"owntrade_winrate_pct":100,"owntrade_exact_CI_low_pct":15.811388300841896,"owntrade_target_R":[2.614457831325298,2.1512605042016775]} OLSprevious60sessionsendingSep4,retrospectiveeventstudy not causalidentification. Ownfundquery_trades twooperatorliquidationwins, notindependentsetuptrials; losses/slippageunknown. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HWM R91200 training Monte Carlo and uncertainty = 15.676666666666666
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:10
{"sample":30,"paths":30000,"trades_per_path":20,"terminal_pct_q5_q50_q95":[-17.79057417078197,37.43680667664586,135.94840042421617],"loss_probability_pct":15.676666666666666,"dd20_probability_pct":38.806666666666665,"mean_return_ci95_pct":[-0.7188517217513967,4.613266703207064],"halfKelly_notional_fraction":2.220169320557552,"capped_full_notional":212.7475,"quarter_probe":53.186875} NumPyseed91200 IIDbootstrap, no serialregimeforecast; sizingnotauthorized. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&feed=sip
HWM R91200 frozen L40 holdout slippage15bps = -11.83642332037918
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:10
{"L":40,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":15,"return":-11.83642332037918,"drawdown":34.89144753913456,"win rate":21.428571428571427,"sample":14,"mean_pct":-0.4898754591653216,"avgwin_pct":16.989811023449573,"avgloss_pct":5.257062681696656,"open":0,"targets":3,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L40 holdout slippage5bps = -9.33295546928297
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:10
{"L":40,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":5,"return":-9.33295546928297,"drawdown":33.8494251101641,"win rate":21.428571428571427,"sample":14,"mean_pct":-0.2906558410508107,"avgwin_pct":17.224025035168726,"avgloss_pct":5.067386989110685,"open":0,"targets":3,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L40 train slippage15bps = -37.367994744126
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":40,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":15,"return":-37.367994744126,"drawdown":45.635510368898935,"win rate":23.333333333333332,"sample":30,"mean_pct":-1.361716748698801,"avgwin_pct":9.548895319729974,"avgloss_pct":4.682337813003211,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L40 train slippage5bps = -33.495043513063614
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":40,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":5,"return":-33.495043513063614,"drawdown":43.97658834061634,"win rate":23.333333333333332,"sample":30,"mean_pct":-1.1642425599017514,"avgwin_pct":9.768212592129803,"avgloss_pct":4.491511519215703,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L10 holdout slippage15bps = 26.785402815691363
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":10,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":15,"return":26.785402815691363,"drawdown":22.537120034561163,"win rate":40,"sample":15,"mean_pct":2.163789240926736,"avgwin_pct":14.585766157436849,"avgloss_pct":6.117528703413339,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L10 holdout slippage5bps = 30.6465974165726
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":10,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":5,"return":30.6465974165726,"drawdown":22.22664764754362,"win rate":40,"sample":15,"mean_pct":2.3683215050719575,"avgwin_pct":14.815167262908055,"avgloss_pct":5.929575666818773,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L10 train slippage15bps = 32.57331886530634
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":10,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":15,"return":32.57331886530634,"drawdown":30.721930119594354,"win rate":42.42424242424242,"sample":33,"mean_pct":1.120085938682621,"avgwin_pct":9.085999782500592,"avgloss_pct":4.749534788341147,"open":0,"targets":6,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L10 train slippage5bps = 41.618371321014585
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":10,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":5,"return":41.618371321014585,"drawdown":29.3224187421931,"win rate":42.42424242424242,"sample":33,"mean_pct":1.3225287051585433,"avgwin_pct":9.304390336412428,"avgloss_pct":4.558843023133793,"open":0,"targets":6,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L20 holdout slippage15bps = 15.195134147195985
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":20,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":15,"return":15.195134147195985,"drawdown":24.167308780705344,"win rate":35.714285714285715,"sample":14,"mean_pct":1.497990142945992,"avgwin_pct":13.855947214872785,"avgloss_pct":5.367541563680004,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L20 holdout slippage5bps = 18.466182416802894
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":20,"start":"2025-01-01","end":"2026-09-11","slip_bps":5,"return":18.466182416802894,"drawdown":23.4816568368424,"win rate":35.714285714285715,"sample":14,"mean_pct":1.7011894749634056,"avgwin_pct":14.083887220262925,"avgloss_pct":5.178087050202993,"open":0,"targets":4,"bars":424,"buyhold_pct":109.23090942227086,"window":"holdout"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L20 train slippage15bps = 53.10784787880295
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":20,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":15,"return":53.10784787880295,"drawdown":24.597418196095468,"win rate":46.666666666666664,"sample":30,"mean_pct":1.6935278371003,"avgwin_pct":9.091569108064478,"avgloss_pct":4.779758274993355,"open":0,"targets":5,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
HWM R91200 frozen L20 train slippage5bps = 62.57551900804389
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"L":20,"start":"2021-01-01","end":"2024-12-31","slip_bps":5,"return":62.57551900804389,"drawdown":23.227881386003435,"win rate":46.666666666666664,"sample":30,"mean_pct":1.8971186362667751,"avgwin_pct":9.309970811785618,"avgloss_pct":4.589127017312212,"open":0,"targets":5,"bars":1005,"buyhold_pct":288.0299251870324,"window":"train"} Protocolnote2455;nextopen2ADRrisk3Rtarget40sessions;fees1bp/side;vectorbtlongonly cashreturns reconciled;dailyproxy not15min. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=HWM&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 764.29
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":764.29,"prior20":777.88,"sma50":758.6164000000001,"adr20":4.240609999999992,"return1d_pct":0.8524339231753775,"vol60_pct":11.889880651750854,"signal":false,"reference_stop":755.80878,"reference_target":789.7336599999999,"maxwhole":0} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
FTK R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 27.33
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":27.33,"prior20":35.83,"sma50":26.823400000000003,"adr20":1.9595300000000009,"return1d_pct":-0.328227571115991,"vol60_pct":103.0331448621469,"signal":false,"reference_stop":23.410939999999997,"reference_target":39.087180000000004,"maxwhole":7} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
STNG R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 84.52
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":84.52,"prior20":84.51,"sma50":77.9266,"adr20":2.0018450000000008,"return1d_pct":0.01183291918114282,"vol60_pct":35.0297710440498,"signal":true,"reference_stop":80.51630999999999,"reference_target":96.53107,"maxwhole":2} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
FRO R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 49.21
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":49.21,"prior20":48.4,"sma50":40.845800000000004,"adr20":1.3495550000000016,"return1d_pct":1.6735537190082583,"vol60_pct":45.53772682254158,"signal":true,"reference_stop":46.510889999999996,"reference_target":57.30733000000001,"maxwhole":4} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
LPG R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 55.18
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":55.18,"prior20":55.2,"sma50":45.9394,"adr20":1.6405249999999996,"return1d_pct":1.4151810328983716,"vol60_pct":44.411807601585934,"signal":false,"reference_stop":51.89895,"reference_target":65.02315,"maxwhole":3} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
AEHR R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 94.69
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":94.69,"prior20":145.61,"sma50":90.9787,"adr20":9.169509999999999,"return1d_pct":0.9380663042319437,"vol60_pct":146.65897173127013,"signal":false,"reference_stop":76.35097999999999,"reference_target":149.70705999999998,"maxwhole":2} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
ATI R91200 completed Sep11 SIP technical panel = 198.77
Supply chain2026-09-12 00:09
{"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1682,"close":198.77,"prior20":231.78,"sma50":202.95600000000002,"adr20":7.129489999999997,"return1d_pct":-0.11557788944722702,"vol60_pct":40.93919315351447,"signal":false,"reference_stop":184.51102000000003,"reference_target":241.54694,"maxwhole":1} Source retrievedSep12 using endSep11T23:40Z.2ADRstop/6ADRtarget illustrative, not orders; dailyprice not executablequote. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all
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