Notes

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"SOL","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":4,"mean_pct":7.214541283781239,"mean_CI_pct":[-5.8902130798352275,21.523354344162428],"win_Wilson95":[0.3006360524426366,0.9544139373553637]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","train":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":6.157475017100844,"mean_CI_pct":[4.3010838940019225,9.728972460743535],"win_Wilson95":[0.43849391955098227,1]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","train":true,"N":13,"mean_pct":4.1234713333288555,"mean_CI_pct":[-3.7683574914868374,12.803957819711675],"win_Wilson95":[0.2914343243183205,0.7679424569851186]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"ETH","tf":"1Day","train":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":0.02473770202476115,"mean_CI_pct":[-6.637508128634185,5.046756887317683],"win_Wilson95":[0.2076549551264879,0.9385096847238394]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"ETH","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":8,"mean_pct":-2.7329715429171024,"mean_CI_pct":[-9.499911360968284,6.139120091561962],"win_Wilson95":[0.13684175946152105,0.6942621454161981]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","train":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":1.1100457864260616,"mean_CI_pct":[-6.169254005246194,8.560152831413115],"win_Wilson95":[0.2076549551264879,0.9385096847238394]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","train":true,"N":16,"mean_pct":-0.3559763329919273,"mean_CI_pct":[-3.957715474047218,3.7021122275061433],"win_Wilson95":[0.2309836333518552,0.6682180439322347]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"BTC","tf":"1Day","train":false,"N":3,"mean_pct":2.325622972777101,"mean_CI_pct":[-1.7446774669429232,8.460513550704519],"win_Wilson95":[0.2076549551264879,0.9385096847238394]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

IIDbootstrap10000 drawsofclosedtrades,seed91204;not10000independenttrades. Wilson95% wininterval. TinyN/serialdependence/hypothesisselectionunresolved; all-winningbootstrap cannot inventlosses. {"s":"BTC","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":5,"mean_pct":-2.770194337172638,"mean_CI_pct":[-8.077825397805778,6.310732317388967],"win_Wilson95":[0.03622316096978745,0.6244717358814613]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.py

{"s":"SOL","tf":"1Hour","train":false,"N":2,"fullcoverage_N":0,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":null}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-01-06 18:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-01-25 16:15:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":-10.69536448973344},{"entry":"2026-04-18 19:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-08 19:00:00+00:00","missing":13,"ret_pct":6.758158591128516}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"SOL","tf":"1Hour","train":true,"N":7,"fullcoverage_N":7,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":2.226766496744678}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-09-26 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-16 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":3.744669585437377},{"entry":"2024-10-25 18:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-11-11 10:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":25.184173482916663},{"entry":"2024-11-12 13:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-02 13:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":10.223907202375493},{"entry":"2025-05-14 15:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-19 07:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.405193460067341},{"entry":"2025-05-23 12:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-30 17:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-11.91777628568731},{"entry":"2025-08-15 15:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-09-04 15:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":8.758055996824465},{"entry":"2025-09-15 08:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-09-23 02:30:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.0004710445866}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"SOL","tf":"1Day","train":false,"N":3,"fullcoverage_N":2,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":-10.931375226959766}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-03-19 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-04-02 12:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-13.810395898729311},{"entry":"2026-04-20 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-10 00:00:00+00:00","missing":13,"ret_pct":10.803505777465961},{"entry":"2026-05-14 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-17 23:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-8.052354555190222}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"SOL","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":4,"fullcoverage_N":4,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":7.214541283781239}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-09-26 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-16 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":3.744669585437377},{"entry":"2024-10-26 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-11-11 10:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":27.449582597070776},{"entry":"2025-05-15 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-30 16:30:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.612382635978857},{"entry":"2025-08-16 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-09-05 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":8.276295588595662}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","train":false,"N":3,"fullcoverage_N":0,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":null}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-03-05 18:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-03-25 18:00:00+00:00","missing":6,"ret_pct":4.3010838940019225},{"entry":"2026-04-09 02:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-04-29 02:00:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":4.442368696557075},{"entry":"2026-07-07 05:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-07-27 05:00:00+00:00","missing":9,"ret_pct":9.728972460743535}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"ETH","tf":"1Hour","train":true,"N":13,"fullcoverage_N":11,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":5.7093737993943305}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-02-28 20:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-03-11 18:30:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":20.380402041281755},{"entry":"2024-04-09 15:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-04-13 20:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-13.142577611407802},{"entry":"2024-05-27 20:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-06-11 07:00:00+00:00","missing":2,"ret_pct":-9.247903506208887},{"entry":"2024-09-29 08:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-02 13:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-8.565098939413218},{"entry":"2024-10-22 01:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-25 23:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-9.218383017298336},{"entry":"2024-11-24 12:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-14 12:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":15.373131934808626},{"entry":"2025-04-28 02:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-10 16:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":34.92829907300505},{"entry":"2025-05-12 19:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-01 19:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":2.728075854294154},{"entry":"2025-06-11 23:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-13 01:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.946225461725323},{"entry":"2025-07-14 19:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-07-20 12:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":22.236432293746766},{"entry":"2025-07-22 05:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-08-11 05:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":17.01718696305685},{"entry":"2025-08-25 07:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-09-14 07:00:00+00:00","missing":1,"ret_pct":0.04991904614637388},{"entry":"2025-10-07 15:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-10-10 15:15:00+00:00","missing" https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"ETH","tf":"1Day","train":false,"N":3,"fullcoverage_N":1,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":1.664964347390785}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-01-09 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-01-21 12:15:00+00:00","missing":8,"ret_pct":-6.637508128634185},{"entry":"2026-03-20 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-04-09 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":1.664964347390785},{"entry":"2026-04-13 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-03 00:00:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":5.046756887317683}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"ETH","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":8,"fullcoverage_N":7,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":-3.774139063767279}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-04-10 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-04-13 20:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-12.43394151285363},{"entry":"2024-10-23 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-25 23:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-8.796035862114515},{"entry":"2024-11-15 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-05 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":23.753126075717866},{"entry":"2024-12-10 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-20 09:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-12.180220135206433},{"entry":"2025-05-16 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-05 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":1.6850578820813533},{"entry":"2025-06-13 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-20 22:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.03004555033231},{"entry":"2025-08-26 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-09-15 00:00:00+00:00","missing":1,"ret_pct":4.555201103034134},{"entry":"2025-10-08 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-10-10 16:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-8.416914343663285}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","train":false,"N":3,"fullcoverage_N":3,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":1.1100457864260616}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-04-12 02:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-02 02:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":8.560152831413115},{"entry":"2026-05-07 14:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-18 15:30:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-6.169254005246194},{"entry":"2026-07-17 02:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-08-06 02:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":0.939238533111264}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"BTC","tf":"1Hour","train":true,"N":16,"fullcoverage_N":9,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":-4.739571719364512}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-01-03 13:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-01-23 13:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-9.615790849850047},{"entry":"2024-02-20 16:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-02-28 17:15:00+00:00","missing":1,"ret_pct":19.8364102501009},{"entry":"2024-03-05 20:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-03-20 04:45:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":3.3764005101297956},{"entry":"2024-04-09 14:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-04-13 20:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-10.927119553353082},{"entry":"2024-07-29 17:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-08-02 21:15:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-8.09565176492012},{"entry":"2024-09-24 01:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-10-14 01:00:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":-1.3161877193947902},{"entry":"2024-10-15 15:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-11-04 15:00:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":3.805873955025141},{"entry":"2024-11-14 16:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-04 16:00:00+00:00","missing":1,"ret_pct":8.208221735157473},{"entry":"2024-12-05 23:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-25 23:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":1.4103870534764917},{"entry":"2025-01-20 01:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-02-09 01:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-3.763006530966484},{"entry":"2025-04-28 02:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-18 02:00:00+00:00","missing":14,"ret_pct":10.358421031833554},{"entry":"2025-05-18 20:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-07 20:00:00+00:00","missing":3,"ret_pct":1.1660186726421218},{"entry":"2025-08-11 21:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-08-19 15:15:00+00:00","missing":0 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"BTC","tf":"1Day","train":false,"N":3,"fullcoverage_N":3,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":2.325622972777101}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2026-03-19 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-04-08 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":0.2610328345697077},{"entry":"2026-04-20 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-05-10 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":8.460513550704519},{"entry":"2026-07-25 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2026-08-14 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-1.7446774669429232}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"s":"BTC","tf":"1Day","train":true,"N":5,"fullcoverage_N":3,"fullcoverage_mean_pct":-7.387161069945085}; completecoverage subset selected retrospectively by missingdata,notanalternativetradablerule. Allclosedtrades=[{"entry":"2024-01-04 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-01-24 00:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-7.654863818951196},{"entry":"2024-12-19 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2024-12-30 15:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-9.113821889596817},{"entry":"2025-05-05 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-05-22 03:30:00+00:00","missing":15,"ret_pct":14.93263853900071},{"entry":"2025-05-24 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-06-05 20:45:00+00:00","missing":2,"ret_pct":-6.622127015028645},{"entry":"2025-08-15 00:00:00+00:00","exit":"2025-08-20 14:00:00+00:00","missing":0,"ret_pct":-5.392797501287239}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; C91204 research/robust.json

{"rows":71569,"first":"2024-08-26 16:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-12 04:00:00+00:00","duplicates":0,"missing_count":96,"missing2026_count":47}; raw includes partial finalbar; study usesonlycompletedbefore04UTC, holdoutendSep12 00UTC. Start2023Novrequested,SOLlate2024available. Missing isnoobservation,notzeroreturn. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

{"rows":17910,"first":"2024-08-26 16:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-12 04:00:00+00:00","duplicates":0,"missing_count":7,"missing2026_count":1}; raw includes partial finalbar; study usesonlycompletedbefore04UTC, holdoutendSep12 00UTC. Start2023Novrequested,SOLlate2024available. Missing isnoobservation,notzeroreturn. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

{"rows":748,"first":"2024-08-26 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","duplicates":0,"missing_count":0,"missing2026_count":0}; raw includes partial finalbar; study usesonlycompletedbefore04UTC, holdoutendSep12 00UTC. Start2023Novrequested,SOLlate2024available. Missing isnoobservation,notzeroreturn. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

{"rows":100283,"first":"2023-11-01 00:00:00+00:00","last":"2026-09-12 04:00:00+00:00","duplicates":0,"missing_count":150,"missing2026_count":98}; raw includes partial finalbar; study usesonlycompletedbefore04UTC, holdoutendSep12 00UTC. Start2023Novrequested,SOLlate2024available. Missing isnoobservation,notzeroreturn. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars