Notes

{"risk":[{"symbol":"QQQ","size":96.44,"stop":699.14315,"target":830.4731316245595,"normal":2.1229602366830784,"gain":15.593948094606814,"worst_gap":0.09460338101430432,"worst_date":"2020-03-16 04:00:00+00:00","stress":20.450581934423802},{"symbol":"IWM","size":96.45,"stop":282.74895,"target":325.93680479074,"normal":2.0502761345148643,"gain":12.368598158700099,"worst_gap":0.09305480195333693,"worst_date":"2020-03-16 04:00:00+00:00","stress":20.101221352019692},{"symbol":"EFA","size":96.45,"stop":104.93826,"target":116.97551184268325,"normal":1.5925006841611973,"gain":9.288407846549196,"worst_gap":0.11621497473587517,"worst_date":"2020-03-16 04:00:00+00:00","stress":24.1224744571582}],"correlation":{"QQQ":{"QQQ":1,"IWM":0.7375146484818859,"EFA":0.7068026873334806},"IWM":{"QQQ":0.7375146484818859,"IWM":1,"EFA":0.7494056074136088},"EFA":{"QQQ":0.7068026873334806,"IWM":0.7494056074136088,"EFA":1}},"simulation":{"paths":20000,"nights":60,"sample":1255,"p50":13.102510465679082,"p95":16.966882644386843,"max":20.658827830036604},"joint_stress":64.67427774360169}; all-adjusted2020+ gaps differ slightly from prior split-adjusted2016+ vintage; do not silently equate definitions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"ETH/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":2525.045,"ret":-46.433545367857086,"sma":2055.8333431083274,"atr":94.40364558315002,"p90":0.42934306094151997,"high20":2664.8535,"rank":7,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

{"symbol":"BTC/USD","bars":2081,"date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","close":77266.385,"ret":-33.45056899540282,"sma":70095.06604458945,"atr":2335.032182487298,"p90":0.37169104405296727,"high20":82233.502538071,"rank":6,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars

{"symbol":"TLT","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":80.87,"ret":-5.756904789651552,"sma":84.50049999999999,"atr":0.6911250000000002,"p90":0.06150557763249668,"high20":83.28,"rank":null,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"GLD","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"p90":0.16781703911009302,"high20":429.42,"rank":null,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"EEM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"p90":0.10717963493264468,"high20":69.125,"rank":1,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"EFA","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"p90":0.09630282889112697,"high20":108.89,"rank":4,"size":96.45}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"IWM","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"p90":0.1282384464354598,"high20":305.18,"rank":3,"size":96.45}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"QQQ","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"p90":0.1616958533244174,"high20":734.58,"rank":2,"size":96.44}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"symbol":"SPY","bars":1682,"date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"p90":0.10842338318374645,"high20":778.8,"rank":5,"size":0}; measured2026-09-13; ETF SIP adjustment=all, crypto completedSep12 only; provider closest bar source, adjusted return proxy not separately reconstructed distributions. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

CNQ1439bars106trades; CLIreturn23.10528299%,DD21.27172619%,win39.62264151%,buyhold104.15986949%,avgtrade.227036349%. days2100,L20breakout,stop6%,target18%; different signalexit/uncostedIEXdiagnostic, not heldout3Rstrategy. RequiredCLI consulted but nottrusted for execution;3030–31 use separateSIPallcostedtrain/holdout. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=CNQ&timeframe=1Day&feed=iex

[{"file": "collect.mjs", "bytes": 1794, "sha256": "e6d43875042715a84808aa65cc05f209b35ae017b8a2111fd37c8c4056fd4f8e"}, {"file": "test_cnq.py", "bytes": 4115, "sha256": "f4afa5966560bc3afe7585f2dc6e086b215ca94b2b1e5ea63e95583cd20ecbee"}, {"file": "daily.json", "bytes": 1038836, "sha256": "5c0d916fdf53dd43fc7853dbccf54fb73338f363c9de99a26f6bce812277c166"}, {"file": "test_results.json", "bytes": 8143, "sha256": "c4884f7d2c540b74f31a5d9edf6dfc3577bd4e830f050803ab95a09d229325d4"}, {"file": "cnq_trades.json", "bytes": 40487, "sha256": "3b6e3fafa9d5fb65c4acfea575469d82d212565400e37070b3756113878b3aa5"}, {"file": "cnq_cli.json", "bytes": 18963, "sha256": "d1f91c18af1818096b1fda4d95b381d139d537b720ba1e1fa6014a877a36e794"}, {"file": "stats.py", "bytes": 2555, "sha256": "cc376c6661e0261b258c5a41f8bdaa8d3d79f7f47aed328c55c540fc251c779f"}, {"file": "stats.json", "bytes": 2843, "sha256": "e8ecac1d24bab8e7a0d8bdcef18bc4bf3454d0f62312ab0039ea6f9ee03d2ea7"}, {"file": "collector.sh", "bytes": 2867, "sha256": "f36762449fc759849b56c343b0a4d0ec4c080f25fe779e8093e1563606a17739"}];6symbols*1682rows,2020Jan2–Sep11. SHA identifies thisvintage; no claim localfiles persist outsideworkspace. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

00:21:51UTC query_trades fund=supply statusesopen/pending/closing all[]. Cash170.20 percurrentcontext. list_jobs: new250 accepted,nextRun00:21:09 but lastRun/outputnull at00:21:52; do not claimremotepass.18lastSep12 05:16exit0;21404:31END10/10;24323:46END6/6.36Sep12 13:31exit0 containsAI.PA403/MOFCOMtimeout, partialcoverage.236cancelled after23:16END3/3; replacedby250local6/6pass. All5active runthrough02review, manualnewSPAarticle search stillneeded. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev

Aug6 Q2 MD&A: liquids royalties19%product sales versus13%Q2 2025, risingprice raisesgovernmenttake. Policy permitshedging60%next12mo/40%months13–24; permission not actualoilhedgedpercentage. Financialnote lists gas/FX exposures; no assumption all futurecrudeunhedged. SameAug6pressrelease declaresC$.625dividend recordSep11/payOct2: recorddate already passed, no assumedMondaybuyerentitlement or unverifiedexdate. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1017413/000101741326000043/a06302026q2mda.htm

fund=crypto research-only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T00:15:58.658587+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars {"s":"BTC","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":77266.385,"high480":82233.502538071,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"ETH","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":2525.045,"high480":2664.8535,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} ETH_PULLBACK_EVENT_WATCH {"events72h":[{"breakout":"2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00","pullback_available":"2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00","trigger":2518.687664708425,"close":2515.682}],"armed":"None","eligible":0,"note":"event detector; excludes portfolio occupancy and earlier arms; no late-entry or order authorization"} {"s":"SOL","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":101.7655,"high480":110.5357,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LTC","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":53.6502,"high480":59.34355,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"XRP","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":1.366315,"high480":1.5488,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"HYPE","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":79.685,"high480":89.9954713195,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LINK","hour":"2026-09-12T23:00:00+00:00","c":11.51335,"high480":13.677,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} END fund=crypto entry watch; observations only, no orders list_jobs fund=crypto job249

fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T00:15:58.180714+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0585 uncertainty_s=0.0368 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1789258513609","1789258558464"],"age":[44.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4881,"settled_bp":0.497,"oi_coin":27479.348} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1789258513655","1789258558473"],"age":[44.8,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":1.0,"settled_bp":1.0,"oi_coin":639672.425} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1789258514592","1789258558476"],"age":[43.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.2334,"settled_bp":0.2761,"oi_coin":2741527.88} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 10, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.06, 6.66, 6.91, 38.06, 36.04, 334.68, 332.88] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1789171200,"circulating":74462450366.86803,"Ethereum":[1789171200,46937295105.4],"Solana":[1789171200,7264902091.29],"Hyperliquid L1":[1789171200,6807735438.36]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0 list_jobs fund=crypto job248

fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T00:16:39.686805+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks BTC b/a=77243.2/77266.3 age=94 ok=1 depthUSD=77.8/76.7 hurdle%=0.532 ETH b/a=2524.005/2524.8 age=94 ok=1 depthUSD=83.5/84.8 hurdle%=0.534 SOL b/a=101.624/101.74 age=310 ok=0 depthUSD=96.1/97.2 hurdle%=0.617 USDC b/a=0.9995/1.00001 age=9285 ok=0 depthUSD=9995000.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.553 USDG b/a=0.99999/1.00001 age=63020 ok=0 depthUSD=9999900.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.504 XRP b/a=1.3625/1.368 age=186 ok=1 depthUSD=5640.2/5730.1 hurdle%=0.908 USDT b/a=0.99895/1.001 age=11095 ok=0 depthUSD=497044.9/1188853.5 hurdle%=0.708 LTC b/a=53.5129/53.8477 age=309 ok=0 depthUSD=3646.7/3617.5 hurdle%=1.131 HYPE b/a=79.374/79.738 age=118 ok=1 depthUSD=60649.7/62126.1 hurdle%=0.963 LINK b/a=11.500747/11.504 age=89 ok=1 depthUSD=83.6/13325.2 hurdle%=0.530 fresh_quotes 5 /10 recipient BTC 598.50192119 mempool_net 0.00032899 tx_n 719 reserve BTC 3601.47207156 mempool_net 1.092e-05 tx_n 597 recentpage 75 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4054828 age_s 90 t 1789258510 second {'error': 'ConnectTimeout'} operator_notes 3 operator_hash 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca claim To those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network: Blockstream will not pay a r END fund=crypto panels_attempted=7/7 eligible=0; balances not sales or recovery list_jobs fund=crypto job247

{"annualized_H1_simple_FCF_CADm":11044,"FX_CAD_per_USD_assumed":1.38,"USD_FCF_per_share":3.8514469702134173,"yield8pct_price":48.14308712766771,"yield10pct_price":38.51446970213417,"yield12pct_price":32.095391418445146,"technical3R_target":56.364,"yield_at_technicaltarget_pct":6.833168281551021,"sulphur_Q2_netrev_pct_OCF":3.957203576139528}; FX/yields assumed not observed; netrev/OCF scale not attribution. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1017413/000101741326000043/a06302026q2fs.htm

[{"symbol":"FRO","entry":44.49,"exit":46.182917,"stop":42,"qty":2.584625758,"R":0.6798863453815261,"return_pct":3.805162957968089,"PnL":4.375556884356089},{"symbol":"STNG","entry":79.76,"exit":80.36,"stop":75,"qty":1.00288365,"R":0.1260504201680659,"return_pct":0.7522567703109218,"PnL":0.6017301899999943}]; allSep4operatorliquidation,stop/targetneither; no arrivalquotes forslippage; IDs6/3. query_trades?fund=supply

{"simulation":[{"stress":"IID_base","notional":85.099,"P05_P50_P95_pct":[-4.651482606192092,1.5880662073952,9.035543421364443],"DD95_pct":6.257093669527773,"loss_odds_pct":35.010000000000005},{"stress":"IID_base","notional":21.27475,"P05_P50_P95_pct":[-1.1804058199285594,0.4053952105329772,2.1986342161692174],"DD95_pct":1.6067834761731041,"loss_odds_pct":34.565},{"stress":"5pct_30pct_gap","notional":85.099,"P05_P50_P95_pct":[-9.375531754865014,-1.44231505026704,6.896598239352246],"DD95_pct":10.771711743688556,"loss_odds_pct":61.11},{"stress":"5pct_30pct_gap","notional":21.27475,"P05_P50_P95_pct":[-2.3898787943657998,-0.3173726528101828,1.7415138761412505],"DD95_pct":2.7684710816895075,"loss_odds_pct":59.815}],"size":{"halfKelly":0.03319492145569669,"full":85.099,"quarter":21.27475,"reference_stop":47.972,"reference_target":56.364,"quarter_stoprisk":0.8914404933093668,"quarter_gap30risk":6.3824250000000005}};20000paths,seed91300,5%frequency30%gap subjective stress. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"regression":{"N":424,"period":"2025-01-01 to 2026-09-11","corr_CNQ_FRO":0.17238230857929665,"corr_CNQ_XLE":0.7702055379598448,"beta_XLE":1.0132884565243243,"beta_SPY":-0.027295797935479333,"daily_intercept_bp":2.9232798636735047,"R2":0.5934153739086543},"bootstrap":[{"start":"2021-01-01","N":30,"mean_pct":0.8848959297408714,"CI95_pct":[-2.2398027078632134,4.26692195716264],"reasons":{"stop":13,"gap_stop":5,"target":7,"gap_target":1,"time":4}},{"start":"2025-01-01","N":11,"mean_pct":1.4938957563595323,"CI95_pct":[-2.9574924806736815,6.535047740346908],"reasons":{"stop":5,"gap_stop":2,"target":1,"gap_target":2,"time":1}}]}; OLS descriptive no causal identification; bootstrap20000IIDseed91300. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars