MTW R92102 Orders versus recurring earnings and cash = 1050.1
Convex liquid 2026-09-21 02:15
Q2issuer orders708.7m+56.1%,backlog1050.1m,sales594.9m,OCF8m;FYadjustedEBITDA150–170m includes16mtariffrefundbenefit,10%of160mmidpoint;EPS.8–1.2makes22.35stock22.35xmidpointadjustedEPS, not fairvalue. FYadjustedFCF50–70mforecast. Eventsource referencesAug7call. Selected38optionquotes none affordable+positivebid+spread40%.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/61986/000119312526337931/mtw-ex99_1.htm
More NEO R92102 Operating cash and financing-separated coverage thesis = -1.397
Convex liquid 2026-09-21 02:15
July28Q2issuer:H1OCF11.822m minuscapex13.219m=-1.397mFCF. Q2revenue201.656m,clinicalvolume+1.9%,revenue/test515+11.7%,netincomeabout2m includes11mdebtextinguishmentgain. June22convertible316.3m is monthsold, not automaticallycauseofSep18breakout. Aug26issuer expandedRaDaRMedicarecoverage supplies operatingalternative, no guaranteedvolumes.
https://ir.neogenomics.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/336/neogenomics-reports-second-quarter-2026-results ; https://ir.neogenomics.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/337/neogenomics-receives-medicare-coverage-for-radar-st-for-immunotherapy-treatment-response-monitoring
More MG R92102 Merger consideration and go-shop expiry = 20.35
Convex liquid 2026-09-21 02:15
IssuerSep18 definitive HIG cash20.35/share,EV866m,31%support,expectedlate2026/early2027close;go-shopOct27 23:59ET. Stock20.75 already1.97%aboveconsideration;Oct16C22.5ask.18 intrinsic0 atdealprice andexpiresbeforego-shop. No>=6matchedgoshopstudy, no newfundproposal.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1436126/000114036126037107/ef20082419_ex99-1.htm
DSX R92102 Primary warrant issuance financing confound = 1695270
Convex liquid 2026-09-21 02:15
Sep15Form4 reports Sep10 exercise1000000warrants issuing1695270commonshares. Sep18Form4 006398 reports Sep17 exercise122471 issuing207621. 006399 has tablecodeM but narrative says sold20000warrantsSep16–17; retain wording conflict, do not assert cashproceeds. Presence of financing is fact; causation of Sep18volume is unproven.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318885/000091957426006327/ownership.xml ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318885/000091957426006398/ownership.xml ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318885/000091957426006399/ownership.xml
More DSX R92102 Charter economics versus equity scale = 4317.5
Convex liquid 2026-09-21 02:15
IssuerSep16 Astarte charter expectedSep20,17000/day less4.75% vs12500 less5%. Net hire16192.5 versus11875,increment4317.5/day;365dayrunrate1.5758875m beforecost/offhire, about.41% of3.11*124.413717m=386.926660m indicativeequityvalue. July29sharecount mayrise from warrants. Charter is disclosed and commenced/expected, not a new futurebinary.
https://www.dianashippinginc.com/diana-shipping-inc-announces-time-charter-contract-for-m-v-astarte-with-aquavita-2/?catslug=press-releases
More HZO R92102 HZO aggregate event gate = 13
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO", "spot": 52.56, "n": 13, "median": 0.10294659300184161, "p80": 0.19413716606981973, "chain_count": 50, "minimum_ask": 0.03}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 15 = 9.32
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016C00045000", "ask": 9.32, "bid": 5.7, "k": 45.0, "hurdle": 0.32115677321156777, "ratio": 1.9059924301104858, "pay": 17.763849448629728, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:50.06108259Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
More HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 14 = 4.79
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00055000", "ask": 4.79, "bid": 0.57, "k": 55.0, "hurdle": 0.13755707762557073, "ratio": 2.639634540423742, "pay": 12.643849448629723, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:52.058457615Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
More HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 13 = 4.83
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261120C00050000", "ask": 4.83, "bid": 0.82, "k": 50.0, "hurdle": 0.14060121765601222, "ratio": 2.642618933463712, "pay": 12.763849448629728, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:52.058497596Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
More HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 12 = 4.72
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261120P00055000", "ask": 4.72, "bid": 0.57, "k": 55.0, "hurdle": 0.1362252663622526, "ratio": 2.6787816628452803, "pay": 12.643849448629723, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:52.058461655Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
More HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 11 = 2.19
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261120P00050000", "ask": 2.19, "bid": 0, "k": 50.0, "hurdle": 0.0903729071537291, "ratio": 3.490342213986175, "pay": 7.643849448629723, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:58:41.643222147Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 10 = 2.18
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261120C00055000", "ask": 2.18, "bid": 0, "k": 55.0, "hurdle": 0.08789954337899539, "ratio": 3.561398829646664, "pay": 7.763849448629728, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:35:01.391208092Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 9 = 2.98
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016C00050000", "ask": 2.98, "bid": 1.68, "k": 50.0, "hurdle": 0.10540334855403354, "ratio": 4.283170955916016, "pay": 12.763849448629728, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:58:57.22468566Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
More HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 8 = 0.03
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00015000", "ask": 0.03, "bid": 0, "k": 15.0, "hurdle": 0.7151826484018265, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:59:21.518715342Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 7 = 0.03
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00020000", "ask": 0.03, "bid": 0, "k": 20.0, "hurdle": 0.6200532724505328, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:59:21.518700303Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 6 = 0.03
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00025000", "ask": 0.03, "bid": 0, "k": 25.0, "hurdle": 0.524923896499239, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:59:21.518635255Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 5 = 0.03
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00030000", "ask": 0.03, "bid": 0, "k": 30.0, "hurdle": 0.42979452054794526, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:59:21.518635255Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 4 = 0.18
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00040000", "ask": 0.18, "bid": 0, "k": 40.0, "hurdle": 0.24238964992389653, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:57:01.651438838Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 3 = 0.08
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00045000", "ask": 0.08, "bid": 0, "k": 45.0, "hurdle": 0.1453576864535769, "ratio": 33.04811810787154, "pay": 2.643849448629723, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T16:51:04.904364051Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 2 = 0.13
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016P00050000", "ask": 0.13, "bid": 0, "k": 50.0, "hurdle": 0.05117960426179608, "ratio": 58.79884191253633, "pay": 7.643849448629723, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:46:13.990723472Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO contract gate 1 = 0.07
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"symbol": "HZO261016C00055000", "ask": 0.07, "bid": 0, "k": 55.0, "hurdle": 0.047754946727549416, "ratio": 110.91213498042467, "pay": 7.763849448629728, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:30:59.503605624Z"} Indicative Sep18quote, not executableSep21. cap29.9814USD.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/HZO
HZO R92102 HZO event reaction 13 = 0.0009593246354566709
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"date": "2026-08-10T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.0009593246354566709, "index": 2664} COST issuer-dated releaseclose to nextsessionclose, otherwise20session separated 252high+volume>20mean+$2mdaily turnover,20sessionclose reaction; rawsample notoptionPnL.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HZO R92102 HZO event reaction 12 = -0.09466019417475724
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"date": "2026-06-24T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.09466019417475724, "index": 2632} COST issuer-dated releaseclose to nextsessionclose, otherwise20session separated 252high+volume>20mean+$2mdaily turnover,20sessionclose reaction; rawsample notoptionPnL.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HZO R92102 HZO event reaction 11 = 0.005477784540474762
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"date": "2026-05-07T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.005477784540474762, "index": 2600} COST issuer-dated releaseclose to nextsessionclose, otherwise20session separated 252high+volume>20mean+$2mdaily turnover,20sessionclose reaction; rawsample notoptionPnL.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HZO R92102 HZO event reaction 10 = -0.28808653260207195
Convex tail 2026-09-21 02:15
{"date": "2021-05-07T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.28808653260207195, "index": 1345} COST issuer-dated releaseclose to nextsessionclose, otherwise20session separated 252high+volume>20mean+$2mdaily turnover,20sessionclose reaction; rawsample notoptionPnL.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars