CAST FreeCast listing and no-contract rejection = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
IssuerSeptember10newssocialpresence, originaloverviewreferencesMarch10,2026Nasdaq debut. Noverifiedfutureearningsdatefromretrievedoriginals. Sep11S1.41,+8.461538%; option_contractsOct1–16returns0legs,no nextpage,N0matchedstudy. Reject.
https://freecast.com/company/press-releases ; https://freecast.com/company/industry-research/a-new-era-for-freecast-as-a-public-company
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L20 slip0.001 holdout = 0.5696047355528577
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":20,"slip":0.001,"period":"holdout","return_pct":0.5696047355528577,"drawdown_pct":27.16171050546946,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":3,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-6.545768227169492,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-6.545768227169492,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-5.54741889978663,-5.713537900471753,-8.376347881250096]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
JVA JVA event already occurred before observed move = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
IssuerSep11 09ET originalreportsquarterJuly31; discoverySep22notadopted. Sep11stock3.855,+12.390671%; Oct1–16catalog0legs,no nextpage. N0newprospectiveoptionstudy; rejectpastreleaseasfutureevent.
https://rss.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/11/3360341/0/en/coffee-holding-company-reports-third-quarter-results.html
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L20 slip0.001 train = 194.41259390769062
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":20,"slip":0.001,"period":"train","return_pct":194.41259390769062,"drawdown_pct":49.8680936371577,"win_rate_pct":33.33333333333333,"n":6,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":50.775608409984166,"avgwin_pct":178.94051406741514,"avgloss_pct":-13.306844418731325,"halfKelly":1.0662066340421492,"returns_pct":[-1.021113084482787,-12.672653340229683,335.7351494342675,-25.507701516020877,-14.025909734191957,22.145878700562765]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L15 slip0.003 holdout = 3.152488584249525
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":15,"slip":0.003,"period":"holdout","return_pct":3.152488584249525,"drawdown_pct":27.886755175301982,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":3,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-5.657801723049932,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-5.657801723049932,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-2.139360004311607,-6.090932597924716,-8.743112566913473]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
PMI PMI calendar candidate already reported and lacks October contracts = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Aug19issuer 'Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results',17:30ET,quarterJune30. RetrievedSep13; Sep14discoverydateunsupported. Oct1–16option_contractsreturns0legs, no nextpage. Sep11stock5.33,+20.861678%; nofuturedatedFDAdecisionobtained,N0samekindoptionstudy; reject.
https://picardmedical.com/press_releases/picard-medical-reports-second-quarter-2026-financial-results/
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L15 slip0.003 train = 173.36013121152683
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":15,"slip":0.003,"period":"train","return_pct":173.36013121152683,"drawdown_pct":50.36711512364731,"win_rate_pct":25,"n":8,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":39.63770627759654,"avgwin_pct":191.28609293236607,"avgloss_pct":-10.911755940659962,"halfKelly":0.9495120466543039,"returns_pct":[-1.4172400728148156,-4.14241677549891,-10.54843037767063,360.91491743053535,-25.806077359662726,-14.370121211201276,21.657268434196787,-9.186249847111409]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
MANU Foreign issuer discovery: future earnings date remains unverified = 26.6832918
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
IssuerhomepageSep9announcesQ4FY26report-datearticle; linkedInvestisoriginalblocked403. SecondarySep16dateNOTadopted. S20.05Sep11,Oct16C25 .35Sep8 needs26.683292%riseincl.05; nearC21.89/P19.55oversizeabsolute. N0verifiedfuturedate/matchedstudy, no3xpayoffmodel. Rejectpendingprimarydateandfreshnearercontract.
https://ir.manutd.com/ ; option_contracts MANU ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L15 slip0.001 holdout = 4.606367626738589
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":15,"slip":0.001,"period":"holdout","return_pct":4.606367626738589,"drawdown_pct":27.161710505469472,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":3,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-5.278671024888058,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-5.278671024888058,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-1.7461272929423282,-5.713537900471743,-8.376347881250105]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
CBRL CBRL future date but cheap October puts require large declines = 29.7291835
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Sep9issuer quote 'before the market opens on Wednesday, September 23, 2026';08:15ETcall. S49.48Sep11,Oct16P35.18 needs29.729184%fall incl.05; P37.5 .50Sep10needs25.323363% but50>42.5495convictionrisk. C80 .05Sep10needs61.883589%rise. NoOct2cataloglegs;34Oct16legs. N0auditedsamekindhistorythisrun => unknowncoverage,notzerowinrate; retainresearchrejection,defaultSep22RTHexitforanyfuturequalifiedposition.
https://investor.cbrl.com/news-releases/news-release-details/cracker-barrel-fiscal-2026-fourth-quarter-conference-call ; option_contracts CBRL ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XRP/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH daily L15 slip0.001 train = 182.24915986717156
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"XRP","tf":"daily","lookback":15,"slip":0.001,"period":"train","return_pct":182.24915986717156,"drawdown_pct":49.86809363715764,"win_rate_pct":25,"n":8,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":40.19838264373397,"avgwin_pct":192.45458029053964,"avgloss_pct":-10.55368323853458,"halfKelly":0.98956944650256,"returns_pct":[-1.021113084482787,-3.7572123719148633,-10.188901456486526,362.7632818805165,-25.507701516020887,-14.025909734191956,22.14587870056278,-8.821261268110463]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
RFIL RFIL primary date, nearest affordable strikes and missed pre-event window = 30.2325581
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Aug31issuer original release quoted 'before market open on Monday, September 14, 2026';08:30Easterncall. Website incorrectlylabelsstandardtimezonePST/EST; originaltimezoneplainEasternpreferred. S10.32Sep11;Oct16P7.5 .25Sep11needs30.232558%fall incl.05cost;C15 .25needs48.255814%rise;nearC10$120/P10$85both>51.0594absolute. N0newmatchedstudy,not0%coverage. DefaultpriorRTHexitSep11alreadygone; noMondaypre-eventoptionentrypossible. Reject.
https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/rf-industries-report-third-quarter-results-september-14-2026-08-31 ; https://rfindustries.com/investor-overview/webcast/ ; option_contracts RFIL
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L30 slip0.003 holdout = 2.5555674725133315
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":30,"slip":0.003,"period":"holdout","return_pct":2.5555674725133315,"drawdown_pct":12.675286832999443,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":1,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-7.29987329717917,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-7.29987329717917,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-7.29987329717917]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L30 slip0.003 train = -0.551368698794434
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":30,"slip":0.003,"period":"train","return_pct":-0.551368698794434,"drawdown_pct":48.02065785595045,"win_rate_pct":44.44444444444444,"n":9,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":1.2711299244610275,"avgwin_pct":18.059382771312283,"avgloss_pct":-12.159472353019977,"halfKelly":0.28942918022948105,"returns_pct":[20.33873234241705,-12.19852543791343,-6.034989481594772,-10.620227450004897,29.52270541472486,-18.03803247914839,0.9551884103785759,21.420904917728645,-13.905586916438395]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
ACVA Announced cash acquisition leaves narrow unannualized spread = 0.8645533
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Sep10signedmergeragreementwithCopart. Issuer8K offer10.50cash, commencewithin5businessdaysifpracticable/nolater7; notclosingdeadline. Sep11close10.41 versusSep10 7.22 raw+44.182825%; residual.09/10.41=.864553%,conditionaldealcompletion. N0matchedregulatorydecisionstudy/nooptionvaluation; rejectpastannouncementjumpasfutureconvexedge. Noannualizedreturnwithoutclosingdate; noFUNDproposalfromunbacktestedspread.
https://investors.acvauto.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0000950103-26-013780/dp253207_8k.htm ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L30 slip0.001 holdout = 3.172340565363413
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":30,"slip":0.001,"period":"holdout","return_pct":3.172340565363413,"drawdown_pct":12.675286832999399,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":1,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-6.927324067996176,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-6.927324067996176,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-6.927324067996176]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
GAUZ Gauzy reverse split changes extreme raw return = 13.2075472
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Sep8issuer original quote '1-for-20 reverse share split'; adjustedtradingFridaySep11. RawSep10 .3445/Sep11 7.8 gives2164.150943%; .3445*20=6.89 ->13.207547%economicreturn. Doesnotvalidatefutureevent, N0optioneventstudy. Normalizedreturnstillpositivebutnot22xwealth.
https://rss.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/08/3358174/0/en/gauzy-announces-reverse-share-split.html ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L30 slip0.001 train = 3.0940211466707694
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":30,"slip":0.001,"period":"train","return_pct":3.0940211466707694,"drawdown_pct":47.603153518959495,"win_rate_pct":44.44444444444444,"n":9,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":1.6780319752322204,"avgwin_pct":18.533572610911907,"avgloss_pct":-11.80640053331153,"halfKelly":0.3834366132139495,"returns_pct":[20.822057879102353,-11.845610144065851,-5.657370562560678,-10.260986293502803,30.042840573372192,-17.708522093496875,1.360824158689588,21.908567832483495,-13.55951357293144]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L20 slip0.003 holdout = 2.5805790007901095
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":20,"slip":0.003,"period":"holdout","return_pct":2.5805790007901095,"drawdown_pct":13.073805996623367,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":2,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-5.530624871451922,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-5.530624871451922,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-5.099700221222059,-5.961549521681785]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
GOSS False screen leader normalized for issuer-confirmed split = -5.8110955
Convex events2026-09-13 02:13
Sep11issuer quote '1-for-80 reverse stock split'; trading adjustedSep11 afterSep10 23:59ETeffectiveness. RawSep10 .1424/Sep11 10.73 appears+7435.11236%; normalize .1424*80=11.392 -> -5.8110955%. Rawdiscoverybarquerydidnotrequestadjustment. No prospectivePDUFA established,N0samekindstudy,nooptionpayofftest; rejectrawmomentumasconvexedge.
https://ir.gossamerbio.com/news-releases/news-release-details/gossamer-bio-announces-effectiveness-1-80-reverse-stock-split/ ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L20 slip0.003 train = 17.252994139385905
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":20,"slip":0.003,"period":"train","return_pct":17.252994139385905,"drawdown_pct":47.001719379516636,"win_rate_pct":40,"n":10,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":2.893259480079734,"avgwin_pct":21.733397417691464,"avgloss_pct":-9.666832478328084,"halfKelly":0.688566001102451,"returns_pct":[21.99282315664428,-6.930404248679759,-12.198525437913432,-6.034989481594772,-10.620227450004904,32.10929691929423,-9.705242454022262,4.927864138543865,27.90360545628347,-12.511605797753376]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L20 slip0.001 holdout = 3.611121001811796
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":20,"slip":0.001,"period":"holdout","return_pct":3.611121001811796,"drawdown_pct":12.675286832999399,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":2,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-5.150984444897679,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-5.150984444897679,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-4.718332636569224,-5.583636253226133]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L20 slip0.001 train = 22.038200759994183
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":20,"slip":0.001,"period":"train","return_pct":22.038200759994183,"drawdown_pct":45.931078405869904,"win_rate_pct":40,"n":10,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":3.3066630716596483,"avgwin_pct":22.22231281116101,"avgloss_pct":-9.303770088007925,"halfKelly":0.7996716935002337,"returns_pct":[22.482778335760294,-6.556374177175607,-11.845610144065864,-5.657370562560669,-10.260986293502791,32.639799209324,-9.342334011963233,5.349422482727085,28.417251216832657,-12.159945338779385]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L15 slip0.003 holdout = 3.26920358193874
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":15,"slip":0.003,"period":"holdout","return_pct":3.26920358193874,"drawdown_pct":13.073805996623333,"win_rate_pct":0,"n":2,"open_n":1,"mean_trade_pct":-5.21125025181823,"avgwin_pct":null,"avgloss_pct":-5.21125025181823,"halfKelly":null,"returns_pct":[-4.460950981954677,-5.961549521681783]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
LTC/USD C91302 Donchian HIGH hourly L15 slip0.003 train = -26.90208312260222
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:13
{"symbol":"LTC","tf":"hourly","lookback":15,"slip":0.003,"period":"train","return_pct":-26.90208312260222,"drawdown_pct":58.77129776283492,"win_rate_pct":28.57142857142857,"n":14,"open_n":0,"mean_trade_pct":-0.9012162786152143,"avgwin_pct":23.917583291164586,"avgloss_pct":-10.828736106527135,"halfKelly":-0.1739818589523474,"returns_pct":[25.775604023083147,-6.930404248679769,-12.198525437913435,-4.195363661233118,-6.23330964778625,32.892948605212716,-15.037322455619972,-9.705242454022258,-18.456084564090943,9.09817508007902,27.903605456283458,-5.220990963891047,-12.511605797753377,-17.79851183428117]} Entry priorHIGH L days,exitpriorLOW10days,next exactOPEN;25bptaker creditedcoinbuy equivalent .0025/.9975; nofillmissingindicatorbars, daily24hoursonly. 2024-25training/reset2026knownholdout. HYPE2026only=no training or valid OOS. No3R/15minmanagement; sensitivity notselected. Return includesopenmark; winrateclosedonly.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars ; https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees