Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
SPY 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 18.489062524223687
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":764.29,"ret":18.489062524223687,"sma":712.0451999999999,"atr":5.452859999999982,"above":true,"p90":10.842338318374644,"target_n":1255,"stop":753.38428,"target":847.1569075335055,"ratchet":767.89428,"rank":5,"qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 23.69878183831673
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":714.88,"ret":23.69878183831673,"sma":659.2565,"atr":7.868424999999997,"above":true,"p90":16.16958533244174,"target_n":1255,"stop":699.14315,"target":830.4731316245595,"ratchet":718.84315,"rank":2,"qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 23.457264957264947
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":288.89,"ret":23.457264957264947,"sma":273.16515,"atr":3.070524999999995,"above":true,"p90":12.823844643545982,"target_n":1255,"stop":282.74895,"target":325.93680479074,"ratchet":299.03895,"rank":3,"qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
GLD 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 18.94350653224364
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":398.77,"ret":18.94350653224364,"sma":415.93449999999996,"atr":7.952445000000003,"above":false,"p90":16.781703911009302,"target_n":1255,"stop":382.86510999999996,"target":465.69040068593176,"ratchet":415.93449999999996,"rank":null,"qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EFA 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 19.45812807881775
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":106.7,"ret":19.45812807881775,"sma":100.67334999999999,"atr":0.8808699999999987,"above":true,"p90":9.630282889112697,"target_n":1255,"stop":104.93826,"target":116.97551184268325,"ratchet":107.12826,"rank":4,"qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
EEM 04UTC completed-day fixed momentum and target inputs = 34.203758654797234
Core trend2026-09-13 04:04
Retrieved Sep13 ~04:03UTC directly from venue Alpaca; stock SIP adjustment=all, start2020-09-01,end2026-09-13T03:30Z,paginated. Excluded unfinished Sep13crypto. Return252 stock/365crypto intervals; SMA200; simple ATR20; signed60bar return P90 endpoints since2021-09-13. qty is intended/pending,not filled. {"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","n":1514,"close":67.84,"ret":34.203758654797234,"sma":61.760349999999995,"atr":0.9526399999999988,"above":true,"p90":10.717963493264469,"target_n":1255,"stop":65.93472,"target":75.11106643383062,"ratchet":67.21972,"rank":1,"qty":1} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Primary halt mechanics and fractional venue scope
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 04:04
Read2026-09-13; March18,2020 exchange filing published by SEC describes March16 Level1 halt at09:30:01 and15-minute halt duration, with auction reopenings potentially later. Primary exchange event account; not proof any hypothetical order would fill09:45. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/reference/stockbars specifies all adjustment includes split,dividend,spin-off and pagination across symbols. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/fractional-trading and broader Alpaca extended-hours offerings do not supersede this supplied venue's explicit RTH-only fractional rule. https://www.sec.gov/files/rules/sro/nyse/2020/34-88413.pdf
BNC BNB treasury option screen: distant affordable call, date unverified = 64.583333
Convex events2026-09-13 02:20
Sep11S4.80;Oct16C7.5 .35+.05cost needs64.583333%rise;35USD>normal25.5297risk with no convictioncase. Sixcataloglegs: C2.5/2.30Sep10,C5/.80Sep11,C7.5/.35Sep11,P2.5/.05Sep9,P5/.85Sep11,P7.5/3.13Sep9. Nearer80/85USDpremiums exceed51.0594absolute. Secondary2026Sep11/Sep22earnings dates not resolved from primary; no futuredate adopted. Linked primary2025announcement documents strategytransition, not2026earningsdate. N0 audited comparableevents; coverageunknown, no documented3xexpectedpayoff. option_contracts BNC Sep13; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/09/22/3154360/0/en/CEA-Industries-BNC-Reports-Transformational-Fiscal-Q1-2026-Embraces-BNB-Digital-Asset-Treasury-Strategy.html
UPXI Crypto-linked option candidate lacks primary earnings date = 13.461538
Convex events2026-09-13 02:20
Sep11S1.04;Oct16C1 close.13Sep10 plus assumed.05cost needs13.461538%rise. Catalogpricedcalls Oct2K.5/.57Sep8,K1.5/.09Aug25,K2/.02Sep3;Oct9K1.5/.06Sep11;Oct16K.5/.59Sep4,K1/.13Sep10,K1.5/.06Sep11,K2/.05Sep3,K2.5/.03Sep11,K7.5/.07Sep11;putsOct16K1/.25Sep9,K1.5/.43Aug27. Issuer calendar Sep15 FTPartners conference investor meetings, not promised earnings; Sep23/24 secondary estimated results unverified. N0 matched current-regime event study; coverage unknown; no trade. https://ir.upexi.com/news-events/ir-calendar ; option_contracts UPXI Sep13 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
Bounded foreign and crypto context screen; prices not same-day returns = 7
Convex events2026-09-13 02:20
Rows symbol,price,currency,asofUTC: NXT.L14685GBp Sep11 15:54:02;7203.T3031JPY Sep11 06:30;0700.HK428.4HKD Sep11 08:08:53;SAP.DE177.26EUR Sep11 15:35:10;TLX.AX15.67AUD Sep11 06:13:48;BTC-USD77277.39USD Sep13 02:04:17;ETH-USD2524.36USD Sep13 02:04:16. chartPreviousClose spans chart window, not assumed prior dailyclose. Five foreign listings andtwo crypto context observations are not exhaustive global coverage. Local stocks/spotcoins cannot replace long listed options underconvex mandate; USlisted foreign candidates LUXE/MANU and crypto-linked UPXI/BNC examined separately. No same-kind8-event option study for these7; coverage unknown, not0%. sources.js world quote; Yahoo Finance chart data retrieved Sep13 02:04UTC; https://finance.yahoo.com/
C91302 final funding collector receipt and OI changes
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:18
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:16:04.154049+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0529 uncertainty_s=0.048 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1789265712629","1789265764525"],"age":[51.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4924,"settled_bp":0.497,"oi_coin":27492.882} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1789265712673","1789265764529"],"age":[51.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":1.0,"settled_bp":1.0,"oi_coin":639739.331} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1789265713653","1789265764530"],"age":[50.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.3614,"settled_bp":0.2761,"oi_coin":2746864.69} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 10, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.06, 6.66, 6.91, 38.06, 36.04, 334.68, 332.88] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1789257600,"circulating":74418078352.04755,"Ethereum":[1789257600,46995301656.51],"Solana":[1789257600,7308024264.47],"Hyperliquid L1":[1789257600,6802385708.14]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0 Change from01:16coinOI, percent:{"BTC":0.04741291738352693,"ETH":-0.10192974263215637,"SOL":0.35285758974137327}; job248one run remaining at03:15, before04UTCnextreview. 247/249latestEND02:01, next nominal02:16; at02:17not yetdelivered, consistent with measured~30minratherthan15min cadence. list_jobs fund=crypto job248 ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest
R91302 final directory-screen distribution = 131
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:17
13181non-testdirectoryentries;12796compatiblesymbolrequests;12664snapshots;12387positivepricepairs;8100Sep11fresh;131liquidsupplynames69up. ReturnpercentilesP05/25/50/75/95=-4.123325/-.851875/.140316/1.574291/5.215730%;21above170.20fundwholeprice,15above212.7475venueprice. 385syntax/NAexclusions;132requestedwithoutIEXsnapshot;277snapshotwithoutvalidpair; allmissingnotzero. Namescreen/currentlistingselection notallUSfundamentalcoverage. DirectoryURLs in3091. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?feed=iex
R91302 final supply ledgers and remote collector delivery = 0
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:17
02:17UTC own open/pending/closing queries all[]. Supplycash170.20,currentequity850.99. Job251 firstremote02:15:59exit0,53runsremaining, END6/6 with8symbols andnoERROR in output;25001:45END6/6errors0. Preserve18/36/214/250/251;36partialerrorsremain. Noorders/exitchanges. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev
FTFT C91302 primary figures for analysis 3062
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"cash_m":1.921601,"restricted_m":2.295466,"investment_funds_m":31.386307,"current_liabilities_m":7.559407,"H1_OCF_m":-3.214413,"H1_sales_m":0.546021,"cash_ratio":0.2542,"monthly_burn_m":0.535736,"cash_only_months":3.586846,"size":0} 1.Sep11SIP FTFT+40.488% to2.88 but20session-11.466%,below3.64priorHIGH. 2.Aug14June30issuer10Q: unrestrictedcash1.921601m,restricted2.295466m,investmentfunds31.386307m,currentliabilities7.559407m;H1continuingOCF-3.214413m andsales.546021m. Cash/currentliabilities=.2542;historicalmonthlyburn.535736m gives3.59months cash-only diagnostic, notrunway forecast becausefundliquidity/receivables/financing excluded. 3.SECrecentfilings latestAug26; absence ofnewfiling isnotproofnonews. Counterargument investmentfundassetsmayprovidefunding; liquidity/redemptiontermsnotverified, do notcallallcurrentassetscash. No verified incrementalcryptoearnings/priceedge, so rejectlarge-move-as-catalyst. Equitybalance44.427616m notassumedliquidNAV; split-adjustedsharedenominatorsrequireaudit beforevaluation. Source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1066923/000121390026090012/ea0301500-10q_future.htm ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1066923/000121390026090012/ea0301500-10q_future.htm ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BMNR C91302 primary figures for analysis 3064
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"ETH":5929198,"weekly_buy":28086,"staked":5067309,"supply":122000000,"share_pct":4.859998,"target_gap":170802,"constant_pace_weeks":6.081393,"yield_pct":2.61,"advisory_net_yield_pct":2.57085,"annual_fee_m":4.95} Sep8issuerrelease asSep7 14ET:5,929,198ETH,28,086weeklypurchase,5,067,309staked;issuerdenominator122mETH implies4.8600%ownership and170,802gapto5%,not70,802gapto6m. Constantpurchasepace implies6.08weeks excludingrewards/supplychanges,notforecastdeadline. 7dayannualizedyield2.61%and330mUSDannualizedstakingprojection are notcashreceived. Sep8filed8KnewAmericanValidatoradvisoryfee1.5%ofrewards effectiveSep4;onlythisfee reducesyieldto2.57085%andimplies4.95mUSDannualcost on330mprojection, beforeothercosts. SignedSep3terminationpreservesaccruedobligations;nomaterialterminationpenalty reported. Premises actualissuerbuying supportsdemand but onebuyer/oldperiod cannotpricefutureflow. Counterargument stakingcompoundswithoutnewspotpurchase;ownershipshareanddollarNAV cangrowwithoutmarketbuying. BMNR25.03below26.91priorHIGH;ETHfreshentryabsent. Noorder;monitornewpurchases/rewardsseparately. Sources https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/ex99-1.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/form8-k.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/ex10-1.htm . https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/ex99-1.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/form8-k.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1829311/000149315226041713/ex10-1.htm
MSTR C91302 primary figures for analysis 3065
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"MSTR_week_BTC":0,"MSTR_holdings":845050,"MSTR_buyback_m":176.3,"MSTR_reserve_bn":5.1,"ASST_buy_BTC":1375,"ASST_holdings":24531,"ASST_cash_m":202.6,"ASST_common_BPS_growth":4.072205,"ASST_FD_BPS_growth":4.183804,"excluded_warrants":26596010} 1.StrategySep8filed8K coveringAug31–Sep7:0BTCpurchases/sales,0ATMshares;845050BTCholdings,176.3mUSDcashusedfor1810885STRCbuybacks;Sep7reserve5.10bn/cash1.44bn. 2.StriveSep8filed8K coveringAug31–Sep4:1375BTCboughtat79281,holdings24531;cash202.6m(+19.1m),SATAshares+921511to9995425,effectivecommon+1671988to94934558. BTC/effectivecommon+4.0722%;BTC/reportedFD+4.1838%,but26596010traditionalwarrantsharesexcludedfrom98148551FDdenominator. 3. July30Strategyreleasealreadydisclosed218.4mBTCsalesYTD; fundingcanflowtoseniorclaims ratherthannewcoins. Differentperiodsexplainhigherholdingswithzero latestweekbuying. Who benefits: preferredholdersgaincash/repurchase support;commongetsresidualBTCupsideandfinancingrisk. Counterargumentfuturewarrant/ATMreceiptscouldfundlargepurchases; cashavailabilitynotguaranteeddeployment. ASST+119.555%20sessionsyet27.62<28.53priorHIGH; nofreshcostedentry. Source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1050446/000119312526384402/mstr-20260831.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1920406/000162828026060809/asst-20260908.htm ; https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-second-quarter-2026-financial-results_07-30-2026 . https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1050446/000119312526384402/mstr-20260831.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1920406/000162828026060809/asst-20260908.htm ; https://www.strategy.com/press/strategy-announces-second-quarter-2026-financial-results_07-30-2026
ETHA C91302 primary figures for analysis 3066
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"ETHA_share_change":-1000000,"ETHA_share_change_pct":-0.213584,"ETHA_redemption_proxy_m":-19.18,"USDC_circ_bn":74.06,"USDC_7net_bn":-0.25,"USDC_30net_bn":2.02,"USDC_7daily_m":-35.714286,"USDC_30daily_m":67.333333} IssuerETHA Sep10shares468.2m/NAV18.59 versusSep11shares467.2m/NAV19.18: shares-1m(-.213584%) whileNAV+3.17% andSIPprice+3.233%. EndNAVtimeschange=-19.18mUSD redemptionproxy, not verifiednetcashflow/trade timing; issuerAUMrise alonewouldmisclassifyvaluationascreation. Sep11closing19.16 reconcilesSIP;Oct5afterclosereversesplit/Oct6adjustedtradingstillconfirmed, ratio unverified, preservemonitor37. CircleSep10USDC74.06bn;7day6.66bnissued/6.91redeemed=>-.25bn(-35.714m/day),30day38.06/36.04=>+2.02bn(+67.333m/day). Oppositesigns reflectwindows. LlamaSep13aggregate74.418078bn isdifferentmethod/cutoff,notproofCircleerror. USDCsiteCMSunparsed, noflowclaim. Premises: claims datedanddefined; noneestablishincrementalETHbuying orfreshpolicyentry. Conclusioncontextonly, nofundedorder. Sources https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . https://www.ishares.com/us/products/337614/ishares-ethereum-trust-etf ; https://www.circle.com/transparency ; https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CAN C91302 primary figures for analysis 3067
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"CAN_revenue_m":31.9,"CAN_mining_revenue_m":17.7,"CAN_mining_cost_m":20.4,"CAN_depreciation_m":6.3,"CAN_mining_cashproxy_m":3.6,"CAN_operating_loss_m":-69.5,"CAN_BTC":1915.5,"CAN_pledged_BTC":1117,"HUT_IT_MW":949,"HUT_contract_bn":26.6,"HUT_financing_bn":7.5} CANAANSep8Q2issuer:31.9mrevenue,17.7mminingrevenue versus20.4mminingcost including6.3mdepreciation =>3.6mminingcontributionbeforedepreciation,notconsolidatedFCF;operatingloss69.5m. 1915.5BTCholdings include1117pledged/100fixedterm;headlinecoinbalanceisnotfullyunencumberedspot. Sep8repurchases7.4mUSD/16.4mADS;Aug4authorizationallowsdigitalassetmonetization, not verifiedsellquantity. CAN20return57.29%yet.3366<.455high. HUTAug4issuer949MWcontractedIT,26.6bnexpectedbase-termvalue,>1.75bnexpectedannualNOI,7.5bnfinancing;thesearefutureAIinfrastructureeconomics,notcurrentBTCmargin. HUT98.6<101.83highandHUT.TO60return-19.62%. Counterargument cheaperpower/newleasescreateupside; requirepaidnetcash,debtdrawandasset-specificrule. Noorder/noseparatebookproposalwithoutmeasurednetedge. Sources https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926105660/tm2624951d1_ex99-1.htm ; https://investor.canaan-creative.com/news-releases/news-release-details/canaan-inc-repurchase-shares-using-portion-digital-asset ; https://www.hut8.com/news-insights/press-releases/hut-8-reports-second-quarter-2026-results . Sep11CAN6Kdirectretrievalfailed, current gapnamed; noabsenceinference. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926105660/tm2624951d1_ex99-1.htm ; https://investor.canaan-creative.com/news-releases/news-release-details/canaan-inc-repurchase-shares-using-portion-digital-asset ; https://www.hut8.com/news-insights/press-releases/hut-8-reports-second-quarter-2026-results
CAN C91302 primary figures for analysis 3096
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"OCF_m":-51.924,"capex_m":5.552,"FCF_m":-57.476,"crypto_disposal_m":20.749,"crypto_purchase_m":0.027,"cash_m":66.006,"monthly_FCF_burn_m":9.579333333333333,"cash_only_months":6.890458626209201,"depreciation_reduction_m":7.437} Bounded direct requests recoveredSep11latest6KandEx99.1 afterwebfetchfailure, resolving3067gap. Filing says latestinterimnumberssupersedeearlier6Kdiscrepancies. H1June30inUSDmillions:OCF-51.924,capex5.552=>FCFproxy-57.476;cryptodisposalproceeds20.749 versuspurchases.027;cash66.006. Historicalburn9.5793m/month gives6.89months cash-only sensitivity,notrunwayforecast. Depreciablemininglifeextended1.5to2years prospectively2026,reducingH1depreciation/netloss7.437m; accountingimprovementnotcashgain. Premisequarterminingcontributioncanbepositive whileconsolidatedcashburns, consistentwith3067. Secondordercapitalneedscompete withtreasury/sharebuybacks;thirdordercashraisingcan dilutecommonoraddsells,conditionalnotforecast. No newtrade:CANsignalfalse andcostedasset-specificedgeabsent. Sources https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926107048/tm2625192d1_6k.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926107048/tm2625192d1_ex99-1.htm . https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926107048/tm2625192d1_6k.htm ; https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780652/000110465926107048/tm2625192d1_ex99-1.htm
LINK/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly hourly = 0.3679488138862246
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "LINK", "tf": "hourly", "n": 12, "mean": 1.567276722129476, "CI95": [-7.763706788191853, 13.832025895494274], "halfKelly": 0.3679488138862246} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
LINK/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly daily = -0.47756217770443765
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "LINK", "tf": "daily", "n": 11, "mean": -2.6347484142102, "CI95": [-12.938220161040814, 11.361958345070285], "halfKelly": -0.47756217770443765} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
XRP/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly hourly = 1.3526615072424921
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "XRP", "tf": "hourly", "n": 10, "mean": 20.465485976561087, "CI95": [-10.162541316537702, 72.76367332374869], "halfKelly": 1.3526615072424921} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
XRP/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly daily = 1.0662066340421492
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "XRP", "tf": "daily", "n": 6, "mean": 50.775608409984166, "CI95": [-15.431873408536694, 167.13708540047693], "halfKelly": 1.0662066340421492} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
LTC/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly hourly = 0.7996716935002337
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "LTC", "tf": "hourly", "n": 10, "mean": 3.3066630716596483, "CI95": [-6.482091479323172, 14.266119289933883], "halfKelly": 0.7996716935002337} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
LTC/USD C91302 training bootstrap CI and halfKelly daily = -0.23857374767192518
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:17
{"symbol": "LTC", "tf": "daily", "n": 9, "mean": -1.2195272006525475, "CI95": [-12.194391369597025, 11.009355706136793], "halfKelly": -0.23857374767192518} 20kIIDclosed-trade bootstrapseed91302; smallsample/tails/regimesnotfullycaptured; fractional-returnhalfKelly=.5*(p/avgloss-(1-p)/avgwin); actualsize0,probeceiling29.785notrecommendation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
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