TRMD R92102 chronological vectorbt control = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
29USDnotional/999.38book,10bpfeesandstatedslip,2026test,pre2026train,nextopenentry. [{"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.4147120267549946, "drawdown_pct": 0.4905312867935496, "win_rate_pct": 50.0, "n": 8}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": -0.21039857843464668, "drawdown_pct": 0.6415799693741508, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 0.22696457266159242, "drawdown_pct": 0.4905882189750521, "win_rate_pct": 50.0, "n": 8}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -0.27933874623831983, "drawdown_pct": 0.6630711163751912, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 1.4323842035289114, "drawdown_pct": 0.9309545045297796, "win_rate_pct": 37.5, "n": 8}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.04021303445797942, "drawdown_pct": 0.6519125868321596, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 1.2405619859649435, "drawdown_pct": 0.9768486098467255, "win_rate_pct": 37.5, "n": 8}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -0.02973058324716574, "drawdown_pct": 0.6521517506618335, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TRMD R92102 preferred split-only event reactions = 11
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Split-only, fixed20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m;nooptionsPnL. [{"date": "2022-04-18T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.25828460038986356, "index": 1044}, {"date": "2022-05-25T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.04748603351955305, "index": 1071}, {"date": "2022-07-26T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.3247863247863245, "index": 1112}, {"date": "2022-09-14T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.09247787610619462, "index": 1147}, {"date": "2022-10-17T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.17686787674124083, "index": 1170}, {"date": "2023-02-14T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.013055641902393611, "index": 1252}, {"date": "2024-05-14T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.06802721088435382, "index": 1565}, {"date": "2024-07-22T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.032022188603126445, "index": 1611}, {"date": "2026-01-28T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.18956379942927026, "index": 1992}, {"date": "2026-02-26T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.06819739547635362, "index": 2012}, {"date": "2026-04-28T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.06725054738817637, "index": 2054}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TRMD R92102 preferred split-only sample and indicators = 11
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "TRMD", "n": 11, "median": 0.06819739547635362, "p80": 0.18956379942927026, "technical": {"close": 38.23, "SMA50": 31.416700000000002, "SMA200": 27.970475, "ATR20": 1.3284200000000004, "RSI14": 82.50289687137887}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
DSX R92102 binary endpoint sizing diagnostic = 2
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Fullpremiumloss; assumesallnon-targetoutcomesfull loss, ignorespartialprofits; distributionalKellysupersedes. [{"k": 3, "type": "P", "premium": 0.13, "hurdle": 0.07717041800643083, "P80pay": 0.5146525573357001, "ratio": 3.958865825659232, "signed_positive": 5, "signed_target_count": 2, "assumed_p": 0.25, "target": 0.39, "halfKelly_full_loss": 0.0, "sim_mean": 2.5046974919398926, "sim_loss_pct": 50.178999999999995, "sim_target_pct": 24.912}, {"k": 3, "type": "C", "premium": 0.28, "hurdle": 0.12540192926045013, "P80pay": 0.7346525573356999, "ratio": 2.623759133341785, "signed_positive": 3, "signed_target_count": 0, "assumed_p": 0.0, "target": 0.8400000000000001, "halfKelly_full_loss": 0.0, "sim_mean": -10.07780924430179, "sim_loss_pct": 62.443000000000005, "sim_target_pct": 0.0}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
DSX R92102 chronological vectorbt control = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
29USDnotional/999.38book,10bpfeesandstatedslip,2026test,pre2026train,nextopenentry. [{"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": -1.459752761870204, "drawdown_pct": 1.7396371180551262, "win_rate_pct": 0.0, "n": 5}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": -0.07420035754320282, "drawdown_pct": 0.43731304147940353, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -1.570212246890424, "drawdown_pct": 1.8280837057431665, "win_rate_pct": 0.0, "n": 5}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -0.14368586356866514, "drawdown_pct": 0.4707981653075177, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": -1.3076063988160027, "drawdown_pct": 1.616553488945116, "win_rate_pct": 40.0, "n": 5}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": -0.3319085615886717, "drawdown_pct": 0.792241089693213, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -1.4186750784830875, "drawdown_pct": 1.705478670620586, "win_rate_pct": 40.0, "n": 5}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": -0.40036220293327107, "drawdown_pct": 0.8489116046917267, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
DSX R92102 preferred split-only event reactions = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Split-only, fixed20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m;nooptionsPnL. [{"date": "2017-04-06T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.27083333333333337, "index": 317}, {"date": "2021-02-09T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.06666666666666665, "index": 1284}, {"date": "2021-05-03T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.19493670886075942, "index": 1341}, {"date": "2021-06-11T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.20479704797047982, "index": 1369}, {"date": "2021-09-13T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.0661016949152543, "index": 1433}, {"date": "2026-01-15T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.1435406698564594, "index": 2523}, {"date": "2026-02-20T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.10465116279069764, "index": 2547}, {"date": "2026-05-05T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.13602941176470595, "index": 2598}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
DSX R92102 preferred split-only sample and indicators = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "DSX", "n": 8, "median": 0.13978504081058268, "p80": 0.20085291232659166, "technical": {"close": 3.11, "SMA50": 2.5551999999999997, "SMA200": 2.3545999999999996, "ATR20": 0.1042649999999999, "RSI14": 73.23943661971835}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
MG R92102 binary endpoint sizing diagnostic = 3
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Fullpremiumloss; assumesallnon-targetoutcomesfull loss, ignorespartialprofits; distributionalKellysupersedes. [{"k": 20, "type": "P", "premium": 0.12, "hurdle": 0.041927710843373496, "P80pay": 1.702272727272728, "ratio": 14.185606060606068, "signed_positive": 1, "signed_target_count": 1, "assumed_p": 0.16666666666666666, "target": 0.36, "halfKelly_full_loss": 0.0, "sim_mean": -7.961719999999998, "sim_loss_pct": 83.22699999999999, "sim_target_pct": 16.773}, {"k": 22.5, "type": "C", "premium": 0.18, "hurdle": 0.09301204819277108, "P80pay": 0.702272727272728, "ratio": 3.901515151515156, "signed_positive": 2, "signed_target_count": 2, "assumed_p": 0.3333333333333333, "target": 0.54, "halfKelly_full_loss": 0.0, "sim_mean": -1.9531999999999983, "sim_loss_pct": 66.58, "sim_target_pct": 33.42}, {"k": 20, "type": "P", "premium": 0.27, "hurdle": 0.0491566265060241, "P80pay": 1.702272727272728, "ratio": 6.304713804713807, "signed_positive": 1, "signed_target_count": 1, "assumed_p": 0.16666666666666666, "target": 0.81, "halfKelly_full_loss": 0.0, "sim_mean": -15.413870000000005, "sim_loss_pct": 83.22699999999999, "sim_target_pct": 16.773}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
MG R92102 chronological vectorbt control = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
29USDnotional/999.38book,10bpfeesandstatedslip,2026test,pre2026train,nextopenentry. [{"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.09557745595240848, "drawdown_pct": 0.4630824909786613, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.2866124837019349, "drawdown_pct": 0.3124332135346908, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 0.025412158881919437, "drawdown_pct": 0.5124305626877268, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 10, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 0.2156822816154323, "drawdown_pct": 0.3573330417536602, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.1512935434228559, "drawdown_pct": 0.5538572218114379, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.001, "return_pct": 0.4958883340012773, "drawdown_pct": 0.30820857900222265, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}, {"era": "train", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 0.08090515891504729, "drawdown_pct": 0.5961049291936638, "win_rate_pct": 33.33333333333333, "n": 3}, {"era": "test", "horizon": 20, "slippage": 0.005, "return_pct": 0.4241201905722352, "drawdown_pct": 0.3083187210051408, "win_rate_pct": 66.66666666666666, "n": 3}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
MG R92102 preferred split-only event reactions = 6
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Split-only, fixed20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m;nooptionsPnL. [{"date": "2021-03-05T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.21604938271604923, "index": 1301}, {"date": "2024-08-20T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.11818181818181817, "index": 2171}, {"date": "2025-11-05T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.0016963528413911355, "index": 2475}, {"date": "2026-01-05T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.0780669144981414, "index": 2515}, {"date": "2026-02-26T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.025789813023855634, "index": 2551}, {"date": "2026-04-09T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.11216617210682478, "index": 2580}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
MG R92102 preferred split-only sample and indicators = 6
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "MG", "n": 6, "median": 0.09511654330248309, "p80": 0.11818181818181817, "technical": {"close": 20.75, "SMA50": 17.593400000000003, "SMA200": 16.124950000000002, "ATR20": 0.76122, "RSI14": 69.68641114982577}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
ETS R92102 expanded preliminary sample summary = 0
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "ETS", "spot": 2.6, "n": 0, "median": 0, "p80": 0, "chain_count": 0, "minimum_ask": null}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TWST R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 1
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "TWST261016C00150000", "ask": 25.83, "bid": 22.29, "k": 150.0, "hurdle": 0.2564225402718726, "ratio": 2.0920461645703217, "pay": 54.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:54.133782575Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TWST
TWST R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 7
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "TWST261016C00180000", "ask": 10.52, "bid": 9.37, "k": 180.0, "hurdle": 0.14090664111623444, "ratio": 2.284938443997282, "pay": 24.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:54.411331058Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016C00165000", "ask": 17.26, "bid": 13.98, "k": 165.0, "hurdle": 0.11527636385412306, "ratio": 2.2617353667932445, "pay": 39.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.386337972Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016C00175000", "ask": 12.87, "bid": 10.03, "k": 175.0, "hurdle": 0.12503742739086166, "ratio": 2.2562200800972345, "pay": 29.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:58.38487906Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00170000", "ask": 17.81, "bid": 15.05, "k": 170.0, "hurdle": 0.12467812443858907, "ratio": 2.2491607204296122, "pay": 40.05755243085139, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:56.712339891Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016C00160000", "ask": 19.59, "bid": 16.68, "k": 160.0, "hurdle": 0.15917120785675792, "ratio": 2.247960818318091, "pay": 44.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:55.362787113Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016C00155000", "ask": 21.84, "bid": 19.39, "k": 155.0, "hurdle": 0.2025869812563627, "ratio": 2.245309177236786, "pay": 49.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:56.810344128Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00145000", "ask": 6.72, "bid": 4.43, "k": 145.0, "hurdle": 0.17192646266243491, "ratio": 2.240707206971933, "pay": 15.057552430851388, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:58.38496919Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TWST
TWST R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 7
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "TWST261016P00085000", "ask": 0.18, "bid": 0, "k": 85.0, "hurdle": 0.4920653931373137, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T17:18:32.078089687Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00022500", "ask": 0.27, "bid": 0, "k": 22.5, "hurdle": 0.8668782561830051, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:30:31.283114391Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00155000", "ask": 10.16, "bid": 8.35, "k": 155.0, "hurdle": 0.13264267321396495, "ratio": 2.466294530595609, "pay": 25.057552430851388, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:24.82086151Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00160000", "ask": 12.56, "bid": 10.77, "k": 160.0, "hurdle": 0.11707287861548601, "ratio": 2.3931172317556837, "pay": 30.057552430851388, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:55.381206254Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00165000", "ask": 15.13, "bid": 12.23, "k": 165.0, "hurdle": 0.10252110904844608, "ratio": 2.317088726427719, "pay": 35.05755243085139, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:56.660205942Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016P00150000", "ask": 8.73, "bid": 5.25, "k": 150.0, "hurdle": 0.15402119887418414, "ratio": 2.2975432337745003, "pay": 20.057552430851388, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:56.751403258Z"}, {"symbol": "TWST261016C00170000", "ask": 14.84, "bid": 12.06, "k": 170.0, "hurdle": 0.10689262830109582, "ratio": 2.2936356085479384, "pay": 34.037552430851406, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:58.38487906Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/TWST
TWST R92102 preliminary alladjusted events = 15
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
2016-Sep18 2026; adjustedall,20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m. SupersededMG/DSXby split-only. [{"date": "2020-05-06T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.00967221923696937, "index": 379}, {"date": "2020-07-08T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.21747893001099317, "index": 422}, {"date": "2020-09-29T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.05812920421373269, "index": 480}, {"date": "2020-11-12T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.3363207547169811, "index": 512}, {"date": "2020-12-22T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.13550539043421295, "index": 539}, {"date": "2023-12-14T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.0042710706150344, "index": 1288}, {"date": "2024-02-12T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.1430682098005418, "index": 1327}, {"date": "2024-05-06T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.05171255876427128, "index": 1385}, {"date": "2024-06-05T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.08252886617452204, "index": 1406}, {"date": "2024-07-15T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.2393588601959038, "index": 1432}, {"date": "2026-02-17T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.10590015128593044, "index": 1831}, {"date": "2026-04-21T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.20939147101102062, "index": 1875}, {"date": "2026-05-28T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.4463276836158192, "index": 1901}, {"date": "2026-06-26T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.13321314102564097, "index": 1921}, {"date": "2026-08-05T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.13903138857490638, "index": 1948}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TWST R92102 expanded preliminary sample summary = 15
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "TWST", "spot": 166.99, "n": 15, "median": 0.13550539043421295, "p80": 0.2218549160479753, "chain_count": 156, "minimum_ask": 0.18}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SMTC R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 1
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "SMTC261016C00195000", "ask": 14.46, "bid": 11.34, "k": 195.0, "hurdle": 0.1322162162162162, "ratio": 2.09739586399583, "pay": 30.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.535647221Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SMTC
SMTC R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 7
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "SMTC261016P00160000", "ask": 6.77, "bid": 5.02, "k": 160.0, "hurdle": 0.17172972972972972, "ratio": 2.264157192522852, "pay": 15.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.53474234Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016C00180000", "ask": 20.4, "bid": 18.12, "k": 180.0, "hurdle": 0.13729729729729728, "ratio": 2.221977656538221, "pay": 45.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.534532784Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016C00185000", "ask": 18.19, "bid": 15.5, "k": 185.0, "hurdle": 0.09832432432432434, "ratio": 2.2170612530720013, "pay": 40.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.534442875Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016C00190000", "ask": 16.4, "bid": 13.79, "k": 190.0, "hurdle": 0.11567567567567567, "ratio": 2.1541673288646166, "pay": 35.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.535583819Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00185000", "ask": 19.06, "bid": 15.27, "k": 185.0, "hurdle": 0.10302702702702703, "ratio": 2.1158627593588513, "pay": 40.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:58.651249183Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016C00200000", "ask": 12.05, "bid": 10.38, "k": 200.0, "hurdle": 0.14621621621621622, "ratio": 2.1019372774588967, "pay": 25.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.535343582Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016C00175000", "ask": 23.95, "bid": 20.36, "k": 175.0, "hurdle": 0.18351351351351353, "ratio": 2.101392241894769, "pay": 50.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.534532784Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SMTC
SMTC R92102 expanded quoted contract screen = 7
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
Sep18indicative notexecutable;Oct16-Nov20range. [{"symbol": "SMTC261016P00095000", "ask": 0.17, "bid": 0, "k": 95.0, "hurdle": 0.4874054054054054, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:46:59.401048838Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00055000", "ask": 0.23, "bid": 0, "k": 55.0, "hurdle": 0.7039459459459458, "ratio": 0.0, "pay": 0, "affordable": true, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T13:42:10.995508925Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00180000", "ask": 13.86, "bid": 13.78, "k": 180.0, "hurdle": 0.10194594594594594, "ratio": 2.5489425824949286, "pay": 35.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.946018251Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00175000", "ask": 12.45, "bid": 10.26, "k": 175.0, "hurdle": 0.12135135135135135, "ratio": 2.4360115817975667, "pay": 30.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.534606534Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00170000", "ask": 10.53, "bid": 8.119, "k": 170.0, "hurdle": 0.138, "ratio": 2.4053508255821185, "pay": 25.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.53474234Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00165000", "ask": 8.73, "bid": 6.29, "k": 165.0, "hurdle": 0.1552972972972973, "ratio": 2.328561763273735, "pay": 20.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.534766898Z"}, {"symbol": "SMTC261016P00190000", "ask": 19.78, "bid": 18.15, "k": 190.0, "hurdle": 0.13394594594594594, "ratio": 2.2916250856107028, "pay": 45.328344193379706, "affordable": false, "quoteTime": "2026-09-18T19:59:59.535363486Z"}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SMTC
SMTC R92102 preliminary alladjusted events = 15
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
2016-Sep18 2026; adjustedall,20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m. SupersededMG/DSXby split-only. [{"date": "2017-05-31T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.05104712041884829, "index": 354}, {"date": "2017-07-19T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.03084832904884305, "index": 388}, {"date": "2018-04-10T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.014018691588784882, "index": 570}, {"date": "2018-05-25T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.07641196013289053, "index": 603}, {"date": "2018-08-30T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.021987686895338587, "index": 670}, {"date": "2020-08-10T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.09014224280516048, "index": 1158}, {"date": "2020-11-09T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.10575738916256161, "index": 1222}, {"date": "2021-01-21T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.026754225951599153, "index": 1271}, {"date": "2021-10-28T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.012335428774759682, "index": 1466}, {"date": "2024-04-03T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.19567979669631508, "index": 2075}, {"date": "2024-11-07T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.3072360616844605, "index": 2227}, {"date": "2025-01-15T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.49344917942352784, "index": 2272}, {"date": "2026-02-02T05:00:00Z", "move": 0.027461257976298947, "index": 2534}, {"date": "2026-04-16T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.3779773525966419, "index": 2585}, {"date": "2026-05-22T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.041459369817578695, "index": 2611}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SMTC R92102 expanded preliminary sample summary = 15
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "SMTC", "spot": 185.0, "n": 15, "median": 0.05104712041884829, "p80": 0.21799104969394428, "chain_count": 144, "minimum_ask": 0.17}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
VNCE R92102 preliminary alladjusted events = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
2016-Sep18 2026; adjustedall,20sessionreaction/spacing,252high+volume>20mean+$2m. SupersededMG/DSXby split-only. [{"date": "2018-06-14T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.35467625899280564, "index": 616}, {"date": "2018-07-17T04:00:00Z", "move": 0.13504356243949656, "index": 638}, {"date": "2018-08-14T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.22601279317697232, "index": 658}, {"date": "2019-10-21T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.07878521126760563, "index": 956}, {"date": "2019-12-12T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.3767068273092369, "index": 993}, {"date": "2024-12-20T05:00:00Z", "move": -0.1908713692946059, "index": 2257}, {"date": "2026-04-24T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.12291666666666667, "index": 2591}, {"date": "2026-06-16T04:00:00Z", "move": -0.08201438848920872, "index": 2627}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
VNCE R92102 expanded preliminary sample summary = 8
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "VNCE", "spot": 10.7, "n": 8, "median": 0.16295746586705123, "p80": 0.3032108726664724, "chain_count": 0, "minimum_ask": null}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TJGC R92102 expanded preliminary sample summary = 0
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:18
{"symbol": "TJGC", "spot": 16.84, "n": 0, "median": 0, "p80": 0, "chain_count": 0, "minimum_ask": null}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars