TEN R91306 open_all15 train = -5.86672557518143
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":-5.86672557518143,"drawdown":66.46981123047043,"win_rate":41.37931034482759,"sample":29,"mean_pct":0.6564780043839195,"median_pct":-6.713998098143503,"targets":5,"stops":21,"partials":11,"missing_checks":149,"affected_trades":20,"avg_days":15.620689655172415}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0015 = 57.28802654527825
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":57.28802654527825,"closed_N":9,"open_mark_pct":20.618200031602196,"mark_price":47.93,"mark_time":"2026-09-11 19:55:00+00:00","open_entry":"2026-07-24 13:30:00+00:00","stop":36.69136,"target":48.365919999999996,"open_partial":false,"full_period_sampled_drawdown":18.995177134767115,"unliquidated_mark_return":57.54006702150254}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_liquidation_mark_0.0005 = 60.4654589284134
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":60.4654589284134,"closed_N":9,"open_mark_pct":20.859678090833157,"mark_price":47.93,"mark_time":"2026-09-11 19:55:00+00:00","open_entry":"2026-07-24 13:30:00+00:00","stop":36.69136,"target":48.365919999999996,"open_partial":false,"full_period_sampled_drawdown":18.833005195468388,"unliquidated_mark_return":60.561787973107826}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout_stress = 30.401569998614207
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":30.401569998614207,"drawdown":17.362647547615552,"win_rate":55.55555555555556,"sample":9,"mean_pct":3.47584479453269,"median_pct":4.921927782891999,"targets":2,"stops":4,"partials":0,"missing_checks":14,"affected_trades":3,"avg_days":24.444444444444443}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed holdout = 32.77005322471087
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":32.77005322471087,"drawdown":17.031435797108752,"win_rate":55.55555555555556,"sample":9,"mean_pct":3.6830037984949846,"median_pct":5.131981850065537,"targets":2,"stops":4,"partials":0,"missing_checks":14,"affected_trades":3,"avg_days":24.444444444444443}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed train_stress = -12.637925240348268
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":-12.637925240348268,"drawdown":72.72044559862007,"win_rate":31.03448275862069,"sample":29,"mean_pct":0.657512817393008,"median_pct":-7.725917816739591,"targets":6,"stops":18,"partials":0,"missing_checks":151,"affected_trades":20,"avg_days":16.79310344827586}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More TEN R91306 open_fixed train = -7.421093503784282
Supply chain 2026-09-13 06:15
{"return":-7.421093503784282,"drawdown":72.28046176718908,"win_rate":31.03448275862069,"sample":29,"mean_pct":0.8590295108587924,"median_pct":-7.541184780787347,"targets":6,"stops":18,"partials":0,"missing_checks":151,"affected_trades":20,"avg_days":16.79310344827586}; Sep13 computed SIP2020–Sep11 2026; alladjusted signal/split-onlyADR; automaticraw15min andmanager5min; fees1bp/side/slip5bp base15bpstress fixedpaths. Train exits<2025; holdout entries>=2025 known test. Marked open not closed trade. Sampled drawdown not worst quote loss.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
More SFIX R91306 explicit fee/slippage verification and CLI control = 1
Convex events 2026-09-13 06:14
Finalvectorbtverification exit0, selectedgrid unchanged: baseline total.05/share roundtrip = eachside.0125fee+.0125price-slippage; stress.10total = .025fee+.025slippage/side. Onewholecontract/$1000capital,trade-markfills hypothetical. T3trainN6return-.9/DD2.861371/win33.3333;holdoutN1return2.6/DD0/win100;stress-3.9/+2.1. Initialconsolidatedfeeimplementationwasarithmeticallyequivalent, finalexplicitcostsverified. CLI--symbols SFIX --strategy momentum --lookback20 --days1000 =>685bars,N32,return41.383224%,DD55.802626%,win28.125%,buyhold-24.777637%;unsplitstockdiagnostic, noadoption.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-bars ; research/study.py ; node /app/agent/dist/backtest.js
More C91306 holdout quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.8122506651302756
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"three29.785probes","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"deployed":89.355,"mean_pnl":-0.8122506651302756,"p01_pnl":-9.263818684703377,"worst_pnl":-10.852960220554175,"prob_loss3pct_account":0}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91306 holdout quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -1.221666970406431
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"SOL","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":46.27,"target_prob_pct":1.76,"time_prob_pct":51.970000000000006,"partial_prob_pct":13.68,"win_prob_pct":39.51,"mean_return_pct":-1.221666970406431,"mean_win_pct":12.320037746863134,"mean_loss_pct":-10.066645535116638,"p01_return_pct":-14.17218785743869,"worst_sample_pct":-15.495074584125701,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.221186153338114,"target_gain_pct":38.93004304878234,"mean_exit_hours":362.0474}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91306 holdout quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.6034490540445087
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"ETH","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":59.61,"target_prob_pct":6.92,"time_prob_pct":33.47,"partial_prob_pct":24.81,"win_prob_pct":36.91,"mean_return_pct":-0.6034490540445087,"mean_win_pct":12.12584069065476,"mean_loss_pct":-8.050557700055764,"p01_return_pct":-10.822014468937768,"worst_sample_pct":-12.216302066720274,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":3.223337009573114,"target_gain_pct":28.112957711932495,"mean_exit_hours":299.0968}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91306 holdout quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.9019300226542327
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"BTC","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":56.08,"target_prob_pct":3.56,"time_prob_pct":40.36,"partial_prob_pct":20.53,"win_prob_pct":36.71,"mean_return_pct":-0.9019300226542327,"mean_win_pct":8.636151571050062,"mean_loss_pct":-6.4342886149260705,"p01_return_pct":-8.782240210887945,"worst_sample_pct":-10.342024717816,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":2.6157902468129746,"target_gain_pct":23.340149071215286,"mean_exit_hours":321.3567}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More C91306 holdout full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.8384589462807206
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"three29.785probes","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"deployed":89.355,"mean_pnl":-0.8384589462807206,"p01_pnl":-9.272239769608023,"worst_pnl":-10.852960220554175,"prob_loss3pct_account":0}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91306 holdout full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -1.227133974818043
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"SOL","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":45.7,"target_prob_pct":3.0700000000000003,"time_prob_pct":51.23,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":39.190000000000005,"mean_return_pct":-1.227133974818043,"mean_win_pct":12.445359553366433,"mean_loss_pct":-10.03859625683662,"p01_return_pct":-14.17218785743869,"worst_sample_pct":-15.495074584125701,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.221186153338114,"target_gain_pct":34.55505174122941,"mean_exit_hours":360.8127}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91306 holdout full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.6574966937146172
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"ETH","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":57.099999999999994,"target_prob_pct":9.77,"time_prob_pct":33.129999999999995,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":34.510000000000005,"mean_return_pct":-0.6574966937146172,"mean_win_pct":13.169852808652077,"mean_loss_pct":-7.943827909574665,"p01_return_pct":-10.822048935455362,"worst_sample_pct":-12.216302066720274,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":3.2233472754253794,"target_gain_pct":24.819674938064562,"mean_exit_hours":296.0517}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91306 holdout full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.9304069218004625
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"holdout","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"BTC","paths":10000,"source_days":254,"stop_prob_pct":54.72,"target_prob_pct":5.7299999999999995,"time_prob_pct":39.550000000000004,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":35.370000000000005,"mean_return_pct":-0.9304069218004625,"mean_win_pct":9.048398062378253,"mean_loss_pct":-6.391498246114266,"p01_return_pct":-8.792201816530822,"worst_sample_pct":-10.342024717816,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":2.618757311053705,"target_gain_pct":20.52414716141908,"mean_exit_hours":319.2423}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More C91306 train quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = 0.0392655997184675
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"three29.785probes","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"deployed":89.355,"mean_pnl":0.0392655997184675,"p01_pnl":-9.700563502085988,"worst_pnl":-12.093032967877422,"prob_loss3pct_account":0}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91306 train quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.09629516594907957
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"SOL","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":56.44,"target_prob_pct":6.909999999999999,"time_prob_pct":36.65,"partial_prob_pct":24.610000000000003,"win_prob_pct":39.24,"mean_return_pct":-0.09629516594907957,"mean_win_pct":16.930725970224238,"mean_loss_pct":-11.09267945468247,"p01_return_pct":-14.748406333065315,"worst_sample_pct":-16.943445387344635,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.392812826303504,"target_gain_pct":38.93004304878234,"mean_exit_hours":304.1637}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91306 train quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.46676587167153955
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"ETH","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":66.06,"target_prob_pct":11.05,"time_prob_pct":22.89,"partial_prob_pct":29.630000000000003,"win_prob_pct":36.08,"mean_return_pct":-0.46676587167153955,"mean_win_pct":14.123418516052741,"mean_loss_pct":-8.702276708797509,"p01_return_pct":-13.799741424506474,"worst_sample_pct":-18.646321784034992,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.110252983289253,"target_gain_pct":28.112957711932495,"mean_exit_hours":251.4826}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91306 train quarter2R_BE_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = 0.6948911525055191
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"quarter2R_BE_net3R","symbol":"BTC","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":49.59,"target_prob_pct":5.1,"time_prob_pct":45.31,"partial_prob_pct":27.589999999999996,"win_prob_pct":44.81,"mean_return_pct":0.6948911525055191,"mean_win_pct":9.444632733281523,"mean_loss_pct":-6.40922046616766,"p01_return_pct":-8.388106114346611,"worst_sample_pct":-10.334308390030266,"half_kelly":0.573979658083215,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":2.498397406158138,"target_gain_pct":23.340149071215286,"mean_exit_hours":329.4203}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More C91306 train full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = 0.08600822750196574
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"three29.785probes","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"deployed":89.355,"mean_pnl":0.08600822750196574,"p01_pnl":-9.716977073750623,"worst_pnl":-12.093032967877422,"prob_loss3pct_account":0}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91306 train full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.03924215886476821
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"SOL","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":54.32,"target_prob_pct":9.85,"time_prob_pct":35.83,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":37.63,"mean_return_pct":-0.03924215886476821,"mean_win_pct":18.102516190765584,"mean_loss_pct":-10.984798783790053,"p01_return_pct":-14.748406333065315,"worst_sample_pct":-16.943445387344635,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.392812826303504,"target_gain_pct":34.55505174122941,"mean_exit_hours":300.8321}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More ETH/USD C91306 train full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = -0.41963121983329144
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"ETH","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":62.239999999999995,"target_prob_pct":14.510000000000002,"time_prob_pct":23.25,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":33.129999999999995,"mean_return_pct":-0.41963121983329144,"mean_win_pct":16.0801812067905,"mean_loss_pct":-8.594280325471786,"p01_return_pct":-13.799741424506474,"worst_sample_pct":-18.697972773077232,"half_kelly":0,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":4.110252983289253,"target_gain_pct":24.819674938064562,"mean_exit_hours":248.7789}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More BTC/USD C91306 train full_net3R synchronized Monte Carlo = 0.747636942579093
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"window":"train","policy":"full_net3R","symbol":"BTC","paths":10000,"source_days":488,"stop_prob_pct":47.93,"target_prob_pct":8.53,"time_prob_pct":43.54,"partial_prob_pct":0,"win_prob_pct":43.68,"mean_return_pct":0.747636942579093,"mean_win_pct":9.900968568569386,"mean_loss_pct":-6.351395824169061,"p01_return_pct":-8.393692050829705,"worst_sample_pct":-10.334308390030266,"half_kelly":0.5944480354894206,"quarter_probe_p99_loss_usd":2.5000611773396275,"target_gain_pct":20.52414716141908,"mean_exit_hours":326.0381}. Seed91306,10000paths x480hours,20synchronized24hcompleteUTCdayblocks sampledbyfuturedayofweek startingSunday. Training2024–25 vs known2026holdout pools separately. Spotinitiallyentry/1.001 accountsbuyslip;25bpfees+10bpsellslip. Hourlychecks,partialonlyevery2hproxy,NOTactualmanageror15m/liveentryconditionedodds. Expectedreturnnotforecast; fixedcurrentATR; historicalpoolcannotmodelunseenlosses.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
More SOL/USD C91306 holdout 1Hour indicator subsets and bootstrap = 1.1647773281099318
Crypto majors 2026-09-13 06:14
{"symbol":"SOL","tf":"1Hour","window":"holdout","sample":6,"mean_trade_pct":1.1647773281099318,"mean_CI95_pct":[-5.5853095053415105,8.97919902663138],"without_best_return_pct":-11.421423222400984,"targets":1,"stops":2,"max_stop_overshoot_pct":0.37118211791479255,"subsets":[{"group":"weekend","flag":false,"N":6,"mean_pct":1.1647773281099323,"win_pct":50},{"group":"weekend","flag":true,"N":0,"mean_pct":null,"win_pct":null},{"group":"trend","flag":false,"N":5,"mean_pct":0.2757357664312579,"win_pct":40},{"group":"trend","flag":true,"N":1,"mean_pct":5.609985136503304,"win_pct":100}]}. Base gross3R delay0/slip10bp.10000IID trade resamples seed913061; nonoverlapping percoin positions but regimes not independent, CI conditionaldescriptive. SMA200 uses previous completedday; no missingtrend promotion. Removebest is sensitivity not instruction to cut winners.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
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