TEN R91306 correlations last60 = 60
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":60,"TEN_FRO":0.8224876049288821,"TEN_STNG":0.7524563318860483,"TEN_XLE":0.1421944251024087,"OLS_FRO_beta":0.6988316277922054,"OLS_SPY_beta":-0.01970644816476895,"OLS_R2":0.6765221088020962,"intercept_daily_bp":14.850864194417499}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 correlations holdout = 424
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":424,"TEN_FRO":0.8357564421295547,"TEN_STNG":0.754700052283715,"TEN_XLE":0.3498227220627995,"OLS_FRO_beta":0.7060381506672969,"OLS_SPY_beta":0.21146573065511814,"OLS_R2":0.7057096231147141,"intercept_daily_bp":2.067818458416578}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 correlations train = 1257
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":1257,"TEN_FRO":0.6726325840942049,"TEN_STNG":0.6422773384642388,"TEN_XLE":0.42545450967504383,"OLS_FRO_beta":0.6671351275878528,"OLS_SPY_beta":0.2680459506878608,"OLS_R2":0.4606909099821537,"intercept_daily_bp":-4.788880990800827}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 payoff 0.0015 = 2.767444941869074
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"entry_allin":47.976647185000004,"stop":45.41285,"target":55.36145,"net_RR":2.767444941869074,"net_risk_pct":5.4952796574263205,"net_reward_pct":15.207883892100492,"max_reference_entry_net3R":47.746964879148635,"target_needed_net3R":55.97555247183958}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 payoff 0.0005 = 2.9095920020952883
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"entry_allin":47.928742395,"stop":45.41285,"target":55.36145,"net_RR":2.9095920020952883,"net_risk_pct":5.306080876060705,"net_reward_pct":15.43853047945699,"max_reference_entry_net3R":47.84255447019017,"target_needed_net3R":55.59150802331105}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 exit_odds holdout = 11
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":11,"target_pct":18.181818181818183,"stop_pct":54.54545454545454,"time_pct":27.27272727272727,"partial_pct":27.27272727272727,"holding_days_P10_P50_P90":[3,8,40]}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 exit_odds train = 31
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":31,"target_pct":22.58064516129032,"stop_pct":67.74193548387096,"time_pct":9.67741935483871,"partial_pct":32.25806451612903,"holding_days_P10_P50_P90":[3,11,31]}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes holdout_trend_True = 6
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.09656747131729038,"N":6,"mean_pct":0.41017599386073783,"win_pct":33.33333333333333}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes holdout_trend_False = 5
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.09656747131729038,"N":5,"mean_pct":3.7019091561761774,"win_pct":60}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes holdout_vol_True = 2
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.5122589422166477,"N":2,"mean_pct":12.032435991096301,"win_pct":100}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes holdout_vol_False = 9
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.5122589422166477,"N":9,"mean_pct":-0.34380780423858776,"win_pct":33.33333333333333}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes train_trend_True = 16
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.09656747131729038,"N":16,"mean_pct":0.5700819775972837,"win_pct":37.5}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes train_trend_False = 15
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.09656747131729038,"N":15,"mean_pct":3.758462744582998,"win_pct":46.666666666666664}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes train_vol_True = 16
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.5122589422166477,"N":16,"mean_pct":1.3055318611701088,"win_pct":37.5}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 regimes train_vol_False = 15
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"threshold":0.5122589422166477,"N":15,"mean_pct":2.973982868771984,"win_pct":46.666666666666664}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.2_True = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":20,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-19.066238783275228,0.9529220321631393,26.08241354329955],"loss_odds_pct":47.435,"DD95_pct":23.511631713437353}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.2_False = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":20,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-11.51300212737266,7.500227031634155,32.28859443834106],"loss_odds_pct":27.465,"DD95_pct":17.193269525853335}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.1_True = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":10,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-9.943132964173449,0.6930253872807657,12.595325047676994],"loss_odds_pct":46.105000000000004,"DD95_pct":12.53507211822804}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.1_False = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":10,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-5.711127902746189,3.950341397744628,15.410335063319675],"loss_odds_pct":25.735000000000003,"DD95_pct":8.893082105369707}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.025_True = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":2.5,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-2.516427563407808,0.21916587257919673,3.0565902789042814],"loss_odds_pct":44.84,"DD95_pct":3.2228983780692047}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 simulations 0.025_False = 20000
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"paths":20000,"trades_per_path":20,"account_allocation_pct":2.5,"P05_P50_P95_return_pct":[-1.4456955665574662,1.0275038170905249,3.6537118416851153],"loss_odds_pct":25.385,"DD95_pct":2.2922291837363757}; seed91306, measuredSep13 using2020–Sep11bars. Sim blocks3/training31,20trades; stressassumption5%chance/tradeof-30%,notmeasuredwarfrequency. Regime cuts fromtrainingmedian. OLS contemporaneous attribution not causal/forecast. Costs1bpfee+5bpslip/side.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 quant sizing = 21.27475
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"p":0.41935483870967744,"avg_win_pct":18.36466527150062,"avg_loss_pct":9.62457753995592,"b":1.9081009213402553,"halfKelly_risk":0.05752478560356006,"full_USD":85.099,"quarter_USD":21.27475,"shares":0.44414926931106474,"total_loss_account_pct":2.5,"stop_loss_USD":1.1046658551670148,"gap30_loss_USD":6.3824250000000005}; seed91306; manager cron primary, train2020–24/knownholdout2025–Sep11. Measured Sep13. Statistical/simulation estimates conditional on current-name sample; not probability forecasts.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 quant holdout = 11
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":11,"mean_pct":1.906418340367756,"quantiles_pct":[-7.107901503071151,-5.564518426131915,15.266446881342667],"IIDmean_CI95_pct":[-3.5057780922548765,7.708049313991934],"block3mean_CI95_pct":[-1.6346331303347812,6.012299717257877]}; seed91306; manager cron primary, train2020–24/knownholdout2025–Sep11. Measured Sep13. Statistical/simulation estimates conditional on current-name sample; not probability forecasts.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TEN R91306 quant train = 31
Supply chain2026-09-13 06:16
{"N":31,"mean_pct":2.1128468648484358,"quantiles_pct":[-13.885557042347358,-7.312792708207628,30.214312903169414],"IIDmean_CI95_pct":[-3.115922698985478,7.6962043952506445],"block3mean_CI95_pct":[-2.617689925715047,6.994971836156734]}; seed91306; manager cron primary, train2020–24/knownholdout2025–Sep11. Measured Sep13. Statistical/simulation estimates conditional on current-name sample; not probability forecasts.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SOL/USD C91306 completed daily regime and illustrative fee-adjusted target = 101.7655
Crypto majors2026-09-13 06:15
{"symbol":"SOL","close":101.7655,"entry":101.86726549999999,"atr":5.457558567074999,"risk_fraction":0.10715038909285338,"stop":90.95214836585,"gross3R_target":134.61261690245,"net3R_target":137.06755180090053,"net3R_gain_pct":34.55505174122941,"net_stop_loss_pct":11.249744778048354,"SMA200":83.0413278153425}. CompletedSep12UTC;retrievedSep13. Entryillustrationclose*1.001,notquote. ATR20 arithmeticTR, calendarcomplete; currenttrendpositive. Net3Rfulltarget andgross3Rdifferent; quarterpolicyrequireslargerresidualtarget. Noorder or actualadoptedlevels.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars