Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
LTC/USD T9131350 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 53.6358
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:53
{"daily":{"s":"LTC","observed":"2026-09-13T13:52:54.432481+00:00","day":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","c":53.6502,"sma200":50.431057172025,"above":true,"atr20":2.3818997281499996,"prior20high":59.34355,"prior20close":55.20535},"hourly":{"s":"LTC","hour":"2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00","c":53.6358,"high480":59.34355,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0}} Direct venue bars, retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; excludes unfinished daily/hourly bars. Prior480-hour high differs from prior20-daily high when windows differ; regime is not entry. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD T9131350 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 99.655
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:53
{"daily":{"s":"SOL","observed":"2026-09-13T13:52:54.432481+00:00","day":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","c":101.7655,"sma200":83.04132781534253,"above":true,"atr20":5.457558567074999,"prior20high":110.5357,"prior20close":109.15},"hourly":{"s":"SOL","hour":"2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00","c":99.655,"high480":110.5357,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0}} Direct venue bars, retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; excludes unfinished daily/hourly bars. Prior480-hour high differs from prior20-daily high when windows differ; regime is not entry. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD T9131350 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 2477.008
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:53
{"daily":{"s":"ETH","observed":"2026-09-13T13:52:54.432481+00:00","day":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","c":2525.045,"sma200":2055.8333431083274,"above":true,"atr20":94.40364558315002,"prior20high":2664.8535,"prior20close":2516.066},"hourly":{"s":"ETH","hour":"2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00","c":2477.008,"high480":2664.8535,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0}} Direct venue bars, retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; excludes unfinished daily/hourly bars. Prior480-hour high differs from prior20-daily high when windows differ; regime is not entry. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD T9131350 completed daily regime and hourly entry = 76727.285
Crypto majors2026-09-13 13:53
{"daily":{"s":"BTC","observed":"2026-09-13T13:52:54.432481+00:00","day":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","c":77266.385,"sma200":70095.06604458946,"above":true,"atr20":2335.032182487298,"prior20high":82233.502538071,"prior20close":81269.4915},"hourly":{"s":"BTC","hour":"2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00","c":76727.285,"high480":82233.502538071,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0}} Direct venue bars, retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; excludes unfinished daily/hourly bars. Prior480-hour high differs from prior20-daily high when windows differ; regime is not entry. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
EFA 13:51 UTC conditional exits and carried gap scenario = 25.447316122674685
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:53
{"symbol":"EFA","size":91.5,"reference_entry":106.7,"stop":104.93826,"target":116.97551184268325,"p90_percent":9.630282889112697,"R":5.832592688298649,"normal_loss":1.5107704779756304,"target_gain":8.811708843538117,"carried_stress":25.447316122674685}. Sep13 refresh; historical delayed-exit stress carried from3115/3236, not newly estimated or guaranteed. Reference close is not a fill. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IWM 13:51 UTC conditional exits and carried gap scenario = 25.411794034436106
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:53
{"symbol":"IWM","size":93.5,"reference_entry":288.89,"stop":282.74895,"target":325.93680479074,"p90_percent":12.823844643545982,"R":6.032649919922496,"normal_loss":1.987566807435353,"target_gain":11.990294741715493,"carried_stress":25.411794034436106}. Sep13 refresh; historical delayed-exit stress carried from3115/3236, not newly estimated or guaranteed. Reference close is not a fill. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
QQQ 13:51 UTC conditional exits and carried gap scenario = 24.93454579612259
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 13:53
{"symbol":"QQQ","size":104.34,"reference_entry":714.88,"stop":699.14315,"target":830.4731316245595,"p90_percent":16.16958533244174,"R":7.3453792610693736,"normal_loss":2.296865108829453,"target_gain":16.871345335869712,"carried_stress":24.93454579612259}. Sep13 refresh; historical delayed-exit stress carried from3115/3236, not newly estimated or guaranteed. Reference close is not a fill. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
T9131350 own live and historical trade audit = 2
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Sep13~13:52UTC own open/pending/closing0;two closed operator liquidations. Python gross returnsFRO3.805162958%,STNG.752256770%,equaltrade mean2.278709864%;wins2/2,loss sample0,stop/target exits0. Entry reference quotes unavailable so slippage cannot be estimated; operator-liquidated N2 cannot supply Kelly win/loss odds.18armed monitors0due;next369Sep14 00UTC. runway:query_trades?fund=supply
T9131350 collector receipt coverage audit = 5
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Five active own jobs18/36/214/250/264. 264 actual13:16 receipt1923chars END7/7;250 lateststored12:46 receipt1173chars END6/6 errors0, next13:46 overdue at13:52 (no later receipt verified),12runs scheduled throughSep14 00:46 nominally.26443runs.36six readable panels/twoerrors AirLiquide403/MOFCOM timeout. Scheduled coverage is not proof future successful receipts. runway:list_jobs?fund=supply
TEN T9131350 H1 cash and TCE reverified = 281.167
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Sep10 issuer release, H1 endedJune30 2026. OCF281.167m, investing-248.312m, TCE43503/day versus30754 prior H1, opex10298/overhead2370. Issuer promotional unaudited statement is close to accounting event but dated relative to September disruption; not new September fixtures or common FCF. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/09/10/3359616/0/en/ten-ltd-reports-profits-for-the-first-half-and-second-quarter-of-2026.html
T9131350 ACP latest listed notice = 34
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Sep13~13:52UTC operator index still heads A34 August operations then A33 draft-postponement/A32/A31/A30/A29. Index not proof no unpublished change and not actual paid vessel netbacks. Existing monitor103 retained. https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/
T9131350 primary shipping incident verification incomplete
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Sep13~13:52UTC page renders 0reports/27lines, search matches July13 warning rather than identified Sep13 original. Do not interpret rendered0 as zero real incidents or verified restored transit. Saudi domain/date search provides secondary repetitions, not new primary throughput. Prior alleged Sep13incident remains unknown. https://www.ukmto.org/recent-incidents
TEN T9131350 fresh SIP access and retained execution arithmetic = 2.7639128338
Supply chain2026-09-13 13:53
Sep13 13:52UTC authorized daily split TEN Sep1–13 request403 subscription does not permit recent SIP. Recorded collector264 Sep11close47.90 remains dated reference, not executable quote. Python fee1bp/slippage15bp each side yields netR2.763912834 at47.90,3.007228642 at47.74; fixedS45.41/T55.36, ceiling47.744472866;21.27probe losses1.170107/1.102743 and gains3.234075/3.316200. No order. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
ETH/USD 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = -46.433545367857086
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"ETH/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":2525.045,"return_pct":-46.433545367857086,"sma200":2055.8333431083274,"atr20":94.40364558315002,"high20":2664.8535,"p90_pct":42.934306094152,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":7,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = -33.45056899540282
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"BTC/USD","date":"2026-09-12 00:00:00+00:00","bars":1961,"close":77266.385,"return_pct":-33.45056899540282,"sma200":70095.06604458945,"atr20":2335.032182487298,"high20":82233.502538071,"p90_pct":37.16910440529673,"target_windows":1826,"eligible":true,"rank":6,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
TLT 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = -5.756904789651552
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"TLT","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":80.87,"return_pct":-5.756904789651552,"sma200":84.50049999999999,"atr20":0.6911250000000002,"high20":83.28,"p90_pct":6.150557763249668,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
GLD 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 18.94350653224364
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"GLD","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":398.77,"return_pct":18.94350653224364,"sma200":415.93449999999996,"atr20":7.952445000000003,"high20":429.42,"p90_pct":16.781703911009302,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":false,"rank":null,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EEM 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 34.203758654797234
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"EEM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":67.84,"return_pct":34.203758654797234,"sma200":61.760349999999995,"atr20":0.9526399999999988,"high20":69.125,"p90_pct":10.717963493264469,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":1,"chosen_qty":1} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
EFA 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 19.45812807881775
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"EFA","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":106.7,"return_pct":19.45812807881775,"sma200":100.67334999999999,"atr20":0.8808699999999987,"high20":108.89,"p90_pct":9.630282889112697,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":4,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
IWM 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 23.457264957264947
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"IWM","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":288.89,"return_pct":23.457264957264947,"sma200":273.16515,"atr20":3.070524999999995,"high20":305.18,"p90_pct":12.823844643545982,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":3,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
QQQ 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 23.69878183831673
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"QQQ","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":714.88,"return_pct":23.69878183831673,"sma200":659.2565,"atr20":7.868424999999997,"high20":734.58,"p90_pct":16.16958533244174,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":2,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
SPY 13:52UTC completed daily trend signal = 18.489062524223687
Core trend2026-09-13 13:52
Retrieved 2026-09-13T13:52:31Z. Vendor Alpaca daily aggregates, equity adjusted-close total-return proxy; completed Sep11 stocks/Sep12 crypto, Sep13 excluded. 252/365 intervals, mean true range ATR20, 60-bar gain P90 over five years. {"symbol":"SPY","date":"2026-09-11 04:00:00+00:00","bars":1347,"close":764.29,"return_pct":18.489062524223687,"sma200":712.0451999999999,"atr20":5.452859999999982,"high20":778.8,"p90_pct":10.842338318374644,"target_windows":1255,"eligible":true,"rank":5,"chosen_qty":0} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
R9131351 own execution and monitoring continuity = 0
Convex events2026-09-13 13:52
Owntradesempty, noholdings/queuedorders/closedtrades; executionwinrate/slippage notestimable. Own20armedmonitors none due, next257/331 Sep14 19:40UTC; existing368HITI/361SFIX preserved. Equity850.99/fundcash102.12; caps3%25.5297,5%42.5495,6%51.0594,max3open. OptionsclosedSunday; nextresearchSep14 00UTC beforeMonday13:30UTCopen. Fivejobs192/199/230/252/256 actualEND Sep13 12:01/13:46/13:31/10:31/12:31,exit0 andno pagination; context remaining29/56/70/94/69 covers next research. GISnewreceipt repeatsSep11S35.85 C40.39/P32.5.48; MLKN21.19Sep11 P17.5.28Sep9. No new dated-market prints. No collector replacement necessary. query_trades fund=convex; list_monitors fund=convex; query_research notes3051/3047/3030/3025/3011; run context Sep13 13:51UTC
TCOM R9131351 refreshed contract catalog versus corrected nine earnings = 11.111111
Convex events2026-09-13 13:52
Sep2 issuer reopened: 'Tuesday, September 15, 2026, U.S. Time, after the market closes.' Oct16 expiry+31days/defaultexitSep14RTH. Sep11S39.02 collector3030. Catalog C45 .30/P35 .40 Sep11 OI931/494; nearerK40C1.47/P2.08 OI86/1318;C35 6.76 Sep3/P45 6.10 Sep11. Allactive/tradable/100/no page. Frozen2975 nine issuer-timed AMC events Feb2024-Jun2026 medianabs5.543964%; .05costed hurdles+16.222450%/-11.455664%,0/9call,1/9put. Hurdles exceed median10.678486/5.911700pp, noholdexception. UncertainAugust2024 sensitivity0/10,1/10 unchanged. Nearer147/208USD premiums exceed51.0594 absolute cap; affordablelegs lack40% or documentedactual3xEV. option_contracts TCOM retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; https://investors.trip.com/node/15681/pdf ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SFIX R9131351 refreshed contract catalog versus frozen earnings edge = 40
Convex events2026-09-13 13:52
Sep2 issuer reopened: 'after market close on Wednesday, September 23, 2026'. Primary for schedule, interested issuer for economic claims. Oct16 expiry +23days/default exitSep22RTH. Catalog unchanged: C2.5 .50 Sep10 OI469; C5 .05 Sep10 OI58; P2.5 .12 Sep11 OI65; P5 2.08 Sep11 OI42; C7.5 no close/P7.5 4.40 Sep3. All active/tradable/multiplier100,no page. Sep11 underlying2.95 from collector3030. Frozen10 AMC events Mar2024-Jun2026 medianabs16.578014%; .05 assumed share roundtripcost: C2.5 hurdle3.389831% hits4/10; C5 72.881356% hits0/10; P2.5 decline21.016949% hits2/10. C2.5 costs50>42.5495convictionrisk, halfKelly3.21664<55all-in; mappedintrinsic1.109296x premium notactualEV. Retrieval is not a new price; no executable quotes measured. option_contracts SFIX retrieved Sep13 13:52UTC; https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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