Notes

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","lookback","filter","cost_bps_side","bars","return_pct","closed_return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_rate_pct","n","mean_trade_pct","median_trade_pct","open","buyhold_pct","targets","gaps"],"rows":[["train",10,"sma50",6,2012,-77.18829331,-75.77896957,85.65337762,23.63636364,55,-1.71588277,-7.2683532,1,142.39043825,12,8],["train",10,"sma50",16,2012,-79.5849018,-78.30197673,86.86192576,23.63636364,55,-1.91225478,-7.45363135,1,142.39043825,12,8],["train",20,"sma50",6,2012,-77.27713379,-77.27713379,84.58756447,21.56862745,51,-2.10040524,-7.1613397,0,142.39043825,10,6],["train",20,"sma50",16,2012,-79.48058258,-79.48058258,85.80095659,21.56862745,51,-2.29600897,-7.34683167,0,142.39043825,10,6],["train",40,"sma50",6,2012,-51.66689844,-51.66689844,65.39891038,25,40,-0.99933689,-6.96028509,0,142.39043825,10,6],["train",40,"sma50",16,2012,-55.38292775,-55.38292775,67.2833176,25,40,-1.19714056,-7.14617877,0,142.39043825,10,6],["train",20,"none",6,2012,-78.47404174,-78.47404174,83.54237703,22.22222222,54,-2.01503157,-7.26970012,0,142.39043825,11,7],["train",20,"sma200",6,2012,-66.82863887,-66.82863887,74.4769168,24.44444444,45,-1.5742929,-7.1613397,0,142.39043825,10,5],["train",20,"spy200",6,2012,-11.10566582,-11.10566582,43.66316502,28.94736842,38,0.44870836,-6.78482677,0,142.39043825,10,4],["holdout",10,"sma50",6,502,-20.32490016,-20.32490016,46.40791614,30.76923077,13,-1.31454695,-5.99803754,0,22.81835811,1,2],["holdout",10,"sma50",16,502,-22.36975664,-22.36975664,47.15297851,30.76923077,13,-1.51172083,-6.18585379,0,22.81835811,1,2],["holdout",20,"sma50",6,502,-10.76009784,-10.76009784,41.50609182,36.36363636,11,-0.48486428,-5.87633587,0,22.81835811,1,1]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","regime","above","n","mean_pct","win_pct"],"rows":[["train","own200",true,39,-2.86738864,20.51282051],["train","own200",false,12,0.3922908,25],["train","spy200",true,36,-0.97577471,25],["train","spy200",false,15,-4.79951851,13.33333333],["holdout","own200",true,7,0.41491401,42.85714286],["holdout","own200",false,4,-2.05947629,25],["holdout","spy200",true,9,-1.55483836,33.33333333],["holdout","spy200",false,2,4.33001907,50],["forward2026","own200",true,6,9.55467192,66.66666667],["forward2026","spy200",true,5,13.15829046,80],["forward2026","spy200",false,1,-8.46342073,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","n","mean_pct","mean_CI95_pct","win_pct","avgwin_pct","avgloss_pct","halfKelly_stock_fraction","halfKelly_dollars","min_trade_pct","max_trade_pct"],"rows":[["train",51,-2.10040524,[-5.45896365,1.53020149],21.56862745,20.69872759,8.37016677,0,0,-21.03648295,31.04060033],["holdout",11,-0.48486428,[-6.29431594,6.13806595],36.36363636,12.50092517,7.9053154,0,0,-10.56490288,17.69731648],["forward2026",6,9.55467192,[-0.94019552,19.34818789],66.66666667,18.0360418,7.40806783,0.5,101.99,-8.46342073,25.41332344]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","n","min_gap_pct","p01_gap_pct","p001_gap_pct","below10","below20","below30","min_close_pct","max_close_pct"],"rows":[["train",2011,-14.4387148,-5.76704768,-11.89260543,4,0,0,-16.89805633,27.6481149],["holdout",502,-9.1963546,-4.71664676,-8.34562716,0,0,0,-10.52195526,11.38888889],["forward2026",178,-8.02898551,-3.52951053,-7.25915377,0,0,0,-7.67951206,9.80215827]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["date","n","close","prior20","sma50","sma200","atr20","atrpct","rv20","volume20","signal","rule_stop","rule_target","shares_cap"],"rows":[["2026-09-17",2692,50.66,50.32,39.424,31.37225,1.5835,3.12574023,0.37120737,3223476.05,true,47.493,60.161,2]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=FRO&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["tail_replacement_probability","equity_weight","npaths","ntrades","mean_terminal_pct","p05_terminal_pct","p95_drawdown_pct","prob_loss10pct"],"rows":[[0,0.11999953,20000,20,-3.93924871,-14.32465219,15.30251692,20.74],[0,0.02999988,20000,20,-0.99976179,-3.76591688,4.04490262,0],[0.01,0.11999953,20000,20,-4.67440674,-15.13594647,16.13346757,24.05],[0.01,0.02999988,20000,20,-1.18789304,-3.98973774,4.27815467,0],[0.05,0.11999953,20000,20,-7.17269354,-18.13375238,19.07636048,37.37],[0.05,0.02999988,20000,20,-1.84080754,-4.83838754,5.11282272,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["period","block","levels","paths","horizon","stop","target","stop_first_pct","target_first_pct","timeout_pct","mean_pct","median_pct","p05_pct","p01_pct","mean_sessions","sizing"],"rows":[["last252",5,"2ATR6ATR",20000,60,49.67716,62.20852,42.31,54.87,2.82,7.10366621,17.42050893,-6.23282134,-6.58042822,19.2845,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.19741207,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.78964829,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.40887662,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["last252",5,"frozen_value",20000,60,45.41,55.36,6.9,92.64,0.46,3.15829329,4.49371524,-14.28721805,-14.28721805,9.62535,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.42861486,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":1.71445944,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.88774,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["last252",10,"2ATR6ATR",20000,60,49.67716,62.20852,45.19,51.945,2.865,6.40764406,17.42050893,-6.23282134,-7.24687852,19.24595,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.2174055,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.86962201,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.45028668,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["last252",10,"frozen_value",20000,60,45.41,55.36,6.22,93.225,0.555,3.27630609,4.49371524,-14.28721805,-14.28721805,10.01025,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.42861486,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":1.71445944,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.88774,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["period","block","levels","paths","horizon","stop","target","stop_first_pct","target_first_pct","timeout_pct","mean_pct","median_pct","p05_pct","p01_pct","mean_sessions","sizing"],"rows":[["pre2024",5,"2ATR6ATR",20000,60,49.67716,62.20852,72.725,26.645,0.63,0.09187508,-6.23282134,-6.23282134,-7.82020051,11.6317,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.2346051,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.93842038,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.48591019,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["pre2024",5,"frozen_value",20000,60,45.41,55.36,25.07,74.735,0.195,-0.24603204,4.49371524,-14.28721805,-14.5717374,9.20685,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.43715041,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":1.74860163,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.90541869,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["pre2024",10,"2ATR6ATR",20000,60,49.67716,62.20852,72.965,25.84,1.195,-0.02803876,-6.23282134,-6.23282134,-7.82020051,12.7265,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.2346051,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.93842038,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.48591019,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]],["pre2024",10,"frozen_value",20000,60,45.41,55.36,23.97,75.52,0.51,-0.07018432,4.49371524,-14.28721805,-14.44375264,9.92905,[{"dollars":25.4975,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.43331088,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":101.99,"p01_account_loss_pct":1.73324352,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0},{"dollars":52.81,"p01_account_loss_pct":0.89746632,"prob_account_loss_gt3pct":0}]]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","lookback","filter","cost_bps_side","bars","return_pct","closed_return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_rate_pct","n","mean_trade_pct","median_trade_pct","open","buyhold_pct","targets","gaps"],"rows":[["forward2026",20,"none",6,178,96.72599361,85.02817833,22.00545418,80,5,13.70806856,18.41721254,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",20,"sma200",6,178,96.72599361,85.02817833,22.00545418,80,5,13.70806856,18.41721254,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",20,"spy200",6,178,99.60448591,87.73550835,16.36008512,80,5,13.97645502,18.41721254,1,149.92901088,4,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","lookback","filter","cost_bps_side","bars","return_pct","closed_return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_rate_pct","n","mean_trade_pct","median_trade_pct","open","buyhold_pct","targets","gaps"],"rows":[["holdout",20,"sma50",16,502,11.58200576,11.58200576,30.24872745,37.5,8,1.91152548,-5.60484857,0,10.62403301,1,0],["holdout",40,"sma50",6,502,13.49677013,13.49677013,29.2894504,37.5,8,2.13558654,-5.41586915,0,10.62403301,1,1],["holdout",40,"sma50",16,502,11.69527028,11.69527028,29.7124439,37.5,8,1.93151928,-5.60484857,0,10.62403301,1,1],["holdout",20,"none",6,502,-6.57664773,-6.57664773,42.18101429,30,10,-0.1377203,-5.54490974,0,10.62403301,1,1],["holdout",20,"sma200",6,502,-4.31547173,-0.86580088,28.8340158,28.57142857,7,0.33477809,-5.62926034,1,10.62403301,1,0],["holdout",20,"spy200",6,502,7.38956356,7.38956356,33.39224463,30,10,1.3064427,-5.54490974,0,10.62403301,2,0],["forward2026",10,"sma50",6,178,84.96569284,73.96717421,28.75562763,66.66666667,6,10.54133837,17.19972282,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",10,"sma50",16,178,82.57688093,71.89204156,29.04003623,66.66666667,6,10.32047639,16.96555736,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",20,"sma50",6,178,96.72599361,85.02817833,22.00545418,80,5,13.70806856,18.41721254,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",20,"sma50",16,178,94.57405833,83.18711521,22.16128755,80,5,13.48087944,18.18061453,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",40,"sma50",6,178,93.82168644,82.29656847,22.72726463,80,5,13.34363756,18.41721254,1,149.92901088,4,0],["forward2026",40,"sma50",16,178,91.70152064,80.48268536,22.88165583,80,5,13.11717657,18.18061453,1,149.92901088,4,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","lookback","filter","cost_bps_side","bars","return_pct","closed_return_pct","drawdown_pct","win_rate_pct","n","mean_trade_pct","median_trade_pct","open","buyhold_pct","targets","gaps"],"rows":[["train",10,"sma50",6,2012,-54.03227818,-52.11883877,86.09367743,25.45454545,55,-0.50819938,-6.37263562,1,-17.73981603,9,0],["train",10,"sma50",16,2012,-58.86166836,-57.10642645,87.05973821,25.45454545,55,-0.70698434,-6.55970342,1,-17.73981603,9,0],["train",20,"sma50",6,2012,-68.77948908,-68.97700132,86.13822443,19.56521739,46,-1.67686614,-7.37957686,1,-17.73981603,8,0],["train",20,"sma50",16,2012,-71.5520478,-71.70376597,86.91933704,19.56521739,46,-1.87331611,-7.56463279,1,-17.73981603,8,0],["train",40,"sma50",6,2012,-75.17832502,-74.14510499,85.34092056,18.91891892,37,-2.79579036,-7.08349188,1,-17.73981603,6,0],["train",40,"sma50",16,2012,-76.97183156,-75.98929278,85.97193659,18.91891892,37,-2.99000471,-7.26913939,1,-17.73981603,6,0],["train",20,"none",6,2012,-58.99173454,-59.25116765,82.86838098,23.91304348,46,-1.1022306,-7.37957686,1,-17.73981603,8,0],["train",20,"sma200",6,2012,-56.59794719,-56.87252426,80.47231331,21.62162162,37,-1.17734413,-7.21175287,1,-17.73981603,8,0],["train",20,"spy200",6,2012,-54.65998637,-54.94682368,81.67603903,20,35,-1.47365575,-7.41117329,1,-17.73981603,6,0],["holdout",10,"sma50",6,502,34.97998252,34.97998252,27.17463134,40,10,3.79562693,-5.13680003,0,10.62403301,2,0],["holdout",10,"sma50",16,502,32.30719692,32.30719692,27.75491071,40,10,3.5882429,-5.32633703,0,10.62403301,2,0],["holdout",20,"sma50",6,502,13.38167879,13.38167879,29.82896132,37.5,8,2.11555271,-5.41586915,0,10.62403301,1,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","regime","above","n","mean_pct","win_pct"],"rows":[["train","own200",true,29,-0.14283071,20.68965517],["train","own200",false,17,-4.29375011,17.64705882],["train","spy200",true,31,-2.10899425,16.12903226],["train","spy200",false,15,-0.78380138,26.66666667],["holdout","own200",true,6,2.01219475,33.33333333],["holdout","own200",false,2,2.42562659,50],["holdout","spy200",true,7,0.6844863,28.57142857],["holdout","spy200",false,1,12.13301759,100],["forward2026","own200",true,5,13.70806856,80],["forward2026","spy200",true,4,19.2070263,100],["forward2026","spy200",false,1,-8.28776241,0]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","n","mean_pct","mean_CI95_pct","win_pct","avgwin_pct","avgloss_pct","halfKelly_stock_fraction","halfKelly_dollars","min_trade_pct","max_trade_pct"],"rows":[["train",46,-1.67686614,[-5.37672649,2.53656537],19.56521739,24.72522253,8.09899582,0,0,-16.46928623,34.61598763],["holdout",8,2.11555271,[-4.14775794,9.98298127],37.5,15.58275137,5.96476648,0.5,101.99,-7.28176442,20.05134063],["forward2026",5,13.70806856,[2.39422757,21.03900311],80,19.2070263,8.28776241,0.5,101.99,-8.28776241,23.42539314]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["split","n","min_gap_pct","p01_gap_pct","p001_gap_pct","below10","below20","below30","min_close_pct","max_close_pct"],"rows":[["train",2011,-9.59629385,-3.9630076,-7.24190905,0,0,0,-17.5899486,29.95989305],["holdout",502,-7.60869565,-2.46649765,-6.17444766,0,0,0,-14.67391304,9.83358548],["forward2026",178,-3.32317917,-2.73813159,-3.26957037,0,0,0,-6.32247377,7.73921201]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Methods note3577; Sep18 calculation on completed Sep17 bars. Percent units explicitly named; simulations conditional, Kelly diagnostic. {"columns":["date","n","close","prior20","sma50","sma200","atr20","atrpct","rv20","volume20","signal","rule_stop","rule_target","shares_cap"],"rows":[["2026-09-17",2692,52.81,52.31,41.4862,34.77975,1.56642,2.96614278,0.38049187,405061.35,true,49.67716,62.20852,1]]} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=TEN&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all

Aug6 10-Q for June30: full22.7mUSD received tariff refunds recorded as customer refund liability; allocation expected end2026, no gain recognized. Q2 customersB22/C19=41% sales, H1 B17/C23=40%. SupplierA fell below10% in H1 andQ2, so FY25 21% is historical notcurrent. Weichai collaboration expiredMar20; noformalextension asoffiling. Separate exclusive SWIEC purchase agreement remains, minimum49.937m2026 and49.937m2027/95.117m2028/95.117m2029,total290.108m. These purchases are obligations, notcustomerbacklog. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026054328/psix-20260630.htm

FetchedSep18 adjustment-all series showed Nov1 2016 open20.92 vs priorclose81.58 (~-74.35646%); issuerFAQ confirmsNov1 separation and new independentAA. This is not comparable current-equity loss history. Retainraw receipt but start AA analytical OHLC onNov1 2016, set firstreturn/gap undefined, recompute indicators and allAAstats/backtests/MC. Preliminary contaminated MC p01-70.05% discarded beforedecision; no fabricated backadjustment. Independent price-vintage cross-check remainsgap forolder history. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=AA&timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all;https://investors.alcoa.com/resources/investor-faqs/default.aspx

Sep17issuer6-Kexhibit99.1 retrieved viaEDGARCLI afterwebfailure. Multi-year WBH/Sandvik take-or-pay minimum~1720tonnes containedWO3; conditional upfront3mUSD forofftakerights; index-linkedpricing withundisclosedfloor. Existingtailings/restartplant caremaintenance sinceFeb2020; receipt/restartdate/annualthroughput/capex/operatingcost/flooramount notdisclosed. Termination beforeminimumdelivery explicitly possible. Contract total is notannualvolume; conditional upfront isnotcashreceived. Sourceclosest issuer legalattachment but promotional; noindependentbuyer confirmationyet. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1670061/000149315226043044/ex99-1.htm

Sep15 CNA reports union rejection and demand15%operatingprofit sharing; closest found direct interview relay, not union original. Bounded Micron newsroom search did not locate original strike/settlement statement. Sept18headline therefore not newly confirmed production outage. No lostwafer estimate/no odds/no trade from unverified operatingimpairment. Issuer June24preparedremarks https://investors.micron.com/static-files/631b1a32-5537-46ae-8f40-82e42fc79dfe forecasts Tongluomeaningfulshipmentsmid2027 andSingaporeHBMpackagingH12027, not immediate sparecapacity. https://focustaiwan.tw/business/202609150015;https://www.micron.com/about/press/news

Aug26 2026 issuer operational release:315of1262 reductioncells restarted~25%; fullproduction forecastQ12027. Cells typically stabilize1week; some output consumed to restart others. Alumina refinery~50%capacity; recyclingplant fullproduction forecastlateQ42026. Owner closest to plant but forecasts promotional; asofAug26 notSeptember capacity. Recovered production can erode aluminum rent; cellcount is not measured net shippedtonnes. https://media.ega.ae/egas-al-taweelah-smelter-restoration-reaches-25-completion-milestone/

Mar2 2026 10-K FY2025: customerB20%,C10%,E10%,F13%=53% sales; supplierA21% purchases vs16%2024. RiskFactors warn pass-through can damage demand, key components and working capital constrain ramp. Weichai46.0%outstanding Feb26 yet narrative also calls it majority—a filing inconsistency not resolved here; do not infer voting majority from46%. Short contract performance obligations largely exempt from remaining-obligation disclosure. Closest primary auditedannual source; supplierA unnamed. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026013207/psix-20251231.htm

Aug6 issuer unaudited June30quarter sales152.5mUSD,-21%YoY; power systems decline34.6m due uneven orders/shipment timing. H1OCF75.724m minus capex2.736m=72.988m simpleFCF; includes22.687m increase tariff-refund liability, so subtraction leaves50.301m sensitivity before other working capital, not normalizedFCF. Cash70.062m/debt~72.6m. H2 sales expected>H1 and~H22025, noformalannualguide; production scheduling and ramp costs persist. Issuer is closest operations source but promotional; figures not currentSeptember shipments. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026054346/psiearningsrelease-june302.htm

{"stress_sensitivity":[{"gap_multiplier":1,"losses":{"EEM":14.005515266814253,"QQQ":13.953793751051228,"IWM":13.674985699653067},"joint":41.63429471751854,"equity_pct":4.898613365671892},{"gap_multiplier":2,"losses":{"EEM":24.99829032289767,"QQQ":24.999049024169075,"IWM":24.999608792011877},"joint":74.99694813907863,"equity_pct":8.824000863502286},{"gap_multiplier":3,"losses":{"EEM":35.99106537898109,"QQQ":36.04430429728692,"IWM":36.32423188437069},"joint":108.3596015606387,"equity_pct":12.749388361332679}],"current_sma_distance_pct":{"EEM":7.880030827472551,"QQQ":8.42054322182566,"IWM":4.436091573581136},"current_atr_pct":{"EEM":1.4246749364818412,"QQQ":1.1604056240584717,"IWM":1.158077286900468},"latest_20d_return_pct":{"EEM":1.210104371502041,"QQQ":0.11730532901350621,"IWM":-5.150699498222178}} Measured06UTC Sep18 from completed SIP adjusted bars. Current EEM/QQQ/IWM notionals89.95/103.11/83.46 selected retrospectively; historical risk diagnostic, not independent strategy performance or live exit probabilities. Daily marks omit execution and intraday risk; scenario costs50bp assumed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"mc_replicates":10000,"block_length":5,"seed":9180601,"es95_bootstrap_95ci":[5.947079679683341,9.492034523351021],"var99_bootstrap_95ci":[6.596388501417263,13.503071533546148],"coverage_bootstrap_95ci_pct":[0,2.102803738317757]} Measured06UTC Sep18 from completed SIP adjusted bars. Current EEM/QQQ/IWM notionals89.95/103.11/83.46 selected retrospectively; historical risk diagnostic, not independent strategy performance or live exit probabilities. Daily marks omit execution and intraday risk; scenario costs50bp assumed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars

{"portfolio_holdout_daily_sd_dollars":3.5305783754733615,"independence_daily_sd_dollars":2.2396067056585327,"holdout_worst_daily_loss_dollars":15.128602659019238,"holdout_worst_day":"2025-04-04 04:00:00+00:00","holdout_empirical_daily_var99":9.368117815590535,"holdout_empirical_daily_es95":7.609459726169181,"ewma_decay":0.94,"training_standardized_loss_q99":3.015193606767333,"holdout_var99_exceedances":4,"holdout_var99_exceedance_rate_pct":0.9345794392523363,"latest_next_day_var99_dollars":8.343641803998846} Measured06UTC Sep18 from completed SIP adjusted bars. Current EEM/QQQ/IWM notionals89.95/103.11/83.46 selected retrospectively; historical risk diagnostic, not independent strategy performance or live exit probabilities. Daily marks omit execution and intraday risk; scenario costs50bp assumed. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars