Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. {"EEM":{"EEM":1,"QQQ":0.6929633476476149,"IWM":0.6507916837227055},"QQQ":{"EEM":0.6929633476476149,"QQQ":1,"IWM":0.7785802945417117},"IWM":{"EEM":0.6507916837227055,"QQQ":0.7785802945417117,"IWM":1}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: independent_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. {"p01":-19.57023865210427,"p05":-13.439106213579274,"median":2.5778309022182273,"mean":2.6777364221379094,"prob_loss":0.39825,"prob_loss30":0.00015,"es05":-17.1955094610215}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_iid
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. {"p01":-32.76254907968935,"p05":-22.41602014010171,"median":1.9648147526769801,"mean":2.5320445311655244,"prob_loss":0.44905,"prob_loss30":0.01505,"es05":-28.61101950104886}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: joint_block
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. {"p01":-32.79919741904743,"p05":-21.655714707388654,"median":2.909658317689602,"mean":2.714465051489629,"prob_loss":0.4217,"prob_loss30":0.0158,"es05":-28.431048746217193}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: seed = 91906
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. 91906
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: end
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. "2026-09-18"
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: start
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. "2021-09-20"
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: sample = 1255
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. 1255
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: block = 5
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. 5
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: H = 20
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. 20
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC joint-risk simulation: N = 20000
Core trend fractional2026-09-19 06:03
Measured Sep19; fixed today's EEM/QQQ/IWM basket at93.33 each. Historical adjusted close returns; no stops/ratchets/costs/rebalance. Model diagnostics not live odds or independent validation. 20000
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?feed=sip&adjustment=all
06UTC quantitative eligible
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
Computed06UTC Sep19 on split-normalized bars throughSep18; descriptive, no causal or strategy validation claim. 4
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative indicator_corr
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
Computed06UTC Sep19 on split-normalized bars throughSep18; descriptive, no causal or strategy validation claim. {"r21":{"r21":1,"r63":0.534688,"r126":0.68941,"r252":0.662118},"r63":{"r21":0.534688,"r63":1,"r126":0.338486,"r252":0.649424},"r126":{"r21":0.68941,"r63":0.338486,"r126":1,"r252":0.693433},"r252":{"r21":0.662118,"r63":0.649424,"r126":0.693433,"r252":1}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative five_year
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
Computed06UTC Sep19 on split-normalized bars throughSep18; descriptive, no causal or strategy validation claim. {"n":1255,"corr":{"XLK":{"XLK":1,"XLE":0.241529,"XLV":0.388204},"XLE":{"XLK":0.241529,"XLE":1,"XLV":0.2488},"XLV":{"XLK":0.388204,"XLE":0.2488,"XLV":1}},"ann_vol":{"XLK":0.2597661336235835,"XLE":0.2563091167749567,"XLV":0.15197385823461795},"basket_ann_vol":0.16277607370741043,"all_negative_fraction":0.14900398406374502,"basket_worst_day":-0.07089666234595027}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
06UTC quantitative 2026
Sector rotation2026-09-19 06:03
Computed06UTC Sep19 on split-normalized bars throughSep18; descriptive, no causal or strategy validation claim. {"n":179,"corr":{"XLK":{"XLK":1,"XLE":-0.247776,"XLV":-0.158572},"XLE":{"XLK":-0.247776,"XLE":1,"XLV":-0.078192},"XLV":{"XLK":-0.158572,"XLE":-0.078192,"XLV":1}},"ann_vol":{"XLK":0.2835588873548983,"XLE":0.23328115676346114,"XLV":0.16834922354661147},"basket_ann_vol":0.11010394791947922,"all_negative_fraction":0.061452513966480445,"basket_worst_day":-0.02626755283184627}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLRE R91906 full daily momentum signal and target = 0.0001291348666397074
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-19 06:03
{"symbol":"XLRE","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1519,"close":42.53,"returns":{"21":-0.054678817515003364,"63":-0.021849126034958477,"126":0.030281007751937983,"252":0.04676347526458269},"score":0.0001291348666397074,"sma200":42.77705,"atr20":0.5022400000000001,"high20":45.465,"p90":0.10853497921567627,"p90_n":1255,"above":false,"limit":42.74,"chosen_qty":0,"rank":8} Returns decimal, vendor all requested with verified missing splits repaired; ranks include ineligible names with above flag. 1519bars throughSep18; P90 uses60-session returns ending in5calendar years throughSep18. chosen_qty denotes existing pending, not new fill. MeasuredSep19.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?timeframe=1Day&feed=sip&adjustment=all&start=2020-09-01&end=2026-09-18T23:59:59Z&symbols=XLRE