Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
CAG R91908 FY26 cash and FY27 guide valuation inputs = 978.7
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:08
Issuer July15 2026 FY26 report: FCF978.7m vs1302.6m; net debt7050.4m, leverage3.83x; FY27 adjusted EPS guide1.40–1.50, organic sales-3%to-1%. Sep18 S15.13 implies forward adjustedPE10.09–10.81; historicalFCF/netdebt13.88%, not equityyield. Issuer optimistic incentives; forecast not actual result or surprise. https://www.conagrabrands.com/news-room/news-conagra-brands-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year-results-prn-122958
SFIX R91908 completed September18 technical measurements = 2.84
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:08
SIP adjustment=all daily bars Jan2023–Sep18 2026; ATR simple20 true ranges, RV sample log-return stdev annualized252, volume prior20 excludes current day; momentum20. {"close": 2.84, "sma50": 3.5039999999999996, "sma200": 3.9037, "ATR20": 0.12170000000000003, "RV20": 0.41420426238189206, "high252": 5.94, "volume_ratio": 2.0158832706756296, "momentum20": -0.14970059880239517} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IONS R91908 completed September18 technical measurements = 44.44
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:08
SIP adjustment=all daily bars Jan2023–Sep18 2026; ATR simple20 true ranges, RV sample log-return stdev annualized252, volume prior20 excludes current day; momentum20. {"close": 44.44, "sma50": 55.974399999999996, "sma200": 72.182175, "ATR20": 2.3925949999999996, "RV20": 0.5307316366166017, "high252": 86.74, "volume_ratio": 2.1003621095669582, "momentum20": -0.24370319945541186} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
ABVX R91908 completed September18 technical measurements = 105.04
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:08
SIP adjustment=all daily bars Jan2023–Sep18 2026; ATR simple20 true ranges, RV sample log-return stdev annualized252, volume prior20 excludes current day; momentum20. {"close": 105.04, "sma50": 121.9122, "sma200": 118.97987499999999, "ATR20": 4.548764999999997, "RV20": 0.4538667298812206, "high252": 148.83, "volume_ratio": 0.7842695565900529, "momentum20": -0.11129912432844014} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CAG R91908 completed September18 technical measurements = 15.13
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:08
SIP adjustment=all daily bars Jan2023–Sep18 2026; ATR simple20 true ranges, RV sample log-return stdev annualized252, volume prior20 excludes current day; momentum20. {"close": 15.13, "sma50": 15.163199999999996, "sma200": 15.3402, "ATR20": 0.38700999999999997, "RV20": 0.2248564933163899, "high252": 19.59, "volume_ratio": 2.2531862811911423, "momentum20": -0.07006760909649656} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CAG R91908 October2025 actual issuer result date verified = 1
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
Sep19 retrieved actual issuer PDF p1 datedOctober1 2025, supplementing scheduledmorningdate announcement. Noactualminuteprovided; exclusion sensitivityN10median1.982852%,P804.58254%, currentP14failsunchanged. Supersedespreviousnote thatactualfirst-newsdate unverified; minute remainsunknown. https://www.conagrabrands.com/files/events/2025-10-01/Q1FY26-Earnings-Press-Release
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 9 = 4
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261030P00008000","strike":8,"ask":0.12,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:52.183658626Z","hurdle":0.4791804362194316,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016P00008000","strike":8,"ask":0.27,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.489829191Z","hurdle":0.48909451421017847,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00023000","strike":23,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.681130337Z","hurdle":0.5254461335095836,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00024000","strike":24,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.681952775Z","hurdle":0.5915399867812293,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 8 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261023P00009000","strike":9,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:50.37162982Z","hurdle":0.40978189028420364,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00009000","strike":9,"ask":0.23,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:53.334294526Z","hurdle":0.42035690680766696,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016P00009000","strike":9,"ask":0.27,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.99437797Z","hurdle":0.4230006609385327,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00009000","strike":9,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.479425292Z","hurdle":0.4236615994712492,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00021500","strike":21.5,"ask":0.23,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:53.033390058Z","hurdle":0.4362194315928618,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00021500","strike":21.5,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.480097506Z","hurdle":0.4395241242564441,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00022000","strike":22,"ask":0.17,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:50.350203706Z","hurdle":0.4653007270323859,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00008000","strike":8,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:50.37162982Z","hurdle":0.4732319894249835,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 7 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261030P00010000","strike":10,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582299266Z","hurdle":0.3436880370125579,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00010000","strike":10,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:48.982432437Z","hurdle":0.3436880370125579,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016P00010000","strike":10,"ask":0.12,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.738968242Z","hurdle":0.34699272967614014,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00020500","strike":20.5,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:58:55.696797518Z","hurdle":0.3569068076668869,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00020500","strike":20.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:00.502323338Z","hurdle":0.35955056179775274,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00021000","strike":21,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:44.04170107Z","hurdle":0.3899537343027098,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00021000","strike":21,"ask":0.12,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:52.184114936Z","hurdle":0.3959021810971579,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00021000","strike":21,"ask":0.23,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:56.254905683Z","hurdle":0.40317250495703894,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 6 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261030C00019500","strike":19.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:48.982735517Z","hurdle":0.293456708526107,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00019500","strike":19.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.059439612Z","hurdle":0.293456708526107,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00019500","strike":19.5,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:16.849124966Z","hurdle":0.3073364177131526,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00010500","strike":10.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:02.001193982Z","hurdle":0.31064111037673503,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00010500","strike":10.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:08.656439463Z","hurdle":0.31064111037673503,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00020000","strike":20,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:58:55.694587709Z","hurdle":0.32385988103106406,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00020000","strike":20,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.059436035Z","hurdle":0.3265036351619299,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00020000","strike":20,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T13:32:13.505164544Z","hurdle":0.3265036351619299,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 5 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261023P00011500","strike":11.5,"ask":0.13,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:52.868737518Z","hurdle":0.248512888301388,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00019000","strike":19,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.58230914Z","hurdle":0.2577660277594183,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00019000","strike":19,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:58:12.424359678Z","hurdle":0.2577660277594183,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00019000","strike":19,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:50.370316632Z","hurdle":0.2610707204230006,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00019000","strike":19,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.479961816Z","hurdle":0.27428949107732975,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00011000","strike":11,"ask":0.03,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:36.909123934Z","hurdle":0.27495042961004634,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00011000","strike":11,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:45.080413563Z","hurdle":0.27759418374091216,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00011000","strike":11,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:55:44.90607557Z","hurdle":0.2914738929279578,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 4 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261009C00018000","strike":18,"ask":0.27,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.480172049Z","hurdle":0.20753469927296755,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00012000","strike":12,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582514916Z","hurdle":0.21216126900198287,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00012000","strike":12,"ask":0.12,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:58:55.694451449Z","hurdle":0.2148050231328487,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016P00012000","strike":12,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:49.990370012Z","hurdle":0.225380039656312,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00012000","strike":12,"ask":0.28,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.480427689Z","hurdle":0.225380039656312,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00018500","strike":18.5,"ask":0.07,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.120192233Z","hurdle":0.22736285525446126,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00018500","strike":18.5,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:44.041690804Z","hurdle":0.22802379378717774,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00011500","strike":11.5,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:58:55.696800034Z","hurdle":0.24520819563780571,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 3 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261030C00017500","strike":17.5,"ask":0.13,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:52.461807529Z","hurdle":0.16523463317911427,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3237},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00017500","strike":17.5,"ask":0.18,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:42.859570153Z","hurdle":0.16853932584269657,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00012500","strike":12.5,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582330104Z","hurdle":0.17911434236616,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00012500","strike":12.5,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:00.492732199Z","hurdle":0.17911434236616,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00012500","strike":12.5,"ask":0.27,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.480293401Z","hurdle":0.19167217448777268,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261016C00018000","strike":18,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.738968242Z","hurdle":0.19497686715135487,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00018000","strike":18,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.692671349Z","hurdle":0.19497686715135487,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00018000","strike":18,"ask":0.08,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:08.905670329Z","hurdle":0.19497686715135487,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 2 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261016C00017000","strike":17,"ask":0.13,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582490736Z","hurdle":0.1321877065432914,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3654},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00017000","strike":17,"ask":0.13,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582283185Z","hurdle":0.1321877065432914,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3241},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00017000","strike":17,"ask":0.18,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.69816103Z","hurdle":0.13549239920687373,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.2982},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00013000","strike":13,"ask":0.13,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.682106846Z","hurdle":0.1493721083939194,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.4223},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00013000","strike":13,"ask":0.13,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582330104Z","hurdle":0.1493721083939194,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.386},{"symbol":"CAG261016P00013000","strike":13,"ask":0.17,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:50.150968344Z","hurdle":0.15201586252478524,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00013000","strike":13,"ask":0.17,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.058231293Z","hurdle":0.15201586252478524,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.5467},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00017500","strike":17.5,"ask":0.12,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.58230914Z","hurdle":0.16457369464639784,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3739}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
CAG R91908 affordable chain batch 1 = 8
Convex tail2026-09-19 08:07
RetrievedSep19;quotesSep18;expiry>=Oct7 forSep30event. S15.13. Rawindicativequotes notfills; all248snapshotspaginationcomplete. Rows use GAP P805.124056%; CLOSE P805.421332% also yields0intrinsicforall68affordablelegs. [{"symbol":"CAG261016P00014000","strike":14,"ask":0.23,"bid":0.08,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.652521928Z","hurdle":0.08988764044943824,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0.03219685452887034,"iv":0.3516},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00016500","strike":16.5,"ask":0.22,"bid":0.07,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.157050017Z","hurdle":0.10508922670191666,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3974},{"symbol":"CAG261023C00016500","strike":16.5,"ask":0.27,"bid":0.12,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582500308Z","hurdle":0.10839391936549896,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3389},{"symbol":"CAG261030C00016500","strike":16.5,"ask":0.28,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.40554951Z","hurdle":0.10905485789821541,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.2801},{"symbol":"CAG261023P00013500","strike":13.5,"ask":0.22,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.582864964Z","hurdle":0.12227362855254466,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3712},{"symbol":"CAG261009P00013500","strike":13.5,"ask":0.23,"bid":0.03,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:51.155248537Z","hurdle":0.12293456708526111,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.4861},{"symbol":"CAG261030P00013500","strike":13.5,"ask":0.27,"bid":0.12,"time":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.583578315Z","hurdle":0.12557832121612694,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":0.3979},{"symbol":"CAG261009C00017000","strike":17,"ask":0.12,"bid":0,"time":"2026-09-18T19:55:07.301873246Z","hurdle":0.13152676801057497,"p80payoff":0,"multiple":0,"coverage":0,"intrinsic_mean_multiple":0,"iv":null}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CAG?feed=indicative
FRO R91908 correlations
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
{"LPG":{"LPG":1,"SPY":0.15849,"STNG":0.57383,"BWLP":0.74201,"FRO":0.60907},"SPY":{"LPG":0.15849,"SPY":1,"STNG":0.07594,"BWLP":0.11889,"FRO":0.14275},"STNG":{"LPG":0.57383,"SPY":0.07594,"STNG":1,"BWLP":0.56911,"FRO":0.70715},"BWLP":{"LPG":0.74201,"SPY":0.11889,"STNG":0.56911,"BWLP":1,"FRO":0.59406},"FRO":{"LPG":0.60907,"SPY":0.14275,"STNG":0.70715,"BWLP":0.59406,"FRO":1}} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R91908 simulation
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"pool":"all","block":5,"n":20000,"mean":1.351614705883044,"p_target":0.30215,"p_stop":0.6822,"p_time":0.01565,"p01":-11.351030110684434,"halfKellyWeight":0.49,"oneShareP99Loss":5.848377459804527},{"pool":"all","block":10,"n":20000,"mean":1.4769240750109107,"p_target":0.30415,"p_stop":0.67625,"p_time":0.0196,"p01":-10.715938678575176,"halfKellyWeight":0.5,"oneShareP99Loss":5.521160072462155},{"pool":"last252","block":5,"n":20000,"mean":7.048983723863435,"p_target":0.5063,"p_stop":0.4709,"p_time":0.0228,"p01":-8.396134990887994,"halfKellyWeight":0.5,"oneShareP99Loss":4.325930435508695},{"pool":"last252","block":10,"n":20000,"mean":6.6080459993708915,"p_target":0.4867,"p_stop":0.4861,"p_time":0.0272,"p01":-8.329699675532364,"halfKellyWeight":0.5,"oneShareP99Loss":4.2917010486537395},{"pool":"2026","block":5,"n":20000,"mean":9.458240336056498,"p_target":0.6042,"p_stop":0.3885,"p_time":0.0073,"p01":-8.329699675532364,"halfKellyWeight":0.5,"oneShareP99Loss":4.2917010486537395},{"pool":"2026","block":10,"n":20000,"mean":9.553602302996458,"p_target":0.60575,"p_stop":0.38375,"p_time":0.0105,"p01":-8.329699675532364,"halfKellyWeight":0.5,"oneShareP99Loss":4.2917010486537395}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R91908 statistics
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"period":"train","n":48,"mean":-1.677963275004787,"CI":[-0.05365428927867493,0.023445425462510328],"win":0.22916666666666666,"avgwin":0.21953834505209244,"avgloss":0.08703632885338689,"halfKellyRisk":0,"compounded":-71.04953424090627},{"period":"holdout","n":11,"mean":0.06372373588194262,"CI":[-0.05751349193611702,0.06443973106728047],"win":0.36363636363636365,"avgwin":0.12563536668054182,"avgloss":0.07079026511073623,"halfKellyRisk":0.0025360588170994514,"compounded":-4.889544523268674},{"period":"recent","n":6,"mean":10.433152806523744,"CI":[-0.006295856834177198,0.21095768586645205],"win":0.6666666666666666,"avgwin":0.1940922758003641,"avgloss":0.07518996740501588,"halfKellyRisk":0.26876785187615826,"compounded":72.86337084190751}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R91908 geometry
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
{"E":51.42,"S":48.201,"net3R":61.90136811795983,"risk":3.4182444142499975,"cost":51.522878565000006,"half_gap":25.864279282500004,"baseFCFyield":0.2012835472578763,"downFCFyield":0.132244262932711,"upFCFyield":0.2705173084402956,"FCF6multiple":62.1,"FCF5multiple":51.75,"netR6":3.057993151813137} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BWLP R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 6
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":20,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":82.88717331315368,"dd":19.32264223475223,"n":7,"win":71.42857142857143,"mean":9.661804144751141,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":20,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":74.1416164512579,"dd":19.885418243897092,"n":7,"win":71.42857142857143,"mean":8.896843142039867,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-2.9851669822482108,"dd":20.731015038604706,"n":4,"win":25,"mean":-0.15958527014037494,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-5.6639355631783355,"dd":21.833061269626274,"n":4,"win":25,"mean":-0.8560358197050283,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":74.9563410358439,"dd":10.368487114748504,"n":7,"win":71.42857142857143,"mean":8.928331435208582,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":66.59003190022025,"dd":11.329043774388525,"n":7,"win":57.14285714285714,"mean":8.168486872298109,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BWLP R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 0
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":10,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-26.380934356096734,"dd":36.5770700641306,"n":10,"win":20,"mean":-2.6384273636992908,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":10,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-31.35809382439826,"dd":39.39748977488768,"n":10,"win":20,"mean":-3.3175864091870135,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":10,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":68.09306199866714,"dd":21.17287501149807,"n":9,"win":55.55555555555556,"mean":6.7462107640443065,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":10,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":57.82976835798481,"dd":21.7227444673431,"n":9,"win":55.55555555555556,"mean":6.001587884104212,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":20,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-17.679001357267065,"dd":33.24910136625081,"n":8,"win":25,"mean":-2.0295482049527234,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"BWLP","lookback":20,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-22.162324569214025,"dd":35.76946703088314,"n":8,"win":25,"mean":-2.7129545707853753,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LPG R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 12
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"train","stress":false,"ret":1.0569843722804648,"dd":59.54944418991499,"n":40,"win":27.500000000000004,"mean":0.9681657309873901,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"train","stress":true,"ret":-23.62302197109484,"dd":62.72825040373778,"n":40,"win":27.500000000000004,"mean":0.2638483991519261,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":3.2418501707594487,"dd":25.92898355341027,"n":6,"win":33.33333333333333,"mean":1.4121485025278249,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-1.004557942901465,"dd":26.958764426000638,"n":6,"win":33.33333333333333,"mean":0.7047341077837814,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":57.728697563635876,"dd":23.165080142786188,"n":6,"win":66.66666666666666,"mean":8.687769951824736,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":51.2412080428303,"dd":23.701052697638836,"n":6,"win":66.66666666666666,"mean":7.929603458639417,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LPG R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 6
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"train","stress":false,"ret":-22.95765776614353,"dd":80.3149768063409,"n":49,"win":26.53061224489796,"mean":0.44323061703299876,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"train","stress":true,"ret":-45.328027262832066,"dd":84.8066914719456,"n":49,"win":26.53061224489796,"mean":-0.25742495769149726,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-17.335491545148784,"dd":41.265114558798565,"n":9,"win":22.22222222222222,"mean":-1.4094003523902454,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-22.38275592267282,"dd":43.28529948815123,"n":9,"win":22.22222222222222,"mean":-2.0971326448919365,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":68.66243227425319,"dd":24.342258427148668,"n":6,"win":66.66666666666666,"mean":9.988893478866286,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":20,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":61.725230745080786,"dd":24.870019412915934,"n":6,"win":66.66666666666666,"mean":9.221650819502065,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LPG R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 0
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"train","stress":false,"ret":119.21473812838789,"dd":70.44881646263345,"n":50,"win":34,"mean":2.702369399387059,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"train","stress":true,"ret":54.477388761901146,"dd":73.20748225567368,"n":50,"win":34,"mean":1.9859548912609912,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-15.635942784382054,"dd":44.59035982840551,"n":10,"win":20,"mean":-0.7299341066364473,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-21.339538211497107,"dd":46.496173029106636,"n":10,"win":20,"mean":-1.4224061094202611,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":72.01512903870292,"dd":26.18331986606488,"n":7,"win":57.14285714285714,"mean":9.20966630948311,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"LPG","lookback":10,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":63.7894669276785,"dd":26.698238274461193,"n":7,"win":57.14285714285714,"mean":8.44785925644946,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
STNG R91908 costed vectorbt parameter cells 12
Supply chain2026-09-19 08:07
[{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"train","stress":false,"ret":-36.77483455093933,"dd":74.69204084022148,"n":31,"win":32.25806451612903,"mean":-0.45526171356361966,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"train","stress":true,"ret":-49.108297438447245,"dd":78.22791663876804,"n":31,"win":29.03225806451613,"mean":-1.1496497314163117,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":false,"ret":-17.57781671465809,"dd":36.98756574738435,"n":9,"win":22.22222222222222,"mean":-1.6280152389253264,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"holdout","stress":true,"ret":-22.610285393051992,"dd":38.727461841963574,"n":9,"win":22.22222222222222,"mean":-2.314222553207701,"boundaries":0},{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":false,"ret":6.953038688903279,"dd":20.839322161245587,"n":5,"win":40,"mean":2.068193655316495,"boundaries":1},{"symbol":"STNG","lookback":40,"period":"recent","stress":true,"ret":3.274391573398088,"dd":22.754336757101346,"n":5,"win":40,"mean":1.3562029273467147,"boundaries":1}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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