XLF Sep18 completed sector signal refreshed Sep20 02UTC = 0.054345591571535234
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:02
{"symbol":"XLF","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1332,"close":55.86,"r21":-0.028183716075156573,"r63":0.04645934807043828,"r126":0.1500926497838171,"r252":0.049014084507042144,"avg":0.054345591571535234,"sma200":53.4515,"atr20":0.7088450000000005,"high20":58.6,"eligible":true,"p90":0.11838838877512908,"p90_n":1255,"gap_min":-0.03900853311661934,"gap_date":"2025-04-03","stop":54.44231,"target":62.47317539697871,"rank_all":4,"rank_eligible":4,"notional":0,"risk_fraction":0.025379341210168296,"stress_gap":0.1,"stress_loss":0}; SIP adjustment=all, conditional known Dec5 split repair; adjusted-close total-return proxy, independent dividend reconciliation remains open. Size conditional on RTH refresh; not an order.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLV Sep18 completed sector signal refreshed Sep20 02UTC = 0.12442229112273706
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:02
{"symbol":"XLV","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1332,"close":168.39,"r21":-0.04149590163934436,"r63":0.13210972166196022,"r126":0.1583545435784548,"r252":0.24872080088987758,"avg":0.12442229112273706,"sma200":155.18015000000003,"atr20":2.1654699999999965,"high20":175.82,"eligible":true,"p90":0.10628648222527133,"p90_n":1255,"gap_min":-0.02644902894279455,"gap_date":"2025-04-07","stop":164.05906,"target":186.28758074191344,"rank_all":3,"rank_eligible":3,"notional":86.66,"risk_fraction":0.025719698319377596,"stress_gap":0.1,"stress_loss":11.105282150721536}; SIP adjustment=all, conditional known Dec5 split repair; adjusted-close total-return proxy, independent dividend reconciliation remains open. Size conditional on RTH refresh; not an order.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLE Sep18 completed sector signal refreshed Sep20 02UTC = 0.1970521568219219
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:02
{"symbol":"XLE","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1332,"close":64.31,"r21":0.011481597986788383,"r63":0.20453268402322533,"r126":0.09837745516652441,"r252":0.47381689011114947,"avg":0.1970521568219219,"sma200":55.314825,"atr20":1.2647249999999997,"high20":66.17,"eligible":true,"p90":0.20627946697730823,"p90_n":1255,"gap_min":-0.0579273396952954,"gap_date":"2026-04-08","stop":61.780550000000005,"target":77.5758325213107,"rank_all":2,"rank_eligible":2,"notional":86.66,"risk_fraction":0.03933214119110557,"stress_gap":0.1158546793905908,"stress_loss":13.486896491048972}; SIP adjustment=all, conditional known Dec5 split repair; adjusted-close total-return proxy, independent dividend reconciliation remains open. Size conditional on RTH refresh; not an order.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
XLK Sep18 completed sector signal refreshed Sep20 02UTC = 0.2003611920730362
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:02
{"symbol":"XLK","date":"2026-09-18","bars":1332,"close":189.6,"r21":0.032454802875190536,"r63":-0.008420061712253624,"r126":0.3730175972192047,"r252":0.40439242991000324,"avg":0.2003611920730362,"sma200":162.235625,"atr20":3.1444999999999963,"high20":189.81,"eligible":true,"p90":0.18362192237650138,"p90_n":1255,"gap_min":-0.06259270246217741,"gap_date":"2024-08-05","stop":183.311,"target":224.41471648258465,"rank_all":1,"rank_eligible":1,"notional":86.66,"risk_fraction":0.033169831223628654,"stress_gap":0.12518540492435482,"stress_loss":13.796519621849056}; SIP adjustment=all, conditional known Dec5 split repair; adjusted-close total-return proxy, independent dividend reconciliation remains open. Size conditional on RTH refresh; not an order.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R92000 modeled cash yields and target-multiple sensitivity = 5.980808574
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:11
At51.42 fromvenue andAug28deck cash6.80/10.35/13.91, cashyields13.2244/20.1284/27.0517%;net3R61.901369 requires5.98081xbaseFCFor9.10314xdownside. These are assumptions/requiredmultiples,notfairvalue. Quarter charterearningdays21.6701%Q326->2.99266%Q327.
https://www.frontlineplc.cy/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Company-Presentation-Pareto-Conference-2026.pdf
R92000 daily distribution and correlation packet = 0.00122052679762677
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:11
{"POWL":{"daily_mean":0.0012326517841382747,"daily_sd":0.03329588951969574,"q01":-0.082345594557629,"q99":0.09082484013321984},"FRO":{"daily_mean":0.0007788352523989044,"daily_sd":0.03257957774388024,"q01":-0.08594454066669632,"q99":0.09086227530232058},"correlation252":0.00122052679762677};2692logreturns2016-Sep18,correlation simpledailyreturns last252. Descriptive selectedtwo stocks,not forecasts.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
R92000 remote coverage receipt = 13
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
Note3800 collector278 Sep19 23:31:04 reports END13/13,exit0;34runs remainingatcontext, hourly throughaboutSep21 08:31UTC. CompactPSIX/ALM270note3793END2/2unchanged; MondayACP388 retained. Receipt not proof underlyingpagecompleteness; no newjobneeded before02UTC.
query_research fund=supply kind=notes; https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions
BB R92000 final complete-chain gate counts and nearest rejection = 105
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
RetrievedSep20; 0 passing affordableexpiryeligiblelegs, ask<=.30 and expiry>=event+7days. S7.99; Oct2P7bid.06ask.20,P7.5bid.25ask.46 quoteSep18 19:59:59.828Z. InheritedN13median9.1152815%,P8012.832986%,P7hurdle14.893617%,P80multiple.176778. IssuerSep24 08EDTcall reverified https://investors.blackberry.com/ . Indicative quotes, not attainable fills.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/BB?feed=indicative
SFIX R92000 final complete-chain gate counts and nearest rejection = 19
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
RetrievedSep20; 0 passing affordableexpiryeligiblelegs, ask<=.30 and expiry>=event+7days. S2.84; Oct16P2.5bid.03ask.28, quoteSep18 19:59:55.952Z; inheritedN10median16.578014%,P8031.413933%,hurdle21.830986%,P80multiple1.971985; call2.5ask.53 oversized. Sep2issuer Sep23AMC/17ETcall reverified https://investors.stitchfix.com/news-events/press-releases/news-details/2026/Stitch-Fix-Announces-Date-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2026-Financial-Results-and-Conference-Call/default.aspx . Indicative quotes, not attainable fills.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SFIX?feed=indicative
LW R92000 final complete-chain gate counts and nearest rejection = 6
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
RetrievedSep20; 0 passing affordableexpiryeligiblelegs, ask<=.30 and expiry>=event+7days. S46.67; Oct16P37.5 bid.18 ask.23, quoteSep18 19:59:07.992Z, size20/65; inclusiveN11P80multiple.93123, hurdle20.1414%; P42.5bid.78ask1.02, costs102>30. Indicative quotes, not attainable fills.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/LW?feed=indicative
FRO R92000 60session block bootstrap last252 = 6.813956192591052
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"symbol":"FRO","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean":6.813956192591052,"pstop":47.905,"ptarget":49.7,"p_loss":48.17,"p01":-8.396135265700488,"halfKelly":0.5};joint OHLC/priorclose,5dayblocks,seed92000,20bp/side,stopfirst,gapworse,targetcapped. Historical resampling not live calibratedodds;halfKelly portfolio weight grid0..1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
FRO R92000 60session block bootstrap all = 1.4020893281369962
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"symbol":"FRO","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean":1.4020893281369962,"pstop":67.97999999999999,"ptarget":30.39,"p_loss":68.2,"p01":-11.11897053815226,"halfKelly":0.5};joint OHLC/priorclose,5dayblocks,seed92000,20bp/side,stopfirst,gapworse,targetcapped. Historical resampling not live calibratedodds;halfKelly portfolio weight grid0..1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 repaired regression receipt = 2
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
{"regressions":[{"feature":"mom20","corr":-0.09888696193966241,"coef":[-0.06643758320353046,-0.2880033712554161],"holdoutMAE":7.406768375909643},{"feature":"distSMA50","corr":0.14629280148550736,"coef":[-0.06311432326569552,0.5381122642016212],"holdoutMAE":1.107368916095698},{"feature":"RV20","corr":0.07065100661018345,"coef":[-0.11630454902311235,0.1772165012194842],"holdoutMAE":5.508470415972201},{"feature":"volratio","corr":-0.012507575792410767,"coef":[-0.059810247229316854,-0.00355855890595318],"holdoutMAE":5.217640253798112}],"nullMAE":4.882972642087758,"featurecorr":{"mom20":{"mom20":1,"distSMA50":0.7558751128467563,"RV20":-0.1042292216649193,"volratio":0.5480666637075435},"distSMA50":{"mom20":0.7558751128467563,"distSMA50":1,"RV20":-0.20293309232297138,"volratio":0.7157684642831947},"RV20":{"mom20":-0.1042292216649193,"distSMA50":-0.20293309232297138,"RV20":1,"volratio":-0.1161596605245535},"volratio":{"mom20":0.5480666637075435,"distSMA50":0.7157684642831947,"RV20":-0.1161596605245535,"volratio":1}}}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 60session block bootstrap last252 = 4.601960844929972
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"symbol":"POWL","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean":4.601960844929972,"pstop":61.129999999999995,"ptarget":37.03,"p_loss":61.370000000000005,"p01":-11.585224903017195,"halfKelly":0.5};joint OHLC/priorclose,5dayblocks,seed92000,20bp/side,stopfirst,gapworse,targetcapped. Historical resampling not live calibratedodds;halfKelly portfolio weight grid0..1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 repaired backtest receipt batch 2 = 4
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
[{"lag":5,"direction":"longonly","era":"train","ret":-1.8831741373188455,"dd":2.0383697779589705,"win":50,"n":8},{"lag":5,"direction":"longonly","era":"holdout","ret":-0.08282060381115529,"dd":0.2951152687022285,"win":50,"n":2},{"lag":5,"direction":"shortonly","era":"train","ret":1.6983371527359459,"dd":1.012639246450009,"win":50,"n":8},{"lag":5,"direction":"shortonly","era":"holdout","ret":0.035056357498022446,"dd":0.19707590749650228,"win":50,"n":2}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 repaired backtest receipt batch 1 = 4
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
[{"lag":3,"direction":"longonly","era":"train","ret":-1.949899808302774,"dd":2.264622219527046,"win":37.5,"n":8},{"lag":3,"direction":"longonly","era":"holdout","ret":-0.10113412883781761,"dd":0.2840925342991407,"win":50,"n":2},{"lag":3,"direction":"shortonly","era":"train","ret":1.7653302610109536,"dd":1.1716679110106543,"win":50,"n":8},{"lag":3,"direction":"shortonly","era":"holdout","ret":0.05344328335304667,"dd":0.15968442619489487,"win":50,"n":2}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 repaired backtest receipt batch 0 = 4
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:10
[{"lag":1,"direction":"longonly","era":"train","ret":-1.907859991288732,"dd":2.0069576597423033,"win":44.44444444444444,"n":9},{"lag":1,"direction":"longonly","era":"holdout","ret":-0.2673307857329064,"dd":0.28586474025974473,"win":50,"n":2},{"lag":1,"direction":"shortonly","era":"train","ret":1.6990738517609787,"dd":0.945215607445693,"win":44.44444444444444,"n":9},{"lag":1,"direction":"shortonly","era":"holdout","ret":0.22030605844599338,"dd":0.036535402529047634,"win":50,"n":2}]
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 60session block bootstrap all = 2.9544926709853545
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"symbol":"POWL","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean":2.9544926709853545,"pstop":61.68,"ptarget":28.884999999999998,"p_loss":63.305,"p01":-11.544226525478972,"halfKelly":0.5};joint OHLC/priorclose,5dayblocks,seed92000,20bp/side,stopfirst,gapworse,targetcapped. Historical resampling not live calibratedodds;halfKelly portfolio weight grid0..1.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 bootstrap trade packet recent = 0.22370564591199593
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"period":"recent","n":5,"win":0.6,"avgwin":0.3171302813317776,"avgloss":0.1209762498797749,"ci":[-4.229513339550834,32.60704710898216],"halfKelly":0.22370564591199593};20000IID trade bootstrap seed92000;CI mean percent,not future lossbound;halfKelly unit-risk fraction not portfolio-weight.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 bootstrap trade packet holdout = 0.06235507719444802
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"period":"holdout","n":16,"win":0.375,"avgwin":0.2794929521998447,"avgloss":0.11192679656878528,"ci":[-5.923894361835816,13.196013980605487],"halfKelly":0.06235507719444802};20000IID trade bootstrap seed92000;CI mean percent,not future lossbound;halfKelly unit-risk fraction not portfolio-weight.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 bootstrap trade packet train = 0
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:10
{"period":"train","n":49,"win":0.2653061224489796,"avgwin":0.1778424704222086,"avgloss":0.07163774404633291,"ci":[-3.7229215842946646,2.9661594011509513],"halfKelly":0};20000IID trade bootstrap seed92000;CI mean percent,not future lossbound;halfKelly unit-risk fraction not portfolio-weight.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 preexit numerical receipt = 50000
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:09
{"paths":50000,"steps":20,"eventstep":12,"preIV":0.5594,"initialmodel":0.23647441475788034,"scenarios":[{"vol":0.26,"mean":-13.81059507072913,"p05":-18.472194367635232,"target_pct":0.5559999999999999,"stop_pct":88.52},{"vol":0.4,"mean":-9.015445385528585,"p05":-19.786183637671385,"target_pct":7.005999999999999,"stop_pct":82.26400000000001},{"vol":0.6,"mean":0.8821487599948519,"p05":-21.114419246723916,"target_pct":20.698,"stop_pct":75.248}],"intrinsic_halfKelly":0.06703960396039604,"signed_win_fraction":0.18181818181818182,"mean_intrinsic":0.650307578224835}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
LW R92000 mc numerical receipt = 50000
Convex tail2026-09-20 00:09
{"paths":50000,"steps":20,"eventstep":12,"preIV":0.5594,"initialmodel":0.23647441475788034,"scenarios":[{"vol":0.26,"mean":3.2657104017657885,"p05":-24.89912667518346,"target_pct":4.828,"stop_pct":95.16},{"vol":0.4,"mean":8.808150953181896,"p05":-21.675173366840152,"target_pct":11.782,"stop_pct":88.21600000000001},{"vol":0.6,"mean":7.6663628887275745,"p05":-21.33210678035207,"target_pct":22.624,"stop_pct":77.374}],"intrinsic_halfKelly":0.06703960396039604,"signed_win_fraction":0.18181818181818182,"mean_intrinsic":0.650307578224835}
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 costed breakout L40 recent slip0.005 = 98.82461516322316
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:09
{"symbol":"POWL","L":40,"period":"recent","slip":0.005,"ret":98.82461516322316,"dd":18.385854696524483,"n":4,"win":75,"mean":20.33017597861894,"boundary":0}; fixed baseline target, fees5bp/side; nextopen,2ATRstop/net3R,60session,adjusted bars. Train2016-23 holdout2024-25 recent2026. Boundary count explicit. vectorbt reconciled compounded exits.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
POWL R92000 costed breakout L40 recent slip0.0015 = 104.47044250819866
Supply chain2026-09-20 00:09
{"symbol":"POWL","L":40,"period":"recent","slip":0.0015,"ret":104.47044250819866,"dd":18.38585469652444,"n":4,"win":75,"mean":21.175452016170976,"boundary":0}; fixed baseline target, fees5bp/side; nextopen,2ATRstop/net3R,60session,adjusted bars. Train2016-23 holdout2024-25 recent2026. Boundary count explicit. vectorbt reconciled compounded exits.
https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars