Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
R92002 broad dated-name chain discovery batch 12 = 568
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:18
[{"s":"JBL","S":299.57,"legs":518,"cheap":0,"nearest":[]},{"s":"KMX","S":57.21,"legs":50,"cheap":8,"nearest":[{"occ":"KMX261016P00042500","ask":0.23,"bid":0.12,"hurdle":0.2611431567907709,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.842971661Z"},{"occ":"KMX261016P00040000","ask":0.17,"bid":0.03,"hurdle":0.30379304317427025,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.840947778Z"}]}] FullpaginationOct2–Nov6range. Discoveryonly: nearestcheapmayexpirebeforeevent+7days; nofinaleligibilityclaimforNOK/MU/NKEearlyexpiries. QuotesSep18indicative,notfills;dates/same-kindstudiesneededfornewnames. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/
R92002 broad dated-name chain discovery batch 9 = 1447
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:18
[{"s":"SCHL","S":34.75,"legs":22,"cheap":0,"nearest":[]},{"s":"NKE","S":35.51,"legs":291,"cheap":77,"nearest":[{"occ":"NKE261002P00031000","ask":0.24,"bid":0.2,"hurdle":0.13376513658124467,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.408157661Z"},{"occ":"NKE261009P00031000","ask":0.3,"bid":0.22,"hurdle":0.1354548014643762,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.535654276Z"}]},{"s":"COST","S":895.31,"legs":1134,"cheap":101,"nearest":[{"occ":"COST261002P00760000","ask":0.18,"bid":0.05,"hurdle":0.1513330578235471,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.320411083Z"},{"occ":"COST261002P00750000","ask":0.22,"bid":0,"hurdle":0.16254705074220097,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.975131984Z"}]}] FullpaginationOct2–Nov6range. Discoveryonly: nearestcheapmayexpirebeforeevent+7days; nofinaleligibilityclaimforNOK/MU/NKEearlyexpiries. QuotesSep18indicative,notfills;dates/same-kindstudiesneededfornewnames. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/
R92002 broad dated-name chain discovery batch 6 = 114
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:18
[{"s":"GRAL","S":80.77,"legs":54,"cheap":0,"nearest":[]},{"s":"MIRM","S":91.83,"legs":60,"cheap":0,"nearest":[]},{"s":"BFRI","S":1.32,"legs":0,"cheap":0,"nearest":[]}] FullpaginationOct2–Nov6range. Discoveryonly: nearestcheapmayexpirebeforeevent+7days; nofinaleligibilityclaimforNOK/MU/NKEearlyexpiries. QuotesSep18indicative,notfills;dates/same-kindstudiesneededfornewnames. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/
R92002 broad dated-name chain discovery batch 3 = 276
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:18
[{"s":"SFIX","S":2.84,"legs":6,"cheap":3,"nearest":[{"occ":"SFIX261016P00002500","ask":0.28,"bid":0.03,"hurdle":0.21830985915492954,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:55.952414299Z"},{"occ":"SFIX261016C00005000","ask":0.03,"bid":0,"hurdle":0.7711267605633803,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:07.868931149Z"}]},{"s":"BB","S":7.99,"legs":230,"cheap":48,"nearest":[{"occ":"BB261002P00007000","ask":0.2,"bid":0.06,"hurdle":0.14893617021276598,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.82875205Z"},{"occ":"BB261009P00007000","ask":0.24,"bid":0.15,"hurdle":0.15394242803504382,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.82853184Z"}]},{"s":"LW","S":46.67,"legs":40,"cheap":6,"nearest":[{"occ":"LW261016P00037500","ask":0.23,"bid":0.18,"hurdle":0.20141418470109282,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:07.992835618Z"},{"occ":"LW261016C00057500","ask":0.22,"bid":0.12,"hurdle":0.23676880222841223,"t":"2026-09-18T19:58:35.073970458Z"}]}] FullpaginationOct2–Nov6range. Discoveryonly: nearestcheapmayexpirebeforeevent+7days; nofinaleligibilityclaimforNOK/MU/NKEearlyexpiries. QuotesSep18indicative,notfills;dates/same-kindstudiesneededfornewnames. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/
R92002 broad dated-name chain discovery batch 0 = 3034
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:18
[{"s":"CNXC","S":27.87,"legs":20,"cheap":2,"nearest":[{"occ":"CNXC261016P00017500","ask":0.27,"bid":0.08,"hurdle":0.3817725152493721,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:12.179051978Z"},{"occ":"CNXC261016P00015000","ask":0.23,"bid":0.07,"hurdle":0.4700394689630427,"t":"2026-09-18T19:58:04.926191542Z"}]},{"s":"NOK","S":10.68,"legs":304,"cheap":94,"nearest":[{"occ":"NOK261002P00010000","ask":0.23,"bid":0.21,"hurdle":0.08520599250936327,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.962889807Z"},{"occ":"NOK261009P00010000","ask":0.28,"bid":0.25,"hurdle":0.08988764044943819,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.983573188Z"}]},{"s":"MU","S":1015.8,"legs":2710,"cheap":181,"nearest":[{"occ":"MU261002P00585000","ask":0.3,"bid":0.01,"hurdle":0.42439456585942115,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.406559677Z"},{"occ":"MU261002P00580000","ask":0.27,"bid":0.1,"hurdle":0.42928726127190386,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:59.700309999Z"}]}] FullpaginationOct2–Nov6range. Discoveryonly: nearestcheapmayexpirebeforeevent+7days; nofinaleligibilityclaimforNOK/MU/NKEearlyexpiries. QuotesSep18indicative,notfills;dates/same-kindstudiesneededfornewnames. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/
TH R92002 venue contract identity and historical quote distinction = 100
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:17
QueriedSep20:TH261016C00027000 active/tradable American standard100shares/multiplier100,OIunknown,metadataSept18close.09. Indicativebid.07ask.18sizes116/86Sept18 19:57:59;18USDpremiumnot9USDmetadata. NearerC26activeOI13metadata.19butneedask (notassumedaffordable),C25OI533metadata.33. C27gross19.895xP80 withN4nextopenstudy; hypotheticalstop.09,target3.58,notorder. option_contracts
HALO R92002 venue contract identity and close-price mismatch = 100
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:17
QueriedSep20:HALO261016C00130000 active/tradable American standard100shares,100multiplier,OIunknown,metadata close.35datedSep15. IndicativeSept18bid0ask.23size0/15,latesttrade.33Sep15; do not substitute35USDmetadataclosefor23USDask orclaimexecutablequote. NearerC125metadata.53,chainreprice needed; chosenC130currentgross7.968xP80,50%stop.115/P80target1.83hypothetical. option_contracts
TH R92002 mctail option path sensitivity 6 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","targetprice":3.58,"iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-3.5416888084229163,"median":-12.67875280774188,"P05":-17.44907720862383,"win":0.042133333333333335,"stop":0.9565,"target":0.0177,"full_loss":0.039233333333333335},{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","targetprice":3.58,"iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":7.279610427344152,"median":-13.012514945100495,"P05":-18.473143180641515,"win":0.0797,"stop":0.9187333333333333,"target":0.045566666666666665,"full_loss":0.05846666666666667},{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","targetprice":3.58,"iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":28.750056236349923,"median":-13.165595817448121,"P05":-18.850922253277254,"win":0.13646666666666665,"stop":0.8623666666666666,"target":0.1102,"full_loss":0.07376666666666666}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HALO R92002 mctail option path sensitivity 3 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","targetprice":1.93,"iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-12.89104931768019,"median":-13.113636998117922,"P05":-17.17107813053041,"win":0.0034,"stop":0.9965,"target":0.0031333333333333335,"full_loss":0.034166666666666665},{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","targetprice":1.93,"iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":-10.205860338749213,"median":-13.569104299303518,"P05":-18.056871688139985,"win":0.0205,"stop":0.9794666666666667,"target":0.0195,"full_loss":0.0519},{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","targetprice":1.93,"iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":-0.8357234186643318,"median":-14.18673682449814,"P05":-18.868706884331708,"win":0.07396666666666667,"stop":0.926,"target":0.07353333333333334,"full_loss":0.09923333333333334}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HALO R92002 mctail option path sensitivity 0 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","targetprice":1.83,"iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-8.269430599095287,"median":-16.16805858871799,"P05":-21.70667967408652,"win":0.04936666666666667,"stop":0.9505,"target":0.048133333333333334,"full_loss":0.030333333333333334},{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","targetprice":1.83,"iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":1.4242160309647869,"median":-16.482242146598878,"P05":-22.351755734969718,"win":0.10743333333333334,"stop":0.8925666666666666,"target":0.10656666666666667,"full_loss":0.036166666666666666},{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","targetprice":1.83,"iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":16.25522018920412,"median":-16.4451900605012,"P05":-23.033566074836976,"win":0.19456666666666667,"stop":0.8054,"target":0.19446666666666668,"full_loss":0.0511}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TH R92002 mc option path sensitivity 6 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-7.886605283660142,"median":-12.449135461811936,"P05":-16.39025156937178,"win":0.11056666666666666,"stop":0.8893333333333333,"target":0.11043333333333333,"full_loss":0.019066666666666666},{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":-4.707827127715289,"median":-12.536057013921312,"P05":-17.007302142015455,"win":0.1848,"stop":0.8151333333333334,"target":0.1846,"full_loss":0.030133333333333335},{"s":"TH","K":27,"paid":0.18,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.6851261646420067,"rv60":0.5840230132559768,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":0.022086684885183967,"median":-12.293801554098174,"P05":-17.515256510848108,"win":0.29006666666666664,"stop":0.7099333333333333,"target":0.2900333333333333,"full_loss":0.035333333333333335}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HALO R92002 mc option path sensitivity 3 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-11.464094908850168,"median":-12.963999882977555,"P05":-16.8499760714983,"win":0.04176666666666667,"stop":0.9582333333333334,"target":0.04176666666666667,"full_loss":0.0268},{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":-9.213097439157545,"median":-13.207321621234584,"P05":-17.491684148333892,"win":0.0966,"stop":0.9034,"target":0.0966,"full_loss":0.035},{"s":"HALO","K":95,"paid":0.18,"cp":"P","iv_fit":0.38114006952152024,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":-4.531570755523769,"median":-13.368839625016353,"P05":-18.35113830804915,"win":0.20666666666666667,"stop":0.7933333333333333,"target":0.20666666666666667,"full_loss":0.07193333333333334}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HALO R92002 mc option path sensitivity 0 = 30000
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
[{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":0.75,"N":30000,"mean":-8.89515258921102,"median":-15.750850428803131,"P05":-20.850703469679,"win":0.1274,"stop":0.8726,"target":0.1274,"full_loss":0.018333333333333333},{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1,"N":30000,"mean":-3.583402652633026,"median":-15.825341593467511,"P05":-21.44267906969321,"win":0.22196666666666667,"stop":0.7780333333333334,"target":0.22193333333333334,"full_loss":0.021233333333333333},{"s":"HALO","K":130,"paid":0.23,"cp":"C","iv_fit":0.33414218773462845,"rv60":0.45299795674716264,"scale":1.5,"N":30000,"mean":1.7826315964648145,"median":-15.461527142636644,"P05":-22.65457999301854,"win":0.3174,"stop":0.6826,"target":0.3174,"full_loss":0.034866666666666664}] NumPyseed92002,252dailyreturnIIDbootstrap,20steps25caldays hypotheticalSep21entry,constantBSMIVfittoask,r4%,stop50%,targets capped at stated price,.01exitfriction+1USDfee; modelnotfills. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
TH R92002 indicator correlations and chronological regressions = 2
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
{"s":"TH","current":{"mom20":0.20192853091321616,"dist50":0.21966662061979103,"rv20":0.6891776758119668,"vr":2.4195459251783733},"featurecorr":{"mom20":{"mom20":1,"dist50":0.8977127300149603,"rv20":0.7105159936786607,"vr":0.13502632778177204},"dist50":{"mom20":0.8977127300149603,"dist50":1,"rv20":0.6668649570007068,"vr":0.131037955488919},"rv20":{"mom20":0.7105159936786607,"dist50":0.6668649570007068,"rv20":1,"vr":0.18904551127485889},"vr":{"mom20":0.13502632778177204,"dist50":0.131037955488919,"rv20":0.18904551127485889,"vr":1}},"regressions":[{"feature":"mom20","corr":1,"coef":[-5.530600393189074,16.616599375393537],"MAE":1.022149963179038},{"feature":"dist50","corr":-1,"coef":[2.3667489028279944,-4.610094218446491],"MAE":0.39992887413086303},{"feature":"rv20","corr":1,"coef":[-1.140219872191624,1.1380365523318086],"MAE":0.5189002872732229},{"feature":"vr","corr":1,"coef":[-0.4589668764592188,0.10109351163937304],"MAE":0.3051035897415185}],"train":2,"test":2,"nullMAE":0.2884166750038654} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
HALO R92002 indicator correlations and chronological regressions = 3
Convex tail2026-09-20 02:14
{"s":"HALO","current":{"mom20":0.059649453448925804,"dist50":0.17141395758741873,"rv20":0.21406831671968268,"vr":6.930643987473309},"featurecorr":{"mom20":{"mom20":1,"dist50":0.8850712730067118,"rv20":0.5249851201273023,"vr":0.105254746945394},"dist50":{"mom20":0.8850712730067118,"dist50":1,"rv20":0.5071235840790429,"vr":0.13199728261642732},"rv20":{"mom20":0.5249851201273023,"dist50":0.5071235840790429,"rv20":1,"vr":-0.05656539178985633},"vr":{"mom20":0.105254746945394,"dist50":0.13199728261642732,"rv20":-0.05656539178985633,"vr":1}},"regressions":[{"feature":"mom20","corr":0.40795209603685034,"coef":[-0.06365496346197759,0.5326273593405505],"MAE":0.2188841179140324},{"feature":"dist50","corr":0.03323438800609336,"coef":[0.004664532631087741,0.07204560149543948],"MAE":0.2078025596490262},{"feature":"rv20","corr":-0.008359939159144401,"coef":[0.019453654318813747,-0.00811489459415411],"MAE":0.20677990276481142},{"feature":"vr","corr":0.07582688061273701,"coef":[0.00795220055119001,0.0015628420922032004],"MAE":0.2089745022994224}],"train":14,"test":3,"nullMAE":0.20722040709997258} https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
AMTX R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell last252 = 0.30327760876345855
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"AMTX","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.30327760876345855,"stop_pct":73.05,"target_pct":26.195,"loss_pct":73.26,"p01_pct":-23.67041594800231,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.0325}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
AMTX R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell all = 0.20836553225428178
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"AMTX","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.20836553225428178,"stop_pct":73.9,"target_pct":25.695,"loss_pct":74.005,"p01_pct":-18.59102183865303,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.023}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BTDR R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell last252 = 2.012642887272298
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"BTDR","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean_pct":2.012642887272298,"stop_pct":70.30999999999999,"target_pct":28.455000000000002,"loss_pct":70.54,"p01_pct":-25.381643842189465,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.152}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BTDR R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell all = 4.463838222980229
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"BTDR","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean_pct":4.463838222980229,"stop_pct":66.69500000000001,"target_pct":32.684999999999995,"loss_pct":66.86,"p01_pct":-21.44237987658056,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.3395}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IMOS R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell last252 = 4.593514574788501
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"IMOS","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean_pct":4.593514574788501,"stop_pct":58.585,"target_pct":41.349999999999994,"loss_pct":58.589999999999996,"p01_pct":-10.894278066407328,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.5}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
IMOS R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell all = 1.1555997556974038
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"IMOS","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean_pct":1.1555997556974038,"stop_pct":63.63999999999999,"target_pct":23.395,"loss_pct":65.66,"p01_pct":-11.304073683801633,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.385}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CE R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell last252 = 0.10697995547923225
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"CE","window":"last252","paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.10697995547923225,"stop_pct":72.82,"target_pct":24.115000000000002,"loss_pct":73.355,"p01_pct":-9.199993841260012,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.03}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
CE R92002 60000? correction 20000 paths per cell all = 0.6824674275400909
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"CE","window":"all","paths":20000,"mean_pct":0.6824674275400909,"stop_pct":61.94499999999999,"target_pct":18.834999999999997,"loss_pct":64.97,"p01_pct":-18.516060747994437,"halfKelly_capital_grid":0.2135}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
AMTX R92002 distribution and costed bracket = 2.9610092324930615
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"AMTX","daily_n":2692,"mean":-0.00006887192545741574,"sd":0.06766354625945427,"q01":-0.1606169872306013,"q99":0.1943071479777326,"entry":2.16,"stop":1.9045400000000003,"net3R_hurdle":2.9610092324930615,"risk_per_share":0.2635892715949999,"gap50_one_share_loss":1.0864808100000003}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
BTDR R92002 distribution and costed bracket = 18.75244571547917
Supply chain2026-09-20 02:14
{"symbol":"BTDR","daily_n":860,"mean":0.0007121538284950934,"sd":0.07478903672118868,"q01":-0.1945471959983933,"q99":0.21237700485171,"entry":12.97,"stop":11.111830000000001,"net3R_hurdle":18.75244571547917,"risk_per_share":1.906335053627501,"gap50_one_share_loss":6.523914863750002}; NumPy seed92002, 5-day joint OHLC/prior-close blocks, 60sessions, stop-first, gap-worse, target-capped,20bp/side. Bracket is required payoff, not valuation. Historical bootstrap odds not calibrated future probabilities. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
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