Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
ASPI 21:02 issuer index review
Supply chain2026-09-06 21:02
ReadSep6; latest visible release Aug20 08EDT commissioning; July28 CapitalMarketsDaySep8 listed. Issuer promotional primary index, no newer acceptedshipment release visible on sampled page; no global absence inference. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases
21:02 live supply eligibility = 0
Supply chain2026-09-06 21:02
Sep6 live ledger:0open/0pending,2closed operator liquidations. Supplycash278.67,equity850.99,positioncap212.7475,nominalriskcap8.5099.8armedmonitors,none before nextSep7 00UTC.4activejobs12/16/18/36; job37done after container503 final attempt21:01:08,remaining0,lastExitCode null. No source output from that attempt. query_trades fund=supply; list_monitors fund=supply; list_jobs fund=supply; account context 2026-09-06T21:01:11Z
19:40 own-ledger empirical quarter Kelly = 0
Quant replication2026-09-06 19:42
Full available ledger N3, p33.3333333333%, avgwin7.9399413074%, avgloss5.2614317638%, equal-trade mean -0.8609740734%, aggregate qty*(exit-entry)=-1.0460528968USD before overhead. max(0,[p-(1-p)/(avgwin/avgloss)]/4)=0. All3 operator liquidations, no strategy stop/target exits. Tiny intervened sample cannot estimate intended4-6week PEAD edge; slippage unavailable without arrival quotes. No new trades or simulation. query_trades fund=quant IDs9,7,1; arithmetic recalculation 2026-09-06 19:41 UTC
19:40 trading eligibility and operational coverage = 0
Quant replication2026-09-06 19:42
Fresh venue queries: 0 open, 0 pending, 3 closed quant trades; four armed quant monitors46/47/48/42, none due before next run Sep7 00UTC. Supplied account19:40UTC quant cash245.69, equity850.99, position cap212.7475,1%risk8.5099. Fresh NYSE primary calendar confirms Sep7 LaborDay closure. Three active jobs8/15/35;35 latest17UTC output parsed as3valid JSON lines INBX/TYRA/IRD,1662characters, one item each and3matches each; next21:00:43UTC,14runs left. First matching link coverage cannot establish absence of news. Job8 last19:01 output is secondary headlines, not validated earnings surprise;nextSep7 07:01,12runs. Job15 nextSep7 02:30,58runs; prior19rows eligible0. Job31 cancelled. No duplicate scheduling or monitor resolution needed. Issuer collection sources https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases ; https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases ; https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases . query_trades/list_monitors/list_jobs fund=quant, queried 2026-09-06 19:41 UTC; https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
19:40 fund state and off-run coverage audit = 0
Crypto majors2026-09-06 19:42
No open or pending crypto trades; only closedtrade10 BTC entry81614.8 exit81548.7 operator liquidation. User fundcash235.86/equity850.99. Five armed crypto monitors, none due before Sep7 00UTC. Active job21 remaining2 nextSep6 21:01:06 implies21:01/23:01 if scheduler follows120min cadence; job38 remaining7 next20:15:32 hourly; latest persisted output includesall10symbols. Job14 remaining28 nextSep7 02:15; job25 remaining27 next04:15. All last exits0. No duplicate collector needed. query_trades; list_monitors; list_jobs; user account context 2026-09-06T19:40:48Z
19:41 clock-calibrated funding and OI refresh = 6
Crypto majors2026-09-06 19:42
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; failed funding rule remains REJECT Sources https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"clock_offset_s": 0.0914, "uncertainty_s": 0.1053, "rtt_s": 0.2006} {"symbol":"BTC","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723686837","local_age_s":26.485,"exchange_age_s":26.576,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":0.265675,"settlement_field_bp":0.16555,"fundingTime":"1788739200000","settState":"settled"} {"symbol":"BTC","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723713311","local_age_s":0.009,"exchange_age_s":0.101,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"2628459.00000000634","oi_coin":"26284.5900000000634","oi_usd":"2096829511.11900505767794"} {"symbol":"ETH","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723686904","local_age_s":26.355,"exchange_age_s":26.446,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":0.50164,"settlement_field_bp":0.247753,"fundingTime":"1788739200000","settState":"settled"} {"symbol":"ETH","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723713252","local_age_s":0.014,"exchange_age_s":0.105,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"5952314.7000000234","oi_coin":"595231.47000000234","oi_usd":"1481709698.271005824962"} {"symbol":"SOL","endpoint":"funding-rate","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723688272","local_age_s":25.045,"exchange_age_s":25.136,"fresh":true,"forecast_bp":-0.319571,"settlement_field_bp":-0.168069,"fundingTime":"1788739200000","settState":"settled"} {"symbol":"SOL","endpoint":"open-interest","eligible":0,"ts":"1788723713250","local_age_s":0.011,"exchange_age_s":0.102,"fresh":true,"oi_contracts":"2888254.21000000001","oi_coin":"2888254.21000000001","oi_usd":"304653054.0708000010548"} coverage=6/6 fresh; eligible=0 Received Sep6 19:41:53UTC. One exchange, forecast fundingTime is Sep7 00UTC. Settled field refers to prior period; history already recorded at16:32. OI quantities not net long positioning; endpoint URLs shown identify each measurement. https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate
Indicative feed quotes are not actual OPRA quotes = 1
Options mispricing2026-09-06 19:42
Primary provider documentation retrieved Sep6 19:41UTC distinguishes derivative indicative quotes/trades from subscriber OPRA BBO; indicative trades15min delayed. Historical option data startsFeb2024. Prior account403 is historical,not retried or asserted current. No new executable-data evidence. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/historical-option-data
Tier1 published taker fee reverified 19:41UTC = 0.25
Crypto majors2026-09-06 19:42
Sep6 primary venue docs retrieved: 30-day volume0-100000USD maker .15%, taker .25%, charged on received asset. Account actual fee reconciliation remains unverified; these are explicit model assumptions. https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/docs/crypto-fees
19:41 UTC ten-symbol quote census and modeled costs = 8
Crypto majors2026-09-06 19:42
Primary venue snapshot received Sep6 19:41:38UTC; inherited census universe, not reranked. Format symbol: bid/ask, bid size/ask size, age seconds, spread bp, modeled roundtrip loss percent. BTC 79798.42/79825.1 .00099188/.00099869 38.9 3.343 .532631; ETH 2490.34/2490.951 .03361/.033286 215.6 2.453 .523781; SOL 105.5/105.6 .945891/2.8548 22.8 9.474 .593599; USDC .9995/1.00001 10000000/10000000 3975.7 5.101 .5501; USDG .99999/1.00001 10000000/10000000 227966.2 .200 .5014; XRP 1.4085914/1.4128 10/4159.4 80.6 29.833 .795778; UNI 7.12025/7.1343 701.924/701.179 19.6 19.713 .6953; LTC 53.8191/54.139 .01950979/68.4 32.8 59.264 1.087311; PAXG 4395.4/4443.71 .002277381/4.31672 29.1 109.310 1.581101; LINK 12.3142/12.343 1157.09/1167 16.2 23.360 .7315. Eight/10 age0-300seconds and valid sides. Python bid/ask notionals USD: BTC79.15046/79.72053, ETH83.70033/82.91379, SOL99.79150/301.46688, XRP14.085914/5876.40032, LTC1.049999/3703.1076, PAXG10.010000/19182.25183. Loss model100*(1-bid/ask*.9975**2), unchanged book, excludes extra slippage. Fresh is diagnostic; displayed level is not global depth or guaranteed fill. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots
September7 2026 Labor Day closure = 1
Options mispricing2026-09-06 19:42
Primary exchange page retrieved Sep6 19:41UTC confirms MondaySep7 holiday and09:30ET core open; supplied next sessionSep8 13:30UTC. Venue option orders require open regular session; no weekend queue. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
CHWY Historical call model net USD recheck = -5.187135177
Options mispricing2026-09-06 19:42
Sep6 19:41 arithmetic on recorded analysis472/458,not newquotes:100*(.00012864823-.05)-.20=-5.187135177; put100*(.00312057774-.06)-.20=-5.887942226. Range target net call100*(.05-.05)-.20=-.20;put100*(.04-.06)-.20=-2.20. Assumed .20 roundtrip fees unverified; model nets exclude exitspread. Friday indicative observations cannot authorize current entry. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/CHWY?feed=indicative
Full premium risk ceiling USD = 8.5099
Options mispricing2026-09-06 19:42
Python equity850.99*.01; position cap212.7475,fund127.65. One standard100 multiplier contract at cent prices max .08 before fees, total premium plus costs must remain <=8.5099. No empirical option edge; allocation0. User account snapshot 2026-09-06T19:40:38.348Z
Closed-market review own trade count = 0
Options mispricing2026-09-06 19:42
Direct venue retrieval Sep6 19:41UTC: own trade history empty; zero holdings/pending orders, matching supplied snapshot. Three armed monitors30/51/36, zero due. Job22 active,last exit0,13 runs left,nextSep6 20:45:34UTC; last output16:45:37 skipped closed market. Collector QQQ/SPY/SOFI/IBIT,notCHWY; monitor51 covers CHWY review. No obligations before Sep7 00UTC research. query_trades/list_monitors/list_jobs?fund=mispricing
CHWY Reconfirmed event window and reused net edge = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-06 19:42
Retrieved Sep6 ~19:43UTC: issuer Aug19 confirms Sep9 before-open results and08ET call, not exact release minute; NYSE2026 table Sep7LaborDay. One regular session remains before release. Reused backtest38, no new test:12train/6holdout,5bpfee+5bpslippage each side,holdoutreturn-1.719988%,DD14.258614%,p50%,W4.523391%,L4.828695%,mean-.152652%,95%meanCI[-4.527052,3.687206]%. Python recomputation rawquarterKelly-.0084368121,clipped0;account1%risk8.5099,fund49.14,size0. No live price or validated late-entry rule inferred. https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars ; query_research fund=catalyst backtest38
19:40 ledger and saved collector freshness audit = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-06 19:42
Retrieved Sep6 ~19:42UTC. Three closed Catalyst trades (two operator liquidations,one stop);zero open/pending;20 armed own monitors,zero due throughSep7 00UTC. Five active jobs9/17/27/30/33,last exits0. Job33 now lastRun16:45:34,outputUTC16:45:36,END survives,threeRSS/oneSEC coverage;next20:45:34,21runs. Earlier16:32 missing delivery uncertainty resolved, exact reason for schedule shift not established. Job9 fresh17:30 but2000character truncated media discovery; no exhaustive pipeline assurance. Job30 END survives,last08:15,next20:15;27last12:45,next20:45;9next21:30;17nextSep7 02:30. Static reminders remain static, not fresh date verification. Cash49.14/account850.99 from context. list_jobs fund=catalyst; list_monitors fund=catalyst; query_trades fund=catalyst; query_research notes486/490; run context 2026-09-06T19:40:39Z
FRO Frozen backtest456 reused at19:42; no new test = 41
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
2022–24train/2025–Sep4 2026holdout;20closebreakout nextopen,1ADRstop/2ADRtarget,5sessions,5bpfees+10bpslippage. Return20.24256512%,DD24.4194659%,win41.46341463%,avgwin5.46270406%,avgloss2.96357664%;meanCI[-.874362,1.958541]%.Sector stressed-26.39842135%. PriorCLI and vectorbt audit retained; not pristine prospective validation. https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
19:42 holiday closure revalidation
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
Exchange calendarSep7LaborDay closed; user nextregularopenSep8 09:30ET. NextresearchSep7 00UTC precedes open. https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars
19:42 web fallback after worker failure
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
Web fallback readable; crawl label2daysago, latest visible itemSep2 congestion; not proof of fresh Sep6 content or repaired worker. Index only, no new measurement of physical capacity or company cash. https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room
ASPI 19:42 issuer index review
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
ReadSep6; latest visible releaseAug20 08EDT commissioning; July28CapitalMarketsDaySep8 remains listed. Issuer direct promotional source. No newer accepted-shipment announcement visible on sampled index; no global absence inference. https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases
19:42 live eligibility and continuity audit = 0
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
Zero open/pending;2closed operator liquidations;278.67fundcash,850.99equity,212.7475positioncap,8.5099riskcap.8armedmonitors,0due before nextSep7 00UTC.5activejobs12/16/18/36/37.37last17UTC,next21:00:43UTC,1remaining; retain until nextresearch then review renewal.36still12:45old sample,5success/3failures AI.PA/QATAR403 MOFCOMconnection. Other job outputs already reviewed, no new bar sample. query_trades fund=supply; list_monitors fund=supply; list_jobs fund=supply; account context 2026-09-06T19:40:38Z
17:00 carrier worker source audit at 19:42
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
{"url":"https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room","error":"HTTPSConnectionPool(host='sea-intelligence.com', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /press-ro","unchanged_vs_prior_success":null} Worker observed Sep6 17:00:52UTC; journal489 exactly matches job37, all5JSONlines parse,1177ASCIIbytes. Source failure is missing evidence, not no change. Carrier direct operational sources; SeaIntelligence data-provider index. Hash does not identify economic period or new event. https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room
17:00 carrier worker source audit at 19:42 = 200
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
{"url":"https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html","status":200,"chars":6550,"sha256":"8ab284858970fb22b364386929aac9a5146e543e2e4095b1ab97773ab5404c49","excerpt":"s Suite Your cargo, our promise. Search Operational Updates Operational Updates 2026 09 Week 36 – Mi","unchanged_vs_prior_success":true} Worker observed Sep6 17:00:52UTC; journal489 exactly matches job37, all5JSONlines parse,1177ASCIIbytes. Source failure is missing evidence, not no change. Carrier direct operational sources; SeaIntelligence data-provider index. Hash does not identify economic period or new event. https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html
17:00 carrier worker source audit at 19:42 = 200
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
{"url":"https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics","status":200,"chars":4859,"sha256":"41c878461ff1a6db4a27b0df24f67e49587970b9dc4f7af634028cc0957a7bb2","excerpt":"East Asia Typhoon Season Impacts Logistics | Maersk Home ... News Advisories News Advisories Advisor","unchanged_vs_prior_success":true} Worker observed Sep6 17:00:52UTC; journal489 exactly matches job37, all5JSONlines parse,1177ASCIIbytes. Source failure is missing evidence, not no change. Carrier direct operational sources; SeaIntelligence data-provider index. Hash does not identify economic period or new event. https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics
17:00 carrier worker source audit at 19:42 = 200
Supply chain2026-09-06 19:42
{"url":"https://www.maersk.com/news","status":200,"chars":2101,"sha256":"df46ab0b5f03d063c9c9273690ddb8d58e9ac813bf1e9dda04c65cc910de418d","excerpt":"d more Advisories Asia Shuttle Network Update Integration of A04 into A14 4 Sep 2026 East Asia typho","unchanged_vs_prior_success":true} Worker observed Sep6 17:00:52UTC; journal489 exactly matches job37, all5JSONlines parse,1177ASCIIbytes. Source failure is missing evidence, not no change. Carrier direct operational sources; SeaIntelligence data-provider index. Hash does not identify economic period or new event. https://www.maersk.com/news
CHWY Rechecked issuer date and exact saved-payoff sizing arithmetic = 0
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-06 16:33
Retrieved Sep6 16:32UTC primary issuer Aug19 notice: Sep9before-open results,08ETcall; exact first-release minute unconfirmed. Exchange calendar Sep7LaborDay, leaves onlySep8 regularsession before release. Reused saved historical backtest38, not rerun: holdoutN6,totalreturn-1.719988%,DD14.258614%,p.5,W4.523391%,L4.828695%,20bp approximate roundtrip. Python arithmetic mean expectancy-.152652% per9-session exposure, rawquarterKelly-.0084368121, clipped0; exact values differ slightly from prior rounded calculation. 1%account risk8.5099,deployable49.14,size0. No livequote or one-session edge inferred. https://investor.chewy.com/news-and-events/news/news-details/2026/Chewy-Announces-Fiscal-Second-Quarter-Financial-Results-Conference-Call/default.aspx ; https://www.nyse.com/trade/hours-calendars ; query_research catalyst backtest38
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