Runway

Notes

32996 observations, newest first
UAMY Sep7 technical prior20 = 6.85
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:11
Measured Sep7 from fixed archived inputs. SIP daily adjusted2022-Jan3–2026-Sep4,1173bars per UAMY/SPY; descriptive not causal. Value=6.85 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
UAMY Sep7 technical close = 5.2
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:11
Measured Sep7 from fixed archived inputs. SIP daily adjusted2022-Jan3–2026-Sep4,1173bars per UAMY/SPY; descriptive not causal. Value=5.2 https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
UAMY Sep7 technical date
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:11
Measured Sep7 from fixed archived inputs. SIP daily adjusted2022-Jan3–2026-Sep4,1173bars per UAMY/SPY; descriptive not causal. Value="2026-09-04 04:00:00+00:00" https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars
SOL/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour holdout base/stress metrics = -75.16904780878922
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":7,"return_pct":-75.16904780878922,"drawdown_pct":75.2696720718988,"n":157,"win_rate_pct":19.745222929936308,"avg_win_pct":0.5263499615261654,"avg_loss_pct":1.2174108175041898,"quarter_kelly":-0.41469622311183996,"mean_trade_pct":-0.8731013643198524,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-91.94073014297992,"sweep_max":-43.18578225153263},{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":7,"return_pct":-91.72632517514907,"drawdown_pct":91.72825547050975,"n":157,"win_rate_pct":4.45859872611465,"avg_win_pct":0.7992541349807688,"avg_loss_pct":1.6807999380525116,"quarter_kelly":-0.4911530044142584,"mean_trade_pct":-1.5702242787452954,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-99.29475078026677,"sweep_max":-69.95249748088624}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour train base/stress metrics = -87.31324061149955
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":7,"return_pct":-87.31324061149955,"drawdown_pct":87.33913566565585,"n":274,"win_rate_pct":20.802919708029197,"avg_win_pct":0.7338694075625474,"avg_loss_pct":1.127891535354548,"quarter_kelly":-0.25228974447369135,"mean_trade_pct":-0.7405909012440574,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-97.42445194548996,"sweep_max":-55.037270719353515},{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":7,"return_pct":-98.13634870808548,"drawdown_pct":98.13634870808548,"n":274,"win_rate_pct":6.569343065693431,"avg_win_pct":1.0525363937984313,"avg_loss_pct":1.6134476533772173,"quarter_kelly":-0.3416295207738531,"mean_trade_pct":-1.4383100152415909,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-99.92057770934117,"sweep_max":-79.21255069003197}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day holdout base/stress metrics = -12.348497965603947
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-12.348497965603947,"drawdown_pct":22.744026945895847,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":3.022188583348597,"avg_loss_pct":6.111340985608383,"quarter_kelly":-0.20332360888794995,"mean_trade_pct":-2.4579291580255913,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-37.241630415847936,"sweep_max":-2.4201923353073833},{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-15.363267724999242,"drawdown_pct":24.349503667086736,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":2.307539730623163,"avg_loss_pct":6.784895676451854,"quarter_kelly":-0.34104737957986697,"mean_trade_pct":-3.1479215136218475,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-41.0734796056959,"sweep_max":-4.937578494562659}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
SOL/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day train base/stress metrics = 17.571968984476914
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":17.571968984476914,"drawdown_pct":7.626980646160986,"n":12,"win_rate_pct":58.333333333333336,"avg_win_pct":3.8319039980214598,"avg_loss_pct":1.9224119798615302,"quarter_kelly":0.09357439156296563,"mean_trade_pct":1.4342723405702145,"sweep_positive":9,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":5.568425623393068,"sweep_max":65.51557226330455},{"symbol":"SOL","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":8.099242482946028,"drawdown_pct":12.044201846093994,"n":12,"win_rate_pct":41.66666666666667,"avg_win_pct":4.445247930182987,"avg_loss_pct":1.929289191692878,"quarter_kelly":0.04087330750931528,"mean_trade_pct":0.7267679424220658,"sweep_positive":6,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-4.4647754875236565,"sweep_max":42.88836389879887}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour holdout base/stress metrics = -72.85743644706523
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-72.85743644706523,"drawdown_pct":72.9433742193563,"n":167,"win_rate_pct":14.37125748502994,"avg_win_pct":0.4742138919525664,"avg_loss_pct":0.9828316953822707,"quarter_kelly":-0.40774634372661833,"mean_trade_pct":-0.7734359223521142,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-89.08550112287521,"sweep_max":-48.18903063053485},{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-91.56752646113335,"drawdown_pct":91.56752646113333,"n":167,"win_rate_pct":3.592814371257485,"avg_win_pct":0.5619536425736281,"avg_loss_pct":1.5467697759556371,"quarter_kelly":-0.6544166397728758,"mean_trade_pct":-1.4710072579246456,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-98.72739210059405,"sweep_max":-70.197396318534}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour train base/stress metrics = -88.1564324640635
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-88.1564324640635,"drawdown_pct":88.15643246406346,"n":264,"win_rate_pct":22.348484848484848,"avg_win_pct":0.542248903198408,"avg_loss_pct":1.178088703447851,"quarter_kelly":-0.36589254003218374,"mean_trade_pct":-0.7936193140837251,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-97.30111549692685,"sweep_max":-64.47015045243468},{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-98.13406099578303,"drawdown_pct":98.134060995783,"n":264,"win_rate_pct":5.681818181818182,"avg_win_pct":0.6221387171663456,"avg_loss_pct":1.6184033667407312,"quarter_kelly":-0.5991830270737375,"mean_trade_pct":-1.4910998392460109,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-99.90154918118466,"sweep_max":-84.44528169572446}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day holdout base/stress metrics = -7.596211350552203
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-7.596211350552203,"drawdown_pct":20.282125701364517,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":6.570102380040203,"avg_loss_pct":6.532743392897217,"quarter_kelly":-0.049147068379258085,"mean_trade_pct":-1.2916050837222492,"sweep_positive":1,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-38.161654875249795,"sweep_max":9.678311202708901},{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-10.774435810009727,"drawdown_pct":21.390412118041112,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":5.839490526067154,"avg_loss_pct":7.204402083009345,"quarter_kelly":-0.08506071850401939,"mean_trade_pct":-1.9868450393787456,"sweep_positive":1,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-41.118726658380474,"sweep_max":6.649880806381006}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
ETH/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day train base/stress metrics = 3.204893420125645
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":3.204893420125645,"drawdown_pct":17.62454713927497,"n":10,"win_rate_pct":60,"avg_win_pct":2.5791871204662553,"avg_loss_pct":2.946939771709642,"quarter_kelly":0.03574152885902648,"mean_trade_pct":0.36873636359589623,"sweep_positive":7,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-9.859843649162867,"sweep_max":38.74073310110203},{"symbol":"ETH","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-3.772469848754408,"drawdown_pct":19.336413118528583,"n":10,"win_rate_pct":40,"avg_win_pct":2.920551282927728,"avg_loss_pct":2.503657366555282,"quarter_kelly":-0.028588259065535332,"mean_trade_pct":-0.33397390676207805,"sweep_positive":3,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-14.170290708092306,"sweep_max":27.562447744137753}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour holdout base/stress metrics = -74.38398328100828
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-74.38398328100828,"drawdown_pct":74.4636663006457,"n":172,"win_rate_pct":9.883720930232558,"avg_win_pct":0.4058189272246004,"avg_loss_pct":0.9172219837262525,"quarter_kelly":-0.48448720570627773,"mean_trade_pct":-0.7864563122950635,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-90.5265002873229,"sweep_max":-50.43259666798574},{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":5952,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-92.31550652165679,"drawdown_pct":92.31550652165677,"n":172,"win_rate_pct":1.744186046511628,"avg_win_pct":0.40427940202950796,"avg_loss_pct":1.5174882692633502,"quarter_kelly":-0.9176630433338125,"mean_trade_pct":-1.4839690656942888,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-98.99852542175864,"sweep_max":-73.60099172279276}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Oversold20 z2 1Hour train base/stress metrics = -85.90675871642183
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-85.90675871642183,"drawdown_pct":85.92716882859801,"n":273,"win_rate_pct":10.989010989010989,"avg_win_pct":0.4410808081324532,"avg_loss_pct":0.8551318637708203,"quarter_kelly":-0.4039457723358941,"mean_trade_pct":-0.7126909108144165,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-96.92148113259705,"sweep_max":-58.35791519559176},{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Hour","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":8760,"missing_full_window":2,"return_pct":-97.91519742964728,"drawdown_pct":97.91519742964729,"n":273,"win_rate_pct":2.197802197802198,"avg_win_pct":0.6049619353493315,"avg_loss_pct":1.4558276326555406,"quarter_kelly":-0.5829026058570719,"mean_trade_pct":-1.410535554237851,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-99.90897220967648,"sweep_max":-81.2517115571312}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day holdout base/stress metrics = -15.403109672572645
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":false,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-15.403109672572645,"drawdown_pct":18.224848911072012,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":20,"avg_win_pct":0.9024119673846211,"avg_loss_pct":4.203961395624608,"quarter_kelly":-0.8817166765437672,"mean_trade_pct":-3.1826867230227625,"sweep_positive":2,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-28.30726944845749,"sweep_max":2.900441696660091},{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Day","period":"holdout","stress":true,"bars":248,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-18.312816189614704,"drawdown_pct":20.20315042674019,"n":5,"win_rate_pct":20,"avg_win_pct":0.19730054953057607,"avg_loss_pct":4.886097891021217,"quarter_kelly":-4.902949094816392,"mean_trade_pct":-3.8694182029108584,"sweep_positive":2,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-31.256039188225998,"sweep_max":0.7620405192060753}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
BTC/USD Oversold20 z2 1Day train base/stress metrics = 3.8751021151899843
Crypto majors2026-09-07 04:11
[{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":false,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":3.8751021151899843,"drawdown_pct":10.11330469958005,"n":13,"win_rate_pct":69.23076923076923,"avg_win_pct":1.670952262695056,"avg_loss_pct":2.660699175931733,"quarter_kelly":0.05059037935648429,"mean_trade_pct":0.3381364354252747,"sweep_positive":6,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-12.034603919280107,"sweep_max":9.234160525304487},{"symbol":"BTC","timeframe":"1Day","period":"train","stress":true,"bars":365,"missing_full_window":0,"return_pct":-5.160287702671612,"drawdown_pct":11.05122031862461,"n":13,"win_rate_pct":38.46153846153847,"avg_win_pct":1.9744887681720211,"avg_loss_pct":1.8262642364899542,"quarter_kelly":-0.04614310342610918,"mean_trade_pct":-0.3644361577738096,"sweep_positive":0,"sweep_total":9,"sweep_min":-23.52667715017743,"sweep_max":-0.11018304897752386}] https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars
Carrier collector39 remote recovery verification = 4
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
Sep7livejob39 last01:45:20,next05:45:20,10runsleft; lastoutput5completeJSONlines1281characters,4HTTP200, hashesmatchpreviouslocal andnotes535. Remoteoutputactuallyrecovered, notinferredfromlocalsuccess. Helium36stilloldSep6sample5success3failed; fiveactivejobs; noarmedmonitorbefore06UTC. list_jobs fund=supply; query_research notes fund=supply
UAMY Government shipment phase split = 4000000
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
Aug11call says3/4truckloads~2.6mQ3,5/6/7~4mQ4subjecttest/acceptance; noall9.17mQ3assumption. CEO saysguidecutnothingtododeliverytimes, PRexplicitlylistscapacity/coordinationdelays: preservecontradiction; relyfinancialnoteandphase-specificstatements. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926097708/tm2622899d2_ex99-1.htm
UAMY Procurement and mine operating claims = 150
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
Aug11operatorcall: Bolivia150tons/monthexpectedinmonths, firstcontainerexpectedwithinmonth; ~300tonsmetallicfeedstockreceived/inbound aggregated, unclearstage; diesel/transportdelayssaidresolved. SaysMontanaminingresumedlateJuly, Aug25PRsaysApril: campaignversusactiveoperationpossible, unresolved. AlaskaactualproductionzeroasofAug11. Claims$4–6/lbprocurementexcludeconversioncosts. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926097708/tm2622899d2_ex99-1.htm
UAMY DLA cumulative order total, issuer July1 and August11 = 57300000
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
July1originalrelease alreadyreports57.3m orders; Aug11call repeats57.3m, intentcomplete2026. 10Qnote5says12m: sameissuer differentdisclosures, cannotfullyresolveviaasofdates becauseJuly1already57.3m. Use57.3masissuerreportedunreconciledorderbook, notindependentlyconfirmedobligations orrecognizedrevenue. https://usantimony.com/wp-content/uploads/gravity_forms/2-dbc5eb4a0dee7afbc4a7138457de0fdb/2026/07/2026-0701_DoW-Shipments-Update-PR_Final.pdf https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926097708/tm2622899d2_ex99-1.htm
UAMY Q2 and H1 pure-antimony exact financial rows = 152857
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
Q2 2026 revenue5,867,657 GP152,857 pounds428425; Q2 2025 revenue9,636,842 GP2,881,083 pounds340305. H12026 revenue11,422,600 GP1,169,295 pounds707222; H12025 revenue15,562,690 GP5,304,699 pounds702952. Excludesgold/silver, differssegmentincludingpreciousmetals. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
UAMY H1 inventory and payable cash uses = 9601887
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
SixmonthsJune30 10Q inventorycashuse9,601,887,APcashuse4,473,542; combined67.93%of20,720,183OCFburn. Inventoryalone46.34%, so notmajorityofOCF byitself; nooperatingcashprofit inferredfromcashbalance. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
UAMY August7 common shares outstanding = 149669384
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
Aug11 10Q cover. Sep4close5.20 implies778.2808mmarketcap usingdatedsharecount; 10.377–12.971x60–75mFYguidance. Indicativevaluation, subsequentbuyback/dilutionnotverified; notlivecap. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
UAMY Government capital grant actually collected = 12800000
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
June30 10Q note9:27m award,16.2mcurrentlyobligated,10.8mfuturesubjectauthorization;12.8mcollectedApril andPP&Ecostreduction/investingcashflow;14.2mremainingunrecognized. Not27mcashoroperatingprofit. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
UAMY Supplier convertible financing = 4000000
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
June30 10Q note8:10% convertible securedsuppliernote includes356,570 prepaidinventorynotreceived +1,116,154 additionalfunding. TechnologyexclusiveNorthAmerica/Australia; issuerreportsprocessedmaterialbelowinternationalrates. This supports bullcase but doesnotdisclose fullunitcost or currentreceivedtonnes. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
UAMY Finished antimony inventory composition = 13964876
Supply chain2026-09-07 04:10
June30 2026 10Q note7: oxide2,835,233; ingots11,129,643; ore/concentrates7,415,227; totalSb21,380,103 vs12,016,138Dec31. Measured growth77.93%, not pressheadline 'up178%': total is177.93% ofprior. Finished65.32% ofSbvalue, notvolume orproof allDLAeligible. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/101538/000110465926094035/uamy-20260630x10q.htm
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