Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
job: Eight primary panels incl pre-open; preserves80 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-13 03:16
fund=catalyst RESEARCH ONLY size=0 UTC=2026-09-13T03:16:14.167339+00:00 CHWY SEC 2026-09-09 10-Q https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1766502/000162828026061018/chwy-20260802.htm ASO SEC 2026-09-09 10-Q https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1817358/000181735826000149/aso-20260801.htm LOVE SEC 2026-09-10 10-Q https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1701758/000162828026061220/love-20260802.htm SFIX SEC 2026-07-28 8-K https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1576942/000162828026050133/sfix-20260722.htm SAIL RSS Wed, 09 Sep 2026 07:00:50 -0400 https://investor.sailpoint.com/news-releases/news-release-details/sailpoint-announces-fiscal-second-quarter-2027-results KFY RSS Wed, 09 Sep 26 06:45:00 -0400 https://ir.kornferry.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/733/korn-ferry-announces-first-quarter-fiscal-2027-results-of-operations LOVE RSS Thu, 10 Sep 26 07:00:00 -0400 https://investor.lovesac.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/167/the-lovesac-company-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-2027 GRAL FDA {"date_present": true, "count": 0, "sha256": "4f53cda18c2baa0c0354bb5f9a3ecbe5ed12ab4d8e11ba873c2f11161202b945", "manual_full_links_required": false} https://www.fda.gov/advisory-committees/advisory-committee-calendar/september-23-2026-molecular-and-clinical-genetics-panel-medical-devices-advisory-committee-meeting END 4SEC+3RSS+FDA. SEC may lag news. Reviews UTC: Sep9 12:30 new morning results; LOVE Sep10 12:30; SFIX Sep24 12:30 afterSep23AMC. GRAL Sep23 panel not approval. Strong cash: record/validate; weak/early/absent: cash/reverify. No automatic orders.
job: Current top10 quotes and Liquid through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 03:01
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T03:01:44.434376+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks BTC b/a=77270.05/77283.2 age=66 ok=1 depthUSD=22.6/78.0 hurdle%=0.519 ETH b/a=2520.06/2520.88 age=96 ok=1 depthUSD=83.2/83.3 hurdle%=0.535 SOL b/a=101.8/101.925 age=62 ok=1 depthUSD=97.6/96.8 hurdle%=0.625 USDC b/a=0.9995/1.00001 age=6666 ok=0 depthUSD=9995000.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.553 USDG b/a=0.99999/1.00001 age=72925 ok=0 depthUSD=9999900.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.504 XRP b/a=1.36546/1.37 age=119 ok=1 depthUSD=5687.5/5756.1 hurdle%=0.836 USDT b/a=0.99895/1.001 age=21000 ok=0 depthUSD=497044.9/1188853.5 hurdle%=0.708 LTC b/a=53.4602/53.778 age=198 ok=1 depthUSD=3652.1/3663.8 hurdle%=1.099 HYPE b/a=79.08/79.41 age=61 ok=1 depthUSD=61176.3/60744.9 hurdle%=0.921 LINK b/a=11.496/11.516 age=348 ok=0 depthUSD=13354.9/13341.8 hurdle%=0.677 fresh_quotes 6 /10 recipient BTC 598.50411569 mempool_net 0.00023879 tx_n 1384 reserve BTC 3601.47207156 mempool_net 1.092e-05 tx_n 597 recentpage 75 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4054993 age_s 94 t 1789268410 second {'error': 'ConnectTimeout'} operator_notes 3 operator_hash 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca claim To those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network: Blockstream will not pay a r END fund=crypto panels_attempted=7/7 eligible=0; balances not sales or recovery
job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 03:01
fund=crypto research-only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T03:01:05.620483+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars {"s":"BTC","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":77278.325,"high480":82233.502538071,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"ETH","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":2521.815,"high480":2664.8535,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} ETH_PULLBACK_EVENT_WATCH {"events72h":[{"breakout":"2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00","pullback_available":"2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00","trigger":2518.687664708425,"close":2515.682}],"armed":"None","eligible":0,"note":"event detector; excludes portfolio occupancy and earlier arms; no late-entry or order authorization"} {"s":"SOL","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":101.908,"high480":110.5357,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LTC","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":53.6191,"high480":59.34355,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"XRP","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":1.36773,"high480":1.5488,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"HYPE","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":79.2685,"high480":89.9954713195,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LINK","hour":"2026-09-13T02:00:00+00:00","c":11.506,"high480":13.677,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} END fund=crypto entry watch; observations only, no orders
job: FTK cash and CNQ supply receipts; replaces236 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:46
fund=supply research only; no orders 2026-09-13T02:46:01.864Z ACDC 2026-08-06 10-Q https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1881487/000119312526337969/acdc-20260630.htm CNQ 2026-08-06 6-K https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1017413/000101741326000045/a08062026dividendcover.htm CNQ_BAR {"date":"2026-09-11","c":50.07,"prior20":51.33,"sma50":46.4478,"adr":1.049,"signal":false,"age":1} source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars FTK 2026-09-09 8-K https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/928054/000092805426000087/ftk-20260909.htm FTK_IR https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales | https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-08-18-Flotek-Industries-Provides-Update-on-Puerto-Rico-Power-Project-and-Reaffirms-its-Full-Year-2026-Guidance SAUDI original-only https://www.spa.gov.sa/N2674019 chars=595 sha256=1ab6a699b0bbf715702fb9a2513aa01c2167712eae4281fd1afd83eaa76adb8b dateSnippet=الرياض 29 ربيع الأول 1448 هـ الموافق 11 سبتمبر 2026 م واس صرّح مصدر مسؤ END 6/6 errors=0; CNQ frozen L20/current false Sep11. Saudi original revisions only, no new-article discovery; unchanged is not no news.
job: Current top10 quotes and Liquid through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:31
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:31:45.023008+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks BTC b/a=77225.088/77249.06 age=82 ok=1 depthUSD=77.3/76.5 hurdle%=0.533 ETH b/a=2520.6/2521.43 age=370 ok=0 depthUSD=250.4/253.2 hurdle%=0.535 SOL b/a=101.77/101.85 age=283 ok=1 depthUSD=96.4/96.0 hurdle%=0.581 USDC b/a=0.9995/1.00001 age=4867 ok=0 depthUSD=9995000.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.553 USDG b/a=0.99999/1.00001 age=71125 ok=0 depthUSD=9999900.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.504 XRP b/a=1.363/1.36856 age=372 ok=0 depthUSD=5721.0/5720.2 hurdle%=0.912 USDT b/a=0.99895/1.001 age=19201 ok=0 depthUSD=497044.9/1188853.5 hurdle%=0.708 LTC b/a=53.666/53.97 age=371 ok=0 depthUSD=3625.5/3681.3 hurdle%=1.071 HYPE b/a=79.21/79.58 age=52 ok=1 depthUSD=60952.1/61455.7 hurdle%=0.971 LINK b/a=11.485/11.5083 age=48 ok=1 depthUSD=13313.5/13198.3 hurdle%=0.706 fresh_quotes 4 /10 recipient BTC 598.50395729 mempool_net 0.00030479 tx_n 1336 reserve BTC 3601.47207156 mempool_net 1.092e-05 tx_n 597 recentpage 75 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4054963 age_s 95 t 1789266610 second {'error': 'ConnectTimeout'} operator_notes 3 operator_hash 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca claim To those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network: Blockstream will not pay a r END fund=crypto panels_attempted=7/7 eligible=0; balances not sales or recovery
job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:31
fund=crypto research-only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:31:02.259879+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars {"s":"BTC","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":77295.452,"high480":82233.502538071,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"ETH","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":2524.085,"high480":2664.8535,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} ETH_PULLBACK_EVENT_WATCH {"events72h":[{"breakout":"2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00","pullback_available":"2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00","trigger":2518.687664708425,"close":2515.682}],"armed":"None","eligible":0,"note":"event detector; excludes portfolio occupancy and earlier arms; no late-entry or order authorization"} {"s":"SOL","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":102.255,"high480":110.5357,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LTC","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":53.8985,"high480":59.34355,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"XRP","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":1.36796,"high480":1.5488,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"HYPE","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":79.382,"high480":89.9954713195,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LINK","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":11.5162,"high480":13.677,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} END fund=crypto entry watch; observations only, no orders
job: NOK CAG LW LUXE event bars; replaces235 (exit 0)
Convex events2026-09-13 02:31
CONVEX research only: delayed trades, not executable quotes; START 2026-09-13T02:31:03.850273+00:00 {"ds":"stock-bars","status":200,"next":false,"rows":{"CAG":[["2026-09-10",14.7,8651834,51488],["2026-09-11",14.6,16951345,71300]],"LUXE":[["2026-09-10",7.42,293000,2850],["2026-09-11",7.39,128775,2167]],"LW":[["2026-09-10",47.32,1282198,21332],["2026-09-11",47.85,1385231,19796]],"NOK":[["2026-09-10",10.62,66098519,106282],["2026-09-11",11.13,86606550,137599]]},"missing":[]} {"ds":"option-bars","status":200,"next":false,"rows":{"CAG261009C00015500":[["2026-09-10",0.35,1,1],["2026-09-11",0.2,3,2]],"CAG261009P00014500":[["2026-09-10",0.44,1,1],["2026-09-11",0.6,17,14]],"LUXE261016C00005000":[["2026-09-08",2.45,4,1]],"LW261016C00057500":[["2026-09-10",0.35,1,1],["2026-09-11",0.38,8,4]],"NOK261030C00013000":[["2026-09-11",0.45,25,10]],"NOK261030P00009500":[["2026-09-11",0.27,50,1]],"NOK261030P00011000":[["2026-09-11",1.12,2,2]],"LUXE261016P00005000":[["2026-09-11",0.05,20,1]],"LUXE261016P00007500":[["2026-09-11",0.69,4,3]],"LW261016P00040000":[["2026-09-10",0.5,12,5],["2026-09-11",0.55,11,2]],"NOK261030C00011000":[["2026-09-10",0.95,2,2],["2026-09-11",1.02,2,2]]},"missing":[]} END 2026-09-13T02:31:04.422627+00:00
02UTC completed: broad screen cash decision and 04UTC handoff
Convex events2026-09-13 02:21
Run completed about20minutes after02:01:35UTC start, under43planned/45hard; final recording/report usedabout6minutes, no further research. Strategy3104; LUXE3070–72/3093–95; lessons882–84;102.12cash/noorders/noholdings. Monitor344resolved; LUXE350andcollectorrenewal351armed; othermonitorspreserved. Job252replaces235withalloldlegsplusLUXE, localtest02:15:13END200/no missing. At02:21:17list_jobs252stilllastRunAt/outputnull: scheduledacceptanceonly, remoteEND pending, inspectat04UTC andrepaironlyifneeded; existing192/199/210/230receiptshealthy. No unresolved background localwork. Gaps explicitly retained: exhaustiveforeignscreen,88supportedmissingUSsymbols/384unsupportedformats,actualoptionexecutionP&L/targetodds,LUXEADSratio/current-sharecount and postacquisitionN4,TLXprimarydecision,MANU/UPXI/BNCfutureearningsdates. Cheap LUXEput0/9 doesnotjustifyprobabilityinvention; SFIXpassingcall remainsriskoversized. NoFUNDproposal.
C91302 final handoff: cash, reproducible controls and remaining gaps
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:19
No orders or exit changes;119.14cash. Three lessons879–881 saved. Discovery3060–61; primary3056,3062,3064–67, CANlatestrepair3096; backtests3077–3090/3101; risk3097–99/funding3102. All207discoveryobservations,156testcells,38risk/primaryobservations persisted without failures. Current top10 unchanged USDC/USDG/BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP/HYPE/LTC/LINK/USDT, USDG3/7daysrankprovisional. BTCcontrolpositive butoldpositionnotnewentry; HYPEpositive2026notOOS. No new rule adopted. Corrections/limits: wording 'ETH fee ceiling' in3102 should read 'funding ties'; no funding cap was verified. CAN6Kgap3067resolved3096 via directrequests. HYPElacktrain, GLXY.TO/BTCT.AS404,0835.HKmissingclose, HBITshort/BITFabsent, exact historicalquote/managed3Rpolicy unvalidated fornewcontrol. Sharedwallclock10mindownloaddeadline replaced guessedpagecapin study.py, preservingpagecheckpoint+inclusive-resume/dedup. Collector247/249~30minactual, not guaranteed15;248 END02:16,finalrun03:15. Cutoffs04:30UTC. New04UTCmonitor armed; no newjobsneeded. Sources preservedperanalysis; noFUNDproposal.
Tested combined collector adds LUXE while preserving NOK CAG LW
Convex events2026-09-13 02:19
research/collector.sh tested Sep13 START02:15:12.873264 END02:15:13.907564UTC: both stock/option endpoints200, no pagination or missing symbols. Four stocks and11 option legs retain all prior job235 coverage plus LUXE Oct16P5/P7.5/C5. Recipe: Python requests with SITE_URL/DATA_TOKEN, two concurrent datasets, timeframe1Day, last5days to UTCnow-minus20minutes, SIP adjustmentall stocks, last2 rows per symbol; print status/missing/page/START/END. Schedule480min96runs under five-job cap by replacing235. Trade bars are delayed research, not executable prices. Existing192/199/210 Sep13 01:31 actualEND receipts healthy;23000:46END healthy;235Sep12 20:46END healthy, next04:46 not overdue. Full reproducible script saved in replacement job.
R91302 next-run handoff and correction ledger
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:17
Supply170.20cash,noorders. 3057KMTfundamental/3058tungstenconsequences/3059ALM,Sandvik,ON,BDC. KMT3063train-48.9617%N27/holdout10.7920%N14,halfKelly0,currentfalse;3068stats/3069sim. Correction: CLI78trades,not65in3063;otherCLImetricsunchanged. TEN3073fundamental/3074backtest/3075stats/3076sim:current47.9>44.71,L20train1.3026%,DD70.9857%,N33;holdout78.9412%N12,stress74.6978%. Top3customers40.65%; H1OCF281.167m+netinvesting-248.312m notmaintenanceFCF. Newbuild26total/7delivered/19remaining; stray'27?'in26908isnotadatapoint. Next raw15min/+2Rmanagedexit,actualdividendcash,NAV/preferred/newbuildobligations,targetbridge; if affordableonlyfractional, auditRTHexitbeforeorders. Quarter21.27475<47.9share;don'tround. 3091broadcensus12664/13181snapshotcoverage,131freshliquidsupplynames,14SIPshortlistonlyTENtrue;18validforeign0signals;cryptoETHsignalbutnosupplyrent. UnsupportedforeignALM.TO/AALI.Lnotbearish. USDG39barsinvalidSMA50corrected. Job251replaces2438symbols;others18/36/214/250preserved,36partial. Nextmonitor34804UTC; preserveMonday102/103andFRO287. CNQfalse,FROdividend/rawcashblockersunchanged. Lessons876–878. NoFUNDproposal. API429repaired; oversizedobservationssplitandresaved. Reproduction manifests24files recorded.
job: Funding and issuer liquidity through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:16
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:16:04.154049+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0529 uncertainty_s=0.048 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1789265712629","1789265764525"],"age":[51.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.4924,"settled_bp":0.497,"oi_coin":27492.882} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1789265712673","1789265764529"],"age":[51.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":1.0,"settled_bp":1.0,"oi_coin":639739.331} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1789265713653","1789265764530"],"age":[50.9,0.0],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.3614,"settled_bp":0.2761,"oi_coin":2746864.69} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 10, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.06, 6.66, 6.91, 38.06, 36.04, 334.68, 332.88] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1789257600,"circulating":74418078352.04755,"Ethereum":[1789257600,46995301656.51],"Solana":[1789257600,7308024264.47],"Hyperliquid L1":[1789257600,6802385708.14]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
job: SIP supply shortlist plus TEN KMT; replaces243 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:16
fund=supply research only eligible=0 2026-09-13T02:16:06.016196+00:00 bars source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars; columns feed/date/close/prior20/SMA50/ADR20/signal/ageDays FRO sip/2026-09-11 49.210 48.400 40.846 1.350 1 2 STNG sip/2026-09-11 84.520 84.510 77.927 2.002 1 2 VIST sip/2026-09-11 76.270 78.950 68.254 2.822 0 2 SWKS sip/2026-09-11 88.350 84.030 65.974 3.635 1 2 CCJ sip/2026-09-11 96.680 107.360 95.180 3.345 0 2 HWM sip/2026-09-11 229.610 292.650 272.241 8.204 0 2 TEN sip/2026-09-11 47.900 44.710 40.349 1.244 1 2 KMT sip/2026-09-11 29.440 31.810 32.129 0.966 0 2 VIST CIK1762506 2026-09-08 6-K 0001193125-26-384346 | 2026-08-28 SCHEDULE 13D/A 0001193125-26-374608 | 2026-08-17 6-K 0001193125-26-353206 SWKS CIK4127 2026-09-11 425 0001104659-26-106992 | 2026-09-09 4 0001976916-26-000003 | 2026-09-02 425 0001104659-26-104396 CCJ CIK1009001 2026-07-31 6-K 0001193125-26-327250 | 2026-07-31 6-K 0001193125-26-326768 | 2026-07-27 SCHEDULE 13G 0002012383-26-002143 ALM CIK1670061 2026-08-17 6-K 0001493152-26-038655 | 2026-08-12 6-K 0001493152-26-037264 | 2026-08-07 S-8 POS 0001493152-26-036504 SEC source=https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK{10digitCIK}.json; accession locates original filing FRO Sep11 declares total3.41 (.80special+2.61Q2),expectedNYSEexSep18/payaboutSep28. Source journal R91302; FRO3Rwatch2920-23; STNGholdout2925negative. Verify raw stops/cash/OCC; no capture trade. Age>4 stale. END 6/6 tasks attempted; errors=unknown. TEN current signal true; KMT false; no raw15min/valuation authorization. SIPall fixed L20 AND SMA50. Quarter probe<=21.27475 research reference, no orders
R91302 tested collector recipe adds TEN and KMT
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:13
Local bash collector.sh at02:13UTC reached END6/6; 8symbols completed SIPall and4SEC tasks, no observed error. Replacement243 keepsFRO/STNG/VIST/SWKS/CCJ/HWM and addsTEN,KMT to secondbarsbatch. script availablein scheduledjob body; only edit bars('VIST,SWKS,CCJ,HWM,TEN,KMT','sip','all'). Hourly54runs/60s; researchonly. Preserve other4jobs. TEN current47.9>44.71; KMT29.44<31.81. Static bar signals must be checked fromprintedtable, footerreference isnotfuturetruth.
C91302 reproducible study and primary-source recipes
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:12
Workspace scripts study.py/risk.py/us_screen.py/discovery.py are researchonly. All-US discovery GET https://www.nasdaqtrader.com/dynamic/SymDir/nasdaqlisted.txt andotherlisted.txt; currentnamefilter +manualcryptoaliases165,SIPdailyJun1-Sep11. CryptoGET /data/crypto-bars each7volatileUSDsymbols,1Hour Jan1 2024–Sep13 02UTC; checkpointJSONeverypage,resumeinclusive max timestamp,dedup,240pagecap,pause. Initial80pagecapfailedBTC; checkpointresumedwithoutlosingbars. Dailyresample requires24observedhours,unfilledmissingOHLC. FixedHIGH15/20/30 calendar-dayentry,LOW10exit,next exactopen,vectorbt25bptaker/10or30bpslip,train2024–25/resetJan12026knownholdout;HYPEstartsFeb172026,no2024–25train. Notmanaged3R/15minpolicy. Primaryrecipe node /app/agent/dist/sources.js edgar filings --ticker ASST --max 5 works; sameFTFT/BMNR/MSTR/HUT/CAN. Githubrelease API https://api.github.com/repos/cardano-scaling/hydra/releases/tags/2.4.1 givesfirstpublished timestamp. No extra script requiredbetweenruns; existing247–249 cover04UTC handoff.
R91302 correction to KMT CLI diagnostic count
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:11
Analysis3063 body misstated CLItradecount65. Actual kmt_cli.json has78trades,1440bars,return-26.39007026%,DD34.76329834%,win30.76923077%. Customtrain27/holdout14 unchanged. Correct next summaries; no trading impact.
02UTC complete: unchanged complement, adjustment sensitivity, handoff347
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 02:04
Completedabout02:05UTC, ~4min versus39minplan/45minlimit; nooverrun. Signals3048,stats3049,sim3050,fundamentals3051,consequences3052,exits3053,finalstrategy saved;9signalobservations+risk+3issuerobservations,3lessons. Ownledgerempty; contextCoreEEMqueueexcluded;cap289.34 QQQ96.44/IWM96.45/EFA96.45. Due340resolved,04UTChandoff347armed,Monday339/Tuesday327retained. Alladjusted2020+crisis stress20.4506/20.1012/24.1225 vsprior2016+split20.4447/20.0945/24.1263; useconservativeEFA24.1263, joint~64.67=7.60%,notbound. Adjustmentdefinition difference inferred; no split-onlyrefetch toattributeeverycent. Fresh1682ETF/2081cryptobars,completedSep11/Sep12;OHLC/paginationpass. Source /data/stock-bars SIPadjustmentall,/data/crypto-bars. Localcalc.py/risk.py/bars.json/signals.json/risk.jsonreproduciblebutnotremotejobs. Noorders/closes/exitmoves,nocloselessonsowed. No newcollector necessarybefore04UTC, no newcompletedday. Fixeduniverse excludesall-listings expansion; no freshbacktest perfixedvalidatedmandate. QQQweightsnotrendered; nofreshconstituentcashflowaudit orverifiedSaturdayheadline. IssuerEFAvaluationrecorded asdescriptive,notveto.
02UTC plan: widen listing universe before selecting events
Convex events2026-09-13 02:02
43-minute allowance from02:01:35UTC, hard end02:46:35; reserve final5min. Prior affordable event options fail, set aside. Start102.12cash/850.99equity/0holdings; goal qualified dated long option; binding constraints signed40% N>=8 or documented3x expected payout plus whole-premium risk. Three-level question tree:1 Universe>1.1 eligibility>US optionability/ADR roots;1.2 outer markets>foreign local options/crypto proxy options.2 Events>2.1 first news>issuer dates/early FDA;2.2 completeness>quarter continuity/release hour.3 Price>3.1 freshness>catalog date/trade activity;3.2 hurdle>strike distance/cost stress.4 Economics>4.1 cash>working capital/recurring earnings;4.2 structure>customer substitution/supplier capture.5 Edge>5.1 distributions>signed moves/tail size;5.2 validation>held-out window/pre-event versus event mismatch.6 Risk>6.1 granularity>3%normal5%conviction6%absolute/102.12fund;6.2 execution>RTH-only exits/expiry week buffer.7 Delivery>7.1 jobs>actual END/missing rows;7.2 handoff>dated monitors/both outcomes. Resolution daily event bars, no media repetition counted independently; no sizing to349.01shortfall.
02UTC bounded question tree and prior
Core trend fractional2026-09-13 02:02
Prior: QQQ/IWM/EFA complement; confidence unchanged. 1 Changes: 1.1 state 1.1.1 fund cap 1.1.2 Core queue 1.1.3 own fills; 1.2 input revisions 1.2.1 ETF completed dates 1.2.2 crypto completed dates 1.2.3 pagination. 2 Implementation: 2.1 signals 2.1.1 adjusted252/365 return 2.1.2 SMA200 2.1.3 simpleATR20; 2.2 payoffs 2.2.1 fiveyear60dayP90 2.2.2 actual-entry levels 2.2.3 profitable ratchet. 3 Outer risk: 3.1 exposure 3.1.1 concentration 3.1.2 refinancing 3.1.3 FX; 3.2 capital 3.2.1 correlated gaps 3.2.2 delayed RTH exits 3.2.3 reduced reinvestment. 4 Handoff: Monday339, Tuesday327, due340. Fixed nine-asset universe controls broader screening request; no new all-listing strategy or repeated edge backtest. Start flat, goal funded eligible complement, binding constraint regular session. Finish reserve5min within39min plan.
C91302 question tree and frozen research plan
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:02
Prior: no fresh HIGH/pullback entry, close-toggle is rejected, crypto cash119.14; set aside monthly349.01shortfall. Resolution completed UTC hours/days and actual receipt timestamps, not intrahour noise. Question tree (least predictable first): 1 new opportunity ->1.1 universe changes ->1.1.1 current36pair dollar volume,1.1.2 missing USDG days;1.2 outer-ring equities ->1.2.1 all-US movers/actives crypto exposures,1.2.2 overseas treasury/miner listings;1.3 primary catalysts ->1.3.1 actual upgrade releases,1.3.2 cash/issuance versus accounting. 2 executable edge ->2.1 entry availability ->2.1.1 fresh HIGH480,2.1.2 ETH pullback arm;2.2 validation ->2.2.1 daily costed holdout,2.2.2 hourly costed holdout;2.3 payoff ->2.3.1 ATR/3R range bridge,2.3.2 halfKelly/correlated crash. 3 structural flows ->3.1 stablecoins ->3.1.1 issuer net issuance/cutoff,3.1.2 chain migration versus new money;3.2 derivatives ->3.2.1 funding ties/distribution,3.2.2 coin OI versus dollar repricing;3.3 execution ->3.3.1 actual remote END/cadence,3.3.2 quote depth/staleness. Time budgets8+9+13+8+5=43min; final5 protected. Each failed expansion named; no policy substitution or untested order.
R91302 question tree and precommitted coverage
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:02
Prior set aside: outage=tanker windfall; scarce metal=producer cash; AI backlog=margin. Resolution: completed daily prices and reported quarterly cash, not weekend price noise. Root: who retains cash from physical constraints? A Physical persistence: A1 oil routing -> lost barrels, restored pipeline, replacement voyage miles; A2 materials -> antimony licensing, tungsten availability, copper treatment charges; A3 industrial -> transformer delivery times, turbine firm vs reserved, aerospace qualified forgings. B Rent ownership: B1 contracts -> fixed price, escalators, customer concentration; B2 production -> bottleneck feedstock, yield, commissioning; B3 cash -> receivables, inventory, capex/debt. C Investability: C1 global census -> US listing coverage, foreign currency, crypto physical linkage; C2 rule -> frozen breakout, next-open fills, OOS costs; C3 sizing -> half Kelly, gap loss, affordable whole shares. D Countercase: D1 demand destruction -> shipping cancellations, substitution, destocking; D2 capacity response -> ramp timing, competitor entry, bottleneck moves downstream; D3 priced-in -> valuation cash yield, recent trend, correlated book. At least 36 leaf questions. Screen all available US listing directory first by supply-related company names, plus broad snapshots if endpoint allows; measure and disclose coverage. Overseas purposive supply universe and crypto universe, not claim all global listings. 39min plan with last5min journal/report.
job: Current top10 quotes and Liquid through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:01
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:01:39.254385+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks BTC b/a=77276.7/77299.039 age=43 ok=1 depthUSD=76.8/77.1 hurdle%=0.531 ETH b/a=2523.8/2524.37 age=240 ok=1 depthUSD=84.8/84.0 hurdle%=0.525 SOL b/a=102.22/102.29 age=295 ok=1 depthUSD=96.6/50.2 hurdle%=0.571 USDC b/a=0.9995/1.00001 age=3061 ok=0 depthUSD=9995000.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.553 USDG b/a=0.99999/1.00001 age=69320 ok=0 depthUSD=9999900.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.504 XRP b/a=1.36492/1.371 age=162 ok=1 depthUSD=5716.3/5675.9 hurdle%=0.950 USDT b/a=0.99895/1.001 age=17395 ok=0 depthUSD=497044.9/1188853.5 hurdle%=0.708 LTC b/a=53.73/54.067 age=281 ok=1 depthUSD=3628.0/3633.8 hurdle%=1.132 HYPE b/a=79.179/79.585 age=133 ok=1 depthUSD=60758.6/61130.8 hurdle%=1.017 LINK b/a=11.501/11.53 age=93 ok=1 depthUSD=13301.0/13358.2 hurdle%=0.755 fresh_quotes 7 /10 recipient BTC 598.50368339 mempool_net 0.00030919 tx_n 1253 reserve BTC 3601.47207156 mempool_net 1.092e-05 tx_n 597 recentpage 75 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4054933 age_s 89 t 1789264810 second 4054934 age_s 29 t 1789264870 operator_notes 3 operator_hash 1e913157cc811e629b1b86d4db894412f924f07ea0928c7aa1a3e183681de0ca claim To those responsible for the theft of bitcoin from the Liquid Network: Blockstream will not pay a r END fund=crypto panels_attempted=7/7 eligible=0; balances not sales or recovery
job: 15 panels with challenge checks; replaces169 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-13 02:01
fund=catalyst research only; size=0 UTC=2026-09-13T02:01:20.809872+00:00 TLX Thu, 10 Sep 2026 https://telixpharma.com/news-views/reliable-access-and-availability-of-ga-68-radiopharmaceuticals/ AVO Tue, 08 Sep 2026 https://investors.missionproduce.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mission-producer-announces-fiscal-2026-third-quarter-financial ABM Tue, 08 Sep 2026 https://abm.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/abm-reports-fiscal-third-quarter-2026-results ROIV Tue, 08 Sep 2026 https://investor.roivant.com/news-releases/news-release-details/roivant-announces-positive-results-phocus-study-mosliciguat UNFI 2026-09-08 8-K 0001020859-26-000022/unfi-20260903.htm DRI 2026-07-24 10-K 0000940944-26-000025/dri-20260531.htm PPIH 2026-09-09 10-Q 0001437749-26-029988/ppih20260731_10q.htm MRK 2026-08-07 10-Q 0000310158-26-000212/mrk-20260630.htm WLTH 2026-09-09 8-K 0001628280-26-061131/wlth-20260909.htm EPM Thu, 10 Sep 2026 https://ir.evolutionpetroleum.com/news-releases/news-release-details/evolution-petroleum-declares-012-share-cash-dividend-fiscal-q1 IPHA 2026-09-10 6-K 0001628280-26-061214/a260910_6k.htm KGF HTTP200 hash=dda88bf6ef8ad805 ASKUL HTTP200 hash=e6f0d85c03a37ce6 IPHAnews HTTP200 hash=63c1ed7a93468887 SOBI HTTP200 hash=d719eca30b8a5a99 END15. Research only. Strong/new: read originals+validate; weak/absent/error: cash+reverify. IPHA Sep17; Sobi receipt/Q1-2028 conditional. Preserve monitors165/168/167/137/22. Sources and dates in job script/journal. No orders.
job: Seven volatile top10 and ETH replay through Sep13 04:30UTC (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-13 02:01
fund=crypto research-only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-13T02:01:07.448392+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-bars {"s":"BTC","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":77295.452,"high480":82233.502538071,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"ETH","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":2524.085,"high480":2664.8535,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} ETH_PULLBACK_EVENT_WATCH {"events72h":[{"breakout":"2026-09-11T14:00:00+00:00","pullback_available":"2026-09-11T22:00:00+00:00","trigger":2518.687664708425,"close":2515.682}],"armed":"None","eligible":0,"note":"event detector; excludes portfolio occupancy and earlier arms; no late-entry or order authorization"} {"s":"SOL","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":102.255,"high480":110.5357,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LTC","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":53.8985,"high480":59.34355,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"XRP","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":1.36796,"high480":1.5488,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"HYPE","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":79.382,"high480":89.9954713195,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} {"s":"LINK","hour":"2026-09-13T01:00:00+00:00","c":11.5162,"high480":13.677,"ok":true,"signal":false,"recent_available":[],"eligible":0} END fund=crypto entry watch; observations only, no orders
job: SIP tanker and supply shortlist; replaces226 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-13 02:01
fund=supply research only eligible=0 2026-09-13T02:01:05.503052+00:00 bars source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars; columns feed/date/close/prior20/SMA50/ADR20/signal/ageDays FRO sip/2026-09-11 49.210 48.400 40.846 1.350 1 2 STNG sip/2026-09-11 84.520 84.510 77.927 2.002 1 2 VIST sip/2026-09-11 76.270 78.950 68.254 2.822 0 2 SWKS sip/2026-09-11 88.350 84.030 65.974 3.635 1 2 CCJ sip/2026-09-11 96.680 107.360 95.180 3.345 0 2 HWM sip/2026-09-11 229.610 292.650 272.241 8.204 0 2 VIST CIK1762506 2026-09-08 6-K 0001193125-26-384346 | 2026-08-28 SCHEDULE 13D/A 0001193125-26-374608 | 2026-08-17 6-K 0001193125-26-353206 SWKS CIK4127 2026-09-11 425 0001104659-26-106992 | 2026-09-09 4 0001976916-26-000003 | 2026-09-02 425 0001104659-26-104396 CCJ CIK1009001 2026-07-31 6-K 0001193125-26-327250 | 2026-07-31 6-K 0001193125-26-326768 | 2026-07-27 SCHEDULE 13G 0002012383-26-002143 ALM CIK1670061 2026-08-17 6-K 0001493152-26-038655 | 2026-08-12 6-K 0001493152-26-037264 | 2026-08-07 S-8 POS 0001493152-26-036504 SEC source=https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK{10digitCIK}.json; accession locates original filing FRO Sep11 declares total3.41 (.80special+2.61Q2),expectedNYSEexSep18/payaboutSep28. Source journal R91206; FRO3Rwatch2920-23; STNGholdout2925negative. Verify raw stops/cash/OCC; no capture trade. Age>4 stale. END 6/6 tasks attempted; errors=unknown. SIPall fixed L20 AND SMA50. Quarter probe<=21.27475 research reference, no orders
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