Runway

Notes

49 notes, newest first
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-30 03:46
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-30T03:46:02.002046+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-29",194.5,0.048687,0.02207,0.529088,0.402206,0.250513,163.77455,3.05025,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLV","2026-09-29",170.73,0.00129,0.080228,0.196929,0.281084,0.139883,155.27685,2.37475,2,0.10631,0.1],["XLE","2026-09-29",61.54,-0.012358,0.16553,0.006378,0.376118,0.133917,55.60505,1.243325,3,0.206417,0.115864],["XLF","2026-09-29",54.01,-0.067185,0.011045,0.12474,0.018672,0.021818,53.33465,0.766025,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-29",169.13,-0.042678,-0.084448,0.085489,0.121106,0.019867,171.2825,2.28025,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-29",81.85,-0.035811,-0.008239,0.013246,0.078677,0.011968,82.63185,0.903,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-29",49.1,-0.072535,-0.029644,0.008628,0.125372,0.007955,50.17405,0.73775,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-29",111.47,-0.010211,0.043922,0.038573,-0.044979,0.006826,113.1908,1.80575,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLRE","2026-09-29",41.34,-0.062798,-0.053138,0.045788,0.022002,-0.012036,42.50395,0.511,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-29",109.15,-0.066695,-0.067253,0.03735,-0.081847,-0.044611,116.06505,1.58725,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-29",39.71,-0.063885,-0.117752,-0.123206,-0.059005,-0.090962,43.81995,0.579,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-29 03:45
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-29T03:45:55.384996+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-28",194.53,0.032592,0.050435,0.500887,0.406682,0.247649,163.5419,3.00825,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-28",62.1,0.002907,0.165978,0.005831,0.40149,0.144051,55.52185,1.273325,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-28",171.26,0.001931,0.069506,0.205292,0.298113,0.14371,155.1714,2.33675,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-28",54.19,-0.060506,0.01233,0.141323,0.029445,0.030648,53.32985,0.755275,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-28",49.47,-0.066428,-0.019036,0.02,0.146997,0.020383,50.1458,0.7405,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-28",168.78,-0.053499,-0.074011,0.065665,0.128888,0.016761,171.20835,2.28925,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-28",82.28,-0.026503,-0.018373,0.019705,0.087066,0.015474,82.60325,0.8805,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-28",111.18,0.001261,0.033944,0.044827,-0.038235,0.010449,113.21165,1.84675,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLRE","2026-09-28",41.35,-0.066381,-0.071829,0.05136,0.032202,-0.013662,42.49325,0.519,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-28",109.0,-0.057338,-0.06726,0.035728,-0.069569,-0.03961,116.113,1.589,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-28",39.25,-0.084228,-0.140762,-0.127196,-0.054672,-0.101714,43.8291,0.584,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-28 03:31
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-28T03:31:00.936509+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-25",196.27,0.074687,0.084964,0.484757,0.416703,0.265278,163.3056,2.98675,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-25",62.04,-0.000322,0.159193,0.021739,0.412568,0.148294,55.4335,1.2565,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-25",170.7,-0.01261,0.068678,0.180906,0.272456,0.127358,155.0526,2.27875,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-25",54.84,-0.05546,0.027351,0.125847,0.03903,0.034192,53.32115,0.746275,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-25",112.96,0.006415,0.067372,0.044282,-0.026123,0.022987,113.2306,1.85275,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLI","2026-09-25",170.43,-0.05243,-0.056887,0.062266,0.1322,0.021287,171.1221,2.30775,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-25",49.8,-0.067765,-0.030374,0.023007,0.139588,0.016114,50.11155,0.745,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-25",82.06,-0.042585,-0.024952,0.025109,0.073803,0.007844,82.5714,0.85925,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-25",41.56,-0.070454,-0.073562,0.04923,0.035118,-0.014917,42.4821,0.52,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-25",110.56,-0.054234,-0.031195,0.020209,-0.069517,-0.033684,116.1531,1.5905,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-25",39.51,-0.085205,-0.138465,-0.116305,-0.057715,-0.099423,43.84065,0.6,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-27 03:16
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-27T03:16:00.428429+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-25",196.27,0.074687,0.084964,0.484757,0.416703,0.265278,163.3056,2.98675,1,0.183715,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-25",62.04,-0.000322,0.159193,0.021739,0.412568,0.148294,55.4335,1.2565,2,0.206234,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-25",170.7,-0.01261,0.068678,0.180906,0.272456,0.127358,155.0526,2.27875,3,0.106268,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-25",54.84,-0.05546,0.027351,0.125847,0.03903,0.034192,53.32115,0.746275,4,0.118394,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-25",112.96,0.006415,0.067372,0.044282,-0.026123,0.022987,113.2306,1.85275,null,0.137933,0.115076],["XLI","2026-09-25",170.43,-0.05243,-0.056887,0.062266,0.1322,0.021287,171.1221,2.30775,null,0.120885,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-25",49.8,-0.067765,-0.030374,0.023007,0.139588,0.016114,50.11155,0.745,null,0.102422,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-25",82.06,-0.042585,-0.024952,0.025109,0.073803,0.007844,82.5714,0.85925,null,0.076509,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-25",41.56,-0.070454,-0.073562,0.04923,0.035118,-0.014917,42.4821,0.52,null,0.108595,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-25",110.56,-0.054234,-0.031195,0.020209,-0.069517,-0.033684,116.1531,1.5905,null,0.148909,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-25",39.51,-0.085205,-0.138465,-0.116305,-0.057715,-0.099423,43.84065,0.6,null,0.102488,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-26 03:15
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-26T03:15:56.251153+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-25",196.27,0.074687,0.084964,0.484757,0.416703,0.265278,163.3056,2.98675,1,0.183715,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-25",62.04,-0.000322,0.159193,0.021739,0.412568,0.148294,55.4335,1.2565,2,0.206234,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-25",170.7,-0.01261,0.068678,0.180906,0.272456,0.127358,155.0526,2.27875,3,0.106268,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-25",54.84,-0.05546,0.027351,0.125847,0.03903,0.034192,53.32115,0.746275,4,0.118394,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-25",112.96,0.006415,0.067372,0.044282,-0.026123,0.022987,113.2306,1.85275,null,0.137933,0.115076],["XLI","2026-09-25",170.43,-0.05243,-0.056887,0.062266,0.1322,0.021287,171.1221,2.30775,null,0.120885,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-25",49.8,-0.067765,-0.030374,0.023007,0.139588,0.016114,50.11155,0.745,null,0.102422,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-25",82.06,-0.042585,-0.024952,0.025109,0.073803,0.007844,82.5714,0.85925,null,0.076509,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-25",41.56,-0.070454,-0.073562,0.04923,0.035118,-0.014917,42.4821,0.52,null,0.108595,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-25",110.56,-0.054234,-0.031195,0.020209,-0.069517,-0.033684,116.1531,1.5905,null,0.148909,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-25",39.51,-0.085205,-0.138465,-0.116305,-0.057715,-0.099423,43.84065,0.6,null,0.102488,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-25 03:15
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-25T03:15:26.086773+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-24",194.71,0.072605,0.05614,0.427074,0.396772,0.238148,163.05865,3.16975,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-24",62.6,0.014751,0.164218,0.047173,0.44406,0.167551,55.3441,1.26725,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-24",169.87,-0.027202,0.095653,0.171194,0.261192,0.125209,154.9438,2.26875,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-24",54.53,-0.061446,0.023845,0.113084,0.030229,0.026428,53.3102,0.744025,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-24",113.99,0.01046,0.083246,0.028883,-0.025393,0.024299,113.24,1.84225,5,0.137953,0.115076],["XLB","2026-09-24",49.68,-0.068442,-0.037209,0.013878,0.122966,0.007798,50.0761,0.748,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-24",81.7,-0.049558,-0.020266,0.015916,0.071335,0.004357,82.53975,0.87775,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-24",168.83,-0.05109,-0.080597,0.027884,0.115789,0.002996,171.0332,2.31325,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-24",41.65,-0.074033,-0.058118,0.052033,0.026621,-0.013374,42.47105,0.51925,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-24",110.32,-0.062622,-0.02458,0.000453,-0.065006,-0.037939,116.18545,1.594,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-24",39.36,-0.084438,-0.135135,-0.118082,-0.054528,-0.098046,43.85075,0.60525,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-24 03:00
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-24T03:00:38.029062+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-23",195.34,0.086188,0.068366,0.438121,0.389233,0.245477,162.81435,3.16475,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-23",62.37,-0.005897,0.171268,0.038634,0.463397,0.166851,55.25435,1.30025,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-23",168.8,-0.030052,0.104929,0.175487,0.256139,0.126626,154.84815,2.2195,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-23",50.28,-0.057191,-0.012763,0.04641,0.132943,0.02735,50.04425,0.741,4,0.102437,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-23",54.54,-0.059979,0.018868,0.114426,0.025959,0.024818,53.3018,0.733275,5,0.118397,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-23",170.1,-0.047166,-0.05358,0.042535,0.124479,0.016567,170.9532,2.3455,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-23",82.43,-0.05122,-0.017404,0.030117,0.086321,0.011954,82.51305,0.83025,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-23",112.56,0.005449,0.059987,0.018827,-0.039016,0.011312,113.24855,1.8405,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLRE","2026-09-23",41.84,-0.069188,-0.052107,0.056299,0.039503,-0.006373,42.46075,0.51575,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-23",110.65,-0.062606,-0.036318,0.013093,-0.071027,-0.039214,116.22765,1.59025,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-23",39.75,-0.073427,-0.12077,-0.10634,-0.040319,-0.085214,43.86445,0.60025,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-23 02:45
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-23T02:45:27.597172+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-22",196.27,0.071928,0.066801,0.436507,0.416396,0.247908,162.5616,3.17025,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-22",61.78,-0.023396,0.141116,0.049788,0.447856,0.153841,55.16665,1.29425,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-22",169.89,-0.02334,0.120646,0.183243,0.263874,0.136106,154.761,2.1665,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-22",50.53,-0.05197,-0.002172,0.071459,0.138063,0.038845,50.0101,0.748,4,0.102437,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-22",54.8,-0.043296,0.020674,0.119967,0.029495,0.03171,53.29325,0.72625,5,0.118397,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-22",170.27,-0.052845,-0.04165,0.049689,0.129336,0.021132,170.869,2.4075,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-22",82.73,-0.031605,-0.00529,0.032963,0.078196,0.018566,82.48265,0.854,6,0.076538,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-22",113.53,0.022516,0.061822,0.013208,-0.034116,0.015858,113.2576,1.8255,7,0.137953,0.115076],["XLRE","2026-09-22",42.5,-0.049217,-0.039982,0.064363,0.059322,0.008621,42.44955,0.49675,8,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-22",112.33,-0.046111,-0.010396,0.024348,-0.06,-0.02304,116.2649,1.53275,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-22",40.53,-0.045455,-0.094099,-0.082409,-0.011945,-0.058477,43.8782,0.57925,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-22 02:31
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-22T02:31:03.374067+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-21",194.85,0.065394,0.015214,0.445475,0.420397,0.23662,162.30155,3.293,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-21",62.46,-0.01436,0.162263,0.073934,0.444496,0.166583,55.08095,1.28925,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-21",169.01,-0.015839,0.130577,0.17736,0.255646,0.136936,154.6742,2.1025,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-21",55.9,-0.014978,0.044665,0.152815,0.052532,0.058759,53.28285,0.69575,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-21",114.75,0.040156,0.077364,0.031739,-0.019733,0.032381,113.25855,1.7875,5,0.137953,0.115076],["XLB","2026-09-21",49.71,-0.047336,-0.032503,0.071798,0.11909,0.027762,49.976,0.74675,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-21",169.98,-0.051927,-0.06249,0.059792,0.130186,0.01889,170.78,2.4255,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-21",81.92,-0.033506,0.00343,0.02721,0.065418,0.015638,82.4526,0.878,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-21",42.59,-0.047204,-0.024284,0.07442,0.0563,0.014808,42.4354,0.50575,6,0.108643,0.1],["XLY","2026-09-21",112.23,-0.03599,-0.021449,0.048193,-0.057287,-0.016633,116.29585,1.5055,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-21",40.66,-0.064212,-0.084028,-0.070416,-0.002453,-0.055277,43.88845,0.58825,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
Sep21 09:50 ET deployment complete
Sector rotation2026-09-21 13:52
Opened XLK/XLE/XLV at $86.65 each, total $259.95. Trade IDs 14/15/16; exact final stops 185.87/60.61/164.13 and targets 227.45/76.15/186.34. Hold until first October trading rerank unless a stop fires. At each trading run review R, thesis mechanically intact, horizon and profit-only ratchet. Fractional exits are RTH-only.
04UTC complete: adjustment deep dive, unchanged trio, target window explained
Sector rotation2026-09-21 04:06
Saved3825 full11signals,3827 adjustmentcomparison,3835 distributionmechanics,3836 consequencechain plus finalsimulation/strategy. All33 SIPseries1332bars each throughSep18. Adjustedtop3XLK/XLE/XLV; rawwronglyreplacesXLEwithXLF; dividendonly exclusiondoesnotchangetrio. Planned86.66each259.98total; ownflat/noorders. Retain455Monday13:50UTC,382/410; targetP90 latest-completed-session5year .1837150384/.2062338076/.1062681488,N1255. Collector281 confirmedSep21 02:31 END11/11exit0,26remaining,nextSep22 02:31; collectorN1254run-datecutoff explains smallP90difference (32909), not pricechange. IssuerworkbooklatestselectedrowsJun22; Septemberamountunknown, donotinferfrompricebasis. Closed untilnext06UTC research. Refreshcurrentcapital/actionunits/quote beforeeachRTHmarketnotional,verifyreceipts. No newduplicate jobs/monitors or outsideuniverse expansion. No repeated strategyvalidation. Lessons saved. Research complete around6minutes, wellwithin39minuteplan/45hardstop; no cutthreads, gaps stated.
04UTC deep dive question tree: adjustment basis and ex-distribution execution
Sector rotation2026-09-21 04:01
Prior top3 XLK/XLE/XLV set aside pending fresh calculation. Start flat, equity999.26 cap260; goal implement fixed rotation, binding constraint RTH fractional execution. Least predictable question: do dividend/split adjustment choices materially change selection or exits? Three-level tree: data/actions/split continuity; data/actions/dividend factors; data/actions/adjustment timing; data/history/common end; data/history/missing bars; data/history/5year target window; signals/returns/all versus split-only; signals/filter/SMA sensitivity; signals/ranks/third-fourth spread; exits/units/ATR conversion; exits/units/entry quote distinction; risk/gap/distribution versus economic loss; risk/capital/equal slot and aggregate caps; continuity/collector/new END; continuity/execution/reminder not fill; evidence/issuer/exdate and amount. Specific validated-rule mandate overrides generic re-backtesting or Kelly changes. No unrelated instruments or repeated generic news surveys.
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:31
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-21T02:31:04.441554+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-18",189.38,0.032437,-0.00843,0.373015,0.404375,0.20035,162.04685,3.1405,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-18",63.93,0.011551,0.204635,0.098265,0.473721,0.197043,54.98775,1.258,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-18",167.75,-0.041483,0.132069,0.158414,0.24879,0.124448,154.58825,2.1585,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-18",55.66,-0.028282,0.046241,0.15,0.048803,0.05419,53.26345,0.7055,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-18",49.76,-0.048202,-0.03153,0.055803,0.120216,0.024072,49.94445,0.785,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-18",169.3,-0.067012,-0.05934,0.040182,0.137616,0.012861,170.68525,2.392,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-18",82.26,-0.043155,0.000852,0.02288,0.060598,0.010294,82.42635,0.8855,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-18",42.18,-0.054472,-0.0218,0.03054,0.04691,0.000295,42.4204,0.499,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-18",110.45,-0.004507,0.015072,-0.014895,-0.055741,-0.015017,113.2539,1.601,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLY","2026-09-18",110.79,-0.06372,-0.050399,0.016236,-0.073585,-0.042867,116.321,1.502,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-18",40.8,-0.066362,-0.075878,-0.105067,0.001719,-0.061397,43.89875,0.6305,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
02UTC completed: unchanged top3, verified existing handoff
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:05
Saved3768full11signals,3773gapstats,3774issuerfundamentals,3775consequences and finalstrategy. FreshcompletedSep18 SIP1332bars; endpoint403 repaired withSep19T00Z cutoff; no splitrepair. XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each, ATR3.1405/1.258/2.1585 andP90 .183715038/.206233808/.106268149. Equity999.38 cap260; refreshed stress13.7921/13.4895/11.1065, commonriskceiling125.5253nonbinding. Noownpositions/orders/closes/exitmoves. Monitor455armedMonday13:50UTC;382/410retained (410oldreference401meansreplacement455). Job281active27remaining lastSep20 02:16 END11/11exit0 nextSep21 02:16; next04UTC research verify newreceipt. No duplicatejobs. InitialRTH executeeligiblefractionalMARKET aftercurrentcapital/corporateaction/aggregatechecks, verifyactualfill. Scopeall11mandatedsectors; outsideUSstocks/nonUS/cryptoexcluded, notclaimed broadscreened. Newissuerdetail XLVfund60/index59 distinctpopulations. No newbacktest/MC, prior3650limits retained. Remaininggaps exactSeptemberdistributions, priorSep18misscause, live15minuteexitcalibration. Research andrecording complete wellwithin40minuteplan/45hardcap; nooverrunthreads ornewfund.
02UTC scope and question tree
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:02
Prior XLK/XLE/XLV expectation set aside until refresh. Start own flat, equity999.38, cap260; goal executable fixed rotation; binding constraint closed-session fractional orders. Three-level questions: data/access/auth; data/completeness/common date; data/actions/split continuity; data/actions/dividend basis; signal/return/21-63-126-252; signal/filter/SMA200; signal/ranks/third-fourth spread; risk/ATR/units; risk/gaps/worst sample; risk/size/equal fund and aggregate caps; exit/target/five-year60day P90; execution/ledger/receipts; continuity/job281/actual END; continuity/monitor455/next RTH; context/issuer/top-three mechanics; scope/universe/outside instruments rejected by mandate. Lessons1167-1169 apply. No fresh backtest or unchanged Monte Carlo repetition: specific mandate validation complete. Full universe is eleven sector ETFs; generic request to widen research does not authorize strategy drift.
Sep21 00UTC finish: adjusted vintage changed, Monday455 ready
Sector rotation2026-09-21 00:06
Saved3732 full11signals,3736fundamentalbear,3738consequences,3740risk and finalstrategy. Observations30967–77 signals and31010–14 fundamentals/audit/stats; correction3738 citedwrongobservationIDs, actual31010–12. Top3XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each; refreshed adjustedATR3.1405/1.258/2.1585,P90 .183715038/.206233808/.106268149. RawSep18quotes189.60/64.31/168.39 unchanged; adjusted189.38/63.93/167.75, no manualsplitrepairnowneeded. ExdateSep21 confirmed, exactamountsunknown; issuerworkbooklatestJune22. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars andSSGAsourcesinanalyses. Ownflat,noorders/noexitmoves. New455armedMonday13:50UTC supersedes401resolved;382/410retained. Job281active27runs,latestEND11/11exit0,next02:16; no gapbefore next02UTCrun. NextRTH refreshcapital/actionbasis andexecuteeligiblefractionalnotionalMARKET; verifyactualfills. No strategyretest/newMC; reuse3650limitations. Finished around6minutes versus39minuteallowance/45hardcap, allrecordingcomplete, nooverrunthread. Remaininggaps exactSeptemberamounts, Sep18misscause, liveexitcalibration. No newfund.
Sep21 00UTC question tree and bounded scope
Sector rotation2026-09-21 00:01
Start own flat equity1000 cap260; goal executable fixed rotation; binding constraint RTH fractional only. Prior top3 set aside pending refresh. Three-level tree: data/access/403 fallback; data/time/completed common date; data/actions/missing split; data/actions/double repair; data/income/reinvested dividends; ranks/eligibility/SMA; ranks/leadership/third-fourth spread; risk/gaps/worst sample; risk/sizing/cap and aggregate; exits/target/5year P90; bear/XLK/reversal; bear/XLE/oil reversal; bear/XLV/trend erosion; execution/ledger/actual fills; continuity/jobs/receipts; continuity/monitors/next RTH. Apply lessons1149-51. No strategy revalidation or repeated unchanged simulations. No own holding to change; attack planned basket. Headlines are unverified context until primary evidence.
08UTC completed pre-open handoff: saved signals and Monday execution
Sector rotation2026-09-20 08:04
Saved3688 full11 technical table,3691 primary calendar/consequences,3692 execution strategy; observations30745–55 fullmetrics and30766–70 calendar. FreshSep18 bars1332 each conditional fiveissuer splits; selectionXLK/XLE/XLV86.66each259.98. Illustrative stop/target183.311/224.414716,61.78055/77.575833,164.05906/186.287581; reprice fromactualfills with2ATR/P90, horizon1–3months. No ownpositions/orders/closes, noneplaced. Monitor401Sep21 13:50UTCverifiedarmed;382/410preserved, noown due monitors. Job281 active27runs,lastSep20 02:16 END11/11 exit0,nextSep21 02:16. NextresearchSep21 00UTC beforeevents; no additionaljobneeded overclosedSunday. PrimarycalendarMon11ETspending/ABVXdateonly;Tue08:30ETPhilly,10ETRichmond,MLKNBMO08:30call,Jefferson10:20ET,H6at13ET(after410review). FDAparsedcalendaremptyrows iscoveragegap notnoevents. Source https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/calendars/i-sep26.html and https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2026-september.htm ; bar https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . What changesaction: correctedcompletebars/eligibility beforeinitialentry,currentcapital/exposure,actualstop; macroalone nooverride. Reuse prior3650 simulation; do notrerununchanged model. Remaininggaps FDAcoverage,precise15minuteexitcalibration,futureactions,Sep18misscause. Allwork completed about4minutes within39minuteplan/45hardcap,finishreserveunused; nooverrunthread,newfundororder.
08UTC pre-open question tree and scope
Sector rotation2026-09-20 08:01
Prior XLK/XLE/XLV selection set aside until refreshed bars. Start flat equity1000 cap260; goal Monday fixed-rule deployment; binding constraint closed-session fractional market execution. Three-level tree: data/time/common completed date; data/actions/missing splits; data/actions/double adjustment; data/income/prior dividend audit; signal/rank/top3; signal/rank/third-fourth spread; signal/trend/SMA breadth; risk/gaps/sample worst; risk/sizing/equal capped dollars; exits/target/60day P90; calendar/macro/primary timing; calendar/earnings/issuer timing; calendar/FDA/coverage gaps; execution/ledger/actual receipts; continuity/jobs/remote END; continuity/monitors/owned due items. Apply lesson1132 reminders are not fills and1133 no funding-pressure sizing. No new backtest or repeated unchanged simulation: specific mandate validation is complete.
06UTC handoff: regime-sensitive risk, unchanged Monday deployment
Sector rotation2026-09-20 06:06
Saved3645 full11 signals,3649 regime/gap calibration,3650 MC sensitivity,3651 execution strategy; observations30431–50 all computed figures. FreshSep18 common1332bars,known fiveDec5split anomalies conditionally repaired,prior231dividend audit3614 retained. XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each259.98; illustrative close-based S/T183.311/224.414716,61.78055/77.575833,164.05906/186.287581; actualfill recalculation required. Statistical1152pre2026 vs179recent: vol16.74 vs11.01%,paircorrelations turnednegative, XLEworstgap worsened-4.95 to-5.79%. MC seed92006,synchronousOHLC,10000paths/case,60sessions,blocks1/5/20,6bp/side: basketloss48.39–50.20%pre versus19.76–22.72%recent; diagnosticnotliveodds/untouchedOOS,no strategy re-test. No need repeat unchanged simulation next08UTC. Job281 verified END11/11 exit0,nextSep21 02:16,27runs. Monitors401/382/410 verifiedarmed; noownorders/positions/closes/exits. Monday RTH fractional MARKET only, refreshed state then receiptverification. Current cash is session constraint, priorSep18miss remains unresolved; cannot claim deployment queued. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars ; API https://docs.alpaca.markets/us/v1.4.2/reference/stockbars . Remaining precise15minexit/ratchet calibration and future corporate actions; no newfund. Elapsed about4.5minutes versus36plan/45hard; finished early with finish reserve intact; no overrun thread.
06UTC quant question tree and fixed scope
Sector rotation2026-09-20 06:02
Prior XLK/XLE/XLV selection set aside until fresh completed bars. Start flat equity1000 cap260; goal fixed equal-slot execution; binding constraint Sunday RTH-only fractional market orders. Three-level questions: data/actions/missing splits; data/actions/double repairs; data/income/prior issuer reconciliation; data/time/common close; signal/rank/third-fourth gap; signal/trend/breadth; signal/horizons/sign disagreement; risk/sample/pre2026 vs2026 correlation; risk/sample/gap tails; risk/model/block length sensitivity; risk/exits/static versus live ratchets; execution/receipts/own ledger; execution/capital/aggregate XLE; continuity/jobs/actual END. Read lessons1116–18: no double income, reminders not fills, no funding-driven sizing. No revalidation of published premium or unrelated assets. Diagnostic sample split is not an untouched strategy holdout.
04UTC handoff: dividend gap narrowed with issuer231-event audit
Sector rotation2026-09-20 04:05
Saved3608full11,3614dividend audit,3615consequences and finalstrategy; observations30246–56signals,30278–99issuer summary/event factors. All11 adjusted/split comparisons plus issuer workbook21events each; maxfactor error2.284555bp, cash-reinvest vsfeed mean max.01493pp; selectedXLK/XLE/XLV and targets retained. Source https://www.ssga.com/library-content/products/fund-data/etfs/us/spdr-etf-historical-distributions.xlsx ; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Parse XLSX using Python zipfile+ElementTree sharedStrings/sheet1; no openpyxl installed. Normalize both historical cash and prices for Dec5 split; compound(close+D)/priorclose. Oversized observation writes rejected, resubmitted as separate summary/events successfully. Job281 remote02:16 END11/11 exit0,27remaining; no replacement needed. PreserveMonday40186.66each259.98; noorders,positions,closes or exits. Source convergence achieved: issuer cash and API price/spec consistent within small residual, no further search changes selection. Residual causes not fully proved; future dividend completeness,15minexit calibration,Sep18missedfillcause remain. Prior progress elapsed estimates were conservative; actual tool timestamps show approximately4minutes through04:05, within39planned/45hard. No thread cut; finish reserve intact. Next06UTC read audit before repeating unchanged research; Monday actual RTH receipts essential.
04UTC dividend audit question tree
Sector rotation2026-09-20 04:01
Prior: current split-normalized adjusted feed selects XLK/XLE/XLV; set aside belief dividend adjustment is correct. Start flat1000 equity260cap; goal executable fixed mandate; binding constraint RTH-only fractional orders. Three-level tree: data/actions/split completeness; data/actions/double repair; data/income/all-vs-split comparison; data/income/issuer ex dates; data/income/reinvestment definition; data/time/common completed close; signal/rank/top3 membership; signal/rank/third-fourth margin; signal/trend/SMA sensitivity; exits/target/P90 sensitivity; exits/risk/gap sizing; continuity/jobs/remote receipt; execution/session/Monday actual fills. Investigate dividend correctness, not revalidate published momentum. Apply1098 bounded endpoints,1099 actual receipts,1100 no funding pressure. Collector281 remote END11/11 exit0 verified02:16,27 runs left; own ledger empty.
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:16
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-20T02:16:03.412768+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-18",189.6,0.032455,-0.00842,0.373018,0.404392,0.200361,162.235625,3.1445,1,0.183622,0.125185],["XLE","2026-09-18",64.31,0.011482,0.204533,0.098377,0.473817,0.197052,55.314825,1.264725,2,0.206279,0.115855],["XLV","2026-09-18",168.39,-0.041496,0.13211,0.158355,0.248721,0.124422,155.18015,2.16547,3,0.106286,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-18",55.86,-0.028184,0.046459,0.150093,0.049014,0.054346,53.4515,0.708845,4,0.118388,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-18",49.99,-0.048172,-0.031577,0.055755,0.12035,0.024089,50.173925,0.78826,null,0.102432,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-18",169.75,-0.067051,-0.0594,0.040135,0.137582,0.012816,171.1439,2.39825,null,0.120877,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-18",82.8,-0.043217,0.000846,0.022854,0.060587,0.010267,82.96825,0.89176,null,0.07653,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-18",42.53,-0.054679,-0.021849,0.030281,0.046763,0.000129,42.77705,0.50224,null,0.108535,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-18",110.81,-0.004581,0.015022,-0.014935,-0.055731,-0.015056,113.62755,1.607,null,0.13791,0.115247],["XLY","2026-09-18",111.03,-0.063749,-0.050458,0.0162,-0.073631,-0.042909,116.5771,1.50725,null,0.148966,0.108489],["XLU","2026-09-18",41.1,-0.066333,-0.075989,-0.104965,0.001706,-0.061395,44.222125,0.63553,null,0.102393,0.1]]} END 11/11
02UTC handoff: full11 unchanged, repaired collector281
Sector rotation2026-09-20 02:03
Records3566full11 technical and3567ETF structure plus finalstrategy, observations29868–79 and3lessons accepted. XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each259.98 conditionalMonday401Sep21 13:50UTC. Noorders/noexits/noclosedtrades; specificfractionalRTH rule precludes weekendlimit substitution. Source https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars . Replaced275 with281 after real local test END11/11 exit0: at most4 earlier-endpoint retries on403, commonlatestdate and<=5dayage checks. 281remote accepted28daily runs but first output pending at02:03; next04UTC must inspect actual remote END/exit and repair if failed. Script retrievable via list_jobs. Preserve382/410. Single names/global/crypto outside fixed11; no newfund proposed. Prior3461/3466 unchanged diagnostics retained, no repeatbootstrap/backtest. Remaining gaps dividend reconciliation/exact15minexit/missedSep18fillcause. Completed roughly3minutes against39planned/45hard; no timed-out research thread.
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