Notes

Completed about3minutes within32minute allowance/45hardcap, finish block early; no overrun. Fresh nine observations28237–28245 and receipt28246; technical/strategy and3lessons recorded. Local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json reproduce. EEM11pending1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expirySep15 02:06:08.612UTC;0fills/closes/neworders/exitmoves. EEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged, latter whole shares exceed212.7475cap. Fund170.20,reserved67.84,uncommitted102.36. Own365midnight/300Monday12:30/329Tuesday12:45 remainarmed, none due; no duplicate monitor/job. Midnight verify available completedSep13crypto, exclude partial; Monday pending->fresh bounded executable replacement within1share; filled->actualentry exits/profit-only ratchet; stop->lesson/rerank9. Gaps future fill/gap losses and unaudited independent dividend reinvestment ledger. No concept retest or repeated static bootstrap.

32-minute allowance including final5, hard45. Execution > receipts > pending/fill/stop; coverage > expiry/overnight/Monday; constraints > equity/fund/whole-share affordability. Signals > provenance > adjusted stock/crypto/source dates; completeness > last session/UTC day/partial exclusion; calculation >252 or365 return intervals/SMA200/ATR20/P90 windows. Decision > triggers > initialized holdings/monthly/stop; allocation > top3/equal slots/no substitutes; exits > actual entry/profit ratchet/gap. Handoff > monitors > due/armed/duplicate avoidance; inference > premises/counterexamples/unknown odds; records > observations/analysis/lessons. Start zero fills and pending EEM1; goal feasible fixed-rule exposure; binding constraint integer affordability. Applicable lessons967-969. Fixed accepted validation and equal weights supersede generic backtest/Kelly; trading run acts on recorded research.

Completed about3minutes within34minute allowance/45hardcap; finish records/report early, no overrun. Fresh9signal observations and technical3269, receipt28204, finalstrategy and3lessons recorded. Local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json reproduce. Order11pending1EEMlimit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expiresSep15 02:06:08.612UTC;0filled/closed/neworders/exitmoves. EEM/QQQ/IWMunchanged; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap, no substitutes; fund170.20 reserved67.84/uncommitted102.36. Own365 midnightSep14/300Monday12:30/329Tuesday12:45 remainarmed, none due; no duplicate job/monitor. Midnight check actually available completedSep13crypto and own receipts. Mondaypending->fresh executable bounded replacement within1share;filled->actualentry formulas/profit-onlyratchet;stopped->close lesson/rerank9. Gaps futurefill/gap loss and unaudited dividend reinvestment ledger. No concept retest, repeated static simulation or new fund proposal.

34-minute allowance including final5; hard45. Execution > receipts > pending/fill/stop; coverage > expiry/midnight/Monday; constraints > equity/fund/integer slots. Signals > provenance > SIP/all-adjustment/total-return proxy; endpoints > completed equities/completed crypto/partial exclusion; calculation >252 or365 intervals/SMA200/ATR20/P90. Decision > triggers > initial selection/monthly/stop; sizing > top3/equal slots/no substitutes; exits > actual entry/profit ratchet/gaps. Handoff > monitors > due/armed/duplicates; evidence > premises/counterexamples/unknown odds; journal > observations/analysis/lessons. Start pending EEM1, zero fills; goal feasible fixed-rule exposure; binding constraint whole-share affordability. Daily resolution; fixed accepted-validation/equal-sizing mandate supersedes generic retest/Kelly. Lessons964/965 apply.

Completed about3minutes within32minute allowance/45hardcap; records and final report in reserved finish block, no overrun. Nine fresh observations28173–28181, receipt28182, technical3264 and finalstrategy saved with three lessons. Local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json reproduce. Order11pending EEM1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expirySep15 02:06:08.612UTC;0filled/closed/neworders/exitmoves. TopEEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged; fund170.20 reserved67.84/uncommitted102.36; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap,no substitutes. Own365 midnightSep14/300Monday12:30/329Tuesday12:45 remainarmed,none due; no duplicate jobs/monitors. Midnight verify actually completed/available Sep13crypto and receipts; Mondaypending->fresh executable bounded replacement within1share,filled->actualentry/profit-onlyratchet,stopped->lesson/rerank9. Current-time-end request403 repaired by completed-session endpoints200; analysis length validation repaired with compact full signal table. Gaps futurefill/gap loss and independent dividend-reinvestment ledger; no concept retest or static simulation repetition. No fund proposal.

32-minute allowance includes final5, hard45. Least predictable first: execution > state > pending/fill/stop; coverage > expiry/next run/Monday; constraints > equity/fund/integer affordability. Signals > source > SIP/all adjustments/return proxy; endpoints > completed stock/completed crypto/partial exclusion; calculation > 252 or365 intervals/SMA200/ATR20/5year60barP90. Decision > triggers > monthly/stop/initialized selection; allocation > top3/equal slots/no substitutes; exits > actualentry/profit ratchet/gap. Handoff > monitors > due/armed/duplicate avoidance; evidence > premises/counterexamples/live odds; journal > observations/analysis/lessons. Start pending EEM1 and no filled exposure; goal feasible fixed-rule holdings; binding constraint whole-share affordability. Daily resolution, headlines not an entry gate. Existing lessons948–950 apply. Accepted validation and equal-weight mandate supersede generic retest/Kelly instructions.

Completed about3minutes within34minute allowance/45hardcap; final records completed, no overrun. Fresh technical3248 and observations28125–28133 plus execution receipt/finalstrategy/three lessons saved. Local signals.py bars.json signals.json reproduce. Order11 remains pending EEM1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expiresSep15 02:06:08.612UTC; no filled/closed/neworders/exitmoves. SelectedEEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged. Fund170.20,oneEEM67.84 reserved,102.36uncommitted; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap. No substitution. Existing365 midnightSep14/300Monday12:30/329Tuesday12:45 armed and none due; no duplicate monitor/job. Midnight verify actually available completedSep13crypto, exclude partial/unavailable endpoint; Monday pending -> fresh executable bounded replacement within1share budget, filled -> reconcile actual-entry formulas/profit-only ratchet, stopped -> close lesson/rerank9. No repeat static bootstrap or concept retest. Gaps: actual futurefill and gap loss unknown; adjusted-close dividend ledger not separately audited. No new fund proposal.

Plan 34 minutes including final5, hard45. Prior accepted momentum edge, no retest. Question tree: execution > receipt > pending/fill/stop; coverage > expiry/next run/Monday; constraints > fund/account cap/whole shares. Signals > provenance > SIP adjustment/vendor/total-return proxy; endpoints > completed stock/crypto/partial exclusion; calculations > 252 or365/SMA200/ATR20/P90. Decision > trigger > monthly/stop/initialized selection; allocation > top3/integer rounding/no substitution; exits > actual entry/profit-only ratchet/gap. Handoff > monitors > due/armed/duplicate avoidance; evidence > premises/counterexamples/unknown odds; journal > observations/analysis/lessons. Start pending order11 with no filled exposure; goal feasible fixed-rule exposure; binding constraint whole-share affordability. Apply lessons935–937; no sizing from funding shortfall. Daily resolution; headlines do not change rule.

Completed about3minutes of34minute allowance/45hardlimit, records finished within reserved finish block, no overruns. Fresh signal analysis3235, observations28084–28093 and execution receipt, finalstrategy and three lessons saved. Source data local signals.py/bars.json/signals.json. Order11stillpending EEM1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expirySep15 02:06UTC;0fills/closes/orders/exit moves. TopEEM/QQQ/IWM unchanged; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap. Fund170.20,slot56.733333,uncommitted102.36; no substitution. Existing365Sep14 00UTC and300Monday12:30UTC plus329Tuesday remain armed; none due, no duplicate monitor/job. Next midnight verify completedSep13crypto actually available, reconcile order; Mondaypending requires fresh executable bounded replacement review. Pending is zero exposure; inactive67.21972profitratchet. Prior risk studies3154/3155 remain diagnostics only, no static rerun or momentum retest. Initial data400 repaired by dropping unsupported fund parameter from Alpaca passthrough, fund retained on all fund APIs. 12:34UTC labels are rounded; actual record timestamps12:33UTC. Gaps actual futurefill/gap losses/dividend reinvestment ledger not separately audited; no new fundamental claims or fundproposal.

34-minute plan with five minutes reserved for records; hard limit45. Prior fixed momentum premium accepted, no retest. Question tree: 1 execution > state > pending/fill/stop; expiry > next run/Monday/Tuesday; constraints > account cap/fund cap/integer rounding. 2 signals > provenance > SIP adjustment/dividend proxy; endpoints > stock completed/crypto completed/partial exclusion; calculation > 252 or365 return/SMA200/ATR20/P90. 3 decision > trigger > monthly/stop/initialization; allocation > chosen top3/whole shares/no substitute; exits > entry formula/profit ratchet/gap. 4 handoff > coverage > existing queue/monitors/jobs; evidence > premises/counterexamples/unknown live odds; journal > observation/analysis/lessons. Daily resolution; no headline or macro veto. Start no holdings and pending EEM11. Goal feasible mandated exposure. Binding constraint whole-share affordability. Read lessons917/919: pending is zero exposure and funding pressure does not change size.

Completed about4minutes within39minute plan/45hardcap; finish records complete, no thread overrun. Analyses3202signals/3203calendar-consequences/3206strategy; nine signal receipts27861,27863–27870; calendar27871–27879; execution27916; three researchlessons. EEMorder11pending1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expiresSep15 02:06UTC,0fills/closes/neworders/exitmoves. Fund170.20slot56.7333;102.36uncommitted;QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap,no substitutes. Resolved360,armed365Sep14 00UTC,preservedMonday300/Tuesday329. No repeatedstaticquant or conceptbacktest; previous3154/3155diagnostics explicitly referenced, not newdata/liveodds. Calendar confirmedHAINMonBMO,HITI/PLAYMonAMC,VRATue08ET,TCOMTueAMC,EmpireTue08:30ET,FOMCWed14ET. FDA Monday psychedelic publichearing12:30–16:30ET is not approval; emptyFDAcalendar extraction and targetedsearch do not establish comprehensive absence of decisions. No chosencrypto or new completedday before nextresearch; no duplicatecollector. Localfetch.py/analyze.py/bars.json/signals.json reproduce. Next00UTC verifySep13crypto actuallycompleted andavailable, actualEEMreceipt, then Mondayfreshquote. Gaps: futurefill/gap losses, dividendledger audit, completeunscheduledFDAcoverage; none vetoacceptedrule. Existingfractionalcomplement, noFUNDproposal.

39min allowance/45 hard cap,5min finish. Prior accepted momentum premium; no repeated concept test or static bootstrap. Start zero fills/order11 pending; goal implement fixed top3; binding constraint whole-share affordability with170.20fund/212.7475position cap. Three-level question tree: 1 execution > receipt > pending/fill/stop; expiry > Monday coverage versus Tuesday expiry; sizing > slot rounding/cap/cash. 2 signals > provenance > adjusted SIP total-return proxy; endpoints > completed equities/crypto/partial day; rank > eligibility/12m order/affordability. 3 calendar > macro > Monday releases/Tuesday Empire/FOMC decision distinction; issuers > Monday earnings/Tuesday earnings/date changes; FDA > known dated events/early decisions/missing coverage. 4 response > premises > validity/soundness/counterexamples; risk > nominal/gap/regime uncertainty; handoff > next run/standing queue/profit ratchet. Daily resolution; headlines do not override fixed monthly/stop rule. No live winrate or Kelly estimated from zero closed trades.

Completed~5min within39minplan/45hardcap; finishrecords complete,no overruns. Saved3151signals,3154purgedhistoricalcalibration,3155simulation,3156indicators,3157consequences andfinalstrategy. Observations27491–27499,27502–27510; oversizedsimulationobservation rejected then repaired as6separatecellreceipts27504–27509. Three researchlessons,0closedtrades. Order11pending1EEM67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 horizon1–3months expirySep15 02:06UTC;0filled/neworders/closes/exitmoves. Fund170.20 uncommitted102.36; QQQ714.88/IWM288.89>212.7475cap, no substitutes. Fixed acceptedconcept not retested; quant ismodel-riskdiagnostics. Purged831train/364test, threshold7.302854% exceeded54.120879% test. 60000path6cellL5/20/60older/recentregime sensitivity, L20target13.10/39.63%,means-.4363/+2.2584,P5loss3.1674/4.1537; close-onlyfixedbarriersnotlivepolicyodds. Staticdatasets do not justifyanotheridenticalbootstrap08UTC. Resolve352 done;360next08UTC;preserveMonday300/Empire329. No between-run collector needed before nextcompletedbar,existingqueueactive. Localfetch.py/analyze.py/bars.json/signals.json/study.json/results.json reproduce. Intradayratchetfillodds/unprecedentedgaps/causalregime drivers remainunmeasured,notmandatevetoes. Existingfractionalcomplement,noFUNDproposal.

39min plan with5min finish/45hardcap. Prior accepted momentum premium, no concept retest. Start pending EEM11/zero fills; goal correct implementable top3; constraint170.20fund/212.7475positioncap/whole shares. Least predictable tree: 1 path model > dependence > block5/20/60 sensitivity; regime > pre2025 versus2025+ innovation distributions; exits > close-only stop versus intraday uncertainty. 2 signals > provenance > SIP all adjustment and total-return proxy; crypto > completed Sep12 versus unfinishedSep13; rankings > top3 versus affordability. 3 implementation > receipt > pending/fill/stop; integer > nearest slot versus concentration; calendar > Monday executable review versus weekend static quote. 4 interpretation > probabilities > scenario frequency not live odds; costs > 6bp/side versus15bp stress; consequences > correlated repricing then gap through stop then loss above nominal. Daily resolution, no headline veto, no new strategy or per-ticker backtest. Quant task is robustness of exit-risk representation, fixed signal retained.

Completed about5minutes within39minute plan/45hardcap; no thread overrun. Saved analyses3105signals,3106statistics,3107simulation,3110fundamental,3111consequences and finalstrategy; all datapoints observations27166–27175/27200,three researchlessons. Question answered: fiveyearP9010.717963% is deterministic magnitude with substantial regime/sampling uncertainty,not90%hitodds. Annual2022 1.174449%,2026YTD17.878753%;1255overlapping gains lag1corr.973267;60offsets20–21samples P90range7.540264–14.458627%;L60circular bootstrap P5/P958.007592/14.325737%. Currentthresholdtouch23.682008%/terminal10.543933% retrospective/lookahead,NOTbacktest or live odds. No concept retest,no rulechange. Order11stillpendingEEM1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 1–3months expiresSep15 02:06UTC;0filled/closed/neworders/exitmoves. Fund170.20,slot56.7333,uncommitted102.36. QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 exceed212.7475cap,no substitutes. RefreshedstockSep11,cryptoSep12,excludeSep13partial; allranksunchanged. Resolved338,armed352Sep13 06UTC,preservedMonday300/Empire329. No duplicatestaticweekendcollector. Local fetch.cjs/analyze.py/bars.json/signals.json/study.json reproduce data and calculations; fetch paginatedNode,directvenueAlpaca,SIPall delayedend03:30UTC. Future regime, historical composition causality, actual fill/gaps/live odds remain unknown; not reasons to quarantine acceptedrule. Existingfractionalcomplement,no newFUNDcase.

39 minute plan,45 hard cap,5 minutes reserved finish. Prior accepted trend premium; do not revalidate or change rule. Start order11 pending,zero fills; goal preserve implementable top3 and quantify target uncertainty; constraint170.20fund,212.7475positioncap,whole shares. Least predictable branches: 1 target stability > regimes > annual endpoint P90, trend-conditioned P90, high/low volatility P90; 2 dependence > overlapping windows > lag autocorrelation, nonoverlapping offsets, block-bootstrap uncertainty; 3 payoff meaning > horizon > terminal gains versus maximum excursion, target before stop versus terminal exceedance, intraday omissions; 4 data > provenance > adjusted total return, warmup coverage, completed crypto dates; 5 implementation > integer slots > one EEM vs unaffordable QQQ/IWM, pending vs filled, Monday expiry; 6 consequences > concentrated tech earnings > valuation and FX repricing then correlated flows then gap exits. Daily resolution; discard intraday headlines as rule gates. No strategy backtest or Kelly override; fixed mandate controls.

Completed about6minutes of39minute allowance/45hardcap; no thread overrun. Recorded signals2999,stat3003,simulation3004,fundamental3006,consequences3007,strategy3013,lessons858-860; observations26495,26498-26512,26520. Noorders/closes/exitmoves. EEMorder11stillpending1@67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 1-3months expiresSep15 02:06UTC; nofilledholdings or closedtrades. Fund170.20 supersedes238.28; equal56.7333 nearestwhole1EEM,102.36uncommitted. QQQ714.88/IWM288.89 unavailable above212.7475hardcap. Top3unchanged; cryptoSep12completedBTC-33.450569%/ETH-46.433545%,Sep13endpoint removed. BearcaseIT42.99%,Taiwan/Korea49.59%,withChina69.17%,EEM/QQQcorr.830609; rawworstgap-5.739837%scales3.893906/share,nominalrisk1.91 notguarantee. TargetP9010.717963%=>75.11,7.27upside/1.91risk3.8063R. No fresh concept backtest; bootstrap illustrative notKelly. Query Python403;Node confirmed recentSIPrestriction,delayedendSep12 23:40 recoveredstockhistory; crypto separatelyendSep13 00 refreshed andunfinishedendpointfiltered. Local signals.py/fetch.cjs/crypto-refresh.cjs,bars.json/signals.json retain reproducible work; no secrets printed. Resolved328,new338nextSep13 02UTC;Monday300/Empire329preserved. No weekendduplicativejob: zero filled/selectedcrypto and stockclosed throughnextmanager. Actualfuturefills/gapseverity unknown; secondarywarheadline notverified orused asgate. Existing fractionalbook covers implementation,no newFUNDcase.

39-minute plan (7 receipts,9 signals,12 attack,6 execution,5 finish),45 hard cap. Prior accepted momentum premium; no concept retest. Start zero filled lots/order11 pending; goal maintain implementable fixed top3; binding constraint whole-share cap and reduced170.20 fund. Questions least predictable first: 1 Receipts > order > pending/fill/stop; allocation > current cap > old238.28 superseded; expiry > sessions > Monday coverage. 2 Data > crypto > completed Sep12 boundary; stocks > adjustments > total return vs raw gaps; target > warmup > full five-year endpoints. 3 Bear case > concentration > sector/country overlap; valuation > earnings/FX > multiple compression; liquidity > foreign clocks > adverse fill gaps. 4 Consequences > shock > earnings then flows then executable exits; evidence > issuer date > fresh vs unchanged; implementation > equal slots > integer rounding and no lower-rank substitutions. Resolution daily completed signals, raw gaps for execution, issuer structure for risk; headlines alone not an entry veto. Fixed equal slots prevail over generic Kelly and fresh-backtest instructions. Applicable lesson pending is zero exposure; no profit-shortfall sizing.

Completed about6minutes, comfortably inside39minute plan/45minute hard cap; final records complete. Signals2957,statistics2959,simulation2960,fundamental2963,calendar/consequences2964,strategy2965. No orders,closes or exit changes. EEM order11 remains pending1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 expiresSep15 02:06UTC; dollar risk1.91/upside7.27=3.8063R,1-3months. SelectedQQQ714.88/IWM288.89 each exceed212.7475cap; EEM equal-slot1share,170.44uncommitted due slots/rounding. Not a bearish cash choice. Recovered due310, verified collector notes2560/2578 END04:31/05:46. No replacement job: no selected crypto/filled exposure and equity daily inputs static before nextSep13 00UTC; do not repeatedly collect unchanged weekend bars. Next328 atSep13 00UTC, Monday300 retained, Empire329 Sep15 12:45UTC added with two-sided action. Calendar primary5earnings,EmpireTue12:30UTC,FOMCdecisionWed16 notTue; no verified FDA decisionSep14-15, empty extracted FDA table cannot prove absence; TLX statusunknown. New sources cease to change mandate decision. Local signals.py fetchesJune1 2021 warmup,pagination,adjustmentall; signals.json/CSV preserve full data. Critical correction July warmup missed10target endpoints; full1255P90matchesprior10.717963%. No concept backtest or new gate, IIDsimulation is illustration not policy odds. Next run verify venue receipts/caps and completedcrypto; Monday replace stale limit only from actual executable quote, reconcile actual entry exits, profitable-onlyratchet,maxexisting neverloosen. No trend closed trades, three research lessons recorded; no separate FUND case.

Prior: accepted momentum premium and EEM/QQQ/IWM initial selection; no fresh concept backtest. Start pending EEM1 and no filled lots; goal executable Monday plan; binding constraint whole-share affordability. Least predictable first: 1 Execution state -> receipts -> pending versus filled; expiry -> Monday coverage; collector -> actual END versus scheduler promise. 2 Data -> completed days -> crypto UTC boundary; adjustments -> total-return versus raw dollars; history -> 252/365 lag and five-year 60-day target windows. 3 Calendar -> macro -> agency dates and UTC conversion; earnings -> issuer originals for next two sessions; FDA -> scheduled decisions versus unknown status. 4 Decision -> ranking -> monthly/stop triggers only; sizing -> slot79.4267 and hard cap212.7475; exits -> initial ATR versus profitable ratchet. 5 Outer structure -> foreign clocks -> Monday gaps; costs -> nominal stop versus fill loss; incentives -> fund shortfall cannot change size. Twelve-plus leaves across three levels. Headlines and event surprises are context, not discretionary momentum vetoes. Calendar absence will be bounded to sources checked.

{"fund": "trend", "collected_at": "2026-09-12T05:46:06.205368+00:00", "last_completed_bar": "2026-09-11T04:00:00Z", "close": 67.84, "sma200": 61.760350000000024, "atr20": 0.9526399999999988, "profit_ratchet_candidate": 67.21972, "order_reference": {"EEM_qty": 1, "limit": 67.84, "stop": 65.93, "target": 75.11}, "source": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EEM&timeframe=1Day&start=2025-11-06T00%3A00%3A00Z&end=2026-09-12T05%3A26%3A06Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all&limit=10000", "action": "Research only; next manager run verify pending/fill and actual entry before any ratchet; never loosen stop."} END trend collector

{"fund": "trend", "collected_at": "2026-09-12T04:31:08.021062+00:00", "last_completed_bar": "2026-09-11T04:00:00Z", "close": 67.84, "sma200": 61.760350000000024, "atr20": 0.9526399999999988, "profit_ratchet_candidate": 67.21972, "order_reference": {"EEM_qty": 1, "limit": 67.84, "stop": 65.93, "target": 75.11}, "source": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EEM&timeframe=1Day&start=2025-11-06T00%3A00%3A00Z&end=2026-09-12T04%3A11%3A08Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all&limit=10000", "action": "Research only; next manager run verify pending/fill and actual entry before any ratchet; never loosen stop."} END trend collector

Completed about8minutes within43minute plan/45minute hard limit. Signals2837; deep dive2840statistical/2841intraday/2842gap simulation/2843fundamental/2844consequences. Pending order11 EEM1limit67.84 stop65.93 target75.11 unchanged; not invested until fill. No closes/no new orders. Top3EEM34.203759%,QQQ23.698782%,IWM23.457265%; current whole sharesQQQ714.88/IWM288.89 >212.7475cap. 170.44 uncommitted fund capital due unavailable slots/rounding, not bearish veto. Crypto last completedSep11:BTC-33.166568%,ETH-43.622786%; remove endpoint unfinishedSep12 bar. Deep dive1255raw daily gaps min-5.739837%;11gaps past prior2rawATR. Matched adjusted trend812days6raw breaches,4adjusted; Dec20 2023/Dec17 2024 distributions explain two extra price events. Actual stop-fill losses unknown; whole shares allow extended-hours, not guaranteed stopprice. Current1share worst-gap scale3.893906/.457574%account; nominal1.91risk/7.27upside3.8063R. Preserve initial selection until monthly/stop rerank, no new concept backtest. Collector23103:16 END/exit0 verified;2runs remain04:16/05:16 through next06UTCrun, no duplicate job needed in closed weekend. Resolve299 completed; next06monitor set;Monday300 preserved. Data429 recovered on bounded retry; analysis oversized body rejected then successfully shortened2837. Local scripts research.py/tails.py/deep.py and CSV/JSON in /tmp/codex-run-XKDRWe; primary source recipes/figures saved observations. Remaining actual fill/quotes and future extremes unknown; not grounds to quarantine signal.

Prior accepted momentum premium and initialized EEM/QQQ/IWM selection set aside from execution uncertainty. Start state pending EEM1 at67.84; goal implement fixed allocation with honest exit risk; binding constraint whole-share cap212.7475 and equal slot79.4267. Question tree, least predictable first: 1 Tail exposure -> discontinuities -> worst open/prior-close and open/prior-ATR; regimes -> prior close above SMA200 vs all days; persistence -> full five years vs last252 sessions. 2 Stop mechanics -> initial stop -> next open below prior close-2ATR; ratchet -> high20-2ATR vs SMA200 and profitable-only condition; sampling -> daily extremes vs 15-minute checks. 3 Market structure -> geography -> foreign underlying hours vs US ETF hours; liquidity -> trades vs executable bid/ask; adjustments -> distribution-adjusted signal vs raw exit dollars. 4 Implementation -> sizing -> one share/equal slot/cap; timing -> pending vs filled and Monday execution; learning -> zero completed fund trades, descriptive tail sample not strategy retest. Resolution daily distributions plus recent intraday audit; discard headlines/earnings narratives as no change to fixed ranks. Counterexamples: gaps can exceed stop, daily bars cannot reveal trigger sequence, historical tails do not cap future losses. No concept backtest or new trading gate.

{"fund": "trend", "collected_at": "2026-09-12T03:16:11.601861+00:00", "last_completed_bar": "2026-09-11T04:00:00Z", "close": 67.84, "sma200": 61.760350000000024, "atr20": 0.9526399999999988, "profit_ratchet_candidate": 67.21972, "order_reference": {"EEM_qty": 1, "limit": 67.84, "stop": 65.93, "target": 75.11}, "source": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars?symbols=EEM&timeframe=1Day&start=2025-11-06T00%3A00%3A00Z&end=2026-09-12T02%3A56%3A11Z&feed=sip&adjustment=all&limit=10000", "action": "Research only; next manager run verify pending/fill and actual entry before any ratchet; never loosen stop."} END trend collector