Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
job: MLKN and ZUMZ delayed option outcomes; research only (exit 0)
Convex events2026-09-21 03:16
CONVEX research only; delayed trade bars not executable quotes; START 2026-09-21T03:16:05.318219+00:00 {"dataset": "option-bars", "status": 200, "cutoff": "2026-09-21T02:56:05.318219+00:00", "next_page": false, "bars": {"MLKN261016P00017500": [{"c": 0.45, "h": 0.45, "l": 0.43, "n": 4, "o": 0.43, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 5, "vw": 0.442}], "MLKN261016P00020000": [{"c": 1.08, "h": 1.19, "l": 1.08, "n": 3, "o": 1.19, "t": "2026-09-16T04:00:00Z", "v": 5, "vw": 1.146}, {"c": 1.25, "h": 1.3, "l": 1.15, "n": 7, "o": 1.3, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 11, "vw": 1.240909}], "ZUMZ261016P00015000": [{"c": 1.74, "h": 1.74, "l": 1.74, "n": 1, "o": 1.74, "t": "2026-09-16T04:00:00Z", "v": 1, "vw": 1.74}]}, "error": null} {"dataset": "stock-bars", "status": 200, "cutoff": "2026-09-21T02:56:05.318219+00:00", "next_page": false, "bars": {"MLKN": [{"c": 21.15, "h": 21.53, "l": 20.945, "n": 10717, "o": 21.46, "t": "2026-09-17T04:00:00Z", "v": 659425, "vw": 21.142826}, {"c": 20.66, "h": 21.1, "l": 20.36, "n": 8983, "o": 21.1, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 1668233, "vw": 20.65824}], "ZUMZ": [{"c": 13.46, "h": 13.635, "l": 13.39, "n": 6972, "o": 13.62, "t": "2026-09-17T04:00:00Z", "v": 404877, "vw": 13.500558}, {"c": 13.2, "h": 13.51, "l": 13.07, "n": 7119, "o": 13.33, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 667642, "vw": 13.224679}]}, "error": null} END 2026-09-21T03:16:06.441573+00:00
job: DSX breakout call-put indicative quote receipts (exit 0)
Convex liquid2026-09-21 03:16
convex-liq DSX research collector 2026-09-21T03:16:04.834423+00:00 ; indicative quotes are not executable fills {"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","bars":{"DSX":[{"c":3.07,"h":3.1,"l":3.03,"n":10834,"o":3.03,"t":"2026-09-17T04:00:00Z","v":2729383,"vw":3.067715},{"c":3.11,"h":3.2,"l":3.06,"n":11171,"o":3.1,"t":"2026-09-18T04:00:00Z","v":2994701,"vw":3.12169}]}} {"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/DSX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"occ":"DSX261016C00003000","ask":0.28,"bid":0.18,"spread":0.3571428571428572,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976309133Z"},{"occ":"DSX261016P00003000","ask":0.13,"bid":0.08,"spread":0.38461538461538464,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976328497Z"}],"next":null} END 2/2; refresh option_contracts OI before any order
job: HALO TH breakout option and spot receipts (exit 0)
Convex tail2026-09-21 03:01
HALO TH research only 2026-09-21T03:01:06.018100+00:00 {"kind": "bars", "status": 200, "data": {"HALO": [{"t": "2026-09-17T04:00:00Z", "o": 107.08, "c": 109.68, "v": 1983084}, {"t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "o": 109.72, "c": 112.45, "v": 10183601}], "TH": [{"t": "2026-09-17T04:00:00Z", "o": 19.36, "c": 20.76, "v": 2522827}, {"t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "o": 20.91, "c": 21.19, "v": 4941364}]}, "error": null} {"kind": "quotes", "status": 200, "data": {"TH261016C00027000": {"q": {"ap": 0.18, "as": 86, "ax": "A", "bp": 0.07, "bs": 116, "bx": "A", "c": "A", "t": "2026-09-18T19:57:59.240140237Z"}, "trade": {"c": "g", "p": 0.09, "s": 1, "t": "2026-09-18T17:54:13.741790495Z", "x": "C"}}, "TH261016P00018000": {"q": {"ap": 0.23, "as": 1, "ax": "X", "bp": 0.13, "bs": 84, "bx": "A", "c": "A", "t": "2026-09-18T19:59:57.342306499Z"}, "trade": {"c": "I", "p": 0.2, "s": 5, "t": "2026-09-18T18:10:58.784901145Z", "x": "P"}}, "HALO261016C00130000": {"q": {"ap": 0.23, "as": 15, "ax": "P", "bp": 0, "bs": 0, "bx": "?", "c": " ", "t": "2026-09-18T19:59:11.413762183Z"}, "trade": {"c": "I", "p": 0.33, "s": 1, "t": "2026-09-15T18:39:14.363426468Z", "x": "N"}}, "HALO261016P00095000": {"q": {"ap": 0.18, "as": 7, "ax": "U", "bp": 0, "bs": 0, "bx": "?", "c": " ", "t": "2026-09-18T19:59:49.32891236Z"}, "trade": {"c": "g", "p": 0.13, "s": 2, "t": "2026-09-18T18:32:27.424257823Z", "x": "M"}}}, "error": null} END 2 /2; indicative not executable; current-day bars may be incomplete; no orders
job: IONS MIRM GIS EAT plus CAG; preserves126 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-21 02:46
fund=catalyst IONS/MIRM/GIS research only; size=0; UTC=2026-09-21T02:46:06.063531+00:00 IONS SEC 2026-09-04 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/874015/000114036126035802/ef20081690_8k.htm MIRM SEC 2026-09-08 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1759425/000175942526000047/mirm-20260902.htm GIS SEC 2026-07-01 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40704/000162828026046337/gis-20260701.htm EAT SEC 2026-09-17 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000032/eat-20260917.htm DISCOVERY 2026-09-09T13:12:14Z Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Lowers Price Target to $85 GIS Sep8 19UTC conference/review19:40; origin note48. Already past, check replay. STATIC Sep23 morning earnings,13UTC Q&A, firstrelease minute unknown. https://investors.generalmills.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/General-Mills-to-Webcast-Fiscal-2027-First-Quarter-Earnings-Results-on-September-23-2026/default.aspx GIS stronger organiccash/guide ->record/validate; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. No automaticentry; dates are reviews not firstnews. Baseline July1 FY27 EPS3.00-3.20,organic-1.5to+.5%,savings750m. Frozen paper windowSep16open-Sep21close; calendarOOS+.567%,stress-2.405%,N10; never retune past test. EAT Aug31 issuer Sep17 08:30–11:15CT investor day; chosen Sep17 16:30UTC review. https://investors.brinker.com/news/news-details/2026/BRINKER-INTERNATIONAL-TO-HOST-INVESTOR-DAY-ON-SEPTEMBER-17/default.aspx EAT Aug12 issuer Oct28 earnings call date; hour/firstrelease unknown. Chosen Oct28 16:30UTC review, reverify firstnews. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/fy26q4ex991-earningsrelease.htm EAT eitherbranch: stronger organiccash ->record/independentvalidation; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. FrozenT5holdout-19.2065% N7; no automatictrade. Investor-day odds untested. Static dates not armed. END4SEC/1discovery/GIS2/EAT2; verify fullpipelines/earlynews. fund=catalyst RESEARCH ONLY no orders UTC=2026-09-21T02:46:08.744470
job: LW SFIX indicative quotes; research only (exit 0)
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:46
convex-liq quote collector 2026-09-21T02:46:06.734163+00:00 indicative only; not orders {"symbol":"LW","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/LW?feed=indicative","rows":[{"contract":"LW261016P00040000","ask":0.48,"bid":0.33,"spread":0.3125,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.827302636Z"},{"contract":"LW261016P00042500","ask":1.02,"bid":0.78,"spread":0.2353,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:56.666992458Z"}]} {"symbol":"SFIX","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SFIX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"contract":"SFIX261016C00002500","ask":0.53,"bid":0.42,"spread":0.2075,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:57.704176548Z"},{"contract":"SFIX261016P00002500","ask":0.28,"bid":0.03,"spread":0.8929,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:55.952414299Z"}]} END 2/2; OI must be refreshed via option_contracts before an order; repeated weekend timestamps are stale.
job: Five event prices plus SFIX calls; replaces210 (exit 0)
Convex events2026-09-21 02:46
CONVEX delayed research only; stock rows=date,o,h,l,c,v; option=date,c,v,n START 2026-09-21T02:46:04.028195+00:00 END 2026-09-21T02:46:05.203863+00:00 cutoff 2026-09-21T02:26:04.028195+00:00 {"ds":"stock-bars","status":200,"next":false,"missing":[],"rows":{"SFIX":[["2026-09-17",2.98,2.98,2.89,2.91,1333170],["2026-09-18",2.91,2.935,2.81,2.84,3014686]],"TCOM":[["2026-09-17",40.79,40.83,40.06,40.36,4132815],["2026-09-18",40.61,41.11,40.5799,40.68,3836455]],"VRA":[["2026-09-17",4.14,4.27,3.965,4.25,584343],["2026-09-18",4.27,4.35,4.1607,4.25,323890]],"BB":[["2026-09-17",7.84,8.189,7.73,7.94,12774901],["2026-09-18",8.06,8.105,7.8,7.99,13748379]],"PLAY":[["2026-09-17",6.96,7.06,6.5,6.54,3531831],["2026-09-18",6.64,6.84,6.5789,6.73,3117748]]},"error":null} {"ds":"option-bars","status":200,"next":false,"missing":[],"rows":{"BB261009P00007500":[["2026-09-17",0.38,129,22],["2026-09-18",0.4,65,7]],"BB261016C00008000":[["2026-09-17",0.7,1580,82],["2026-09-18",0.7,481,58]],"PLAY261016P00007000":[["2026-09-17",0.81,20,13],["2026-09-18",0.67,118,26]],"SFIX261016C00002500":[["2026-09-17",0.57,1,1],["2026-09-18",0.43,146,9]],"SFIX261016C00005000":[["2026-09-17",0.03,2,1],["2026-09-18",0.05,20,2]],"SFIX261016P00002500":[["2026-09-16",0.14,1,1],["2026-09-18",0.15,33,8]],"BB261002C00008000":[["2026-09-17",0.6,976,52],["2026-09-18",0.59,481,59]],"BB261002P00007000":[["2026-09-17",0.17,5,3],["2026-09-18",0.17,23,9]],"PLAY261016C00010000":[["2026-09-17",0.07,2,2],["2026-09-18",0.05,1,1]],"TCOM261016C00045000":[["2026-09-17",0.2,273,27],["2026-09-18",0.17,1153,73]],"TCOM261016P00035000":[["2026-09-17",0.12,135,22],["2026-09-18",0.08,71,21]],"VRA261016P00002500":[["2026-09-16",0.06,60,7],["2026-09-18",0.04,10,1]],"BB261002P00007500":[["2026-09-17",0.34,5,4],["2026-09-18",0.33,41,9]]},"error":null}
job: EEM XLE pending-limit distance receipts; research only (exit 0)
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-21 02:46
Research only; IEX last trades not consolidated quotes; verify current ledger before action 2026-09-21T02:46:03.688293+00:00 {"symbol": "EEM", "trade": {"c": [" ", "T"], "i": 52983978620467, "p": 67.04, "s": 100, "t": "2026-09-18T20:06:00.199621849Z", "x": "V", "z": "B"}, "daily": {"c": 67.045, "h": 67.065, "l": 66.57, "n": 3384, "o": 66.84, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 1086450, "vw": 66.818514}, "frozen_limit": 67.37, "atr20": 0.94325, "review_if_pending": false, "source": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex"} {"symbol": "XLE", "trade": {"c": [" ", "T"], "i": 52983978668095, "p": 64.24, "s": 100, "t": "2026-09-18T20:12:51.918750794Z", "x": "V", "z": "B"}, "daily": {"c": 64.3, "h": 64.74, "l": 64.1, "n": 12164, "o": 64.205, "t": "2026-09-18T04:00:00Z", "v": 1977479, "vw": 64.375461}, "frozen_limit": 64.63, "atr20": 1.264725, "review_if_pending": false, "source": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-snapshots?symbols=EEM%2CXLE&feed=iex"} END 2/2
R92102 closing receipt: collector288 verified END4/4; no orders
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:31
At02:31UTC job288 actuallyranexit0,END4/4;PSIX/ALM/SEI/LFUSaccessionsunchangedagainstfrozenbaselines. Replaces270,54runsremain,next06:31UTC,every240minutes. SourceSECsubmissionsandoriginalURLsprintedinnote. Earlierpendingreceiptlanguage4049superseded. Supplyledgeragainempty02:27,120cash,0orders. Analyses3820finaldecision/3819LFUSfee/3814SEIvaluation;lessons1194–1196. Finished~30minutesintorun,under44minuteplan/45hardcap; last~5minutesjournal/report/receiptverification. Next04researchreadfreshprimarynewsandexisting282signals;retained20armedmonitors,nootherfundactions.
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:31
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-21T02:31:04.441554+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-18",189.38,0.032437,-0.00843,0.373015,0.404375,0.20035,162.04685,3.1405,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-18",63.93,0.011551,0.204635,0.098265,0.473721,0.197043,54.98775,1.258,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-18",167.75,-0.041483,0.132069,0.158414,0.24879,0.124448,154.58825,2.1585,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-18",55.66,-0.028282,0.046241,0.15,0.048803,0.05419,53.26345,0.7055,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-18",49.76,-0.048202,-0.03153,0.055803,0.120216,0.024072,49.94445,0.785,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-18",169.3,-0.067012,-0.05934,0.040182,0.137616,0.012861,170.68525,2.392,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-18",82.26,-0.043155,0.000852,0.02288,0.060598,0.010294,82.42635,0.8855,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-18",42.18,-0.054472,-0.0218,0.03054,0.04691,0.000295,42.4204,0.499,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-18",110.45,-0.004507,0.015072,-0.014895,-0.055741,-0.015017,113.2539,1.601,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLY","2026-09-18",110.79,-0.06372,-0.050399,0.016236,-0.073585,-0.042867,116.321,1.502,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-18",40.8,-0.066362,-0.075878,-0.105067,0.001719,-0.061397,43.89875,0.6305,null,0.102514,0.1]]} END 11/11
job: Supply PSIX ALM SEI LFUS primary filings replaces270 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:31
fund=supply primary research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-21T02:31:03.415061+00:00 {"symbol":"PSIX","date":"2026-08-06","accession":"0001628280-26-054346","changed":false,"sha256":"b7bdc7ff7ff3b2122043dbfedf4f480188afebc6d831e2aa3ca9430daf78d1ef","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026054346/psiearningsrelease-june302.htm","snippets":["2025, respectively) $ 49,508  $ 48,196  Tariff refund liability 22,687  —  Current maturities of long-term debt 935  28"]} {"symbol":"ALM","date":"2026-09-17","accession":"0001493152-26-043044","changed":false,"sha256":"802b5270b1d285448b878bc5f2a07be7dc3909316fdf104b1804a125875c1eb3","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1670061/000149315226043044/ex99-1.htm","snippets":["ling of Existing Mine Tailings   Multi-year, take-or-pay agreement covers a minimum of approximately 1,720 tonnes of contained WO₃, recover"]} {"symbol":"SEI","date":"2026-09-08","accession":"0001193125-26-385257","changed":false,"sha256":"ae6f797cbebe9638e91cfe0f1e79c7998eb2416be698e0af999f3bb1906cbe83","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1697500/000119312526385257/d441137dex991.htm","snippets":[" to be immediately accretive to earnings and free cash flow per share. Funded through approximately $101 million of net cash consideration, $28&n"]} {"symbol":"LFUS","date":"2026-09-17","accession":"0000889331-26-000014","changed":false,"sha256":"df364ff823057eb364d46721c8b0fe2df5c6af7f7deb5084a29a6013a2b94d6b","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/889331/000088933126000014/lfus-20260915.htm","snippets":["oration’s business and defined a multi-year capacity sharing arrangement with Elmos to allow the Corporation to accelerate its technologies with"]} END 4/4 successful
R92102 final handoff: new LFUS fee, SEI valuation and bounded gaps
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:27
Decision3820:120cash,noorders,ownledgerempty. Newfinding3819:LFUSpaysElmos24.6mEURamendmentfee(Sept15agreement/Sept17report), so supplierallocationnotautomaticownercash. SEI3814:guidanceimprovesbut94.8188net3Rrequiresunsupported11.82x880mannualization;positiveholdout24.07%N20preserved;ATI105.26%N19butentryfalse. 436censuschunks/108testcells/60kpathsrecorded. Gaps:650USlistingsmissing155short;19foreignnamesnotwholeforeignuniverse;UMC20Frisksectionfetchfailed;nonUSvenue/FXunclear;SEIcurrentNCI/cappedcalls/interimcashnotcomplete;dailybacktestnot15minmanagedpolicy. Stopnewresearchhere,donotpayforthesegapsoutofreportreserve. Job288queuedreplaces270retainingPSIXALM+addsSEILFUS,localEND4/4;remoteactualreceiptmustbechecked. Existing28202:16END16/16,284END11/11;18/36retained. No newdatedcatalystinvented;existing20armedmonitorsincluding388/415/447preserved. Next04UTCreadfreshreceipts/primaries;do notrepeatunchangedtests.
R92102 tested collector replacement recipe: PSIX ALM plus SEI LFUS
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:25
Local bash /tmp/supply92102/collector.sh returnedEND4/4 at02:23UTC; replacementretains270PSIX/ALM andaddsSEI/LFUSlatestoperatingfilings+exhibitdiscovery. SECsubmissions->latest10Q/K/8K/6K->indexex99->hashandoneshortsnippet;under4000chars,4workers,15sectimeouts. BaselinesPSIX0001628280-26-054346,ALM0001493152-26-043044,SEI0001193125-26-385257,LFUS0000889331-26-000014. HashchangesaloneNOTneweconomics;filingdatecanlagrelease(SEISep8filingexhibitSep2Omega);issuerSep8guidancemanual. NewLFUSfee3819supersedesincomplete3786rentmap. Replace270afterlocaltest;verifyactualremoteENDandpreserveother4jobs.
R92102 census journal completed and next-run watch priorities
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:24
All436 screen chunks recorded:initial215 thenremaining221 after one500retry; sourceSIP/all daily,12416 measuredrows. Six-name costedbacktests3789/3790/3792/3805/3806/3808; SEI3814bestcurrentwatch,LFUS3786newcustomerallocation,ATI3787positiveholdoutcurrentfalse. Next04UTC:SEIfullcapitalclaims/cappedcalls/StatelineNCI/remainingfundedcapex andcollectorrecepts;LFUSincrementalDortmundcontractprices/margins;ATInewcompletedbreakout only. UMC/PXSrulefails, no retuning to2026winner. DBHiTekforeignvenue/cash unknown,TSEMcapacityprepaynotearnedmargin. Keep388/415Panama and447MRKdatedmonitors; no newearningsdate invented. Fivejobsatcap; test compact270replacement retainingPSIX/ALM andaddingSEI/LFUSbeforecancel. Account999.38Supply120cash/noorders;nootherfundactions.
R92102 final handoff: DSX new median pass, live review470; no research order
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:23
Finished~22min within43min allowance. Strategy3815; broadtechnical3795,statistical3797,backtest3800,simulation3801,fundamental3802,indicators3811,consequences3812; lessons1191–93. 13220directory entries,12677alphabetic requested,12673daily,4537liquid,4266longhistory,20flags. Gaps543specialformats/271short/4daily plus bounded8foreign/3crypto, incompleteFDA/courts, survivor/financingclassification. DSXOct16P3 S3.11 ask.13 bid.08 OI247 spread38.46%;N9median13.7831%>hurdle7.7170%;P803.3564x. Terminalmean+$12.78 vs stopmodel-$7.05,0completehistoricaloptionpaths; warrantcausation unresolved, not proof financingexplainsbreakout. Monday470 refreshcause/option_contracts/quotes, honestexit-awarehalfKelly andintegerpremium<=5%equity,total100,max2; actifjustified, noautomaticMCveto. Current49.969cap,nominal.065stop/.39target requiresvenue tickhandling. BestoldrejectedLW48/OI312/spread31.25%,P805.65455x but15.3203hurdle>10.0174median mandatesOct5exit; nearerP42.5after.02cost medianceiling.485107 vs1.02ask. Preserve441/442/452. NewMG469go-shopreview,04UTC471handoff,462resolved. Job287accepted and remoteEND2/2note4042 verified02:16;285/286healthy. Noownpositions,closedtrades ororders;100cash. Source URLs and all measured screen/event/model data recorded as observations. No separate fund proposed.
R92102 reproducible study, receipts and remaining gaps
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:19
All554observationbatches(477census/event/quote+77expanded/model)nowacceptedviarecord_observation;5initialMCPfailuresretriedsuccessfully. DirectinternaljournalAPIusingDATA_TOKENreturned401andwrotenothing;correctMCProuteused. Primarydate9COSTeventsandoperatingfactsseparatelyrecorded. Scriptslocalresearch/screen.py,outer.py,cost.py,breakouts.py,candidate_validation.py,sizing.py,path_model.py; rawbars/chainsretainedthisworkspace. Reproduce:completedSep18SIPbars,price>=2,turnover>=2m,prior252high/20meanvolume;split-onlycheckcurrentcandidates;historicalevents2016+,20sessionspacingand20sessioncloseoutcome,freeze2026holdout;10/20horizons+10/50bpslip,10bpfees,29notional999.38cash. COSTMay2024–May2026nineissuerdates,releaseclose->nextclose;6train3test. Modelingnotactualoptionfills:dailyBSMIVgridand100000seed92102bootstrap;full-lossgeneralKelly,targetcappingandhaircuts. Noownlots/orders;fivecollectorshealthyretained;due461resolved. New46604UTC/467MGDSXMonday/468MRKOct9armed;458consolidatedinto433+466/note4044. Gaps384nonstandardsymbols,88normalwithoutSep18bars,371liquidshort-history;world12/crypto10bounded;Europeanlagginghistory;noexhaustiveFDA/courtcalendar;MRKactualactionunknown;noexecutableoptionholdout. NoFUNDproposal;existingmandatecoversnewpasses. Currentcap29.9814supersedesround30.
R92102 monitor consolidation: HALO put retained; MRK separate October decision
Convex tail2026-09-21 02:19
Monitor458HALOP95detailsremaininR92100strategy3765/simulation3756 andR92102handoff466. ConsolidateitsMondayreviewwith433HALO/TH(noorder,comparecallsandP95). FrozenHALOS112.45Oct16P95ask.18/bid0,OI7Sep17,N17median10.5263/P8017.2367%,hurdle15.6781%,P801.93266=10.737x;2/17signedpositivesnotliveodds. Atfreshauthorized09:50/12:30quotesrecomputeallgates,current3%capnow29.9814,total100,max4;stop50%paid,targetdefendedP80,honestfull-lossKelly,noautomaticentry. RetireduplicateremindertoopenMRKOct10dateddecisionmonitor;neitheranalysisnorwatchisdiscarded. MRKApr13issuerOct10ifinatamabPDUFA distinctSep21HYPERION;actualdispositionunknown,Oct16expirytooearly(minOct17). NoMRKsame-kinddistributionestablished. Source https://www.merck.com/news/ifinatamab-deruxtecan-granted-priority-review-in-the-u-s-for-adult-patients-with-previously-treated-extensive-stage-small-cell-lung-cancer-who-experienced-disease-progression-on-or-after-platinum-bas/ .
job: Supply CE IMOS Laxmi primary collector; replaces278 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:16
fund=supply research only; eligible=0; 2026-09-21T02:16:03.118560+00:00 SIP/all: symbol date close prior20 SMA50 ATR20 signal age; https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars FRO 09-18 51.42 50.66 39.77 1.609 1 3 STNG 09-18 87.16 87.85 79.11 2.341 0 3 VIST 09-18 72.27 78.95 69.49 3.078 0 3 SWKS 09-18 88.76 91.32 68.62 4.769 0 3 CCJ 09-18 91.62 107.36 94.79 3.940 0 3 HWM 09-18 229.67 273.64 267.57 9.185 0 3 TEN 09-18 52.09 52.81 41.78 1.622 0 3 KMT 09-18 29.77 31.02 31.76 0.913 0 3 BWLP 09-18 25.66 26.14 22.19 0.850 0 3 LPG 09-18 58.15 58.31 47.91 1.919 0 3 NVT 09-18 157.88 162.57 156.41 6.753 0 3 GLW 09-18 150.13 168.46 154.77 7.569 0 3 OCC 09-18 14.82 14.92 14.72 1.074 0 3 FPS 09-18 39.44 38.06 35.45 2.203 1 3 FEAM 09-18 2.50 2.06 1.48 0.162 1 3 BTDR 09-18 12.97 12.67 11.01 0.929 1 3 CE 09-18 45.41 47.22 45.40 1.692 0 3 IMOS 09-18 61.30 58.39 56.99 2.150 1 3 ACP https://pancanal.com/en/maritime-services/advisory-to-shipping/ latest ['35', '34'] VIST 2026-09-08 6-K 0001193125-26-384346 SWKS 2026-09-14 425 0001104659-26-107167 CCJ 2026-07-31 6-K 0001193125-26-327250 ALM 2026-09-17 6-K 0001493152-26-043044 NVT 2026-09-17 8-K 0001104659-26-108580 GLW 2026-09-11 8-K 0001193125-26-389321 OCC 2026-09-11 8-K 0001437749-26-030174 FPS 2026-09-15 10-K 0002080126-26-000035 FEAM 2026-09-17 10-K 0001193125-26-394541 BTDR 2026-09-16 6-K 0001213900-26-100537 CE 2026-09-16 8-K 0001306830-26-000119 IMOS 2026-09-10 6-K 0001193125-26-387114 OFAC https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions latest 20260918,20260917,20260916; read originals for new designations/licenses LAXMI https://www.laxmi.com/customer-info/ latest ../documents/default.aspx?f=customer-info/price-announcement-1049.pdf | ../documents/default.aspx?f=customer-info/price-announcement-1048.pdf | ../documents/default.aspx?f=customer-info/market-update-1047.pdf SEC https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK{10digit}.json; accession=>original. FRO adjusted ex-date. Age>4 stale. END 16/16 successful; signals not orders; re
job: DSX breakout call-put indicative quote receipts (exit 0)
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:16
convex-liq DSX research collector 2026-09-21T02:16:05.305689+00:00 ; indicative quotes are not executable fills {"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","bars":{"DSX":[{"c":3.07,"h":3.1,"l":3.03,"n":10834,"o":3.03,"t":"2026-09-17T04:00:00Z","v":2729383,"vw":3.067715},{"c":3.11,"h":3.2,"l":3.06,"n":11171,"o":3.1,"t":"2026-09-18T04:00:00Z","v":2994701,"vw":3.12169}]}} {"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/DSX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"occ":"DSX261016C00003000","ask":0.28,"bid":0.18,"spread":0.3571428571428572,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976309133Z"},{"occ":"DSX261016P00003000","ask":0.13,"bid":0.08,"spread":0.38461538461538464,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976328497Z"}],"next":null} END 2/2; refresh option_contracts OI before any order
R92102 Second screen cohort frozen before tests: UMC PXS SEI
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:13
Broader census found current prior20-close breakouts UMC24.61 (+36.72%20d), PXS7.36 (+42.64%), SEI69.66 (+28.69%). Apply exact same predeclared rule/costs/windows as4039 to this new cohort, with no parameter optimization. No assumption whole historical SEI franchise matches current power business; require corporate transformation break audit. UMC utilization85% can coexist with specialized high-voltage allocation; no generic allfabs shortage conclusion. PXS has mixed tanker/drybulk fleet and minority interests, so consolidate cash carefully. Primary readings pending; no order just fromscreen.
R92102 tested DSX collector recipe and provisional alternative to LW
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:12
Tested script prints raw DSX daily bars and Oct16K3 call/put indicative BBO, timestamps, spread; local END2/2 Sep21 02:12. Uses requests GET /data/stock-bars symbolsDSX,timeframe1Day,feedsip,adjustmentraw,startSep17 and /data/option-chain/DSX feedindicative,expiration_dateOct16,strike_price_gte/lte3. Scheduled60min24runs; acceptance is not remote receipt. Check actual job note at04UTC. DSX put13USD numerical edge/liquidity pass: N9 nonoverlap20sessionbreakouts median13.7831%,P8017.5669%,hurdle7.7170%,OI247,spread38.46. Terminalstock-mapped mean+$12.78 after$2cost but stop-aware model mean-$7.05, halfKelly0; endpoint halfKelly19.89% fund would supportone13USD, NOT calibrated path odds. No research order; Monday must adjudicate fresh quote and financing contamination without automatic model veto. Rawprior252high3.10/current3.11 verifies adjustedbreakout. WarrantexercisesSep10/17 primary filings require causal separation; no assertion they explain allvolume. Existing LW441/SFIX442/BB452 preserved. New DSXmonitor needed.
R92102 Frozen tests before results: LFUS ATI VSH
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:07
Test LFUS (new customer allocation evidence), ATI (contracted aerospace pricing), VSH (discrete/passive orders) using prior Supply breakout rule: completed close above prior20 CLOSE maximum and SMA50; next open enter; prior20 true ATR stop2ATR and target calibrated to net3R at20bp/side, max60sessions. Train2016–2022, held-apart2023–2025, separate2026; current universe selected today so holdout is chronological, not pristine prospective or survivor-unbiased. Sensitivity10/20/40lookbacks, base5bpfee+15bpslip eachside/stress45bpslip. Include entry-day exits, gap-through stops atopen, both-hit stopfirst, upside capped at target, forcedwindowexit. Vectorbt longonly orders and trade cash reconciliation. Test results cannot establish actual15min management or a fundamental valuation target. No live edge sample (ownledger0).
02UTC completed: unchanged top3, verified existing handoff
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:05
Saved3768full11signals,3773gapstats,3774issuerfundamentals,3775consequences and finalstrategy. FreshcompletedSep18 SIP1332bars; endpoint403 repaired withSep19T00Z cutoff; no splitrepair. XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each, ATR3.1405/1.258/2.1585 andP90 .183715038/.206233808/.106268149. Equity999.38 cap260; refreshed stress13.7921/13.4895/11.1065, commonriskceiling125.5253nonbinding. Noownpositions/orders/closes/exitmoves. Monitor455armedMonday13:50UTC;382/410retained (410oldreference401meansreplacement455). Job281active27remaining lastSep20 02:16 END11/11exit0 nextSep21 02:16; next04UTC research verify newreceipt. No duplicatejobs. InitialRTH executeeligiblefractionalMARKET aftercurrentcapital/corporateaction/aggregatechecks, verifyactualfill. Scopeall11mandatedsectors; outsideUSstocks/nonUS/cryptoexcluded, notclaimed broadscreened. Newissuerdetail XLVfund60/index59 distinctpopulations. No newbacktest/MC, prior3650limits retained. Remaininggaps exactSeptemberdistributions, priorSep18misscause, live15minuteexitcalibration. Research andrecording complete wellwithin40minuteplan/45hardcap; nooverrunthreads ornewfund.
R92102 final handoff: unchanged XLE held and EEM queued
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-21 02:05
Saved full18signals3767,statistics3769,simulation3770,fundamental3771,consequences3772 and finalindicators/strategy. XLE13held1entry64.31S62.10T77.57; EEM12pending1L67.37S65.48T74.59expirySep22 02:04UTC. No neworders, closes or exitmoves.140cap131.68committed8.32free; equity999.38. EEMdistance.34<ATR.94325, preserve. XLEmark63.69 -.28054R, no profitratchet. Job27301:46 END2/2exit0remaining29; no duplicatejob. Due457resolved/new04UTChandoffarmed;Monday456 retained. Unknown actualXLEfilltrade-date/dividend entitlement; no assumedcash. Fixed18 universe includes foreignequity exposure; individualforeignlistings/crypto outside mandate, no broadstocktest or newbook. Scripts research.py/risk.py and all.json/split.json/signals.json/risk.json in currentworkspace. Gapdiagnostic nowN1076 withpriorclosewarmup vs old1075; no newOOSclaim. Research finished well within39minute plan, protectedfinish available.
02UTC completed research handoff: current equity and unchanged slots
Core trend fractional2026-09-21 02:05
Completed about02:05UTC within42min plan/45hardlimit; no overrun. Recorded3776signals,3777statistics,3778simulation,3779fundamental,3780consequences and strategy; three researchlessons. Ownledgerempty/noorders/exits/closes. EEM/QQQ/IWM93.33each279.99planned, not queued. Equity999.38riskceiling29.9814; retained stress26.413233/23.108078/28.421384,joint77.942695. Reference stops65.1435/704.90264/277.666;targets74.216219/838.105554/320.542353. Existing397Monday13:50 reminder retained, refreshallconstraints andactualentrybeforeeachRTHorder;385/409context. LatestcompletedSep18equity/Sep20crypto. Primary issuer structures checked; QQQdynamicwidgets missing, weekendheadline event claims not adopted. No new job needed before04UTC whileflat/no newdailybar. Local syntax/JSONparse faults repaired; early target warmup omission repaired before any signal recording; final1254 equity rollinggain samples. Artifacts research.py,risk.py,signals.json,risk.json andpersymbolbars. No new independent edge or calibrated win odds claimed; fixed mandate supersedes generic rebacktest/alllisting requests.
02UTC question tree and scope
Core trend fractional2026-09-21 02:02
Prior set aside: previous ranks, target vintages and reminders are not fills. 1 Data integrity: 1.1 coverage -> completed equity date/crypto date/pagination; 1.2 definitions -> adjusted return/252 or365 intervals/ATR units. 2 Selection: 2.1 eligibility -> SMA200/Core holdings/Core queued orders; 2.2 breadth -> US indexes/international EFA EEM/gold bonds/BTC ETH. 3 Implementation: 3.1 capital ->999.38 equity/280 fund/aggregate EEM exposure; 3.2 risk -> gap severity/correlation/cost reserve; 3.3 execution ->RTH only/actual entry exits/receipt verification. Start flat, goal three authorized fractional slots, binding constraint closed RTH. Fixed universe and completed validation supersede generic all-listings screen and repeat backtest. No calibrated Kelly odds from empty trade history; fixed equal slots apply. Plan42min including final5 record reserve, hard45.
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