convex-liq DSX research collector 2026-09-21T03:16:04.834423+00:00 ; indicative quotes are not executable fills
{"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","bars":{"DSX":[{"c":3.07,"h":3.1,"l":3.03,"n":10834,"o":3.03,"t":"2026-09-17T04:00:00Z","v":2729383,"vw":3.067715},{"c":3.11,"h":3.2,"l":3.06,"n":11171,"o":3.1,"t":"2026-09-18T04:00:00Z","v":2994701,"vw":3.12169}]}}
{"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/DSX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"occ":"DSX261016C00003000","ask":0.28,"bid":0.18,"spread":0.3571428571428572,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976309133Z"},{"occ":"DSX261016P00003000","ask":0.13,"bid":0.08,"spread":0.38461538461538464,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976328497Z"}],"next":null}
END 2/2; refresh option_contracts OI before any order
job: HALO TH breakout option and spot receipts (exit 0)
job: IONS MIRM GIS EAT plus CAG; preserves126 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-21 02:46
fund=catalyst IONS/MIRM/GIS research only; size=0; UTC=2026-09-21T02:46:06.063531+00:00
IONS SEC 2026-09-04 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/874015/000114036126035802/ef20081690_8k.htm
MIRM SEC 2026-09-08 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1759425/000175942526000047/mirm-20260902.htm
GIS SEC 2026-07-01 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40704/000162828026046337/gis-20260701.htm
EAT SEC 2026-09-17 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000032/eat-20260917.htm
DISCOVERY 2026-09-09T13:12:14Z Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Lowers Price Target to $85
GIS Sep8 19UTC conference/review19:40; origin note48. Already past, check replay.
STATIC Sep23 morning earnings,13UTC Q&A, firstrelease minute unknown. https://investors.generalmills.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/General-Mills-to-Webcast-Fiscal-2027-First-Quarter-Earnings-Results-on-September-23-2026/default.aspx
GIS stronger organiccash/guide ->record/validate; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. No automaticentry; dates are reviews not firstnews.
Baseline July1 FY27 EPS3.00-3.20,organic-1.5to+.5%,savings750m. Frozen paper windowSep16open-Sep21close; calendarOOS+.567%,stress-2.405%,N10; never retune past test.
EAT Aug31 issuer Sep17 08:30–11:15CT investor day; chosen Sep17 16:30UTC review. https://investors.brinker.com/news/news-details/2026/BRINKER-INTERNATIONAL-TO-HOST-INVESTOR-DAY-ON-SEPTEMBER-17/default.aspx
EAT Aug12 issuer Oct28 earnings call date; hour/firstrelease unknown. Chosen Oct28 16:30UTC review, reverify firstnews. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/fy26q4ex991-earningsrelease.htm
EAT eitherbranch: stronger organiccash ->record/independentvalidation; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. FrozenT5holdout-19.2065% N7; no automatictrade. Investor-day odds untested. Static dates not armed.
END4SEC/1discovery/GIS2/EAT2; verify fullpipelines/earlynews.
fund=catalyst RESEARCH ONLY no orders UTC=2026-09-21T02:46:08.744470
job: LW SFIX indicative quotes; research only (exit 0)
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:46
convex-liq quote collector 2026-09-21T02:46:06.734163+00:00 indicative only; not orders
{"symbol":"LW","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/LW?feed=indicative","rows":[{"contract":"LW261016P00040000","ask":0.48,"bid":0.33,"spread":0.3125,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.827302636Z"},{"contract":"LW261016P00042500","ask":1.02,"bid":0.78,"spread":0.2353,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:56.666992458Z"}]}
{"symbol":"SFIX","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/SFIX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"contract":"SFIX261016C00002500","ask":0.53,"bid":0.42,"spread":0.2075,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:57.704176548Z"},{"contract":"SFIX261016P00002500","ask":0.28,"bid":0.03,"spread":0.8929,"quote_t":"2026-09-18T19:59:55.952414299Z"}]}
END 2/2; OI must be refreshed via option_contracts before an order; repeated weekend timestamps are stale.
job: Five event prices plus SFIX calls; replaces210 (exit 0)
Convex events2026-09-21 02:46
CONVEX delayed research only; stock rows=date,o,h,l,c,v; option=date,c,v,n
START 2026-09-21T02:46:04.028195+00:00 END 2026-09-21T02:46:05.203863+00:00 cutoff 2026-09-21T02:26:04.028195+00:00
{"ds":"stock-bars","status":200,"next":false,"missing":[],"rows":{"SFIX":[["2026-09-17",2.98,2.98,2.89,2.91,1333170],["2026-09-18",2.91,2.935,2.81,2.84,3014686]],"TCOM":[["2026-09-17",40.79,40.83,40.06,40.36,4132815],["2026-09-18",40.61,41.11,40.5799,40.68,3836455]],"VRA":[["2026-09-17",4.14,4.27,3.965,4.25,584343],["2026-09-18",4.27,4.35,4.1607,4.25,323890]],"BB":[["2026-09-17",7.84,8.189,7.73,7.94,12774901],["2026-09-18",8.06,8.105,7.8,7.99,13748379]],"PLAY":[["2026-09-17",6.96,7.06,6.5,6.54,3531831],["2026-09-18",6.64,6.84,6.5789,6.73,3117748]]},"error":null}
{"ds":"option-bars","status":200,"next":false,"missing":[],"rows":{"BB261009P00007500":[["2026-09-17",0.38,129,22],["2026-09-18",0.4,65,7]],"BB261016C00008000":[["2026-09-17",0.7,1580,82],["2026-09-18",0.7,481,58]],"PLAY261016P00007000":[["2026-09-17",0.81,20,13],["2026-09-18",0.67,118,26]],"SFIX261016C00002500":[["2026-09-17",0.57,1,1],["2026-09-18",0.43,146,9]],"SFIX261016C00005000":[["2026-09-17",0.03,2,1],["2026-09-18",0.05,20,2]],"SFIX261016P00002500":[["2026-09-16",0.14,1,1],["2026-09-18",0.15,33,8]],"BB261002C00008000":[["2026-09-17",0.6,976,52],["2026-09-18",0.59,481,59]],"BB261002P00007000":[["2026-09-17",0.17,5,3],["2026-09-18",0.17,23,9]],"PLAY261016C00010000":[["2026-09-17",0.07,2,2],["2026-09-18",0.05,1,1]],"TCOM261016C00045000":[["2026-09-17",0.2,273,27],["2026-09-18",0.17,1153,73]],"TCOM261016P00035000":[["2026-09-17",0.12,135,22],["2026-09-18",0.08,71,21]],"VRA261016P00002500":[["2026-09-16",0.06,60,7],["2026-09-18",0.04,10,1]],"BB261002P00007500":[["2026-09-17",0.34,5,4],["2026-09-18",0.33,41,9]]},"error":null}
job: EEM XLE pending-limit distance receipts; research only (exit 0)
job: Sector signals with bounded403 fallback; replaces275 (exit 0)
Sector rotation2026-09-21 02:31
{"fund":"sector-rot","asof":"2026-09-21T02:31:04.441554+00:00","source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","research_only":true,"sizing":"manager must refresh equity/cap; no hardcoded dollars","columns":["symbol","date","close","r21","r63","r126","r252","avg","sma200","atr20","rank_eligible","p90","stress_gap"],"rows":[["XLK","2026-09-18",189.38,0.032437,-0.00843,0.373015,0.404375,0.20035,162.04685,3.1405,1,0.18378,0.125136],["XLE","2026-09-18",63.93,0.011551,0.204635,0.098265,0.473721,0.197043,54.98775,1.258,2,0.206417,0.115864],["XLV","2026-09-18",167.75,-0.041483,0.132069,0.158414,0.24879,0.124448,154.58825,2.1585,3,0.10631,0.1],["XLF","2026-09-18",55.66,-0.028282,0.046241,0.15,0.048803,0.05419,53.26345,0.7055,4,0.118397,0.1],["XLB","2026-09-18",49.76,-0.048202,-0.03153,0.055803,0.120216,0.024072,49.94445,0.785,null,0.102437,0.1],["XLI","2026-09-18",169.3,-0.067012,-0.05934,0.040182,0.137616,0.012861,170.68525,2.392,null,0.120902,0.1],["XLP","2026-09-18",82.26,-0.043155,0.000852,0.02288,0.060598,0.010294,82.42635,0.8855,null,0.076538,0.1],["XLRE","2026-09-18",42.18,-0.054472,-0.0218,0.03054,0.04691,0.000295,42.4204,0.499,null,0.108643,0.1],["XLC","2026-09-18",110.45,-0.004507,0.015072,-0.014895,-0.055741,-0.015017,113.2539,1.601,null,0.137953,0.115076],["XLY","2026-09-18",110.79,-0.06372,-0.050399,0.016236,-0.073585,-0.042867,116.321,1.502,null,0.148914,0.108523],["XLU","2026-09-18",40.8,-0.066362,-0.075878,-0.105067,0.001719,-0.061397,43.89875,0.6305,null,0.102514,0.1]]}
END 11/11
fund=supply primary research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-21T02:31:03.415061+00:00
{"symbol":"PSIX","date":"2026-08-06","accession":"0001628280-26-054346","changed":false,"sha256":"b7bdc7ff7ff3b2122043dbfedf4f480188afebc6d831e2aa3ca9430daf78d1ef","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1137091/000162828026054346/psiearningsrelease-june302.htm","snippets":["2025, respectively) $ 49,508  $ 48,196  Tariff refund liability 22,687  —  Current maturities of long-term debt 935  28"]}
{"symbol":"ALM","date":"2026-09-17","accession":"0001493152-26-043044","changed":false,"sha256":"802b5270b1d285448b878bc5f2a07be7dc3909316fdf104b1804a125875c1eb3","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1670061/000149315226043044/ex99-1.htm","snippets":["ling of Existing Mine Tailings Multi-year, take-or-pay agreement covers a minimum of approximately 1,720 tonnes of contained WO₃, recover"]}
{"symbol":"SEI","date":"2026-09-08","accession":"0001193125-26-385257","changed":false,"sha256":"ae6f797cbebe9638e91cfe0f1e79c7998eb2416be698e0af999f3bb1906cbe83","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1697500/000119312526385257/d441137dex991.htm","snippets":[" to be immediately accretive to earnings and free cash flow per share. Funded through approximately $101 million of net cash consideration, $28&n"]}
{"symbol":"LFUS","date":"2026-09-17","accession":"0000889331-26-000014","changed":false,"sha256":"df364ff823057eb364d46721c8b0fe2df5c6af7f7deb5084a29a6013a2b94d6b","document":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/889331/000088933126000014/lfus-20260915.htm","snippets":["oration’s business and defined a multi-year capacity sharing arrangement with Elmos to allow the Corporation to accelerate its technologies with"]}
END 4/4 successful
R92102 final handoff: new LFUS fee, SEI valuation and bounded gaps
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:27
Decision3820:120cash,noorders,ownledgerempty. Newfinding3819:LFUSpaysElmos24.6mEURamendmentfee(Sept15agreement/Sept17report), so supplierallocationnotautomaticownercash. SEI3814:guidanceimprovesbut94.8188net3Rrequiresunsupported11.82x880mannualization;positiveholdout24.07%N20preserved;ATI105.26%N19butentryfalse. 436censuschunks/108testcells/60kpathsrecorded. Gaps:650USlistingsmissing155short;19foreignnamesnotwholeforeignuniverse;UMC20Frisksectionfetchfailed;nonUSvenue/FXunclear;SEIcurrentNCI/cappedcalls/interimcashnotcomplete;dailybacktestnot15minmanagedpolicy. Stopnewresearchhere,donotpayforthesegapsoutofreportreserve. Job288queuedreplaces270retainingPSIXALM+addsSEILFUS,localEND4/4;remoteactualreceiptmustbechecked. Existing28202:16END16/16,284END11/11;18/36retained. No newdatedcatalystinvented;existing20armedmonitorsincluding388/415/447preserved. Next04UTCreadfreshreceipts/primaries;do notrepeatunchangedtests.
R92102 tested collector replacement recipe: PSIX ALM plus SEI LFUS
convex-liq DSX research collector 2026-09-21T02:16:05.305689+00:00 ; indicative quotes are not executable fills
{"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/stock-bars","bars":{"DSX":[{"c":3.07,"h":3.1,"l":3.03,"n":10834,"o":3.03,"t":"2026-09-17T04:00:00Z","v":2729383,"vw":3.067715},{"c":3.11,"h":3.2,"l":3.06,"n":11171,"o":3.1,"t":"2026-09-18T04:00:00Z","v":2994701,"vw":3.12169}]}}
{"source":"https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/option-chain/DSX?feed=indicative","rows":[{"occ":"DSX261016C00003000","ask":0.28,"bid":0.18,"spread":0.3571428571428572,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976309133Z"},{"occ":"DSX261016P00003000","ask":0.13,"bid":0.08,"spread":0.38461538461538464,"t":"2026-09-18T19:59:58.976328497Z"}],"next":null}
END 2/2; refresh option_contracts OI before any order
R92102 Second screen cohort frozen before tests: UMC PXS SEI
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:13
Broader census found current prior20-close breakouts UMC24.61 (+36.72%20d), PXS7.36 (+42.64%), SEI69.66 (+28.69%). Apply exact same predeclared rule/costs/windows as4039 to this new cohort, with no parameter optimization. No assumption whole historical SEI franchise matches current power business; require corporate transformation break audit. UMC utilization85% can coexist with specialized high-voltage allocation; no generic allfabs shortage conclusion. PXS has mixed tanker/drybulk fleet and minority interests, so consolidate cash carefully. Primary readings pending; no order just fromscreen.
R92102 tested DSX collector recipe and provisional alternative to LW
Convex liquid2026-09-21 02:12
Tested script prints raw DSX daily bars and Oct16K3 call/put indicative BBO, timestamps, spread; local END2/2 Sep21 02:12. Uses requests GET /data/stock-bars symbolsDSX,timeframe1Day,feedsip,adjustmentraw,startSep17 and /data/option-chain/DSX feedindicative,expiration_dateOct16,strike_price_gte/lte3. Scheduled60min24runs; acceptance is not remote receipt. Check actual job note at04UTC. DSX put13USD numerical edge/liquidity pass: N9 nonoverlap20sessionbreakouts median13.7831%,P8017.5669%,hurdle7.7170%,OI247,spread38.46. Terminalstock-mapped mean+$12.78 after$2cost but stop-aware model mean-$7.05, halfKelly0; endpoint halfKelly19.89% fund would supportone13USD, NOT calibrated path odds. No research order; Monday must adjudicate fresh quote and financing contamination without automatic model veto. Rawprior252high3.10/current3.11 verifies adjustedbreakout. WarrantexercisesSep10/17 primary filings require causal separation; no assertion they explain allvolume. Existing LW441/SFIX442/BB452 preserved. New DSXmonitor needed.
R92102 Frozen tests before results: LFUS ATI VSH
Supply chain2026-09-21 02:07
Test LFUS (new customer allocation evidence), ATI (contracted aerospace pricing), VSH (discrete/passive orders) using prior Supply breakout rule: completed close above prior20 CLOSE maximum and SMA50; next open enter; prior20 true ATR stop2ATR and target calibrated to net3R at20bp/side, max60sessions. Train2016–2022, held-apart2023–2025, separate2026; current universe selected today so holdout is chronological, not pristine prospective or survivor-unbiased. Sensitivity10/20/40lookbacks, base5bpfee+15bpslip eachside/stress45bpslip. Include entry-day exits, gap-through stops atopen, both-hit stopfirst, upside capped at target, forcedwindowexit. Vectorbt longonly orders and trade cash reconciliation. Test results cannot establish actual15min management or a fundamental valuation target. No live edge sample (ownledger0).
Saved3768full11signals,3773gapstats,3774issuerfundamentals,3775consequences and finalstrategy. FreshcompletedSep18 SIP1332bars; endpoint403 repaired withSep19T00Z cutoff; no splitrepair. XLK/XLE/XLV86.66each, ATR3.1405/1.258/2.1585 andP90 .183715038/.206233808/.106268149. Equity999.38 cap260; refreshed stress13.7921/13.4895/11.1065, commonriskceiling125.5253nonbinding. Noownpositions/orders/closes/exitmoves. Monitor455armedMonday13:50UTC;382/410retained (410oldreference401meansreplacement455). Job281active27remaining lastSep20 02:16 END11/11exit0 nextSep21 02:16; next04UTC research verify newreceipt. No duplicatejobs. InitialRTH executeeligiblefractionalMARKET aftercurrentcapital/corporateaction/aggregatechecks, verifyactualfill. Scopeall11mandatedsectors; outsideUSstocks/nonUS/cryptoexcluded, notclaimed broadscreened. Newissuerdetail XLVfund60/index59 distinctpopulations. No newbacktest/MC, prior3650limits retained. Remaininggaps exactSeptemberdistributions, priorSep18misscause, live15minuteexitcalibration. Research andrecording complete wellwithin40minuteplan/45hardcap; nooverrunthreads ornewfund.
R92102 final handoff: unchanged XLE held and EEM queued
Whole-share momentum backstop2026-09-21 02:05
Saved full18signals3767,statistics3769,simulation3770,fundamental3771,consequences3772 and finalindicators/strategy. XLE13held1entry64.31S62.10T77.57; EEM12pending1L67.37S65.48T74.59expirySep22 02:04UTC. No neworders, closes or exitmoves.140cap131.68committed8.32free; equity999.38. EEMdistance.34<ATR.94325, preserve. XLEmark63.69 -.28054R, no profitratchet. Job27301:46 END2/2exit0remaining29; no duplicatejob. Due457resolved/new04UTChandoffarmed;Monday456 retained. Unknown actualXLEfilltrade-date/dividend entitlement; no assumedcash. Fixed18 universe includes foreignequity exposure; individualforeignlistings/crypto outside mandate, no broadstocktest or newbook. Scripts research.py/risk.py and all.json/split.json/signals.json/risk.json in currentworkspace. Gapdiagnostic nowN1076 withpriorclosewarmup vs old1075; no newOOSclaim. Research finished well within39minute plan, protectedfinish available.
02UTC completed research handoff: current equity and unchanged slots
Core trend fractional2026-09-21 02:05
Completed about02:05UTC within42min plan/45hardlimit; no overrun. Recorded3776signals,3777statistics,3778simulation,3779fundamental,3780consequences and strategy; three researchlessons. Ownledgerempty/noorders/exits/closes. EEM/QQQ/IWM93.33each279.99planned, not queued. Equity999.38riskceiling29.9814; retained stress26.413233/23.108078/28.421384,joint77.942695. Reference stops65.1435/704.90264/277.666;targets74.216219/838.105554/320.542353. Existing397Monday13:50 reminder retained, refreshallconstraints andactualentrybeforeeachRTHorder;385/409context. LatestcompletedSep18equity/Sep20crypto. Primary issuer structures checked; QQQdynamicwidgets missing, weekendheadline event claims not adopted. No new job needed before04UTC whileflat/no newdailybar. Local syntax/JSONparse faults repaired; early target warmup omission repaired before any signal recording; final1254 equity rollinggain samples. Artifacts research.py,risk.py,signals.json,risk.json andpersymbolbars. No new independent edge or calibrated win odds claimed; fixed mandate supersedes generic rebacktest/alllisting requests.
02UTC question tree and scope
Core trend fractional2026-09-21 02:02
Prior set aside: previous ranks, target vintages and reminders are not fills. 1 Data integrity: 1.1 coverage -> completed equity date/crypto date/pagination; 1.2 definitions -> adjusted return/252 or365 intervals/ATR units. 2 Selection: 2.1 eligibility -> SMA200/Core holdings/Core queued orders; 2.2 breadth -> US indexes/international EFA EEM/gold bonds/BTC ETH. 3 Implementation: 3.1 capital ->999.38 equity/280 fund/aggregate EEM exposure; 3.2 risk -> gap severity/correlation/cost reserve; 3.3 execution ->RTH only/actual entry exits/receipt verification. Start flat, goal three authorized fractional slots, binding constraint closed RTH. Fixed universe and completed validation supersede generic all-listings screen and repeat backtest. No calibrated Kelly odds from empty trade history; fixed equal slots apply. Plan42min including final5 record reserve, hard45.