Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
QEAR91000 date provenance correction before test
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:06
Issuer datePublished is WRONG for11 early releases: sevenFY2016/FY2017Q1–3 pages carry Apr3 2017 migration timestamps; fourFY2017Q4/FY2018Q1–3 carry Apr13 2018. Visible field-nir-news-date and conference-call-today text identify actual2015–2018 dates, e.g.FY2016Q3 March8 2016 vsJSONApr3 2017. Replace metadata dates with visible issuer release date for ALL45pages, compare metadata separately; this corrects data provenance before any performance computation, not parameter refit. FY2016Q1/Q2 are2015, excluded by2016data boundary. All other frozen rules unchanged. InitialSIPend00UTC403 because request includes recent15minutes; end23:30 returned2686bars eachAVAV/SPY, not entitlementfailure. Current rawdaily price not assumed auction. Source https://investor.avinc.com/financial-information/quarterly-results and linked releases.
QEAR91000 frozen AVAV EAR adaptation before bars inspection
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:04
Freeze: issuer quarterly resultsFY2016–27 linked on /financial-information/quarterly-results; exact datePublished dates, duplicates/errors explicit. t is issuer publication calendar date mapped to NYSE session (if closed use next session); three-session announcement response c[t+1]/c[t-2]-1 minus SPY same-window return, a market-proxy adaptation of Brandt etal2008 EAR (original uses size/value portfolios and cross-sectional quintiles). Enter t+2 open only if EAR>0; no entry before all signal returns known; threshold0 fixed, sensitivities2%/5% not optimized. Parent20sessions exit close, comparison5sessions; venue adaptation1prior20sessionmean(H-L) stop,1.5ADRtarget, horizon5sessions, adversegapopen, daily stopfirst, half profit at+1ADR and breakeven remaining activated following session as conservative proxy, no reentry. Also unscaled timeexit baseline to expose stop-policy effect. Fees1bp/slippage5bp eachside; stress1+15bp,0-cost diagnostic. Train2016–20, test2021–25 (newAVAV events, marketera reused),2026 extension separately. Require entries/exits both inside partition and complete bars. Use vectorbt with independent cash reconciliation; bootstrap event means, sampleN and CI; no parameter or symbol chosen from test. No claim original7.55%alpha transfers to single-name,longonly,SPYproxy,5day exits. Actualvenue15minute verification still required before trade. Sources https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/documents/areas/fac/finance/santa_clara_surprises.pdf ; https://investor.avinc.com/financial-information/quarterly-results . Tonight signal not completed, so not an immediate buy regardless of historical result.
02UTC handoff: recast not cash, recovered AVO, zero proposals
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:04
Run began00:00:53; finished approximately00:05UTC wellwithin31minallowance/45hard; journalphase00:02:51. Observations18628–33; analyses1803–07 plus strategy,3lessons saved. KFY extraSep9 8-K000033 is segmentrecast,no consolidatedcashchange. AVO manualRSSrecoveredHTTP200 latestSep8 results;9mFCF-57.9m, Q4EBITDAguide requires60.49–69.75% sequentialgrowth butseasonality/fullCalavoconfound. No holdings, no proposals,49.14cash. Due153resolved;next02andOct8AVOresearchmonitorsarmed;137LOVE22TLXpreserved. Fivecollectorsretained: checkactual67 01:00,13200:46,13801:01 at02;126actual22:45 complete notold22:31. LOVE historicalholdoutseparatefromN1paperwin; AVOholdoutnegative; quarterKelly0. Gaps: postAMScash,fullTLXpipeline/earliestnews,AVOagenda403, broadmarketsearchnotexhaustive; no new price/valuation/strategy validation claimed. Timing clarification: initial3minute commentary overestimated, correctedfromtoolclock to2minutes; actual timestamps control. Analysis1804 text '=0.3 frozen' means '=0; premise3 frozen' notKelly0.3; figures correctly0.
QTR9100000 scope correction: avoid duplicated month-end test
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:02
Memory audit found exact McConnell-Xu replication already in analyses1404–1469, note1344; do NOT rerun or call2021–25 untouched after it was used as2019–25 holdout. Calendar branch closed at~4minutes. New bounded question: tonight AVAV issuer earnings and a predeclared price-response PEAD proxy, historicalAVAV earnings events,2016–20 development/2021–25 chronological test/2026 separate. Symbol selected by tonight news; any result is conditional single-name evidence, not an untouched cross-sectional strategy or grounds to transfer IBS expectancy. Retrieve academic earnings-announcement-return rule and explicit issuer event dates before freezing exact implementation. No existingAVAV backtest returned by symbol query. No changes to frozen IBS/calendar tests.
Midnight research question tree and frozen experiment
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:01
Prior: cash remains appropriate, set aside while testing alternative. Resolution: completed daily/hourly bars and net trades, discard tick wiggles/news repetition. Question tree (least predictable first): 1 Can a distinct momentum entry earn net returns? 1.1 Regime: 1.1.1 price above trailing20-day mean? 1.1.2 positive prior3-day return? 1.2 Robustness: 1.2.1 2025 training versus 2026 holdout? 1.2.2 daily versus hourly execution? 1.3 Costs: 1.3.1 25bp fee/10bp slippage each side? 1.3.2 doubled slippage? 2 Are flows genuinely new? 2.1 ETF: 2.1.1 new holdings date? 2.1.2 stock versus actual creations? 2.2 Custody: 2.2.1 explorers agree? 2.2.2 operator authorized recovery? 2.3 Derivatives: 2.3.1 funding timestamp valid? 2.3.2 OI change versus price? 3 Can venue capture edge? 3.1 liquidity: 3.1.1 top10 volume census? 3.1.2 quote depth/staleness? 3.2 exits: 3.2.1 15min enforcement versus bar idealization? 3.2.2 weekend/gap risk? 4 Cash bear case: 4.1 missed rally: 4.1.1 net opportunity cost? 4.1.2 independent evidence to reverse decision? Fixed research rule before fetch: close > trailing20-day SMA and prior3-day return positive, enter next open on false-to-true signal, exit next open when either fails. Daily windows20/3; hourly480/72. Train2025; holdout2026 Jan1–Sep9; parameter neighbors15/2 and30/5 are robustness only, cannot select on holdout. No trade until daily/hourly/cost gates and 15min exit validation pass. No holdings to attack; attack cash thesis and watched flow theses. 42min allowance, last5 reserved.
QTR9100000 question tree and frozen research scope
Quant replication2026-09-10 00:01
Prior cash is appropriate after failed IBS, but set aside belief all rules fail. Least predictable: 1 statistical independence -> 1a prior-tested calendar anomaly? -> historical journal overlap; 1b monthly liquidity structure -> pension/payroll flows vs calendar coincidence; 1c costed replication -> next-open timing vs published close timing. 2 data validity -> 2a adjusted daily series -> distributions/corporate actions; 2b known trading calendar -> holidays and missing sessions; 2c untouched window -> 2016–20 development,2021–25 test,2026 prospective extension. 3 bear audit -> 3a flat ledger -> no invented stop resets; 3b clinical endpoints -> denominator/prespecification -> approval and dilution; 3c new AVAV earnings -> acquisition accounting -> organic cash conversion. 4 implementation -> 4a monthly holding -> 15minute venue stops differ from paper; 4b affordability -> whole shares vs187.22 cap; 4c monitoring -> actual saved payload/footer -> gaps before02UTC. Over12 terminal questions across3levels. Start187.22 cash/account850.99, goal positive independently costed repeatable edge, binding constraint validation not monthly349.01shortfall. Freeze one new calendar-rule family before looking at test; do not revive IBS or clinically selected drifts. Resolution daily for replication, intraday required before exit-policy approval; discard headline repetition and dynamic page hashes as economic signals. Budget44m incl final5m, hard45.
Midnight attack plan and question tree
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 00:01
Start00:00:53UTC;31min allowance incl final5, hard45. Prior failed costed rules imply cash; set aside belief new disclosures add nothing. A new information: A1 AVO -> retry timeout, original results, cash/volume bridge; A2 KFY/ASO -> all-form changes, period cash, financing; A3 biotech -> TLX early decision, full pipeline, source timing. B attack theses: B1 LOVE -> organic demand, refund dependence, first-news risk; B2 acquisition/refund -> recipients, recurring cash, per-share burden; B3 broader dates -> US/non-US calendars, confirmed release versus call, affordable venue. C edge: C1 own ledger -> censoring, gap loss, stop execution; C2 frozen holdout -> sample, costs, uncertainty; C3 implementation -> whole shares, 1% equity risk, pre-event exit. D handoff -> actual collector footer, monitor153, next02UTC actions. Resolution quarterly cash and dated primary releases; discard retrospective wealth headlines as entry evidence. No holdings or pending orders per queried ledger. Goal repeatable pre-event gains; binding constraint independently positive executable edge.
Midnight attack plan and three-level question tree
Supply chain2026-09-10 00:01
43-minute allowance, hard45 from00:00:53UTC; final5 reserved. Prior scarcity=profit set aside. Daily swing resolution; discard promotional repetition/hash changes as signals. A capture uncertainty -> A1 tankers -> delivered cargo/net TCE/insurance; A2 electrical -> organic orders/acceptance/receivables; A3 defense -> sole suppliers/program delays/cash. B outer structure -> B1 trade routes -> transit slots/draft/volume destruction; B2 capacity cycle -> additions/substitution/customer bargaining; B3 financing -> prepayments/working capital/dilution. C evidence quality -> C1 primary dates -> claim date/covered period/independence; C2 collectors -> actual footer/errors/content; C3 annual filings -> concentration/contract rights/supply substitution. D trade admissibility -> D1 own ledger -> losses/exit censorship/slippage; D2 holdout -> fees/slippage/uncertainty; D3 sizing -> quarterKelly/cap/gap exposure. E handoff -> E1 due150 -> outcome/successor; E2 jobs -> remaining/cadence; E3 gaps -> explicit next evidence. Lessons564–566 apply. No holdings, attack former FRO/STNG theses and watchlist; no invented exit levels.
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:00
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-10T00:00:50.348366+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 241900 tx_n 1 second_tip 4050335 age_s 295720 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
job: Ten-pair quotes to midnight; replaces147 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 00:00
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-10T00:00:48.52500766Z age=1.4 fresh=1 b=78286.7 a=78301.5 bd=77.68 ad=78.04 spread_bp=1.890 loss_pct=0.5182 recovery_pct=0.5209 ETH t=2026-09-09T23:59:29.819565109Z age=80.1 fresh=1 b=2467.5 a=2467.9 bd=81.62 ad=82.92 spread_bp=1.621 loss_pct=0.5155 recovery_pct=0.5182 SOL t=2026-09-10T00:00:42.638035496Z age=7.3 fresh=1 b=101.51 a=101.6 bd=96.73 ad=95.74 spread_bp=8.862 loss_pct=0.5875 recovery_pct=0.5910 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=13623.2 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=130342.2 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T00:00:32.525825718Z age=17.4 fresh=1 b=1.392 a=1.398 bd=5760.67 ad=5803.87 spread_bp=43.011 loss_pct=0.9264 recovery_pct=0.9351 UNI t=2026-09-10T00:00:42.124441749Z age=7.8 fresh=1 b=6.167 a=6.17885 bd=4340.95 ad=4386.52 spread_bp=19.197 loss_pct=0.6902 recovery_pct=0.6950 LTC t=2026-09-10T00:00:41.529160733Z age=8.4 fresh=1 b=53.02 a=53.3356 bd=3597.94 ad=3600.35 spread_bp=59.348 loss_pct=1.0881 recovery_pct=1.1001 HYPE t=2026-09-10T00:00:41.725512122Z age=8.2 fresh=1 b=83.451 a=83.8398 bd=64649.49 ad=64102.23 spread_bp=46.482 loss_pct=0.9608 recovery_pct=0.9701 LINK t=2026-09-10T00:00:41.278396814Z age=8.7 fresh=1 b=11.792 a=11.81 bd=13584.15 ad=13680.27 spread_bp=15.253 loss_pct=0.6510 recovery_pct=0.6553 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:46
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T23:46:22.024959+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 241032 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
job: Funding issuer supply to midnight; replaces148 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:45
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T23:45:41.822429+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.1086 uncertainty_s=0.1629 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1788997522597","1788997542827"],"age":[20.4,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5161,"settled_bp":0.6954,"oi_coin":26558.819} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1788997522642","1788997542788"],"age":[20.3,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.1862,"settled_bp":0.4307,"oi_coin":596646.364} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1788997523616","1788997542817"],"age":[19.4,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.918,"settled_bp":-0.3759,"oi_coin":2719781.37} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
job: Clinical overnight listings with footer; follows84 (exit 0)
Quant replication2026-09-09 23:45
{"s":"INBX","source":"https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T23:45:45.289801+00:00","hash":"9bda9f15e72e","matches":3,"omitted":0,"links":["/2026-09-08-Inhibrxs-INBRX-106-Nearly-Doubles-Response-Rate-and-Achieves-Interim-Median-PFS-of-9-6-months-in-Phase-2-HNSCC-Study","/2026-09-04-Inhibrx-To-Host-Webcast-Presentation-to-Provide-Primary-Endpoint-Results-for-INBRX-106-Phase-2-First-Line-HNSCC-Study","/2026-08-13-Inhibrx-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"s":"TYRA","source":"https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T23:45:45.647460+00:00","hash":"2dfbfed3eea9","matches":3,"omitted":1,"links":["/2026-09-09-Tyra-Biosciences-Reports-Initial-Phase-2-SURF302-Results-Supporting-the-First-Potential-Oral-Innovation-in-LG-IR-NMIBC-with-Dabogratinib","/2026-09-04-Tyra-Biosciences-to-Host-Conference-Call-on-Initial-Results-of-Oral-Dabogratinib-from-the-SURF302-Phase-2-Study-for-IR-NMIBC-on-September-9,-2026"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"s":"IRD","source":"https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T23:45:45.478629+00:00","hash":"aed8b5e196fa","matches":4,"omitted":2,"links":["/press-releases/detail/543/opus-genetics-announces-positive-low-dose-cohort-1-data-from-phase-12-clinical-trial-of-opgx-best1-and-successful-fda-type-c-meeting-with-potential-phase-3-dosing-in-2027","/press-releases/detail/542/opus-genetics-to-present-opgx-best1-cohort-1-clinical-data-in-investor-webcast-and-at-upcoming-leading-ophthalmology-conferences"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"fund": "quant", "complete": true, "symbols": 3, "coverage": "bounded keyword listings; errors remain explicit; no orders"}
job: Ten-pair quotes to midnight; replaces147 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:45
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-09T23:45:37.524847153Z age=4.1 fresh=1 b=78202.254 a=78218.8 bd=77.58 ad=77.97 spread_bp=2.116 loss_pct=0.5204 recovery_pct=0.5231 ETH t=2026-09-09T23:44:58.96107304Z age=42.7 fresh=1 b=2464.77 a=2465.7 bd=81.76 ad=82.03 spread_bp=3.772 loss_pct=0.5369 recovery_pct=0.5398 SOL t=2026-09-09T23:43:16.324881852Z age=145.3 fresh=1 b=101.6 a=101.64 bd=287.64 ad=95.86 spread_bp=3.936 loss_pct=0.5385 recovery_pct=0.5414 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=12715.0 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=129433.9 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-09T23:44:33.960575629Z age=67.7 fresh=1 b=1.391 a=1.397 bd=5847.83 ad=5851.34 spread_bp=43.042 loss_pct=0.9267 recovery_pct=0.9354 UNI t=2026-09-09T23:45:31.932708099Z age=9.7 fresh=1 b=6.1736 a=6.1862 bd=4363.78 ad=4345.42 spread_bp=20.389 loss_pct=0.7020 recovery_pct=0.7070 LTC t=2026-09-09T23:40:34.365182223Z age=307.3 fresh=0 b=52.919 a=53.23 bd=3619.71 ad=3595.69 spread_bp=58.597 loss_pct=1.0807 recovery_pct=1.0925 HYPE t=2026-09-09T23:45:12.658585503Z age=29.0 fresh=1 b=83.0187 a=83.383 bd=64337.00 ad=64642.67 spread_bp=43.786 loss_pct=0.9341 recovery_pct=0.9429 LINK t=2026-09-09T23:41:33.927933891Z age=247.7 fresh=1 b=11.77 a=11.7985 bd=40740.77 ad=13761.77 spread_bp=24.185 loss_pct=0.7397 recovery_pct=0.7452 fresh_valid=7/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:16
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T23:16:32.837532+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 239243 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
job: 15 supply primary panels incl SEI OESX; replaces111 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-09 23:15
fund=supply 2026-09-09T23:15:51.746256+00:00 research only; hashes not events; eligible=0 Maersk OK 4bb96bc8a2a4 https://www.maersk.com/news Typhoon OK 3241a9d58215 https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics Hapag OK 8ab284858970 https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html SeaIntel OK 0eeef616fcf3 https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room WH OK 158ad22ff216 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/ Bombardier CHALLENGE 5847e81e5fb3 https://bombardier.com/en/media/news GD https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000040533.json 2026-08-07 8-K 0001193125-26-340490/d129075d8k.htm | 2026-08-04 8-K 0001193125-26-332899/d122083d8k.htm CENTCOM https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/ ERROR HTTPError FRO OK 3aaf7244dc4a https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-second-quarter-and-six-months-2026-results/ STNG OK c54b428d736e https://www.scorpiotankers.com/scorpio-tankers-inc-announces-updates-on-third-quarter-2026-tce-rates-and-time-charter-out-agreements/ ASPI https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/rss Tue, 08 Sep 26 09:15:00 -0400 https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/119/asp-isotopes-hosts-inaugural-capital-markets-day-and ACP OK 6e21e0bc4ee1 https://pancanal.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/ADV-33-2026-Postponement-of-Maximum-Authorized-Draft-Adjustment-in-the-Neopanamax-Locks.pdf SEI OK 140860f05cb5 https://ir.solaris-energy.com/ OESX OK f7316d1affda https://investor.oriones.com/ Canada OK 09084e6193e2 https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news.html END 15 panels attempted; errors are missing coverage, not no news.
job: Ten-pair quotes to midnight; replaces147 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:15
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-09T23:15:51.531742695Z age=0.7 fresh=1 b=78087.76 a=78108.31 bd=77.69 ad=78.58 spread_bp=2.631 loss_pct=0.5256 recovery_pct=0.5283 ETH t=2026-09-09T23:12:02.207179348Z age=230.0 fresh=1 b=2459 a=2459.798 bd=81.91 ad=81.36 spread_bp=3.245 loss_pct=0.5317 recovery_pct=0.5345 SOL t=2026-09-09T23:15:01.335372817Z age=50.9 fresh=1 b=101.365 a=101.44 bd=95.72 ad=97.04 spread_bp=7.396 loss_pct=0.5729 recovery_pct=0.5762 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=10925.5 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=127644.5 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-09T23:15:34.525448465Z age=17.7 fresh=1 b=1.38622 a=1.392 bd=5816.44 ad=5813.18 spread_bp=41.609 loss_pct=0.9125 recovery_pct=0.9209 UNI t=2026-09-09T23:15:50.528805844Z age=1.7 fresh=1 b=6.148 a=6.16 bd=4366.09 ad=4324.94 spread_bp=19.500 loss_pct=0.6932 recovery_pct=0.6980 LTC t=2026-09-09T23:15:19.32588506Z age=32.9 fresh=1 b=52.8071 a=53.13 bd=3544.25 ad=3573.71 spread_bp=60.961 loss_pct=1.1041 recovery_pct=1.1164 HYPE t=2026-09-09T23:15:34.667974094Z age=17.6 fresh=1 b=83.2784 a=83.681 bd=64324.24 ad=63924.00 spread_bp=48.227 loss_pct=0.9781 recovery_pct=0.9877 LINK t=2026-09-09T23:15:01.324447777Z age=50.9 fresh=1 b=11.74 a=11.766 bd=13713.38 ad=13740.22 spread_bp=22.122 loss_pct=0.7192 recovery_pct=0.7245 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:00
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T23:00:50.765473+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 238301 tx_n 1 second_tip 4050335 age_s 292121 source=https://liquid.network/api/blocks Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
job: Ten-pair quotes to midnight; replaces147 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 23:00
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-09T23:00:41.124670946Z age=9.6 fresh=1 b=77935 a=77957.38 bd=77.59 ad=78.04 spread_bp=2.871 loss_pct=0.5279 recovery_pct=0.5307 ETH t=2026-09-09T23:00:15.838221607Z age=34.9 fresh=1 b=2451.3 a=2451.839 bd=82.14 ad=82.14 spread_bp=2.199 loss_pct=0.5212 recovery_pct=0.5240 SOL t=2026-09-09T23:00:46.125336093Z age=4.6 fresh=1 b=100.9 a=100.944 bd=96.52 ad=96.06 spread_bp=4.360 loss_pct=0.5427 recovery_pct=0.5457 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=10024.0 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=126742.9 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-09T23:00:49.223083227Z age=1.5 fresh=1 b=1.38334 a=1.38835 bd=5805.57 ad=5772.69 spread_bp=36.151 loss_pct=0.8584 recovery_pct=0.8659 UNI t=2026-09-09T23:00:44.929773503Z age=5.8 fresh=1 b=6.14334 a=6.15503 bd=4292.97 ad=4341.78 spread_bp=19.011 loss_pct=0.6884 recovery_pct=0.6931 LTC t=2026-09-09T23:00:28.203827109Z age=22.5 fresh=1 b=52.643 a=52.966 bd=3596.57 ad=3618.00 spread_bp=61.169 loss_pct=1.1062 recovery_pct=1.1185 HYPE t=2026-09-09T23:00:44.324513028Z age=6.4 fresh=1 b=82.583 a=83.0001 bd=64143.04 ad=64349.98 spread_bp=50.380 loss_pct=0.9994 recovery_pct=1.0095 LINK t=2026-09-09T23:00:26.842797811Z age=23.8 fresh=1 b=11.69 a=11.71 bd=13590.31 ad=13528.56 spread_bp=17.094 loss_pct=0.6693 recovery_pct=0.6738 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 22:46
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T22:46:19.772829+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50038739 mempool_net_btc 4.62e-05 tx_n 285 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 31 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 237430 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
job: IONS MIRM GIS plus EAT primary dates; preserves48 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-09 22:45
fund=catalyst IONS/MIRM/GIS research only; size=0; UTC=2026-09-09T22:45:41.280096+00:00 IONS SEC 2026-09-04 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/874015/000114036126035802/ef20081690_8k.htm MIRM SEC 2026-09-08 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1759425/000175942526000047/mirm-20260902.htm GIS SEC 2026-07-01 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40704/000162828026046337/gis-20260701.htm EAT SEC 2026-08-12 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/eat-20260810.htm DISCOVERY 2026-09-09T13:12:14Z Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Lowers Price Target to $85 GIS Sep8 19UTC conference/review19:40; origin note48. Already past, check replay. STATIC Sep23 morning earnings,13UTC Q&A, firstrelease minute unknown. https://investors.generalmills.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/General-Mills-to-Webcast-Fiscal-2027-First-Quarter-Earnings-Results-on-September-23-2026/default.aspx GIS stronger organiccash/guide ->record/validate; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. No automaticentry; dates are reviews not firstnews. Baseline July1 FY27 EPS3.00-3.20,organic-1.5to+.5%,savings750m. Frozen paper windowSep16open-Sep21close; calendarOOS+.567%,stress-2.405%,N10; never retune past test. EAT Aug31 issuer Sep17 08:30–11:15CT investor day; chosen Sep17 16:30UTC review. https://investors.brinker.com/news/news-details/2026/BRINKER-INTERNATIONAL-TO-HOST-INVESTOR-DAY-ON-SEPTEMBER-17/default.aspx EAT Aug12 issuer Oct28 earnings call date; hour/firstrelease unknown. Chosen Oct28 16:30UTC review, reverify firstnews. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/fy26q4ex991-earningsrelease.htm EAT eitherbranch: stronger organiccash ->record/independentvalidation; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. FrozenT5holdout-19.2065% N7; no automatictrade. Investor-day odds untested. Static dates not armed. END4SEC/1discovery/GIS2/EAT2; verify fullpipelines/earlynews.
job: Funding issuer supply to midnight; replaces148 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 22:31
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-09T22:31:06.574914+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0984 uncertainty_s=0.1676 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1788993013613","1788993067650"],"age":[54.3,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.7156,"settled_bp":0.6954,"oi_coin":26569.909} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1788993013659","1788993067620"],"age":[54.1,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.3693,"settled_bp":0.4307,"oi_coin":595846.033} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1788993014620","1788993067623"],"age":[53.2,0.2],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.7598,"settled_bp":-0.3759,"oi_coin":2717553.8} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788912000,"circulating":74502816708.65785,"Ethereum":[1788912000,47212908551.24],"Solana":[1788912000,7180981974.08],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788912000,6911192810.28]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
job: Ten-pair quotes to midnight; replaces147 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 22:31
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0; one-venue displayed quotes, not global depth; source=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots BTC t=2026-09-09T22:30:58.32614414Z age=9.8 fresh=1 b=77971.03 a=77989.91 bd=77.53 ad=78.61 spread_bp=2.421 loss_pct=0.5235 recovery_pct=0.5262 ETH t=2026-09-09T22:30:34.568305336Z age=33.6 fresh=1 b=2452.4 a=2453.305 bd=81.68 ad=82.38 spread_bp=3.690 loss_pct=0.5361 recovery_pct=0.5390 SOL t=2026-09-09T22:30:58.111846051Z age=10.0 fresh=1 b=101.299 a=101.4 bd=95.62 ad=97.08 spread_bp=9.966 loss_pct=0.5985 recovery_pct=0.6021 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=8241.4 fresh=0 b=0.9995 a=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=5.101 loss_pct=0.5501 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=124960.4 fresh=0 b=0.99999 a=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 spread_bp=0.200 loss_pct=0.5014 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-09T22:30:05.725101104Z age=62.4 fresh=1 b=1.38994 a=1.3949 bd=5838.86 ad=5784.93 spread_bp=35.621 loss_pct=0.8532 recovery_pct=0.8605 UNI t=2026-09-09T22:31:05.680941013Z age=2.4 fresh=1 b=6.2025 a=6.216 bd=4403.60 ad=4351.04 spread_bp=21.742 loss_pct=0.7155 recovery_pct=0.7206 LTC t=2026-09-09T22:30:46.218017375Z age=21.9 fresh=1 b=52.998 a=53.33 bd=3597.08 ad=3621.64 spread_bp=62.448 loss_pct=1.1188 recovery_pct=1.1315 HYPE t=2026-09-09T22:30:35.332091632Z age=32.8 fresh=1 b=83.1912 a=83.54 bd=64107.14 ad=64357.38 spread_bp=41.840 loss_pct=0.9148 recovery_pct=0.9233 LINK t=2026-09-09T22:31:03.701561676Z age=4.4 fresh=1 b=11.71 a=11.728 bd=13555.38 ad=13605.65 spread_bp=15.360 loss_pct=0.6521 recovery_pct=0.6564 fresh_valid=8/10; funding and all trading rules remain independently gated; no orders
job: Clinical overnight listings with footer; follows84 (exit 0)
Quant replication2026-09-09 22:31
{"s":"INBX","source":"https://inhibrx.investorroom.com/news-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T22:31:07.113610+00:00","hash":"4c3eab8708e3","matches":3,"omitted":0,"links":["/2026-09-08-Inhibrxs-INBRX-106-Nearly-Doubles-Response-Rate-and-Achieves-Interim-Median-PFS-of-9-6-months-in-Phase-2-HNSCC-Study","/2026-09-04-Inhibrx-To-Host-Webcast-Presentation-to-Provide-Primary-Endpoint-Results-for-INBRX-106-Phase-2-First-Line-HNSCC-Study","/2026-08-13-Inhibrx-Reports-Second-Quarter-2026-Financial-Results"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"s":"TYRA","source":"https://tyrabio.investorroom.com/news-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T22:31:07.468583+00:00","hash":"e4a7937cadc8","matches":3,"omitted":1,"links":["/2026-09-09-Tyra-Biosciences-Reports-Initial-Phase-2-SURF302-Results-Supporting-the-First-Potential-Oral-Innovation-in-LG-IR-NMIBC-with-Dabogratinib","/2026-09-04-Tyra-Biosciences-to-Host-Conference-Call-on-Initial-Results-of-Oral-Dabogratinib-from-the-SURF302-Phase-2-Study-for-IR-NMIBC-on-September-9,-2026"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"s":"IRD","source":"https://ir.opusgtx.com/press-releases","utc":"2026-09-09T22:31:07.225130+00:00","hash":"a3d62a5ded46","matches":4,"omitted":2,"links":["/press-releases/detail/543/opus-genetics-announces-positive-low-dose-cohort-1-data-from-phase-12-clinical-trial-of-opgx-best1-and-successful-fda-type-c-meeting-with-potential-phase-3-dosing-in-2027","/press-releases/detail/542/opus-genetics-to-present-opgx-best1-cohort-1-clinical-data-in-investor-webcast-and-at-upcoming-leading-ophthalmology-conferences"],"coverage":"partial keyword listing; no orders"} {"fund": "quant", "complete": true, "symbols": 3, "coverage": "bounded keyword listings; errors remain explicit; no orders"}
job: Liquid continuity to midnight; replaces149 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-09 22:01
fund=crypto RESEARCH ONLY eligible=0 2026-09-09T22:01:51.700818+00:00 source=https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte reserve=bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks recipient confirmed_btc 598.50037893 mempool_net_btc 4.92e-05 tx_n 283 reserve confirmed_btc 3601.47203226 mempool_net_btc 0.0 tx_n 589 controlled_tx f7055f6c8dd00f404e48c12483ae740180f658db206733505bb27b015e579588 block_time 1788954349 retained_btc 598.50010393 to_reserve_btc 1e-05 recent_page_n 32 controlled_n 1 page_is_not_complete_history=1 liquid_tip 4051232 time 1788756550 age_s 234762 tx_n 1 second_blocks {'error': "HTTPSConnectionPool(host='liquid.network', port=443): Max retries exceeded with url: /api/"} Balance movement is not proof of sale/recovery; block production is not restored pegouts. Verify operator and controller continuity at next review; no automatic trade. OPERATOR_SOURCE https://x.com/Blockstream operator_http 200 parsed_notes 2 relevant 2 operator_text_sha256 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b text Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, as Liquid’s technical provider, and the Liquid Federation have been working diligently to resolve the ongoing situation and ensure the return of assets. Updated software has been deployed as the Federation members prepare the network for a coordinated restart. Our teams remain focused on further hardening the network. We want to thank the broader Bitcoin community for their patience, support, advice, and assistance throughout this process. We will continue to provide updates as progress is made. Operator wording is an attributed claim, not payout proof; no automatic trade.
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