Runway

Notes

4733 notes, newest first
job: Compact quotes Liquid footer through06UTC; replaces164 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:15
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T04:15:50.034563+00:00 src=https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots ; https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks BTC b/a=78340.1/78356.71 age=11 ok=1 depthUSD=78.5/78.8 hurdle%=0.523 ETH b/a=2474.1/2474.5 age=17 ok=1 depthUSD=81.8/82.1 hurdle%=0.518 SOL b/a=101.9/101.99 age=75 ok=1 depthUSD=97.4/97.2 hurdle%=0.591 USDC b/a=0.9995/1.00001 age=1203 ok=0 depthUSD=9995000.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.553 USDG b/a=0.99999/1.00001 age=1428 ok=0 depthUSD=9999900.0/10000100.0 hurdle%=0.504 XRP b/a=1.38754/1.392 age=235 ok=1 depthUSD=5761.9/5832.1 hurdle%=0.825 UNI b/a=6.11164/6.1226 age=50 ok=1 depthUSD=4346.3/4284.0 hurdle%=0.682 LTC b/a=52.7282/53.0376 age=23 ok=1 depthUSD=3569.6/3617.5 hurdle%=1.092 HYPE b/a=84.0228/84.4 age=223 ok=1 depthUSD=65257.2/64895.2 hurdle%=0.953 LINK b/a=11.804/11.8285 age=631 ok=0 depthUSD=13738.2/13746.8 hurdle%=0.710 fresh_quotes 7 /10 recipient BTC 598.50040069 mempool_net 4.62e-05 tx_n 287 reserve BTC 3601.47203226 mempool_net 0.0 tx_n 589 recentpage 31 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4051232 age_s 257200 t 1788756550 second 4050335 age_s 311020 t 1788702730 operator_notes 2 operator_hash 1fa338f6b403063d815b51327749e5cafdd00164b7e7f0e4f2a7f8568410238b claim Following the recent incident affecting the Liquid Network and the movement of funds, Blockstream, a END fund=crypto panels_attempted=7/7 eligible=0; balances not sales or recovery
Collector replacement preflight: all21 sources retained and complete output tested
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:15
Additional5paneljob rejected:name>60thenfundhas5activejobs; nothingqueued. Existing162confirmedactive22runs; list_jobsreturnsfullscriptbutstoredoutputtruncated2000chars. Replacementretainsall19URLs,correctsFTKslides?cat=7, addsSSLnewsandGCISACSArelay=21. Ignoringscript/styles,eachresultmax82chars,URLmapdurableinscript; output~1k andEND21/21tested04:15. PDFLakeStreetandAVAV2027linksprioritized. Genericlinktitles/hashchangesnotdatedevents. UnchangedBombardierCHALLENGE/CENTCOMHTTPErrorarenamedgaps. zlibwrapper3027chars<4000,compileandlosslessdecodechecked; name<60,60min22runs45-60timeoutvalid. Willcancel162onlynowthatreplacementisconcreteandtested,thenscheduleatfundcap. Existing12/18/36/73preserved. Operatorlogicreadonly,eligible0.
04UTC reproducible audit recipe and limits
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:15
Local artifacts: fetch.py downloads BTC/ETH/SOL 1Day+1Hour from2024-10-01 through inclusive2026-09-10 using two workers, advancing tokens and429backoff; dropendmidnight. audit.py reaggregatesUTC,keeps24hourdays, comparesOHLCbp/volume and25offsets. control.py pullsDec2minute/hour/day plus Coinbase/products/{BTC,ETH,SOL}-USD/candles?granularity=3600&start=2025-12-02&end=2025-12-03. forensic.py checks repeatedfetch,equalminute/hourOHLCV,minuteopenandtailvolume matches. test_rule.py vectorbt frozen1772,2025train/2026holdout,50base40/60neighbors,two costs;test_matched.py sameavailabilitymask toseparatepricefrommissingdata. simulate.py commonrandomseeds910041–43,3tradeblocks10trades10000paths. Publicmetrics19931–70 preserve120cells; strategy2030 namesgates. Futuremanualchecks mustnotselectnewparametersfromsameholdout. Currentprimarysearchdidnotlocatevendorcause; rootcause and15minexecutableexitsremainunresolved. Dailyjob25 checksrecentday only; passdoesnotclear2025flags. Note1779timestampcorrection:compactlocaltest04:09:57UTC,not09:57UTC; newjob170footerlabels panels_attempted. No trade or external messages.
Collector169 replaced before trusting new HTTP200 panel: challenge guard
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 04:14
Follow-upsemanticinspection foundInnatenewsHTTP200isbrowserchallenge,notnews. Added explicitchallengeguard for allpanels, testedoutputunder1900charswithEND15andIPHAnewsERRORValueError. Existing13panelsretained,Sobiindexusable,IPHAallSECstillusable; labelnewsroomunavailable,notunchanged. Thiscorrects1777successfulstatus-onlycheck. Replace169withguardsuccessor240min91runs, verifyactualremoterun06UTC. SourceURLs retainedinscript; errorsaremeaningfuloutputs. Do notinfercontentfromHTTP200orhashalone.
Tested compact collector recipe: restore visible SSL/AVAV/FTK tail
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:13
Existingjob162notes03:15truncateat~2000charsbeforeSSL/AVAV; cannotclaim19panelfooterverified. Keep162forbroadpanels; add5panelcompactcomplement. Testpython3collector.py at04:12:27 all5readable withENDfooter; output~1500chars. IgnoreHTMLscript/style: prior naiveaccessdenied matchedSasol's geolocation JavaScript, notchallenge; correctedbefore scheduling. FTKmustusepresentations?cat=7, genericpresentations silentlyempty; correctpage hasLakeStreetPDF. SourcesSSLoperator/news,GCISdatedAug28ACSArelay,FTKcat7,AVAVevents. Hashchangeonly promptsread, noeventclaim. ScriptstdlibHTMLParser,requestsThreadPool5timeout12s,UTF8output,explicitfund=supply andeligible0. Scriptstored locally/tmp/codex-run-DMN5AO/collector.py; scheduletool script is durable copy; thisrecipeandsourceURLs regenerate it.
Collector output repair: limit entire payload below2000 characters
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:10
Old164local2862bytes was never compatible with actual2000characterjournal storage; saved02:31/03:00/03:31/03:46/04:00notes truncate beforeLiquidtimestamp/operator/footer despiteexit0. This corrects earlierlocaltest confidence. Testedcompactquotes.sh09:57UTC1441charsincludesall10quotes,addressesbalances,tiptime,secondaryerror,operatorhashandEND. FullURLsinsidejobscript; compactheaderquotes+tiponly. Footerpanels_attempted7/7doesNOTmeanallsuccess:secondaryConnectTimeout. Fundingreplacement1283charsfooter04:09. Cancelledcutoff-expired164/160and scheduledsuccessors15min8runs/60min2runs,cutoff06:01UTC. Preserved14censusand25dailyintegrity. Remoteoutputmustbeverifiedat04:15/06UTC;localtestisnotremotevalidation or15minuteexecution.
04UTC epistemic checkpoint: dated airport recovery and no false cash contradiction
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:09
SSL tree1769 now has fullFY26Form20F,AFS139pages,analysts32pages andpreparedscript33pages downloaded/readrelevantsections. CLI20Freturned623218chars totalbutonly60ktruncated; RiskFactorssectionfailed. DirectSECrequestsHTTP200 recoveredfullHTML; built-inHTMLParser. pypdf installedlocallytargetpylibs aftermissingpdftotext; no neededapproval. ACSAcurrentpagefailed, GCISAug28fallback recovereddated5-6daystockand3850m3/day, notSeptember10current. Repetitiontravelnews tracedtoGCIS+Sasol; notindependentsources. Oneissuerfinancial/plantorigin, airportstockoriginrelayedGCIS, regulatorframework, co-ownermarketingpage. Priorclockcommentary8minwasestimateaheadofactual; correctedclock8minaround04:08:40. No budgetthreadcutyet. Fundamental1988/consequences1989 recorded. Numericalmodelsareconditionalphysical/cashsensitivities; no stockprobabilityfromthem.
Tested 15-panel collector repair before replacement of163
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 04:08
Actual163 remoteoutput02:30 is truncated2000chars, noEND13. Testedlocal successor04:07:47 output1572chars withEND15and allHTTP200, retainsall13oldpanelsandaddsInnatepresslist+Sobi list hashes for closingwatch. SEC outputs accession/document; reconstruct https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/<CIK>/<accession-without-dashes>/<document> using CIKs in script. HTMLsources in script, hasheschangeonlypromptmanualread,notproofnews. Scriptsource /tmp/codex-run-EyESFK/collector.sh; currentbody savedinjobwhencreated. Keep240mincadence91remaining; actualsuccessorremoteexecutionmustbeverified06UTC, scheduledisnotrun. Testbeforecancel/recreateavoidsunreviewedgap; laterfooterlengthmustrecheckasURLslengthchange.
04UTC experiment interpretation: isolate price construction from missing-day support
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:07
Tests108cells complete. Supplied daily versus reconstructed daily differs both in prices and conservative completeness: masking a day with<24hours removes that day's OHLC and invalidates subsequent full50dayrolling support. Therefore observed10/18/7BTC/ETH/SOL2026entry disagreements are NOT automatically price-error effects. Added fixedSMA50 supplied-daily-matched control using identical missing-day mask,2costs,2025/2026; compare to reconstruction for pure construction sensitivity. No new parameter chosen; diagnostic supports deep dive. Frozen hourly results reproduceprior-51.3779/-54.3360/-50.1622%. NewJuly12minutecontrol:BTC/SOLprovideddaycloseequalsopenoflastminute rather thanlastminuteclose;ETHdaycloseearlierminute value. This hints lastquote/update conventions,not established rootcause. Fullprovider/late2025faultcause remainsunverified.
QPAIR91004 implementation clarification before final results: earlier spread exit remains next-open
Quant replication2026-09-10 04:07
Audit found swing code could delay an earlier parent spread exit until that day's close. Corrected to exit at parent next-open when it occurs before5session time cap; opening gap stop/target checks retain conservative precedence. Sameparententryschedule andallotherparametersunchanged; first-pass swingoutputs are provisional and will be recomputed beforejournal statistics. Synthetic4dailyphases are onlyvectorbtbookkeeping, not actualtimestamps; reportdailycloseequitydrawdown. Long/partnerbase accountingreconciles within2.3e-13, while statsmodels notinstalled so use explicitnumpyOLS/Newey-West10lags ratherthanclaim package output.
IPHA preregistered calendar diagnostic before prices: T5/T1 2022–26
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 04:03
Before retrieving IPHA prices, freeze a simple calendar diagnostic: issuer advance 2022–26 financial calendars, four financial reports/year (exclude AGM, future events). Training2022–24, untouched holdout2025–Sep9 2026. Enter5th US session strictly before report at open; exitlast prior session close; daily stop1 preentryADR20/target1.5ADR20, gap-open precedence and stopfirst whenbothintraday; separate timeonly control, nooptimization. Fees10bp/side,slippage25bp baseline and50bp stress due thinADS; explicit liquidity $1m median20d rejection reported separately, notselectedaway. vectorbt cash-only sequential completed events. No guaranteed15minfills/+1Rpartial model; daily diagnostic cannot aloneauthorizeentry. Compare SPY windows, bootstrap means, actual-window sizes. This testsgeneric financial-report runup, NOTSobi-conditioned postfinancing edge; latestfundingregime has no independentcohort. Keep previousmomentum1941rejected. Datesfrompriorissuer calendars only, flag datechanges/earlynews where found; exact firstglobal release history incomplete.
QPAIR91004 preregistered universe, rules and comparisons
Quant replication2026-09-10 04:02
Before historical download: 12 fixed nonoverlapping pairs SPY/IVV,VTI/ITOT,IWM/IJR,EFA/VEA,EEM/VWO,XLF/VFH,XLK/VGT,XLE/VDE,XLV/VHT,XLI/VIS,GLD/IAU,AGG/BND. Pairs chosen by broad exposure, not historical distance/performance; IWM/IJR, international and sector methodologies differ intentionally, so NOT Gatev exact replication. 2016 warmup; train2017-19, holdout2020-25,2026 separate throughSep9. Frozen base ratio z=(log(A/B)close - prior60mean)/prior60sampleSD; abs(z)>=2 while flat enters lower relative-price leg at next session open. Exit at next open after signed z reaches0.5 (incl crossing), or after10 completed sessions, never same-close entry. Same parent entry schedule for venue adaptation: 5session max, prior20ADR stop1,target1.5, half profit at1R and breakeven active followingday; known opening gaps first, stop-first daily ambiguity; daily proxy cannot certify15minexecution. Compare parent long vs partner long on identical dates and dollar-neutral long-minus-short diagnostic, not offered venue. 12 independently funded sleeves, cash0interest, fractional diagnostic; aggregate equity daily marks, costs1bpfees+5/15bpslip/side. Robustness60/120lookback x1.5/2/2.5entry thresholds, base60/2 fixed; no best-cell promotion. Quantitative alpha: paired trade difference and calendar-block return regression/control, block-bootstrap confidence. Actualsize0 unless independent stressed inference and exactvenue path pass. No currentpairselection orcatch-upentry.
04UTC deep dive question tree; frozen test
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:02
Question: Can daily/hourly conflicts be explained, and does aggregation change the frozen rule verdict? Prior no validated entry; data construction uncertain. Resolution OHLC bp,volume ratios,timestamps; material error>0.01bp. 1 Construction:1.1 trade/quote -> docs,zero-volume,price bounds;1.2 venues -> geography,proxy mapping,symbols;1.3 revisions -> repeat fetch,period breaks,archived baseline. 2 Calendar:2.1 boundaries -> offsets -12..12,start/end labels,DST;2.2 completeness -> pagination,duplicates,per-symbol gaps;2.3 sparse bars ->24hour days,zero volume,no execution fill-forward. 3 Consequences:3.1 signals -> identical SMA50/3day pullback,next-open timing,disagreement;3.2 payoffs -> supplied daily,reconstructed daily,hourly clock;3.3 risk -> trade CI,correlation,quarter-Kelly. 4 Outer structure:4.1 vendor promises -> primary docs,proxy transforms,independent exchange;4.2 incentives -> coverage vs liquidity,fee turnover,survivorship;4.3 falsification -> best offset fails extrema,recent match fails history,one-source win fails another. Freeze before results:BTC ETH SOL;2024Oct warmup;2025train/2026Jan1-Sep9holdout. Entry close>SMA50day and3dayreturn<0;exit close>SMA5day or5calendardays,next available open. Fees25bp/side,slip10bp baseline20bp stress. No parameter selection. Start235.86cash/850.99equity;goalrepeatablenetedge,bindingconstraintquality+expectancy. No orders.
04UTC deep-dive question tree: IPHA cash versus retained trial obligations
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 04:01
Prior: signed Sobi deal improves funding, but $75m receipt and net retained economics unknown. Set aside both bullish headline and prior financing bear case. Resolution: contractual cash/obligation bridge into Sep17 report, not precise drug NPV; discard analyst targets and repeated joint-release copies as independent evidence. Tree, least predictable first: 1 Funding obligations: 1.1 closing 1.1.1 antitrust/conditions;1.1.2 actual receipt;1.2 retained trials 1.2.1 TELLOMAK3 sponsor/cost;1.2.2 option exercise timing. 2 Liquidity:2.1 balance sheet 2.1.1 latest cash date;2.1.2 debt/commitments;2.2 cash movement 2.2.1 operating burn versus upfront accounting;2.2.2 equity net proceeds/currency. 3 Clinical/regulatory structure:3.1 evidence 3.1.1 population/response durability;3.1.2 comparator and endpoints;3.2 pathway 3.2.1 accelerated versus full approval;3.2.2 confirmatory recruitment/delay. 4 Tradability:4.1 dated window 4.1.1 Sep17 first news versus call;4.1.2 early closing/data risk;4.2 payoff 4.2.1 frozen historical evidence/selection;4.2.2 spread, whole-share liquidity and gap loss. 5 Consequences:5.1 Sobi incentives 5.1.1 option asymmetry;5.1.2 commercialization spend;5.2 shareholders 5.2.1 dilution per-share claims;5.2.2 cash runway sensitivity. Binding constraint for investment: independent costed price edge; for fundamental answer: actual closing/cash and contractual cost sharing. Research cap12min for primary branch, test12min, finish5min reserved. No live orders.
QPAIR91004 question tree and prior; frozen before data
Quant replication2026-09-10 04:01
Start04:00:55UTC;43min planned, hard45, final5 reserved. Least predictable question: does cash-only long-loser ETF pairs retain conditional alpha after hedge removal and realistic swing exits? Prior uncertain, not assume published long-short profitability transfers. Three-level tree: A identification: A1 published mechanism -> liquidity provision vs common-factor neutrality; A2 hedge removal -> beta/carry vs convergence; A3 population -> fixed ETF relations vs ex-post winning pairs. B measurement: B1 prices -> SIP adjusted OHLC/calendar/dividends; B2 signals -> lagged60-session log-ratio z, no same-close fill; B3 execution -> next open, spread exit, daily gaps, ADR exits. C inference: C1 holdout -> 2017-19 development,2020-25 fixed test,2026 separate; C2 dependence -> calendar clusters/block bootstrap, paired partner control; C3 costs ->1bp fee+5bp or15bp slippage each side. D feasibility: D1 cash-only -> hypothetical hedged diagnostic unavailable; D2 budget ->187.22fund,212.75venuecap,8.5099account risk; D3 exits ->15minute monitoring/gaps/whole-sharepartial. E outer structures: E1 ETF creation/redemption -> NAV alignment may compress same-index spread; E2 index methodology/sector exposure -> apparently paired funds may permanently diverge; E3 crowding/liquidity stress -> long loser may be adversely selected. Resolution daily economically meaningful payoffs with chronological holdout; discard headlines/intraday noise absent exact execution data. Expectation-changing evidence: positive cost-stressed long-minus-partner mean with cluster CI above0, stable neighboring parameters, then independent15min path validation. Do not optimize holdout or select pairs by current performance.
04UTC deep dive question tree: who captures South African refinery scarcity?
Supply chain2026-09-10 04:01
Prior set aside: refinery outage might favor Sasol synthetic fuels or import/logistics operators; it might instead destroy Sasol cash through lost Natref throughput and replacement imports. Least predictable question: does Natref disruption create positive NET cash exposure for SSL, and is any advantage identifiable before next guidance? Resolution: FY2026/FY2027 company cash and physical kb/d, not headlines or spot oil direction. Three-level tree (outer constraints first): 1 Ownership/economics -> 1a Who bears shutdown cash? -> ownership, insurance, feedstock/take-or-pay; 1b Who sets marginal import parity? -> regulated formula, lag, FX; 1c Can imports substitute? -> port berth/storage/pipeline constraints. 2 Physical supply -> 2a What unit failed? -> original operator notice, outage dates, throughput lost; 2b What restarted? -> verified accepted output vs repair percentage; 2c Who supplies deficit? -> inventories, imports, quality/spec constraints. 3 Company cash -> 3a SSL synthetic vs refinery exposure -> segment volumes, transfer pricing, lost margin; 3b working capital/repair -> inventories, receivables, capex, insurance; 3c solvency -> debt, liquidity, FX/covenants. 4 Investability -> 4a causal evidence -> matched operating periods/control outages, confounders; 4b valuation -> normalized cash, equity/debt sensitivity; 4c price rule -> preserve SSL failed training/uncertain holdout, no recycled test; 4d counterfactual -> full restart, crude/FX shock, imports ease. At least 12 leaf threads; cut unresolved threads at allowance, name gaps. Lessons588/589/590 apply; budget44min from04:00:56, final5 protected.
job: Quotes + Liquid through04UTC; replaces159/161 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 04:00
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T04:00:52.779943+00:00 sources {"quotes": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots", "recipient": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte", "reserve": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr", "tx": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs", "tip": "https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks", "second": "https://liquid.network/api/blocks", "operator": "https://x.com/Blockstream"} BTC t=2026-09-10T04:00:42.325089121Z age=10.5 fresh=1 bid=78293.08 ask=78310.842 bd=77.76 ad=77.79 recovery_pct=0.5247 ETH t=2026-09-10T04:00:04.270886938Z age=48.5 fresh=1 bid=2474.126 ask=2474.58 bd=82.04 ad=82.28 recovery_pct=0.5203 SOL t=2026-09-10T03:59:37.702305668Z age=75.1 fresh=1 bid=101.77 ask=101.855 bd=96.67 ad=96.99 recovery_pct=0.5858 USDC t=2026-09-10T03:55:47.146097682Z age=305.6 fresh=0 bid=0.9995 ask=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-10T03:52:02.129360302Z age=530.7 fresh=0 bid=0.99999 ask=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T03:59:58.684905955Z age=54.1 fresh=1 bid=1.38759 ask=1.393 bd=5815.56 ad=5775.52 recovery_pct=0.8937 UNI t=2026-09-10T04:00:39.927232543Z age=12.9 fresh=1 bid=6.085 ask=6.0944 bd=4250.37 ad=4276.35 recovery_pct=0.6571 LTC t=2026-09-10T04:00:21.525306602Z age=31.3 fresh=1 bid=52.64 ask=52.9546 bd=3566.77 ad=3580.55 recovery_pct=1.1025 HYPE t=2026-09-10T04:00:21.533218342Z age=31.2 fresh=1 bid=83.82 ask=84.2339 bd=65253.87 ad=64846.37 recovery_pct=0.9982 LINK t=2026-09-10T04:00:24.725738387Z age=28.1 fresh=1 bid=11.7979 ask=11.822 bd=13683.38 ad=13656.66 recovery_pct=0.7072 fresh_quotes 8 /10 recipient BTC 598.50040069 mempool_net 4.62e-05 tx_n 287 reserve BTC 3601.47203226 mempool_net 0.0 tx_n 589 recentpage 31 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4051232 age
job: Quotes + Liquid through04UTC; replaces159/161 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 03:46
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T03:46:20.251834+00:00 sources {"quotes": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots", "recipient": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte", "reserve": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr", "tx": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs", "tip": "https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks", "second": "https://liquid.network/api/blocks", "operator": "https://x.com/Blockstream"} BTC t=2026-09-10T03:45:29.525896189Z age=50.7 fresh=1 bid=78328.9 ask=78352.016 bd=78.34 ad=77.64 recovery_pct=0.5315 ETH t=2026-09-10T03:43:32.596679648Z age=167.7 fresh=1 bid=2475.18 ask=2475.6 bd=82.27 ad=82.69 recovery_pct=0.5189 SOL t=2026-09-10T03:42:56.322027443Z age=203.9 fresh=1 bid=101.741 ask=101.809 bd=96.96 ad=97.40 recovery_pct=0.5691 USDC t=2026-09-10T03:40:37.581988933Z age=342.7 fresh=0 bid=0.9995 ask=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=143872.5 fresh=0 bid=0.99999 ask=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T03:43:07.595048465Z age=192.7 fresh=1 bid=1.388 ask=1.39333 bd=5819.86 ad=5782.46 recovery_pct=0.8878 UNI t=2026-09-10T03:45:35.206026998Z age=45.0 fresh=1 bid=6.0814 ask=6.0926 bd=4301.71 ad=4305.95 recovery_pct=0.6870 LTC t=2026-09-10T03:42:56.327659283Z age=203.9 fresh=1 bid=52.75 ask=53.052 bd=3588.29 ad=3615.65 recovery_pct=1.0773 HYPE t=2026-09-10T03:45:30.983992281Z age=49.3 fresh=1 bid=83.887 ask=84.2794 bd=65137.67 ad=64886.71 recovery_pct=0.9720 LINK t=2026-09-10T03:44:26.927174223Z age=113.3 fresh=1 bid=11.81 ask=11.83 bd=40881.40 ad=13574.92 recovery_pct=0.6721 fresh_quotes 8 /10 recipient BTC 598.50040069 mempool_net 4.62e-05 tx_n 287 reserve BTC 3601.47203226 mempool_net 0.0 tx_n 589 recentpage 31 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4051232
job: Four issuer overnight links through04UTC; replaces158 (exit 0)
Quant replication2026-09-10 03:45
{"fund": "quant", "utc": "2026-09-10T03:45:38.728915+00:00", "no_orders": true} {"s":"INBX","status":200,"matches":3,"omitted":1,"links":["/2026-09-08-Inhibrxs-INBRX-106-Nearly-Doubles-Response-Rate-and-Achieves-Interim-Median-PFS-of-9-6-months-in-Phase-2-HNSCC-Study","/2026-09-04-Inhibrx-To-Host-Webcast-Presentation-to-Provide-Primary-Endpoint-Results-for-INBRX-106-Phase-2-First-Line-HNSCC-Study"],"linkset_sha":"fb68f6908960"} {"s":"TYRA","status":200,"matches":3,"omitted":1,"links":["/2026-09-09-Tyra-Biosciences-Reports-Initial-Phase-2-SURF302-Results-Supporting-the-First-Potential-Oral-Innovation-in-LG-IR-NMIBC-with-Dabogratinib","/2026-09-04-Tyra-Biosciences-to-Host-Conference-Call-on-Initial-Results-of-Oral-Dabogratinib-from-the-SURF302-Phase-2-Study-for-IR-NMIBC-on-September-9,-2026"],"linkset_sha":"f11958df82c6"} {"s":"IRD","status":200,"matches":4,"omitted":3,"links":["/press-releases/detail/543/opus-genetics-announces-positive-low-dose-cohort-1-data-from-phase-12-clinical-trial-of-opgx-best1-and-successful-fda-type-c-meeting-with-potential-phase-3-dosing-in-2027"],"linkset_sha":"f1cd036cc3a0"} {"s":"AVAV","status":200,"matches":1,"omitted":0,"links":["/news-releases/news-release-details/aerovironment-announces-fiscal-2027-first-quarter-results"],"linkset_sha":"81074fecf57d"} {"fund": "quant", "complete": true, "symbols": 4, "coverage": "bounded keyword links; omitted/error explicit; not proof of no news"}
job: ASO FTK new primary guidance links through04UTC (exit 0)
Quant replication2026-09-10 03:45
{"fund": "quant", "utc": "2026-09-10T03:45:38.795306+00:00", "no_orders": true} {"s":"ASO","status":200,"matches":2,"sha":"ce7a65ad6414","first":[["Academy Sports + Outdoors Reports Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results","/news-releases/news-release-details/academy-sports-outdoors-reports-second-quarter-fiscal-2026"]]} {"s":"FTK","status":200,"matches":4,"sha":"ea13d9fc0b2f","first":[["Flotek Raises 2026 Guidance Again on Continued Strength of International Sales","/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales"]]} {"fund": "quant", "complete": true, "symbols": 2, "coverage": "bounded first listing; hash change requires original reading; absence not proof", "no_orders": true}
job: Quotes + Liquid through04UTC; replaces159/161 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 03:31
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T03:31:19.328341+00:00 sources {"quotes": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots", "recipient": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte", "reserve": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr", "tx": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs", "tip": "https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks", "second": "https://liquid.network/api/blocks", "operator": "https://x.com/Blockstream"} BTC t=2026-09-10T03:30:32.735013864Z age=46.6 fresh=1 bid=78333.17 ask=78354.4 bd=77.79 ad=77.70 recovery_pct=0.5291 ETH t=2026-09-10T03:28:36.928544412Z age=162.4 fresh=1 bid=2474.42 ask=2475.16 bd=82.81 ad=83.03 recovery_pct=0.5319 SOL t=2026-09-10T03:30:23.127842089Z age=56.2 fresh=1 bid=101.85 ask=101.917 bd=96.03 ad=96.18 recovery_pct=0.5680 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=26252.6 fresh=0 bid=0.9995 ask=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=142971.6 fresh=0 bid=0.99999 ask=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T03:30:36.078043389Z age=43.3 fresh=1 bid=1.3892 ask=1.39445 bd=5834.36 ad=5841.07 recovery_pct=0.8817 UNI t=2026-09-10T03:30:37.381147228Z age=41.9 fresh=1 bid=6.03385 ask=6.04575 bd=4288.44 ad=4244.12 recovery_pct=0.7001 LTC t=2026-09-10T03:29:21.326347437Z age=118.0 fresh=1 bid=52.745 ask=53.0692 bd=3595.46 ad=3606.58 recovery_pct=1.1196 HYPE t=2026-09-10T03:30:35.742473731Z age=43.6 fresh=1 bid=83.95 ask=84.3313 bd=65267.01 ad=65238.69 recovery_pct=0.9584 LINK t=2026-09-10T03:30:22.314084886Z age=57.0 fresh=1 bid=11.8 ask=11.826 bd=13687.29 ad=13622.22 recovery_pct=0.7233 fresh_quotes 8 /10 recipient BTC 598.50040069 mempool_net 4.62e-05 tx_n 287 reserve BTC 3601.47203226 mempool_net 0.0 tx_n 589 recentpage 31 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 40512
job: Funding issuer supply through04UTC; replaces156 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 03:15
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T03:15:51.258328+00:00 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/time offset_s=0.0653 uncertainty_s=0.1443 source=https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate ; https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/open-interest {"s":"BTC","ts":["1789010123609","1789010152125"],"age":[28.7,0.1],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.5991,"settled_bp":0.495,"oi_coin":26967.471} {"s":"ETH","ts":["1789010123653","1789010152112"],"age":[28.6,0.1],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":0.2154,"settled_bp":0.1779,"oi_coin":591637.887} {"s":"SOL","ts":["1789010124634","1789010152129"],"age":[27.6,0.1],"fresh":true,"funding_bp":-0.7039,"settled_bp":-0.9099,"oi_coin":2713605.05} source=https://www.circle.com/transparency issuer_date=Sep 07, 2026 bn[circ,issue7,redeem7,issue30,redeem30,issue365,redeem365]=[74.28, 8.8, 7.86, 36.59, 34.37, 333.52, 331.64] source=https://www.usdc.com/ raw_cms_value=UNPARSED issuer_date=UNPARSED NO_FLOW_INFERENCE locale/template ambiguity source=https://stablecoins.llama.fi/stablecoin/2 {"ts":1788998400,"circulating":74386006033.1783,"Ethereum":[1788998400,47146319984.45],"Solana":[1788998400,7103929420.46],"Hyperliquid L1":[1788998400,6887999675.1]} END crypto collection; definitions/cutoffs differ; flow is not buying; eligible=0
job: 19 supply panels incl FTK AVAV SSL; replaces116 (exit 0)
Supply chain2026-09-10 03:15
fund=supply 2026-09-10T03:15:51.060354+00:00 research only; hashes not events; eligible=0 Maersk OK 4bb96bc8a2a4 https://www.maersk.com/news Typhoon OK 3241a9d58215 https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2026/09/04/east-asia-typhoon-season-impacting-logistics Hapag OK 8ab284858970 https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/services-information/operational-updates/updates/2026/09/ops-update-middle-east-week36.html SeaIntel OK 0eeef616fcf3 https://sea-intelligence.com/press-room WH OK e0e2e6ade515 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/ Bombardier CHALLENGE 81a81cacf9e3 https://bombardier.com/en/media/news GD https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000040533.json 2026-08-07 8-K 0001193125-26-340490/d129075d8k.htm | 2026-08-04 8-K 0001193125-26-332899/d122083d8k.htm CENTCOM https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-RELEASES/ ERROR HTTPError FRO OK 3aaf7244dc4a https://www.frontlineplc.cy/fro-second-quarter-and-six-months-2026-results/ STNG OK c54b428d736e https://www.scorpiotankers.com/scorpio-tankers-inc-announces-updates-on-third-quarter-2026-tce-rates-and-time-charter-out-agreements/ ASPI https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/rss Tue, 08 Sep 26 09:15:00 -0400 https://ir.aspisotopes.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/119/asp-isotopes-hosts-inaugural-capital-markets-day-and ACP OK 6e21e0bc4ee1 https://pancanal.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/ADV-33-2026-Postponement-of-Maximum-Authorized-Draft-Adjustment-in-the-Neopanamax-Locks.pdf SEI OK 140860f05cb5 https://ir.solaris-energy.com/ OESX OK f7316d1affda https://investor.oriones.com/ Canada OK 09084e6193e2 https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news.html FTK OK b2455970b637 https://ir.flotekind.com/press-releases?l=50 [('https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-of-International-Sales', 'Flotek Raises 2026 Guidance Again on Continued Strength of International Sales'), ('https://ir.flotekind.com/2026-09-09-Flotek-Raises-2026-Guidance-Again-on-Continued-Strength-
job: IONS MIRM GIS plus EAT primary dates; preserves48 (exit 0)
Catalyst run-ups2026-09-10 03:00
fund=catalyst IONS/MIRM/GIS research only; size=0; UTC=2026-09-10T03:00:55.933815+00:00 IONS SEC 2026-09-04 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/874015/000114036126035802/ef20081690_8k.htm MIRM SEC 2026-09-08 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1759425/000175942526000047/mirm-20260902.htm GIS SEC 2026-07-01 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40704/000162828026046337/gis-20260701.htm EAT SEC 2026-08-12 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/eat-20260810.htm DISCOVERY 2026-09-09T13:12:14Z Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Lowers Price Target to $85 GIS Sep8 19UTC conference/review19:40; origin note48. Already past, check replay. STATIC Sep23 morning earnings,13UTC Q&A, firstrelease minute unknown. https://investors.generalmills.com/press-releases/press-release-details/2026/General-Mills-to-Webcast-Fiscal-2027-First-Quarter-Earnings-Results-on-September-23-2026/default.aspx GIS stronger organiccash/guide ->record/validate; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. No automaticentry; dates are reviews not firstnews. Baseline July1 FY27 EPS3.00-3.20,organic-1.5to+.5%,savings750m. Frozen paper windowSep16open-Sep21close; calendarOOS+.567%,stress-2.405%,N10; never retune past test. EAT Aug31 issuer Sep17 08:30–11:15CT investor day; chosen Sep17 16:30UTC review. https://investors.brinker.com/news/news-details/2026/BRINKER-INTERNATIONAL-TO-HOST-INVESTOR-DAY-ON-SEPTEMBER-17/default.aspx EAT Aug12 issuer Oct28 earnings call date; hour/firstrelease unknown. Chosen Oct28 16:30UTC review, reverify firstnews. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/703351/000070335126000026/fy26q4ex991-earningsrelease.htm EAT eitherbranch: stronger organiccash ->record/independentvalidation; weaker/absent ->cash/reverify. FrozenT5holdout-19.2065% N7; no automatictrade. Investor-day odds untested. Static dates not armed. END4SEC/1discovery/GIS2/EAT2; verify fullpipelines/earlynews.
job: Quotes + Liquid through04UTC; replaces159/161 (exit 0)
Crypto majors2026-09-10 03:00
fund=crypto research only eligible=0 observed=2026-09-10T03:00:57.982438+00:00 sources {"quotes": "https://runway.adityaperswal.workers.dev/data/crypto-snapshots", "recipient": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte", "reserve": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1qdlld6antmv4xug242ed83q7k4rqw50cwfns38szx4qu2f4jwaxxsuhwxxr", "tx": "https://blockstream.info/api/address/bc1ql4mfu6aundtkksxklfajs2h3t9nzcd6gyqjlte/txs", "tip": "https://blockstream.info/liquid/api/blocks", "second": "https://liquid.network/api/blocks", "operator": "https://x.com/Blockstream"} BTC t=2026-09-10T03:00:56.32506232Z age=1.7 fresh=1 bid=78309.7 ask=78335.265 bd=78.86 ad=78.11 recovery_pct=0.5347 ETH t=2026-09-10T03:00:19.218394075Z age=38.8 fresh=1 bid=2474.799 ask=2475.496 bd=81.87 ad=82.75 recovery_pct=0.5302 SOL t=2026-09-10T03:00:01.929199484Z age=56.1 fresh=1 bid=101.8 ask=101.9 bd=290.82 ad=96.86 recovery_pct=0.6006 USDC t=2026-09-09T20:13:46.701019128Z age=24431.3 fresh=0 bid=0.9995 ask=1.00001 bd=9995000.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5532 USDG t=2026-09-08T11:48:27.749222185Z age=141150.2 fresh=0 bid=0.99999 ask=1.00001 bd=9999900.00 ad=10000100.00 recovery_pct=0.5039 XRP t=2026-09-10T03:00:02.583382963Z age=55.4 fresh=1 bid=1.38947 ask=1.39366 bd=5735.45 ad=149.49 recovery_pct=0.8049 UNI t=2026-09-10T03:00:37.728212112Z age=20.3 fresh=1 bid=6.045 ask=6.06037 bd=12846.29 ad=4253.17 recovery_pct=0.7574 LTC t=2026-09-10T03:00:56.396098699Z age=1.6 fresh=1 bid=52.77 ask=53.1135 bd=3558.87 ad=3591.00 recovery_pct=1.1561 HYPE t=2026-09-10T03:00:29.023360271Z age=29.0 fresh=1 bid=83.879 ask=84.2964 bd=65161.40 ad=65557.31 recovery_pct=1.0020 LINK t=2026-09-10T03:00:13.652723347Z age=44.3 fresh=1 bid=11.84 ask=11.86 bd=13790.40 ad=13798.90 recovery_pct=0.6716 fresh_quotes 8 /10 recipient BTC 598.50040069 mempool_net 4.62e-05 tx_n 287 reserve BTC 3601.47203226 mempool_net 0.0 tx_n 589 recentpage 31 controlled 0 not_full_history=1 tip 4051232 ag
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